...Investors are showing trepidation over a potential wave of rating downgrades for the lowest tier of investment-grade debt, but fears those bonds will turn into “fallen angels” might be overblown, at least for now, according to analysts at S&P Global Ratings. ...
New York Fed Nowcast: raises Q3 GDP model to 2.83% v 2.38% prior (UPDATE)
- Today's advance estimate of real GDP growth for 2018:Q2 from the Commerce Department was 4.1%. The latest New York Fed Staff Nowcast for 2018:Q2 was 2.8%.
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Mtl JP 14:03:58 GMT - 07/27/2018
President Trump continues to be enthusiastically excited about more GDP growth as he cuts more new trade deals
GVI Trader john 14:01:31 GMT - 07/27/2018
University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final July 2018
The pound will be the subject if Carney's "Merve the Swerve" moment takes hold
Livingston nh 02:56:38 GMT - 07/27/2018
TRUMAN lost his nerve after Berlin -- there would have been no NORTH korea if either had decided to make a statement == 50k NK and probably 50K In Vietnam
No Senator's sons
Livingston nh 02:44:19 GMT - 07/27/2018
EISENHOWER's worst decision
dc CB 02:23:57 GMT - 07/27/2018
July 27, 1953
Korean War - Cease Fire
Mtl JP 23:32:06 GMT - 07/26/2018
Often , it is not the news that you see that matters as the discreet news that appears ever so innocent:
Putin arrives in Johannesburg for BRICS summit - TASS
...On Thursday, BRICS leaders will participate in private and expanded meetings and sign documents. (private only because ... some stuff is just not your business)
On the same day, Putin is scheduled to hold talks with the summit’s host, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, as well as bilateral meetings with the leaders of Argentina, Angola, Turkey, Zambia,
China
and India
Livingston nh 19:43:06 GMT - 07/26/2018
this is why the Russian sanctions are so "important" - LNG pipelines are easy - LNG imports via tanker, not so much
Do gooders end up starving in the cold caves - see Neanderthal
Commodities are fungible - demand is not as elastic as supply
and bbrg' s Anna Shiryaevskaya , Elena Mazneva , and Mathew Carr wrote: Trump Says Europe to Buy Boatloads of U.S. LNG. Don’t Bet on It
GVI Trader john 19:21:17 GMT - 07/26/2018
nh- you are the first person I have heard mentioning GMO's. I had thought they were effectively banned throughout Europe?
Who is going to buy those soybeans?
Mtl JP 19:21:12 GMT - 07/26/2018
it is said the harsher the lesson the better it is learnt
According to Martin Armstrong,
Governments now assume ALL money is illegal gains and they will confiscate 100% forcing the burden to you to PROVE it is yours and was obtained legally. If you are ever going to send money to someone overseas, you can mail a check from your account, but NEVER get a bank check/draft. If you are in the USA and try to wire money to an individual overseas, you will quickly discover the limit is not $10,000, but $3,000.
NEVER send anything of value internationally using FedEx.
The EU do gooders like Macron want no GMO and Paris Climate signatory -- and where is the US LNG going to be offloaded?
So if you think the silly spike in stox from yesterday was real you might want to hedge that at SPX 2830
GVI19:07:01 GMT - 07/26/2018
France Pres Macron: Doesn't currently favor a vast trade agreement with the US because context isn't right at the moment; opposes discussing agriculture as part of trade talks with US - press - Some points in the Juncker-Trump trade deal need clarification
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Livingston nh 18:55:13 GMT - 07/26/2018
Food Stamps are a lot more cost effective than Medicaid and it doesn't enrich the 20% GDP "healthcare providers"
Mtl JP 18:51:45 GMT - 07/26/2018
socialists to left...
socialists to the right ....
Most American voters don’t want food stamps to be stamped out.
Some 61% of registered voters say they are against reducing funding for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), commonly known as food stamps. That’s according to a survey commissioned by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health’s Center for a Livable Future, in June.
Of those who were opposed, 73% said they were “strongly opposed” to any cuts in funding.
About 1,000 registered voters responded to the survey in total.
GVI Trader john 18:51:34 GMT - 07/26/2018
We wonder what Kudlow means by "big".
He has set up the markets short EURUSD.
Questions:
1) Does Kudlow know the actual number?
2) if so, what are the market and Kudlow definitions of "big"?
GVI16:02:32 GMT - 07/26/2018
White House Econ Adviser Kudlow: Number on US GDP growth due on Friday 'will be big'
- Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI14:35:21 GMT - 07/26/2018
EARLIER:
Atlanta Fed cuts Q2 GDP forecast to 3.8% from 4.5% prior
john plz keep an ear out for mario swapping long / short term debt
I suspect 2yr spread dynamic is going to determine which way euro takes off
tia !
GVI Trader john 13:11:46 GMT - 07/26/2018
ECB meeting over.
Mtl JP 12:42:13 GMT - 07/26/2018
mario smiling as data matching w/forecasts (ieeha high 5)
also "growth" should continue as buying overpriced LNG from Trump-nation likely to contribute to GDP growth (GDP = sumtotal monetary measure of the market value of all goods and services in a period of time)
GVI Trader john 12:34:07 GMT - 07/26/2018
Nothing surprising out of Draghi yet...
Mtl JP 11:51:32 GMT - 07/26/2018
now some players wait for the
12:30 AA EZ ECB Webcast n/a n/a
GVI Trader john 11:47:20 GMT - 07/26/2018
European Central Bank (ECB) July 26, 2018
NEWS ALERT
Refi Rate Steady at 0.00%
Marginal Lending Rate steady at 0.25%
Deposit Rate steady At -0.40%
Min Altmaier,,, hehe not just juncker who stains his pants
saving millions of jobs worthy of sainthood next, Min Altmaier?
-
news algo power of Altmeir: -3 pips
GVI21:14:44 GMT - 07/25/2018
Germany Econ Min Altmaier: breakthrough achieved with the US on trade will save millions of jobs and be great for the global economy
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Mtl JP 21:09:29 GMT - 07/25/2018
another version of presser"
President Donald Trump said he and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker agreed to work toward "zero tariffs" and "zero subsidies on non-auto industrial goods." At an unscheduled news conference following a joint meeting, Trump also said the EU would buy more U.S. soybeans almost immediately and that he and Juncker would work to resolve tariffs on European steel and aluminum. U.S. stocks DJIA, +0.68% jumped on reports that the U.S. and EU had reached a deal to resolve trade tensions. Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on European autos but said he'll hold off on any retaliation as long as talks are taking place. - by ROBERT SCHROEDER
WHITE HOUSE REPORTER
GVI Trader john 20:38:14 GMT - 07/25/2018
nothing new announced. Frankly "agreement" sounded pretty vague.
GVI Trader john 20:19:48 GMT - 07/25/2018
Press Conference underway
Mtl JP 19:52:42 GMT - 07/25/2018
ieeha ... agrees to take more US LNG exports
at what multiple price to that from Vladimir ?
rofl President Trump is showing his deal-making mettle
OR juncker is pulling a fast one
-
next remains to be seen if europeans actually do buy overpriced murrikan LNG
Mtl JP 19:47:14 GMT - 07/25/2018
SnP going vertical euphorically applauding President Trump's trade and tariff negotiating skill
USDCAD plumetting (as prescribed by gv chartpoints earlier)
1.3030 new LoD
GVI19:39:55 GMT - 07/25/2018
Pres Trump reportedly has received concessions from Europe to avert trade war; Europe agrees to lower industrial tariffs - press - EU agrees to import more US soybeans; agrees to take more US LNG exports- EU agrees to cooperate on regulatory medical products standards
- Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI19:30:31 GMT - 07/25/2018
White House press corps indicating Pres Trump to hold an unscheduled 'press availability' in the Rose Garden **NOTE: earlier today Trump met with European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker to discuss trade and other matters. He also met with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen for lunch. - Source TradeTheNews.com
Dillon AL 19:02:25 GMT - 07/25/2018
John quite right and The Drunk who uses the excuse of a sciatica - I ve had one of those and yes they are painful but they dont make you wobble and fall over - is a hasbeen retiring in March or thereabouts next year. So even if he could deliver then it will all be for nought
Trump says he is a deal maker. Trump says he wants a deal but when you are dealing with The President of the European Commission you are actually dealing with the wrong person
The European Commissioner for Trade is the member of the European Commission responsible for the European Union's common commercial policy. The portfolio has been held by Cecilia Malmström since November 2014
Mtl JP 18:22:50 GMT - 07/25/2018
the disgusting juncker may deliver a yellow stain on the front of his pants - hopefully without heaving on W/H parquetry as a bonus
-
Trump’s top economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, has said he expected Juncker to come with a “significant” trade offer, but the Commission on Monday that would not happen.
It takes a lifetime for the EU to decide on anything. What can Junker deliver?
Mtl JP 18:07:20 GMT - 07/25/2018
..."reciprocal trade at a minimum"...
what would "at a medium" or "at a maximum" be ?
US in union with EU under Brussels diktat ?
-
juncker cant do anything. he is as impotent to cut a deal as when he is suffering a sciatic attack: the eu decides on things by consensus of the 28 members. all juncker can do is blab platitudes.
In the meantime SnP likes what it sees/hears
GVI17:48:36 GMT - 07/25/2018
President Trump: EU's Juncker is 'smart' and 'very tough'; we're looking to have a good US-Europe trade deal - comments at meeting with EU Commission President Juncker and Trade Min Malmstrom - We want reciprocal trade at a minimum with our allies - We expect something 'very positive' over European trade - Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Trader john 14:53:58 GMT - 07/25/2018
Now crude corrects and then USDCAD. You need to be nimble on your feet for this trade
GVI14:45:07 GMT - 07/25/2018
White House advisers think Pres Trump plans to impose 25% tariff on $200B in foreign made automobiles later this year - Wash Post - " Trump has become increasingly defiant in his trade strategy, following his own instincts and intuition and eschewing advice from his inner circle. He has told advisers and Republicans to simply trust his business acumen, a point he tried to reinforce Wednesday morning in a Twitter post."
- Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Trader john 14:41:24 GMT - 07/25/2018
Clear AT Picture USDCAD following data
GVI Trader john 14:36:36 GMT - 07/25/2018
Draws in Products (higher energy prices) weighing on USDCAD
NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -6.200 vs. -3.200 exp vs. +5.800 prev.
Distillates: -2.300 vs. +0.200 exp vs. -0.400 prev.
Gasoline: -0.100 vs. -0.800 exp vs. -3.200 prev.
Prime Min May: reiterates end to free movement following Brexit is non-negotiable - People should be reassured by 'responsible, sensible' planning for a no-deal Brexit - Source TradeTheNews.com
Climate: 101.7 vs. 101.5 exp. vs. 101.8 prev.
Current: 105.3 vs. 104.8 exp. vs. 105.1 prev.(105.2)
Expectations: 98.2 vs. 98.3 exp. vs. 98.6 prev.(r 98.5)
82...no helmets.
tradiing without stops?
No longer allowed. LOL
Mtl JP 21:20:02 GMT - 07/24/2018
next... farmers stop feeding cops ?
dc CB 21:05:19 GMT - 07/24/2018
dc CB 19:51 GMT
1982 --- sans teargas
Farmers’ revolt, 1982, by Harry Gruyaert.
Here, the riders are forced to take a break because of protesting farmers. Officials had stopped the race at the start of stage 16 in the French Alps, which finished on Alpe d’Huez. It wasn’t the first time stoppage happened that year: On stage 5, striking factory workers got onto the course and forced the team time trial to be abandoned.
JP
well he cud have just given it directly to the Banks... as the FED continues to do, upping the Vig everytime they "raise rates" on the Excess Reserves...Give me a break ----Mr Financial Wizzard.
Mtl JP 19:13:01 GMT - 07/24/2018
CB 18:16 so w/that he is setting precedent
for many many hundreds of billions in "support" more
think venezuela's inflation is funny ?
dc CB 18:16:53 GMT - 07/24/2018
Facing the brunt of President Trump's trade war with China, which threatens some $34 billion of US products and agriculture with duties, the White House has announced a $12 billion "short-term" stimulus plan to help US farmers hurt by China's "illegal" retaliatory tariffs.
Mtl JP 16:45:19 GMT - 07/24/2018
Trump Administration to Offer About $12 Billion in Farm Aid to Ease Concerns Over Trade Disputes - wsj
Mtl JP 15:56:52 GMT - 07/24/2018
did president Trump postulate who / what would the Russian favour if not him : stronger dollar ? just as I am getting jubbed on the post
lol
GVI15:53:14 GMT - 07/24/2018
Pres Trump tweets he is concerned about Russian interference in 2018 elections, "They definitely don’t want Trump!" - Trump tweets: "I’m very concerned that Russia will be fighting very hard to have an impact on the upcoming Election. Based on the fact that no President has been tougher on Russia than me, they will be pushing very hard for the Democrats. They definitely don’t want Trump!"
- Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI14:38:00 GMT - 07/24/2018
UK PM May representative Robbins: have sounded out EU officials on Chequers proposal, but have not gotten a firm answer on whether it is acceptable or not
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Mtl JP 14:30:31 GMT - 07/24/2018
what is become patently - embarrassingly ? - obvious from player reaction is that about only thing overvalued is Lagarde
GVI Trader john 14:28:48 GMT - 07/24/2018
Its give Trump cover for pushing the USD vs. The other major currencies if he feels he needs it Keep in mind, when the US. pushes the EURUSD lower it is also pushing the EUR higher There are two sides to every forex transaction (movement)
Mtl JP 14:17:29 GMT - 07/24/2018
and the So-What of the alleged IMF pretext: players zzzz
eurdlr range: 1.1713-1.1708
Q: who is getting filthy rich ?
GVI Trader john 14:10:41 GMT - 07/24/2018
IMF giving Trump a pretext for a weak USD policy.
GVI14:09:13 GMT - 07/24/2018
IMF sees US dollar roughly 8-16% overvalued compared to levels warranted by medium term fundamentals
- Persistent excessive current account surpluses and deficits cold put global growth at risk and aggravate trade tensions; 40-50% of global current account balances are now deemed excessive
UK Brexit Department Document (White Paper details): Will Be Necessary to ensure EU laws continue to apply to Britain during Post-Brexit transition period; new Brexit laws will modify parts of the act to reflect the departure of the UK - Source TradeTheNews.com
Mtl JP 11:30:54 GMT - 07/24/2018
Turkish CB stays pat at 17.75%
USDTRY reacts massively uP
GVI Trader john 08:02:46 GMT - 07/24/2018
BREAKING NEWS: EZ Flash PMIs July 2018
ALERT
EZ
mfg: 55.1 vs. 54.6 exp. vs. 54.9 prev.
svc: 54.4 vs. 55.0 exp. vs. 55.2 prev.
German
mfg: 57.3 vs. 55.5 exp. vs. 55.9 prev.
svc: 54.4 vs. 54.5 exp. vs. 54.5 prev.
France
mfg: 53.1 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.5 prev.
svc: 55.3 vs. 55.7 exp. vs. 55.9 prev.
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
Global-View Affiliate Program
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.
Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.
Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.
Are you
looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are
more critical things to consider than you might have thought.
We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View
has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've
seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.
WARNING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRADING AND INVESTMENT IN DERIVATIVES
CAN BE VERY SPECULATIVE AND MAY RESULT IN LOSSES AS WELL AS PROFITS. FOREIGN
EXCHANGE AND DERIVATIVES TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR MANY MEMBERS OF THE
PUBLIC AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE APPLIED. THE WEBSITE DOES NOT TAKE
INTO ACCOUNT SPECIAL INVESTMENT GOALS, THE FINANCIAL SITUATION OR SPECIFIC
REQUIREMENTS OF INDIVIDUAL USERS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR FINANCIAL
SITUATION AND CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISORS AS TO THE SUITABILITY TO YOUR
SITUATION PRIOR TO MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR ENTERING INTO ANY TRANSACTIONS.
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.