USDCAD tilting down risk for ~50 pips around 1.312x
Mtl JP 15:22:41 GMT - 06/15/2018
candle 3 is suggestive of eurdlr bears scarcity
as long as puppy trading 1.1615/20 zone odds are for +/- 1.17
Kal I d take a very careful short on an under 92/1 print on the 5 min
some could be trying to bag some beer money so maybe worth the risk fading
Mtl JP 14:55:54 GMT - 06/15/2018
btw -- about you plantation ambition here:
note that Trump is bent on border-wall funding - so make sure u can get out
Mtl JP 14:52:50 GMT - 06/15/2018
"soon" probably depends on how much freeland and justin emasculate donald --
u know that FX is rarely a straight line projection
Livingston nh 14:48:29 GMT - 06/15/2018
jp - absolutely not today -- But soon?
Mtl JP 14:47:26 GMT - 06/15/2018
relax - not today
Livingston nh 14:46:28 GMT - 06/15/2018
1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40
Mtl JP 14:45:07 GMT - 06/15/2018
this train seems to have nuff steam for 1.3225/50 s/t imo
Livingston nh 14:41:24 GMT - 06/15/2018
jp -why would he care? It's not gonna happen for a while and from higher levels -- BUT play the rubes
Mtl JP 14:38:20 GMT - 06/15/2018
nh think jerome would come out of woodwork if it goes 0 or inverts ?
Livingston nh 14:37:38 GMT - 06/15/2018
That's why markets make mistakes - oooh Inversion!!!
Mtl JP 14:35:31 GMT - 06/15/2018
for some reason stocks dont like lower cost of money
DJ off ~ -250pts
Livingston nh 14:35:26 GMT - 06/15/2018
DOOM -- 35 on the spread
Mtl JP 14:32:49 GMT - 06/15/2018
Yield - 10:31:13 AM EDT
2.893 % -0.053
Mtl JP 14:24:50 GMT - 06/15/2018
euro HoD 1.16255 sofar
Mtl JP 13:59:20 GMT - 06/15/2018
Yield - 9:56:58 AM EDT
2.902 % -0.044
china and japan still holding onto munchkin's crap paper
Mtl JP 13:44:55 GMT - 06/15/2018
TOP OF HOUR
I am not sure I d be giving US prelim U of Mich (con: 98.5 pre: 98) a "AA" risk rating (i.e potential for more than 50pips reaction)
except today in light of yesty's deluge as there are probably pent up players on both sides
Mtl JP 13:20:05 GMT - 06/15/2018
oops ... poof does 1.1617
Mtl JP 12:26:52 GMT - 06/15/2018
President Trump promises that he "will pursue additional tariffs" if China retaliates. Trump said in a statement that the 25% tariffs will be applied to goods from China that contain "industrially significant technologies." China has already pledged retaliatory action.
Mtl JP 12:22:28 GMT - 06/15/2018
Trump says U.S. will impose 25% tariff on $50 billion of goods from China
I am thinking President Trump KNOWS how to get the bandied 2% inflation trgt by economists
Livingston nh 11:46:49 GMT - 06/15/2018
JP - at 2.5% above bunds the US 10 yr is still the handsomest at the UGLY date party // Cable and EUR both have 21 ma support on the monthly charts but nothing before
Livingston nh 11:02:38 GMT - 06/15/2018
SPX opening gap @ 2735 only a couple of weeks old - not today, but might be a good target as Q2 ends
Mtl JP 11:02:26 GMT - 06/15/2018
DLRX runeth out of huff ?
eh ... 10yr giving only 2.924% -0.022
Mtl JP 10:49:41 GMT - 06/15/2018
In excitement about retaliatory tariffs from china / india
US stox look to open down
london red 10:29:02 GMT - 06/15/2018
i doubt it JP, a lot caught long into ecb yest. they quickly pounced on initial fib 11617 suggests lrg amount of panic so now its 11617-11547 fib vs 50month ma. either side of that gives nxt half a fig.
Livingston nh 10:27:03 GMT - 06/15/2018
G6+1 has focused attention on the CAD but NAFTA has another important member MXN - a couple of weeks until the election// US politics could be disrupted by discontent in our neighbor to the South, still considered by some to be an emerging market
Kl Shawn 09:46:48 GMT - 06/15/2018
Nahhhh when 100% close below 11680 no need bag the money. Gain good swaps over the weekend and gain more next week
Mtl JP 09:28:01 GMT - 06/15/2018
It is Friday. Some might like to bag some beer money.
Kl Shawn 09:17:45 GMT - 06/15/2018
Sell euro 1.1608. Heavily, stop 1.1673. Target parity :)
Nobody is gonna jump ship until we see November election results // Senators are notorious for the absence of B----s so it's a risky play
The importance of the G7 snubs can only be known by the response of the SNUBEES // Trade is a detail but Security/ military/ financial cooperation is leverage -- the EU can squeeze the regulatory options on US corp operations // any US fine against G6 banks or businesses can be forbidden and matched by a percentage "doing business" fee// Ignoring US imposed sanctions is big ENCHILADA because once you are seen to be helpless to enforce you are finished
Trade War is not tariffs
Mtl JP 22:57:42 GMT - 06/14/2018
this could get interesting:
chryta freeland canada's chief nafta negotiator appears to have taken a different tack by making oblique references to President Trump as a demagogue and looks like she is courting nafta-friendly repub senators in the hope of emasculating the pres
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