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Mtl JP  18:45:51 GMT - 06/15/2018  
IEEHA !

China strikes back:

Beijing sets 25% tariff on $50 bln worth US products



GVI Trader john  18:12:59 GMT - 06/15/2018  
10-yr remarkably stable at 2.909%

DJ -194


Kl Shawn  16:14:23 GMT - 06/15/2018  
Usd unstoppable
Usdcad 1.45


Mtl JP  15:43:14 GMT - 06/15/2018  
USDCAD tilting down risk for ~50 pips around 1.312x


Mtl JP  15:22:41 GMT - 06/15/2018  
 
candle 3 is suggestive of eurdlr bears scarcity
as long as puppy trading 1.1615/20 zone odds are for +/- 1.17
-
Kal I d take a very careful short on an under 92/1 print on the 5 min
some could be trying to bag some beer money so maybe worth the risk fading


Mtl JP  14:55:54 GMT - 06/15/2018  
btw -- about you plantation ambition here:
note that Trump is bent on border-wall funding - so make sure u can get out


Mtl JP  14:52:50 GMT - 06/15/2018  
"soon" probably depends on how much freeland and justin emasculate donald --
u know that FX is rarely a straight line projection


Livingston nh  14:48:29 GMT - 06/15/2018  
jp - absolutely not today -- But soon?


Mtl JP  14:47:26 GMT - 06/15/2018  
relax - not today


Livingston nh  14:46:28 GMT - 06/15/2018  
1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40


Mtl JP  14:45:07 GMT - 06/15/2018  
USDCAD 1.32
this train seems to have nuff steam for 1.3225/50 s/t imo


Livingston nh  14:41:24 GMT - 06/15/2018  
jp -why would he care? It's not gonna happen for a while and from higher levels -- BUT play the rubes


Mtl JP  14:38:20 GMT - 06/15/2018  
nh think jerome would come out of woodwork if it goes 0 or inverts ?


Livingston nh  14:37:38 GMT - 06/15/2018  
That's why markets make mistakes - oooh Inversion!!!


Mtl JP  14:35:31 GMT - 06/15/2018  
for some reason stocks dont like lower cost of money
DJ off ~ -250pts


Livingston nh  14:35:26 GMT - 06/15/2018  
DOOM -- 35 on the spread


Mtl JP  14:32:49 GMT - 06/15/2018  
Yield - 10:31:13 AM EDT
2.893 % -0.053


Mtl JP  14:24:50 GMT - 06/15/2018  
 
euro HoD 1.16255 sofar


Mtl JP  13:59:20 GMT - 06/15/2018  
Yield - 9:56:58 AM EDT
2.902 % -0.044
china and japan still holding onto munchkin's crap paper


Mtl JP  13:44:55 GMT - 06/15/2018  
TOP OF HOUR
I am not sure I d be giving US prelim U of Mich (con: 98.5 pre: 98) a "AA" risk rating (i.e potential for more than 50pips reaction)
except today in light of yesty's deluge as there are probably pent up players on both sides


Mtl JP  13:20:05 GMT - 06/15/2018  
oops ... poof does 1.1617


Mtl JP  12:26:52 GMT - 06/15/2018  
President Trump promises that he "will pursue additional tariffs" if China retaliates. Trump said in a statement that the 25% tariffs will be applied to goods from China that contain "industrially significant technologies." China has already pledged retaliatory action.


Mtl JP  12:22:28 GMT - 06/15/2018  
Trump says U.S. will impose 25% tariff on $50 billion of goods from China

I am thinking President Trump KNOWS how to get the bandied 2% inflation trgt by economists


Livingston nh  11:46:49 GMT - 06/15/2018  
JP - at 2.5% above bunds the US 10 yr is still the handsomest at the UGLY date party // Cable and EUR both have 21 ma support on the monthly charts but nothing before


Livingston nh  11:02:38 GMT - 06/15/2018  
SPX opening gap @ 2735 only a couple of weeks old - not today, but might be a good target as Q2 ends


Mtl JP  11:02:26 GMT - 06/15/2018  
 
DLRX runeth out of huff ?
eh ... 10yr giving only 2.924% -0.022


Mtl JP  10:49:41 GMT - 06/15/2018  
In excitement about retaliatory tariffs from china / india
US stox look to open down


london red  10:29:02 GMT - 06/15/2018  
i doubt it JP, a lot caught long into ecb yest. they quickly pounced on initial fib 11617 suggests lrg amount of panic so now its 11617-11547 fib vs 50month ma. either side of that gives nxt half a fig.


Livingston nh  10:27:03 GMT - 06/15/2018  
G6+1 has focused attention on the CAD but NAFTA has another important member MXN - a couple of weeks until the election// US politics could be disrupted by discontent in our neighbor to the South, still considered by some to be an emerging market


Kl Shawn  09:46:48 GMT - 06/15/2018  
Nahhhh when 100% close below 11680 no need bag the money. Gain good swaps over the weekend and gain more next week


Mtl JP  09:28:01 GMT - 06/15/2018  
 
It is Friday. Some might like to bag some beer money.


Kl Shawn  09:17:45 GMT - 06/15/2018  
Sell euro 1.1608. Heavily, stop 1.1673. Target parity :)


GVI Trader john  08:49:15 GMT - 06/15/2018  
For AT Trading
See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE


Spot EURUSD: 1.1591
Pivot Point: 1.1680

This Week: 1.1543-1.1824
Fri: 1.1543-1.1600
Thu: 1.1590-1.1852
Wed: 1.1726-1.1809
Tue: 1.1733-1.1809

20-day avg: 1.1713
50-day avg: 1.1954
100-day avg: 1.2148
200-day avg: 1.2008

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 72% (70%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.915% -2.9bp
DE: 0.384% -4.8bp
GB: 1.297% -3.5bp
IT: 2.601% -15.5bp

DAX: +16
Implied Open
DJ: -126
SP: -9.7




See the Amazing Trader Live!




london red  08:12:16 GMT - 06/15/2018  
initial res of 11617 followed by an old channel which was respected at 11622. shud yield a solid drop. if not u need to look to 11650/65.


london red  08:07:37 GMT - 06/15/2018  
yen looks likelyt to retest 200dma by 110.20 on china. cant see break to 111plus this side of trump tariff announcements later this eve.


london red  07:05:27 GMT - 06/15/2018  
lrg cable barrier 1.32, just just prev low of 13203. a break here tgts 13130 and 1.30


london red  06:56:22 GMT - 06/15/2018  
sup 50month ma by 11547, last months low 11510, uge barrier at 115. 11447 key 50% fib.


london red  06:54:16 GMT - 06/15/2018  
11574 initial res then hod 11586 then 23.6 at 11617


Livingston nh  01:42:07 GMT - 06/15/2018  
JP - Not an EMBARGO merely a tax paid by US consumers
Best riposte would be to become even more efficient


Mtl JP  00:38:21 GMT - 06/15/2018  
where will chinese riposte manifest itself most when it comes ?


Mtl JP  00:11:45 GMT - 06/15/2018  
Donald Trump Approves Tariffs on About $50 Billion of Chinese Goods
USTR to announce products subject to tariffs on Friday;

China has said it would retaliate



Livingston nh  23:39:28 GMT - 06/14/2018  
Nobody is gonna jump ship until we see November election results // Senators are notorious for the absence of B----s so it's a risky play

The importance of the G7 snubs can only be known by the response of the SNUBEES // Trade is a detail but Security/ military/ financial cooperation is leverage -- the EU can squeeze the regulatory options on US corp operations // any US fine against G6 banks or businesses can be forbidden and matched by a percentage "doing business" fee// Ignoring US imposed sanctions is big ENCHILADA because once you are seen to be helpless to enforce you are finished

Trade War is not tariffs


Mtl JP  22:57:42 GMT - 06/14/2018  
this could get interesting:
chryta freeland canada's chief nafta negotiator appears to have taken a different tack by making oblique references to President Trump as a demagogue and looks like she is courting nafta-friendly repub senators in the hope of emasculating the pres


dc CB  20:53:03 GMT - 06/14/2018  
One more Day in an Action Packed Week.

Noting will happen --- day will end flat



GVI Trader john  19:55:18 GMT - 06/14/2018  
For AT Trading
See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE


Spot EURUSD: 1.1597
Pivot Point: 1.1680

This Week: 1.1590-1.1824
Thu: 1.1590-1.1852
Wed: 1.1726-1.1809
Tue: 1.1733-1.1809

20-day avg: 1.1713
50-day avg: 1.1954
100-day avg: 1.2148
200-day avg: 1.2008

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 72% (70%)


GVI Forex Blog  17:54:07 GMT - 06/14/2018  
Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 15 June 2018
A JP- Bank of Japan Decision
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
A 14:00 US- Prelim University of Michigan


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 19 June 2018
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
Wed 20 June 2018
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 June 2018
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 22 June 2018
AFlash PMIs


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 15 June 2018






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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