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GVI Trading Jay Meisler  17:11:15 GMT - 11/28/2016  
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1.


EURUSD 1.0575

Amazing Trader double top (as indicated on charts) against 1.0610 resistance (cited earlier and on charts) proved to be a good level.


GVI Trading Jay Meisler  15:29:45 GMT - 11/28/2016  
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1.

Amazing Trader signaled a risk of a shift in directional at around 1.0570 and rebound got close to 1.0600. Res at 1.0610 untouched.

I also indicated on GVI Forex a risk of a buy the rumor sell the fact reaction to Draghi and this has played out as well.


GVI Trading john bland  14:28:51 GMT - 11/28/2016  
Mild Risk Off
DAX -73
DJ -78
SP -6

10-yr 2.330% -3.1bp


GVI Trading john bland  11:06:56 GMT - 11/28/2016  
DAX -83
DJ -56
SP -7

10-yr 2.33% -3.1bp


GVI Trading john bland  10:35:52 GMT - 11/28/2016  
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1.


Amazing Trader GBPUSD charts updated on your systems


GVI Trading john bland  09:42:43 GMT - 11/28/2016  
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Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems


GVI Trading john bland  09:16:03 GMT - 11/28/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
28-Nov Mon
23:50 JP- Retail Sales
29-Nov Tue
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- Consumer Confidence
30-Nov Wed
07:00 DE- Retail Sales
08:55 DE- Employment
10:00 EZ- flash HICP
13:15 US- ADP Jobs
13:30 CA- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
14:45 US- Chicago PMI
15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
1-Dec Thu
All Day- final Mfg PMIs
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-Dec Fri
13:30 CA/US Employment


Trading Themes--
  • Markets are taking a risk-off posture to start the new week as the U.S. returns from its long Thanksgiving holiday break. Traders will be hitting the ground running amid concerns about the Italian Referendum next Sunday, and its potential impact on a number of distressed banks. Also a recount of the U.S. Presidential vote is creating new uncertainties. U.S. employment data are slated as well.

  • The Italian Constitutional Referendum is on Sunday, November 4. If the reforms are defeated, as expected, the current Renzi government is expected to fall and a new election called. Some see this possible election as an indirect referendum on the Euro. The approaching weekend vote could weigh on the Euro as the week wears on.

  • U.S. Minority Green Party candidate Jill Stein reportedly is planning to initiate Presidential election vote recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. She has no chance of winning these states. Now the Clinton campaign has said it would participate if a recount is initiated "in order to ensure the process proceeds in a manner that is fair to all sides".

  • In the past, vote recounts typically have not uncovered discrepancies of a magnitude that would have reversed the vote count in these states. In other words, this is either a long-shot effort or it is being undertaken for other reasons e.g. publicity or fund-raising.

  • Nevertheless, there is a chance that the markets might react (negatively for USD) to these new uncertainties. At this juncture, I do not think the remote pssibility of a Clinton presidency would be viewed as a positive any longer.

  • The week ahead also sees U.S. employment data for the month of November. This is one of the items the FOMC scrutinizes carefully before making monetary policy decisions. Currently, the markets are running 100% odds that the central bank will raise its Fed Funds target by 25bps on December 14. Its hard to imagine the data could be so weak that the could postpone that expected (and signaled) rate hike.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk Off



Sydney ACC  05:01:23 GMT - 11/28/2016  
The Treasury announced in October 2001 that -- after four years of rising budget surpluses -- it would suspend issuing 30-year bonds.

In January 2002, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office was forecasting that the deficit would top out that year at $21 billion and that the 10-year surplus would total $1.6 trillion.

But forecasted surpluses turned into deficits, which crested in 2004 at $412 billion.

In 2005 Treasury reintroduced the long bond.

President George W Bush added the second greatest amount to the debt, at $5.849 trillion. That was a 101 percent increase to the debt. It was $5.8 trillion on September 30, 2001.

Bill Clinton added $1.396 trillion to debt.

George H W Bush added USD 1.554 billion to debt.

Ronald Reagan added USSD 1.86 trillion

Calvin Coolidge was the last president to reduce debt.


MV yg10  02:04:43 GMT - 11/28/2016  
>since Bill hit the scene as President in 92 has become a national nightmare.

So you consider that unemployment falling from 7.3% (Jan 1993) to 3.8 (Jan 2001) and decrease of Debt/GDP ratio by 10% during this period a national nightmare. I really do not want to know what do you suppose to be a good for nation.


dc CB  22:17:37 GMT - 11/27/2016  
Yellen may have her excuse...the never ending election.
There are deadlines for finishing the "recounts", seems that Dec 13 is the date for Wisc. If the other two states allow recounts and miss those deadlines, the Electoral College votes from those states are not counted. Neither Trump or Hillary will have the required 270, the election will get thrown to Congress.

What a sheit show. IMHO everything that the Clintons touched since Bill hit the scene as President in 92 has become a national nightmare.


Livingston nh  21:10:04 GMT - 11/27/2016  
Re: FOMC -- NFP may be only the raison du jour but YELLEN has never needed an excuse, merely a reason (see last June and June before or this past September)



GVI Trading john bland  18:55:49 GMT - 11/27/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
28-Nov Mon
23:50 JP- Retail Sales
29-Nov Tue
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- Consumer Confidence
30-Nov Wed
07:00 DE- Retail Sales
08:55 DE- Employment
10:00 EZ- flash HICP
13:15 US- ADP Jobs
13:30 CA- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
14:45 US- Chicago PMI
15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
1-Dec Thu
All Day- final Mfg PMIs
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-Dec Fri
13:30 CA/US Employment

Trading Themes--
  • U.S. Minority Green Party candidate Jill Stein reportedly is planning to initiate Presidential election vote recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. She has no chance of winning these states. Now the Clinton campaign has said it would participate if a recount if a recount is initiated "in order to ensure the process proceeds in a manner that is fair to all sides".

  • In the past, vote recounts typically have not uncovered discrepancies of a magnitude that would have reversed the vote count in these states. In other words, this is either a long-shot effort or it is being undertaken for other reasons e.g. publicity or fund-raising.

  • Nevertheless, there is a chance that the markets might react (negatively for USD) to these new uncertainties. At this juncture, I do not think the remote possibility of a Clinton presidency would be viewed as a positive any longer.

  • The week ahead also sees U.S. employment data for the month of November. This is one of the items the FOMC scrutinizes carefully before making monetary policy decisions. Currently, the markets are running 100% odds that the central bank will raise its Fed Funds target by 25bps on December 14. Its hard to imagine the data could be so weak that the could postpone that expected (and signaled) rate hike.

  • Another major upcoming event is the Italian Constitutional Referendum on Sunday, November 4. If the reforms are defeated, as expected. the current Renzi government is expected to fall and a new election called. Some see this possible election as an indirect referendum on the Euro. The approaching weekend vote could weigh on the Euro as the week wears on.

  • The Obama Administration remains in its lame duck status, but might have to deal with a sharply rising USD should it start to advance at a faster pace.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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