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Mtl JP  15:28:44 GMT - 12/06/2016  
 
nh 14:31 / ei eye..
posipips


Mtl JP  15:16:35 GMT - 12/06/2016  
according to marktwatch:
2-year Treasury yield at 1.1199%
10:04 10-year Treasury yield at 2.3915%

feels eerie quiet (and still way too low for my x-mass wish)


Mtl JP  14:56:55 GMT - 12/06/2016  
re Goremoron
it was once pointed out on gvi: shanghai bc 23:24 GMT November 23, 2006 Reply
Mtl JP 18:35 GMT November 23, 2006
... .. ...
If a person is important,people will line up to visit him even if he lives in a remote mountain village..If a person is not important,nobody will visit him even if he lives in the centre of a busy town"..(Chinese proverb).


from the short post-meeting clips I cought on MSM Goremoron was not happy. Expect him to re-double his efforts, he ll probably re-appear.


Mtl JP  14:49:06 GMT - 12/06/2016  
nh that was 0's parting gift to D lol
hard to think of it as anything else


Livingston nh  14:47:44 GMT - 12/06/2016  
JP - agree -- on energy: Pres elect met w/ Goremoron, The Wild-eyed Prophet of Climate Doom - Pres Obama threw a Firecracker into the Pipeline on his way out the Door // Be a good test for new Prez to disappoint both - we'll see


Mtl JP  14:35:00 GMT - 12/06/2016  
nh - I am thinking usdcad goes up more , 1.3230 holds
-
donald has not seen the last of rising costs yet: "Boeing is building a brand new 747 Air Force One for future presidents, but costs are out of control, more than $4 billion. Cancel order!"

while yellen and her 2% inflation promoting gang should be thrilled


Livingston nh  14:31:11 GMT - 12/06/2016  
jp - keep one eye on oil -- CAD and stox - Wile E. Coyote don't look down


GVI Trading john bland  14:29:24 GMT - 12/06/2016  
DAX +32
DJ +10-
SP +2

10-yr 2.389% +0.2bp


Mtl JP  14:10:44 GMT - 12/06/2016  
looks like us stox r going to open at an all-time high
fwiw


dc CB  13:32:28 GMT - 12/06/2016  
zerohedge ‏@zerohedge 7m7 minutes ago

10Y -2.75% in repo


GVI Trading john bland  11:18:10 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Register for the Amazing Trader

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Amazing Trader GBPUSD charts updated on your systems


GVI Trading john bland  10:59:33 GMT - 12/06/2016  
Register for the Amazing Trader

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Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems


GVI Trading john bland  09:49:45 GMT - 12/06/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
6-Dec Tue
04:30 AU- RBA Policy Decision
10:00 EZ- GDP
13:30 US- Productivity
7-Dec Wed
00:30 AU- GDP
15:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
15:30 US- EIA Crude
23:50 JP- GDP
8-Dec Thu
02:00 CN- Trade
12:45 EZ- ECB Policy Decision
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
9-Dec Fri
02:00 CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


Trading Themes--
  • The USD remains on the back foot early Tuesday as dealers continue to rebalance oversold EUR positions. Many are looking ahead to the ECB monetary policy decision Thursday. No policy changes are expected, but some expect the central bank to start to set prepare the markets for the start of a gradual exit from a very generous monetary policy posture.

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia kept its Cash Rate target steady at 1.50%. as expected.

  • The U.S. November employment data on Friday was a mixed bag. The 178K increase in Jobs was in line with street estimates, but was nothing to write home about.

  • We see no chance the data will change Fed intentions to raise rates on December 14. Monthly Job statistics and inflation are the two top items on which the FOMC monetary bases its policy decisions. Markets are running 100% odds on a 25bp Fed Funds target increase.

  • The U.S. Presidential vote recount is an ongoing uncertainty. U.S. Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with Clinton help, is supporting recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Odds in favor a reversal of the Trump victory are very slim.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets



dc CB  02:03:26 GMT - 12/06/2016  
GVI Trading john bland 21:41 GMT
nh- they al say we are at full-employment even though avg hourly earnings FELL in November! Tight labor market?
___________________________________________________

Full Employment in the NEW eCONomy means holding 2, count em, 2 jobs. That's why the avg hourly earnings FELL.
How many of the Jobs added were 2nd Jobs...inquiring minds want to know.


GVI Trading john bland  21:41:23 GMT - 12/05/2016  
nh- they al say we are at full-employment even though avg hourly earnings FELL in November! Tight labor market?

For now Fed is going to slip into the background and follow the lead of the bond markets...


Livingston nh  21:23:52 GMT - 12/05/2016  
IMO - best deal in Town is the VIX -- markets are juggling a lot of balls and it only takes one to hit the floor


Livingston nh  20:55:33 GMT - 12/05/2016  
John - the data dependent Fed (?) might take notice that job growth is well below last year levels - Fed doves (Brianard cabal) will make much of stagnant inflation -- Dudley as NY Fed Prez is blowing SMOKE when he says "strong" USD is of no concern -- Does Yellen still say FED will tolerate a hotter inflation economy if 10 yrs break 2.75%? // Yellen (Bernanke) restraint is the mirror opposite of G'span's auto pilot 1/4 point hikes -- most experts still debated whether G'span would hike

And NOW she is gonna deal w/ a NEW sheriff in town who is all over the lot re: monetary policy -- this is going to be a CLOWN show in Center ring


GVI Trading john bland  20:52:13 GMT - 12/05/2016  
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GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are: +100% from +100% late Friday.

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Turning Up
Spot EURUSD: 1.0760
20-day avg: 1.0695
Pivot Point: 1.0678


GVI Trading john bland  20:39:07 GMT - 12/05/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
6-Dec Tue
04:30 AU- RBA Policy Decision
10:00 EZ- GDP
13:30 US- Productivity
7-Dec Wed
00:30 AU- GDP
15:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
15:30 US- EIA Crude
23:50 JP- GDP
8-Dec Thu
02:00 CN- Trade
12:45 EZ- ECB Policy Decision
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
9-Dec Fri
02:00 CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


Trading Themes--
  • Markets traded Monday in the shadow of the defeat of PM Renzi's Constitutional Referendum. Today, he announced he would resign after the vote was a resounding "NO". It was defeated by a 59% to 41% margin. Trade in EURUSD saw an unwinding of EUR shorts vs. the USD and on its crosses. This "de-risking process" should run its course fairly soon.

  • The U.S. November employment data on Friday was a mixed bag. The 178K increase in Jobs was in line with street estimates, but was nothing to write home about. The surprising fall in the unemployment rate to 4.60% from 4.90% was due mainly to another decline in the Labor Participation Rate and the -0.1% fall in Average Hourly Earnings was a big disappointment.

  • I see no chance the data will change Fed intentions to raise rates on December 14. Monthly Job statistics and inflation are the two top items on which the FOMC monetary bases its policy decisions. Markets are running 100% odds on a 25bp Fed Funds target increase.

  • The U.S. Presidential vote recount is an ongoing uncertainty. U.S. Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with Clinton help, is supporting recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Odds in favor a reversal of the Trump victory are very slim.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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