The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one 25bp rate hike on March 21, 2018 are 90% (88%).
John - that 90% for a March hike -- sometimes (Volcker?) the outgoing guy on a handover cuts the new guy some slack if a hike is warranted - G'span didn't flinch and Bernanke kept the 1/4 point moves
AT Amazing Trader john bland 22:14:50 GMT - 01/25/2018
nh- interesting point. For some stupid reason we are now locked in on quarterly opportunities to change rates. I've heard a number of times that all meetings are live. So far they all have been dead!
They should change rates at an off date meeting when it doesn't matter much. You don't want to change rates at an off meeting date the first time amid a lot of drama.
Livingston nh 22:20:16 GMT - 01/25/2018
John - Draghi was boxed in today because of this quarterly crap - his staff report is in March when they get projections * DOTS in US
These guys are clueless bureacrats awaiting confirmation by the Minions
Dillon AL 00:17:28 GMT - 01/26/2018
nh remember the days when Corps would turn to Arthur Andersen for a report (probably IBM is the equivalent today) .....Same deal someone to blame
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