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Mtl JP  18:51:32 GMT - 07/18/2018  
It would appear that I am not alone keeping an eye on Jerome's (and kudlow's) propaganda bullsh!t about "The Spread" (or the Yield Curve)

Earlier I saw Bernanke try to peddle similar dismissive argument :
Bernanke warns against reading wrong yield curve signal

12 hours ago - It would be a mistake to think that the unexpected flattening of the US yield curve signals a looming recession, Ben Bernanke.

Now via ZeroHedge a view by Alt-Market's Brandon Smith, originally published at Birch Gold Group:

Fed: "When The Yield Curve Creates Doubt, Throw It Out"



Mtl JP  15:43:24 GMT - 07/18/2018  
Yield Curve Watch

according to Fed's Powell on yield curve:

Question is what's the story with long rates



Mtl JP  14:03:47 GMT - 07/18/2018  
for trivia record:
at the start on the 2nd day of powell delivering the same thing he did yesty:
eurdlr at 1.1635
usdyen 112.85
dlrx 94.95


Mtl JP  13:54:49 GMT - 07/18/2018  
possibly in ref to my earlier post about yield curve kudlow felt compelled to kvetch on cnbc that "no recession in sight" but he did not say how good his sight is or not, just that not "any time soon"


Mtl JP  13:19:24 GMT - 07/18/2018  
Nive try john but I suggest off the mark. munchkin's influence in the market barely reaches powell's ankles.

It is powell and his merry gang with all sorts of position papers and plots that have market's ear. Particularly Bond market's ear. And there is a reason why particularly the 10-yr paper is considered the Benchmark.

There was a time u were hawkishly watching the 10-yr for 3%. Now that it is back below 3% how significant or not is it that it is under 3% do u think ?


GVI Trader john  13:09:12 GMT - 07/18/2018  
Powell has NO role in Forex policy. That has always been the portfolio of the Treasury Secretary (Mnuchin).


Mtl JP  13:00:26 GMT - 07/18/2018  
 
to be polite to Jerome : DLR looking tired
impolite version would say : bored with jerome


Mtl JP  12:48:14 GMT - 07/18/2018  
I ll start:
Unlikely to above 1.1750
Likelier towards if not to 1.15


Mtl JP  12:45:31 GMT - 07/18/2018  
I see powell's testimoany at 10am NYT been given AA grade as potential menace to one's wallet on essentially a rehash same blather he delivered yesty.

Who d like prognosticate dlr's range today?
tia


Mtl JP  12:28:50 GMT - 07/18/2018  
At bottom of hour
building permits = potential to move prices around
do not think more than +/- 30pips


Mtl JP  12:25:48 GMT - 07/18/2018  
Yield Curve Watch
10yr 2.851
2yr 2.611
curve slope: 0.24
-
July 13: 0.252
July 7th: 0.283


GVI Trader john  08:53:05 GMT - 07/18/2018  

For AT Trading
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GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1617
Pivot Point: 1.1685

This Week: 1.1607-1.1745
Wed: 1.1607-1.1665
Tue: 1.1649-1.1745
Mon: 1.1675-1.1725
Fri: 1.1613-1.1683

20-day avg: 1.1662
50-day avg: 1.1708
100-day avg: 1.1987
200-day avg: 1.1986


Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 98% (96%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.860% +0.7bp
DE: 0.344% -0.6bp
GB: 1.253% -0.8bp

DAX: +86
Implied Open
DJ: +13
SP: -0.1




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GVI Forex Blog  08:09:25 GMT - 07/18/2018  
Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 18 July 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
AA 14:00 US-Powell Testimony
Thu 19 July 2018
AA 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 20 Jun 2018
A 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 18 July 2018






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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