APPL tho UP 10bucks (which translates into a bunch of Dow,SnP and Nas Index Points, can't hold up the MarkIT by itself.
That YUGE Treas offering next week needs some Fear to keep the 10er from going off at 3%+++
Livingston nh 00:06:30 GMT - 08/01/2018
CB - it's an interesting note that the biggest moves occur when MBS and UST both are on offer // UST is just currency w/ a coupon so nearly like for like BUT the MBS is where the the Fed is stuck // Fed had a bicephalic QE w/ MBS and UST -UST was deflationary (aka HOARDING) and MBS was new money inflationary // Fed failed to move out of the swamp by unwinding before hiking s/t term rate - hence the inversion scare
Mtl JP 16:53:06 GMT - 07/31/2018
tks but that is a LOT of words from nomura
the low yield has been 1.321
now it is at almost 3%
typically directionally stock market follows the 10-yr YIELD
Back in the heyday of the Fed's QE, it had become a trader mantra: buy stocks on POMO days, or when the Fed was actively purchasing bonds in the open market, and generate risk-free, outsized returns. It got to the point where even Goldman advised its clients to frontrun the Fed, as we documented back in October 2010, when Goldman's trading desk sent out this note: .............
On the interplay between the FED and STOCKS: Since Sept 1 – when QE was becoming a mainstream focus – if you only owned S&P on days when the Fed conducted Open Market Operations (in US Treasuries), your cumulative return is over 11%. in addition, 6 of the 7 times when S&P rallied 1% or more, OMO was conducted that day. this compares to a YTD return of 5.8%. the point: you would have outperformed the market 2x by being long on just the 16 days when – this is the important part – you knew in advance that OMO was to be conducted.
As for QT - read the link (ZeroHedge)
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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