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Bali Sja  20:25:04 GMT - 11/07/2016  
JP, piggi puppy looks sick 1.2850 more likely


dc CB  19:14:47 GMT - 11/07/2016  
The Swiss National Bank stands ready to intervene in the currency markets if the outcome of the U.S. election triggers a rush into the safe haven currency, a member of the central bank's governing board said on Monday.

Andrea Maechler declined to comment on the outcome of the election or how it would affect the Swiss franc or financial markets.
But "the uncertainties are large," she said in an interview with Swiss TV to be broadcast on Monday evening.

"What I can say is just like with the Brexit vote, we are ready," Maechler said. "My team is prepared and the Swiss National Bank will be there, if necessary, to intervene to stabilize the currency markets."
In June, the SNB gave a rare confirmation that it had intervened in the currency market to weaken the Swiss franc in the wake of Britain's vote to leave the European Union.

Reuters



dc CB  18:32:00 GMT - 11/07/2016  
Losing confidence in an undisputed win????

Clinton calls off Election Night fireworks

NY Post



Mtl JP  17:32:41 GMT - 11/07/2016  
usdcad = BoD
this piggi has good chance of going 1.35-36-38 & ++


london red  15:49:39 GMT - 11/07/2016  
jp they will try selling kijun rebound (49) stops then over 74. tgt 20 and the fig.


Mtl JP  15:44:46 GMT - 11/07/2016  
watch... huh ?
there is money to be made / lost off playing the cretins parading on the fashion runway of politics *-*

A traderís guide to watching the election, courtesy of Goldman Sachs



Mtl JP  15:41:45 GMT - 11/07/2016  
nh - one reasonable odds trade set up (fade) is a massive n rapid move to 2.5 - 3std off the 20dma


Mtl JP  15:38:32 GMT - 11/07/2016  
I re-iterate on 1.1030 level
feels potentially cardinal
sometimes rewards go to fearless
sometimes it is the pioneers who end up with arrow in back
like an old gv poster (yipee) would say: plz mind your risk

particularly at this political headlines driven reaction market
things could get quickly illiquid / gappy


Livingston nh  14:59:44 GMT - 11/07/2016  
JP - SPX dec puts // SPX 2130 is risk on the daily chart


Mtl JP  14:48:34 GMT - 11/07/2016  
nh - thks
what r u doing w/it ?
tia


Livingston nh  14:40:15 GMT - 11/07/2016  
JP - look at SPX 2100 gap today!!


Livingston nh  14:38:48 GMT - 11/07/2016  
So now we get relief rally across the board -- the question for the next two days is what supports higher levels in USD, Stox and especially bonds (today is correcting the Fear trade) -- keep in mind the Brexit spike in the Pound just before Wile E. Coyote looked down -- so what market looks down first?


Mtl JP  14:38:25 GMT - 11/07/2016  
Jay , trying to keep it simple - euro sub 1.1150 has seen its top.
When it goes sub 1.1050 and particularly 1.1030, back up the short truck for a potential additional 100 pips south


GVI Trading Jay Meisler  13:50:47 GMT - 11/07/2016  
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For those who attended our meeting (and others), note how the EURUSD 1.1073 resistance I noted at the meeting and on your Amazing Trader charts continues to cap the upside.


GVI Trading john bland  11:55:03 GMT - 11/07/2016  
Equities- Risk On
DAX +169
DJ +234
SP +28

10-yr 1.810% +3.0


GVI Trading john bland  11:26:07 GMT - 11/07/2016  
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Amazing Trader charts updated on your systems





GVI Trading john bland  10:06:06 GMT - 11/07/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
7-Nov Mon
7:15 CH- CPI
10:00 EZ- Retail Sales
8-Nov Tue
00:00 US- Presidential Election
02:00 CN- Trade
09:30 GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output
18:00 US- 10-yr Auction
9-Nov Wed
01:30 US- CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
16:00 US- Crude
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
10-Nov Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan


Trading Themes--
  • FBI Director Comey once again interjected himself into the Presidential race Sunday by clearing a newly discovered set of emails from the previous Clinton investigation. This is a relief to her campaign and SHOULD be enough to get her elected. At least markets are reading it that way. If she is elected, she still faces a number of investigations that will drag on. Although many will be unhappy with this result, it now becomes a topic for another day.

  • A Clinton victory is the working assumption of the markets. Since she is the candidate of the Wall Street establishment, equities should do well if she wins. A Trump victory would be a cause of uncertainty and likely be a weight on equities. Nevertheless, Hillary will certainly have difficult time pulling the country back together after the vote. She is unlikely to have the usual honeymoon period after the election.

  • I have heard that the outcome should be known early with many of the critical swing states the the Eastern and Central time zones.

  • Nothing in the October U.S. employment data on Freiday should have derailed the intentions of the Fed to hike U.S. interest rates at their December meeting. However, before then we will have seen the U.S. Presidential election results and one more set of jobs data.

  • Markets are still digesting the U.K. three judge high court panel decision that the May government does not have the power to trigger Article 50 for Brexit without consulting Parliament. The government is appealing the decision and it has permission to go straight to the Supreme Court. That court has set aside time for a four-day hearing starting on December 7.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com




Mtl JP  21:22:52 GMT - 11/06/2016  
IF you think players will perceive that Trump is winning:
short crude
short stocks
short cad$
short mxn
buy yen
---------
conversely same price moves in the above could be used to gage that market smells Trump victory IF that matters to u.


Mtl JP  21:12:16 GMT - 11/06/2016  
some friday closes VS EARLY INDICATIONS
eurdlr -1.11387 VS 1.1060
usdcad - 1.33991 VS 1.3318
usdyen - 103.075 VS 104.164
gbpusd - 1.25192 VS 1.24526


NY JM  21:09:58 GMT - 11/06/2016  
Gaps = bet on Hillary?


GVI Trading john bland  20:17:51 GMT - 11/06/2016  
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GVI Trading john bland  12:52:11 GMT - 11/06/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
7-Nov Mon
7:15 CH- CPI
10:00 EZ- Retail Sales
8-Nov Tue
00:00 US- Presidential Election
02:00 CN- Trade
09:30 GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output
18:00 US- 10-yr Auction
9-Nov Wed
01:30 US- CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
16:00 US- Crude
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
10-Nov Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan


Trading Themes--
  • Finally, the U.S. Presidential election will take place on Tuesday. The Main Street Media (MSM) is shamelessly biased in favor of Hillary Clinton, so it is hard to get an objective view on what is likely to happen. They continue to report that she will win. I am not saying she is not ahead. I am just saying there is no reliable way to know until the actual results start to come in.

  • A Clinton victory is the working assumption of the markets. Since she is the candidate of the Wall Street establishment, equities should do well if she wins. A Trump victory would be a cause of uncertainty and likely be a weight on equities. Nevertheless, Hillary will likely have difficult time pulling the country back together after the vote. She is unlikely to have the usual honeymoon period after the election.

  • I have heard that the outcome should be known early with many of the critical swing states the the Eastern and Central time zones.

  • Nothing in the October U.S. employment data on Freiday should have derailed the intentions of the Fed to hike U.S. interest rates at their December meeting. However, before then we will have seen the U.S. Presidential election results and one more set of jobs data.

  • Markets are still digesting the U.K. three judge high court panel decision that the May government does not have the power to trigger Article 50 for Brexit without consulting Parliament. The government is appealing the decision and it has permission to go straight to the Supreme Court. That court has set aside time for a four-day hearing starting on December 7.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets



GVI Trading john bland  18:21:40 GMT - 11/05/2016  
As I posted on GVI net positions don't usually change much week to week. My point was that there undoubtedly are still plenty of EURUSD buy stops on top.


Mtl JP  18:04:37 GMT - 11/05/2016  
john bland 16:27 Heavy shorts remained in EURUSD
-
It needs to be mentioned that that was as of Tuesday and only reported on following Friday.
Three trading days later by Friday things could have changed.


GVI Trading john bland  16:27:18 GMT - 11/05/2016  
Heavy shorts remained in EURUSD



Market longs in JPY about steady.


GBP positions still short, but being trimmed.






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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