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GVI Trading john bland  18:29:02 GMT - 01/13/2017  
Swings in Canadian rig count puts CHF to shame!

GVI Trading john bland  18:27:37 GMT - 01/13/2017  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts

Total (inc gas) U.S.: 659 vs 665 (-6) prev
US (oil): 522 vs. 529 (-7) prev

Canada 315 vs. 205 (+110) prev

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london red  17:37:29 GMT - 01/13/2017  
40/50 res on euro. while below 70 shud drift a bit lower again towards 20. only abv 50 then 70 poss abv 70 a squeeze.
cable getting boosted by dreams of brexit not happening. sell the rallies accordingly. 23rd we have supreme court (may will be speaking ahead on tuesday) which is gov is guaranteed to lose (so bounce) and retail sales up soon (again bounce) but selling a few fig rallies shud work lt.

GVI Trading john bland  17:11:25 GMT - 01/13/2017  
4Q16 GDP forecasts

NY Fed 1.94% vs 1.89% on Jan 6
Atlanta Fed 2.8% vs 2.90% on Jan 10

Source: TTN. com

GVI Trading 16:37:48 GMT - 01/13/2017  
11:28 (UK) PM May's Article 50 plans reportedly might be delayed for months due to Northern Ireland Assembly turmoil - British press

- Prime Min May may face legal challenge if she attempts to trigger Article 50 while the Northern Ireland Assembly is not in session due to snap elections

- The elections are expected to be held within the next eight weeks

- Source

london red  15:53:43 GMT - 01/13/2017  
euro. 40/50 res. if doesnt cap likely to see test of c 107. res frm 10690-10707-1020 shud cap rally but if breaks some stops abv there. mkt not really short euro so shudnt be too severe.

GVI Trading Jay Meisler  15:03:57 GMT - 01/13/2017  
U of M missed but there was a jump in inflation expectations

GVI Trading john bland  15:02:34 GMT - 01/13/2017  
U.S. Business Inventories November 2016
U.S. Data Charts

+0.70% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. -0.20% (r -0.10%) prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  15:01:02 GMT - 01/13/2017  
Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index January, 2017
U.S. Data Charts

98.1 vs. 98.6 exp. vs. 98.2 prev

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment

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london red  14:51:42 GMT - 01/13/2017  
daily kijun 10608 and not far off 50dma. below here can see another sharp drop but ud expect some 2 way first as 3 yards at 106 to go top of hour.

london red  14:22:21 GMT - 01/13/2017  
2.40 on the 10, key

london red  13:51:34 GMT - 01/13/2017  
6 yards of options sub 10650 to 10550 folks. sup 40/20/08 res at 10685 10707 10720

Israel  Dil  13:50:36 GMT - 01/13/2017  
the 'ubër-script' is running, everything including anything to get priced in starting next week.

UK Mick  13:38:29 GMT - 01/13/2017  
wtf reaction to the data?

GVI Trading john bland  13:38:14 GMT - 01/13/2017  
Retail Sales slight headline miss PPI in line...

GVI Trading john bland  13:37:15 GMT - 01/13/2017  
U.S. PPI November 2016
U.S. Data Charts

Headline: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% (r. ) prev.
Core: +0.10% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.40% (r. ) prev.

RELEASE: Producer Price Index

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GVI Trading john bland  13:35:15 GMT - 01/13/2017  
U.S. Advance Retail Sales December 2016
U.S. Data Charts

+0.60% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.10% (r +0.20%)

x-autos & gas: +0.0% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.20% ( R. +0.30)

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GVI Trading john bland  08:51:13 GMT - 01/13/2017  
December 2016 China Trade USDb

- Earlier NEWS --

+40.82 vs. +46.50 exp. vs. +44.66b prev.
Exports (y/y): -6.10% vs. -3.50% exp. vs. -6.7% prev.

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EARLIER China Trade surplus falls. y/y exports fall.

GVI Trading john bland  15:38:20 GMT - 01/12/2017  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts

-151 vs. -150 exp vs. -49 prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  13:31:23 GMT - 01/12/2017  
U.S. Import Prices December 2016

+0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  13:30:52 GMT - 01/12/2017  
US Weekly Jobless Claims

247 vs. 265 exp vs. 235 prev. (r 237)

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GVI Trading john bland  10:01:34 GMT - 01/12/2017  
Old data but it beat expectations.

GVI Trading john bland  10:00:59 GMT - 01/12/2017  
Eurozone Industrial Output November 2016

EZ and German Charts

mm: +1.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.10% (r +0.10%) prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  15:33:46 GMT - 01/11/2017  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: +4.100 vs. +0.600 exp vs. 7.051 prev.
Distillates: +8.400 vs. +0.700 exp vs. +10.651 prev.
Gasoline: +5.000 vs. +1.500 exp vs. +8.307 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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GVI Trading john bland  09:39:24 GMT - 01/11/2017  
Mixed U.K. data. Output improved but the trade gap widened. Classic negative "terms of trade effect" in the trade balances after the GBP weakened substantially.

GVI Trading john bland  09:36:18 GMT - 01/11/2017  
UK Trade November 2016


Total: -12.2 vs. -11.2 exp. vs. -9.7 (r -9.9) prev.
Non-EU: -3.6 vs. -3.0 exp. vs. -1.6 prev (r -2.1)

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GVI Trading john bland  09:34:02 GMT - 01/11/2017  
UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output November 2016


Ind mm: +2.10% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. -1.30% (r -1.10%) prev.
Mfg mm: +1.30% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.90% (r -1.0%) prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  09:06:30 GMT - 01/11/2017  
if they do have such information, its more valuable kept secret!

GVI Trading john bland  09:04:48 GMT - 01/11/2017  
-- We have no compromising information on Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump...


GVI Trading john bland  22:34:54 GMT - 01/10/2017  
CB thanks for the API data... WTI took the data in stride. Modest build in crude

dc CB  21:38:34 GMT - 01/10/2017  
Crude +1.533MM
Gasoline +1.687MM
Distillate +5.484MM
Cushing -187K

GVI Trading john bland  21:01:01 GMT - 01/10/2017  
NASDAQ record high close..

GVI Trading john bland  20:57:13 GMT - 01/10/2017  
Paris Match Survey For French Presidential vote on 23 Apr (round one)
1) Le Pen 26.0%-26.5%
2) Fillion 24.0- 25.0%
3) Macron 17.0%-20.0%

I no one gets 50% in round one, the two top candidates compete in a second round


GVI Trading john bland  15:06:48 GMT - 01/10/2017  
U.S. Wholesale Inventories November 2016
U.S. Data Charts

+1.00% vs. -0.90% exp. vs. -0.90% prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  15:04:37 GMT - 01/10/2017  
U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey November 2016
U.S. Data Charts

mln: 5.520 vs. 5.555 exp. vs. 5.530 prev (r 5.45) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary

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Mtl JP  19:28:07 GMT - 01/09/2017  
CB 17:00 sell up to could also mean one barrel...

Livingston nh  18:31:43 GMT - 01/09/2017  
China FX reserves fell again in Dec (-$320 bio in 2016) and Oil back to challenge below 21dma near $52 after last week's pop above $54 (Iran speed boat challenge met by US warning shots and SPR news) // less than 2 wks if somebody wants to set up outgoing PreZ and challenge new PreZ -- in 1981 Iran played Chicken w/ Carter and Pres-elect Reagan

dc CB  17:00:39 GMT - 01/09/2017  
U.S. Energy Department to sell up to 8 million barrels from Strategic Petroleum Reserve - MarketWatch

Prob bought when crude was near $100... hey it's only tax dollars.

dc CB  16:54:25 GMT - 01/09/2017  
3 US Auctions this week: Tue - thurs. 3, 10, 30Y.

SToX: earnings start this week. Fri Big Bank day: Bank of America (BAC), JP Morgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), PNC (PNC), Black Rock (BLK)

london red  16:29:06 GMT - 01/09/2017  
no prob Jay. and remember sterling is likely to see parity vs usd and euro. so continue selling the rallies. take care around end march art 50 as its likely to be another better to travel than arrive moment. it will be short lived but the rally will catch out a few.

Mtl JP  16:04:24 GMT - 01/09/2017  
U.S. Energy Department to sell up to 8 million barrels from Strategic Petroleum Reserve - MarketWatch

GVI Trading john bland  15:34:19 GMT - 01/09/2017  
No details on the SPR story. Not much traction in WTI.

GVI Trading john bland  15:32:03 GMT - 01/09/2017  
Reports DOE planning crude sale from strategic reserve (SPR).


Livingston nh  14:07:48 GMT - 01/09/2017  
Seems that markets are shaping up a bit like last two years DEC/JAN -- uncertainty is creeping in, does CHAOS follow?

STOX are usually sensitive to change but geopolitical change favors FX first -- bonds and commodities to follow

Too Much Complacency

GVI Trading john bland  13:55:06 GMT - 01/09/2017  
Fed's Rosengren
-- gradual but somewhat more regular rate hikes warranted
-- we are basically at full-employment now

>> wire service

GVI Trading Jay Meisler  11:20:24 GMT - 01/09/2017  
Thanks to red fo alerting us on Friday to May's w/e interview

LONDON SFH  10:43:41 GMT - 01/09/2017  

Reminds me of that Oasis Album title.... Definitely maybe....defintiive....but she said nothign is ruled in our out...Doesn't sound very definite to me

Mtl JP  10:04:40 GMT - 01/09/2017  
Theresa May Says Britain Will Make Definitive Break With EU - wsj

Brexit strategy isn’t ‘muddled,’ British prime minister says

Mtl JP  09:59:24 GMT - 01/09/2017  
Powell - January 7, 2017
... "the bottom line is that

there has not been an excessive buildup of leverage, maturity transformation, or broadly unsustainable asset prices. ... the areas where there are signs of excess are isolated."...

GVI Trading john bland  22:00:51 GMT - 01/08/2017  
Fed's Powell
-- Volcker rule not efficient
-- Congress should take another look at it
-- Causes expense, burden and marginal benefit

--wire service

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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