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Mtl JP  22:53:46 GMT - 06/03/2018  
nh it did not take long for the teen-ager (who may be coming of age) to spit back:

China general He Lei slams 'irresponsible comments' on South China Sea

Chinese general refutes US Defense Secretary's remarks concerning 'militarization' of South China Sea

meeeeoohw !

Mtl JP  12:57:23 GMT - 06/02/2018  
nh 20:01 see here the pompous Mattis warn of Chinese 'intimidation' as he insists that America is in the Indo-Pacific to stay

For more details on "U.S. strategy recognizes no one nation can or should dominate the Indo-Pacific" sh!t covered in layers of "the promise of freedom fulfilled and prosperity prevails for all" :

Remarks by Secretary Mattis at Plenary Session of the 2018 Shangri-La Dialogue

dc CB  20:26:31 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Kim is young, Kim was educated in Switzerland and want's a piece of that.
But we will see.

Dennis and Kim

dc CB  20:21:28 GMT - 06/01/2018  
The deal is about Business. Ending the decades long "war" and untiting N and S Korea could very well result in a manufacturing powerhouse --- taking on communist China. That, i think is the offer on the table. It's not some convoluted "political crappola" that's been used for decades to keep the BigBad Nuke armed crazy dude as a chip for the Fear and Armament Industry.

we'll see. But I think the lure of the Money to be made, has made Kimmy Boy think that joining the Capitalists might be better that Ruling a prision camp nation.

Livingston nh  20:01:41 GMT - 06/01/2018  
hmm - I see it a bit differently - China needs the US to stay in SK // if SK were to cozy up to NK while US stayed hostile to NK that would be a China Nightmare - SK could ask US to vacate, a Korean Unification would likely force Japan to openly create nuclear policy - a unified Korea on the border of China would not require China support // China no fan of this KIM if he pushes US -- China confirmed NK test site collapse w/ hopes US would say "why bother" meeting this guy NOW

Mtl JP  19:51:33 GMT - 06/01/2018  
what is in for the US?
an elongated version of denuclearization of NK means the US gets a wink wink reason to be a thron in china's backyard a little longer

dc CB  19:38:52 GMT - 06/01/2018  
the spread between Brent and WTI is $11

Livingston nh  19:37:25 GMT - 06/01/2018  
jp - there is no "process" except between equals - what's in it for the US?

Mtl JP  19:34:01 GMT - 06/01/2018  
nh 18:57 / re fool
note "start a process". It has to be that: a process. A long one.

To think that Kim is going to drive all his nukes onto some waiting american barges in a week or two long process so that they could be towed to Oak Ridge National Lab (ref cretin bolton) would be foolish.

PAR 19:11:47 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Today is all about Trump, Trump and Trump. Let him go play some golf .

Livingston nh  18:57:28 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Anybody who believes THAT is a fool or worse

GVI 18:53:38 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Pres Trump: We will have the meeting with North Korea's Kim on June 12th in Singapore - North Korea wants to 'do denuclearization'- We're going to do a deal and we're going to start a process

- Source

GVI Trader john  17:05:10 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Baker Hughes Rig Count

Total: 1060 vs. 1059 (+1) prev.
Oil: 861 vs. 859 (+2) prev.

Canada: 99 vs. 83 (+11116 )

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GVI Trader john  14:01:55 GMT - 06/01/2018  
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI May 2018


58.7 vs. 58.1 exp. vs. 57.3 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI

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GVI Trader john  13:48:31 GMT - 06/01/2018  
U.S. Markit final Mfg PMI May 2018

56.4 vs. 56.5 exp. vs. 56.5 prev.

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GVI Trader john  13:32:55 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Canada Markit Mfg PMI May 2018

56.2 vs. n/a exp. vs. 55.5 prev.

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dc CB  12:52:23 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Ten Year Island

london red  12:49:41 GMT - 06/01/2018  
10y yield flash fill gap. need a strong hourly close to point to more. but on a wick here and it may be it for the day.

dc CB  12:44:40 GMT - 06/01/2018  
the right chart above

dc CB  12:42:29 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Island of Dead Shorts

GVI Trader john  12:33:53 GMT - 06/01/2018  
U.S. Employment May 2018


NFP Jobs:
+223K vs. +190K exp. vs. +164K (r +159K) prev.
Rate: 3.80%vs. 3.90% exp. vs. 3.90% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary

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Livingston nh  12:15:42 GMT - 06/01/2018  
The MAY-JUNE employment stats are subject to Seasonal Adjustment w/ guesses based on employment take-up of new grads, school endings and Summer leisure/hospitality so a miss can be magnified in either month - the PLUG factor (never seasoned) for MAY is "always" significantly higher (200K aprx) than JUNE (120K aprx)

AHE need to be considered in conjunction w/ Personal Income, Empl Cost and Productivity estimates to be useful - not worth much on a stand alone basis even for Philips Curve adherents // REAL earnings stat et al (ex GDP) in govvie calculations don't use CORE but CPI straight up -- PCE is a derivative figure and the CORE PCE is only used by the FED, it has no place in any major financial instrument or calculation based on inflation


Mtl JP  12:05:01 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Res 1 1.1766
Pivot 1.1643
Sup 1 1.1561
u all know the source..

london red  12:01:28 GMT - 06/01/2018  
i suspect great numbers for government are solid nfp but no better than inline ahe as that means higher rates which is a no no for any administration. given we have fallen a bit on euro i think any softness on ahe certainly see us move back to 117. straddlers paid about 60 pips so while abv 11650 still no breakout. need to see under that 100hma. while hard to see topside break either with substantial res around 11750.

Mtl JP  11:59:44 GMT - 06/01/2018  
brother Sja ... see my 10:07
that around 1,1710-ish not that it makes any diff to your account
maybe better to ask Jay if: Is it possible to trade forex with inside information?

Bali Sja  11:54:31 GMT - 06/01/2018  
So are we following Trump or not? Singular enough JP? :))

Mtl JP  11:48:34 GMT - 06/01/2018  
chiefs do not need to understand the nitty gritty
for that they have teams of advisers
chiefs only make the same difficult singular bottom line decisions as traders: in or out ?

london red  11:43:12 GMT - 06/01/2018  
u can prob look to only the headline number on his tweet. i doubt he understands what the ahe mean.

HK [email protected]  11:41:06 GMT - 06/01/2018  
That means: I know already the numbers and they are great...Just great.

GVI 11:36:59 GMT - 06/01/2018  
President Trump tweets "Looking forward to seeing the employment numbers at 8:30 this morning"

- Source

GVI 09:51:48 GMT - 06/01/2018  
Spain Parliament passes its no-confidence motion against PM Rajoy (as expected) - Vote was 180 to 169- Socialist leader Sanchez as PM - Source

GVI 08:59:17 GMT - 06/01/2018  
PM Rajoy: Sanchez poised to be Prime Minister; respects the decision to be removed from position (*8Note: refers to looming no-confidence vote)

- It has been a honor to be the PM **Note: Basically concedes that he will lose the upcoming confidence vote

- Source

GVI Trader john  08:31:24 GMT - 06/01/2018  
GB Manufacturing PMI May 2018


54.4 vs. 53.6 exp. vs. 53.9 (r ) prev.

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london red  08:27:55 GMT - 06/01/2018  
uk pmi up soon eurgbp key channels by 8813/8816. daily and weekly closes abv there point to upside test nxt wk so will be keenly fought by both sides.

GVI Trader john  08:00:31 GMT - 06/01/2018  

EZ Final Manufacturing PMIs May 2018

mfg: 55.5 vs. 55.5 exp. vs. 55.5 flash
mfg: 56.9 vs. 56.8 exp. vs. 56.8 flash
mfg 54.4 vs. 55.1 exp. vs. 55.1 flash

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trader john  15:01:46 GMT - 05/31/2018  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: +0.500 vs. -0.500 exp vs. +5.800 prev.
Distillates: +0.600 vs. -1.300 exp vs. -0.950 prev.
Gasoline: +0.500 vs. -1.500 exp vs. +1.900 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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GVI Trader john  14:30:51 GMT - 05/31/2018  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts

(BCF) +96 vs: +100 expected

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Mtl JP  14:09:48 GMT - 05/31/2018  
and freeland is screaming that she / canada is ready to respond appropriately

GVI Trader john  14:01:45 GMT - 05/31/2018  
U.S. Pending Homes Sales April, 2018

-1.30% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +0.40% (r +0.60%) prev.

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March 2018 Pending Homes Sales softer than expected.

dc CB  13:58:02 GMT - 05/31/2018  
reports that the Federal Reserve has designated Deutsche Bank U.S. operations to be "troubled condition" which the WSJ said was a rare censure for a major financial institution and is being reflected in its price this morning,
the Fed’s downgrade took place "secretly" about a year ago, and hasn’t been previously made public until today.

The “troubled condition” status—one of the lowest designations employed by the Fed—has influenced moves by the bank to reduce risk-taking in areas like trading and lending to customers.

dc CB  13:53:42 GMT - 05/31/2018  

an exclusive report by German magazine WirtschaftsWoche claims that President Trump is taking direct aim at Merkel and is preparing to impose a total ban on German luxury carmakers from the U.S. market.

Mtl JP  13:52:57 GMT - 05/31/2018  
GVI 18:59 Volcker rule
As I understand it Volcker rule is actually a law (§ 619 (12 U.S.C. § 1851) part of the Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act)

What President Trump is doing is creating new rules to the law since he can not bring the law up for changes to it and adoption since he does not have the votes. So it is a bastardy way of pandering to w/s bankers screaming for letting them again at the ginormous amounts of profits from riski trading using OPM namely that of depositors' money on account with the banks.

Essentially what the new rules do is they take away obligation of compliance with rules and turn the burden around.

It may be good for the rapacious bank profiteering traders to make obscene bux but it is shamefully immoral towards ignorant bank depositors.

GVI Trader john  13:51:31 GMT - 05/31/2018  
Strong Chicago PMI

GVI Trader john  13:45:38 GMT - 05/31/2018  
Chicago PMI May 2018
U.S. Data Charts

62.7 vs. 56.1 exp. vs. 57.6 prev.

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GVI Trader john  12:32:41 GMT - 05/31/2018  
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator April, 2018

Personal Income +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp v +0.30% prev.
Core PCE Defl 2.00% vs. +1.90% exp. vs. +2.00% prev.

RELEASE: Personal Income

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US Weekly Jobless Claims


221Kvs. 230K exp vs. 234K (r. ) prev.

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GVI Trader john  09:04:42 GMT - 05/31/2018  
HICP hotter than expected. energy.

GVI Trader john  09:01:41 GMT - 05/31/2018  
Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) May 2018

yy: +1.90% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.
yy: +1.10% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.

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GVI 18:59:15 GMT - 05/30/2018  
Fed governors and other banking regulators issue proposal to streamline Volcker rule
- Creates 3 categories for financial institutions based on their activity: less than $1B in trading assets, $1-10B, and greater than $10B, which would face the strictest rules

. - Trading desks reporting a daily net gain and loss for the past 90 days of under $25M would be presumed compliant with the prohibition on proprietary trading

- Fed Chair Powell: This proposed rule will tailor the Volcker rule's requirements by focusing the most comprehensive compliance regime on the firms that do the most trading. Firms that do more modest amounts of trading will face fewer requirements.

- Fed's Quarles: the revisions to Volcker ease requirements on hedging, market making, and reporting of trade data. Goal is to tailor the Volcker Rule base on our experience

- Fed's Brainard: Volcker Rule has turned out to be needlessly cumbersome
- Source

GVI Trader john  18:02:00 GMT - 05/30/2018  
U.S. Fed Beige Book

Price pressures have increased modestly
wage increases modest
growtjh outlook positive

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GVI Trader 15:35:33 GMT - 05/30/2018  
11:34 (IT) 5-Star leaders call for Savona to withdraw Econ Min candidacy in order to allow govt to be formed - press

- Source

uk bb  15:33:58 GMT - 05/30/2018  
waht's the news?

Mtl JP  14:24:39 GMT - 05/30/2018  
post no-longer cautious poloz one might want to go long usdcad with a careful stoploss or wait for clearer buy signal say above 1,29 if seen

dc CB  14:22:51 GMT - 05/30/2018  
worldwide CBs tout the 2% Solution. not enough to kill you outright...but over a decade or two enough to drain your accumulated weath and set you out on the street.

Mtl JP  14:15:56 GMT - 05/30/2018  
poloz the putz announcing july rate hike:

developments since April further reinforce Governing Council’s view that higher interest rates will be warranted to keep inflation near target.

GVI Trader john  14:00:21 GMT - 05/30/2018  
May 30, 2018 Bank of Canada Policy Decision

Target Rate unchanged at 1.25%.

RELEASE: Bank of Canada

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PAR 12:39:06 GMT - 05/30/2018  
Tax cuts boost profits and stock markets but not the US economy .

GVI Trader john  12:30:38 GMT - 05/30/2018  
U.S. GDP 1Q18 Revised

+2.20% vs. +2.30% exp. vs. +2.30% prev.


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GVI Trader john  12:28:17 GMT - 05/30/2018  
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ADP Private Employment May 2018
U.S. Data Charts

+178K vs. +195K exp. vs. +204K (r +163K) prev.

RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®

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May 2018 ADP misses estimates. Previous data revised weaker.

GVI Trader john  07:55:58 GMT - 05/30/2018  
German Unemployment May 2018

Rate: 5.20% vs. 5.30% exp. vs. 5.30% prev.
Change:-11K vs. -10K exp. vs. -7K (r ) prev.

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Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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