bund gap is filed, 3erd time in 2 year chart. gold support ,
nw kw 23:43:35 GMT - 04/16/2017
30y not as fast 10y, housing supported market / toasted speculators?
dc CB 22:21:53 GMT - 04/16/2017
Since their peak 'shortedness' in mid-January, US Treasury bond bears have covered 500,000 10-year-equivalent contracts, reducing the net speculative short to its lowest since before Thanksgiving 2016.
At the same time, however, Eurodollar shorts (bets on Fed rate hikes) have soared to a new record high (over $3.2 trillion notional).
both the absolute level of Treasury yields and the short-term eurodollar curve (bets on The Fed's path in the next 18 months) are losing their faith in Trumpflation and Janet Yellen.
Deutsche Bank now sees the balance of risks as tilted toward still lower yields across the curve in the near term. Last week we revised our forecasts to reflect a near term dip in 10y yields toward 2%, with yields ending the current quarter at 2.25% and climbing to 2.75% by the end of 2017.
“North Korea and Syria were the straw that broke the camel’s back, but now we have a new range,” said Glen Capelo, a trader at Mischler Financial. He pegs it at about 2.05 percent to 2.4 percent for the 10-year yield, after it’d been stuck between 2.3 percent and 2.65 percent.
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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