be careful of what you wish for....just around the corner...
bali sja 09:41:11 GMT - 11/11/2016
euro is impotent, give it viagra
london red 09:38:39 GMT - 11/11/2016
they are still selling blips this morn. they tried to rally but as soon as failed below prev high they nailed it. so far no lower low, but a nice hourly wick if sticks til top of hour. came in conjunction with usdjpy off sup c. 10625. here we need a wkly close abv 10520/50 and a second abv 200dma. there is a barrier at 107 with lrg stops abv with stops building under 10620
Paris ib 09:32:57 GMT - 11/11/2016
ok red we wait for today's close before making any judgement. FWIW I think the move has been too quick and we will see pullback - in the short term. But I don't like it as a trade. Going on holiday soon. May as well enjoy the break properly. :-)
london red 09:28:07 GMT - 11/11/2016
u can still trade futs paris. as for signal depends on ur timescale and the trigger. we are still in a multiyr uptrend on the 10, so if u believe trumps policies wont be as fiscal loose as his pre win rhetoric, u buy the dip. there certainly is an argument since his post win tone has been night and day apart frm his campaign approach. the other question is of course can fed raise a pt/ptt and a half over nxt year, will we see the growth and inflation to give them the ammo.
Paris ib 09:14:38 GMT - 11/11/2016
the week isn't closed yet - except for Treasuries - do we ignore these signals red? I was taught: a signal is a signal - don't matter the background. But I have my reservations.
london red 09:11:25 GMT - 11/11/2016
most em has massive outside. cee huge moves as not only outflow due to rates but nato risk.
Paris ib 09:00:28 GMT - 11/11/2016
Depending on how we close today we also have the possibility of an outside week down in the EUR USD. I'm guessing there must be a lot of outside weeks out there on various markets. So we got a medium term bearish signal and - for now - no follow through on the downside.
london red 07:41:31 GMT - 11/11/2016
euro is in rebound mode. prev high at 10955 while below there still firmly down. if abv nxt res 10967 10990 11010 11040. think need to take out 10850 b4 any chance of sustained rebound.
kl shawn 07:24:35 GMT - 11/11/2016
euro heading to parity by year end? with Italian referendum lurking in December and Fed rate hike?
bali sja 07:23:04 GMT - 11/11/2016
better recommend sell rallies
bali sja 07:22:05 GMT - 11/11/2016
blabla, yesterday you said 1.0945 and recommended buy also
Singapore07:20:03 GMT - 11/11/2016
Currently, EUR/USD trades +0.19% higher at 1.0917, heading for a retest of daily highs reached previously at 1.0924. The EUR/USD pair is trying hard to extend the breakout beyond 1.09 handle, but sellers continue to lurk at higher levels amid mixed markets and in absence of any fundamental driver.
It is recommended to buy, exchange rate is 1.0917.
How short is the market in Euros
last time inverted to aud in cots.
london red 21:33:53 GMT - 11/10/2016
depends on ur def of short. for example mkt went into election with a lrg demand for calls, while before brexit mkt huge demand for puts which all had to be unwound and gave euro the kick up.
imm still heavily short but thats no indication as has been the case, bar the odd month, for years. theres good reason to short euro and be short, but not chase the downside as theres no much traction to parity bets there. safest option id selling rallies as continues to work.
Paris ib 21:23:52 GMT - 11/10/2016
How short is the market in Euros? I haven't checked it out lately. Anyone have an idea?
Paris ib 21:22:33 GMT - 11/10/2016
FWIW the EURUSD is just sitting there. Dead in the water. I wonder about that. If capital exits the U.S. it will not ultimately be EURO negative. And all the crap about the stupid (and extremely INSIGNIFICANT) referendum in Italy won't change that.
Massive current account SURPLUS in the Euro Area. Trade account positive and all you got is the dumb referendum? I don't like your odds.
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