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GVI Trader Jay Meisler  11:44:29 GMT - 07/14/2018  
Abel, that was an obvious typo since corrected. It was 1.1618 (second red line), not 1.1818

Here is a link to the forex trading alert video I sent out in real-time on Friday so you know it was a typo

Forex Trading Alert

jkt abel  06:18:54 GMT - 07/14/2018  
AT pointed out directional up since 11818 but it stopped there and turned south instead to low 116?? sorry, that is a failure IMO, nothing to be proud of. You may argue that it will go there again, but that for me is not directional, that is range at best!

Mtl JP  19:04:40 GMT - 07/13/2018  
Abel 17:19 in light of your asking what will or will not transpire no-one has a crystal ball

If they do they usually come out post-fact.

So you and I r reduced to play odds - deal with risk
IF u r short the into the close playful sharks may be interested in gunning for
1.1682 - 11686 - 1.1695
longshot above is 1.1726

GVI Trader Jay Meisler  18:37:42 GMT - 07/13/2018  
Abel, we let the Amazing Trader guide us. Direction has been pointed up since 1.1618 with a 1.1626 entry using our directional indicator

The Amazing Trader

dc CB  18:08:11 GMT - 07/13/2018  

Jkt Abel  17:19:45 GMT - 07/13/2018  
JP, what about holding 11670 short into the weekend?

GVI Trader john  17:03:29 GMT - 07/13/2018  
Baker Hughes Rig Count

Total: 1054 vs. 1052 (+2) prev.
Oil: 863 vs. 863 (0) prev.

Canada: 197 vs. 182 (+15)

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI 16:12:14 GMT - 07/13/2018  
DOJ set to announce new indictment in Mueller probe; indictments relate to 12 Russian intelligence officers with hacking into DNC and Clinton campaign and disseminating info in 2016

- The Russian operatives used 'spearfishing' techniques to hack computer networks of Hillary Clinton campaign and the DNC

- No indication in the indictment of coordination with US citizens

- Source

GVI Trader john  14:01:21 GMT - 07/13/2018  
Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index July, 2018

97.1 vs. 98.3 exp. vs. 98.2 prev

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader Jay Meisler  13:37:54 GMT - 07/13/2018  
Typical Trump news whipsaw, having a love fest with PM May, GBP edging higher.

Entering AT resistance zone

GVI Trader 12:54:27 GMT - 07/13/2018  
May-Trump press conference starting....

GVI Trader john  12:33:35 GMT - 07/13/2018  
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Import Prices June 2018

-0.40% vs. +0.10% exp. vs +0.60% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP  11:37:48 GMT - 07/13/2018 - The Strength of Facts -
is one pathetic excuse for "news" peddler

dc CB  11:25:47 GMT - 07/13/2018  
Now that the smoke has cleared from the NATO summit meeting, the most tangible result is apparent: President Trump advanced President Barack Obama’s initiative to keep the allies on track to shoulder a more equitable share of NATO’s costs. Mr. Trump even signed on to a tough statement directed at Russia. For once he saw eye to eye with his predecessor. -New York Times

Trump Got From NATO Everything Obama Ever Asked For

dc CB  11:04:15 GMT - 07/13/2018  
Missey May Missey May
Missing the O 'cause the was with Me.
"if you vote for Brexit, the British will be a the back of the que, when it comes to trading with US"


SUN frt page

dc CB  01:07:07 GMT - 07/13/2018  
FedChair Powell:
- We will do business in a strictly nonpolitical way; the Fed is independent of political considerations.

Fed’s Kashkari Says Immigration Key to U.S. Economic Growth

dc CB  00:06:31 GMT - 07/13/2018  
Missey May, Missey May
how did it go with Trump today.
We sure do miss that nice Obama
He used to agree with anything we'd say.
Missey May, Missey May

The Sun Intv with DJT

GVI Trader 23:52:13 GMT - 07/12/2018  
Trump trashes May's Brexit plan... GBP lower

GVI 18:13:49 GMT - 07/12/2018  
Fed Chair Powell: the economy's in a really good place - press interview

- If we wind up having high tariffs on a lot of products and a lot of traded goods and services, let's say, and that they become sustained for a long period of time, then yes, that could be be a negative for our economy

- I'm more concerned about longer term issues that the U.S. economy, we face some real longer-term challenges, again associated with how fast the economy can grow and also how much the benefits of that growth can be spread through the population. We're an aging population, so workforce growth is going to be slower. That's going to mean slower growth. Productivity growth has been slow, but I expect that to pick up over time.

- I think it's really important that we protect and extend the main pillars of what we did: higher capital, higher liquidity, better risk management, stress testing, living wills and resolution plans, in case banks do fail. We're not going to forget those lessons, but we're going to try to make sure that the things that we’ve done have been right and efficient too.

- I think we don't directly look so much at wages as we do price inflation, but I think we're looking very carefully at maximum employment, and that is one of the things that pushes up wages and price inflation.

- We will do business in a strictly nonpolitical way; the Fed is independent of political considerations

- Source

GVI 15:56:59 GMT - 07/12/2018  
Toronto police have received information about a "potential risk" to the city - media briefing - Confirm increased police presence for today; more officers deployed on foot patrol and on bikes

- Source

GVI Trader john  14:36:31 GMT - 07/12/2018  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts

(BCF) +51 vs: +55 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  13:02:49 GMT - 07/12/2018  
U.S. CPI Chart

U.S. CPI in July 2018 generally mixed to higher.

GVI Trader john  12:33:52 GMT - 07/12/2018  
U.S. CPI June 2018

m/m: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. v +0.20% pre
y/y: +2.90% vs. +2.90% exp. v +2.80% pre
y/y: +2.30% vs. +2.30% exp. v +2.20% pre

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index

TTN: Live News Special Offer

US Weekly Jobless Claims


214K vs. 225K exp vs. 231K (r. 232K ) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB  12:27:34 GMT - 07/12/2018  
French President Emmanuel Macron stated the following:
“Everyone agreed to raise spending as they agreed in 2014, and everyone agreed to respect the commitments they made,” Macron said. “We reaffirmed a credible budget strategy that meets our needs.”

Merkel full quote:
“We’ll have to talk about to what extent we can do more on defense. We presented the current situation. But considering the discussion among the European allies, not only he Americans, I think we need to ask ourselves consistently what more we can do.”

Mtl JP  12:18:13 GMT - 07/12/2018  
French President Macron denies Trump claim that NATO powers agreed to increase defense spending beyond ...
ABC News

GVI 11:54:38 GMT - 07/12/2018  
UK Governement publishes Brexit Whitepaper - Plan to end free movement of people- To leave EU's common agriculture, fisheries policies- Seeks Equal, competitive access with EU to telecom networks- Leaving energy single market is option- Calls on EU to keep on sharing Cyber security and data- Seeks maritime safety cooperation, bilateral rail deal- It would meet our shared commitments to Northern Ireland and Ireland through the overall future relationship, in a way that respects the EU’s autonomy without harming the UK’s constitutional and economic integrity. - Source

dc CB  11:49:13 GMT - 07/12/2018  
NATO -- Germany, the economic powerhouse of the EU.
It has a budget Surplus, a YUGE trade surplus. It has about 100 tanks, 6 Jets , a 180K member army. Seems that Angela will be spending some of those tightly held euros...on Defense.

Mtl JP  11:35:39 GMT - 07/12/2018  
... NATO allies are raising their defense spending (after crisis meeting) - I hope that we're going to be able to get along with Russia ...

spending by one = revenue to another

but hope for "getting along" means you do not get to waste some of your "inventory" so that you make space for more more new one replenishing,

unless the "hope" part is just for PR purposes trying to look good

GVI 11:34:29 GMT - 07/12/2018  
ECB ACCOUNT OF JUN POLICY MEETING (MINUTES): QE end follows predictable patter of past policy shifts - ECB rate guidance strikes balance between precision and flexibility - Council was concerned about trade spat impact on confidence

- Source

GVI 10:33:43 GMT - 07/12/2018  
President Trump: US commitment to NATO remains very strong; NATO allies are raising their defense spending (after crisis meeting) - I hope that we're going to be able to get along with Russia, I think we will be able to - NATO Secretary General will give estimates of new numbers on defense spending commitments today - Tole Nato allies he would be very unhappy if they did not increase their defense spending substantially, Nato much stronger now than two days ago - we are in talks with the EU and will meet with them next week on trade

- Source

GVI 10:11:35 GMT - 07/12/2018  
"Emergency" NATO statement by Trump presumably to discuss member military spending??


GVI 10:08:18 GMT - 07/12/2018  
Fed's Mester (hawk, FOMC voter): strong economy justifies two more interest rate increases this year - expects officials would need to raise fed-funds rate to 3% to reach a neutral level that neither stimulates nor slows economic activity - Source

GVI 18:16:20 GMT - 07/11/2018  
Pro-Brexit Tories are reportedly trying to force release of rival white paper from former Brexit Min Davis - Guardian - Former Min Davis' abandoned draft is said to have laid out something akin to a Canada-style trade agreement, with additional elements drawn from other EU agreements - Backbenchers from the European Research Group (ERG) to table a 'humble address' in parliament which requests the draft be made public; ERG aims to gain Labour frontbench support for move

- Source

GVI Trader john  14:32:42 GMT - 07/11/2018  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: -12.600 vs. -4.200 exp vs. +1.300 prev.
Distillates: +.100 vs. +1.300 exp vs. +0.100 prev.
Gasoline: -0.700 vs. -0.900 exp vs. -1.500 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  14:00:04 GMT - 07/11/2018  
July 11, 2018 Bank of Canada Policy Decision

Target Rate +25bp to 1.50%.

RELEASE: Bank of Canada

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP  13:24:27 GMT - 07/11/2018  
the chinese are tone deaf
they are not paying attention
their anger, indignation and pretend-piousness ring hollow

GVI 13:03:33 GMT - 07/11/2018  
China reportedly considering non-trade measures to retaliate against U.S. tariffs; could delay merger approvals as one such tactic - press **NOTE: 07/10 (CN) US Senior Administration Official: Confirms 10% tariff on additional $200B in China goods; will try to avoid impacting consumer goods, new list of China tariffs will include products that China identified in its 2025 report; US will not implement tariffs on new list for 2-months - Source

GVI Trader john  12:31:13 GMT - 07/11/2018  
U.S. PPI June 2018

Final Demand: +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.50% (r. ) prev.
Core: +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.30% (r. ) prev.

RELEASE: Producer Price Index

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  12:18:07 GMT - 07/11/2018  
Hard to believe that this ridiculous story keeps coming back!

GVI 12:16:18 GMT - 07/11/2018  
(EU) ECB policymakers split of first rate hike, meaning of through summer - press - Source

GVI 12:10:38 GMT - 07/11/2018  

ERG spruce tells me no resignations today as May not in country. But more are coming. And focus now on defeats next week on trade & customs bills - Senior political correspondent for Sky news - Source

Mtl JP  09:28:25 GMT - 07/11/2018  
USDCAD 1.3166
currently robot wants to be short against 1.3200/23

bali sja  09:12:17 GMT - 07/11/2018  
JP, your puppy got a plan today? sell the BOC rally?

Mtl JP  07:03:08 GMT - 07/11/2018  
“China is shocked by US’ behaviour.
shocked ?! why ... why r u shocked china ?

In order to safeguard the core interests of the country and the people, China will have to fight back as usual,” China’s ministry of commerce

why is china playing stupid, ignorant or surprised - is dissembling china on top of mendacious, deaf or obtuse or ... both ?

Trump: China could face more than $500 billion in US tariffs -
5 days ago - U.S. tariffs on $34 billion worth of Chinese goods kicked in on Friday. ... Ok? So we have 50 plus 200 plus almost 300," Trump said.

bali sja  02:55:07 GMT - 07/11/2018  
PAR, you think Putin is stupid enough to allow such a move? That is like a suicide attempt to join EU at its current state and current conduct.

Mtl JP  23:15:45 GMT - 07/10/2018  
whoever the anonymous babbler was should be found out, outed, tarred, feathered, put on a donkey facing rear-ward and paraded around in public.
in the meantime , seeing as I am biased to .85 on cadyen...
lets see if this shenanigan is a lure to inflict more pain or an opp to load uP on a lower price print

dc CB  22:37:52 GMT - 07/10/2018  
Futures Open
Dow(YM) - dn 205
ES - dn 21
NQ - dn 49

mission accomp... Trump in Brussels

dc CB  21:59:44 GMT - 07/10/2018  
"folks with lots to lose have lots to fear"

that my friend is it in a nutshell.
there's going to be YUGE amts of $$$$ thrown around.

DNC Deputy chair Keith Ellison told attendees at a Supreme Court Community Forum in Minneapolis Monday that Democrats could theoretically impeach Supreme Court justices if the party regains a majority following the 2018 midterm elections

Mtl JP  21:34:10 GMT - 07/10/2018  
IF tru bloomberg is an idiot
and needs to be drained out of the swamp

"folks with lots to lose have lots to fear"

Dillon AL  21:14:56 GMT - 07/10/2018  
re who spoke on condition of anonymity because the matter isn’t public

Then stop leaking it. Trump talks about leaks fix your own frigging ship first

dc CB  21:13:22 GMT - 07/10/2018  
a well timed release by the Anti Trump Other NYC Billionaire controlled Finac Media Terminal owner.... (ex)Mayor Michael Bloomberg. (the Battle of the Global Billionaires)

TinHat---I think not.

Bloomberg reports that President Donald Trump is preparing to release a list of an additional $200 billion in Chinese products to be hit with tariffs, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The list could be released as soon as Tuesday, and likely this week, according to the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the matter isn’t public.

GVI Trader 21:06:16 GMT - 07/10/2018  
6:53 (CN) US reportedly preparing release of new $200B China tariff list - press
**NOTE: The US initiated $34B in tariffs against China on July 6, which China immediately matched; both sides will add another $16B about two weeks, rounding the first round of tariffs out to $50B each.

- 06/18 (CN) China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM): US threats on $200B tariffs list disobeys negotiation and consensus reached previously between the two countries: to take qualitative and quantitative measures if US publishes additional tariffs list

- Source

GVI Trader Jay Meisler  19:44:47 GMT - 07/10/2018  
UK politics has been like a wrecking ball again this week with news algos reacting and sending those caught the wrong way running for cover.

What we continue to see from our Amazing Trader is directional risk shown by its patterns highlighting the vulnerable side, which is where you see the big reactions take place.

The Amazing Trader

PAR 18:58:18 GMT - 07/10/2018  
Keep buying EURUSD. Russia may join European Union making Europe the strongest economy in the world and making UK really look stupid.

Mtl JP  18:49:01 GMT - 07/10/2018  
why ? coz it peddles the fiction of a beacon of democratic institution exercising democracy

dc CB  18:24:24 GMT - 07/10/2018  
every regional bank but New York Fed voted in favor of raising discount rate ahead of June meeting
shud read:

every regional bank but New York Fed voted in favor of raising THE rate PAID ON EXCESS RESERVES HELD AT THE FED BY the member banks.......ahead of June meeting.

The NYFED did not need to vote as it was a done dea. And since the NYFRB is known to be THE deciding FED Bank, why push that, better to seem to hang back and make it seem to be a "regional choice".

Mtl JP  18:16:16 GMT - 07/10/2018  
that is a politburo kind of vote
i.e fearful of losing job

GVI 18:01:35 GMT - 07/10/2018  
Fed Discount Rate minutes: every regional bank but New York Fed voted in favor of raising discount rate ahead of June meeting - Source

GVI 18:01:35 GMT - 07/10/2018  
Fed Discount Rate minutes: every regional bank but New York Fed voted in favor of raising discount rate ahead of June meeting - Source

GVI 16:55:19 GMT - 07/10/2018  
UK PM May: reiterates her Chequers plan keeps faith with the referendum on Brexit; expect Brexit to be smooth and orderly

- Germany Chancellor Merkel: It's good that latest proposals are now on the table

- Source

GVI Trader john  14:00:37 GMT - 07/10/2018  
U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey May 2018

mln: 6.638 vs. 6.900 exp. vs. 6.700 prev (r 6.840 ) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  09:02:08 GMT - 07/10/2018  
Big misses for Germany.

GVI Trader john  09:01:35 GMT - 07/10/2018  
German ZEW Survey July 2018


Current Situation: 72.4 vs. 79.5 exp. vs. 80.6 prev.
Expectations: -24.7 vs. -18.0 exp. vs. -16.1 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  08:36:11 GMT - 07/10/2018  
New statistic:

May GDP +0.30% m/m +1.50% y/y

GVI Trader john  08:33:30 GMT - 07/10/2018  
UK Output/trade May 2018


Industrial: +0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -1.08% (r) prev.
Manufacturing: +0.70% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. -1.40% prev (r )
Visible Trade
Total: vs. -12.0 exp. vs. -14.0 (r) prev

TTN: Live News Special Offer

BREAKING NEWS: UK Trade April 2018


Total: -12.48 vs. -11.35 exp. vs. -12.29 (r) prev

TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB  22:08:02 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Summer 2018.
No this is NOT a Re-Run.
It's all new Just for U

She's Baaaaaaask

GVI 20:50:32 GMT - 07/09/2018  
PM May appoints Jeremy Hunt as new Foreign Sec (replacing Boris Johnson who resigned today) - Hunt has been the Secretary of State for Health and Social Care since 2012 and an MP for South West Surrey since 2005. - Hunt supported Britain remaining in the EU in the 2016 referendum. He announced support for the Brexit in 2017. - Source

GVI 14:39:20 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Prime Min May: Brexit plan would take back control of laws and borders; EU's Brexit proposals are not acceptable to the UK - comments to Parliament - Source

Dillon AL  14:37:18 GMT - 07/09/2018  
That's cos May voted in the referendum to remain.

Mtl JP  14:28:31 GMT - 07/09/2018  
the potential process , according to the guardian

"If 48 MPs write letters of no confidence to the chair of the backbench 1922 Committee, Graham Brady, May will face a vote of no confidence.

Many of the prime minister’s supporters believe she would win such a contest, but if she lost, May would face a leadership challenge, with Johnson among the potential candidates."


dc CB  14:24:52 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Trump arrives in London later this week..thurs I think. (Then he's on to Putin-ville). Besides Sadiq Kahns' "baby trump in nappie" balloon, the question is - will Missey May be still around.

Mtl JP  14:17:00 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Johnson had referred to attempts to sell the prime minister’s Brexit plan as ‘polishing a turd’ - *-*

Mtl JP  14:12:44 GMT - 07/09/2018  
john 14:06 for those trading , lower GBP means better odds of bigger profits off trading expectations of carney's rate hike in august

Mtl JP  14:09:54 GMT - 07/09/2018  
the so-what of euro at 1.1750 is that test of 1.1730/20 is on proximity radar

GVI Trader john  14:06:14 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Any body.. Does this mean PM May is effectively out?

GVI 14:04:04 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Prime Min May accepts resignation of Foreign Sec Boris Johnson - press - Friends close to Johnson had indicated this would likely occur - Source

GVI 14:02:14 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Friends of Foreign Min Johnson said to indicate that he is leaning towards quitting cabinet - press - Source

dc CB  13:51:02 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Breitbart London>

In June 2016, 17.4 million people — more than had ever voted for anything in British history — voted Brexit to free themselves from the clutches of that Remainer establishment. Now the Remainer establishment has responded as only it knows how: by ignoring the democratic will and shoring up its power base by whatever means necessary.

Brexit is dead – strangled at the weekend by Prime Minister Theresa May and her cabal of Remainer cronies.

GVI Trader 13:44:42 GMT - 07/09/2018  
GBP dropping on reports Bpris Johnson may be resigning from the cabinet.

GVI 13:44:34 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Friends of Foreign Min Johnson said to indicate that he is leaning towards quitting cabinet - press - Source

GVI Trader john  13:14:15 GMT - 07/09/2018  
Nothing really new in Draghi's prepared text before his testimony.

GVI 13:04:40 GMT - 07/09/2018  
ECB's Draghi: underlying economic fundamentals remain solid - remarks in Brussels - Reiterates that ECB monetary policy measures have been very effective- We estimate that the measures we have taken since mid-2014 will have an overall cumulative impact of around 1.9 percentage points on both euro area real GDP growth and inflation for the period between 2016 and 2020. - Source

Mtl JP  12:57:25 GMT - 07/09/2018  
re Nowotny.

these cretins just do not know the limits to their idiotic phrases as witnessed by the continuous invention and addition of mysterious-sounding terms that is supposed to be adding mystical degree of expertise to their PhD certicated econo-bable designed to make it look like only they have a lock on what is right and what not. The meek followers who can not or will not think for themselves are supposed to swallow their b/s without question and obediently.

Both EU and US are allegedly in a period of some economic growth , never mind the "growth" is riding on the magic of so-called QE (quantitative easing) cretin-bable-eez. Now we are supposed to believe these hallucination-generating engineers that they are on a path of QT (quantitative tightening).

And that they are sufficiently in control and confidence that pulling easy money (needed to pay interest on old loans) is now and soon time to do it.

Kids... I submit to you that we are on the cusp of an opportunity that has good odds of either
a) making one filthy rich OR
b) throwing one under the bus

in a bet on the direction and amplitude of exchange rates as the "experts" (Draghi / Powell, Nowotny, Praet & Co.) try to make money less available (by making less of it) and more expensive (by charging higher interest)

GVI 11:42:02 GMT - 07/09/2018  
ECB's Nowotny (Austria): Narrow minded to reduce ECB mandate to price stability - Fear of deflation is over - in addition to trade war might see currency war - with low rates, must take care not to create bubbles; negative rates cannot be a permanent feature of monetary policy - ECB has largely achieved its goals- Not too much of a risk to assume ECB will decide at July meeting to end bond buying program (**Reminder Jun 14th ECB revises QE bond buying program: QE to be reduced to €15b/month from oct until Dec)- Balance sheet of ECB will stay substantial, will remain active in markets to buy securities

- Source

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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