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GVI Trading john bland  17:40:18 GMT - 12/08/2016  
Report ECB govs pushed for 12 mo extension of QE


GVI Trading john bland  16:30:51 GMT - 12/08/2016  
ECB's Weidmann
-- did not agree with decision to extend bond purchases


GVI Trading john bland  15:31:32 GMT - 12/08/2016  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts

-42 vs. -45 exp vs. -50 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red  14:54:13 GMT - 12/08/2016  
yes its a stealth taper but if u listen to him he is most insistent that policy will remain ultra loose, so that gives an idea of where they want the euro without saying it and offending some germans.

london red  14:52:44 GMT - 12/08/2016  
yes daily tenkan. daily close below points at 105 retest while intraday bias to downside while under it.

Belgrade Knez  14:20:58 GMT - 12/08/2016  

london red

are you talking about tenkan only on daily or other time frame please?

thank you.

london red  14:10:34 GMT - 12/08/2016  
unable to stay under tenkan at 10651, with bond yields having flipped looks like ran out of downside fuel for now.

GVI Trading john bland  13:56:34 GMT - 12/08/2016  
-- did not consider reducing asset purchases if economy does better than expected
-- Tapering was not discussed

GVI Trading john bland  13:53:25 GMT - 12/08/2016  
Draghi: -- tapering was NOT discussed.

london red  13:47:46 GMT - 12/08/2016  
bounce off daily tankan, needs strng hourly close 107 or higher or will go to tenkan again.

dc CB  13:46:26 GMT - 12/08/2016  
Brilliant. You can see why the eurozone needs such and expensive group of uberlords.

GVI Trading john bland  13:42:11 GMT - 12/08/2016  
Ridiculous, ECB sets policy based on the price of oil. They are tied to their stupid inflation target, no matter where the inflation does or does not come from! Aren't higher energy prices a drag on growth?

GVI Trading john bland  13:30:44 GMT - 12/08/2016  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts


Initial Claims (000)
258K vs. 255K exp. vs. 268K (r) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Kl Fs  13:16:04 GMT - 12/08/2016  
Gold struggling also. Maybe a good short for 1160 stop above 1180

london red  13:09:23 GMT - 12/08/2016  
bond yields are favouring euro upside (10bund now abv oct low yield) but clearly mkt needs to find equilibrium first.

london red  13:06:32 GMT - 12/08/2016  
10690 is sup more at 10675 and 50. needs to move under 10650 for a refocus on 105 barrier.

GVI Trading john bland  13:06:26 GMT - 12/08/2016  
ECB explicitly leaves all options open. Suggests to me they aren't 100% confident in the taper?

london red  13:03:57 GMT - 12/08/2016  
60/67 might cap any small bounces if higher then 10775 and 108 but its a sell on rallies. they wont let you buy 107 to take it to 109 if its already been up there once. u dont get a second chance but draghi yet to speak so fade bounces while no move abv 10810.

dc CB  13:00:37 GMT - 12/08/2016  
From statement:
From April 2017, the net asset purchases are intended to continue at a monthly pace of 60 billion until the end of December 2017, or beyond, if necessary, and in any case until the Governing Council sees a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation consistent with its inflation aim. If, in the meantime, the outlook becomes less favourable or if financial conditions become inconsistent with further progress towards a sustained adjustment of the path of inflation, the Governing Council intends to increase the programme in terms of size and/or duration.

weasel words. Consider that Angela Merkel may lose, she is the "last man standing". There Will Be "less conditions" for Mario and the ECB.

Kl Fs  12:59:09 GMT - 12/08/2016  
Yes red. That is a big one. You must be blind to go long euro with that wick. Just sell!

london red  12:56:06 GMT - 12/08/2016  
euro taps prev low 10851 and drops off, shud be supported until draghi speaks u might think but theres a nasty wick on hourly candle showing a top. you suspect they need to test 10690/50 despite whats gone one with the qe news.

Kl Fs  12:52:39 GMT - 12/08/2016  
Sell euro?

GVI Trading john bland  12:50:21 GMT - 12/08/2016  
so ECB tapers QE starting in April 2017. EURUSD spikes to HOD 1.0875.

GVI Trading john bland  12:47:47 GMT - 12/08/2016  
ECB extends asset purchases by 9 mos to end 2017

but cuts to 60bln from April 2017

GVI Trading john bland  12:45:12 GMT - 12/08/2016  
European Central Bank (ECB) November 2016


Refi Rate Steady at 0.00%
Marginal Lending Rate steady at 0.25%
Deposit Rate steady At -0.40%

Asset Purchases (QE) per mo unchanged at 80bn

Press Release: ECB Decision

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  12:31:44 GMT - 12/08/2016  
ECB Announcement at 12:45 GMT

More vital info at presser...
ECB Press conference a 13:30 GMT (link below)

GVI Trading john bland  09:08:11 GMT - 12/08/2016  
November 2016 China Trade USDb

- Earlier NEWS --

+44.61 vs. +46.7 exp. vs. +49.1b prev.
Exports (y/y): 0.10% vs. -5.0% exp. vs. -7.3% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

EARLIER China Trade surplus falls. y/y exports up slightly.

GVI Trading john bland  08:58:04 GMT - 12/08/2016  
Japan 3Q16 GDP


qq: +0.30% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

3Q16 q/q GDP revised lower.

Japan GDP Chart

GVI Trading john bland  21:58:34 GMT - 12/07/2016  
Moodys lowers Italy l-t debt issuer outlook to negative from stable. Holds rating at Baa2


Mtl JP  18:14:30 GMT - 12/07/2016  
From Poloz's BoC:

Economic data suggest that global economic conditions have strengthened

GVI Trading john bland  15:43:43 GMT - 12/07/2016  
WTI down on build in overall energy complex. Distillates and Gasoline inventories were up.

Mtl JP  15:39:51 GMT - 12/07/2016  
CB 15:35 usdcad thanks u 4 the good news *-^

london red  15:38:43 GMT - 12/07/2016  
eurgbp. nice wick building on hourly candle, potentially marking a st top if can stick. thru 8500 they are likely to dump it.

dc CB  15:35:28 GMT - 12/07/2016  
Cushing +3.783MM

GVI Trading john bland  15:30:57 GMT - 12/07/2016  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: -2.400 vs. -1.130 exp vs. -0.600 prev.
Distillates: +2.500 vs. +1.800 exp vs. +5.000 prev.
Gasoline: +3.400 vs. +2.200 exp vs. +2.000 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  15:01:50 GMT - 12/07/2016  
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey October 2016
U.S. Data Charts

mln: 5.53 vs. 5.50 exp. vs. 5.490 prev (r 5.63) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  15:00:04 GMT - 12/07/2016  
December 2016 Bank of Canada Policy Decision

target unchanged at 0.50%

RELEASE: Bank of Canada

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  14:13:12 GMT - 12/07/2016  
Italian PM Renzi confirms he will resign today


GVI Trading john bland  09:36:30 GMT - 12/07/2016  
Big miss in UK output data

GVI Trading john bland  09:30:59 GMT - 12/07/2016  
UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output October 2016


Ind mm: -1.30% vs. 0.20% exp. vs. -0.40% prev.
Mfg mm: -0.90% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.60% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  09:08:47 GMT - 12/07/2016  
3Q16 Australia GDP

QQ: -0.50% vs. 0.30% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.
YY: +1.80% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. +3.30% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

EARLIER: 3Q16 GDP unexpectedly falls.

Australia GDP Chart

Australia Data Charts

GVI Trading john bland  22:04:08 GMT - 12/06/2016  
WTI up post-API report

GVI Trading john bland  22:02:43 GMT - 12/06/2016  
US Weekly API Crude

Reportedly -2.200 mn vs. -1.130 mn exp (EIA)

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dc CB  20:23:21 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Mtl JP 16:35 GMT
that low number shows up here too...Election Eve was it not?
so the Low and the Hi are marked LOL

my take is that this churn in range will continue thru the 14th.
What happens then will say more about Who's Your Daddy(or Gammy) than anything that's happened this year, relevancy-wise.

Will Yellen and the Fed hold sway with their grip(put) on the markets or will Trump's pre Inauguration actual Deals, bring a new reality to the MarkIts. If the latter then Gold(for monetary purposes) and Silver and cousin Copper(for industrial purposes) will confirm. imho silver is the better and cheaper bet as it's both.

either way... imho, Gammy and her Crew, not big twitter users, have lost Hand in the Age of Trump.....:))))))

london red  17:26:03 GMT - 12/06/2016  
euro. sup by prev high 10690 and then 10650. close abv daily tenkan and 10dma reqd to maintian upside bias.
cable. tested a whisker off prev bottom by 12780. this move likely to top out this wk. air is getting thinner as we take out more short positions.

GVI Trading 17:16:42 GMT - 12/06/2016  
12:16 (IT) PM Renzi reportedly will not push for snap elections at party meetings - press

- Source

Mtl JP  16:35:55 GMT - 12/06/2016  
16:32 is that too a processor error ?
who wants to prognosticate on the included chart

GVI Trading john bland  16:32:57 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Atlanta Fed GDPNOW 4Q16 2.6% vs. 2.9% on Dec 1


Mtl JP  15:01:55 GMT - 12/06/2016  
that Canadian Ivy thingie is not worth the weight of mosquito's turd

GVI Trading john bland  15:01:12 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Canada Ivey PMI (sa) October 2016

56.5vs. 59.2 exp. vs. 59.7 prev.

RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  15:00:34 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Factory Orders October 2016
U.S. Data Charts

+2.70% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. +0.30% (r )prev. rev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  13:33:03 GMT - 12/06/2016  
U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade October 2016
U.S. Data Charts

-42.6b vs. -41.6b exp. vs. -34.6b (r -36.2b) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-1.18 vs. -2.00 exp. vs. -4.18 (r )prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  13:30:38 GMT - 12/06/2016  
U.S. Productivity 3Q16
U.S. Data Charts

   MORE: U.S. Charts


+3.10% vs. +3.20% exp. vs. +3.10% (R ) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 12:30:37 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Fake news ?

The Euro has been hit this morning, losing some 50 pips following reports in both La Repubblica and Correre, that Matteo Renzi may stay in power for several weeks before potential early elections in January-February of 2017. According to La Repubblica, Renzi may ask that early elections are held in near future in return for staying in power until then. As previously reported, the next Italian general election must be held no later than 23rd May 2018.

PAR 12:22:08 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Bankers are running out of private sector solutions for Banca Monte dei Paschi (OTCPK:BMDPY) and have told the Italian lender to prepare for a state bailout this weekend after Matteo Renzi suffered a referendum defeat. While financial markets responded relatively calmly, sources told FT that the political upheaval made it "more difficult" to secure a 1B investment from Qatar on which BMPS's 5B capital-raising plan hinges. Shares in the bank have shed more than 85% in value this year.

PAR 11:51:54 GMT - 12/06/2016  
He is no longer in power . Probably to join GS . LOL.

GVI Trading 11:50:31 GMT - 12/06/2016  
EUR may have taken a hit on this:

06:38 (IT) Italy Interior Min: Renzi stated he saw new elections likely in Feb 2017 - financial press

- Source

GVI Trading john bland  10:00:40 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Eurozone GDP 3Q16
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts

Data News ALERT
qq: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% (r ) prev.
yy: +1.70% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.60% (r ) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  09:14:17 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Retail PMI November 2016


48.6 vs. n/a exp. vs. 48.6

Markit PMI Press Release

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  19:11:28 GMT - 12/05/2016  
Fed's Bullard:
-- still supports single rate rise then holding steady
-- low real rates likely to persist for some time
-- productivity measure could impact rate outlook

>> wire service

GVI Trading john bland  18:13:08 GMT - 12/05/2016  
French PM Valls to run for President next year as a Socialist.

GVI Trading john bland  17:10:29 GMT - 12/05/2016  
BOE Carney:
-- inflation expectations up notably
-- drag from fiscal policy to ease
-- growth below avg for next few years
-- policy can respond in either direction

>> Wire Service

london red  16:10:55 GMT - 12/05/2016  
yen bit of profit taking on rejection of prev high. but shud get mopped up by 200hma if not c 114 for another 115 retest later in wk.

Mtl JP  15:57:40 GMT - 12/05/2016  
also from dudley: "not particularly concerned about stronger dollar"
for what ever that is worth

GVI Trading john bland  15:53:27 GMT - 12/05/2016  
Generally, what Yellen, Fischer and Dudley say should be given more weight than other Fed officials. they are "more equal" than the others...

GVI Trading john bland  15:51:53 GMT - 12/05/2016  
Chicago Fed's Evans:
-- Need for fiscal policy less now
-- Rising interest rates call for more restrictive financial conditions

>> Wire service

GVI Trading john bland  15:47:45 GMT - 12/05/2016  
NY Fed Dudley
-- would welcome more firmin of wages
-- Bond market correction was overdue
-- Markets pricing in more stimulus; less econ risk
-- Premature to raise Fed forecasts

>> wire services

GVI Trading john bland  15:35:44 GMT - 12/05/2016  
PM Renzi's party to meet on Wednesday.

His cabinet gets together at 17:30 GMT today where PM Renzi will formally resign.


GVI Trading john bland  15:02:01 GMT - 12/05/2016  
Very strong number. Note employment

GVI Trading john bland  15:00:46 GMT - 12/05/2016  
U.S. ISM Services PMI November 2016
MORE: U.S. Data Charts

57.2 vs. 55.2 exp. vs. 54.8 prev.
Employment sub-component
58.2 vs. 53.1 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  14:45:23 GMT - 12/05/2016  
U.S. Markit final Services PMI November 2016
U.S. Data Charts

54.6 vs. 54.7 exp. vs. 54.7 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  10:01:37 GMT - 12/05/2016  
Eurozone Retail Sales October 2016

mm: +1.10% vs +0.80% exp. vs. -0.20% (r -0.40%) prev.
yy: +2.40%vs. +1.70 exp. vs. +1.10% (r +1.100% ) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Trading john bland  09:43:11 GMT - 12/05/2016  

5-Dec Mon
All Day- final Service PMIs
6-Dec Tue
04:30 AU- RBA Policy Decision
10:00 EZ- GDP
13:30 US- Productivity
7-Dec Wed
00:30 AU- GDP
15:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
15:30 US- EIA Crude
23:50 JP- GDP
8-Dec Thu
02:00 CN- Trade
12:45 EZ- ECB Policy Decision
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
9-Dec Fri
02:00 CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey

Trading Themes--
  • As expected, PM Renzi's Constitutional Referendum in Italy was defeated Sunday. The vote was a resounding "NO" and has seen the Prime Minister tender his resignation. An interim caretaker government will be installed while the political situation is sorted out. The EURUSD fell all the way down to just above 1.0500 before stabilizing and major short-covering setting in. No doubt there has been covert intervention underway by European National Banks, or other agencies.

  • The U.S. November employment data on Friday was a mixed bag. The 178K increase in Jobs was in line with street estimates, but was nothing to write home about. The surprising fall in the unemployment rate to 4.60% from 4.90% was due mainly to another decline in the Labor Participation Rate and the -0.1% fall in Average Hourly Earnings was a big disappointment.

  • I see no chance the data will change Fed intentions to raise rates on December 14. Monthly Job statistics and inflation are the two top items on which the FOMC monetary bases its policy decisions. Markets are running 100% odds on a 25bp Fed Funds target increase.

  • The U.S. Presidential vote recount is an ongoing uncertainty. U.S. Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with Clinton help, is supporting recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Odds in favor a reversal of the Trump victory are very slim.

John M. Bland, MBA


GVI Trading john bland  09:30:51 GMT - 12/05/2016  
GB Services PMI November 2016


55.2 vs. 54.0 exp. vs. 54.5 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland  09:03:57 GMT - 12/05/2016  


EZ- Final Service PMI
53.8 vs. 54.1 exp. vs. 53.7 (flash)
51.6 vs. 51.6 exp. vs. 51.6 (flash)
55.1 vs. 55.0 exp. vs. 55.0 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red  23:28:39 GMT - 12/04/2016  
eod straddle about 130 pips.

GVI Trading 23:28:35 GMT - 12/04/2016  
18:20 (IT) Italy PM Renzi: Resigns as expected; Turnout was higher than anyone expected; Italian people have spoken
Will hand in resignation to President tomorrow

Vote was a great sign of DemocracyNo camp must now make clear proposals

- Source

GVI Trading john bland  23:28:12 GMT - 12/04/2016  
Renzi Resigns

GVI Trading john bland  23:23:46 GMT - 12/04/2016  
-- higher than expected turnout
-- Italian people have spoken
-- No camp must present clear proposals


london red  23:00:32 GMT - 12/04/2016  
thats when he concedes and resigns. all about 10520 105 and 10450 now that the hammers down. must break and hold below otherwise it hits new hod. there will be no special eu meeting, tusk has said its not deemed necessary so any rumours of them doing anything will just be rumours.

GVI Trading Jay Meisler  23:00:11 GMT - 12/04/2016  
Renzi statement to be delayed by 20 minutes, 22;20 GMT

GVI Trading Jay Meisler  22:57:47 GMT - 12/04/2016  
RTRS indicated Renzi to speak at 22:00 GMT

london red  22:37:58 GMT - 12/04/2016  
eurgbp 8333/1.20 gbpeur getting a bit of sup no doubt.

dc CB  22:28:12 GMT - 12/04/2016  
Jill Stein is on a flight to Rome. She is intending to demand a recount. She has already raise $10M after making an announcement 2 hours ago, all from small donations of 10Euros or less. (SARC off)

GVI Trading john bland  22:23:00 GMT - 12/04/2016  
Focus now is whether this is a "hard" or "soft" no. Its sounding to me like a hard no...

GVI Trading john bland  22:21:24 GMT - 12/04/2016  
"NO's" 52-60%

GVI Trading john bland  22:03:14 GMT - 12/04/2016  
Italy Exit polls "no" vote ahead awaiting details

EURUSD lower >> wire services

GVI 17:30:14 GMT - 12/04/2016  
Report: Exit polls indicate Austria populist right-wing challenger Norbert Hofer (46.4%) has lost to to Van der Bellen (53.6%), Green party leader in contest for President.

>> source: wire services.

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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