re sterling, mkt is awaiting key jobs data tomo morn. carney and co have built up some expectation of inflation taking off so mkt is prob looking for some improvement when tomos wage data arrives. mkt is certainly long sterling so a downside surprise may be particularly brutal given the usd has recently perked up. given nothing has been decided with brexit and employers are a bit in limbo, i dont think we are going to see wages pressures as we may be seeing elsewhere. while sterling can certainly climb on a beat, i dont think we will get one tomo. i think the odds are skewed to an as f/c or miss on the wages.
Singapore SGFXTrader 16:59:10 GMT - 02/20/2018
Red, how will you see Gbpusd moving?
Breakout just occur on the hourly TF. Broke my SMA-365 line. Heading up.
london red 15:43 GMT 02/20/2018
how these auctions go with indicate how usd will trade into close. poor auctions will destroy this little bounce while strong interest will add to bounce and see usd move to next res lvls.
Singapore SGFXTrader 16:57:41 GMT - 02/20/2018
Thanks CB for the zerohedge summary on the auction results.
jp - since de-hoarding will only be a fact AFTER the event it could be classified as an ASSumption
Mtl JP 16:25:50 GMT - 02/20/2018
nh is that an assumption or an immutable fact ?
Livingston nh 16:00:22 GMT - 02/20/2018
We may have an interesting year because this is the first Fed hiking cycle that will see direct action by the Fed in the long end --- de-hoarding of the balance sheet will increase as the year progresses
NY JM 15:55:09 GMT - 02/20/2018
In the past the shorter dated paper tends to do better than the longer dated bonds.From a buyers perspective there should be no rush to buy ans there is a lot more to come. Question down the road is how high a yield is needed to attract buyers.
Livingston nh 15:51:56 GMT - 02/20/2018
short term paper has been scarce because of the fiscal/debt limit adjustments by Treasury -- should go pretty well but just the first of many
london red 15:43:57 GMT - 02/20/2018
how these auctions go with indicate how usd will trade into close. poor auctions will destroy this little bounce while strong interest will add to bounce and see usd move to next res lvls.
dc CB 15:37:56 GMT - 02/20/2018
Yuge Supply auctioned today. 1mo, 3 mo, 6 mo, 2Y.
Tom is the 5ver, then the 7 on Thurs.
Higher yields BUT higher USD costing to get in on them
Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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