AT Amazing Trader john bland 14:13:29 GMT - 01/05/2018
two strong cad employment reports in a row increase odds of an early BOC rate hike.
Mtl JP 14:01:26 GMT - 01/05/2018
odds are 1.25 to 1.2370-ish massive cad$ strengthening giving exports-crazed poloz a migrane. dont be surprized if he or some of his gang's proxy comes out soon with "on the other hand" pi$$ing on the hot cad$
london red 13:59:05 GMT - 01/05/2018
euro tracking the 10. sup from options by 120/12010. if goes below there may not come back today. would need to look to 11960 11885. while abv 120 still chance to do 121 barrier otherwise for another day.
london red 13:44:44 GMT - 01/05/2018
maybe all the bad hombres making a run for it from the US ;)
yen 11280-85 needs to hold
Livingston nh 13:42:07 GMT - 01/05/2018
Where is Canada getting all these "new" workers?
Impressive Q4
AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:37:17 GMT - 01/05/2018
U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade November 2017
NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -7.400 vs. -5.300 exp vs. -4.600 prev.
Distillates: +8.900 vs. +1.000 exp vs. +1.100 prev.
Gasoline: +4.800 vs. +1.900 exp vs. +0.600 prev.
jp - a transparent Fed would release Transcripts instead of Minutes - Powell is not a True Believer, he is a trained "what answer do you want" - the balance sheet "reduction" is a big deal, the Fed has gone from all short term to all long term holdings, and it has chosen to raise interest rates BEFORE testing market response to balance sheet adjustment
Williams and his unknowable Neutral Rate pose a test for Powell and the new BoG
Mtl JP 20:27:57 GMT - 01/03/2018
Livingston nh - " Doves are gone"
current crew:
Janet Yellen - confused dove about to ride off onto the garbage heap of history.
Good riddance.
Waiting in the shadow is replacement lawyer and long time deepstate insider Jerome Powell
He is the chicken coop's new ruling rooster: he is supposed to continue - steady as she goes pre-annointed course - liquidating the Fed’s $4.5 trillion balance sheet of garbage.
And keep raising interest rates.
The rest of the crew is just semblance of colective wisdom and expertise smokescreen in the kabuki theater:
Randal Quarles - complete idiot re cryptocurrencies but at least he claims to wants the FED to be more transparent (haha)
Lael Brainard - "My own view is that we should be cautious about tightening policy further until we are..." duh
Bill Dudley - the Dud - is also riding off onto garbage heap of history but only around mid-2018... just in case Powell should go wonki
Kaplan and Harker can be considered "hawk"-ish
chickensh!ts Kashkari and Evans: certified doves
(never seen any worthwhile price moves anytime Kashkari yakked)
2018 voter Mester is definitely a hawk
Bostic... appears clue-less
-----------------------------
Bottom Line
- higher inflation is-a-coming OR
- deflationary collapse if Powell doesn’t continue QE in one shape or another with all associated consequences of banks going tits up, bail-ins, stox and bonds go down the sh!t shaft etc etc
Livingston nh 20:07:38 GMT - 01/03/2018
FOMC voiced yield curve "concern" , it just hit 50 2/10 spread // 4hr charts (dangerous) show a different story from daily on Cable, EUR and CAD
SPX (15 min) went MACD crossover (neg) so watch the FI mkt for 2% 2 yr effect as market seems to be pricing a March hike
AT Amazing Trader john bland 19:11:32 GMT - 01/03/2018
FOMC still sounding pretty dovish to me...
AT Amazing Trader john bland 19:09:15 GMT - 01/03/2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. December 13, 2017 Fed Policy Minutes
(US) Atlanta Fed raises Q4 GDP estimate to 3.2% from 2.8% on Dec 22nd - Source TradeTheNews.com
PAR15:03:59 GMT - 01/03/2018
Amazingly strong US economic numbers boost US stock markets to unseen levels .
Question is how many new all time record high closes will
we see this year ?
Livingston nh 15:03:15 GMT - 01/03/2018
ISM- "The Prices Index registered 69 percent in December, a 3.5 percentage point increase from the November reading of 65.5 percent, indicating higher raw materials prices for the 22nd consecutive month."
Risk is FOMC Minutes as Market gets it wrong -- Doves are gone
AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:01:46 GMT - 01/03/2018
big beat in Mfg PMI litte reaction in FX.
AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:01:01 GMT - 01/03/2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI December 2017
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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