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GVI Trader john  10:04:43 GMT - 02/20/2018  
German ZEW Survey February 2018



NEWS ALERT

Current Situation: 92.3 vs. 92.9 exp. vs. 95.2 prev.
Expectations: 17.8 vs. 16.2 exp. vs. 20.4 prev.





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GVI Trader john  10:05:31 GMT - 02/20/2018  
ZEW Mixed vs. expectations.


GVI Trader john  09:00:30 GMT - 02/21/2018  
EZ Flash PMIs February 2018




ALERT
EZ
mfg: 58.5 vs. 59.2 exp. vs. 59.6 prev.
svc: 56.7 vs. 57.6 exp. vs. 58.0 prev.

German
mfg: 60.3 vs. 60.5 exp. vs. 61.1 prev.
svc: 55.3 vs. 57.0 exp. vs. 57.3 prev.

France
mfg: 56.1 vs. 58.1 exp. vs. 58.4 prev.
svc: 57.9 vs. 59.2 exp. vs. 59.0 prev.


Markit PMI Press Release



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GVI Trader john  09:32:59 GMT - 02/21/2018  
U.K. Employment December 2017/January 2018



-- NEWS ALERT --

Claimant Count (000): -7.2K vs. 4.1K exp. v. +8.6K (r +6.2K )prev.
ILO Rate: 4.40% vs. 4.30% exp. vs. 4.30% prev.
earnings: 2.50% vs. 2.50% exp. vs. 2.50% (r ) prev.
earnings x-bonus: 2.50% vs. 2.40% exp. vs. 2.40% (r 2.30%) prev.


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GVI Trader john  09:34:38 GMT - 02/21/2018  
Mixed UK data.


GVI 12:57:25 GMT - 02/21/2018  
ECB said to be looking to gradually amend its forward guidance before it ends its asset purchase program - dealers - The change in language may not come at the March policy meeting

- Source TradeTheNews.com


NY JM  13:06:01 GMT - 02/21/2018  
In other times this type of headline would have seen a pop in EURUSD but not this time. .


Mtl JP  13:11:01 GMT - 02/21/2018  
because it is old , recycled news


GVI Trader Jay Meisler  13:23:27 GMT - 02/21/2018  
News algos react to headlines and keywords.


Mtl JP  13:29:35 GMT - 02/21/2018  
Jay Meisler 13:23 "but not this time" according to JM 13:06


Mtl JP  13:40:34 GMT - 02/21/2018  
and why not then remains a mystery if it is not old recycled news


GVI 14:26:50 GMT - 02/21/2018  
BOE Gov Carney: will not commit to a precise rate path - testimony with members Broadbent, Haldane and Tenreyro - We are not currently in exceptional circumstances
- More withdrawal of stimulus will be necessary in the coming years

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trader john  14:45:54 GMT - 02/21/2018  
U.S. flash Markit Mfg & SVC PMI February 2018





ALERT
mfg: 55.9 vs. 55.5 exp. vs. 55.5 prev.
svc: 55.9 vs. 54.0 exp. vs. 53.3 prev.


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Markit PMI Press Release


GVI Trader john  15:00:37 GMT - 02/21/2018  
U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) January 2018



ALERT

p.a. s.a.: 5.380 vs. 5.600 exp. vs 5.57 (r. 5.60) prev.


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GVI 15:05:10 GMT - 02/21/2018  
Fed's Kashkari (dove, non-voter): statement's inclusion of word 'further' signaled we're continuing the path we are on; we debate each word change in the statement - Do not want to over react to one months inflation data - Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trader john  15:08:40 GMT - 02/21/2018  
Weak existing Homes Sales continues


dc CB  15:13:01 GMT - 02/21/2018  
The median existing-home price in January was $240,500, up 5.8% from January 2017.
First-time buyers were 29 percent of sales in January, which is down from 32 percent in December 2017 and 33 percent a year ago: NAR
_____________________________________________________
PS: to a Millenial - a 3% Down Payment don't mean Sheit, when the monthly Nut on $200K on Top of the Student Loan Nut.....


Dillon AL  15:15:25 GMT - 02/21/2018  
CB you make a mistake the millennials are actually all waiting quietly in the wings for the parents to pass . In between time they are quite happy to utilize the parents 2nd and 3rd homes for their vacations and then they return home to mummy and daddy to get their washing done and to be fed on the weekend


dc CB  15:19:46 GMT - 02/21/2018  
not really. People "buy" the Monthly Payment. Ask any RE Agent about the tried and true sales pitch.
NAR sez it's all about "inventory".

"If inventory conditions can improve enough to cool the swift price growth in several markets, most prospective buyers should be able to absorb the higher borrowing costs.”


Mtl JP  15:34:07 GMT - 02/21/2018  
Kashkari: I don't see signs of imminent financial crisis building
Kashkari: Fed not trying to engineer certain level of stock market
Kashkari says he hopes inflation is picking up
MarketWatch

My message re inflation to kashkari:
I hope interest rates go uP
the faster and the higher better (for me)
preferably massively


PAR 15:38:07 GMT - 02/21/2018  
Fed not worried about inflation , FED not worried about massive government debt , not worried about money laundering thru crypto .

FED only worried when stock market goes down 1.5 % .


dc CB  15:51:47 GMT - 02/21/2018  
KAPLAN SAYS U.S. IS LIKELY TO MAKE PROGRESS TOWARD 2 PCT INFLATION GOAL THIS YEAR

(cough cough)


Mtl JP  03:27:51 GMT - 02/22/2018  
little bit late so fwiw

BREAKING: US Embassy 'UNDER ATTACK' by grenade throwing assailant in Montenegro



GVI Trader john  09:01:21 GMT - 02/22/2018  
German IFO Survey February 2018



NEWS ALERT

Climate: 115.4 vs. 117.0 exp. vs. 117.6 prev.
Current: 126.3 vs. 127.1 exp. vs. 127.7 prev.
Expectations: 105.4 vs. 107.9 exp. vs. 108.4 prev.


IFO Climate Survey



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GVI Trader john  09:01:58 GMT - 02/22/2018  
IFO miss across the board.


GVI Trader john  09:30:41 GMT - 02/22/2018  
UK GDP-- 4Q17



-- NEWS ALERT --

QQ +0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.
YY +1.40% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.


RELEASE: U.K. GDP


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GVI Trader john  09:31:31 GMT - 02/22/2018  
Slight miss in UK GDP revision.


GVI 11:18:47 GMT - 02/22/2018  
Fed's Bullard (dove, non-voter): Not behind view for 4 rate hikes in 2018 "unless everything goes perfect" - CNBC

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trader john  11:21:27 GMT - 02/22/2018  
Hard to believe I agree with Bullard. Four hikes this year is looking increasingly unlikely to me. Looks like the bond market is taking control of policy. Watch the 10-yr yield.


dc CB  12:16:23 GMT - 02/22/2018  
Things must be really going down the tubes fast. Bullard out twice so far this month, moving his MOUTH for a bounce.

Bullard Calms Market Nerves: "Everything Needs To Be Perfect" For Fed 4 Rate Hikes


Livingston nh  12:39:23 GMT - 02/22/2018  
Bullard (anti DOT guy) was commenting on a chart showing inflation for technology goods at very low levels but the growth of services (education, medical etc) at extraordinarily high levels over the past 20 (?) years - can't find the chart on the CNBC site BUT in a service based economy he suggested that technology mis-measurement might mean inflation is actually lower / he is in economic wonderland

The Fed Minutes had a lengthy discussion about inflation - they don't have a clear idea of causes or levels -- this is going to bite them as the balance sheet de-hoarding and rate hikes ("lower for longer") continue



GVI Trader john  13:30:47 GMT - 02/22/2018  
US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

220K vs. 230K exp vs. 230K (r. 229K) prev.


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GVI Trader john  13:32:37 GMT - 02/22/2018  
Retail Sales December 2017
Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Retail Sales
Headline: -0.80% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% (r. +0.30%) prev.
X-Autos: -1.80% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +1.60% (r. +1.70%) prev.




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GVI Trader john  13:38:31 GMT - 02/22/2018  
Canada Retail Sales disappoint.


GVI Trader john  15:01:11 GMT - 02/22/2018  
U.S. Leading Indicators February 2018
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+1.00% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.60% (r ) prev.


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GVI Trader john  15:30:17 GMT - 02/22/2018  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) -124 vs: -120 expected

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GVI Trader john  16:05:04 GMT - 02/22/2018  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -1.600 vs. +1.300 exp vs. +1.800 prev.
Distillates:-2.400 vs. -1.600 exp vs. -0.500 prev.
Gasoline: +0.300 vs. -0.600 exp vs. +3.600 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



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dc CB  16:06:39 GMT - 02/22/2018  
Crude -1.616MM, Est.+2.9MM
Gasoline +261k, Est. +1.350MM
Distillates -2.422MM Est. -1.2MM
Cushing -2.664MM
Production 10.27MMb/d; -1kb/d W/W


GVI Trader john  10:00:54 GMT - 02/23/2018  
Eurozone final HICP (CPI) January 2017





ALERT
Headline
yy: +1.30% vs. +1.30% exp. vs. +1.30% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.



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GVI Trader john  13:32:34 GMT - 02/23/2018  
Canada: CPI January 2018
Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT

mm: +0.70% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. -0.40% prev.
yy: +1.70% vs. +1.40% exp. vs. +1.90% prev.

common Core y/y: 1.80% vs. +170% exp



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Livingston nh  13:37:30 GMT - 02/23/2018  
well I didn't see that coming -- gotta hold or the breakout turns into a breakdown // US yields not helping as the 3% level moves further away


GVI Trader john  13:38:25 GMT - 02/23/2018  
CAD CPI hotter than expected.


GVI Trader john  18:13:08 GMT - 02/23/2018  
Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 978 vs. 975 (+3) prev.
Oil: 799 vs. 798 (+1) prev.

Canada:
Total 306 vs. 318 (-12 )


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GVI 19:02:11 GMT - 02/23/2018  
ECB's Draghi reportedly is not happy with the lack of details about Latvia scandals - press

**NOTE: 02/22 (LV) ECB's Rimsevics (Latvia) Reiterates that will not step down from central bank; have spoken to ECB Board; Have never been offered a bribe

- Source TradeTheNews.com


Mtl JP  13:12:50 GMT - 02/24/2018  
German Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann, a leading but controversial candidate to take the helm of the European Central Bank, pushed back in a Financial Times interview on the idea that the nationality of the institution’s head is an important consideration.

‘This discussion about a candidate’s nationality is ‘completely absurd. I mean, would you have asked if this institution is right for an Italian?’

The focus on nationality of next ECB chief is ‘completely absurd,’ says top candidate






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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