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Kl Fs  21:55:42 GMT - 12/14/2016  
Not bad at all! Better than John's COT report ;)


Kl Fs 13:29 GMT December 12, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Monday 12 December 2016: Reply
Most brokers' client sentiment positioning is long gold. This will make it hard for gold to go up and risk the downside stop loss hunt


dc CB  21:05:28 GMT - 12/12/2016  
the Morlocks...little did he know

The Time Machine v1960



london red  20:52:18 GMT - 12/12/2016  
CB, the euro is NEVER a good buy, it sometimes counter rallies. I dont need a time machine to tell u its days it its present state r numbered.


dc CB  20:37:24 GMT - 12/12/2016  
I think that's why the USD is down today, not because the EURO is such a good buy. CB teeter-totter playground games that they think no one will ever catch on to...what 8 years running...One gives cover to the other before a "mtng".

bye the bye, NonOPEC agreement bs didn't last even 24 hrs.


london red  20:15:35 GMT - 12/12/2016  
any mention of the usd in the statement (or her comments later) and usd will go dwn as fast as u did on the prom queen at the high school dance. as for stox, u know the drill btfd.
yen not really bounced much off pivot looking heavy and on a collision course with tomorrows tenkan


Mtl JP  20:08:56 GMT - 12/12/2016  
fwiw - from another would-be "In the Circle"er (Greg Robb is a senior reporter for MarketWatch in Washington):
Yellen to tell the markets to ‘cool your jets’

Fed chairwoman will argue economy has more ‘room to run’



dc CB  20:02:23 GMT - 12/12/2016  
Pres.-elect Trump announces Gary Cohn(Pres and COO, Goldman Sachs) as Assistant to the President for Economic Policy and Director of National Economic Council.

LOL Trump's answer to the Russian "rumors", and HRC


Mtl JP  20:01:13 GMT - 12/12/2016  
 
usdcad
things could go "woosh" , i.e. quickly


Mtl JP  19:58:23 GMT - 12/12/2016  
is Boris "In the Circle" ?


GVI Trading john bland  19:53:56 GMT - 12/12/2016  
Boris Schlossberg on CNBC saying Fed is in a panic mode with bond yields rising so fast. He says Janet will want to reassure the markets Wednesday that they not in a policy normalization mode yet. He says one and done on rate hikes.


dc CB  15:11:45 GMT - 12/12/2016  
Genscape Cushing inventory: 68,428,795, +1,129,415 from week ended Dec. 02


haifa ac  14:23:41 GMT - 12/12/2016  
US BONDS are aiming to close their semi- annual chart as a very large OUTSIDE KEY REVERSAL. We did not have such a bar in over 30 years. This may be a HUGE story!


Mtl JP  14:12:57 GMT - 12/12/2016  
CB but Gold is steady
something not working essatly


dc CB  14:10:18 GMT - 12/12/2016  
zerohedge ‏@zerohedge 12m12 minutes ago

10Y -2.75% in Repo ahead of auction


dc CB  14:08:39 GMT - 12/12/2016  
US paper for sale.

Mon 12th



dc CB  14:06:05 GMT - 12/12/2016  
There are 2 US Treas Auction Today
3Y - ending at 11:30
10Y - ending at 1PM

Tom the 30Y - ending at 1PM


london red  13:36:46 GMT - 12/12/2016  
euro. getting 2 way trade ahead of fri high 10630 but stops abv there. may need some italy news to run but plenty looking to fade any bigger spikes if seen. 10660 and 10691-10702 both tempting but wouldnt expect daily close abv 10630 even if those levels seen.


london red  13:33:19 GMT - 12/12/2016  
yen. friday high tapped and bounced, so they are still buying dip. needs to move abv old fib 58/63 on an hourly close to neutralise downside risk. if moves under friday high then 115 option ex today likely to draw. worth a long there by the pivot.


london red  13:30:08 GMT - 12/12/2016  
10y yield. gapped higher overnight, has come back a bit but still well abv last weeks range. i would be v surprised if we dont trade further dwn into last wks range before wk is out. might not happen in nxt 5 mins but likely to happen b4 wk is out. in rare times when do not trade within prev wk range then price sharply moves other way. fed is capable either side but more on that nearer the time.


Kl Fs  13:29:06 GMT - 12/12/2016  
Most brokers' client sentiment positioning is long gold. This will make it hard for gold to go up and risk the downside stop loss hunt


Belgrade Knez  13:19:30 GMT - 12/12/2016  

london red

I appreciate your response and explanation. Thanks a lot.



london red  13:06:37 GMT - 12/12/2016  
more imp knez its what everyone else looks at so makes it self fulfilling. using what others using is the nxt best thing if u dont have regular access to orders and flows.


Belgrade Knez  12:58:38 GMT - 12/12/2016  

london red

thank you very much for your reply.



london red  12:57:05 GMT - 12/12/2016  
knez, daily cloud in this instance miles away abv 110 but all of tenkan kijun and cloud useful. tenkan reacts faster than kijun so can be used for countertrend sup while kijun often caps bigger pullbacks within a trend. cloud top/bottoms often act as sup/res while breaks thru them often work like breaks thru major ma's.


london red  10:00:17 GMT - 12/12/2016  
euro and italians banks bid frm morn on hope of deal. the moment news comes out and euro spikes that will be hod for euro.


Mtl JP  09:56:58 GMT - 12/12/2016  
some ECB trumpets about no fear about higher int rates / italian banking
so players abide

they will probably sell off the euro again, just from higher


Belgrade Knez  09:54:29 GMT - 12/12/2016  

london red

you pay more attention to tenkan than cloud?



london red  09:52:11 GMT - 12/12/2016  
ye. shud see initial sup at broken fib 115.58/63. if cannot hold shud tap frid high pretty quick. below there u hv risk to daily tenkan/10dma and friday low all ahead of 114. would be worth a long there as tenkan has supported trade quite well.


london red  09:16:37 GMT - 12/12/2016  
euro. gaining some sup frm yen. fade 90 stop 10616 shud wrk. shudnt see friday high tested


london red  08:34:03 GMT - 12/12/2016  
yen. hourly candle not traded in prev hour but mnore imp daily candle barely overlaps friday. suggests either 117 today or a retracement. with fed close by and now that barrier done, there arent many stops to run up here and risks a pullback running out weak longs. prev lows are 11590/11613 shud hamper.


GVI Trading john bland  21:38:32 GMT - 12/11/2016  
EURUSD 1.0560
USDJPY 115.39
GBPUSD 1.2574
USDCHF 1.0169


GVI Trading john bland  15:31:16 GMT - 12/11/2016  
Register for the Amazing Trader

1.



GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike on December 14 are +100%.


GVI Forex Blog  13:47:09 GMT - 12/11/2016  

Forex Trading Themes--
  • The U.S. economic calendar is light Monday and Tuesday, but it picks up by mid-week. The U.K. calendar is busy this week. Markets can react as strongly to U.K. data as they do to U.S. reports. British data comes out early in the day and can set the tone for other trading relationships. So these releases should be watched.

  • The Major event of the week ahead is the FOMC policy decision on Wednesday. It is widely anticipated that the central bank will raise the mid-point of its 0.25%-0.50% target range (0.375%) for Fed Funds by 25bps to 0.625%. This change has been repeatedly signaled by Fed speakers, and money market indicators say that decision makers have placed 100% odds on this rate adjustment. In earlier times, markets would not react much when something that was widely expected took place, but we are in the era of news algos today and seemingly they do not know what we know. They just mindlessly react to headlines. So the Fed rate hike could trigger price volatility.

  • More important than the expected rate announcement will be what Fed Chair Yellen will have to say about the expected future course of policy. With the U.S. moving to a more expansive fiscal policy and the economy already showing signs of coming back to life, I expect Chair Yellen to take a less dovish posture on future rate moves. Obviously she has to be cautious about the future, but odds are the tone of her comments will change and they should be USD constructive.

  • ECB President Draghi was playing a semantics game Thursday when he announced a "taper" of its asset purchases to EUR 60b per mo from EUR80b starting in April 2017. Draghi claimed it was not a "taper" but of course it was, and it generated a "taper tantrum" in EURUSD. I took his dovish policy tone as an effort to "soften" the blow to Eurozone markets. Despite his comments, I feel the ECB is unlikely to increase asset purchases again, except under an extreme circumstances.


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
12-Dec Mon
18:00 US 10-yr Auction
13-Dec Tue
09:30 GB- CPI/RPI
14-Dec Wed
09:30 GB- Employment
13:30 US- Retail Sales
13:30 US- PPI
14:15 US- Industrial Production
15:30 US- Crude Oil
18:00 US- FOMC Decision
15-Dec Thu
00:00 All-Day- flash PMIs
00:30 AU- Employment
08:30 CH- SNB Decision
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
12:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
13:30 US- CPI
13:30 US- Current Account
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
16-Dec Fri
10:00 EZ- final HICP
13:30 Housing Starts/Permits

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk On

Forex Trading Themes For Monday 12 December 2016






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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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