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GVI Trading john bland  18:17:50 GMT - 01/21/2017  
Saudi Oil Minister
-- OPeC cut compliance very good
-- non-OPEC cut about 80% of pledged

>> wire service

GVI Trading john bland  18:20:31 GMT - 01/20/2017  
Feds Williams
-- need to start pulling back stimulus only gradulally

GVI Trading john bland  18:08:46 GMT - 01/20/2017  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts

Total (inc gas) U.S.: 694 vs 659 (+35) prev
US (oil): 551 vs. 522 (+29) prev

Canada vs. 315 () prev

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GVI Trading john bland  13:35:27 GMT - 01/20/2017  
Mixed Canadian data

GVI Trading john bland  13:34:00 GMT - 01/20/2017  
BREAKING NEWS: Canada: CPI (December) Retail Sales (November) 2016
Canada Charts

Bank of Canada Core
yy:+2.00% vs. +1.90% exp. vs. +1.80% prev.
mm: -0.20% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.40% prev.
yy: +1.50% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.

Retail Sales
Headline: +0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. +1.10% (r +1.20%)prev.
X-Autos: +0.20% vs. -0.40% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  09:32:39 GMT - 01/20/2017  
U.K. retail sales miss. GBPUSD weakens.

GVI Trading john bland  09:31:40 GMT - 01/20/2017  
U.K. Retail Sales December 2016
U.K. Charts


mm: -1.90% v +0.10% exp. vs. +0.20% (r -0.10%) prev.
x-fuel & autos
mm: -2.0% v -0.40% exp. vs. +0.50% (r +0.20%) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales

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GVI Trading john bland  08:44:23 GMT - 01/20/2017  
China GDP 4Q16yy

+6.80% vs. +6.70% exp. vs. +6.70% prev.

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EARLIER: 4Q16 China GDP beats with street estimates.

dc CB  02:21:27 GMT - 01/20/2017  
how can you tell??? When it's on your TeeeVeee and your iPhone, and your Android, and your your your your.

the first one to Sell wins??? OR the last one to Buy wins?

Police, Protesters Clash At Anti-Trump Rally In DC - Live Feed

dc CB  02:08:57 GMT - 01/20/2017  
we've got a special on OXY
Yellen Yellow

ON Youtube

dc CB  02:07:28 GMT - 01/20/2017  
Special Event with Janet Yellen
Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR)

583 watching now

Oxy is good for "pain in the knees"
here's a script for 100.
practice the Dip and come back next week.

dc CB  01:29:42 GMT - 01/20/2017  
"the course of monetary policy over the next few years will depend on many different factors, of which fiscal policy is just one."

PS: Fly-on-the-Wall fantasy --- Yellen's first meeting in the Oval.
slap a mini GoPro cam in there and the stock would to thru the roof...almost back to its post IPO hi - $90

dc CB  01:21:39 GMT - 01/20/2017  
Yellen - "the pace of labor market improvement has slowed appreciably in the past couple of years"

first try...knees hurt...OOOOOOOObama

dc CB  01:18:18 GMT - 01/20/2017  
"Barring major swings in value of the dollar, inflation is likely to move up to 2 percent over the next couple of years" - Yellen

Yellen's last nite out, after this she'll be busy learning ... the dip... oh my aching bones.

GVI Trading 01:12:27 GMT - 01/20/2017  
00:00 (US) Fed Chair Yellen: sees inflation to rise to 2% over next couple of years; monetary policy stance remains modestly accommodative
- Prudent to adjust stance of monetary policy gradually
- Risky to allow US economy persistently hot
- Labor utilization close to estimated long-run level
- Expects further strengthening of labor market in upcoming months
- Unlikely to see surge in inflation from overheating job market
- Expects downward pressure of Fed balance sheet on rates to decline
- Policy may affect outlook and rate path but remains uncertain Related ( USFED )
- Source

GVI Trading john bland  16:19:29 GMT - 01/19/2017  
BIg build in the oil complex.

GVI Trading john bland  16:01:47 GMT - 01/19/2017  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: +2.200 vs. -1.000 exp vs. 4.100 prev.
Distillates: -1.000 vs. +0.900 exp vs. +8.350 prev.
Gasoline: +6.000 vs. +2.350 exp vs. +5.020 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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GVI Trading john bland  15:34:34 GMT - 01/19/2017  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts

-243 vs. -230 exp vs. -151 prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  13:35:33 GMT - 01/19/2017  
U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) December 2016

Starts: 1.226 vs. 1.200 exp. vs. 1.090 (r 1.102) prev.
Permits: 1.210 vs. 1.220 exp. vs. 1.200 (r 1.212)prev.

New Residential Construction

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GVI Trading john bland  13:32:51 GMT - 01/19/2017  
U.S. Philly Fed Index January 2017
U.S. Data Charts


+23.6 vs. +16.10 exp. vs. +21.80 prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  13:31:29 GMT - 01/19/2017  
US Weekly Jobless Claims

234 vs. 252 exp vs. 247 prev.(r 249)

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PAR 13:00:39 GMT - 01/19/2017  
It is not tapering as in 2017 the ECB purchases more zombie bonds than planned . Imho ECB will do the same in 2018 . ECB is addicted to bond buying because if you stop your Ponzi scheme collapses .

GVI Trading john bland  12:51:45 GMT - 01/19/2017  
ECB reiterates that the April "tapering" of bond purchases to 60bln/mo from 80bln/mo is not a "tapering". Draw your own conclusions.

GVI Trading john bland  12:46:13 GMT - 01/19/2017  
No changes from ECB as expected.

GVI Trading john bland  12:45:15 GMT - 01/19/2017  
European Central Bank (ECB) January 2017


Refi Rate Steady at 0.00%
Marginal Lending Rate steady at 0.25%
Deposit Rate steady At -0.40%

Asset Purchases (QE) per mo unchanged at 80bn

Press Release: ECB Decision

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GVI Trading john bland  09:14:50 GMT - 01/19/2017  
Australia Employment December 2016

Employment: +13.5K vs. +10.0K exp. vs. +39.1K (r +37.1K) prev.
Rate: 5.80% vs. 5.70% exp. vs. 5.70% prev.

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EARLIER: December Employment data improved by about as expected. Full time jobs up by 9.3K. The unemplyment rate was driven up by an higher labor participation rate.

Australia Employment data chart

dc CB  03:28:22 GMT - 01/19/2017  
GVI Trading john bland 21:21 GMT
Yellen sounding surprisingly defensive...

The Upshot
Donald Trump and Janet Yellen Look to Be on a Collision Course

What people in the Trump orbit may view as a desirable boom could look to the Fed as overheating, and prompt interest rate increases.


GVI Trading john bland  21:24:48 GMT - 01/18/2017  
fwiw odds on one Fed rate hike by mid-year up to 102% today from 92% yesterday. The direction of change is more important than the magnitude inho.

USD supportive.

GVI Trading john bland  21:21:23 GMT - 01/18/2017  
Yellen sounding surprisingly defensive...

GVI Trading john bland  21:17:47 GMT - 01/18/2017  
-- Fed non-partisan. Structure prevents political influence
-- dramatic rate hikes not necessary for neutrality
-- promises to make objective decisions even with imperfect data
-- Fed pays attention to USD in forecasts
-- drag from net exports likely to continue
-- interest rate movements could impact stock prices
-- Banking concentration since crisis adverse development

GVI Trading john bland  19:07:50 GMT - 01/18/2017  
Even Fed does not like a strong USD.

GVI Trading john bland  19:06:55 GMT - 01/18/2017  
U.S. Fed Beige Book
U.S. Data Charts

Economy contiued to expand at modest pace. Modest upward pressure on prices. Strong USD headwind for manufacturers.

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GVI Trading john bland  17:11:23 GMT - 01/18/2017  
BOC Poloz
-- Stronger USD poses headwinds for Canada
-- Updated forecast more conditional than usual
-- Rate cut an option should downside risks prevail
-- End of commodity sector slump source of optimism

>> wire service

GVI Trading john bland  15:02:21 GMT - 01/18/2017  
January 2017 Bank of Canada Policy Decision

target unchanged at 0.50%

RELEASE: Bank of Canada

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GVI Trading john bland  15:01:11 GMT - 01/18/2017  
U.S. NAHB Index January 2017
U.S. Data Charts

67 vs. 69 exp. vs. 70 (r) prev.


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GVI Trading john bland  14:16:45 GMT - 01/18/2017  
Production a wash after revisions

GVI Trading john bland  14:16:13 GMT - 01/18/2017  
U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization
December 2016
U.S. Data Charts

Ind Production: +0.80% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. -0.40% (r -0.70%) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 75.5% vs. 75.50% exp. vs. 75.00% (r ) prev.

RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization

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GVI Trading john bland  13:32:37 GMT - 01/18/2017  
CPI mostly in line.

GVI Trading john bland  13:32:05 GMT - 01/18/2017  
U.S. CPI December 2016
U.S. Data Charts

m/m: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. v +0.20% pre
y/y: +2.10% vs. +2.10% exp. v +1.70% pre
y/y: 2.20% vs. +2.10% exp. v +2.10% pre

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index

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GVI Trading john bland  10:03:53 GMT - 01/18/2017  
EZ final December 2016 HICP (CPI) unrevised.

final Eurozone HICP Chart

GVI Trading john bland  10:00:26 GMT - 01/18/2017  
Eurozone Final HICP (CPI) December 2016

yy: +1.10% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.10% prev.
yy: +0.90% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  09:32:01 GMT - 01/18/2017  
U.K. Employment November/December 2016


Claimant Count (000): -10.1 vs. +5.0 exp. vs. +2.4 (r +1.30%)prev.
ILO Rate: 4.80% vs. 4.80% exp. vs. 4.80% prev.
earnings: 2.80% vs. 2.60% exp. vs. 2.50% (r +2.60%) prev.
earnings x-bonus: 2.70% vs. 2.60% exp. vs. 2.60% (r) prev.

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Israel  Dil  15:39:02 GMT - 01/17/2017  

Entry: Target: Stop: FREE
1.0710 - half
1.0702 - full

closed @ 1.0694

target tree has 1000 pips, the pocket grown by 1.5% (15/1000 pips)... just keep doing what makes profits for you ;-)

Israel  Dil  14:41:06 GMT - 01/17/2017  
Singapore SGFxTrader 14:34 GMT January 17, 2017

two hours from now... let's see ;-)

Israel  Dil  14:36:35 GMT - 01/17/2017  
click 'new chart' and paint something that show stronger USD ;-)

Israel  Dil  14:35:05 GMT - 01/17/2017  
add also the whole way down....

roadmap to the downside: 1 05550/1.0250/0.9950/0.9650..

Singapore SGFxTrader  14:34:26 GMT - 01/17/2017  
Mate, becareful, i am seeing 1.085 on my chart. These will take days - weeks.

Israel Dil 14:32 GMT 01/17/2017

Israel  Dil  14:32:10 GMT - 01/17/2017  

Entry: 1.0710 / add every 8 pips Target: Stop: 1.08xx
large to very large chunks

Israel  Dil  14:10:28 GMT - 01/17/2017  
getting below yesterday's low is today's target

Israel  Dil  14:01:04 GMT - 01/17/2017  

Entry: Target: under 0.97 Stop: 1.08xx
Q1/2017 EUR/USD dive about to start...

GVI Trading john bland  13:49:21 GMT - 01/17/2017  
Fed's Dudley
-- risk of much tighter policy quite low
-- inflation not a problem
-- strong USD will constrain inflation

Source: wire service

Livingston nh  13:36:51 GMT - 01/17/2017  
John - PM MAY just put the weight on the EU -- best practice, she didn't bid against herself

GVI Trading john bland  13:32:48 GMT - 01/17/2017  
Empire PMI January 2017
U.S. Data Charts

+6.50 vs. +8.00 vs. +9.00 prev.

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Mtl JP  12:38:41 GMT - 01/17/2017  
11:51 // lots of good intentions

GVI Trading john bland  12:33:46 GMT - 01/17/2017  
Speech over

this was a clean break speech

london red  12:04:08 GMT - 01/17/2017  
cable approaching res at 12285 is taken 12355. sup 12235

GVI Trading john bland  11:51:58 GMT - 01/17/2017  
PM May
-- Wants UK to be an outward looking country
-- In UK interests for EU to succeed
-- UK does not want to be half in and half out of the EU
-- Final deal will be voted on by Parliament
-- Will protect the rights of foreign workers in Britain
-- Want no role of European Court of Justice in Britain
-- No part in the EU budget, except for special programmes
-- Want new EU agreements in place by end of 2-yr article 50 period
-- No deal with the EU is better than a bad deal

london red  11:21:44 GMT - 01/17/2017  
much has been leaked, it will almost certainly be better to travel than arrive-dips will be bought. this on back on overall usd weakness lrgly in part to trump comments overnight. yen has sup by 112 where expected to bounce. there will be stops below there and likely a fast mkt if beaten, but that would then suggest we reach a low by 110.
euro fib at 10707 coming up. nxt res by 10787/108/10820/10850. sup by 10635/85.
cable res 12207/22/35/85. sup 12120/12085/12035

GVI Trading 11:16:59 GMT - 01/17/2017  
06:15 (UK) Reminder: PM May to give Brexit speech; expected to begin at 06:45 ET (11:45 GMT)
- PM May to announce a 12-point plan for Brexit
- To state that leaving EU's single market and customs union was among the 12 negotiating priorities
- Britain would not seek deal that leaves it "half-in, half-out" of EU

- Source

GVI Trading john bland  10:04:43 GMT - 01/17/2017  
ZEW Improves, but mixed vs. expectations.

GVI Trading john bland  10:02:02 GMT - 01/17/2017  
German ZEW Survey January 2017


Current Situation: +77.3 vs. +65.0 exp. vs. +63.5 prev.

Economic Expectations: +16.6 vs. +18.08 exp. vs. +13.8 prev.

RELEASE: German ZEW Survey

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GVI Trading john bland  09:33:30 GMT - 01/17/2017  
UK inflation data hotter than expected.

GVI Trading john bland  09:31:20 GMT - 01/17/2017  
U.K. CPI December 2016
U.K. Charts


CPI m/m: +0.50% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
CPI y/y: +1.60% vs. +1.40% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  08:44:54 GMT - 01/17/2017  
PM May speech Tuesday @ 11:45 GMT (06:45 ET)

GVI Trading john bland  22:10:04 GMT - 01/16/2017  
PM May speech Tuesday @ 11:45 GMT (06:45 ET)

Mtl JP  21:45:58 GMT - 01/16/2017  
... in coming years... hehe love the rockstar's visual acuity

GVI Trading john bland  19:19:03 GMT - 01/16/2017  
BOE's Carney
-- sees growth slower than average in coming years
-- UK growth consumption led

--wire service

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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