We know that we are ..
but we don’t know precisely where we are—i.e., we don’t know exactly...
...though it is clear that we are ...
squinting and doing calculations to try to figure that out...
we won’t get it precisely right...
but we hope to get it as by-and-large right as we have in past times...
PAR 09:06 - not what I asked ...
but re "loose huge amounts of money"
note: learning a lesson is directly proportional to the degree of pain.
and nothing to do with elevating intellect to genius level
PAR09:06:34 GMT - 02/09/2018
Dalio only uses models and lots of inside info from ECB , IMF worldbank .
I read his book Principles and it reminded me of. The art of the deal.
He made tremendous amounts of money and that seems to make him a genius. Before managing money for the IMF and the Worlbank he also managed to loose huge amounts of money .
Mtl JP 08:48:04 GMT - 02/09/2018
Ray Dalio is famous for a bunch of reasons , not least of which is his concept of radical truth and radical transparency. Now there is talk of folks asking if Bridgewater's "risk-parity" investing tactic (Summit) is to blame for the volatility.
Catching up here so I'll put a couple of comments together
1. Musk is a showman (better than Bezos who is really good) but like any good showman (Magicians?) he deflects the reality -- when he had trouble here he offered to "save" Australia w/ a GIANT battery // TSLA can't be worth 650 bio because the competitors will grind him down -- maybe he gets bought but there is no new technology in his operation and he hasn't mastered PRODUCTION
2. Re: 2 yr yield - market sees a slower FED - keep in mind the BLITZ of last MARCH -- market sees what it wants and the opportunity is when it is WRONG
3. "an ever declining dollar" - currency is related to inflation not GDP - no CB targets GDP // a strong economy will pull imports which theory says will weaken currency (see gold standard) BUT post Bretton Woods demise it's different
4. Climate Change (aka Global Warming) - winner of the Golden Acorn awarded by the Chicken Little Institute of Dubious Science multiple years -- people that don't understand this silliness voted for "guess WHO?"
Mtl JP 20:58:45 GMT - 01/23/2018
One of a king ballzy
PALO ALTO, Calif., Jan. 23, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Tesla today announced a new 10-year CEO performance award for Elon Musk with vesting entirely contingent on achieving market cap and operational milestones that would make Tesla one of the most valuable companies in the world. In order to fully vest, Tesla's market cap would have to grow to $650 billion (an increase of almost $600 billion), and important revenue and profitability goals would also have to be achieved. ../.
"The 2-year note yield TMUBMUSD02Y, -0.80% was down 3.1 basis points to 2.042%, the largest one-day yield decline since Dec. 13. That snapped a 14-day streak of yields gain."
Livingston nh 17:47:18 GMT - 01/23/2018
jp - RATES RATES RATES -- we'll see in 15 min what the 2yr thinks about the FED
Mtl JP 17:44:59 GMT - 01/23/2018
Dallio : “You can’t have a significant rise in interest rates without knocking over the whole asset markets,” ... the Fed will need to figure out the optimal level for real interest rates.
His is the allegedly current biggest HFund ya ?
Livingston nh 17:37:08 GMT - 01/23/2018
par - this what dalio was saying 2 weeks ago
"The problem is that with interest rates and risk premia near all-time lows and debt and asset values near all-time highs, there's little fuel to repeat the process. Just as the Fed can't cut rates much, it can't raise them much either, or debt servicing would swamp cash flow and asset prices would sink. Thus Mr. Dalio sees years of low interest rates, and while he thinks stocks are fairly valued, returns to a typical stock-bond portfolio over the next decade will be around zero after inflation and taxes. Whatever you need to retire, save it now: Don't count on portfolio returns."
AND now we are in a sweet spot? watch what they do and not what they say
PAR17:05:59 GMT - 01/23/2018
Dalio. Thats the man who manages money fr the IMF , the World. Bank and advises Draghi . He has plenty of inside
Mtl JP 16:45:38 GMT - 01/23/2018
‘If you’re holding cash, you’re going to feel pretty stupid.’
according to Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates founder
AT Amazing Trader john bland 11:53:00 GMT - 01/23/2018
This is what happens when an industry becomes an oligopoly. Just about every industry is controlled now by 3-4 firms.
Mtl JP 11:46:20 GMT - 01/23/2018
is a BoA a buy ?
American banks continue to phase out free checking accounts
come on, Trump is a genius or ultra lucky, maybe both. the job losses due from Amazon GO launch may find a new job thanks to that "free" trade protectionism policies.
why not look on both sides with awareness, the way workers treated in the Chinese factories making solar cells and washing machines are also not truly a practice of free trade.
dc CB 23:20:14 GMT - 01/22/2018
Stock market ends at record LOL
Trump beat the Democrats with a silly stick and Won. LOL
Is there any doubt that the Democratic Party will be blamed for the government shutdown brought on by the DACA showdown? They insisted on a DACA deal that would have enabled everybody-and-his-uncle in a DACA person’s family to migrate to this country, a formula known as chain migration. Did they really believe that would go over? Or is it just more identity politics posturing?
I’m not the first observer to point out that it looks like the Democratic Party puts the interests of non-citizens above everybody else in the country. That’s what will be remembered about this gambit at the polls in November. It also looks like an engineered misdirection away from the more ominous fast-developing story about political corruption at the highest level of the Justice Department and its subsidiary, the FBI.
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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