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GVI Trader john  18:06:48 GMT - 02/02/2018  

Baker Hughes Rig Count

Total: 946 vs. 947 (-1) prev.
Oil: 765 vs. 759 (+6) prev.

Total 342 vs. 338 (+4)

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GVI 16:37:34 GMT - 02/02/2018  
New York Fed Nowcast: raises Q1 GDP to 3.2% from 3.1% on 1/26
- Source

GVI Trader john  15:02:38 GMT - 02/02/2018  
Both figures beat....

GVI Trader john  15:00:50 GMT - 02/02/2018  
BREAKING NEWS: University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final January 2018

95.7 vs. 95.0 exp. vs. 94.4 preliminary

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment

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Factory Orders December 2017
U.S. Data Charts

+1.70% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.30% (r +1.70%)prev. rev.

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Mtl JP  13:41:16 GMT - 02/02/2018  
would be good time for some nega-drivel from some ECB "source"

london red  13:36:03 GMT - 02/02/2018  
stops below yest low at risk on hourly close under 12475. had been some talk that ahe would be underreported today so 0.3% a v good print.

GVI Trader john  13:34:38 GMT - 02/02/2018  
on balance after revisions data beat the street

GVI Trader john  13:33:37 GMT - 02/02/2018  
U.S. Employment January 2018


NFP Jobs:
+200K vs. +183K exp. vs. +148K (r +160K ) prev.
Rate: 4.10% vs. 4.10% exp. vs. 4.10% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.40%) prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary

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GVI Trader john  13:31:56 GMT - 02/02/2018  
ahe +0.30%
rate 4.10%

GVI Trader john  10:00:42 GMT - 02/02/2018  
Eurozone PPI January 2018

mm: 0.20% vs. 0.30% exp. vs. 0.40% (r ) prev.

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GVI Trader john  09:30:20 GMT - 02/02/2018  
Construction PMI January 2018


50.2 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 52.2 prev.

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Mtl JP  17:26:31 GMT - 02/01/2018  
in the meantime BTC still struggling to close
the GAP

Mtl JP  17:15:12 GMT - 02/01/2018  
Long run
When we are all dead
srce.: The Economist

GVI 17:15:02 GMT - 02/01/2018  
below ECB's Nowotny (hawk)

GVI Trader Jay Meisler  17:04:21 GMT - 02/01/2018  
EURUSD pops on this:

- Halting asset purchase program will bring a rise to long-term interest rates
- ECB will decide on the future of the asset purchase program by Sept

- Source

Mtl JP  16:56:39 GMT - 02/01/2018  
john 16:12 just a routine maintenance by the cretins to appear folksy friendly and mislead you into giving them your trust as they try to peddle their warm n fuzzy feeling.

Reminder of whose poisonous heart is behind the sugared lipstick:

Mtl JP 12:41 GMT January 29, 2018
How You Can Trade With Inside Information: Reply
Maintaining price stability with unconventional monetary policy

Speech by Peter Praet, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, at the Council of the European Union, Brussels, 29 January 2018

... "we have expressed our intention to continue with our chosen pace of monthly purchases until we see “a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation consistent with our inflation aim”

Our assessment will be based on three criteria for the inflation outlook: convergence, confidence and resilience." ...

PAR 16:27:14 GMT - 02/01/2018  
European interest rates are just too surrealistic low and Draghi s is no longer mentally fit to run the ECB .

Mtl JP  16:23:32 GMT - 02/01/2018  
ECB officials are obviously anti USA ZEUS 15:18 GMT May 27, 2010
EUR/USD Day: Reply
It is crazy volatility which is great for traders. Blast up, blast down, blast all around. Trading is a blast!

Mtl JP  16:13:51 GMT - 02/01/2018  
and nh wants a pony

GVI 16:12:49 GMT - 02/01/2018  
ECB officials reportedly would like clearer interest rate guidance on concerns that vague language will increase market volatility - press

- Source

GVI Trader john  15:30:56 GMT - 02/01/2018  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts

(BCF) -99 vs: -100 expected

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GVI Trader john  15:02:14 GMT - 02/01/2018  
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI January 2018
U.S. Data Charts


59.1 vs. 59.0 exp. vs. 59.7 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI

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GVI Trader john  14:45:18 GMT - 02/01/2018  

55.5 vs. 55.5 exp. vs. 55.5 prev.

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GVI Trader john  14:31:06 GMT - 02/01/2018  
Canada Markit Mfg PMI January 2018

55.9 vs. n/a exp. vs. 54.7 prev.

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GVI Trader john  13:31:58 GMT - 02/01/2018  
US Weekly Jobless Claims


230K vs. 235K exp vs. 233K (r. 231K) prev.

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U.S. Productivity 4Q17

-0.10% vs. +1.30% exp. vs. +3.00% prev. r. +2.70%

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GVI Trader john  09:30:19 GMT - 02/01/2018  
GB Manufacturing PMI January 2018
U.K. Charts


55.3 vs. 56.6 exp. vs. 56.3 (r 56.2) prev.

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GVI Trader john  09:00:19 GMT - 02/01/2018  
EZ Final Manufacturing PMIs January 2018

mfg: 59.6 vs. 59.6 exp. vs. 59.6 flash
mfg: 61.1 vs. 61.2 exp. vs. 61.2
mfg 58.4 vs. 58.1 exp. vs. 58.1

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trader john  08:41:42 GMT - 02/01/2018  
China, Japan, Switzerland PMIs January 2018
54.8 vs. 54.4 exp. vs. 54.4 prev.
Japan PMI Chart

65.3 vs. n/a vs. 65.2 prev.
Switzerland PMI Chart

Caixin- 51.3 vs. 51.3 exp vs. 51.5 prev.
China Caxin PMI Chart

GVI Trader john  22:12:56 GMT - 01/31/2018  
Australia: Mfg PMI
55.4 vs. n/a exp. vs. 57.1 prev.
Australian December 2017 PMI weakens.

Mtl JP  19:26:23 GMT - 01/31/2018  
all those words in janet gang's drivel summed up by Mark DeCambre (marketwatch) as "tepidly hawkish stance"

Israel Dil  19:26:02 GMT - 01/31/2018  
in trader's dictionary the fed statement comes as BUY BUY BUY commodities


GVI Trader john  19:11:36 GMT - 01/31/2018  
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
For release at 2:00 p.m. EST

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a solid rate. Gains in employment, household spending, and business fixed investment have been solid, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy have continued to run below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation have increased in recent months but remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that, with further gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market conditions will remain strong. Inflation on a 12‑month basis is expected to move up this year and to stabilize around the Committee's 2 percent objective over the medium term. Near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced, but the Committee is monitoring inflation developments closely.

In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1-1/4 to 1‑1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting strong labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. The Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected inflation developments relative to its symmetric inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant further gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Thomas I. Barkin; Raphael W. Bostic; Lael Brainard; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Randal K. Quarles; and John C. Williams.

london red  19:09:59 GMT - 01/31/2018  
hourly cloud base 12396 and prev low 12384 prob sheltering stops. hourly tenkan 12439 caps upside, topside pivot.

london red  19:05:20 GMT - 01/31/2018  
printing below 124 prob exposed 12350 zone. 12291-12301-12306-12324 key lvls on downside. monthly bar gets made today so close key. bulls want 200 month ma.

GVI Trader john  19:00:21 GMT - 01/31/2018  
U.S. Fed Policy Decision January 31, 2018

Fed Funds Target Range steady at 1.25-1.50%

RELEASE: Policy Statement

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dc CB  17:32:36 GMT - 01/31/2018  
"There was (what) looks like a tractor trailer carrying trash that was hit by the train," Faso, who said he was in the third car of the train, told CNN.
"I think everyone on the train is OK," Faso said. "I don't know that for sure, it's a long train. But most of the concern is for the people outside."
Republican members of Congress were on their way for a retreat at The Greenbrier in White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia, starting Wednesday and ending Friday. Vice President Mike Pence, who was not on the train, is scheduled to speak to members later Wednesday and President Donald Trump is scheduled to address the event tomorrow.

Train carrying members of Congress -- including House Speaker Paul Ryan -- hits a truck

Israel Dil  16:09:12 GMT - 01/31/2018  
with power corruption turns reasonable

Brenda Fitzgerald - unbelievable but true

GVI john  15:32:00 GMT - 01/31/2018  
Outsize gain in Crude.

GVI john  15:31:02 GMT - 01/31/2018  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: +6.800 vs. +1.100 exp vs. -1.100 prev.
Distillates: -1.900 vs. -1.500 exp vs. +0.600 prev.
Gasoline: -2.000 vs. +1.200 exp vs. +3.100 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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GVI john  15:01:57 GMT - 01/31/2018  
PHS in line

GVI john  15:00:40 GMT - 01/31/2018  
U.S. Pending Homes Sales December, 2017

+0.50%vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.20% (r +0.30%) prev.

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PAR 14:48:18 GMT - 01/31/2018  
PMI numbers are fake news . Have nothing to do with economic activity . Are made up to manipulate markets .

GVI john  14:46:00 GMT - 01/31/2018  
Weaker but better than expected.

GVI john  14:45:13 GMT - 01/31/2018  
Chicago PMI January 2018
U.S. Data Charts

65.7 vs. 64.0 exp. vs. 67.6 prev.

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GVI john  13:15:49 GMT - 01/31/2018  
U.S. ADP Private Employment January 2017
U.S. Data Charts


+234K vs. +175K exp. vs. +250K (r +242K ) prev.

RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®

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GVI john  10:44:03 GMT - 01/31/2018  
EARLIER: 4Q17 CPI misses expectations and still short of RBA target.

GVI john  10:03:15 GMT - 01/31/2018  
Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) December 2017

yy: +1.30% vs. +1.30% exp. vs. +1.40% prev.
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.

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GVI john  08:56:03 GMT - 01/31/2018  
German Unemployment January 2018

Rate:5.40% vs. 5.40% exp. vs. 5.50% prev.
Change: -25K vs. -20K exp. vs. -29K (r -30K ) prev.

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Israel Dil  17:01:08 GMT - 01/30/2018  
therefore, let's load some gold around $1335 for some dollars


austin mw  16:56:51 GMT - 01/30/2018  
JP- look who appointed the DONKEY, another from the Ivy League, the Genius Donkey. Both should provide transcripts to the press

Mtl JP  16:54:04 GMT - 01/30/2018  
mnuchin (Yale 1985, graduate of what?) is a donkey. odds r high he is parroting what he s been told.

Medium term
Somewhere between SHORT-TERMISM, which is bad, and the LONG RUN, lies the hallowed ground of the medium term – far enough away to discourage myopic behaviour by decision makers but close enough to be meaningful. But not many governments say exactly how long they think the medium term is.

Long run
When we are all dead, according to KEYNES. Un­impressed by the thrust of CLASSICAL ECONOMICS, which said that economies have a long-run tendency to settle in EQUILIBRIUM at FULL EMPLOYMENT, he wanted economists to try to explain why in the short run economies are so often in DISEQUILIBRIUM, or in equilibrium at high levels of UNEMPLOYMENT.


The Economist

Israel Dil  16:41:52 GMT - 01/30/2018  
pity he didn't enlightened about his own definition of "longer term". circus needs clowns, potus 45th is great in finding them.

dc CB  16:30:31 GMT - 01/30/2018  
Mnuchin: "I Absolutely Support A Strong Dollar Over The Longer Term"


GVI 15:52:31 GMT - 01/30/2018  
BOE Gov Carney: UK economy's outperformance versus BOE's Aug outlook is because of a stronger world economy and looser fiscal stance than expected - Wages have picked up in the UK but they're not growing spectacularly - UK business investment is not up as much as it should be given world growth; UK investment is 4 percentage points below where it should be - BOE got the broad economic channels correct on the impact of Brexit on UK economy- Central bank doesn't have a bias with regard to Brexit - Source

Mtl JP  15:50:05 GMT - 01/30/2018  
Does Knot trump Praet's three criteria of convergence, confidence and resilience ... ref 12:41 GMT January 29 ?

Livingston nh  15:44:46 GMT - 01/30/2018  
The ECB hawks keep talking like the Fed "hawks" under Yellen -- it's a "so what, who cares" situation - Draghi will not likely see his inflation target (single mandate) in September so ECB will extend again // negative rates will survive after Draghi term ends

GVI 15:36:50 GMT - 01/30/2018  
ECB's Knot (Netherlands): it's reasonable to end QE in a short taper after Sept - Euro Area price stability is not at risk - Source

GVI john  15:00:52 GMT - 01/30/2018  
U.S. Conference Board Survey January 2018


125.4 vs. 123.0 exp. vs. 122.1 (r ) prev.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data

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GVI john  14:02:12 GMT - 01/30/2018  
U.S. Case Shiller-20 November 2017
U.S. Data Charts

6.40% vs. 6.25% exp. vs. +6.40% prev.

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GVI john  10:03:01 GMT - 01/30/2018  
Eurozone GDP 4Q17
Global-View EZ and German Charts

Data News ALERT
qq: +0.60% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. +0.60% (r) prev.
yy:+2.70% vs. +2.70% exp. vs. +2.50% (r +2.60%) prev.

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target="_blank">Eurozone GDP Data

GVI john  13:37:01 GMT - 01/29/2018  
Rising Core PCE strengthens case Fed rate hikes.

GVI  john bland  13:35:25 GMT - 01/29/2018  
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator December, 2017

Personal Income +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp v +0.30% prev.
PCE Defl +1.70% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.

RELEASE: Personal Income

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Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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