dont bet on it PAR. 4/11 or so odds on a no. if a yes sell euro if a no buy euro lol
PAR19:31:32 GMT - 12/02/2016
Euro above 1.1000 if Italians vote Yes to make money. Money is always the most important in a vote. If everybody says NO I think it will be YES.
london red 17:25:51 GMT - 12/02/2016
on a straddle you need a swing either side of your spread or if swings you can cut on top and down swings (luck more than talent reqd in that case) i dont think we will move more than straddles suggest. think it mwill be a case of cutting puts and letting call side run for later in day.
dc CB 17:16:54 GMT - 12/02/2016
Mtl JP 16:33 GMT
Complicated. not using Spot, basing on futures with Jan strikes basis March, looking for more than a pop on Monday. FOMC is part of my equation.
Belgrade Knez 16:54:03 GMT - 12/02/2016
does that mean 120 pips below and above open price or 120 pips high/low range for the day, please?
london red 16:48:25 GMT - 12/02/2016
euro monday straddle about 120 pips
Mtl JP 16:33:59 GMT - 12/02/2016
CB 16:29 I like straddle tactic.
can u share your parameters - tia
dc CB 16:29:06 GMT - 12/02/2016
I'm playing a straddle.
london red 16:27:39 GMT - 12/02/2016
no vote is solidly odds on and has been for many many weeks. to put things into context. a yes vote is seen to help italian banks which would lift stock prices and bonds, both of which italian retail investors are holders of. so really if folk are voting against their pockets (admittedly many are down 80-90% so a few percent up makes no diff) it just shows how much anger their is toward the EU and how its a certainty that when the next elections come, the right is getting voted in. and thats the prob for the euro. but mkts dont look that far out and will concentrate on squeezing monday morning shorts.
Mtl JP 16:20:46 GMT - 12/02/2016
dc CB 16:10 if u r freaked out by that zh piece buy some physical Gold and take it home
london red 16:19:46 GMT - 12/02/2016
unless every cant votes for no, a no vote with be dismissed by end ot day, euro will open lower, maybe by 105, might do barrier might not, then rally higher.
a yes vote likely to be more brutal as far as market reaction concerned as really only clinton and remain voters believe yes has a chance of winning and thus mkt fully prepared for a reasonable win for no.
dc CB 16:10:48 GMT - 12/02/2016
any thoughts on the vote Y/N, Sunday?
ZH psoted this hyperbolic earlier today.
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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