Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” U.S. Surgeon General Dr. Jerome Adams said the next week of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States would be “our Pearl Harbor moment. It’s going to be our 9/11 moment. It’s going to be the hardest moment for many Americans in their entire lives, and we really need to understand that if we want to flatten that curve and get through to the other side, everyone needs to do their part.”
dc CB 16:46:35 GMT - 04/05/2020
Sunday on ABC’s “This Week,” former Vice President Joe Biden said President Donald Trump should have stopped air travel from China sooner than he did to fight the coronavirus pandemic:
“Well, you know, 45 nations had already moved to keep — to block China personnel from being able to come to the United States before the president moved. "
haifa ac 12:42:50 GMT - 04/05/2020
Since Jan/2019 many more millions of Americans joined that line of people who do not have more than ONE MONTH saving in their bank. They will suffer badly.
carpe diem, make the best of the present moment 8-- will be very costly.
Isaiah 22
"
13 But see, there is joy and revelry,
slaughtering of cattle and killing of sheep,
eating of meat and drinking of wine!
“Let us eat and drink,” you say,
“for tomorrow we die!”
14 The Lord Almighty has revealed this in my hearing: “Till your dying day this sin will not be atoned for,” says the Lord, the Lord Almighty. "
haifa ac 12:16:12 GMT - 04/05/2020
Oldie but goodie
Mtl JP 16:04 GMT January 13, 2019
Winners and Losers: Reply
Winners and Losers
---------------------
In a cry me a river piece by Taylor Telford in a bezos-owned rag
Now on Craigslist, Facebook: Household items from furloughed workers trying to make ends meet
..."In the United States, living paycheck to paycheck is disturbingly common, regardless of profession or location. A recent report from the Federal Reserve revealed how little cushion most Americans have in their budgets: Four in 10 adults (how 4/10 is "most" taylor does not explain) say they couldn’t produce $400 in an emergency without sliding into debt or selling something, according to the figures that surveyed households in 2017, a relatively prosperous year for the American economy." ...
Mtl JP 20:09:35 GMT - 03/31/2020
CB that is my question:
- they now have digits for "money" (= speed advantage vs physical printing)
- bank runs ? seems to me should be impossible: just add some zero's into folks accounts
- the gang is un-auditable: they can conjure up anything they imagine, pass it into law and voila , life is beautiful
I think it was Ben who said they they can let crap on their books simply expire over time and in abscurity. It is almost like a child's fantastic limitless imagination in which real-world physics laws do not exist and so folks on broomsticks fly
dc CB 19:31:23 GMT - 03/31/2020
why - WHY - it would matter
to sow confusion. very very few are paying attention, esp not Da Finan press or the MSM - who because of the lack of sports have turned the reporting on the Chinese Wuhan Virus in to a kind of Pro Golf Leader Board.
So it anyone attempts to discuss what's being put over, first is met with a alphabet soup which provides cover by second, causing anyone who tries to understand eyes to glaze over, and third, ensure that any 'discussion' can not possibly fit into a 2 minute segment or a 500 word written article.
Like I said last week when this Rescue package hit paydirt.....Obama, Timmy Geithner, and Prof Ben Bernanke were pikers, compared to this Crew
do we finally get the dump or will they hold on to window dress for the q end
Mtl JP 19:09:54 GMT - 03/31/2020
winners and losers
FIMA Repo Facility
--------------------
I am still not able to figure out why - WHY - it would matter that the FED, through all their habraka-dabra accronymous vehicules "buys" up all n any sorts of assets at its whim which, as far as I can see with my pair of eyes, can be shoveled off into obscurity and eventually be let to POOF! into nihi-land and who would be wiser for it - who would care // no audit. In other words, what is the singular matter with that ? tia
Mtl JP 22:48:38 GMT - 03/30/2020
winners and losers
mine is better than yours, see ?
chinese embassy laughing at french "democracy"
-----------------------------------------------------
..."Il semble que la performance des uns ou des autres en matière de lutte contre l'épidémie n'ait pas de rapport direct avec leur système politique. La Chine « autoritaire » a fait du bon travail. Les « démocraties » asiatiques aussi. L'important, c'est le substrat culturel. Les pays asiatiques, dont la Chine, ont été particulièrement performants dans leur lutte contre le Covid-19 parce qu'ils ont ce sens de la collectivité et du civisme qui fait défaut aux démocraties occidentales."...
When Americans awake from the corona coma like millions of Rip Van Winkles, it will matter again to be upright and to act in good faith. This will be a different country.
Do you think $20-a-barrel oil is a boon to the Happy Motoring way-of-life?
It’s going to at least bankrupt most of the companies producing shale oil, and that’s where way-more than half of our production came from in recent years.
winners and losers
anyone / who wants to complain?
-------------------------------------
Pablo Hernández de Cos, Chairman of the Basel Committee and Governor of the Bank of Spain, said: "Today's measures will free up operational capacity for banks and supervisors as they respond to the economic impact of Covid-19. The Committee will continue to closely monitor the impact of Covid-19 on banks and supervisors and respond as necessary in coordination with the Financial Stability Board and other standard-setting bodies on cross-cutting issues."
trivia canadian banks
-
lots of the puppies have exposure to:
- 1) real-estate (res & comm)
- 2) the oil sector
Mtl JP 16:32:08 GMT - 03/30/2020
trivia
like last week in canada CMHC "bought" a sh!tbag-load of mortgages from canadian banks
Mtl JP 16:24:25 GMT - 03/30/2020
CB them s benefits of "d-sib" domestic systemic designation
dc CB 16:09:55 GMT - 03/30/2020
~$20/bbl
It's the Loans that are blowing up---the $50 line in the sand isway too far away.
____________________________
CFTC PROVIDING RELIEF TO LARGE U.S. BANK ACTIVE IN OIL, GAS
charles ... s cured , now on the loose again
- msm
dc CB 15:59:12 GMT - 03/30/2020
and it's not spring on the East Coast
IT'S SPRING on the .....
dc CB 15:57:18 GMT - 03/30/2020
coughs and sneezes can travel
_________________________________
and it's not spring on the East Coast---the beginnig n of allergy season, whne flowers bloom, and tree pollen covers parked cars with a fine green and yellow dust..............and people sneeze their brains out as a matter of course, with noses red and eyes puffy.
'I'm not sick, I have allergies' is heard everywhere. the local weather reports start 'today's pollen count'
Wonder how this normal sneezy cycle will be accepted this year by a scared-sheitless public.
Mtl JP 15:50:16 GMT - 03/30/2020
what is the current seat price on elon's interplenatry spaceX,
leaving tomorow ?
dc CB 15:47:50 GMT - 03/30/2020
'you don't need a gun. Just call 911'
___________________________________________
AP News says 20% of Detroit's police force is now in quarantine; two officers have died from COVID-19, and 39 tested positive.
"We're in war footing against an invisible enemy and we are on the verge of running out of protective supplies," said Houston Police Chief Art Acevedo, president of the Major Cities Chiefs Association. "We've got hospitals calling police departments, police departments calling each other, and it's time to nationalize in terms of our response."
Former Boston Police Commissioner Ed Davis said the virus is unlike anything any law enforcement force has ever dealt with:
"We're in unprecedented territory here," said Davis, who was the top cop in Boston during the 2013 marathon bombing.
AP says 10% of NYPD officers called in sick on Friday, straining the force and jeopardizing the safety of civilians:
And if its on your food packaging that you stick in the freezer- 2 YEARS!!!
dc CB 15:42:07 GMT - 03/30/2020
Social distancing: new study suggests two metres is not enough
the new analysis by MIT has found that viral droplets expelled in coughs and sneezes can travel in a moist, warm atmosphere at speeds of 33ft to 100ft per second (ten metres to 100 metres), creating a cloud that can span approximately 23ft to 27ft (seven metres to eight metres).
Mtl JP 14:02 GMT 03/30/2020
I 100% guarantee my stops are always got hit
Sold Cable at 1.4240 this Asian morning. It has gone down to 1.2317. I then put stop at 1.4209 and got hit.
Mtl JP 14:03:23 GMT - 03/30/2020
$19.91 wti punching thru 20
Mtl JP 14:02:40 GMT - 03/30/2020
winners and losers no such thing as "100% guaranteed" (haha)
big boy/girl minds own risk
---------------------------------
Stock market won’t hit coronavirus lows until these 3 criteria are met,
winners and losers
oh oh oohh... peasants stirring
hear that Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon gets a 20% raise - cnbc ?
----------------------------------
Opinion by Jennifer W. Kuan and Stephen F. Diamond:
America’s highly paid CEOs should give their 2020 salary and stock compensation to the coronavirus fight
winners and losers
~$20/bbl
--------------------- why crude's price has good odds of riping down 5-10+bux:
nobody knows where the valves are; or which way to turn to shut them
Here’s What Oil Traders Are Doing To Profit From Ultra-Low Oil Prices
wnners and losers
--------------------
- European stocks edge lower after ECB calls for banks to halt dividends through October - feel the love?
- ‘We are now experiencing the aftershock’: As Italy’s death toll exceeds 10,000, Italians wait for the coronavirus surge to finally peak - naturally
- FBI, SEC looking into lawmakers' stock trades after coronavirus briefings: report - they acted on insider info ?
MarketWatch
Mtl JP 03:18:17 GMT - 03/30/2020
networks
----------
President Trump should copyright all his speeches
and only grant licences to quin quins
He has understood long before becoming the Chief the importance of who holds the mike last and even more importantly who controls its on/off button. There is a good reason the would be interpreters and sceneic painters of his speeches are going bannas over his use of twitter.
Caribbean! Rafe... 02:51:46 GMT - 03/30/2020
Four 5-star hotels in lucknow being used as isolation centers for doctors and paramedics, now this is kingly treatment.
Caribbean! Rafe... 02:44:58 GMT - 03/30/2020
India corona donations already cross 200mio. center orders state borders sealed, no movement across cities.
Caribbean! Rafe... 02:39:25 GMT - 03/30/2020
Over 100,000 homes in Mumbai surveyed, aka house to house searches. All India lockdown until April 15.
Caribbean! Rafe... 02:34:28 GMT - 03/30/2020
India active corona infections crosses 1100 cases.
dc CB 02:25:10 GMT - 03/30/2020
The CBS report describes as follows:
New Orleans' famous Mardi Gras celebration brought thousands of tourists to the city, and medical experts believe it might be a big factor in the city's COVID-19 outbreak. Now with Bourbon Street's famous bars all closed and people social distancing, videos show dozens of rats scurrying through the empty streets.
"I turn the corner, there's about 30 rats at the corner, feasting on something in the middle of the street," Charles Marsala of New Orleans Insider Tours and AWE News told CBS News' Omar Villafranca. Marsala said he had "never" seen anything like it before.
_________________________________________.
“It’s(the shutdown) driving our rodents crazy,” said Mayor LaToya Cantrell, reported WWL-TV.
dc CB 02:12:43 GMT - 03/30/2020
White House Extends Coronavirus Guidelines Until April 30, Trump Expects "Peak" In About 2 Weeks
Asked about the news networks not wanting to cover Trump's daily press briefings,
"When they don't want the president of the United States to have a voice...you're not talking about Democracy any longer."
Mtl JP 01:24:02 GMT - 03/30/2020
winners and losers
West Texas Inter (and Brent)
--------------------
at current ~$20, more clouds swirling around
price prospects for this instrument
Caribbean! Rafe... 01:18:37 GMT - 03/30/2020
We had a pride of Asiatic lions lurking the streets during the last monsoon season. They even tried to push open the front door to one person's home. Some officials ended up fleeing like fugitives, there was nobody to pick up distress calls from citizens, but then someone smarter was quoted by the media, in a similar article... saying "that was normal behavior", meaning crossing paths with wild leopards is a threat, but with asiatic lions absolutely normal behavior...lol...
PAR18:46:29 GMT - 03/29/2020
It can't be so difficult in France to make some medical masks. If you can make incredibly expensive "Haute Couture' , you should be able to make some masks.
But when Club Med is in problem we call.. China
When Peugeot is in problem France calls .. China
When a prestigious whine château is in problem France calls ..
So Coronavirus. History repeats itself
Mtl JP 17:15:00 GMT - 03/29/2020
winners and losers
first china gave the world its coronavirus
---------------------------------------------
next ...
Netherlands recalls hundreds of thousands of defective Chinese face masks
- It is not the only country to have imported defective medical equipment from China to tackle the disease:
- Spain announced on Thursday that it would return 640,000 rapid testing kits it had purchased from a Chinese company
- The Turkish Health Minister also revealed during a press conference on Friday that rapid testing kits samples it had received from a Chinese company did not meet the country's effectiveness standards
humanity, very probably all of it are an extreme form of "comfort junkies". be it a Maybach or €25 stolen bicycle, it's all about gaining comfort. the only personal is the definition of comfort. how much "comfort" one can gain depends on how much pain one prepared to produce. IF politicians and the voters too were aware about the basics than autonomous living was mainstream. with that said, Trump or his opponents really makes no difference, same proportion will keep being with Maybach and also with €25 stolen bicycles.
so CB, no matter the "newsfeed" connecting one to reality, reality remains global race of "comfort junkies". sometimes funnier, sometimes less funny, most of times with ideas about the "only" remedy that works, but always the same sad end. because "I don't care about the other and his rights" rules. that's the engine of rule.
nevermind if you don't get my point, longer it will not make you to live, happier living is not the goal for "comfort junkies"
the recession will last longer than most say, soon by your media supplier "how we need measure the economy after all measurement models failed?"
maybe funny, certainly sad
dc CB 03:10:48 GMT - 03/29/2020
President Trump’s Department of Homeland Security released updated guidelines naming gun manufacturers and retailers as essential on Saturday, which means they are to stay open and operational nationwide during a Chinese coronavirus shutdown.
The DHS guidelines list as essential:
Workers supporting the manufacturing of safety equipment and uniforms for law enforcement, public safety personnel, and first responders.
Workers supporting the operation of firearm or ammunition product manufacturers, retailers, importers, distributors, and shooting ranges.
___________________________________________________
We await the objections. California Bay Area residents??? What say you?
Coyotes are being seen on the empty streets of San Francisco
Mtl JP 01:42:15 GMT - 03/29/2020
winners and losers
---------------------
some folks have a prodigious way with words:
...."TALFs, Special Purpose Vehicles, Commercial Paper Funding Facilities, Repo Rescue Operations, “Helicopter Money” – stand as increasingly empty jargon phrases that signify increasingly futile efforts to paper over the essence of the situation:
Dr. Anthony Fauci:
“When you look at the different patterns of what happened in different countries, China versus South Korea versus what we’re seeing in northern Italy, it really gives you some interesting insight into certain things, not only in the explosive nature in certain places versus others, but as you get to your peak, how do you know when you’re turning the corner,” Fauci said on CNN.
“It’s when the new infections each day start to level off to be the same and then start going down, then you see the curve go down,” Fauci said, adding that Italy is “not there yet.”
“Italy got hit very badly because they had a large number of importations from China by Chinese tourists,” Fauci said.
“Before they even knew what was going on, there was enough baseline people spreading that it essentially got out of hand, and it became difficult for them, as good as they are, and they’re very good, to be able to contain it in a way that is contact-tracing. It was more mitigation,”
That vehemence has now transmogrified into the argument over whether or not to use Hydroxychloroquine alone and in combination against the Virus.
****Nevada's governor has signed an emergency order barring the use of anti-malaria drugs for someone who has the coronavirus. Democratic Gov. Steve Sisolak's order Tuesday restricting chloroquine and ****
---- A man reportedly died after ingesting a substance used to clean fish tanks that contains a form of chloroquine, a drug that President Donald Trump has claimed repeatedly could be a "game changer" in the fight against the novel coronavirus.
The additive ingested had the same active ingredient as the prescription drug chloroquine used to prevent and treat malaria, but it's formulated differently, according to Dr. Daniel Brooks, Banner Poison and Drug Information Center medical director.-----
_________________________________________________
Da NUZ is implying this was Trump's fault.
dc CB 23:10:30 GMT - 03/28/2020
Hope for better numbers to plug into those Covids prediction Models???
Regarding specifically the case of the US shutting down.
In mid Jan, it was very clear what was happening in China.
Trump, in the middle of a sham Impeachment Trial, with polyTICians daily media battles over 'the Issues that Matter': Sancturary cities, states, Open Borders, free medical care for all.....
Trump called for shutting down air travel from China and tightening border controls --- because of the threat of a 'pandemic'and a bit later, restricting air travel from Europe, specifically Italy.
He was shouted down, not only in the US but inernationally, as a Racist, a Xenophobe, a white nationalist....
This is not to laud Trump...but to point out this perverted Identity Politics will, in the end, kill more people than the virus.
Israel MacroMicro 21:37:45 GMT - 03/28/2020
my point is, there is no way on earth to convince me that this is about a virus/pandemic. you don't cure society from medical issues by ripping +99% of people from serious portion of their wealth by pushing them to act out of hysteria.
just my view
Israel MacroMicro 21:30:28 GMT - 03/28/2020
No surprise that the global shutdown has had a striking impact on mutual fund flows in the past month. Like the 12% increase in front end government holdings, and the 6% reduction in investment grade corporate holdings. Add to that a 10% reduction in emerging market assets under management, and a 9% reduction in high yield. Central banks are the only buyers.
Mtl JP 19:48:56 GMT - 03/28/2020
winners and losers
--------------------
Buy 1 oz Gold Maple Leaf Coins
Sorry, this item is out of stock
- Kitco, Royal Canadian Mint
the 1Kg ones sold out too
Mtl JP 17:54:46 GMT - 03/28/2020
winners and losers
--------------------
Trudeau: 'People showing any signs of COVID-19 will be denied boarding on all domestic flights and inter-city passenger trains.'
As of Monday at noon.
Mtl JP 16:49:31 GMT - 03/28/2020
winners and losers
--------------------
IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva: We have entered recession
"It is clear that we have entered a recession" that will be worse than in 2009, says IMF chief.
winners and losers
--------------------
increasinly looking as if biden is POOF!
in favor of cuomo
as dem's presidential candidate
Mtl JP 10:11:16 GMT - 03/28/2020
winners and losers
---------------------
ib - "The only way to deal with an unfree world is to become so absolutely free that your very existence is an act of rebellion." - as suggested by Albert Camus, author of The Pest
haifa ac 04:54:19 GMT - 03/28/2020
No doubt. It's the whick of the week.
Caribbean! Rafe... 21:13:48 GMT - 03/27/2020
Have a good weekend. all the best
Caribbean! Rafe... 21:09:02 GMT - 03/27/2020
JP// Yeah, I figured it out already. They don't stand a chance.
Mtl JP 21:05:10 GMT - 03/27/2020
jerome tries to rule from Eccles Building
avagoodone
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:58:38 GMT - 03/27/2020
JP// Ahh ha! right, I got it. sharp shooters don't stand a chance... 1:41-1:43
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:54:58 GMT - 03/27/2020
JP// curious to know who is jerome.
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:54:22 GMT - 03/27/2020
JP// okay, get in with a small one, barreled stops.
london red 20:49:18 GMT - 03/27/2020
no wick on daily either so can easily move higher monday. u want a wick on the daily or if not a lower low. we had similar pattern 4/5 march and then a drop friday. so maybe a lower low monday can kick things off. but dangerous chasing lows. prefer to sell highs if at all - real dangerous game betting against rigged game. assuming mkt is moving higher until hammered lower.
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:44:45 GMT - 03/27/2020
JP//the second to last candle watch that one.
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:42:50 GMT - 03/27/2020
who is jerome
Mtl JP 20:42:42 GMT - 03/27/2020
the whick bothers me
Mtl JP 20:39:59 GMT - 03/27/2020
rafe u think jerome's sharpshooters r gone 4 the week-end ?
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:39:56 GMT - 03/27/2020
JP// Tarkov... 2:38 - 2:40
Mtl JP 20:38:13 GMT - 03/27/2020
tictoc toc toc 2515
gunslingers time
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:37:47 GMT - 03/27/2020
JP// Go Short, barreling stops along the way.
Mtl JP 20:32:32 GMT - 03/27/2020
2515ish supp line on 5min bar
london red 20:29:57 GMT - 03/27/2020
big balls to try to outstare s&p. news will go from $hit to worse but hey mkt added 5% plus when 3m job losses announced. if this was anything else u expect a gap down on monday of maybe 1-5-2% but for me and my limited powers just a flick of a coin here.
Mtl JP 20:26:54 GMT - 03/27/2020
2524.50
-
so here I sit with an itch:
should I load an over-the-week-end snp ticket
2nd itch: which direction
tia 4 suggestions
Mtl JP 20:18:54 GMT - 03/27/2020
Montreal mayoress just declared special sanitary measures under some act
mainly aimed at bagging street rubbies and rubettes
and reserves the right to expand crowd control measures
winners and losers
more crap in the pipeline
(do not look in the keyhole)
-------------------------------
jerome and his PhD'd crew to the rescue:
Federal Reserve Considering Additional Support for State, Local Government Finance - wsj
looks like some cold feet ahead of a v long wknd. set to close below 200wk ma for another wk.
Israel MacroMicro 19:36:57 GMT - 03/27/2020
jp
#MAGA
Mtl JP 19:32:03 GMT - 03/27/2020
almost like laurel n hardy
clowns cuoma and trump duking it out
over ventilators
Mtl JP 18:59:22 GMT - 03/27/2020
and DLR cascade continues
Mtl JP 17:37:10 GMT - 03/27/2020
Bank of Canada
"We work to preserve the value of money by keeping inflation low and stable"
------
During his announcement of loping off interest to 1/4% in same breath poloz said about the 1/4% "a rate we consider lowest possible"
Mtl JP 17:24:02 GMT - 03/27/2020
here in Mtl govt now talking of China/Israel - like neighbourhood police/army people movement controls. talk only sofar.
dc CB 17:22:20 GMT - 03/27/2020
red
that was a monthly, this is a quarterly. Plus Stox and at the time Bonds were near ATH.
Mtl JP 17:16:40 GMT - 03/27/2020
2535-ish
-
12:59 House set to pass $2 trillion coronavirus stimulus package today, but Kentucky Republican’s move may delay voting - MarketWatch
so still a headline risk either dir
Mtl JP 17:13:13 GMT - 03/27/2020
$503.25
---------
01:03 Buy Tesla Stock, Wall Street Says. A Comeback Will Happen Eventually. - Barron's
ps / as big boyz n galz, risk control is your responsability
london red 16:20:16 GMT - 03/27/2020
CB, off top of head most visible (rocket fuel) feb rebalance took place during last 60-90 mins of last feb session. but i will check on that.
dc CB 15:50:04 GMT - 03/27/2020
red
dow. only new lows equals more money
I think we'll have to wait for the end of the quarter after the Models rebalance portfolios to have a clue whether or not 'this sucker's goin' down'- GWB 2008 --
so after April 2, 3(NFP)
swiss frank 15:39:07 GMT - 03/27/2020
Yeah thats kind of right. Its a risk reward thing just like trading or any decision making process that goes: Oops I'm on the wrong side of this. I can cut loss now (lock everything down) and its going to cost X. OR I can take my chances. Maybe it gets better (hope- is it a strategy or not?). Maybe it gets worse and then it's going to cost 10 times X. What do you do?
london red 15:38:37 GMT - 03/27/2020
money extraction inverse relationship to dow. only new lows equals more money as trump keen to restart so paying workers a gonner soon.
dc CB 15:37:27 GMT - 03/27/2020
Obama,Timmy Geithner, and Prof Ben Bernanke were pikers compared to the current Team
Mtl JP 15:35:58 GMT - 03/27/2020
Trump appears pissed w/mary at gm
c his twitter
dc CB 15:20:11 GMT - 03/27/2020
frank
But ultimately it's the result that counts:
The extraction of $2 TRILLION from the 'Murican Taxpayer...after a single week of panic. With more to come.
And I'm sure that Extraction Model is running: MAX-EXTRACT 20
swiss frank 14:58:35 GMT - 03/27/2020
Then its the manual overrides that are the problem for a place like Spain where they had the information and failed to act. March 8 they allowed a march of 100,000 people to walk through the center of Madrid. March 11 they said no to closing off the city. As IB says clowns to the left and allow me to finish jokers to the right, here I am, stuck in the middle...
dc CB 14:54:23 GMT - 03/27/2020
swiss frank 13:30 GMT
Maybe they are considering things like
_____________________________________
Of course. But you can't think that this Model(as well as many models) used did not EXIST --- probably for decades...just plug in the name of the current Disease, and run the numbers.
So when China went into lockdown in Jan...take this Model and plug in WUHAN VIRUS...shut down Travel and Restrict Border entry. In January.
Again based on the Model.
london red 14:46:17 GMT - 03/27/2020
lets see what happens at those sups first. they got their cash so another run at 2640 poss. Even 2850 doable before they roll over for retest of lows. I prefer to buy dips as there are far many more up bars than down bars after a dip so odds of success higher.
dc CB 14:37:02 GMT - 03/27/2020
as I noted yest REPOs are soooooo yesterday, non of the cool-kids do REPO anymore.
Today's REPO --done.
Single Day, due back Mon - 6.75Bln. 0.1%
Term 84 Days due June 19 --- NO Submissions
Mtl JP 14:26:39 GMT - 03/27/2020
or... has already filled on "purchasing" $125 billion of securities, corporate bonds, asset-backed securities, municipal bonds, and mortgage-backed securities and exhausted the $300 billion treasury backed lending program
set up as Main Street loan facility with unlimited QE
Mtl JP 14:21:09 GMT - 03/27/2020
red currently 2350 looks far
unless jerome's gang goes delinquent / asleep
Mtl JP 14:01:27 GMT - 03/27/2020
BoC
now at 1/4%
--------------
after it cut its rate earlier again and
announced it is buying bonds
thanking coronavirus
london red 13:36:29 GMT - 03/27/2020
snp. sup 2500/03 2440/30 res by 2597/2640/46
swiss frank 13:30:02 GMT - 03/27/2020
Maybe they are considering things like
- Maybe not 50,000 or 200,000 or 400,000 deaths (per country) now but by ___, __, 2021?
- Who's on the front line here? Medical professionals (mostly). Can our system sustain a loss or incapacitation of 50%?
- What is the physical capacity of our health care infrastructure? Can it sustain a very large influx of sick AND contagious people within a few weeks?
- What should we do, Something? or Nothing?
Just thinking out loud (kind of)...
Paris ib 13:23:09 GMT - 03/27/2020
The U.S. did not close down because 1,300 deaths (as of today) but because of model projections.
The ones that predicted Italy would have 400,000 deaths by now. The whole thing is a complete farce.
Paris ib 13:17:57 GMT - 03/27/2020
Yeah it did, absolutely.
dc CB 13:17:15 GMT - 03/27/2020
so I ask again Did the US shut down, did the world go on lock down Based on a MODEL?
Paris ib 13:11:41 GMT - 03/27/2020
CB anybody who knows anything about the 'Independent Variable' (a seriously hilarious concept) knows all these models are b.llshit at the get go. What they rely on is everyone's eyes glazing over as soon as bag loads of numbers get thrown around, which is what happens. Computer models are just smoke and mirrors for the pseudo-experts.
dc CB 12:53:22 GMT - 03/27/2020
****We don't need more Gretas****
indeed. Nor do we need more Al Gores.
But, The Models show!!!!!!.
Did the US shut down it's entire economy based on a Model???
Did the 'modeler' jus change some inputs and now changes his mind?
************************************Imperial College London's Neil Ferguson - who originally estimated 500,000 deaths in the UK due to Coronavirus, now says that the virus will peak in just two or three weeks, and that UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, according to NewScientist
Ferguson - whose 'Terrifying' research from just 10 days ago predicted 2.2 million deaths in the US and that the UK would need to be under quarantine for 18 months or more - now says
His reasoning is that estimates of the virus's transmissibility are much higher than previously thought - and that many more people have gotten it than we realize, making it less dangerous overall.
Trump presents his version of 'arbeit macht frei'
seems he is bit panicked about his hotels.
Paris ib 07:00:22 GMT - 03/27/2020
"Dr. Deborah Birx told reporters on Thursday. She noted that the alarmist statistics about the spread of the virus said Italy would reach 400,000 deaths by now, but the actual death toll was nowhere near that."
People working in the front line in Italy have noted a disturbing trend: deaths where a significant number of other health problens are present (terminal cancer, heart failure, chronic illness) are simply being chalked up to the Beer Virus.
This has left these workers scratching their head! The books are being cooked in Italy!
"Entire US states have put much of their population under house arrest over the past two weeks based on doomsday models of Covid-19 spread and mortality rates amplified by alarmist activist groups."
Pelosi also asserted that the House would pass the $2.2 trillion economic stimulus package on Friday
The Speaker will hold a voice vote, where members say 'aye' or 'nay' from the House floor
She said if someone tries to force a recorded vote she would change the rules
The new rules would give a small group of lawmakers the power to vote on behalf of the larger group of congressmen and women on the floor
Pelosi says the package will be on Donald Trump's desk for signature by Friday
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) officially joined the congressional Over 80s Club on Thursday.
Pelosi joins several other octogenarians in Congress:
House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-MD): 80
Rep. Maxine Waters (D-CA): 81
Rep. Don Young (R-AK): 86
Rep. John Lewis (D-GA): 80
Rep. Hal Rogers (R-KY): 82
Del. Eleanor Holmes Norton (D-DC): 82
House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn (D-SC) will turn 80 in July.
The two oldest members of the U.S. Senate — both 86 — are Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) and Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA).
Minneapolis DRS2 00:56:25 GMT - 03/27/2020
From what I've read in various news articles, the differences between Germany and France are numerous, making comparison difficult.
For example, a CNN article I read states that not only were the German cases diagnosed earlier than the French cases, but the German cases that were diagnosed were largely of older Germans coming back from skiing vacations. They were therefore more fit in spite of their advanced age, and better able to withstand illness.
You can read similar tales in other countries. Yeah, Italy was hard-hit, but Italian cities are chock-full of Chinese families on vacation...stuff like that.
Mtl JP 00:38:27 GMT - 03/27/2020
winners and losers
curious mind wants to know
--------------------------------
WHY:
- the German Covid-19 mortality rate is about 0.4%
- France's is around 5%
Mtl JP 06:09:36 GMT - 03/24/2020
winners and losers
---------------------
(Reuters) G20 says developing action plan to deal with global pandemic
... but they offered no specifics.
winners and losers
--------------------
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has endorsed an emergency short selling prohibition (France, Italy, Belgium, Spain and Greece) for a period of up to three months.
Bottom Line
At my dealer, currently, I am no longer able to short sell French or Italian stocks.
Measure does not apply to Index products.
london red 08:41:40 GMT - 03/20/2020
JP ft100 rocketed higher but is off 150 off high to close to 5250.
as i said yest, until 2350 broken on close, they will try to rally each and every time it holds. 2640 is even poss today. the buy on dip bull is not close to being broken. to do that they would need to move under 1500/1600.
Mtl JP 08:41:34 GMT - 03/20/2020
There are at least 195 active reported cases of COVID-19 in India.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday addressed the nation and requested citizens to stay at home. The PM urged India’s 1.3 billion citizens to put themselves under self-curfew on Sunday (March 22) to protect themselves from the coronavirus, hours after the government announced it was barring all international flights from landing in the country for a week starting March 22.
Your feeds are indeed correct. Why?
- March madness triple witching effect near completion?
- No new infections in China for 2 days now from communal sources?
- Other?
swiss frank 08:37:43 GMT - 03/20/2020
That is just idiotic (the cancellation). You'd think now more than ever they would want to know who's ready and who's not. There's just incompetence at every corner. Would it not send more of 'we're in front of this signal' that lends an iota of confidence to say they are proceeding in the efforts of full preparedness?
Mtl JP 08:34:21 GMT - 03/20/2020
europeans stocks uP massively
----------------------------------
can someone confirm that my feed is not hallucinating plz
that will send the 'correct' signal to the market, panic starts in 1...2...
Mtl JP 08:26:11 GMT - 03/20/2020
Circumstance diktates:
Bank of England cancels bank stress tests
dont want to who is insolvent eh ?
dont want dominos to trrrrrtt
Mtl JP 07:06:39 GMT - 03/20/2020
winners and losers
---------------------
Playboy magazine announced that it will be ending its print edition, due in part to the coronavirus pandemic.
in part.. haha.. load of any reason good reason opportunity bs
Mtl JP 07:01:25 GMT - 03/20/2020
winners and losers
Brent ~29, WTI 27.50
------------------------
Trump says he will enter Saudi-Russia oil fray at appropriate time
Reuters MARCH 19, 2020
To get the price uP, I suspect "diplomatic push to get Saudi Arabia to close its taps and using the threat of sanctions on Russia to force them to reduce output" is a DJT delusion as Vladimir is - imo - highly aware when someone is holding his nutsack and when he is doing the holding of someone else's nutbag.
Mtl JP 12:07:35 GMT - 03/16/2020
ya... once inflation and recession
they ll be raising rates ... which in turn will kneecap the economies more
heil the PhDs with fiats !
kl shawn 12:04:36 GMT - 03/16/2020
i thought silver was labelled in golden ink as trade of the decade?
swiss frank 11:50:11 GMT - 03/16/2020
Silver having kind of a tough day.
Somewhere this has got to be a buy tho as once inflation, recession, starts to kick in... Question is where? 10.00? 7.50? 5.00?
Mtl JP 21:11:05 GMT - 03/15/2020
MaMi 18:27 maybe coz my current priority focus is 16:39
everything else, really, is just circumstance
Israel MacroMicro 21:03:59 GMT - 03/15/2020
YOU cannot be played
YOU look for facts
Paris ib 20:58:25 GMT - 03/15/2020
Why were Italian petrol wholesalers told to stock pile fuel (as in wartime) before the Wuhan Coronavirus was even being reported on? We are being played.
Paris ib 20:56:17 GMT - 03/15/2020
The people calling for these extreme measures are lunatics. They got them through here overnight without a whimper of protest. What's next on the agenda?
Thank god for Trump. If that makes me a red neck so be it.
Who, I wonder, is behind the orchestrated panic mongering in the press? Who planned this?
dc CB 20:51:55 GMT - 03/15/2020
ib
just trying to fill in how fast the attitudes are changing here in the US...the most Liberal leaders...NY Gov Cuomo and NYC mayr DeBlassio, and the west coast Washinton state Gov...are now in the forefront calling for Lock-It Down.
3 mos ago they were screaming 'xenophobe, racist, white supremisist' open borders, free medical care for all. Illegal immigrants should be able to Vote.
Now they want The Feds to step in --- basically because they themselves don't have a plan or a clue about how to even form a plan. For four years they have ridden the "OrangeManBad" message...to No Where
Paris ib 20:44:56 GMT - 03/15/2020
Trump for the most part has been restrained and sensible. Be grateful for that and let him have his 10cents of publicity.
The guys you have to worry about appear sensible and well dressed and then announce lock down and introduce economic chaos. Ask yourself what these guys are going to do for an encore? They have just wrecked the economy. What next?
dc CB 20:42:42 GMT - 03/15/2020
Mexico is considering closing its border with the US due to Corona
Virus. the threat if from the North...the Mex gov says...the virus crossing over from California.
Mtl JP 20:39:30 GMT - 03/15/2020
Classic, priceless Trump's insane raving
Paris ib 20:38:18 GMT - 03/15/2020
Sorry CB but the situation in the media is already out of control. We have lock down, economic shut down, check points and restrictions on travel.. and that is spreading and intensifying based mostly on media hysteria and misreporting, together with politicians who are obviously following a game plan we have no information on. The economic consequences will be catastrophic and that's if we all come to our senses now. I don't think that is happening.
From where I am standing the global financial market and economic situation looks fragile. Throw martial law and hysteria about a virus into the mix and the impact will be felt for decades. Not in a good way. I know we can't necessarily close this down now but inflaming this is not in anyone's interests. gl gts
dc CB 19:31:10 GMT - 03/15/2020
Keep listening to ZeroHedge.... try to make money off this. Good luck with that.
real useful cmmt
Israel MacroMicro 19:20:58 GMT - 03/15/2020
ib - special offer for you
€0.99 per day and I provide you with white flag to wave against hysteria army. I gave up officially to having conversation based of facts with them.
just recording people when they are doing the hysteria gigs. month ahead I will play to them the recordings. I think 98% to deny it's them and 2% probably to be able to take a joke on themselves.
Paris ib 19:12:22 GMT - 03/15/2020
CB we have Europe wide lock down because of 19 deaths attributed to Coronavirus?
The press is a sick institution.
Yeah, go ahead, call for more Martial Law, that's where we're going.
First they came for the socialists,
and I did not speak out—because I was not a socialist.
Then they came for the trade unionists,
and I did not speak out— because I was not a trade unionist.
Then they came for the Jews,
and I did not speak out—because I was not a Jew.
Then they came for me—
and there was no one left to speak for me.
Keep listening to ZeroHedge.... try to make money off this. Good luck with that.
"MORE THAN 50% OF THE 300 #COVIDー19 CASES IN CRITICAL CONDITION IN FRANCE ARE UNDER 60,"
in the Netherlands, over half are reportedly under 50 years old.
"Today there are between forty and fifty corona patients in critical condition on Dutch intensive care units. “More than half of those patients are under fifty years old. There are also young people. "" That says chairman of the Dutch Association for Intensive Care (NVIC) Diederik Gommers, in an interview with this site." -AD.nl
another useful cuck...you go girl...really useful info....
___________________________________________
Sunday on MSNBC’s “AM Joy,” Washington Post opinion writer Jennifer Rubin argued there would be fewer Democrat coronavirus deaths because they are adhering to suggestions offered by experts and the media.
In contrast, she argued Republicans are skeptical and more susceptible to death from the coronavirus.
“[T]here is a particular cruelty, irony that it is their core viewers, the Republican older viewers, who are the most at risk,”
Israel MacroMicro 18:27:30 GMT - 03/15/2020
Macron's stupidity and disconnect
how you missed that brute?
Mtl JP 18:27:04 GMT - 03/15/2020
in french:
"«Je suis garant de la sécurité, de la santé de nos concitoyens mais également de la vie démocratique de notre pays», a également voulu rappeler Emmanuel Macron.
winners and losers
--------------------
Reuters / Pascal Rossignol
MACRON: “I GUARANTEE THE HEALTH OF OUR CITIZENS BUT ALSO OF DEMOCRATIC LIFE”
I could not find what the alleged guarantee actually is.
Minneapolis DRS2 19:05:06 GMT - 03/13/2020
JP 18:37 I use multiple accounts for the same reason anybody would use multiple accounts...to split up my trades. In my case, I enter longs in one account and shorts in another, with separate stops and limits. There is nothing more to it than that.
The market moves in both directions, so separating the trades makes them easier to track and manage. It is no different in theory or practice than what any other business does with their transactions...they list buys in one book and sells in another. If one book or another is really profitable or is losing money, appropriate action can be taken as needed.
In the US, where FIFO is now an issue, splitting the trades make individual trades slightly easier to manage. This isn't a problem in countries where hedging is allowed, but in the US it isn't.
I've heard of situations where traders split everything up into separate buy/sell accounts per currency pair, but I've never found the need for that kind of granularity. Perhaps if I worked in huge volumes I would.
Mtl JP 18:37:14 GMT - 03/13/2020
Knez 14:35, 14:56 // DRS2 14:41, 14:51
----------------------------------------------
To distinguish between just bragging vs sharing something positive from which to learn
posting back office (say ytd) should pose no problem ?
drs2 I be particularly interested in seeing your dual account tactic's great working advantage
TIA
Mtl JP 08:35:53 GMT - 03/11/2020
Is the ECB Facing Its Coronavirus Moment?
Bloomberg·2 hr ago
Christine Lagarde Should Worry Less About the Germans Now
Bloomberg·2 hr ago
----
EURO 1.1326
I maintain shorting bias, prefer selling rallies
Israel MacroMicro 08:35:28 GMT - 03/11/2020
based on facts the UK positioned very well for recovery.
point is more about the Asian buyers of UK toys capable to pay. no recovery in Asia Pacific and internal UK issues may hit the fan. social stuff
Mtl JP 08:30:42 GMT - 03/11/2020
with that 50pt cut odds are BoE shot its load
for the year
see how long it takes for GBP to re-gain 1.30 +
Mtl JP 08:25:25 GMT - 03/11/2020
I do not see Justin "ccp-fans' Trudeau hoping over to china to eagerly shake his wuhan coronaV victorious hero's hands (xi is still wearing mask while claiming "victory!") liars know
bali sja 08:14:08 GMT - 03/11/2020
JP, what are the odds of Justin "ccp-fans' Trudeau got infected with CoV first than Trump?
Mtl JP 08:10:25 GMT - 03/11/2020
Brent about $37
wti about $34
Canadian crap about $21
-
Gold only 1660-ish off about $40 its recent high
Trump wants to scrap payroll tax (to 0% for rest of 2020)
coronaV tests to be no-charge to ~240 million murrikans
Q: wanna be tested , wanna be caught ?
Mtl JP 07:52:32 GMT - 03/11/2020
so you buying long term bonds?
hand over fist ?
bali sja 07:42:29 GMT - 03/11/2020
race to toilet, every CB cuts rate, soon negative rates all over the world and endless QE, go fiat
Israel MacroMicro 07:41:30 GMT - 03/11/2020
ECB/BOJ/SNB must inject super bazooka. companies under their regional mandate are dividend payers. pension funds and so on. you know how it works out at the end.
london red 07:30:02 GMT - 03/11/2020
not much ecb can do. 0.1/0.2 cut at best, more qe. but like pushing on a string as far as helping folks get back to normal.
HK Kevin 07:23:27 GMT - 03/11/2020
Now the ball will be passed to ECB tmr
Belgrade Knez 07:12:54 GMT - 03/11/2020
they announce it earlier as they want to surprise all UK boys before they come to work .... or they force them to get out of the bed much earlier today .....
london red 07:10:32 GMT - 03/11/2020
there were rumours yesterday that they would coordinate with downing street - today is budget today and it will spend big.
Belgrade Knez 07:05:49 GMT - 03/11/2020
since when BOE announcing rates so early!??
london red 07:04:55 GMT - 03/11/2020
boe cuts 0.50%
dc CB 04:04:36 GMT - 03/11/2020
President Paul von Hindenburg
nah, that's way too ob...
dc CB 03:58:43 GMT - 03/11/2020
Biden speaks after his win.
My fellow Americans, we have to once again lead the world. Donald Trump’s “America First” policies made America alone. You know, in the fight against climate change, we have to rally the rest of the world to act, and act now. Rejoin the Paris Climate Accord on Day One. Make it clear to our allies that we’ll honor our commitments, that our word can be trusted.
[Applause]
And make clear to our adversaries that we will stand fast in restoring world order. That’s the American responsibility.
[Applause]
dc CB 02:18:49 GMT - 03/11/2020
that was inevitable, when BBG blew out, and all the rest dropped out and endorsed Biden.
And here he is this morning --- the Next President of the USA...on the campaign trail ......the video is out there.
________________________________________
Joe Biden on Tuesday, telling a Detroit autoworker "You're full of censored!" when he was accused of "actively trying to end our Second Amendment Right."
"I support the Second Amendment," said Biden, adding : "The Second Amendment - just like right now, if you yell "fire," that's not free speech... From the very beginning, I have a shotgun, I have a 20-gauge, I have a 12-gauge, my sons hunt. Guess what, you're not allowed to own any weapon."
"I'm not taking your gun away, at all," Biden continued - to which the man interjects "You were on video saying you were going to take our guns away," to which Biden replies "I did not say that."
"You did! It's in a viral video!" the man claps back.
Then Biden says "Wait, wait, wait, wait, I'll take your AR-14s"
Mtl JP 02:09:30 GMT - 03/11/2020
CNN now announcing that the vt communist's goose is cooked
Mtl JP 01:59:36 GMT - 03/11/2020
Looks like the VT communist is POOF !
Mtl JP 23:45:29 GMT - 03/10/2020
winners and losers
propaganda: 1
peasants: 0
-------------
Xi Focus: Moment of truth: Xi leads war against COVID-19
The Biden Presidency.
(Obama's 3rd Term).
That's the plan kids.
In the line up for the First Draft Cabinet Picks.
_____________________________________________
John Kerry, Susan Rice, Mike Bloomberg, Sally Yates, Sen. Elizabeth Warren ......
winners and losers
and agony of astrology
---------------------
He Retired the Week the Dow Slid 12%. Consider It a Wake-Up Call to Check Your Portfolio. - Barron's Online
Mtl JP 15:39:08 GMT - 03/09/2020
red sage advice; I concur
london red 15:35:05 GMT - 03/09/2020
tesla can stay insane more than u have cash JP and i hope u have a ton of it but even so tesla can outrun all bank account! i think the preferred trade is to mop up tesla bulls once gap filled. that shs thats is building will get u there. and fwiw there are much easier shorts. better to feed yourself with a small spoon than get banged on the head with a lrg one!
Mtl JP 15:32:00 GMT - 03/09/2020
winners and losers
Gap musing
-
This is one highly alluring Gap. The mistake I have made is that I looked at its lable and because I can not chase away my predjudice, it is caused my anxiety about trading it to go up which in my case is not a good thing as it is obviously affecting my profit-gathering ability. Emotion and opinion can be a nega-beetch
london red 09:44:35 GMT - 03/06/2020
nfp likely from good to a beat, but its taken from the week of feb 12th, so its completely irrelevant. all you can say is that in the event of a fall off there today, it had nothing to do with coronavirus as fallout began a few days later.
kl fs 09:38:16 GMT - 03/06/2020
nfp leaked?
Belgrade Knez 09:01:07 GMT - 03/06/2020
london red
under which level you will consider eurusd up move is over, please?
london red 08:42:13 GMT - 03/06/2020
us 10 prints under 0.80%
london red 08:41:44 GMT - 03/06/2020
euro nxt key res by 11340. more lrg stops abv 11412 high.
london red 07:02:45 GMT - 03/06/2020
s&p 2973/75 is key sup
kl fs 04:08:26 GMT - 03/06/2020
CB kings are naked
kl fs 04:08:01 GMT - 03/06/2020
BOJ and SNB will be teased really hard
Mtl JP 03:58:48 GMT - 03/06/2020
USDYEN 105.78
Tokyo understands
dc CB 02:59:30 GMT - 03/06/2020
bottom shelf 1.75L are Long Gone Sold Out
Not the Onion...or any poser like it.
After Purell Sells Out, Titos Says Stop Using Vodka As Hand Sanitizer
"While it would be good for business... it would be a shame to waste the good stuff, especially if it doesn't sanitize (which it doesn't, per the CDC)."
Mtl JP 00:22:20 GMT - 03/06/2020
winners and losers
it's been said laughs best he who laughs last
-------------------------------------------------
winners and losers
--------------------
08:49 UPDATE: Inovio speeds up development of coronavirus vaccine, plans human trials in U.S. in April
08:49 Inovio shares soar 25% premarket
- MarketWatch
I am not sure how one speeds up things biological
Mtl JP 18:14:38 GMT - 03/02/2020
ouch ... disney s a $100+ stock
the diff between men and boys is price of their toys
when it comes to playing stocks I am a boy
(more the $2 dvd rental than $20x2+popcorn type)
BUT thx for view, in case puppy comes down to my affordability level
london red 18:06:20 GMT - 03/02/2020
def pick up disney on weakness. real momentum for its streaming which is just taking off. at least a year or two of easy subscribers for it.
Mtl JP 18:02:50 GMT - 03/02/2020
winners and losers
ps / due diligence is your responsibility
-------------------------------------------
Five ways investors can cash in on coronavirus stock slump,
hypocricy from chinese communists
---------------------------------------
REUTERS FEB 26, 2020
China to Russia: End discriminatory coronavirus measures against Chinese
“The special monitoring of Chinese nationals on Moscow’s public transportation does not exist in any country, even in the United States and in Western states,” the Chinese Embassy letter, dated Feb. 24, whined. bua-ahhhhh
Enter chinese communists' mouthpiece with this whine (his "opinion"): Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
Editor-in-chief of Chinese and English editions of the Global Times
18h
The US hasn’t imposed much restrictions on large scale gatherings, and individuals are not taking particular precautionary measure. The President stressed the risk is low. In my opinion, all this makes the US vulnerable to coronavirus.
Israel MacroMicro 09:57:00 GMT - 02/29/2020
you should call Saul if you are a Chinese bank. who else can help your clients with such data?
at least it's data of the past and may show that some knew what's ahead :)
Mtl JP 09:20:26 GMT - 02/29/2020
physically, the made-in-china virus is 30-50nm
dispelling size matters myth, its effect appears inversely dispoportional knocking the communists' manufacturing into the toilet:
China PMIs February:
Manufacturing 35.7 vs expt'd 45.0
Non-manufacturing 29.6 expt'd 51.0
Composite 28.9 vs 53.0 prior
IF I were a chinese bank ...
Mtl JP 00:46:58 GMT - 02/29/2020
winners and losers
---------------------
saturday chinese communists pump out their
EUR/DLR
-
which leg has the bigger energy:
is the market buying euros OR selling the dlr ?
Minneapolis DRS2 02:21:17 GMT - 02/27/2020
Something else to consider re: EUR/USD...over the past couple of days, selling has resulted in tiny and incremental price drops. Buying, on the other hand, has resulted in larger price jumps. For right now, buying will get you more than selling.
Minneapolis DRS2 02:15:57 GMT - 02/27/2020
Sja Only you can decide if selling is right for you. For what it's worth, on a 15m chart EUR/USD has been banging on the ceiling for a couple of days now. Every dip bought.
Personally, I would suggest buying with stops until your stops are tripped. That way, you are following the strong side of the market, which at the immediate moment is to buy. This may change in an instant, but that's what your stops are for.
When your stops are tripped, then you may consider selling.
Bali Sja 01:50:50 GMT - 02/27/2020
So sell euro guys? Euro is capped under 50ma 10910 according to GV chartpoints
Mtl JP 00:19:47 GMT - 02/27/2020
Winners and losers
a chinese communist mouthpiece never sleeps; it is why a chinese communist can never be trusted
----------
Hu Xijin 胡锡进’s Tweets
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
·
8h
A total of 427 new coronavirus cases were confirmed in places outside China on Tuesday, exceeding 411 new cases in China for the first time. This is a turning point, signaling the main battlefield of COVID-19 is shifting from China to outside China.
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
·
13h
I think now the US is the country with potential large uncertainties. Many doubt that the US has only 57 cases of coronavirus. It can't be ruled out there is problem with the diagnosis. COVID-19 is probably the biggest variable to the US economy and US presidential election.
Quote Tweet
CDC
@CDCgov
· Feb 25
Now is the time for US businesses, hospitals, and communities to begin preparing for the possible spread of #COVID19. CDC continues to work with business, education & healthcare sectors, encouraging employers to be prepared. Learn more: https://bit.ly/2w3HujZ.
A beautiful lady? Yeah, a lady whose alleged beauty comes from tons of makeup, implants, drugs and booze. Some beauty!
Mtl JP 16:14:34 GMT - 02/26/2020
winners and loosers
and sometimes would-be poets
----------------------------------
Billionaire Leon Cooperman says he just ‘lost a lot of money’ in market drop sparked by a ‘blemish’ on a ‘beautiful lady’ ... just like most investors, (haha, self-consolattion) but at this point, he says he’s a buyer in this market.
brc retial sales monitor for jan 2020 recorded a gain of 0.4%. essential and non essentials showed gains but electronics and clothing suffered. with f/c for 0.8/0.9% at bottom of the hour for the ons number, think chasing a gain is on a hiding to nothing. mkt tends to move some time ahead of the data and "predicts" its outcome. the less said about that the better.
dc CB 08:20:43 GMT - 02/20/2020
The Murdock boys,---now under Disney's Iger, (and with Pop Murdock's ok??)
On the night prior to the democrat Debates--staring Mikey---send Tucker Carlson on Fox to tell viewers:
Asian markets mixed after China cuts loan prime rate
- Marketwatch
dc CB 19:16:27 GMT - 02/19/2020
and report form the 'Titanic' 2020
Professor Kentaro Iwata of the Faculty of Infectious Diseases at Kobe University reported:
“The cruise ship was completely inadequate in terms of controlling infections,” he said in one of them.
“There was not a single infection control professional on the ship, nor anyone professionally involved in infection prevention. The bureaucrats were in charge of everything.”
winners and losers
instead of choking off funding and disbanding the globlist cesspool
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
@DrTedros
·
2h
Thank you #Canada for your contribution, solidarity and commitment to keep the world safe.
@WHO
will continue working with all countries to stop #COVID19 outbreak.
Quote Tweet
Canada in Geneva 🍁
@CanadaGeneva
· 2h
🇨🇦 pleased to provide $2M to @WHO to help countries prepare and respond to #COVID-19 + 16 tons of PPEs to 🇨🇳 to support its response. Thanks @DrTedros +team for your tireless efforts. Solidarity w/ people in 🇨🇳 affected by this emergency. #FactsNotFear #TogetherEnsemble
children ... the children ... shameless use of "children" meme
--------------------------------------------------------------------
World Health Organization (WHO)
@WHO
·
2h
If 🌏🌍🌎 warming exceeds 4°C by the year 2100 in line with current projections, this would lead to devastating health consequences for children, due to:
🌊 rising ocean levels
🥵 heatwaves
⚕️ proliferation of diseases like malaria, dengue & malnutrition.
http://bit.ly/2P8eUop
winners and losers
lost output ... less to consume ... give the planet a break ?
----------------------------------------------------------------
The coronavirus could cost the global economy more than $1tn in lost output if it turns into a pandemic, according to a leading economic forecaster.
looks like everything is up, gold, silver, stocks and oil soon, only euro to toilet, painful drop to 0.85 and 1.10 marks year's top?
Jkt Abel 02:23:18 GMT - 02/19/2020
..and for some reasons Trump is not complaining anymore about fed and usd, everything is so good?
HK RF@ 01:52:47 GMT - 02/19/2020
.
Falun Gong members, likely to disappear mysteriously together with the corona virus.
Minneapolis DRS2 23:08:18 GMT - 02/18/2020
The Cayman Islands aren't all they don't know...in recent news, it seems that Telemundo stumped Klobuchar and Steyer when the presenter asked the name of Mexico's president (Obrador)...
dc CB 22:47:32 GMT - 02/18/2020
wait wait, tell me if you have heard this one:
Question that was rejected by the DNC (Media) outright, when proposed for this Wednesday's CandyDate Debase(ment).
With 'suprise guest' debasementer, Mikey.
*****the Cayman Islands are ISLANDS, and so is Bermuda.
Can you find them on a Globe Map?
haha - how about the cambodian leader famously complacent about the coronavirus generously rolling out red carpet, flowers and buffet for a cruise ship and now britts and others are hunting those ("uk government is scrambling to contact scores of British travellers") who disembarked and dis-appeared ...
dc CB 18:25:33 GMT - 02/18/2020
Twisted thoughts:
will the Diamond Princess be remembered as the 21st Century Titanic???
winners and losers
Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right
------------------------------------------------
Netanyahu’s corruption trial to begin on March 17, Israeli Justice Ministry says
Mtl JP 10:38:48 GMT - 02/18/2020
winners and losers
IF medical professionals can not be protected and be safe, how can the peasants ?
--------------------
Dr. Liu Zhiming, a physician on the front line of the outbreak, is the most senior of the more than 1,700 medical workers who have contracted the virus. Liu Zhiming, 51, a neurosurgeon and the director of the Wuchang Hospital in Wuhan, died shortly before 11 a.m. on Tuesday, the Wuhan health commission said.
- msm
Mtl JP 09:44:12 GMT - 02/18/2020
winners and losers
--------------------
HSBC to cut 35,000 jobs as part of plan to scale back operations
- MarketWatch
(NYSE: HSBC $37.94 USD −0.29 (0.76%))
Israel MacroMicro 21:39:33 GMT - 02/09/2020
meanwhile Pompeo attacks China but that's another opera
... Xi Jinping called on all officials to quickly work together to contain a deadly new virus at a rare meeting of top leaders, saying the outcome would directly impact social stability in the country. ...
- bbrg
dc CB 00:28:38 GMT - 02/04/2020
Peaze take note of the 'war for your mind'...(yes I do know that's the notorius InfoWars slogan --- the website threatened by HRC during the 2016 campaign)....is suddenly 'above the fold' since thge month changed over to Nov minus one less --- 10months.
ICYMI -- ZeroHedge v Twitter the first casualty of the war.
noticed that JustIN is sporting a beard, his minister as well.. Cohibas next, in the PressPhotos
For business travel, executive approval means approval of corporate management. Practically speaking, this generallly means that only upper management is approved.
Mtl JP 00:09:02 GMT - 02/04/2020
executive approval only
elites make rules to which peasants are subjugated
elites vs peasants
Minneapolis DRS2 00:00:40 GMT - 02/04/2020
Local (to my area) scuttlebutt says that business travel to/from mainland China is either temporarily banned, or is now executive approval only.
Business travel to/from other places in the region (South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Philippines) is proceeding as usual.
It should be noted that the US State Department issued a China travel warning today. Most large US companies that I know of take heed of such warnings, so don't expect a lot of activity until the virus outbreak blows over.
Mtl JP 23:39:12 GMT - 02/03/2020
So Shanghai dropped 7.7% ... or some $400 billion loss
that despite PBoC involvement with liquidity and a myriad of petty bureaucratic sticks in the wheels ... a testimony to chinese communists' impotence to outlaw gravity but also probably reflects effects of china's integration with global economy.
Lets see what the oh-zees do with their interest coming up shortly in a few hours
Minneapolis DRS2 21:22:00 GMT - 02/03/2020
I was only referring to the state of Minnesota, and I messed up the words. Hilary barely won the state against Trump. However, if Sanders were the nominee then he would probably have won by a large margin.
dc CB 21:18:42 GMT - 02/03/2020
"Hilary almost won"
extremely unlikely --- just think about how much influence money was lost when she Lost. Clinton foundation --- all those 'tax deductable contributions' to an org that has never really filed a tax return. So far no investigation...so far. What if one got put on the front burner? All those big big big Foundations that donated --might have a little problem with 'deductable largess'... wouldn't have mattered IF she got into the Oval, but she didn't.
At Risk they are. Yoda.
See not Hillary, hear not Hillary...investigate not Clinton Foundation. Yoda
Israel MacroMicro 19:19:21 GMT - 02/03/2020
Mikey brings Hillary to his camp and I am off his terminal for good. anyway the last two years it's much less value than before.
Minneapolis DRS2 19:15:16 GMT - 02/03/2020
Oops...I meant to say "Hilary almost lost"...sorry.
Minneapolis DRS2 19:14:17 GMT - 02/03/2020
Hilary almost won my own state of Minnesota in 2016, but if Sanders were the nominee then he would have been expected to win a large margin over Trump...he is wildly popular in these parts (in the cities, anyway).
Israel MacroMicro 19:13:52 GMT - 02/03/2020
go Warren go, make USA Spanish talking Scandinavia
Mtl JP 18:59:31 GMT - 02/03/2020
Sanders leads in Iowa polls ahead of caucuses, followed by Biden, Buttigieg, then Warren Published: Feb 3, 2020 1:39 p.m. ET
First voter verdicts in the Democratic Party’s 2020 presidential primary due to come Monday with the Iowa caucuses
haha the dems are soooo procreated
dc CB 18:08:12 GMT - 02/03/2020
Monday Network Biden Hit #2
Today Show this morning:
“This process of impeachment has ensured that everyone knows about Hunter's dealings with Ukraine,” the Today show co-anchor introduced.
“Do you think it was wrong for him to take that position knowing it was really because the company wanted access to you?” Guthrie asked.
“Well that's not true!” an agitated Biden replied.
“You’re saying things you don’t know what you’re talking about!”
Biden followed up with claiming “no one has found anything wrong with [Hunter’s] dealings with Ukraine, except it sets a bad image.”
(via that 'banned by Twitter" ZeroHedge)
dc CB 17:42:57 GMT - 02/03/2020
oh it's OK then disclaimer at bottom of story.
(Disclaimer: Michael Bloomberg is seeking the Democratic presidential nomination. He is the founder and majority owner of Bloomberg LP, the parent company of Bloomberg News.)
dc CB 17:40:07 GMT - 02/03/2020
Mtl JP 17:04
Iowa caucuses 2020:
---------------------
what we have become. --- 5th graders on the playground, making selfies with their EyePhones
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Iowa Senator Joni Ernst warned Sunday that Republicans could immediately push to impeach Joe Biden over his work in Ukraine as vice president if he wins the White House.
“I think this door of impeachable whatever has been opened,” Ernst said in an interview with Bloomberg News. “Joe Biden should be very careful what he’s asking for because, you know, we can have a situation where if it should ever be President Biden, that immediately, people, right the day after he would be elected would be saying, ‘Well, we’re going to impeach him.’”
winners and losers
---------------------
Iowa caucuses 2020: Latest updates - The Washington Post
Tonight, Iowa Democrats will gather in rooms across the state and stand in groups to signal their support for the candidates hoping to face President Trump in November, the first to cast their votes in the process.
---
The funny irony is that in all likelihood the dem's are chosing a "winner" that is a likely loser to DJT
Mtl JP 04:27:44 GMT - 01/30/2020
Winners and Losers
-
Contagion - 2011 Steven Soderbergh thriller
It, nor any other hollywood film, be showing in any one of china's 70,000 movie houses: closed.
Mtl JP 18:49:18 GMT - 01/29/2020
MaMi 18:37 - regardless of who I hug, I like the order of hug/hygene reversed. just personal preference.
Israel MacroMicro 18:48:50 GMT - 01/29/2020
open-minded Chinese?
pork as national dish in Saudi Arabia first :)
Minneapolis DRS2 18:45:16 GMT - 01/29/2020
On the latest ADVChina video on YouTube, the hosts address a situation where no Africans are allowed in the hotels in some Chinese city. Racism indeed.
Truth be told, not everyone in China wants it this way...it will take a generation or two or three to be more open. Chinese kids are going out into the world, and the world is slowly going into China.
Is the mandate of heaven moving away from Xi and/or the CCP?
Israel MacroMicro 18:37:59 GMT - 01/29/2020
JP 18:30
this is so sad, hug them and teach them basic hygiene.
Mtl JP 18:30:44 GMT - 01/29/2020
winners and losers
---------------------
‘No Chinese allowed’: Racism and fear are now spreading along with the coronavirus
if Google dosen't say that it will Kill you ...then Google Knows more than.....awe ................Google says sorry...rogue guy ...too bad...Coorrection IT WILL KILL YOU.... you don't know how broken BOT 37586 was.... when.....sooooooooooooo SORRY.
Minneapolis DRS2 05:39:12 GMT - 01/27/2020
Are we (USA) still evacuating citizens out of Wuhan?
dc CB 05:32:05 GMT - 01/27/2020
Dear friend,
my post really wasn't about Tesla.
It was about the 2019-Cov and the US's belated reaction.
Shud have Been SHUT DOWN the Planes from China Landing in this Hemisphere
with 15-20 days incubation...late But at least an effort.
Minneapolis DRS2 05:25:51 GMT - 01/27/2020
There will always be first adopters who take the arrows whenever anything new comes along. There are, however, three interesting questions:
1. How many potential customers "actually want this"? To be frank, I don't see very many.
2. Will Tesla survive as an ongoing business run by Elon Musk? Or...
3. Will Tesla go bankrupt, be taken over by someone else, and prosper under new ownership?
dc CB 05:23:58 GMT - 01/27/2020
pardon.
that script was in the 2000 movie...MI-2---Staring Tom Cruise.
the infected(soviet ??? --on a plane
yeh it was tweeked for contemp consumption.
Truth Or Dare...various have been tested with Large Audiences---who bought the script.
dc CB 04:51:30 GMT - 01/27/2020
so as you are flaing about on the floor of your TESLA with AutoPilot...screaming....TAKE ME TO A HOSPITAL...into the (Amazon Alexa)...Google tells the Tesla AutoPilot tha the nearest Hospital is 95miles away and filling up fast ----YOU HAVE 30 Mins to Choose...29, 28,27,26....10..SORRY Full
Your TESLA will now proceed to the Next nearest Emergency Faciity.
As Tom Cruise was scripted to say...as Jack Reacher---'"You wanted this"
hk win10 04:38:36 GMT - 01/27/2020
funds are selling bonds for equity, very welcome this correction
dc CB 04:27:12 GMT - 01/27/2020
Bloomingdale's Onlne
Shop All - Saks Fifth Avenue
Shop Bergdorf Goodman for the latest designs from Prada, Jimmy Choo, Gucci, Lanvin, Dolce & Gabbana. Bergdorf Goodman has the best from top designers for men and women.
dc CB 03:54:50 GMT - 01/27/2020
Vogues New Yorkers Guide to Epidemic Street Wear(SARCasm--no doubt)
Scared sh*tless, without showing it (apologies to ZH)
Just imagine A YEAR IN PRISON because some eighth grader was reading Shakespeare.
dc CB 00:17:00 GMT - 01/27/2020
yeh that same guy
Mrudock and Company ----Alert Alert...don't get too negative until me and da boys sell and get short....then youu cab start with the doom and gloom----'phone it in' from that sweet compound.
The Black Swan is a good tag line...you will be informed as to when it's clear to start with that.
(Curious that Obvious phrase has not been see yet in the FinTwit Press)
when the O references those Project Veritas videos of the Bernie Bros calling for gulag re-education camps---Which will cause MSM to cover that---Then you will know that democrat mainstream is worried about the 'commie' gettin' to close.
Mtl JP 21:52:05 GMT - 01/23/2020
winners and losers
sanders and ohbummer
--------------------------
apparently "Obama feels Sanders is unfit to battle Trump – and he has told people he might say so publicly" - Fox Business
oh phleaze ... say so publicly
Caribbean! Rafe... 21:39:54 GMT - 01/23/2020
Revenge (Hong Kong) etc...
Mtl JP 21:20:40 GMT - 01/23/2020
winners and losers
coronavirus epidemic / not yet officially pandemic
-------------------------------------------------------
variously reported that chinese communists are locking down some 25 million folks in an effort to quell coronavirous, while talking about chines people sacrificing a lot.
what does a lock-down in china mean ?
how is it enforced ?
what kind of "sacrifice" are chinese communists prepared to inflict on a locked down population bigger than that of Florida ?
dc CB 14:44:41 GMT - 01/23/2020
PAR 13:54 GMT
She looks tired, fatigue.
well running the ECB must be way way more tedious and boring , than lording over a billion dollar fund as the Globe-Trottting head of the IMF...where most of the deals are done during the cocktail hour - at the earliest.
Mtl JP 14:29:53 GMT - 01/23/2020
"we"... "we" the peasants ...
"We should be happier to have a job than to have our savings protected … I think that it is in this spirit that monetary policy has been decided by my predecessors and I think they made quite a beneficial choice." - lagarde, ft Oct 30, 2019
oui oui oui
Mtl JP 14:15:19 GMT - 01/23/2020
at 64 ... some folks slow down
PAR14:08:38 GMT - 01/23/2020
Stop in place. Wait one year for ECB new strategy?
How slow can one work? New ECB strategy looks like Brexit.
UK JY 14:05:30 GMT - 01/23/2020
PAR
Are you still long EURUSD given your bearish view in the ECB?
Mtl JP 14:02:59 GMT - 01/23/2020
crude sliding
thanks to travel bans around that chinese virus ?
maybe more moRE
PAR13:54:12 GMT - 01/23/2020
She looks tired, fatigue.
Mtl JP 13:46:40 GMT - 01/23/2020
Lagarde: Data in line with baseline scenario of 'ongoing but moderate' growth
dc CB 13:33:32 GMT - 01/23/2020
DAVOS, Switzerland (Reuters) - Just when the Swiss mountain spat between U.S. President Donald Trump and Greta Thunberg seemed to have blown over, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin took a new dig at the young climate activist on Thursday.
Asked during a news conference about Thunberg’s call to divest from fossil fuels, Mnuchin said: “Is she the chief economist? ... After she goes and studies economics in college, she can come back and explain that to us.”
Mtl JP 16:39:05 GMT - 01/22/2020
winners and losers
me..ooW !
--------------------
Tulsi Gabbard sues Hillary Clinton for defamation over ‘Russian asset’ comment, seeks $50 million in damages.
gl tulsi
Mtl JP 16:51:26 GMT - 01/21/2020
winners and losers
(calling pigeons to save private investors)
----------------------------------------------
Casper Sleep’s IPO expected to test appetite for loss-making unicorns
winners and losers
---------------------
From the front page of leftists at The Guardian:
Sandos affair 'not our finest hour' – as it happened
Survey of CEOs shows that business leaders are more anxious about the global economy, and also anxious about their own prospects.
Latest: PwC CEO survey shows record gloom
IMF issues climate crisis warning...
..and cuts growth forecasts due to ‘increased social unrest’
Climate crisis and slowing global economy loom large over Davos
Hundreds of climate protesters march to Davos
Capitalism doing ‘more harm than good’ – survey
Who’s coming to Davos
Mtl JP 18:29:22 GMT - 01/20/2020
winners and losers
---------------------
boeing, after turfing its CEO with $63 million bonus, is apparently sniffing around for at least $10 billion
looks like deeper trouble at boeing (NYSE: BA $324.15 last)
Mtl JP 12:28:20 GMT - 01/20/2020
DRS2 00:17 What do you consider "the market"?
A: the market is that which you see on your screen as buy/sell price
For the debating putzhood:
The debate over whether to call it QE is over, and the Fed lost
- Elena Popina, Bloomberg News
labels vs sentiment
... "If you want to call it QE, you can. Or not. If you want to ascribe the rally to Powell, that’s up to you. Certainly the Fed thinks it’s on solid ground. Rather than trying to drive down long-term interest rates to stimulate the economy, a la QE, it’s simply buying T-bills to keep the financial system’s plumbing in order.
The problem for policy-makers is that perceptions matter in shaping sentiment.
currently aiming his future on posturing as the Radical...hoping to attract Trump's attention to become a CandyDate to replace that lawyer as the FED HED.
Good luck to U Kash-n-Karry
Minneapolis DRS2 00:17:56 GMT - 01/20/2020
What do you consider "the market"?
To "traders" (the workerbees of the financial industry, closest to the action)...ya, Kashkari speaks a lot of BS.
To "financial industry executives" (corporate leaders in the financial industry)...ya, Kashkari speaks a lot of BS, but they choose to agree with it in public because they need to keep up market confidence.
To the public, Kashkari is an unknown...they dunno who he is, and they don't care.
To the MSM, Kashkari is this really bright fellow who is a financial leader of some kind, and he's worth listening to because he wears a nice suit, drives a nice car and works in a nice building.
To the politicians, Kashkari is...who? Who is he? Oh, yeah, he's the guy with solutions to all our public finance difficulties! Why would we NOT take him seriously?
Mtl JP 22:34:11 GMT - 01/19/2020
CB 20:21 - re "Kashkari rejected"
-
his BS - or of any of his past and present contemporaries - has credibility only as long as market does not perceive things in its own way. Kashkari better show some humility rather than "leader"ship induced bravado lest he fall victim and fall for his own BS and actually start to believe it.
Mtl JP 22:16:37 GMT - 01/19/2020
NatGas under $2
folks r feeling warm
dc CB 21:59:41 GMT - 01/19/2020
dc CB 16:15 GMT 01/17/2020
The Childrens Crusade --- Switz Davos warm up for next week
St Greta
winners and losers
--------------------
What an opportunity ...
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
(Editor-in-chief of Chinese and English editions of the Global Times - 《环球时报》总编辑)
@HuXijin_GT
17. 1.
China's GDP grew 6.1% in 2019. Many people think the number is not good and it shows Chinese economy is sluggish. Perhaps it is because the number is not much higher than the estimated 0.6% of Germany, over 1% of Japan and 2.3% of the US.😀
bloviated Chinese communists' trumpet conveniently neglecting to mention that China's economic growth cooled to its weakest in nearly 30 years in 2019 (actually 29yrs) and avoiding to remind that China's CPI rocks at ~4.5%
... President Trump missed to step on the chinese communists' collective neck when he signed that phase 1 "deal". Not exactly impressive !
No wonder Hu punctuates with a smiley emoji: not only the Iranian thinks DJT is a clown.
dc CB 20:21:22 GMT - 01/18/2020
WSJ
Earlier this week, Dallas Fed leader Robert Kaplan, once a former top executive at investment bank Goldman Sachs Group Inc., said he was sympathetic with that view and added he’d like to see the Fed end its current money market practices as soon as it can.
But on Friday, Minneapolis Fed leader Neel Kashkari, who is also a former Goldman Sachs employee and formerly the leader of the government’s crisis-era bailout efforts, rejected the view the central bank is pumping the markets.
Mr. Kashkari wrote on Twitter “QE conspiracists can say this is all about balance sheet growth. Someone explain how swapping one short term risk free instrument (reserves) for another short term risk free instrument (t-bills) leads to equity repricing. I don’t see it.”
"QE conspiracists can say this is all about balance sheet growth. Someone explain how swapping one short term risk free instrument (reserves) for another short term risk free instrument (t-bills) leads to equity repricing. I don’t see it."
ya ya ya datzdem
like the one she's holding in your initial linked pic
dc CB 15:27:53 GMT - 01/17/2020
you mean these?
Mtl JP 14:51:05 GMT - 01/17/2020
winners and losers
--------------------- dc CB 14:56 GMT January 16, 2020
"I'm ready for my close-up, Mr Demille"
re the linked pic:
“These are the pens Nancy Pelosi used to sign the articles & she gave them out to colleagues. Wow they look like bullet cases,” freaked out Fox Business host Maria Bartiromo
Minneapolis DRS2 17:26:52 GMT - 01/16/2020
It (the trial) will go on for as long as the "Trump is evil" show has traction with any sort of viewing audience. It has been noted for a long time that the objectives are political in nature, with the legalities only used as a means to a supposed end.
Most observers on both sides know exactly what is going on. However, in the modern age political showmanship counts as much if not more than actual statesmanship.
For what it's worth, most members of the public really couldn't care less.
dc CB 17:07:32 GMT - 01/16/2020
yes, but you asked WHEN -- meaning how long will this be going on.
Mtl JP 17:03:59 GMT - 01/16/2020
All of DC would love to have him gone
and the convention currently holds that he ll escape the wrath
dc CB 16:44:44 GMT - 01/16/2020
acquital??
haven't a clue.
They have been working to impeach Trump since BEFORE he was even elected and little else.
He's an interloper---killed the Golden Geese: TPP, Paris Climate Accord, Chinese manufacturing with free labor, illegal immigration. He's not a Republican and not a Democrat and dosen't need the money...He's Putin's Stooge(sarc).
All of DC would love to have him gone, do they could get back to business - making money for themselves, "gettin' rich beyond your wildest dreams" the advice Harry and Meg got....(see the Broke Clintons, the community organizer Obama, the former bartender now will a cool Mil in the bank AOC--in a single year,)
Mtl JP 15:48:54 GMT - 01/16/2020
IF conventional wisdom holds , what is the timeline's ETA for an acquital ?
dc CB 15:36:00 GMT - 01/16/2020
they need 51 votes to dismiss. don't have it. some Republican Senators want a Senate Trial to score points. It is an election year and 33 Senate seats are up- that's 1/3 of the members, and of course the entire House as it's a 2 Year cycle.
Mtl JP 15:26:42 GMT - 01/16/2020
Can't McConell just dismiss / throw out the comedy instead ?
dc CB 14:56:47 GMT - 01/16/2020
"I'm ready for my close-up, Mr Demille"
'off with his head!!!'
the Peach Queen and her court - 'The House Prosecutors'
Chief Justice John Roberts will arrive on Capitol Hill to swear in 100 Senators as 'jurors'..
PAR13:41:38 GMT - 01/16/2020
Germany is now again complying with the Maastricht debt rules. In 2019, the debt ratio fell below 60% again, for the first time since 2002, while it continues to rise in other countries. France debt to GDP ratio around 100%.
In fact, if you have rules everybody in the club is supposed to adhere to the rules, or else look for another club.
Mtl JP 13:33:07 GMT - 01/16/2020
winners and losers
---------------------
Germany mired in economic absurdity with surpluses a drag on global growth
.."This doesn’t make economic sense. It may make political sense, because the thrifty German savers like their government to behave like a frugal household, and balanced budgets are popular. But, as advocated by a near-unanimous chorus of top economists".../..
winners and losers
--------------------
Support for Windows 7 is nearing the end
After 10 years, support for Windows 7 is coming to an end on 14 January 2020.
JP
please do a bit of Media presentation analysis.
To begin ... note the pic and caption at the top of the article.
I posted this to continue the theme I presented earlier --- 'the Tell will be when the media abandons Total OrangeManBad and starts to take sides.
NBC (also known as DNBC - D for Democrat) being ambiguous is something put in that column. ---the turning of the worms
Mtl JP 20:27:35 GMT - 01/13/2020
DC the piece is nebulous about WHO exactly spawned the idea of a killing that "Trump authorized"
care to speculate why ?
dc CB 02:02 GMT 01/13/2020
B. Sanders joins the losers
Warren, the next US president_______________________________
Bloomberg NUZ runs a semi hit on Warren. Say isn't Bloomberg a Demo CandyDate. (dirty pool?)
))))))))))))))
dc CB 02:18 GMT 01/13/2020
Corporate Media would be all over it...Ratings Ratings..
The Tell would be if the CorpMedia starts to abandon the Total OrangeManBad stance and begins to stake out 'sides'.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The establishment is in full panic mode over Bernie Sanders, whose rise in the polls has been accompanied by not one, but two Monday morning media hit pieces.
First, as we reported earlier, Democrats have been riled by Sanders' attacks on Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren - recently saying that President Trump will 'eat Joe Biden's lunch' if he is the nominee.
Second, Sanders took flack after it emerged that campaign volunteers have been telling potential voters that Warren is trying to capture upper-income Democrats and would not attract new voters to the party.
it is actually a depressing number because "experts" were expecting 15 billion
Mtl JP 19:19:51 GMT - 01/13/2020
winners and losers
--------------------
U.S. runs $13.3 billion December budget deficit, Treasury says ...
x 12 =... Forza!
Mtl JP 12:21:20 GMT - 01/13/2020
winners and losers
petri dish financial experimental lesson
when emotionally livid corp ceo meddles in things political
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Maple Leaf Foods
@MapleLeafFoods
I’m Michael McCain, CEO of Maple Leaf Foods, and these are personal reflections. I am very angry, and time isn’t making me less angry. A MLF colleague of mine lost his wife and family this week to a needless, irresponsible series of events in Iran...
@MapleLeafFoods
…U.S. government leaders unconstrained by checks/balances, concocted an ill-conceived plan to divert focus from political woes. .../..
Maple Leaf Foods Inc TSE: ~25.08 CAD
SaaR KaL 04:08:05 GMT - 01/13/2020
Pair Pr(Buy) High (Est) Low (Est) Tgt Date
USD/CAD 29.98% 1.3113 1.2932 6-Mar-20
USD/CAD 97.36% 1.3767 1.3034 20-Sep-20
seems like a buy longer term
kl fs 03:33:41 GMT - 01/13/2020
agree, 2020 byebye usd
loonie to see low 1.29 at least next
Mtl JP 03:31:38 GMT - 01/13/2020
USDCAD 1.3048
Pivot 1.3053
one of these days USD will restart on its down path
FWIW --- the Eat-a-Peach follies in the Senate supposed to be set off this eek by the Delivery of the Articles---then taking a few weeks to get started, will Keep all the Democrat CandyDATES tied up in DC at the hearing for Months, unless the Senate dismissed the entire thing on an early vote.
My current thinking is that the voters will sour on the prospects of any of these going up against President Trump --- and that is what he is -- the Incumbent, no getting around that.
What the masses (democrat voters) might very well go for is what I have called The Subway Series --- Battle of the Billionaires --- Season 4, The Apprentice: The White House +The Election+.
Corporate Media would be all over it...Ratings Ratings..
The Tell would be if the CorpMedia starts to abandon the Total OrangeManBad stance and begins to stake out 'sides'.
For them it's all about money(ratings) and dueling might stop the bleeding of the bottom line.
dc CB 02:02:14 GMT - 01/13/2020
Winners and Losers
Israel MacroMicro 23:51
B. Sanders joins the losers
Warren, the next US president
_______________________________
Bloomberg NUZ runs a semi hit on Warren. Say isn't Bloomberg a Demo CandyDate. (dirty pool?)
(Bloomberg) -- Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren barnstormed across Iowa this weekend, seeking to put to rest questions about her electability and her ability to build a coalition to defeat Donald Trump.
patience, prudence, savvy and temerity
needed trading against the momo crowd
Israel MacroMicro 00:56:55 GMT - 01/13/2020
phase 1 signing and the rat nears , brewing a seloff?
Mtl JP 00:53:06 GMT - 01/13/2020
winners and losers
---------------------
Solid kick in Chinese communists' nuts from
Taiwan's Tsai Ing-wen
Israel MacroMicro 00:49:57 GMT - 01/13/2020
2985/25985 ES/YM
Mtl JP 00:45:33 GMT - 01/13/2020
winners and losers
--------------------
No guarantee BUT
when 95% of "population" resides within 2STDs
odds of more "population" distancing further from mean grow slimmer. Ditto for prices.
plz mind your risk
dc CB 00:10:53 GMT - 01/13/2020
Let's investigate the possibility no Democratic candidate will amass 50% of the votes resulting in a brokered convention
B. Sanders joins the losers
Warren, the next US president
Ahmed
Mtl JP 23:48:37 GMT - 01/12/2020
Winners and Losers
Crude 58.75
---------------------
How putting to test
Remarks by President Trump on Iran
NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENSE
Issued on: January 8, 2020
winners and losers
shut down access = seize
----------------------------
another excellent reason for Russian anti-sanctions international payments system (SPFS):
"Loss of access to New York Fed account, where international oil sale revenue is kept, could creating cash crunch in Iraq’s financial system
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York provides banking and other financial services for around 250 central banks, governments and other foreign official institutions.
The Trump administration warned Iraq this week that it risks losing access to a critical government bank account if Baghdad kicks out American forces following the U.S. airstrike that killed a top Iranian general, according to Iraqi officials.
The State Department warned that the U.S. could shut down Iraq’s access to the country’s central bank account held at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, a move that could jolt Iraq’s already shaky economy, the officials said.
Iraq, like other countries, maintains government accounts at the New York Fed as an important part of managing the country’s finances, including revenue from oil sales. Loss of access to the accounts could restrict Iraq’s use of that revenue, creating a cash crunch in Iraq’s financial system and constricting a critical lubricant for the economy.
The prospect of U.S. sanctions against Iraq arose after the Jan. 3 U.S. airstrike that killed Iranian Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani at Baghdad International Airport. The Iraqi parliament voted Sunday to urge Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi to work toward the expulsion of the approximately 5,300 U.S. troops.
In response to the nonbinding resolution, which was backed by the prime minister, President Trump threatened to impose sanctions against Iraq if the U.S. was forced to withdraw its troops.
Mr. Abdul-Mahdi moved ahead with those plans this week, requesting the U.S. agree to talks to plan the safe withdrawal of American troops, according to an Iraqi description of a Thursday call with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.
Mr. Pompeo disagreed with Iraq’s version of his call with Mr. Abdul-Mahdi and said the U.S. would continue its Iraq-based campaign against the Islamic State extremist group. The State Department declined to comment on the U.S. warning to Iraq about its New York Fed account.
The warning regarding the Iraqi central bank account was conveyed to Iraq’s prime minister in a call on Wednesday, according to an official in his office, that also touched on the overall military, political and financial partnership between the two countries.
Spokesmen for the Iraqi prime minister, its central bank and its embassy in Washington didn’t respond to requests for comment. The U.S. State and Treasury Departments and the Federal Reserve Board declined to comment.
The Federal Reserve Bank in New York, which can freeze accounts under U.S. sanctions law or if it has reasonable suspicion the funds could violate U.S. law, said it doesn’t comment on specific account holders."
Israel MacroMicro 19:42:26 GMT - 01/05/2020
JP 18:09
72 floors high skyscraper in Kalkilia before such happens
MacroMicro / suggest to pay attention to when Trump & Co will demand nothing else but Gold in payment for goods shipped / "protection offered" to "partner" countries.
Israel MacroMicro 16:04:23 GMT - 01/05/2020
nothing to happen JP
panic sellers will get punished with new ATH during this quarter.
Mtl JP 15:34:50 GMT - 01/05/2020
Winners and Losers
--------------------- Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
10h10 hours ago
The United States just spent Two Trillion Dollars on Military Equipment. We are the biggest and by far the BEST in the World! If Iran attacks an American Base, or any American, we will be sending some of that brand new beautiful equipment their way...and without hesitation!
Cui Bono ?
Raytheon ($227.81 +3.33 (+1.48%))
Northrop Grumman ($375.01 +19.31 (+5.43%))
General Dynamics ($180.18 +1.75 (+0.98%))
Lockheed Martin ($413.74 +14.37 (+3.60%))
Boeing ($332.76 -0.56 (-0.17%))
Looks like NeoCons got a grab of djt's nether region
Mtl JP 15:57:52 GMT - 01/03/2020
winners and losers
once a peasant ...
---------------------
Phd'd and other economic experts claim that for peasant wages to grow the economy has to grow better than at 2%
By 10:09 a.m. on January 2nd, Canada's highest paid CEOs had made as much money as the average Canadian will earn all year, according to a new report. (Highest paid chief executives' salaries on average 227 times that of average worker)
Evans told CNBC on Friday that he remained upbeat on the economy and expected U.S. gross domestic product to expand between 2% to 2.25% in 2020
Mtl JP 15:59:58 GMT - 12/30/2019
winners and losers
n/b could ≠ will
-----------------------------------
In our call of the day, Torsten Slok, chief economist at Deutsche Bank Securities, said the decadelong economic expansion could continue for “many more years,” putting forward a bull case for markets in 2020.
winners and losers
---------------------
kl shawn 04:20 vs perth wtr 10:04
reminds me of Mutt and Jeff - 'good cop/bad cop'
good one gents!
-
Approximately half a trillion later of NoQe QE
Fed’s U-Turn on Assets Faces a Year-End Test - wsj
Confirmed only one in traders realm. first not to be in this world// aka.. hiyer power...
Australian Dollar has been rallying up a storm....
bets.... gl. hap. n year, xmas….
Mtl JP 18:06:41 GMT - 12/24/2019
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Bank of Canada deputy governor leads race for top job
- www.ft.com
Frontrunner Carolyn Wilkins would become first woman to take helm
I remind myself that poloz beat out some hard-core BoC insiders for the job: i.e nothing is in the bag until the fat one sings
Mtl JP 15:56:23 GMT - 12/24/2019
Winners and Losers
"as one expert notes"
----------------------
As lawyers brace for a surge in divorce cases in January, new research highlights the
winners and losers
trading like an insider
-----------------------
Hedge funds eavesdrop on vital Bank of England briefings
Market-sensitive news sent to traders early as secret feed gave clients chance to make millions
winners and losers
some vocabulary
------------------
... it can not go much higher than ....
interest rates can’t possibly go any higher (lower)
house prices only go up
waiting for a correction ... an opp to buy in
market can’t possibly go more volatile
it can't default
oversold .. has to go up
From what I've read, Trudeau's admiration of the CCP runs in the family. It's not so much a thing for China and its people, but rather an admiration for the CCP and the mainland government. Like father, like son I guess.
Mtl JP 11:06:05 GMT - 12/10/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
China's CPI soars to 94-month high of 4.5% in November
- globaltimes.cn
child justin - admirer of chinese communist dictatorship - trudeau does not realize how stupid he is selling pig meat to the communists
Mtl JP 22:47:02 GMT - 12/09/2019
winners and losers
update
---------------------
while Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou enjoys living in her $5 million garage (wearing only an ankle bracelet) while her $20 million one is under renovation justin - admirer of chinese communist dictatorship - trudeau is happy to sell a-new pig meat and soya while remaining quiet about two canadian Michaels stinking in chinese communist jail held in isolation, barred from going outside or seeing the sun.with only one 30 minute / month meeting with canadian diplomatic officials and denied access to lawyers.
Mtl JP 22:06:45 GMT - 12/09/2019
Winners and Losers
USDCAD 1.3234
------------------
1rst post-unbecoming of a leader mocking President Trump and subsequent aazing jobs loss release justin - admirer of chinese communist dictatorship - trudeau is now scrambling to try to avoid a recession:
Our 1st act of this mandate: cutting taxes for everyone but the wealthiest. What it means:
✅You won’t pay federal taxes on the first $15,000 you earn
✅Families would save nearly $600/yr
✅Single people would save nearly $300/yr
✅The wealthiest 1% will NOT benefit from it
Apparently one million canadians - those bring in less than 15K/yr - will pay zero in federal income tax.
In the meantime a credit and debt report released today claims canadians have never had a higher aggregate debt
$4300 in cc and 21K on car with delinquencies on the rise slope
Excluding mortgages.
Odds are getting better BoC will be cutting in 2020.
Probably more than once - imo.
Minneapolis DRS2 16:59:30 GMT - 12/09/2019
In physics, the term refers to changes in some physical property that lags behind changes in its cause, such as when magnetic induction lags behind a magnetizing force. There are alternate definitions of the term, but that's the general idea. Hysteresis can be precisely defined, quantified and measured depending on the circumstances.
In the present context, you can just read it as "delayed effects". It's a fancy word that was probably used by a quant with a science or engineering background, because hardly anybody else would use the term.
Mtl JP 16:38:20 GMT - 12/09/2019
interestingly in french:
l'hystérésis, ou l'hystérèse, désigne en économie la persistance d'un phénomène économique alors que sa cause principale a disparu.
BUT the cause principale n'a pas disparu: the FED is printing printing madly (nor has the FED disappeared)
I ll continue to stick to the old saw that says that words are biased while numbers are not.
Mtl JP 16:22:42 GMT - 12/09/2019
DRS2 16:13 tky
Minneapolis DRS2 16:13:38 GMT - 12/09/2019
hysteresis is a $20 dollar word from physics when a couple of ordinary $2 words will do. It means "delayed effects".
Mtl JP 15:59:42 GMT - 12/09/2019
Winners and Losers
----------------------
reading thru some of the headlines attempting to explain the Repo Blowup which now refer to BIS Says explainer this caught my eye:
... ❝ the stress may have been amplified in part by hysteresis effects brought about by ❞ ... blah blah blah (https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt1912v.htm)
if only because I was not sure of the exact meaning of ❝hysteresis effects❞ leaving alone the cause (the Federal Reserve's large-scale asset purchases)
Andorra la Vella15:23:27 GMT - 12/07/2019
Really? He didn't notice he was using a testing mode? C'mon...
Mtl JP 13:10:27 GMT - 12/07/2019
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Lesson:
Some important details to consider when choosing a broker / dealer:
winners and losers
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USDA says cutting welfare programs like SNAP will encourage more people to participate workforce.
“Today’s jobs report is further proof that now in the midst of the strongest economy in a generation, we need everyone who can work, to work,” said Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Perdue in a statement on Friday. “We need to encourage people by giving them a helping hand but not allowing it to become an indefinitely giving hand.”
winners and losers
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Barack and Michelle Obama Reportedly Close Deal for $11.75 Million Martha’s Vineyard Estate
Mtl JP 16:16:38 GMT - 12/06/2019
winners and losers
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The Federal Reserve wants make it easier to approve personal loans
It could become easier for some personal-loan applicants to secure a loan after federal regulators announced this week that they encourage the use of “alternative data” in credit underwriting standards — so long as it’s done responsibly.
The Speaker of the House made the comments during a town hall on CNN last night.
“Civilization as we know it today is at stake in the next election, and certainly, our planet,” said Pelosi.
“The damage that this administration has done to America, America’s a great country. We can sustain. Two terms, I don’t know,” she added.
+++++++++++++++
And have a nice day.
Mtl JP 11:38:30 GMT - 12/06/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
awwww ...
Bankers Across Europe Brace for Smaller Bonus Pots This Year
Bloomberg Dec 6, 2019
jkt abel 06:49:49 GMT - 12/06/2019
all this trade deal BS, either you trust chinese source or american source or just dont give a censored at all about it
Mtl JP 06:39:43 GMT - 12/06/2019
players reaction to xi buying some feedstuff for his peasants from donald
Mtl JP 22:41:59 GMT - 12/05/2019
winners and losers
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Federal Reserve
Fed’s Quarles says there are now more ‘options’ than just bailing out failing banks
Why isn't Trudeau flying a bigger model? The A310 is nothing to laugh at I suppose, but shouldn't the prime minister be flying something else?
dc CB 19:06:27 GMT - 12/04/2019
how dare you!
Mtl JP 19:03:33 GMT - 12/04/2019
d B - plz inform the angry young girl from sweden (the one that does not go to school on fridays) so she can get angier still:
Trudeau's plane damaged,
- aircraft Monday to ferry him to London for a NATO summit
- commandeered another CC-150 Polaris — which was in Italy with Gov. Gen. Julie Payette, who has been on a European tour of her own — to take Trudeau, his entourage and accompanying media back to Ottawa
- Another plane will have to be found to bring Payette home
thanks to the EURO? If there were still a fr. frank --- it would be"
1) higher
2) lower
No worries Lagarde will rescue ....
dc CB 18:47:38 GMT - 12/04/2019
trouble for little Napoleon???
France is bracing for major transportation disruptions throughout the country starting Thursday, as trade unions launch a strike in response to changes President Emmanuel Macron wants to make to the country’s retirement system, while port blockades have resulted in widespread fuel shortages across the country. Much of the Paris Metro will be shut down, as will many national and international train lines, including certain Eurostar services. Flights will also be canceled, as air traffic controllers say they will join the protests through Saturday.
maybe President Trump will blockade pretty hair and socks and admirer of china's 'basic dictatorship' sale of pig meat n soya to the chinese commies. kill two flies with one swat type of thing.
dc CB 18:01:16 GMT - 12/04/2019
they all believe they are living in the 17th Century - gossiping at court -- laughing at the savage. Boris and Justin owe fealty to the monarch...little Napoleon just hold contempt for all of them.
Israel MacroMicro 18:00:04 GMT - 12/04/2019
next year POTUS after he is no POTUS anymore, the Donald to tweet out madness about Canadian regulations hurting the Trump investments in Canada. those with nice socks serve revenge cold.
Mtl JP 17:50:28 GMT - 12/04/2019
winners and losers
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justin - pretty hair and socks - trudeau tried to puh-puh his ‘hot mic’ incident after President Trump said of jt that ‘he’s two-faced’ saying “we should endeavour to keep the focus on positive news from the summit”
Odds r President Trump shall not forget. And forgive.
Mtl JP 06:04:17 GMT - 12/04/2019
winners and losers
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For the record:
Bravo, right thing to do! Short selling should be illegal.
12:33 AM - 3 Dec 2019
--------------------------
Folks like Elon is what makes fx space attractive to free-thinkers
Mtl JP 22:14:27 GMT - 12/02/2019
COP25 ... 29,000 attendees ...
all slithered slid or sailed in
Livingston nh 13:21:51 GMT - 12/02/2019
BIG TWO WEEKS -- PMI/ISM, ADP, NFP, UK election (headline roulette), FOMC, New Tariffs (?) -- something for every market // away from STATS we have PREZ Trump visiting NATO/London where climate confrontation urged by "experts" Guardian) and LINK
"A critical 12 months in the battle against rising temperatures begins in Madrid this week, as UN delegates gather for key talks...
Ahead of the meeting the UN secretary general has warned that the world is at the point of no return.
What about carbon markets - a load of hot air?
Hot air is in fact one of the big concerns with the question of carbon markets.
In the past richer countries have often paid for carbon reduction projects in poorer nations.
Experts often call these types of credits "hot air" as they are more an accounting exercise than a real reduction in carbon dioxide. The amount of "hot air" is huge, running into billions of tonnes of carbon. Experts fear that these could undermine the integrity of the Paris pact if they are allowed to continue. "
___
WHO PAYS? WHO BENEFITS? EU seems most vulnerable
Mtl JP 08:48:45 GMT - 12/02/2019
winners and losers
--------------------
One year later following Huawei's chief financial officer Meng's arrest
Chinese communists STILL do not understand.
Time to think of tightening the screws on the commees.
dc CB 02:28:13 GMT - 12/02/2019
JP
Cruise with-The Mark Steyn Show, recorded before an audience of Mark Steyn Club members from the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, India, Australia, New Zealand and elsewhere.
How else to charge those billions of EVs
--------------------------------------------
Have no fear new profit opps are near:
December 1, 2019 7:26 pm
TORONTO — Three of Canada’s premiers will announce they’ll fight climate change by working together on small nuclear reactors, a company that’s developing the technology said Saturday.
New Brunswick-based ARC Nuclear Canada said in a news release that its president will attend a signing ceremony Sunday between the provinces of New Brunswick, Ontario and Saskatchewan to work in collaboration on the modular reactors “in an effort to mitigate the effects of climate change.”
dc CB 01:05:55 GMT - 12/02/2019
"Monday starts a two-week international climate conference in Madrid. (COP25 summit in Madrid, Spain)"
I'll be wating for them to mention the coal burning and still diggin' and building the plants. How else to charge those billions of EVs.
On the otherside of the world --where markets open in about an hour.
Algos around the world await the daily 'petals off the daisey' game: she loves me, she love me not, she loves me.....
dc CB 00:53:54 GMT - 12/02/2019
"
Speaking purely as a EUR/USD matter, I look for "climate change" to increase economic activity in Europe (maybe excluding UK), but NOT in the United States."
-------------------------------------------------
total agreement. But I see the reason as two-fold.
1st---sub 0 rates have not worked.
2nd--- the near total control that the EU(European Union) holds (or has managed to award itself with no apparent objection, savinf the soon to be played out Brexit movement). Realize that it has become nearly criminal to contest the Save The Earth, less than 12 Years left.
However, on this side of the pond, the Edumacation System - from Preschool all the way thru Phd level - is geared to raise generations. At the Phd level-contrary thoughts will no longer be funded.
Mtl JP 00:48:47 GMT - 12/02/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
going electric:
Audi plans to eliminate roughly 15 percent of its German workforce to eventually lift earnings by 6 billion euros ($6.6 billion) as it pushes ahead with a restructuring plan to help adapt to the costly transition to electric cars.
Speaking purely as a EUR/USD matter, I look for "climate change" to increase economic activity in Europe (maybe excluding UK), but NOT in the United States. The US is tapped out at all levels, and there is high skepticism (rightly so) about the climate change arguments in general.
Whatever investments are made in climate change solutions will be made in Europe, because that's where the support is.
However, most of this economic activity will be utterly pointless...the equivalent of digging holes and filling them in again, or building Tesla "supercars" that don't work. The trader should not view this activity as something meant to be useful and meaningful, but rather as something that provides opportunity for jobs and investment and skimming by learned traders. After all, that is the point of all these climate change conferences...the money. Not a single f***ing one of the people who attend those things is interested in actually saving the environment, including Miss Greta. They want the cash, so as long as they can find suckers (um, "investors" a.k.a. the public), the learned trader might as well grab some money as it flows by.
Mtl JP 23:49:44 GMT - 12/01/2019
Monday starts a two-week international climate conference in Madrid. (COP25 summit in Madrid, Spain)
Of the delegates from almost 200 countries how many are floating in on an emissions-free sailboat ?
“We are here to find answers for article 6, not to find excuses,” Guterres
Guterres frames his issues thusly:
“What is still lacking is political will. Political will to put a price on carbon. Political will to stop subsidies on fossil fuels. Political will to stop building coal power plants from 2020 onwards. Political will to shift taxation from income to carbon. Taxing pollution instead of people.”
More than 5,000 police officers are charged with keeping the summit safe.
Question: Buy into Saudi Aramco IPO - y/n
Alternately: Canadian Suncor (SU:tse)
tia
Livingston nh 22:49:25 GMT - 12/01/2019
The Chicken Little Institute of Dubious Science refers to Global Warming as the HOT AIR Syndrome -- it is no longer eligible for the prestigious Golden Acorn Award awarded for the most costly and/or outrageous science scam - a name change will not Sway the JUDGES (BS by any other name would smell the same)
dc CB 22:11:44 GMT - 12/01/2019
Re: ex Goldman banker - to Canada the to England.
You of course know the line- when asked why he robs banks, Willie Sutton was to have said "because that's where the money is".
Thanks Trump pulling out of the Paris Climate Change agreement, the plan has be put on hold, but moves forward with an eye on 4 more years to prepare 'cause Trump will be gone.
The MONEY IS in guilting the populations of the western democracies into reworking the bedrock of their economies-Fossil Fuels/Petrobased consumer products- at Yuge cost - which requires Money to be borrowed/loaned.
Just look a the line up of playas' --- poster child shame on you, 'da NGD promoters, Lagarde(she with a documented criminal past), and now Carney - Goldman looked to make a YUGE amnt in trading in the Carbon credit markets with all the permutations of derivatives they would engender.
Never mind wanting to go to Mars and the Moon, too escape earth...how can you do that without petrobased composite materials.
Mtl JP 21:45:35 GMT - 12/01/2019
winners and losers
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Bloomberg: "I'm running for president to defeat Donald Trump and rebuild America." .../..
Minneapolis DRS2 18:12 GMT October 4, 2019
"Don't underestimate the desire of people to maintain the status quo."
The same thing applies to Mr. Carney, and for that matter all central bankers and all politicians. They will try to preserve economic activity at all costs, no matter how ill-advised and/or nonproductive it is. Climate change is just an excuse...their real objective is to keep the population from checking out of a system that no longer benefits them, if it ever did.
In other words, they intend to bar the exit doors.
Mtl JP 17:08:22 GMT - 12/01/2019
winners and losers
--------------------
Bank of England's Mark Carney to become UN envoy on climate action and finance
Look Up look Up ...higher higher than you ever thought.
It can all be yours.
Yes You, You will be THE ECB.
Imagine
Vizualize.
The Tranmogrification Will Occur.
Just Believe, believe Christine
and it will Become.
dc CB 03:09:20 GMT - 11/27/2019
Jan soybean futures got broom-handled. And even the grainmkt commentators missed the Real as the reason.
Mtl JP 01:19:47 GMT - 11/27/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
did not even register here on GV:
Brazil Intervenes Twice to Prop Up Real After Fall to Record - bbrg
... Policy makers’ concern that a weak real could fuel price increases in a nation with a long history of out-of-control inflation may have been the driver for the moves, which came just hours after officials had signaled they were comfortable allowing markets to set the exchange rate. ...
“As we fight to enact a Green New Deal here at home, we must use all of the tools or our foreign policy to change the behavior of companies and individuals most responsible for exacerbating the climate crisis,” said Senator Markey.
winners and losers How to Trade in a Political Market
Only IF you are an insider. Maybe.
--------------------------------------
China Faces Biggest State Firm Offshore Debt Failure in 20 Years
Bloomberg November 26, 2019
(Bloomberg) -- A major Chinese commodity trader looks poised to become the most high-profile state-owned enterprise to default in the dollar bond market in over two decades. In a fresh sign that Beijing is more willing to allow failures in the politically sensitive SOE sector, Tewoo Group has offered an unprecedented debt restructuring plan that entails deep losses for investors or a swap for new bonds with significantly lower returns.
Mtl JP 00:00:47 GMT - 11/26/2019
winners and losers
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India Wants To Open 100 New Airports By Five Years Time - Nov 1, 2019
India wants to open a huge number of airports over the next five years. The ambitious project is just a section is a plan to reignite the growth of India’s economy. With 100 new airports, the country would look to launch 1,000 new routes.
posited earlier Morgan Stanley: "Climate Will Be A Key Driver Of Asset Prices In The Months And Years Ahead"
Update:
Greenhouse gas concentrations in atmosphere reach yet another high
- World Meteorological Organization 25 November 2019
Minneapolis DRS2 22:20:24 GMT - 11/24/2019
It is apparently now the stated policy of BBG News that they will not investigate their boss ("by tradition"), nor will they investigate anything having to do with the Democrat party
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Oh!, guess he didn't get the memo. sorry our bad.
Trust us, we're Bloomberg.
when you have someone like Mike Bloomberg to step up against Trump, you know US has bleak future, i mean, poor country is that all you got?
Minneapolis DRS2 22:20:24 GMT - 11/24/2019
It is apparently now the stated policy of BBG News that they will not investigate their boss ("by tradition"), nor will they investigate anything having to do with the Democrat party.
Whether or not this obvious bias will result in a successful Bloomberg candidacy is questionable. It most certainly smacks of utter desperation.
dc CB 22:15:09 GMT - 11/24/2019
just to clarify my thinking. I think the issue IS the News organization --- read what the Editorial Board wrote ---- and how this has the 'potential' to mess with the MarkITs, markets driven by headline reading trigger happy Algos.
BBG and DowJones are the leading generators of Financial Headlines. Algos are not partisan, Headlines?--well that's another story.
Minneapolis DRS2 20:50:56 GMT - 11/24/2019
Don't kid yourself...Bloomberg is a vanity candidate who appeals only to nanny-state technocrats. Nobody else will vote for him.
He can't work without a fawning media organization behind him (Bloomberg News).
Israel MacroMicro 20:16:38 GMT - 11/24/2019
MIKEY is much too good for Americans to make them realize that.
the soda fiasco will always pop to make a joke out of him.
pity for Americans after all
dc CB 18:37:06 GMT - 11/24/2019
dc CB 17:43 GMT
*MICHAEL BLOOMBERG IS MAJORITY OWNER OF BLOOMBERG NEWS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
I write about the news media for the Washington Post. Random, inexplicable tweets about other stuff, too. All views someone else's. [email protected].
A liberal watchdog group's attempt to nail Rudy Giuliani has backfired in spectacular fashion after their FOIA request resulted in the US State Department releasing detailed accusations of corruption against the Bidens - based on interviews with former Ukrainian officials who were in charge of the investigations.
+_+_+_+_+_+_+:
Lutsenko takes Shokin's interview one step further in a January 25 phone interview with Giuliani and associates - describing how Ukraine has two secretive units which are protected by a US Ambassador.
"Mr. Lutsenko went on to explain that there is a unit called Specialized Anticorruption Prosecutor's Office (SAP) which has under its purview National Anticorruption Bureau Ukraine (NABU) which investigates corruption cases that involved public figures from Mayors upward. He stated that the current US Ambassador protects SAP and NABU," adding "His office has absolutely no control over SAP or NABU and can't even ask what they are working on however they fall under his "control."
"Mr Lutsenko stated that there was also a payment of $900,000 to Rosemont Seneca Partners LLC for consulting fees. Hunter Biden is a partner in Rosemont Seneca Partners LLC along with Devon Archer and the dates of this transaction are approximately anywhere from January to December 2015. According to Mr. Lutsenko the $900,000 invoice was for services rendered for lobbying by Joe Biden."
*MICHAEL BLOOMBERG ENTERS DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL RACE *MICHAEL BLOOMBERG IS MAJORITY OWNER OF BLOOMBERG NEWS
His agenda can be found at mikebloomberg.com
"I’m running for president to defeat Donald Trump and rebuild America. We cannot afford four more years of President Trump’s reckless and unethical actions. He represents an existential threat to our country and our values. If he wins another term in office, we may never recover from the damage. The stakes could not be higher. We must win this election. And we must begin rebuilding America. I believe my unique set of experiences in business, government, and philanthropy will enable me to win and lead."
Minneapolis DRS2 01:51:00 GMT - 11/24/2019
Ahh, clickbait on a Saturday nite. The bars are still open, you know.
I'll bite.
The answer is yes (True AND False).
Mtl JP 00:57:13 GMT - 11/24/2019
winners and losers
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It is said that luck trumps skill in investment results.
Qtn: True or False ?
Mtl JP 17:13:42 GMT - 11/21/2019
‘Right now, Russia’s security services and their proxies have geared up to repeat their interference in the 2020 election. We are running out of time to stop them.’ - Fiona Hill
Fiona Hill:
former senior director for Europe and Russia
the National Security Council
Mtl JP 16:43:35 GMT - 11/21/2019
winners and losers
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A Mysterious Marble Bubble in Hong Kong - wsj
A wildly overpriced stock that has rallied 3,800% this year could end up in the portfolios of global index investors
By Jacky Wong
Nov. 20, 2019 5:46 am ET
ffwrd today: 0.30 HKD −14.50 (97.94%) down
in one day !
Mtl JP 03:37:02 GMT - 11/21/2019
Odds are President Trump will sign the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act.
Xi and his gang of communists will have an opportunity to demonstrate what acting forcefully means.
winners and losers
iieeHA ! more moRE MORE
“The rich rule over the poor, and the borrower is slave to the lender.” - Proverbs 22:7
------------------------------
Global Debt Monitor - November 14, 2019
Global debt surged by $7.5 trillion in H1 2019, hitting a new record of over $250 trillion.
You never know if it will impact trading or not anyway...until it happens
Just bring it on, we are all adults, we can filter contents, dont like it dont read. Simple. No need all this CCP-style censorship
dc CB 00:36:08 GMT - 11/18/2019
you mean unless it concerns BREXIT?
good by and good luck been a nice decade or so.
Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 23:59:26 GMT - 11/17/2019
Please keep politics off the Forex Forum unless it impacts trading, TIA
Mtl JP 22:30:33 GMT - 11/17/2019
winners and losers
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I submit that the TOP current market driving issue (TCMDI)
is the so-called trade war between US and China
therefor see pic
(to save me from typing thousand+ words)
Mtl JP 04:55:11 GMT - 11/12/2019
winners and losers
-------------------- Mtl JP 13:51 Nov 8, 2019
Trump Won't Hit EU With Threatened Car Tariffs, Juncker Says - BBRG
“Trump will ruffle a bit, but there will not be any automobile tariffs,” Juncker said in the interview, which was published online Thursday. “He won’t do it. You’re talking to a fully informed man.”
POLITICO -11/11/2019 04:41 PM EST
Trump expected to delay auto tariff decision for 6 more months
The president faces a Wednesday deadline on whether to slap duties on imports of vehicles.
winners and losers
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‘This is the most prosperous economy the world has ever seen’ says Jamie Dimon — and it’s going to continue
- MarketWatch
Mtl JP 01:48:56 GMT - 11/11/2019
Hang Seng Index HSI 27,288.48 −362.66 (1.31%)
some thing going on not to its liking
Mtl JP 00:32:50 GMT - 11/11/2019
winners and losers
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20 risks to markets in 2020
Deutsche Bank's chief economist, Torsten Slok, sent out a list to clients on Friday of 20 risks to the economy and markets next year.
CNBC was granted permission to publish the full list:
The EC’s incoming president, Ursula von der Leyen, has announced the intention to create a climate plan. This includes legislation to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, the introduction of a green border tax and the creation of a fund to advance a "just transition".
In the US, the current administration has formally notified the UN that it intends to withdraw from the Paris Agreement the day after the 2020 presidential election. However, the majority of Democratic candidates have made climate change a key item in their policy agendas.
Climate and carbon could also become drivers of QE. Christine Lagarde has made it abundantly clear that climate change will be a priority during her tenure as ECB president, suggesting that the central bank might use monetary policy to support a climate-friendly stance.
interesting. The future of Big Tech (ie your phone as a creditcard)??? Flaws in the Algo?
_____________________________________
Steve Wozniak
✔@stevewoz
Replying to @dhh @AppleCard
The same thing happened to us. I got 10x the credit limit. We have no separate bank or credit card accounts or any separate assets. Hard to get to a human for a correction though. It's big tech in 2019.
7:51 PM - Nov 9, 2019
Goldman Sachs is under investigation by the New York Department of Financial Services after a tech entrepreneur alleged the company's algorithms were discriminating against his wife's gender after comparing their respective credit limits.
winners and losers
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“The trade talks with China are moving along, I think, very nicely and if we make the deal that we want it will be a great deal and if it’s not a great deal, I won’t make it,”
“I’d like to make a deal, but it’s got to be the right deal,”
“China very much wants to make a deal,” Trump added. “They’re having the worst year they’ve had in 57 years. Their supply chain is all broken, like an egg, they want to make a deal, perhaps they have to make a deal, I don’t know, I don’t care, that’s up to them.”
“They’re having the worst year they’ve had in 57 years. Their supply chain is all broken, like an egg, they want to make a deal, perhaps they have to make a deal, I don’t know, I don’t care, that’s up to them.”
dc CB 00:27 GMT November 9, 2019
And suddenly my senses tell me...OMG... it's the return of the 70's...The Ice Age is coming
NWS DC/Baltimore
Verified account @NWS_BaltWash
6h6 hours ago
Baltimore broke its daily low temperature record this morning (Nov. 9). The low of 24° broke the previous record of 25° set in 1976, and 1967.
nw kw 08:10:14 GMT - 11/09/2019
mxn chart be a mover
nw kw 08:06:38 GMT - 11/09/2019
eur and cad cot stops to be in food fight.next..
Mtl JP 01:49:02 GMT - 11/09/2019
dc CB actually it is 11,258 signatures
minus - no chit: professors Mickey Mouse and Albus Dumbledore - that got scratched from the
so like the FED, will the 11,000, flip on a frozen to the pavement Dime...and recalibrate the Doom to A Frozen Treat.
Da FED flipped from Hiking to IT'S NOT QE 60BigBills a mo...134Big Bills a DAY. --- How FAST was that? 2 meetings???
dc CB 00:27:47 GMT - 11/09/2019
Bring me those 11,000 scientists. Not 10,998, or 10.999. I want the exact 11,000.
And suddenly my senses tell me...OMG... it's the return of the 70's...The Ice Age is coming...you have just 8 years to lay in a wood supply for thew stove. Hope you have big barn and lots of trees on your land. The 2020 Prepper Blog warns. LOL
_______________________________________________
As we all know Australia is a big country. NSW covers approximately 10 per cent of the country.
Yesterday 450 kilometres to the south of Sydney at Thredbo snow fell and the temperature was -5 centigrade.
Meanwhile the same distance to the north the worst bushfires in history threatened Port Macquarie and other towns nearby closing at several points the Pacific Highway which is the main link between Sydney and Brisbane.
The temperature in Sydney yesterday reached 34 degrees centigrade
dc CB 21:24:48 GMT - 11/08/2019
Mtl JP 20:25 GMT
who knew The Weather Channel wants to scare you into voting for a democrat. When you have no ideas -- fear sells.
_____________________________________________________
Weather Channel aired its doom-mongering special: "2020: Race to Save the Planet" on November 7 giving each Democratic presidential candidate the opportunity to virtue-signal their most terrifying vision for what will happen (in just a few years) if we do nothing... and what their 'solutions' are.
winners and losers
reformulating the mushroom feeding formula
--------------------------------------------------
and preparing new complexities as purview of "experts"
Fed Governor Lael Brainard says the central bank needs to guard against climate change
CNBC.com·3 hours ago
Fed can no longer ignore potential economic 'shocks' of climate change: Brainard
MarketWatch·3 hours ago
Fed Governor Lael Brainard: Central bank must prevent ...
3 hours ago - Along with all of the other things it must consider, the Federal Reserve needs to take into account climate change when formulating monetary ...
Federal Reserve's Lael Brainard says climate change poses ...
2 hours ago - U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard said the Fed will need to look at how to keep the financial system resilient amid risks from climate change. ... A top Federal Reserve policymaker on Friday signaled the U.S. central bank may join its international peers in incorporating ...
Fed's Brainard Says Climate Change Might Have Implications ...
3 hours ago - WASHINGTON—Federal Reserve governor Lael Brainard said the central bank is ramping up its efforts to understand the implications of climate change for monetary policy and noted that the phenomenon may have consequences for interest rates. ... She was referring to the estimated level ...
'shocks' of climate change: Brainard - MarketWatch
3 hours ago - Climate change is just the kind of "shock" to the economy that the Federal Reserve can no longer ignore, Fed Governor Lael Brainard said ...
Lael is being echoed by Mary Davy who claimed that "understanding climate change risk is essential to achieving Fed's mission" and that "climate change is an economic issue we cannot ignore".
With Mary and Lael & Co. preparing to intervene odds are increasing that we all will be joining other fossils soon.
dc CB 01:12:34 GMT - 11/06/2019
slightly different 'spin' when it's not written up by a bubblehead from MarkITWatch Rupert Murdockite. You decide .
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Over 40 years ago, scientists from 50 nations pivoted on a longstanding "global cooling" thesis that was going to blanket the earth in ice, and instead adopted what was then called the "CO2-climate problem" which would lead to theories on global warming, rising tides and economic catastrophe.
Bloomberg Economics
✔@economics
Some 11,000 scientists call for population control in mass climate alarm https://bloom.bg/2JUqNvr
12:05 PM - Nov 5, 2019
"We declare, with more than 11,000 scientist signatories from around the world, clearly and unequivocally that planet Earth is facing a climate emergency," warned the scientists in the Tuesday edition of BioScience, in a report that includes lots of scary charts.....
'When absorbed in sequence, the charts lay out a devastating trend for planetary health. From meat consumption, greenhouse gas emissions and ice loss to sea-level rise and extreme weather events, they lay out a grim portrait of 40 years of squandered opportunities.
The scientists make specific calls for policymakers to quickly implement systemic change to energy, food, and economic policies.
But they go one step further, into the politically fraught territory of population control. It “must be stabilized—and, ideally, gradually reduced—within a framework that ensures social integrity,” they write. -Bloomberg
I'll be happy to ponder their words over a steak dinner, perhaps with a fine beverage...
Mtl JP 00:02:53 GMT - 11/06/2019
as if just in time for his putzhood justin:
Blame planes and beef: climate crisis accelerating faster than expected, say 11,000 scientists
An alarming new warning from 11,000 scientists declares “clearly and unequivocally that planet Earth is facing a climate emergency,”
Risks to the planet:
- human population growth,
- meat consumption,
- tree-cover loss,
- energy consumption,
- fossil-fuel subsidies
- annual economic losses to extreme weather
MacroMicro 22:30 no kidding.
china is rather quiet about importing canadian "mislabelled" meats again
with prices in china up about 70% from 4 months ago I can see xi rubbing hands with glee and high-fiving justin's putzhood
Mtl JP 22:55:25 GMT - 11/05/2019
mm / for the record: NASDAQ: QCOM 85.46 USD
-
susan rice said indirectly few days ago to justin to "Don't let Huawei work on your 5G networks"
"That will throw the Five Eyes collaboration, which serves the security interests of every Canadian and every American, into jeopardy. It just can't be done," "I don't see how we can share in the way we have."
I want and support rachel - “What would happen if Russia killed the power in Fargo?” “What would you do if you lost heat, indefinitely, as the act of a foreign power on the same day the temperature in your front yard matched the temperature in Antarctica?” - maddow at msnbc to get creative and go off the rails again
winners and losers
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arrRGHH... china to resume imports of Canadian pork AND beef
damn damn damn !!
Mtl JP 22:18:00 GMT - 11/05/2019
winners and losers
today I am one:
-----------------
as China lifts ban on Canadian beef and pork exports
and china dictatorship admirer trudeau bubbles and burbles
Mtl JP 00:25:04 GMT - 11/05/2019
winners and losers
and effectiveness of tools
mushroom feeders
----------------------------
1 - “I think we would need to see a really significant move up in inflation that’s persistent before we even consider raising rates to address inflation concerns.” – Jerome Powell 10/30/2019
today n/v kashkari approves:
2 - "We don't want to follow Europe and Japan and have inflation unanchored to the downside because then our tools would be very limited,"
The Federal Reserve is "effectively on pause for a while," said Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Monday.
3 - (Reuters) Fed's Daly says rate cuts put U.S. economy in better position
- San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said Monday that the central bank’s three rate cuts leave the U.S. economy better positioned to withstand the risks of global slowdown, joining the chorus of policymakers saying it is time to let the Fed’s insurance cuts take effect. (own bolding)
Mtl JP 21:37:27 GMT - 11/04/2019
China pressing Trump to remove more tariffs ahead of trade deal signing
Politico 47 mins ago
winners and losers
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oh the irony of confused coincident headlines:
02:43 Treasury yields push higher as trade optimism lifts Dow to new all-time high
02:34 Tearful billionaire has some advice for President Trump: Change your approach or get out of the race
(Asked why he was brought to tears during the interview, Cooperman said: “I care. That’s it.”)
02:33 Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq vault to records as stock market extends gains
- MarketWatch
dc CB 17:57:04 GMT - 11/04/2019
Goldman Sachs values Aramco between $1.6 trillion and $2.3 trillion.
"Note that our suggested valuation framework is based on a long-term analysis, and it is not linked to a near-term assessment of the likely performance of the company's shares," Goldman's pre-IPO report said.
Much of Goldman Sach's valuation of the oil company is derived from an average oil price of $64.50 for 2019, and $60 per barrel from 2020 through 2023.
Crude @ the highest level in over a month but hasn't been able to sustain above the 56 top of Bear Market // US 10 yr yield trying to move above 1.80 AGAIN but it hasn't held up there -- change needs to start somewhere
Mtl JP 14:22:28 GMT - 11/04/2019
nh there is a reason both draghi and now lagarde pushing prudent savers to go into debt ... now that ECB's bonds buying is running out of effetieness o ward Eurozone collapse
Livingston nh 14:14:46 GMT - 11/04/2019
The Fed always panics
Mtl JP 13:59:17 GMT - 11/04/2019
winners and losers
and effectiveness of tools
---------------------------- “I think we would need to see a really significant move up in inflation that’s persistent before we even consider raising rates to address inflation concerns.” – Jerome Powell 10/30/2019
today n/v kashkari approves:
"We don't want to follow Europe and Japan and have inflation unanchored to the downside because then our tools would be very limited,"
winners and losers
dipping pen in company ink
------------------------------
McDonald’s Fires CEO Steve Easterbrook Over /‘consensual’/ Relationship With Employee
dc CB 19:57:17 GMT - 11/02/2019
"What works in San Francisco does not necessarily work in Michigan,"Pelosi said in a wide-ranging interview with Bloomberg. "What works in Michigan works in San Francisco — talking about workers’ rights and sharing prosperity."
Farage threatened to fight for every seat in the Dec. 12 election if Prime Minister Boris Johnson refuses to abandon his divorce deal with the European Union and commit to a clean break.
sofar boris not interested
Mtl JP 18:28:02 GMT - 11/01/2019
winners and losers
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(Bloomberg) -- House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Congress should pursue an impeachment inquiry of President Donald Trump regardless of its impact on financial markets.
what moron whispered to her that her impeachment inquiry of President Donald Trump has an impact on financial markets ?
Mtl JP 18:22:21 GMT - 11/01/2019
dc CB 16:37 buy railroads
they ll be able move 200,000 bbls/day on traks again
under govt permission
railroads charge good fees
dc CB 17:06:32 GMT - 11/01/2019
Netflix is sliding into late session after NBC is "considering giving away the ad-supported version of its streaming service Peacock for free to everyone," sources told CNBC.
dc CB 16:37:43 GMT - 11/01/2019
Alberta Alberta.
The Keystone Pipeline was shut down this week after it ruptured and spilled in North Dakota.
The repair and cleanup could take as long as two to three months, according to Reuters.
The pipeline runs from Alberta to refineries in the Midwest and is a crucial conduit for Canada’s oil industry. The prospect of an outage helped depress prices for Western Canada Select (WCS), which fell relative to WTI ever-so-slightly on Wednesday. WCS is trading below $38 per barrel, or about $17 per barrel below WTI.
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./... NSO ... products are only meant to help governments catch terrorists and criminals
hacking of a wider group of top government officials’ smartphones than previously reported suggests the WhatsApp cyber intrusion could have broad political and diplomatic consequences. .../.
winners and losers
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Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
The Impeachment Hoax is hurting our Stock Market. The Do Nothing Democrats don’t care!
7:57 AM - 31 Oct 2019
-
Despite the fact that stocks ended down some,
respectfully, I DISAGREE that players are concerned with some impeachment
Mtl JP 22:11:02 GMT - 10/31/2019
The Pompeo: China’s Government Is The Problem piece
has ONLY 342 views as of Oct 31, 2019, 12:42pm
It needs at least four zeros added to it.
Please Help
... It’s not the Chinese people that are the problem. It’s the Communist Party of China. ...
... Chinese government was targeting the U.S. and using methods that have created challenges for the U.S. to confront them on it. ...
... .. the time is right for the U.S. to take on China. ...
... We’re finally realizing the degree to which the Chinese Communist Party is truly hostile to the United States and our values, and how they impact us,” ...
... Pompeo would like to see the Communist Party fall. Or at the very least reform to be more in line with Western standards. ...
... To the China hawks in Trump’s cabinet, the real target is the Chinese Communist Party. ...
... Xi is very much in charge, and the Chinese Communist Party is not weakening. ...
-------
Now... who here does NOT like a good fight to bet on ?
And who d like to handicap a Xi/CPC vs Popeo/Trump scrap ?
ps "good fight" needs definition
london red 17:18:48 GMT - 10/31/2019
Trump: UK Labour opposition leader Corbyn would be so bad for UK, would take you to such bad places
u have to hand it to the guy sometimes. he does says what everyone thinks.
dc CB 16:58:38 GMT - 10/31/2019
Argentina's center-left Peronists celebrate return to power
Prior to the election, many Argentines had taken to the streets to protest cuts in subsidies that have led to rises in utilities and transportation costs.
so PAR, does Lagarde get an party tommow?
Will they play Madonna singing "don't cry for me Argentina" as she takes the helm.
Evita
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KD_1Z8iUDho
PAR16:18:17 GMT - 10/31/2019
ECB is not in charge of climate.
ECB just should bring inflation to 2% and don't talk nonsense like Draghi did for 8 consecutive years.
dc CB 15:51:05 GMT - 10/31/2019
saw this yest.
ECB's Lautenschlaeger: Central bank can use its portfolio to fight climate change.
and the ECB has the perfect person for the job. Regarde -Lagarde.
The Climate Change Hit Woman. How many billions in 'later to be found failures' in the battle against THE CLIMATE.
Mtl JP 15:44:06 GMT - 10/31/2019
winners and losers
pledge / binding pledge / promise
-------------------------------------
German court throws out climate challenge to Merkel govt
but then it's sort of like Central Bankers(and the powers that put and keep them in place)....When she blows it's gonna take us all down. (but we'll be sailing the Med a docking at Monaco so we won't get 'burned'
Tomrow's the Day...POW POW Powell...yawns or total Chaos...tho POW POW's 'spark' may take a bit of time before it becomes a conflagration...prob around 8:45AM Friday after the NFP release.
Then Fri at 3:55PM the REPO Limit will increase along with the POMO (not QE) limts.
dc CB 02:06:57 GMT - 10/30/2019
Mtl JP 22:35 GMT
don't really know how to respond to that complete mis-direction.
But then what else would "MarketWatch" DowJones Murdock 'yeh get this guy to write a seemingly erudite ANALysis of What is What.
It ain't about `19th Century Wires on Poles' thru the trees and grasslands that have Forever had to live with the Santa Ana Winds...why did they bother to Name those Winds...not to mention the wet/dry as kindling cycles that are par for the course in California.
You do know that LA wud not exist if not for Piped in Water.
One would think that Power Companies would have that reality in mind.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
To the south, the Getty Fire is raging west of Interstate 405 in Los Angeles, forcing wealthy residents seek shelter at a makeshift evacuation center at the Westwood Recreation Center. The 656-acre fire which was sparked when a branch fell on power lines (operated by the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power) is just 5% contained.
no, no, no, it's just toooooo expensive to bury the line --- billions I say billions, do U want your electric rates to GO UP....no no no.
19th Century --- costs tooooo much toooo much.
(we can give bankers $134BILLION a Day so they can play Masters of the Universe.
You'll just have to do without power when and then without your house, your winery(such a shame).
"this is what Climate Change looks like" sez AOC...we need Trillions to....we need trillions sez 16YO Greta.
Bury the lines Cost Too Much Can't be done.
Colonize Mars that's the ticket...yeh Mars.
winners and losers
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Fresh Del Monte’s stock soars as customers buy less but spend more on fresh foods
should be good for the institutionalized 2% inflation hunt
Mtl JP 17:34:09 GMT - 10/29/2019
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"GM stock rose nearly 5%, its largest one-day jump in more than four months, and was on track for its highest close since Sept. 13"
more moRE MORE strikes !
Mtl JP 17:56:33 GMT - 10/28/2019
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More than a third of millennials polled approve of communism
..."A new survey released by the Washington, D.C., nonprofit Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation reflects that, if the younger generation gets out and votes in 2020, those running for office on the far left have reason to be hopeful. ... ..
JP..yeh tell me something I don't know and said before.
From the Pros////lol
Private money and public(or state) money work together and to the same end. Their actions have been absolutely complementary during the crisis, aimed at safeguarding the markets for which they are ready to sacrifice society, social cohesion, and democracy.
Maurizio Lazzarato.
but then U guys Justin got Justin'd again.
Mtl JP 00:04:24 GMT - 10/27/2019
CB ... remember: "We can and must safeguard the financial system" janet yellen
left unsaid is over and above anything else
just like draghi's "whatever it takes"
ps / ditto lagarde. regardless of any other b/s she ll spew.
dc CB 21:41:30 GMT - 10/26/2019
Three Fed Statements
*Emergency repos were needed for "end-of-quarter funding".
*Balance sheet expansion is "not QE". Rather, it's "organic growth".
*This is "not monetary policy".
winners and losers
vocabulary
------------ zombie
- firms that are unable to cover debt servicing costs (i.e. just interest) from current profits over an extended period.
- zombie company “is a publicly traded firm that’s 10 years or older with a ratio of earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) to interest expenses of below one.”
- BIS
dc CB 19:46:39 GMT - 10/25/2019
Friday's laugh-out-loud Ironic funnies.
"The Democrats Made Me"
_____________________________________________
the Trump organization is considering parting ways with its luxurious Washington, D.C., hotel, The Wall Street Journal reported on Friday, citing a company statement.
Eric Trump, an executive vice president at the Trump Organization, told the Journal that one of the main reasons behind the possible sale of the hotel is that "People are objecting to us making so much money on the hotel, and therefore we may be willing to sell."
The hotel could fetch upwards of $500 million for the leasing rights, or as the Journal said, about $2 million per room.
If the hotel fetches around the $2 million per room, it "would make the sale one of the highest-priced hotel deals ever."
As the common saying goes, buy low and sell high.
dc CB 19:36:44 GMT - 10/25/2019
Two centuries before Joe McCarthy, the French national assembly suddenly turned on the Jacobins Robespierre and St. Just after their orgy of beheading 17,000 enemies. The two were quickly dispatched themselves to the awe of their beloved guillotine and the Jacobin faction was not heard of again —until recently in America, where it first infected the Universities and then sickened the polity at large almost unto death.
CB 02:53 what r some of the possibilities of such a "a criminal investigation" ? Any trades u c ?
dc CB 02:53:18 GMT - 10/25/2019
The Department of Justice’s sweeping review into the origins of its Trump-Russia probe is now a criminal investigation, according to the New York Times.
The launch of a criminal probe allows U.S. Attorney John Durham, the prosecutor tapped by Attorney General William Barr to lead the review, to subpoena witnesses for testimony and documents. The move also authorizes Durham to impanel a grand jury and file charges.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/24/us/politics/john-durham-criminal-investigation.html
Livingston nh 22:27:23 GMT - 10/24/2019
the meek shall inherit the Dirt
Mtl JP 22:04:17 GMT - 10/24/2019
we're DOOMED-- like the meek that shall inherit ?
or like - oh la-laahh - Global economic tensions slam Israel’s diamond industry and soooo ...
None of this matters - we're DOOMED-- in an appeal for funds a do-gooder organization has advised me : "That warming trend has continued into 2019: July was the hottest month ever in Earth's history."
STUPID is forever; it's incurable, spreading and the REASON that the Chicken Little Institute of Dubious Science has retired the GOLDEN ACORN award for any entity that espouses such nonsense. (this protects stupid people from themselves and society) == Governments however will commit massive amounts to forestall DOOM based on STUPID -- the Institute disavows any such investment
Mtl JP 21:08:24 GMT - 10/24/2019
winners and losers
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huh ?? what is this headline I am reading:
Amazon Stock Falls on Profit Miss, Light Holiday Sales Outlook
Light Holiday Sales Outlook ????
at Amazon ?
got to check on that china warehouse walmart's sentiment
Mtl JP 20:41:36 GMT - 10/24/2019
winners and losers
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Trump to Tell Federal Agencies to Cut New York Times, Washington Post Subscriptions - wsj
winners and losers
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The Indian financial sector is facing rising risk of contagion and failure of any large finance company will adversely impact economic growth, S&P Global Ratings said in a report on Wednesday.
Mtl JP 08:55:42 GMT - 10/21/2019
TOKYO, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Japan's major financial institutions are set to undergo a stress test to prepare for any major shakeout in financial markets in light of worries about a global recession and a protracted Sino-U.S. trade war,
Sat's "Bernie's Back" (post heart attack) Rally in Long Island City, Queens NY.
Long Island City, the place that 'lost' the NEW NEW NEW East Coast HeadQrtrs. The first Big Show for AOC, who vocalized Opposition to 'Da Billionaires'.
Joins 'da Anti Billionaire TICKet' for the MiddleSchool Playground duke-it-out series.
Comin' to a TeeVee near you.
dc CB 23:32 GMT October 19, 2019
IMF head Christine Lagarde convicted, but not punished, in negligence trial
Christian Science Monitor 12/19/16
NB: the ECB has chosen The New Bar. Thus setting a New New New Standard(Bar) for the Ethics Requirement
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Tonite the Ethics Question will no doubt be NOT asked on 60 Minutes.
_________________________________________________
incoming European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde, who says in an upcoming 60 Minutes interview, expected to air on Sunday, Oct. 20 at 7 p.m. ET/PT on CBS, that "Market stability should not be the subject of a tweet here or a tweet there. It requires consideration, thinking, quiet and measured, and rational decisions."
Lagarde told 60 Minutes correspondent John Dickerson that central banking is like "navigating a plane" with policymakers keeping a very close eye on the instrument panel, i.e., economic trends.
IMF hahahahahaha
(The Old Bar - 'charged but acquitted. The New Bar --- 'convicted but NOT Punished)
Former Head of the IMF May Have Been Acquitted But He Has Lost Everything (DSK)
Time Magazine 6/12/15
https://time.com/3919026/strauss-kahn-acquitted-lost/
_ - ----____---- ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
IMF head Christine Lagarde convicted, but not punished, in negligence trial
Christian Science Monitor 12/19/16
https://www.csmonitor.com/World/2016/1219/IMF-head-Christine-Lagarde-convicted-but-not-punished-in-negligence-trial
************************************************
NB: the ECB has chosen The New Bar. Thus setting a New New New Standard(Bar) for the Ethics Requirement question: Application FORM X7**FFF###212, Head of The Central Bank...... hahahahahaha
nw kw 23:09:15 GMT - 10/19/2019
wtf cot short gbp, nuts.?? stops at sos
Mtl JP 21:23:18 GMT - 10/19/2019
winners and losers
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Want to know what "are essential to the stability of exchange rates" ?
The cost of living adjustment (COLA) will increase Social Security benefits by 1.6 percent in 2020, an average of about $24 per month for individuals, the Social Security Administration announced Wednesday.
dc CB 16:26:14 GMT - 10/12/2019
"an immediate
global carbon tax that will rise rapidly to $75 a ton of
CO2 in 2030."
but that has always been THE PLAN. TransPacificPartnership and the sister plan the US and Europe, and the Atlantic basin along with the Paris Climate Accord...all the stuff that the O administration and its continuation the HRC administration were intent on implimenting. Worldwide power to GuiltTAX everyone on the planet.
All the stuff that Trump walked away from...And That is why OrangeManBad.
dc CB 15:49:12 GMT - 10/12/2019
apparently it's real.
one can only conclude that Putin wants her to win..:)
winners and losers
IMF has a plan
---------------------
..."Limiting global warming to 2°C or less requires policy
measures on an ambitious scale, such as an immediate
global carbon tax that will rise rapidly to $75 a ton of
CO2 in 2030."
- Executive Summary, IMF Fiscal Monitor, October 2019
Mtl JP 19:47:21 GMT - 10/11/2019
winners and losers
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UK's Royal Mint launches solid-gold debit card
gbpusd continuing strength will send eurgbp to 0.79?
nw kw 00:47:18 GMT - 10/11/2019
Squirrel getting snowed in burr, he lost hairtail, but remains in hottest market. he's leveraged to nuts, is all hope lost...
dc CB 22:26:16 GMT - 10/10/2019
tres tres interessant ...
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
I call "Squirrel" on this guy. Everything he says is true up to this point:
"He blames boomer selling for part of the meltdown for stocks late last year. “The marginal change of an American baby boomer thinking ‘I’ve got too much equities,’ which they do have — that is catastrophic for the system, because they have way, way too much risk,”
Retired "Investors" are NOT leveraged to the hilt Times X00(U pick the leading digit) like those guys who are sooooo leveraged, that THEY don't even trust each other to honor an OverNight 'backed by Collateral in Treasuries' loan. As proven by the (dismissed by the finjurnos) Repo Spike to 10% just last week(Oh I can't remember seems like yesterday)
Yup Blame the Boomers...hahahahahahaha. Squirrel...look
Has NOTHING to do with REPOMadness....it's the Boomer's Fault...
dc CB 22:14:10 GMT - 10/10/2019
quote of the day....I'm not really sure who this Fisher guy is...however he must be some sort of Expert, as he rates DJNS
FISHER: CERTAIN WORDS AND PHRASES USED WERE `CLEARLY WRONG'
Mtl JP 21:17:04 GMT - 10/10/2019
winners and losers
DJIA 10/10/2019 -- 26,496.67
S&P 500 10/10/2019 -- 2,938.13
-------------------------------------
tres tres interessant ...
“The problem is the gap between this year and last year is huge. It’s like 50% increase in the amount of selling that has to be done,” said Pal, who was among the few investors who predicted and profited amid the 2008-09 mortgage meltdown.
winners and losers
---------------------
Joe Biden is a hypocrite on Ukraine - The Washington Post
Looks like Joe Biden may be losing some 2020 steam - MSNBC
feel free to take a side
Kl Fs 01:35:30 GMT - 10/08/2019
Nothing to be confused JP. Accept it. Cat has 9 lives.
IF something has been "totally destroyed and obliterated" before ... how come it is still around, presumably to be totally destroyed and obliterated again ?
Israel MacroMicro 00:21:51 GMT - 10/07/2019
the macro is about Asia delivering double digit to the balance sheets while European operations literally causing the crisis. HSBC to act as the shareholders interests demands? (=cut where no money is made?)
Mtl JP 20:50:24 GMT - 10/06/2019
Winners and Losers
(NYSE: HSBC $37.21)
---------------------
HSBC to axe up to 10,000 jobs in cost-cutting drive - FT
dc CB 15:24 GMT
WEWORK TO FILE REQUEST TO WITHDRAW IPO PROSPECTUS
reminder - this is not a Tech Company; it is a Commercial Real Estate Co.++++++++++++++++++
so ZH come back with some lists.
Trading Related: ambitious Shorters have 6 months or so to find what will be hit hardest and find a way to take a position.
This ain't AmzTrdr, and it certainly ain't FOREX, it's kind of Michael Burry stuff.
*DOJ CONFIRMS 2016 REVIEW GATHERING INFO FROM FOREIGN COUNTRIES
*DOJ SAYS TRUMP HAS CONTACTED OTHER COUNTRIES AT BARR REQUEST
dc CB 22:21:18 GMT - 09/30/2019
WSJ
Earlier Monday, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said he would hold a trial in the Senate if the House approved articles of impeachment for Mr. Trump, addressing doubts he may circumvent Senate procedures.
“I would have no choice but to take it up,” the Kentucky Republican said Monday on CNBC. He added: “How long you are on it is a different matter, but I would have no choice but to take it up based on a Senate rule on impeachment.”
It was the first time Mr. McConnell has directly addressed the topic since House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.) said the House would begin an impeachment inquiry focused on allegations Mr. Trump sought to use the powers of his office to push Ukraine to investigate Mr. Biden, his Democratic rival, and that White House officials acted to conceal evidence of the president’s actions.
dc CB 22:20:43 GMT - 09/30/2019
WSJ News Exclusive
Pompeo Took Part in Ukraine Call, Official Says
Secretary of state listened in on July 25 Trump-Zelensky contact that is center of impeachment inquiry
Covering the globe
GBP --- up or down on this from Reuters
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson will reveal his final Brexit plan to European Union leaders as early as Tuesday, the Telegraph reported on Monday.
The plan is expected to be based on the creation of an all-Ireland "economic zone" which would allow agricultural and food products to move between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland without checks at the border, the report said.
(Reporting by Sabahatjahan Contractor in Bengaluru;)
winners and losers
---------------------
The chief bodyguard to Saudi Arabia’s King Salman has been shot dead in a “personal dispute” in Jeddah, prompting a gunfight in which his assailant was also killed and several members of the security forces were wounded. - The Times
dc CB 21:48:58 GMT - 09/30/2019
and the Hit-Jobs keep on coming.
Tradingwise - will this hit the AUD????
Yes or No? If Yes then how much and which way?
__________________________________________________
we enter a new era of anonymous whistleblowers heading into the 2020 election (a new anti-Trump strategy telegraphed by former CIA Director, John Brennan), the New York Times is out with a report that President Trump asked the Australian Prime Minister to help Attorney General William Barr uncover the origins of "Russiagate," according to yet another 'whistleblower.'
Gotta run. i hear stilettos heels coming up the steps.. i was nebver here.
Caribbean! Rafe... 21:06:45 GMT - 09/30/2019
DRS2// Well they are standing for it... that is why china is building economic bases all over the place... and the rest of their customers are crying that they (china) is selling things to everybody, not only to them. I bet you that would not be the case if there was an agreement stating just be faithful and f*** us only, and not us and them too... Boils down to Ethic... aka Confucianism.
Minneapolis DRS2 21:01:10 GMT - 09/30/2019
That's a problem that they have to solve for themselves. It is a problem that they have always had, and in fact is the same problem that all other countries except the US and Russia have. They will continue to get raw materials from various places over time.
What they will not continue to do is to somehow be the "factory floor for the world", where everybody else sends them raw materials in exchange for value-add products. The economics don't work, and the people in the world won't stand for it.
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:56:47 GMT - 09/30/2019
DRS2// I beg to differ... From where do they import their raw materials to manufacture goods for export to other countries.
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:55:15 GMT - 09/30/2019
The day will come when they are not able to rule... yes that is soon to be a reality... The problem for Chinese government is that their people are very well much ahead of them (i.e. government). That is why I say, that they will have to once again re-adopt Confucianism to reign in the masses. Culture is a part of micro-economics, it's called Business Customs and Culture: From that stems Business Ethic etc etc... Sustainer of Micro-Economic Belief Systems and Procedures etc etc...
Their American customers are their biggest complainant's, complaining about their ethic, hence exactly that is why I say Confucianism is the way forward for them... and they created Maoism simply because they did not like the fact that they were not able "To See" what the purist's were able to see and purists were not easy to deceive.
Minneapolis DRS2 20:48:35 GMT - 09/30/2019
According to most personal accounts I've seen or heard, China's almost myopic focus on economic strength as the basis of their society is reaching its practical limits. The central promise of the CCP (we will harvest from others in the world and make you rich) is unsustainable, and therefore Chinese society will have to change somehow. Even their "raw economic strength" is questionable...take a look at any factory town that went into the dumps when the owners and customers went away, and extrapolate that to an entire country.
China can prosper further as a society, but they will need to build up the lives of their own people using either imports or domestic production. Export business alone will not do it for them.
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:38:52 GMT - 09/30/2019
DRS2// What is has to do with trading is simple... We trade and make money from economic inefficiencies, equilibrium models tend to cause a lot of that fwiw... lol
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:36:47 GMT - 09/30/2019
DRS2// If Maoism failed then the fault is in their philosophy (as you just stated). Confucianism sustained China for centuries in comparison to Maoism which worked only for a few decades...
Minneapolis DRS2 20:30:39 GMT - 09/30/2019
Rafe 20:17...
"If the Communist Party has a day when it cannot rule or has met difficulty and needs to invite Confucius back, it means you (note: the Party) are coming to an end."
-Mao Tse Tung, according to his nephew Mao Yuanxin
In the Mao era, Confucianism was labeled "backward" and "superstitious", and the Chinese revolutionaries of the time did everything they could to destroy it.
Now, step forward a bit in modern history. Who are the elites of the current Chinese Communist Party? The so-called "princelings"? They are the descendants of the same revolutionaries who did everything they could to destroy Confucianism.
Mind you, I agree with you, at least in part. China would do very well to bring back at least some aspects of Confucianism, and not try to pervert it with "support the Communist party" thinking.
What does this have to do with trading? To use JP's lingo, you could make lots of moolah if you made trades based on the idea of China really returning to its societal roots. Now there's a trade idea for you.
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:17:09 GMT - 09/30/2019
DRS2// Confucianism...
Minneapolis DRS2 20:13:55 GMT - 09/30/2019
The Mao era ran more or less from 1949 to 1976, and in a nutshell was the implementation of "pure communism" in China. You can read the historical accounts...the population was restructured into communes, educated members of society were sent out to work the fields, people ate rats and grass and leaves to survive, etc.
It was concluded by the Chinese leaders in later years that the Cultural Revolution was a disaster. They had to recover their society somehow, and they did so through major economic change. However, the history before the Mao years was either utterly destroyed by the hardcore Communists, or it left the country and went to the West, other Asian countries (e.g. Singapore), or to Taiwan.
Now to be fair, nothing is ever completely wrecked, and that includes Chinese society and culture. Some of it...perhaps much of it...survived, and in fact has grown in recent years. However, when you say that the solution for China is "the very culture that sustained it from the very beginning"...what culture would that be?
Caribbean! Rafe... 19:56:09 GMT - 09/30/2019
DRSS// What was their culture before Maoism.
Minneapolis DRS2 19:53:18 GMT - 09/30/2019
Rafe 19:08...What culture would that be?
The Cultural Revolution that brought Maoism into Chinese society destroyed (intentionally) most aspects of traditional Chinese culture.
Caribbean! Rafe... 19:08:46 GMT - 09/30/2019
Sorry, the rest of the post was missing for some reason.
And we also run the risk of China opening bases in other countries, meaning economic/military bases... they have economic bases in a few countries, so "the mili bases" will sprout up eventually as well. But, mind you though China to survive their trade sanctions, and whatever else is headed their way will have to focus on their internal administration and micro-economics to keep their structure sustainable for future generations, and in order to overcome that damage their new trading partners would be the "New European Bloc" because if there is a Brexit which obviously there is most likely to be then obviously the consequence is a fallout of some sort... However, the key is that the very "same economic bloc" would out do China at their own games, since many of them were once communist themselves, i.e. the dragon feeding the slayer... The solution for China is the very culture that sustained it from the very beginning and looking once again within...
Caribbean! Rafe... 18:58:23 GMT - 09/30/2019
And we also run the risk of China opening bases in other countries, meaning economic/military bases... they have economic bases in a few countries, so "the mili bases" will sprout up eventually as well. But, mind you though China to survive their trade sanctions, and whatever else is headed their way will have to focus on their internal administration and micro-economics to keep their structure sustainable for future generations.
Caribbean! Rafe... 18:26:52 GMT - 09/30/2019
The socialist latam countries always are the mainstay and the true ones who save the USA and keep her growing stronger... Think about it... The 70's, 80's and 90's... That is why Asian economies got flayed in the late 90's and China surpassed them. So when Trump said he wanted to invade one of the Latam countries that caused him a lot of flak... because on one hand China is a threat and was taken down by sanctions but some of the Latam countries went into downward economic spirals and will continue to go unless they are given preferential trade deals and consultants to get out of their economic problems, and into an economic trade boom... The other best option for a start is now is to re-adopt Mexico as one of the trading partners of the 80's-90's and allow them free passage and flow of Mexican made consumer products (I do not mean drugs) into the United States.
Caribbean! Rafe... 18:09:57 GMT - 09/30/2019
Now it is justified when I said earlier in the year... Don't build the wall in Mexico etc etc... that was long before the Chinese trade war started... Latam will save the USA from the brink of economic collapse, and thanks to Mr. Trump's abilities in maneuvering the economic fate of the country back to a solid foundation that may as well sustain itself for 100 more years, enough for the greatest grandkids of the common Joe...
dc CB 17:24:34 GMT - 09/30/2019
WeWork is flagged as a top five tenant behind $3.3 billion in CMBS debt across 36 properties, with nearly 80% of the exposure balance being part of deals issued in 2016 and after: TREPP
https://www.trepp.com/
dc CB 15:47:25 GMT - 09/30/2019
Kunstler:
Someone in Impeachmentville is not paying attention. Of course, diverting the rubes is exactly the point of the latest CIA operation to negate the 2016 election. Has nobody noticed that there is treaty between Ukraine and the USA, signed at Kiev in 1998 and ratified by the US Senate in 2000. It’s an agreement on “Mutual Legal Assistance in Criminal Matters.” Here, read the cover letter for yourself:
WEWORK TO FILE REQUEST TO WITHDRAW IPO PROSPECTUS
reminder - this is not a Tech Company; it is a Commercial Real Estate Co.
last week: an ominous sign for the commercial real-estate market, a large Singaporean investment firm has walked away from an £850 million ($1.04 billion) deal to buy Southbank Place, an office building near London's Waterloo Station that boasts one of the largest WeWork spaces in the world, the FT reports.
Mtl JP 14:21:00 GMT - 09/30/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
“After many years, the United States is finally waking up to Beijing’s plans and ambitions to pass us as the dominant economic & military superpower in the 21st Century. What’s happening now is that the U.S. is finally responding (thank you President Trump). This is taking.....
@realDonaldTrump
56m56 minutes ago
....place in TRADE, it’s taking shape in Military Competition.” Johnathan Ward, author and China expert. We are winning, and we will win. They should not have broken the deal we had with them. Happy Birthday China!
dc CB 17:29:23 GMT - 09/29/2019
“If none of this had messaging or political implications, buying a big chunk of Treasuries up front would be an obvious choice,” Wrightson ICAP LLC chief economist Lou Crandall said in an email. “However, it’s not at all clear that the FOMC has the appetite for that.”
“This could make the October meeting treacherous for the market,” especially if the central bank also takes a pass on cutting interest rates, Crandall added.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief U.S. economist Michael Feroli agreed.
There’s a risk the Fed could end up disappointing investors “big time” if it embarks on a smaller balance sheet rise, he said.
The repo market -- where financial institutions swap Treasury securities for cash -- “is critically important to the U.S. financial system and the economy,” former Fed officials Joseph Gagnon and Brian Sack wrote in a Sept. 26 blog post.
They said the Fed should consider increasing its balance sheet by $250 billion over the next two quarters through outright purchases of Treasuries to help diminish the risk of future money market turbulence.
Billionaire Michael Bloomberg suggested Friday afternoon that China’s politicians are beholden to the public for their survival.
China’s communist party is doing a lot to help the environment, Bloomberg told PBS Firing Line host Margaret Hoover. Chinese officials have to maintain a strong environmental standing if they want to stay in office, the former New York City mayor-turned wealthy environmentalist added.
“The communist party wants to stay in power in China, and they listen to the public,” Bloomberg told Hoover, adding: “Xi Jinping is not a dictator. He has to satisfy his constituents, or he’s not going to survive.”
winners and losers
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$3.99 vs $5.99 prev at outlets
I offered a chunk to a german shepherd:
she said : "my lifespan is limited, it is good for the garbage bin"
So is the stock
Beyond Meat Inc
NASDAQ: BYND
153.99 USD −6.32 (3.94%)
Mtl JP 02:33:32 GMT - 09/16/2019
winners and losers (and mendacity)
----------------------------------------
Toronto immigration firm charges $170K for fake Canadian job, undercover investigation reveals - cbc
Price tag for would-be Chinese immigrant covers Canadian employer's fee, the paper trail, and their own wage
For that fee, WonHonTa Consulting Inc. said, the would-be immigrant would be buying the job and paying their own wage.
And the company said the applicant was to pay the fee to the personal bank account of WonHonTa's sole director in order to avoid taxes.
Jiacheng Song, a manager with a China-based affiliate of WonHonTa, Nanjing Youtai Investment Consulting Co. Ltd., explained how the business works to the undercover journalist using WeChat, a Chinese social media app.
"To be frank, we have employers who work with us," Song wrote. "We pay them money, they are willing to sponsor our clients for immigration."
Song said "a big chunk" of the fee goes to the Canadian employer, prompting him to ask rhetorically:
Winners and Losers
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Recession rattles reflected in German stocks.
Or not.
Mtl JP 08:37:16 GMT - 09/12/2019
Smoke:
It appears German political class (the "elites") is trying to pass around calming messages about negative rates - negarates bothering the rational german commoner's mind.
Mtl JP 08:24:36 GMT - 09/12/2019
dc CB 04:29 - ya do not think of possible "contaminants" to be found in argentinian soya ?
Remember the answer to How many meals from anarchy.
(see Alfred Henry Lewis)
dc CB 04:29:38 GMT - 09/12/2019
World Premier. sneak preview for Fans. The new release of the Hit Song from the musical....EVITA!!!!!!!!
"Don't cry for me Argentina" (no not Madonna)... Sstaring and Sung by Christine Lagarde. In her DeBute performance.(prev strarred as 'Laguardia' in HitWoman for the IMF)
Finally
Not the stuff you smoke. More like the stuff they once Upon a Queen(Victoria Victoria) used to make Ropes. You know the Hemp Ropes that rigged the Man-O-Wars that the British employed to Rule the Waves...the Empire Days.
Season 3. Episode.... https://www.zerohedge.com/political/gun-sales-surge-after-democrats-demand-buybacks-confiscation
Your assignment, if you chose to accept, is to sell more guns to more people...a YUGE Number of Guns......This tape will self destruct in 10 seconds........(sizzle)
August gun sales were up 15% thanks to Democrats’ totalitarian demands for mandatory buybacks. Those who bought guns were Americans seeking self-protection
*****and with deep concerns that President Donald Trump is on board with gun control.******************
this weeks episode sponsored by.....
dc CB 01:13:17 GMT - 09/12/2019
JP 00:48
Bolton may have been there to scare the MidEast playa's ---The Neocon ---but his mouth(and EGO) may have proved too big for that Wilford Brimley mustasch to cover. Soooooooo
Season 3. Episode....
"You're Fired"
dc CB 00:58:27 GMT - 09/12/2019
my 00:27
shud read before ECB
All of those objections, the WSJ writes, "raise the prospect of a rare defeat at Thursday’s ECB meeting for Mr. Draghi, whose bold new policies held together the fractious currency union during the sovereign-debt crisis."
One option for Draghi is to do the right thing, do nothing tomorrow, and leave the decision to restart bond buying to Christine Lagarde, who is set to take over the ECB presidency on Nov. 1. Why? Because Lagarde, who was most recently seen leaving Argentina in flames - in some cases literally - after the IMF's disastrous intervention in the Latin American country, said last week that she would reassess the costs and benefits of the ECB’s controversial policy tools.
Of course, Draghi still has defenders - those who have been elevated from market idiots to sheer investing geniuses by central banks who have made any market correction impossible - who say that it is easier to combat a downturn before it has taken root than to reverse it afterward,
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
annotated>>>>>
"One option for Draghi is to do the right thing, do nothing tomorrow, and leave the decision to restart bond buying to Christine Lagarde, who is set to take over the ECB presidency on Nov. 1. Why? Because Lagarde, who was most recently seen leaving Argentina(****DIXIE***) in flames - in some cases literally - after the IMF's disastrous intervention in the Latin American country"
***showing that she has the chops to 'do whatever is necessary'.... so, Draggggiiiiii thinks to himself: ( I can exit stage left, as a 'giving it the old Goldman try' type of guy that I really am...and toss the problems to 'the already tainted one'.
I tried and did a not so hot job. As a serial failure going into the job...who knows what she'll do.
dc CB 18:54 GMT
Just sayin'
'doin the wash' may be harder work than you were told.
Esp the part about being The Public Face(plant) designate.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++=
Neumann has watched the value of his 22% stake in the company he founded plunge from $14 billion to just $3 billion. That's not high enough to earn a place in Bloomberg's ranking of the world's 500 richest people.
California's passage of Assembly Bill 5 earlier Wednesday requires companies treat workers as employees, not contractors, if they control how the workers' tasks are performed and/or if their job falls within part of an employer's regular business
Uber announced on Wednesday that it will ignore new California legislation which requires companies to reclassify contract workers as employees - a measure which may affect up to one million residents who work as contractors.
San Francisco-based company's chief legal officer, Tony West, said in a news conference that its drivers' work is "outside the usual course of Uber's business," which is serving as a technology platform for several types of marketplaces.
Uber counsel Tony West had pointed to legal rulings in making this argument. "In fact, several previous rulings have found that drivers’ work is outside the usual course of Uber's business, which is serving as a technology platform for several different types of" marketplaces.
ZeroHedge
dc CB 19:25:34 GMT - 09/11/2019
President Donald Trump said former National Security Advisor John Bolton, who resigned on Tuesday, made some “big mistakes” during his time at the White House which is why he was asked to leave.
The president spoke to reporters on Wednesday, citing his differences with Bolton on how to handle North Korea and Venezuela and Bolton’s support for the war in Iraq.
Trump said that Bolton delivered a setback to his efforts for peace with North Korea.
“He made some very big mistakes when he talked about the Libyan model for Kim Jong Un,” Trump said. “That was not a good statement to make.”
Trump added that although Bolton was a “tough guy,” he made mistakes, noting that he was a supporter of the United States invasion of Iraq in the Bush administration.
“That’s not a question of being tough, that’s a question of being not smart saying something like that,” he said.
dc CB 19:10:17 GMT - 09/11/2019
Closer to home.
_________________________________________________
"I told them if Amazon suspends you, it’s like a death knell," said Karnani, who has been selling on the site for two years. "I told them when Amazon shuts you off, they sit on your money for 90 days and there’s nothing you can do. They were surprised about that."
winners and losers
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xi exempts some U.S. goods - drugs for example - from retaliatory tariffs but keeps porc and soya out. subtle dig at DJT
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
“China suspends Tariffs on some U.S. products. Being hit very hard, supply chains breaking up as many companies move, or look to move, to other countries. Much more expensive to China than originally thought.”
Mtl JP 00:11:53 GMT - 09/10/2019
winners and losers
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ouch ... moody's tagged Ford’s Credit Rating to Junk
jkt abel 11:57:55 GMT - 09/09/2019
anybody buy gold?
Mtl JP 11:41:20 GMT - 09/09/2019
winners and losers
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Navarro: Trump's economy is solid as a rock
winners and losers
figure as a verb vs as a noun
--------------------------------
... We Co. and its underwriters are planning to hold meetings this week among themselves and with investors
According to a recent poll by Harvard-Harris, 57 percent of Americans would blame President Trump if the U.S. slid into a recession in the next year.
Additionally, as Statista's Katharina Buchholz notes, only 33 percent said the Federal Reserve Bank, which influences the economy for example by setting the federal funds bank lending rate, would be to blame.
winners and losers
Boris, Brexit & GBP
---------------------
Boris Johnson – Brexit Hero in the Making or Goat?
Parliament putting forth a bill that the government doesn’t agree with but who still has the confidence of the House of Commons is under no obligation to present the bill to the Queen. Johnson can simply sit on it and dare Corbyn, et al., to remove him from office.
winners and losers
--------------------
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
China just enacted a major stimulus plan. With all the Tariffs THEY are paying to the USA, Billions and Billions of Dollars, they need it! In the meantime, our Federal Reserve sits back and does NOTHING!
Mtl JP 20:44:46 GMT - 09/06/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
More
I agree with @jimcramer, the Fed should lower rates. They were WAY too early to raise, and Way too late to cut - and big dose quantitative tightening didn’t exactly help either. Where did I find this guy Jerome? Oh well, you can’t win them all!
---
President Trump needs to inaugurate some kind of a double medal
One for himself and one for jerome
-Taking suggestions now
Finish the sentence:
If these two could make a baby together it would _______________
london red 13:28:41 GMT - 09/05/2019
euro is approaching point of interest again. fading rallies has always paid off so far in this trend and no reason to question it, so initial fade 11087/93 zone stop 11170. its possible move could extend towards 11190-11220 but would prefer to sell there a second time with a 11260 stop. all for a return to lows and this time we will probably fill the gap under 10820. once this happens, you could argue for a bigger bounce but fundamentals would need to be favourable, otherwise you would see just another countertrend pullback.
Livingston nh 12:42:10 GMT - 09/05/2019
RF - "Calling a tail, a leg, don't make it a leg" A. Lincoln
HK RF@ 12:36:09 GMT - 09/05/2019
.
Cryptocurrency
DescriptionA cryptocurrency is a digital asset designed to work as a medium of exchange that uses strong cryptography to secure financial transactions, control the creation of additional units, and verify the transfer of assets. Wikipedia
Livingston nh 12:33:32 GMT - 09/05/2019
Crypto is NOT currency - questionable whether it even qualifies as Money// it is a BARTER system
HK RF@ 12:13:02 GMT - 09/05/2019
.
The ultimate fiat currencies are the Crypto's.
Monopoly game for big boys.
Livingston nh 11:45:32 GMT - 09/05/2019
The EUR is the ultimate FIAT currency (trade zone scrip) and the ECB is out of control by the EU member states
Mtl JP 11:27:06 GMT - 09/05/2019
winners and losers - this time it IS different
--------------------
according to German finance minister Olaf Scholz :
Debt needs to be paid back. Even with negative rates.
Mtl JP 07:49:26 GMT - 09/05/2019
winners and losers
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Mario Draghi’s Last Salvo of Stimulus Is Under Threat - bbrg
winners and losers - when less is more
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Goldman Sachs’s Partnership Is Shrinking - wsj ---aww...
why ?
glad you asked: new CEO David Solomon is culling upper ranks he feels have grown bloated ... Goldman’s partners, whose title has inspired envy across Wall Street for decades but lost some of its luster in recent years. double aww...
winners and losers - nega rates // trade tariffs
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Trump says he is not pining for negative interest rates in U.S. - RTRS
//
... on Friday Trump insisted the tariffs will continue as planned. He also criticized the tariffs China has set in place which he said have devalued their currency.
Written about the 2007-2009 Financial Crisis... and here it comes again.
Private money and public(or state) money work together and to the same end. Their actions have been absolutely complementary during the crisis, aimed at safeguarding the markets for which they are ready to sacrifice society, social cohesion, and democracy.
Maurizio Lazzarato.
Sajid Javid, the British chancellor of the exchequer, has reacted furiously after his media adviser was sacked and marched out of Downing Street under police escort for allegedly helping opponents of Boris Johnson’s Brexit strategy: FT
"the US economy appears to be on solid footing and inflation, while still low, is heading in the correct direction.
Alas, we’re left in an environment of twitter and state-owned media dictating US rates" - BMO
dc CB 17:39:06 GMT - 08/30/2019
paging Christine Lagarde. Argentina calling.
FERNANDEZ SAYS ARGENTINA IS IN VIRTUAL DEFAULT: DOW JONES
FERNANDEZ: WON'T ASK IMF PERMISSION FOR PLAN TO BOOST SPENDING
FERNANDEZ SAYS IMF IS GUILTY OF CURRENT ARGENTINA CRISIS: WSJ
The US funded 20% of the @IMFNews record $57 Argentina bailout. That money is "virtually" gone: ZH
Terwilliger said the bust spanned three states and that one of the 39 people charged ordered fentanyl from Shanghai and had it delivered to Virginia through the mail.
"The last thing we want is for the U.S. Postal Service to become the nation's largest drug dealer," he added.
Not suggesting to enter new positions late on a friday the end of august but think the market is just beginning to price in the next leg of euro weakness from Lagarde/EU inspired chaos.
dc CB 16:20:00 GMT - 08/30/2019
That has to be a new time record: the next Italian government is already on the rocks as Five Star and Democratic Party clash over policies, raising tensions between the prospective coalition partners: BBG
paging Christine Lagarde, paging Christine Lagarde. Christine Lagarde, please go to the nearest courtesy phone.
Mtl JP 16:16:26 GMT - 08/30/2019
but that would take pressure off Xi - king for life - Jinping
dc CB 16:14:09 GMT - 08/30/2019
If Dorian Cain's track rides it up the SE coast flooding the Carolinas and Virgina, there will be lots of floating pigs that could be rescued, slaughtered and put on aboat to China... saving some US hog farmers from ruin.
Mtl JP 15:45:10 GMT - 08/30/2019
Mtl JP 23:22 Aug 27 - costco + hiken and
CIA + How Many Days Without Food to Chaos ?
-----------------------------------------------------
add now new millionaires:
"I've Never Seen Anything Like This": China Reels As Pork Prices Explode To Record Levels - on ZH
"Two people can experience the same event differently" - justin trudeau
view 1)
Mtl JP 16:42 GMT August 27, 2019
Winners and Losers: Reply
this Costco thing in China sounds like a CIA trojan horse operation:
get them hooked on chicken and
when just right time cut the supply
How Many Days Without Food to Chaos ?
view 2)
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
Verified account
@HuXijin_GT
13h13 hours ago
More
Instead of leaving China, US retail giant Costco opened its first Chinese store in Shanghai on Tuesday. Consumers waited in long queue to get inside the store. Such a grand opening can't be seen in other places. Chinese market is crucial to American companies.
In time one will trump .
Mtl JP 17:28:32 GMT - 08/27/2019
rattlesnake meat (skin-less) is only edible in chili.
Livingston nh 17:22:40 GMT - 08/27/2019
CB - absolutely!! NO VEGGIES
dc CB 17:15:30 GMT - 08/27/2019
nh
think that rattlesnake would be classified as "meat based meat"
Texas Fried Rattlesnake -- tastes better than Chicken and NO veggies
dc CB 17:02:17 GMT - 08/27/2019
Yum! Brands announced that Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) will roll out meat-free nuggets and wings at an Atlanta location.
“KFC Beyond Fried Chicken is so delicious, our customers will find it difficult to tell that it’s plant-based,” said KFC U.S. chief concept officer Kevin Hochman. “I think we’ve all heard ‘it tastes like chicken’ — well our customers are going to be amazed and say, ‘it tastes like Kentucky Fried Chicken!’”
According to a statement by Beyond Meat, the new product will be available on August 27, fried to order while supplies last.
winner and loser
------------------
G7 macron / trump presser = fat zero
Mtl JP 21:43:23 GMT - 08/24/2019
winners and losers
"Two people can experience the same event differently" - justin trudeau
---------------------
"Our great American companies are hereby ordered to immediately start looking for an alternative to China." - President Trump Aug 23
(not developed by Elon Musk, with all his $billions...LOL)
"You built the holy grail in electric motors-high torque and no gearbox," said Henrik Christensen, author of US Robotics National Roadmap Advisor to the President.
A Texas-based company recently raised $4.5 million in seed funding to develop and commercialize a revolutionary motor that produces more torque, double the power, and increases range in an electric vehicle versus one using a typical electric motor.
"Chinese consuming American products" is a false premise, and is at the heart of the anti-globalization argument. The Chinese do not consume American products, and they never will. To "get access to the Chinese market", American companies have to transfer their design and manufacturing technology to Chinese "partner companies" who are controlled by the CCP.
Hell, if American companies were actually struggling to "retain" Chinese market share, then we wouldn't be having this conversation. You can't retain what you never had, and so President Trump is going to put a stop to it all...if he can.
"Trump will have to bow before the emperor"? Uh huh.
Andorra la Vella15:26:12 GMT - 08/24/2019
Let the Chinese stop consuming American products. Then Trump will have to bow before the emperor.
Mtl JP 14:00:54 GMT - 08/24/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Hu Xijin
Verified account
@HuXijin_GT
Follow Follow @HuXijin_GT
President Trump is welcome to relocate GM, Ford and other automakers back to the US. As far as I know, China is their No.1 market, they can give up their market to BMW, VW and Toyota. Go back to the US, let each American family have 20 cars
Mtl JP 21:29:00 GMT - 08/23/2019
dc CB 21:20 I am guessing it will not bring Xi to heel and to change his ways. Yet. Odds are things will intensify still.
Hone Your Greed : rare opps to get rich a-coming
dc CB 21:20:20 GMT - 08/23/2019
JP lol you got there first.
Mtl JP 21:17:51 GMT - 08/23/2019
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
12m
...Sadly, past Administrations have allowed China to get so far ahead of Fair and Balanced Trade that it has become a great burden to the American Taxpayer. As President, I can no longer allow this to happen! In the spirit of achieving Fair Trade, we must Balance this very....
Donald J. Trump
✔
@realDonaldTrump
...unfair Trading Relationship. China should not have put new Tariffs on 75 BILLION DOLLARS of United States product (politically motivated!). Starting on October 1st, the 250 BILLION DOLLARS of goods and products from China, currently being taxed at 25%, will be taxed at 30%...
5:00 PM - Aug 23, 2019
dc CB 14:07:15 GMT - 08/22/2019
nh..........it's the SOMA - read they were usin' at NY FED -
they're still holdin' man, holdin' a sheitload and could be adding to their stash sooner than anyone expects.
ps: Buying and holding gold is a poor investment choice because it pays no interest and you have to pay to store it.
(the standard investment advisor trope taught in all CFP courses)
GBPUSD Entry: Target: Stop:
This is a 3 week old inverted head and shoulders pattern forming since July 30 that finally broke. We are headed north folks.
Enjoying the ride so far. :-)
Mtl JP 12:53:46 GMT - 08/22/2019
ding ding ding
GBP 1.22++
Livingston nh 12:06:22 GMT - 08/22/2019
High CB - hey man - it's the SOMA - read they were usin' at NY FED - it's cool -- Williams came in from San Fran 'cause a the SOMA
It's a comfort
Mtl JP 11:38:42 GMT - 08/22/2019
GBP 1.2159
puppy s trying to bite into 1.22
sub 1.2135 says this bad behavior is over
Mtl JP 11:07:31 GMT - 08/22/2019
and as if a ‘very deep crisis of democracy’ were not enough fun by itself,
according to macron there was also
winners and losers
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Macron says G7 will not issue joint communiqué to avoid row among leaders - FT
French president also warns of ‘very deep crisis of democracy’
dc CB 02:43:22 GMT - 08/22/2019
"The Fed minutes introduction and comments about internal Monetary policy review seems to validate the FED actions of the past 10 years -- it is continuing and will be used to guide actions in the future --
****I am comforted by this // Jackson Hole papers should confirm our Good Luck****
You're putting us on. Right? That's not what you really think. Right?
Mtl JP 02:04:53 GMT - 08/22/2019
..."the Committee retains flexibility and optionality to achieve its objectives"...
I wonder what the hold up is. Are they just teasing , humorous ... playfull like a killer whale w/a seal ?
Livingston nh 01:44:54 GMT - 08/22/2019
The Fed minutes introduction and comments about internal Monetary policy review seems to validate the FED actions of the past 10 years -- it is continuing and will be used to guide actions in the future -- I am comforted by this // Jackson Hole papers should confirm our Good Luck
The Minutes of the meeting made two points 1. concern about the Yield curve inversion in the 90 day/10 year ((market freaks out about 2/10)) AND 2. TWO participants (Kashkari + ??) argued for 1/2 point cut, apparently no Members (aka voters) agreed
The Big news is that mid cycle adjustment made it into the minutes - so MAYBE Powell wasn't just winging it
Mtl JP 21:01:44 GMT - 08/21/2019
winners and losers - FED gang vs market participants
--------------------
..."the Committee retains flexibility and optionality to achieve its objectives"...
winners and losers - brexit
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Emmanuel Macron orders Boris Johnson to ‘pay up’ the £39billion – even in a no deal Brexit
- Daily Express 3 hours ago
France’s Macron demands Britain pay £39billion Brexit divorce bill even if Boris takes us out without a deal
- The Sun 3 hours ago
Merkel delivers Brexit ultimatum to Johnson on UK PM's first visit to Berlin
- CNN.com 47 mins ago
dc CB 15:10:20 GMT - 08/21/2019
US Pres election THOT.
In this mirror image world - Is this the reality that is behind the cry "it's Trump's FAULT" that the ECONomy is tanking?
China has stepped away from US agriculture imports and said it would bid on a project that could create a grains superhighway in Argentina, reported Reuters.
Chinese state-owned construction company (CCCC) is readying a bid that would allow it to dredge Argentina's Parana River, the country's only river that acts as a waterway for bulk vessels that transport soybean and corn from the Pampas farm belt to the South Atlantic.
winners and losers
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euro 1.1098
another wasted day of non-renewable resource (time) "trading" the <20pip range puppy
HK RF@ 01:44:50 GMT - 08/21/2019
.
dc CB 23:51
I know already about some Chinese businessmen interested in those inflammable Tesla-solar-panels, so they can collect insurance from their charred establishments.
Mtl JP 01:24:09 GMT - 08/21/2019
dc CB 23:51 evidence starting to point to ellon wants to see the world on fire. Literally.
dc CB 23:51:03 GMT - 08/20/2019
On Tuesday, Walmart sued Tesla, after its solar panels atop seven of the retailer’s stores allegedly caught fire, alleging breach of contract, gross negligence and failure to live up to industry standards. Walmart is asking Tesla to remove solar panels from more than 240 Walmart locations where they have been installed, and to pay damages related to all the fires Walmart says that Tesla caused.
winners and losers
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GBP 1.2113
Brexit: Boris Johnson says he is confident EU will shift backstop position - live news The Guardian
46 mins ago
British PM Johnson calls on Germany and France to compromise on Brexit - Reuters
1 hour ago
EU: Britain will suffer most if there is a no-deal Brexit - Sky News
53 mins ago
--
Favour selling GBPs pops while under 1.2140 and 1.2170/80-ish
Mtl JP 04:20:22 GMT - 08/19/2019
cause and effect // winners and losers
------------------------------------------
anyone remember the German Coastguard Commercial: We are sinking! Learn English ...?
The achilies heel of open cry:
...Some .. said that because the auctioneer was Dutch, his “17 million” sounded like “70 million,” so both the screen operator and audience was confused.
... auctioneer started the bidding at $13 million. But the giant screen display in the auction room showed the first bid as $30 million. The next bid was $14 million, but the screen showed $40 million — an error that continued all the way up $17 million, when the screen showed $70 million.
winners and losers
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An Atlanta-based broker-dealer reportedly said it suffered “substantial losses” because a senior employee made unauthorized trades. The company, IFS Securities, said it alerted the SEC, Finra and the FBI and is cooperating with the agencies, according to Bloomberg.
IFS Securities on Wednesday did not reveal the identity of the employee, but Finra records reveal the company on Aug. 8 fired Keith Wakefield, its head of fixed income, for “fraud” and “placing fictitious trades,” the news outlet reported.
.....................
substantial loss: "at least $10 million"
how: "shorted Treasury bonds" and “placing fictitious trades”
odds are IFS fired the wrong character
dc CB 15:46:19 GMT - 08/15/2019
Intv w/ Dr Robert Epstein. re: Google Blacklists, from tues Whisblower.
failure at launch.
I thot da Big Guy was on vacation...STFU...go play some golf leave yr phone in the house.
Mtl JP 13:23:03 GMT - 08/15/2019
IF President Trump slaps on 10% tariffs on chinese crap
“The Chinese side will have to implement necessary counter-measures,” the State Council Tariff Committee said in a short statement on Thursday.
Mtl JP 13:05:51 GMT - 08/15/2019
winners and losers
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philly and retail sales ...
recession .... what recession ?
Mtl JP 21:40:06 GMT - 08/14/2019
JM -- trouble with using parallels with conventional childrens' fables to protract on President Trump is that he is anything but conventional - as he has proven and surprised an enormous lot of people and continues to do so. Even to the point where their frustration w/him is driving them closer and closer ab-normal thoughts / actions.
NY JM 21:27:23 GMT - 08/14/2019
It is like fx intervention. The more times Trump tries a sugar high, like yesterday’s tariff delay or a comment about positive trade talks. The more times tried the more diminishing returns.
Mtl JP 21:16:05 GMT - 08/14/2019
winners and losers
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odds r increasing President Trump keeps a close eye on stocks.
Latest tweets:
"We are winning, big time, against China. Companies & jobs are fleeing. Prices to us have not gone up, and in some cases, have come down. China is not our problem, though Hong Kong is not helping. Our problem is with the Fed. Raised too much & too fast. Now too slow to cut.... ..Spread is way too much as other countries say THANK YOU to clueless Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve. Germany, and many others, are playing the game! CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE! We should easily be reaping big Rewards & Gains, but the Fed is holding us back. We will Win!
Mtl JP 21:05:50 GMT - 08/14/2019
nh one day it is the KIDZ getting Jay's Lunch Money, next day costTRUMP almost caused the KIDZ to lose Powell's lunch money"... does it not all come out about even in the wash
-
10-yr 1.579
30-yr 2.018%
thinking asia stocks should be heaving next
Mtl JP 20:41:35 GMT - 08/14/2019
DJIA off 800.04 or -3.05%
that qualifies as Babson Break.
-
Historically - to borrow yellen's paroles - on September 5, 1929, Roger Babson gave a speech saying, "Sooner or later a crash is coming, and it may be terrific." Later that day the stock market declined by about 3%. This became known as the "Babson Break". The Wall Street Crash of 1929 and the Great Depression soon followed. - wikipedia
Livingston nh 20:30:02 GMT - 08/14/2019
jp- yesterday the TRUMP almost cost the KIDZ to lose Powell's lunch money as a 'headwind" subsided -- so what was today's excuse?? SPX closed nearly low of the day
Groupthink at FOX - nothing new there - next week at Jackson Hole Powell may get to speak (I haven't seen the agenda but the Chair usually speaks at the open) // USD did pretty well and yields did not break morning lows -- SPX 2730 is your Correction bogey // OPEX should be a scramble (very expensive for 2 days)
PAR20:05:28 GMT - 08/14/2019
It's all about those negative interest rates in Europe.
Draghi is to blame. Powell is prisoner of Draghi.
Mtl JP 19:49:30 GMT - 08/14/2019
winners and losers
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Where is that "In the Circle" insider character
when needed :
Fed policy is White House’s ‘biggest problem,’ says Trump trade chief Peter Navarro
-
This ‘biggest problem’ has now been highlighted a number of times which makes me wonder what is being prepared to either reduce or poof! it altogether.
Mtl JP 19:29:23 GMT - 08/14/2019
winners and losers
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Brexit: No chance of US trade deal if Irish accord hit - Pelosi
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
More
“The Fed has got to do something! The Fed is the Central Bank of the United States, not the Central Bank of the World.” Mark Grant @Varneyco Correct! The Federal Reserve acted far too quickly, and now is very, very late. Too bad, so much to gain on the upside!
“So far, you’ve had Tariffs imposed on 300 Billion Dollars worth of Chinese products, but you can’t tell me that it has hurt our economy...& it really hasn’t led to any kind of serious rise in prices at the consumer level.” @Varneyco @FoxBusiness And we are taking in $Billions!
Tremendous amounts of money pouring into the United States. People want safety!
The Great Charles Payne @cvpayne correctly stated that Fed Chair Jay Powell made TWO enormous mistakes. 1. When he said “mid cycle adjustment.” 2. We’re data dependent. “He did not do the right thing.” I agree (to put it mildly!). @Varneyco
Mtl JP 18:39:54 GMT - 08/14/2019
winners and losers
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when a car goes old, rusted and loses its utility it gets sent to a junkyard where its gets stripped off any remaining useful parts before being rushed and sent to be melted down.
similarly here is poor old janet, still thinking her peeps from the junkyard can be somehow useful to somebody as she dispenses her urgings on recession risks:
who will be winners and losers - from HK
---------------------------------------------
Xi - character who made himself King-for-Life
--- wanna argue the merits ?
This is a type that has ginormously built up military muscle
--- and behaves similarly to that of the US and other superpowers
Does not need to and does not worry that "the world" is allegedly watching.
---- IF anything all he has to do is to remind himself of justin trudeaus admiration for chinese dictatorship
I will be surprised if xi s red killers roll in smiling bearing roses cookies and tea
The onus imo is for the HK peasants to come to their senses heel and beg mercy forgiveness and magnanimity from xi.
In the meantime my robot is lurking at Gold and usdyen for price impulse
Mtl JP 19:46:36 GMT - 08/13/2019
winners and losers
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Trump threatens to pull US from WTO 'if we have to'
PUBLISHED33 MIN AGO
MONACA, United States (AFP) - President Donald Trump threatened Tuesday (Aug 13) to pull the United States from the World Trade Organisation if conditions are not improved.
"We will leave if we have to," Trump told a cheering audience of workers at a Shell chemical plant in Pennsylvania.
"We know that they have been screwing us for years and it's not going to happen again," he said.
(This story is developing)
Mtl JP 01:55:21 GMT - 08/13/2019
to me ... to ME first !
Opinion Monetary policy:
Central banks should consider giving people money
RF I agree that culture forms a significant background to the picture. Protesting is a time-honored practice in many cultures, but Asian cultures in particular value stability and social order.
The problem for the protesters right now is that they need an objective other than "splitting from China". It is an unfortunate situation given the historical background, but protesting for its own sake just won't do. They need to be seen as something other than "troublemakers raising hell and getting in the way of business".
Mtl JP 00:17:39 GMT - 08/13/2019
winners and losers
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can you code ?
If China leaves HK alone, do you think that the riots will stop, and HK will remain a money making financial center?
Meanwhile China has been scoring points for it's patience, and the protesters are not getting any significant support from Asian countries citizens, but the contrary.
People are pondering what drives those protesters acting out of proportions for such simple demands.
I think better call the baby by it's name:"Splitting from China".
HK problem now is not that different from the Uygur problem.
There are also good reasons to suspect foreign financing.
Minneapolis DRS2 23:41:32 GMT - 08/12/2019
If it were that simple for China to interfere with HK, then it would have done so long ago. The problem for China is more of public relations and geopolitics than anything else. If they "crack down" on HK, then HK's status as a money-making haven is compromised, perhaps fatally. If on the other hand they leave HK alone, then HK remains a money-making haven but China looks weak and Xi "loses face".
It is a nasty dilemma. Will China continue on the "opening up to the world" path that was started long ago, or will they proceed on the "we rule HK, damn everybody else, go full Tianammen on the protestors" path? There are lots of people in China who want to see the first option, and lots of hardliners pushing for the second option. If Xi makes the wrong choice, then he might have a revolt from his own party.
Livingston nh 22:47:57 GMT - 08/12/2019
Hong Kong has been convenient for China but for 20 years this has been a delicate balance -- it might be time for China to assert the authority it has over HK // Nobody will interfere w/ China in HK -- talk to a Ukrainian if you want to know much the "world" cares
Mtl JP 21:01:24 GMT - 08/12/2019
How Hong Kong clashes could wallop the U.S. stock market
and ... apparently
U.S. lawmakers unlikely to turn blind eye if China engages in violent crackdown on demonstrators
but ... but what does it exactly mean ?
according to the speculants "even if Trump were willing to overlook a violent crackdown, it isn’t clear that Congress would", whatever THAT means.
In the meantime ...
"Market participants say that heightened tensions or a bloody clash
It is 2:30am in HK
Best time for aggressive raids is usually when most folks are doziest
around 4am
Mtl JP 18:29:15 GMT - 08/12/2019
winners and losers
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The U.S. government’s July budget deficit widened to $120 billion, the Treasury Department reported Monday. That’s up from a shortfall of $77 billion in the same month a year ago.
Adjusted for shifts in the timing of federal benefit payments and tax receipts, the deficit would have been $129 billion, Treasury said.
Spending on military programs rose by 22% in July, the Treasury Department said Monday.
HK Kevin 14:57:38 GMT - 08/12/2019
No offense, I now realise traders are more cruel than those
communist politicans.
Livingston nh 14:57:35 GMT - 08/12/2019
JP - see Warsaw, Prague and Budapest -- unacceptable but "so what who cares" - China may wait and see if this just bores everybody, burns itself out
Mtl JP 14:52:53 GMT - 08/12/2019
Jay that resistance - to me - looks magnetic
and all those blue ladder rungs begging to be chewed up
Mtl JP 14:48:43 GMT - 08/12/2019
completely unacceptable says he:
Leader McConnell
Verified account
@senatemajldr
35m35 minutes ago
The people of Hong Kong are bravely standing up to the Chinese Communist Party as Beijing tries to encroach on their autonomy and freedom. Any violent crackdown would be completely unacceptable. As I have said on the Senate floor: The world is watching.
so mitch ... besides "watching" ... think you ll intimidate xi ?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:45:28 GMT - 08/12/2019
Look at the Amazing Trader XAUUSD chart. Resistance is clear at 1509.0-1509.5
after Dolce & Gabbana begged, donatella versace' turn to bend over:
donatella_versace
Verified
“I am deeply sorry for the unfortunate recent error that was made by our Company and that is being currently discussed on various social media channels. Never have I wanted to disrespect China’s National Sovereignty and this is why I wanted to personally apologize for such inaccuracy and for any distress that it might have caused.”
could make one wonder why President Trump fights ...
When we begin to pull back the curtain we quickly run into figures like Prince Charles, who recently met with the heads of 18 Commonwealth countries to consolidate climate emergency legislation which was promptly passed in the UK and Canadian Parliaments. At the end of the meeting Charles said that we “have 18 months to save the world from climate change” and called for “increasing the amount of private sector finance flowing towards the supporting sustainable development throughout the commonwealth”.
Following the royal decree, the Bank of England and some of the dirtiest banks in the Rothschild-City of London web of finance have promoted “green financial instruments” led by Green Bonds to redirect pension plans and mutual funds towards green projects that no one in their right minds would ever invest in willfully
Mtl JP 00:13:20 GMT - 08/12/2019
cause and effect // winners and losers
------------------------------------------
debt around the globe hit $246 trillion in Q1 2019
over $15 trillion in negative-yielding debt around the world
i.e. only 6%
dc CB 22:10:36 GMT - 08/11/2019
2 funny tweets (that would be funnier if they weren't true.
zerohedge
@zerohedge
19m19 minutes ago
"I hope the Board will realize its responsibilities and not allow the bottom to drop from under our securities. If that happens that is exactly what Mr. Stalin wants."
FOMC Minutes, Jan 31, 1951, p. 9
zerohedge
@zerohedge
24m24 minutes ago
"Keynes, however, once semi-seriously proposed, as an anti-deflationary measure, that the government fill bottles with currency and bury them in mine shafts to be dug up by the public." - Ben Bernanke, 2002. Soon coming to a mine shaft near you (also known as MMT)
13 replies 30 retweets 70 likes
Mtl JP 16:18:50 GMT - 08/11/2019
cause and effect: there will be winners and losers
-------------------------------------------------------
Some week-end headlines/musings I like:
The era of ‘bad news is good news’ may finally be over for markets may ... may not
Global bond yields have fallen to 120-year low
Yardeni's Opinion: There’s a lot more to the stock market’s slide than Trump and trade wars: Children have an economic value in rural agricultural communities, but not in cities.
Predicting what happens next in stocks will get trickier this fall when markets navigate a roller coaster of big events
China "Faces The Worst Of Both Worlds" As PPI Deflation Arrives While Food Inflation Soars
..."as Evans-Pritchard ever so diplomatically put it, with accelerating consumer prices and the return of factory-gate deflation, "the upshot is that China faces the worse of both worlds."
Who knows: a few more downward nudges to the Chinese economy, and Trump may win the trade war against Beijing well before the 2020 presidential election."...
Watching, waiting, worrying: Fed and Wall Street sweat out next Trump move on China
HK win10 08:49:52 GMT - 08/10/2019
Did you find the app useful?
Mtl JP 08:38:20 GMT - 08/10/2019
winners and losers
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Group sex app with ‘worst security ever seen’ exposes users in White House & Downing St - rt.com
winners and losers
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China keeps door open to September talks in Washington, despite trade war escalation
Wei Jianguo, a former vice-minister of commerce, says Washington meeting in September likely to happen as planned
Source briefed by US government said video conferences planned to lay groundwork for next round of face-to-face talks
immaterial labor involves a series of activities that are not normally recognized as "work" - in other words, the kinds of activities involved in defining and fixing cultural and artistic standards, fashions, tastes, consumer norms, and, more strategically, public opinion.
Private money and public(or state) money work together and to the same end. Their actions have been absolutely complementary during the crisis, aimed at safeguarding the markets for which they are ready to sacrifice society, social cohesion, and democracy.
Maurizio Lazzarato.
Mtl JP 14:08:25 GMT - 08/03/2019
china’s imperial growth delusion just won’t die:
"We won't accept any maximum pressure, intimidation or blackmail. On the major issues of principle we won't give an inch," she - Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying - said, adding that China hoped the U.S. would "give up its illusions" and return to the right track of negotiations based on mutual respect and equality.
hope. she hopes... the U.S. would "give up its illusions"
and so china wants to continue peddle brand fakes, steal I/P and keep sending fentanyl.
Mtl JP 13:46:20 GMT - 08/03/2019
winners and losers
(made-in-china crap where it belongs: toilet)
--------------------
Tariff Fight Knocks Off China as Top U.S. Trading Partner - wsj
The standoff between Washington and Beijing has cost China its position as the U.S.’s top trading partner, a shift that could accelerate as President Trump moves to ratchet up tariffs.
winners and losers
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Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
Things are going along very well with China. They are paying us Tens of Billions of Dollars, made possible by their monetary devaluations and pumping in massive amounts of cash to keep their system going. So far our consumer is paying nothing - and no inflation. No help from Fed!
winners and losers
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The 66-year-old Fed boss has a losing record on Wall Street as it pertains to the market’s reaction to Fed’s statements and his words. He has had two winning days out of the past 11 meetings, with the only positive gains for the market coming in January when policy makers paused a string of rate increases,
US trade delegation has broken off talks with its Chinese counterpart and is already on its way back to Washington.
(wow all the way around the world...burnin' up that jet fuel)
Mtl JP 11:04:53 GMT - 07/31/2019
winners and losers
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and some dreams
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
We should immediately pass Voter ID @Voteridplease to insure the safety and sanctity of our voting system. Also, Paper Ballots as backup (old fashioned but true!). Thank you!
winners and losers
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Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
1h1 hour ago
China has lost 5 million jobs and two million manufacturing jobs due to the Trump Tariffs. Trumps got China back on its heels, and the United States is doing great. @AndyPuzder @MariaBartiromo
-
Overnite china media peddled the idea that china is o-kay "quoting Xi" and that PBOC will be opening its wallet to more loans
Mtl JP 10:02:11 GMT - 07/30/2019
winners and losers
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Caroline Baum Opinion:
How to read between the lines of the Fed’s rate-cut statement
Mtl JP 14:27 GMT July 29, 2019
Europe’s Search for Next IMF Chief Narrowed to Three Hopefuls - BBRG
Hopefuls are Calvino, Centeno, Dijsselbloem, Georgieva, Rehn
an eye for an eye ...
-----------------------
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
France just put a digital tax on our great American technology companies. If anybody taxes them, it should be their home Country, the USA. We will announce a substantial reciprocal action on Macron’s foolishness shortly. I’ve always said American wine is better than French wine!
9:32 AM - 26 Jul 2019
trade war codename: Macron’s foolishness.
Mtl JP 00:10:26 GMT - 07/27/2019
winners and losers
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Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
Wow! Big VICTORY on the Wall. The United States Supreme Court overturns lower court injunction, allows Southern Border Wall to proceed. Big WIN for Border Security and the Rule of Law!
---
Funny thing about walls: as much as they may keep keep folks from coming in they also work in the other direction i.e. they may keep folks from going out.
dc CB 19:02:57 GMT - 07/26/2019
dc CB 15:20 GMT
worth listening. No lads and lassies, it not the Ruskies' world wide attemps to influence elections around the world....US, Britian, France...etc etc etc.
Dr. Robert Epstein - July 25, 2019
(you can even google his name to see his recent research)
Private money and public(or state) money work together and to the same end. Their actions have been absolutely complementary during the crisis, aimed at safeguarding the markets for which they are ready to sacrifice society, social cohesion, and democracy.
Maurizio Lazzarato.
Mtl JP 15:37:50 GMT - 07/26/2019
winners and losers
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Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Q2 GDP Up 2.1% Not bad considering we have the very heavy weight of the Federal Reserve anchor wrapped around our neck. Almost no inflation. USA is set to Zoom!
dc CB 15:20:52 GMT - 07/26/2019
Presidential candidate and military veteran Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) is suing Google after the tech giant blocked her ads account shortly after the first Democrat presidential debate.
Gabbard’s complaint accuses Google of censoring the candidate at the very moment when millions of Americans wanted to learn more about her. It also accuses Google of sending Gabbard’s campaign emails to people’s Gmail spam folders at a “disproportionately high rate.”
The campaign seeks a legal injunction against Google to prevent further election meddling, as well as $50 million in damages.
Mtl JP 11:24:45 GMT - 07/26/2019
winners and losers
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macron and ursula congratulated boris on his win with that stupid plastic grin on lips and poison in their hearts.
Likely sensing their hypocrisy like that of two hungry wolves looking at a fresh baby deer, boris suggested that "If they do not, we will of course have to leave the EU without an agreement," vowing to "turbo-charge" preparations ahead of the latest deadline of October 31.
Mtl JP 12:05:57 GMT - 07/25/2019
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LONDON (Reuters) - Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on Thursday he believed the European Union would have every reason to want to compromise with Britain over its departure from the bloc.
JULY 25, 2019 / 7:43 AM / UPDATED 20 MINUTES AGO
dc CB 15:59:30 GMT - 07/20/2019
As Americans in America remember the First Man Landing on the Moon, Nikita "we will bury you" Khrushchev, is laughing in his grave.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
According to Colorado State University’s “Inclusive Language Guide,” students are advised to avoid the words “America” and “American.” Why exactly has the university deemed these words offensive? The guide argues that these words erase “other cultures and depicts the United States as the dominant American country.”
The new leadership team of the EU is insane.
Merkel, now having no political future to protect, as her last act of betrayal to Germany engineered the ‘election’ of Ursula von der Leyen to replace Jean-Claude “When things get tough you have to lie” Juncker as European Commission President.
Von der Leyen is more of a euro-integrationist than Juncker was.
It’s clear they circled the wagons knowing that, as Nigel Farage points out in this clip, the EU will look nothing like it does now in five years when her term is up.
Just like the EU today looks nothing like it did in 2014 when Juncker took over.
So, it’s time to go for broke and push for everything before it all falls apart. But the trends are clear. von der Leyen is the past and Nigel Farage is the future of Europe.
Anybody who an borrow money for ten years and actually get paid 0.33% to do it deserves a 10A rating.
It appears not only "markets need to accept that they need to trade on "ridiculous" " but rating agencies too need to evolve their formula
Mtl JP 13:56:12 GMT - 07/19/2019
winners and losers
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ps / the following is 100% without guarantee, 100% at thy risk and own diligence a 100% must:
Expect a ‘10% correction in the next three months’, warns Morgan Stanley’s chief investment officer - marketwatch
...Hold your horses, says our call of the day, from Mike Wilson, chief investment officer of Morgan Stanley, who tells MarketWatch in an interview that investors should wait for better times to jump into this stock market. And they are coming.
winners and losers
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Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull (£422,824),
Swiss President Alain Berset (£386,861) and
US President Donald Trump (£320,410)
Ursula von der Leyen €334.836 a year, equivalent to £301,161
Chancellor Angela Merkel earns £296,160,
French President Emmanuel Macron earns £176,634 and
Irish Taoiseach Leo Varakar is on £187,797.
Big Brother vs. Google ?? Social media/Tech shouldn't fear Regulation by the Govvies -- the Greater Threat is the tag "Enemy of the People"
Have a care folks -- the Boondoggle that began after 9/11 (aka Homeland Security) is alive and thriving
Mtl JP 12:09:22 GMT - 07/16/2019
winners and losers
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Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
21m21 minutes ago
“Billionaire Tech Investor Peter Thiel believes Google should be investigated for treason. He accuses Google of working with the Chinese Government.” @foxandfriends A great and brilliant guy who knows this subject better than anyone! The Trump Administration will take a look!
-
Alphabet Inc Class A
NASDAQ: GOOGL
1,150.51 USD +5.17 (0.45%)
Mtl JP 12:05:58 GMT - 07/16/2019
winners and losers
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1) India, Russia Seek to Skirt U.S. Sanctions Threat to Arms Deals - BBRG July 15, 2019
India and Russia have agreed on a new payment method through their national currencies for multi-billion-dollar defense deals, in a bid to avoid risks created by the U.S. threat of sanctions and banking restrictions.
The share of the US currency in Russia’s international reserves portfolio has dramatically decreased in just three months between March and June 2018, from 43.7 percent to a new low of 21.9 percent, according to the Central Bank’s latest quarterly report,
winners and losers
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Ursula von der Leyen - European Commission nominee - ready for further Brexit extension
claims to "want to build a strategic partnership with Britain"
Mtl JP 01:02:31 GMT - 07/15/2019
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1 day ago - Another Canadian citizen has now been detained in China, according to Global Affairs Canada.
Earlier Trudeau said he had a number of "face-to-face exchanges" with Chinese President Xi Jinping while in Osaka for the G20 meeting last weekend...
Earlier than earlier Trudeau said Canada, the U.S. and other allies are telling China they’re all concerned about its behaviour and that it needs to follow the rule of law and other international standards.
dc CB 00:45:48 GMT - 07/15/2019
as the sun has set on Bastille Day 2019
edit
"tanks for the memories" Bob Hope
https://news.images.itv.com/image/file/1922141/stream_img.jpg
Winners and Losers
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Turkey bought Russian S-400 missiles designed to down NATO planes. For the US, that's a problem Analysis by Tim Lister, CNN
Obviously Turks think they can live without American F-35s
Screams BBC News that "Turkey defies US as Russian S-400 missile defence arrives" which puts the spotlight on President Trump: what will he do about the defiance ??
dc CB 22:09:30 GMT - 07/11/2019
painfully indepth analysis of the COT - Silver Futures.
(and some thot the COT could be applied to Curry Blends(oh, I mean currencies) as usefull information re- trading.
But he's may be right. --- skip to the end paragraphs---about who the Whale is.
Season 3 The Apprentice heats up.
In the latest episode - Team SocialDemo leader AOC plays the Race Card.
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) accused Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) of racism on Wednesday, telling the Washington Post that Pelosi was guilty of “the explicit singling out of newly elected women of color.”
Livingston nh 14:15:32 GMT - 07/11/2019
JP- Prez better check w/ the Ag department before he celebrates sending all those farm products to China (see Wheat to Russia) -- we need to get thru the next few weeks
Mtl JP 14:11:20 GMT - 07/11/2019
winners and losers
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hopefully ?!
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
Mexico is doing great at the Border, but China is letting us down in that they have not been buying the agricultural products from our great Farmers that they said they would. Hopefully they will start soon!
7:04 AM - 11 Jul 2019
nw kw 07:24:51 GMT - 07/09/2019
ya loaded usd soft commodity market 2weeks kayos in usd,fed// crb ind. will pull cad with it.
Mtl JP 01:51:18 GMT - 07/09/2019
winners and losers
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US approves major arms sale to Taiwan amid trade tensions with Beijing
While some commentators are trying to spin this emerging re-orientation in global affairs as a mere “trick to get re-elected”, the reality goes much deeper than many realize, as Trump is merely tapping into an American strategy which was firmly established during the 1941-1944 presidential term of America’s President Franklin Delano Roosevelt and his loyal collaborator Henry A. Wallace who had planned a grand design for a US-Russia-China New world order founded upon principles enshrined in the Atlantic Charter and enunciated in his 1942 “Century of the Common Man” speech.
winners ad losers
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Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
14h14 hours ago
Strong jobs report, low inflation, and other countries around the world doing anything possible to take advantage of the United States, knowing that our Federal Reserve doesn’t have a clue! They raised rates too soon, too often, & tightened, while others did just the opposite.... ....As well as we are doing from the day after the great Election, when the Market shot right up, it could have been even better - massive additional wealth would have been created, & used very well. Our most difficult problem is not our competitors, it is the Federal Reserve!
This City00:26:32 GMT - 07/06/2019
Join the millions of players who have played ZombsRoyale.io and choose from the many available game modes to play on the go, including an ever changing rotation of limited-time game modes.
Mtl JP 08:04:02 GMT - 07/04/2019
winners and losers
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Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
China and Europe playing big currency manipulation game and pumping money into their system in order to compete with USA. We should MATCH, or continue being the dummies who sit back and politely watch as other countries continue to play their games - as they have for many years!
7:21 AM - 3 Jul 2019
Sounds to me like President Trump is itching to open a new war front, namely that of :
CURRENCY WAR
dc CB 04:50:53 GMT - 06/28/2019
CB 03:41 GMT June 28,
The Longest Running Reality TV Series in World History (on NBC). Beats Game of Thrones(which cost billions to produce), P/L sheet by a mile.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
so you think Xi and sons are not watching the Debasemnet round 2...(NBC)............
"Russia Russia Russia! Candidates Dismiss China as Greatest Threat"
The Longest Running Reality TV Series in World History (on NBC). Beats Game of Thrones(which cost billions to produce), P/L sheet by a mile.
dc CB 03:18:07 GMT - 06/28/2019
Also FOOD too the Q2 BookClosed-Bonus Time. EOD
USDA --- Acreage and Stocks mid-day-
dc CB 03:01:33 GMT - 06/28/2019
Tomrow will be a frenzy of trading rebal(bonds ususally come first...see today) as Q2 Ends and Summer really kicks off.
Gotta make "the nut" 3 months worth.
Next Weak...maybe 2 1/2 days US trading before 4th O July 'takin' off bro, seez-ure', takes us to "settlement July 8"
Keep American Holidays----KAH for el presidentee
kl fs 02:57:49 GMT - 06/28/2019
you want another Kevin Rudd-the chinese ass kisser-like?
over and above such as a life-time senate seat in chinese govt
Mtl JP 02:38:41 GMT - 06/28/2019
winners and losers
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Betting on G-20 Xi and Donald:
Ideally:
Players hope that talks between US and China restart and go on.
Idealer
President Trump leaves G20 in a hurry to slap at least 10% tariff on the other $325B of Chinese crap.
Ideal-istest
Xi snubs Donald, totally ignores him. Potentially President Trump's ego and "brand" get publicly bruised. And no-one talks with anyone.
An extremely bad turn of events would be for Xi to get religion, mostly agree to what President Trump is asking and offer even more over and above such as a life-time senate seat in chinese govt
nw kw 16:09:05 GMT - 06/27/2019
vix. com, market short s&p so it gos up, gold pivot range set this week 1380
Mtl JP 14:23:12 GMT - 06/27/2019
Apparently ... President Trump's War Whisperer Now Urges War Against The Sun After Uncovering Evidence It Has Nuclear Capabilities
Gold approximately steady around 1405
Mtl JP 18:55:07 GMT - 06/24/2019
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just in time ahead of the g-20 here is a report from today essentially dissing President Trump's tariff efforts to even things out some and as if a subtle sabotage effort, by RBC's 3 economist musketeers (Nathan Janzen, Rannella Billy-Ochieng and Claire Fan) :
winners and losers
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It is almost as IF sheila is trying to give the persians the idea of some "counter-pressure" to President Trump's "maximum pressure" in order to help along with
winners and losers
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57.51+0.92 (+1.62%)
As of 2:46PM EDT
-
2 Senators Blame TD Bank for Crisis-Era Ponzi Scheme and Demand It Aid Victims
June 14: Trump's Birthday(he's 72), Flag Day in the US, US Army founded 1775.
Today June 15 - 130 planned demonstrations nationwide.
Mtl JP 21:24:06 GMT - 06/15/2019
winners and losers
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potentially epic prediction posted way ahead of time by none other than
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
8h8 hours ago
The Trump Economy is setting records, and has a long way up to go....However, if anyone but me takes over in 2020 (I know the competition very well), there will be a Market Crash the likes of which has not been seen before! KEEP AMERICA GREAT
Mtl JP 20:42:38 GMT - 06/15/2019
India just announced it is slapping retaliatory increased tariffs on 30 US-made thinggies
- various headlines
dc CB 20:40:19 GMT - 06/15/2019
A Homer Simpson "D'OH" moment.
While robust in size, making up a quarter of the nation's population, there’s just one problem with millennials: none of them seem to have any damn cash.
winners and losers
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Chewy founder: 'I'm 33 and I've learned retirement sucks'
Yahoo Finance Video Yahoo Finance VideoJune 14, 2019
Chewy founder Ryan Cohen was on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange to watch the first public trade of the company he created and eventually sold. He spoke with Yahoo Finance's Julie Hyman and Adam Shapiro about Chewy's future as well as what's next for him. He's only 33, and he's learned that 'retirement sucks.'
dc CB 04:40:41 GMT - 06/14/2019
Over 600 U.S. companies
ONLY 600? US Companies?
Mtl JP 04:28:51 GMT - 06/14/2019
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Over 600 U.S. companies urge Trump to resolve trade dispute with China: letter - rtrs (and others)
Claims The Letter (https://tariffshurt.com/) that
- American businesses and consumers are being hurt
- we know firsthand that the additional tariffs will have a significant, negative and long-term impact on American businesses, farmers, families and the U.S. economy
- An escalated trade war is not in the country's best interest, and both sides will lose
Mtl JP 23:58:28 GMT - 06/13/2019
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Kudlow threatens ‘consequences’ if China’s Xi doesn’t meet with Trump at G-20
winners and losers
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08:53 Trump: If Xi doesn't go to G-20, China tariffs will go into effect
- MarketWatch
08:48 Trump says Federal Reserve hasn't listened to him
- MarketWatch
Mtl JP 12:49:20 GMT - 06/10/2019
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08:39 Trump says China deal will 'work out' because of tariffs
- MarketWatch
Mtl JP 10:32:05 GMT - 06/10/2019
rtrs - "Vietnam has said it will crack down on goods of Chinese origin illegally relabeled "Made in Vietnam" by exporters seeking to avoid U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs on Chinese imports."
-
and President Trump is still planning to entertain China's Xi (c 03:40 link)
Mtl JP 03:40:02 GMT - 06/10/2019
never mind ccy manipulation vs ccy intervention
the “next important meeting”
winners and losers
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G20
...“Global growth appears to be stabilizing and is generally projected to pick up moderately later this year and into 2020,” the G20 finance leaders said in a communique issued as the meetings in Fukuoka closed.
“However, growth remains low and risks remain tilted to the downside. Most importantly, trade and geopolitical tensions have intensified. We will continue to address these risks and stand ready to take further action.” -- hahahaha, of course they stand ready to take further action ... whatever that may be
winners and losers
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another way of putting Tim Mullaney's Opinion might be that
President Trump has got Jerome and his gang where he wants:
their collective balls in his hand
winners and losers
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Boris: “I think our friends and partners need to understand that the money is going to be retained until such time as we have greater clarity about the way forward.” “In getting a good deal, money is a great solvent and a great lubricant.”
Macron: “Not honouring your payment obligations is a failure of international commitments equivalent to a sovereign debt default, whose consequences are well known,”
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Opinion: By SVEN HENRICH
It’s game over for the Fed as the central bank’s credibility crumbles
Federal Reserve has failed to normalize its policy over the past 10 years, and now it’s standing by to create even more easy money
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is seeking “to extend the business cycle.” Since when is that the primary purpose of the Fed?
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-game-over-for-the-fed-as-the-central-banks-credibility-crumbles-2019-06-07
Mtl JP 01:27:49 GMT - 06/09/2019
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according to Nick Timiraos in wsj
Fed Begins Debate on Whether to Cut Rate as Soon as June
Trade tensions darken economic outlook, raising possibility of interest-rate cut in weeks or months ahead
winners and losers
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A version on Mushroom Farming
(keep 'em in the dark and feed 'em sh!t)
from The Economist:
Evolutionary road
The Federal Reserve is reviewing its monetary-policy framework
It is trying to manage expectations
Jun 6th 2019 - CHICAGO
“Most of america thinks the Federal Reserve is a national forest.” That reminder that the general public has little idea what a central banker does was offered by an incumbent governor of the Federal Reserve to Alan Blinder when he joined in 1994. He passed it on 25 years later, on June 4th, to a star-studded group of economists and policymakers gathered at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago to discuss the Fed’s first public review of its framework.
The review is a year-long exploration of how the Fed should adapt to trying economic times. It typically slashes interest rates by around five percentage points in a recession. But chronically low rates mean that it now has less than half of that room for manoeuvre. The Fed is seeking to answer three questions. Should it update its forward-looking inflation target to consider past inflation too? Should its toolkit be expanded? And could it communicate and implement its policies better?
What connects all three is the difficulty of managing expectations. At the effective lower bound, where interest rates are at or very near to zero, the Fed cannot simply slash short-term rates. It must either try other sorts of interventions in financial markets—or make promises and hope they are believed. In theoretical models, such expectation management can be extraordinarily powerful. If the Fed can convince consumers that it will maintain loose monetary policy, they may open their wallets, thereby helping to end the slump.
Lars Svensson of the Stockholm School of Economics argued for an average inflation target, on the grounds that it could move inflation expectations in the right direction when interest rates hit the lower bound and would be relatively easy to communicate. It could also allow the Fed to rely less on big financial interventions such as quantitative easing, which other speakers warned could mean risks to financial stability building up.
A move in that direction seems possible. But it seems unlikely that the Fed will eventually decide that a radical rethink is needed. In part, that is because of mounting evidence that its tools did not perform so badly last time round. Janice Eberly of Northwestern University, James Stock of Harvard University and Jonathan Wright of Johns Hopkins University argued that from 2012 the Fed’s actions contributed meaningfully to the recovery, and indeed could be implemented even more aggressively to speed up future recoveries. And Eric Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu of the University of Notre Dame argued that there is more scope to replace conventional policy with quantitative easing than with either forward guidance or negative interest rates.
Jerome Powell, the Fed’s chairman, emphasised that he was coming to the review with an open mind. But he also said that in the depths of the crisis policymakers had “major questions” about whether promising good times ahead “would really have moved the hearts, minds, and pocketbooks of the public”.
That doubt is scary for central bankers, whose power comes from their credibility. Perhaps in the current calm the public could be readied for a recession-busting exercise in persuasion. But however earnestly a Fed governor pledges to boost inflation in slumps, a successor may tighten if inflation surges. It is therefore reasonable to doubt that the Fed can keep its promises. The danger for central bankers is that they try to manage expectations, fail—and leave their credibility in tatters.
"Chinese President Xi Jinping told an audience at the annual St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) on Friday that the U.S. isn’t interested in disconnecting with China and that President Donald Trump is his friend."
"In April, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5-1/4 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 8 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 4-1/4 percent." the surge came after a very slow (-2.3%) credit card expansion in March - the rate of annual flow in APRIL was 5x higher than the Q1 level
In 11 eleven days the market is pricing a 1 in 3 chance of a rate CUT -- the Fed always PANICs BUT that kind of a move in this environment would be a thing of wonder -- Fire extinguishers needed for Hair on Fire
Mtl JP 18:40:03 GMT - 06/07/2019
winners and losers
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WSJ - Trump, Fed Chief Powell Spoke by Phone on April 11
Mr. Trump has been a vocal critic of the Fed’s decision to raise interest rates last year—and administration officials have called for a rate cut
winners and losers
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bloomberg 5 hours ago
- Wing components on as many as 312 of Boeing Co.’s 737 family of aircraft, including some of the grounded 737 Max, are prone to cracking and must be repaired within 10 days.
NYSE: BA
341.61 USD −8.26 (2.36%)
dc CB 21:25:04 GMT - 06/02/2019
At 3pmET, it appears that Google Cloud (affecting Gmail, YouTube, SnapChat, Instagram, and Facebook among others) mysteriously (and almost unprecedently) went offline.
Google Cloud Status Dashboard
This page provides status information on the services that are part of Google Cloud Platform. Check back here to view the current status of the services listed below. If you are experiencing an issue not listed here, please contact Support. Learn more about what's posted on the dashboard in this FAQ. For additional information on these services, please visit cloud.google.com.
Google Compute Engine Incident #19003 We are experiencing a multi-region issue with Google Compute Engine
Al r u suggesting the FED is not a progressive democratic gang ?
Dillon AL 21:38:35 GMT - 05/21/2019
Press for a change in how it sets rates....hhhmm.
good luck with that one
Perhaps I could direct her to the following link which may be informative for her
The Aussie couldn't squeeze two good days out of the election - this morning's idiot move in the Pound couldn't survive even 24 hours - the EUR faces the same fate on Monday's open unless the market frontruns the results on Friday
The ultimate fate of a currency is always dependent on the politics behind it
Mtl JP 19:19:39 GMT - 05/21/2019
Overnite, these "winners" will yak:
03:30 NYT Draghi
04:30 NYT Visco
05:30 NYT Praet
Winners and Losers
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The European elections will be held between May 23 and 26
Wanna be long EURO ?
tia
Mtl JP 16:37:38 GMT - 05/13/2019
winners ans losers
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typically lefties scream about the cost of education
and typically ignore the cost of ignorance
Here is a good example:
Facing pressure on one-day shipping, Amazon offers its workers $10K to quit their jobs — and start their own delivery services - MarketWatch
better to cut exposure to fulltime employee albatross for 10K finite cost
and let the peasant take on all risk and obligations
Mtl JP 17:02:43 GMT - 05/11/2019
winners and losers
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are u living in the past ?
winners and losers
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U.S. stock futures ease as higher tariffs on China imports kick in
Beijing vows retaliation as talks set to continue in Washington on Friday
"Fake NUZ?
NYT GETS TRUMP TAX DOCS
DECADE IN THE RED
BIG LOSSES"
Forget Trump. The Issue of FAKE NEWS is going to be part of the coming war in this world--INFOWAR!!!
AI has turned it into one ugly situation. YOU CANNOT TRUST ANY NEWS YOU HEAR OR SEE!!!!!!!
'Deep fake' videos that can make anyone say anything worry U.S. intelligence agencies
NEW YORK (FOX 5 NY) - A video of a seemingly real news anchor, reading a patently false script saying things like the "subways always run on time" and "New York City pizza is definitely not as good as Chicago" gives a whole new meaning to the term fake news.
But that fake news anchor is a real example of a fascinating new technology with frightening potential uses.......
They are getting so good in creating false images, dubbed voices, fake images and algorithm activated clips--that sooner or later we will lose all trust in news services, data vendors, talking heads and whatnot.
Those DATA HOARDERS are the current BIG BROTHER.
dc CB 05:02:08 GMT - 05/08/2019
and you know by now, Who gets really hurt in those Divorce proceedings. The Kids (ya that be U and Me)
dc CB 04:57:09 GMT - 05/08/2019
COUGH, CoUgH---Divorce Court--- Lobby full of HiPriced Lawyers
Wednesday, 11 May 2016 06:56 PM
Washington Post has assigned 20 reporters to look into every aspect of Donald Trump's past as the presumptive GOP nominee seeks to become the next president of the United States, famed Post associate editor, Bob Woodward, said Wednesday.
"There's a lot we don't know," Woodward told the National Association of Realtors convention, according to The Washington Examiner. "We have 20 people working on Trump, we're going to do a book, we're doing articles about every phase of his life."
Woodward himself is looking into Trump's real estate deals, he said, saying that "The New York real estate world is more complex than the CIA."
Woodward said Jeff Bezos, the Post's publisher and a Democratic Party donor, has urged the paper to cover all of the candidates thoroughly.
"He said, 'Look, the job at The Washington Post has to be tell us everything about who the eventual nominee will be in both parties, 15-part, 16-part series, 20-part series, we want to look at every part of their lives and we're never going get the whole story of course but we can get the best attainable,'" Woodward said.
dc CB 03:27:01 GMT - 05/08/2019
dc CB 01:03 GMT May 7, 2019
accurate view of the USA Today???
____________
The two Americas have turned a formerly workable political system into a divorce court .
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
My Lawyer got HIS tax returns from 20 years ago.
F#^kn [email protected] Lost Money!!!
Sooooooo, THEN he then tells me, I can't get him to cough up a Cool Billion, 'cauz the IRS "certified" the Loss.
(pleads the wife)...
Fake NUZ?
NYT GETS TRUMP TAX DOCS
DECADE IN THE RED
BIG LOSSES
Mtl JP 16:07:32 GMT - 05/07/2019
winners and losers
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That analyst: Fundstrat Global Advisors analyst Thomas Lee
fwiw
Mtl JP 16:05:39 GMT - 05/07/2019
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Stock-market strategist says Wall Street should shake off Trump trade anxieties and ‘buy this dip’ - MarketWatch
haifa ac 14:12:40 GMT - 05/07/2019
to repeat CB's reference:
"Buying all those cheap toaster-ovens, patio loungers, sneakers, sheet-rock screws, alarm clocks, croquet mallets… well, you name it, naturally made it uneconomical for America to make the same stuff, with all our silly-ass sentimental attachment to union wages, eight-hour workdays, and pollution regs, so we just steadily let the lights go out and the roofs fall in, and ramped up the “financialized” economy, with Wall Street parlaying Federal Reserve largess into an alternative universe of Three-Card-Monte scams using multilayered derivatives of promises to repay loans (that have poor prospects of ever being paid back)."......
https://kunstler.com/clusterpuck-nation/10375/
Mtl JP 13:49:32 GMT - 05/07/2019
Winners and Losers (feel free to pick a side)
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IMF's Lagarde: It Is Imperative to Resolve U.S.-China Trade Tensions - nytimes, 5 hours ago
IMF’s Lagarde: US-China trade tensions are threat to global economy
- irishtimes
According to lagarde “rumors and tweets” are not conducive to an agreement and - again -according to lagarde, it’s vital for the parties to eliminate the current uncertainty over the issue, and move to “adoption of a clear legal and regulatory framework”
dc CB 01:03:38 GMT - 05/07/2019
accurate view of the USA Today???
____________
The outcome of that was two Americas: the hipsterocracy of the coastal elites and the suicidal deplorables of Flyoverland. The hipsterocracy sustains itself on the manufactured hallucinations of the holographic economy — that is, on the production of images, TV psychodramas, news media narratives, status competitions, public relations campaigns, law firm machinations, awards ceremonies, and other signaling systems to maintain the illusion that the financialized economy has everything under control as we transform into a nirvana of ultra high tech pleasure-seeking and endless leisure.
Meanwhile, out in Flyoverland, the holograms aren’t selling so well anymore. Nobody has the scratch to pay for them, not even those indentured to the neo-feudal empires of WalMart and Amazon. The children keep coming, though it’s nearly impossible for a man to support them, and increasingly the fathers just take themselves out of the picture. The women ferment in single-parent hopelessness. The children turn more feral by each generation. All remaining economic opportunity is diverted back into the leveraged buy-out mills of the Coastal Elsewhere. Even growing food out of the land was long ago converted into an Agri-Biz hustle based on practices with no future. And now the spring weather is drowning out that hustle and driving the corporatized farms into bankruptcy.
The two Americas have turned a formerly workable political system into a divorce court
winners and losers (Feel free to pick a side)
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It will be a disaster for all of humanity if China and US descend into a clash of civilizations
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
The United States has been losing, for many years, 600 to 800 Billion Dollars a year on Trade. With China we lose 500 Billion Dollars. Sorry, we’re not going to be doing that anymore!
4:08 AM - 6 May 2019
Mtl JP 09:06:29 GMT - 05/06/2019
(early) winners and losers
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China stocks drop 5.5%, leading Asia markets lower as U.S.-China trade deal appears in jeopardy
- MarketWatch
dc CB 01:16:04 GMT - 05/06/2019
Re: Odds on the Race. lol
Sat May 4, 2019.
LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — Maximum Security led all the way in the Kentucky Derby on Saturday, only to become the first winner disqualified for interference in the race’s 145-year history. After a long wait, 65-1 shot Country House was declared the winner.
Country House finished second in the slop before an objection was raised, causing a lengthy delay while stewards repeatedly reviewed several angles of video footage, before he was elevated into the winner’s circle.
The stunning outcome gave Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott his first Derby victory at age 65.
“It feels pretty darn good,” Mott said. “It was an odd way to do it and we hate to back into any of these things. We’ll just have to prove ourselves in the future.”
Jockey Flavien Prat, who originated the claim of foul, also won his first Derby.
“I’m kind of speechless right now,” Prat said, letting out a long sigh.
Country House paid $132.40 to win — the second-highest payout in Derby history.
It was a crushing turn of events for Maximum Security trainer Jason Servis and jockey Luis Saez, who already had begun celebrating what they thought were their first Derby victories.
Mtl JP 01:04:04 GMT - 05/06/2019
winners and losers
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U.S. deploying carrier, bombers to Middle East in warning to Iran -Bolton
by Reuters, Monday, 6 May 2019 00:58 GMT
dc CB 22:32:33 GMT - 05/05/2019
The apocryphal story about how Edward Bernays launched his career: When approached by a food company that couldn't understand why their "instant cake mix" wasn't flying off the shelves, Bernays told them that because there was no longer any work involved in baking a cake for the family, housewives self-worth was diminished - cake in a box Wife no longer needed.
His Solution: change the directions on the box - Add One Egg.
Self-Worth restored, the product flew off the shelves.
In the US we Vote every couple of years for "rulers". But we actually "vote" several times a week, where it really counts: Whenever we Spend money on a product---like FOOD. You know what they say about FOOD - Eat It OR Die.
So given the examples: pound = 12oz, half-gal = 52oz, there have been no questions asked Ever by significant numbers of these weekly-voters as to Why shud they put up with this.
150million or so adults in the US just accept it.
Engineered consent --- see Missey May(let's just add an egg) and BREXIT
The apocryphal story about how Edward Bernays launched his career: When approached by a food company that couldn't understand why their "instant cake mix" wasn't flying off the shelves, Bernays told them that because there was no longer any work involved in baking a cake for the family, housewives self-worth was diminished - cake in a box Wife no longer needed.
His Solution: change the directions on the box - Add One Egg.
Self-Worth restored, the product flew off the shelves.
In the US we Vote every couple of years for "rulers". But we actually "vote" several times a week, where it really counts: Whenever we Spend money on a product---like FOOD. You know what they say about FOOD - Eat It OR Die.
So given the examples: pound = 12oz, half-gal = 52oz, there have been no questions asked Ever by significant numbers of these weekly-voters as to Why shud they put up with this.
150million or so adults in the US just accept it.
Livingston nh 21:10:32 GMT - 05/05/2019
The Electors could lose the vote -- the States can set standards but some conditions are out of bounds
Dillon AL 21:10:29 GMT - 05/05/2019
possession is 9/10ths
dc CB 21:01:41 GMT - 05/05/2019
As US stocks have powered to fresh all-time highs, the health-care sector has emerged as a pariah for investors, as burgeoning support for 'Medicare for All' among the Democratic contenders for 2020 - part of an overall shift to the far-left for the party as a whole - has caused panic to set it.
All it took was a few formerly moderate candidates like Kamala Harris to follow Sanders' lead and embrace Medicare for All, and holders of managed-care stocks were stuck with a $300 billion loss.
Bottom line: When President Trump warned ahead of the midterms that if Americans want to see the market and economy tank, they should vote Democrat, he was - once again - right. What's worse: At this point, progressive Democrats wouldn't even need to win to crash the market. They would only need to poll high enough to give investors a real scare.
Mtl JP 14:28 GMT May 5, 2019
Who will be the 2020 Democratic nominee?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
If they can't win on ideas, they will change the rules.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
In a broadside against President Donald Trump and the United States Constitution, Democrats in California’s Senate have passed new qualifications on who may run for president in that state.
The new law forbids the California secretary of state from printing a candidate’s name on the ballot if the required tax returns have not been supplied. The candidate may still run though, and people may still vote for them – by write-in ballot – in a laughable sop to sticklers for the right to vote and run for office, consistent with the Constitution.
Is this rule constitutional? Aside from any jurist on the Ninth Circus, the answer is no.
At his press conference today, the Federal Reserve’s Chair (no more “man”) reiterated his new redline. Inflation is down again, unexpectedly, but it will surely pop right back up. What’s holding it back are some new “transitory” factors (mentioning airline tickets and financial services) that have, unexpectedly, replaced the old set of transitory factors.
You may have noticed how there has been an almost continuous string of transitory factors that strung together add up to this persisting undershoot. Powell even had the nerve to use a form of that very word...
I can't find any REASON for the Fed to maintain the CURRENT position re: reserves or rates -- the idea of 2% inflation when the 2 yr is in negative yield already is bizarre
Livingston nh 21:08:17 GMT - 05/02/2019
jp - MUG's GAME = 280K on jobs would spook / I "expect" based on the GOAT entrails (yeah that goat) 225K
Fed not concerned about employment only inflation (HIGHER? - careful what you wish for)
Livingston nh 20:55:19 GMT - 05/02/2019
jp - April is a month of large PLUG FACTOR jobs - I took this from yesterday's ISM " Retention issues and sourcing of skilled and professional labor were noted by respondents as continuing drags on production performance," says Fiore"
today's unemployment figs show some elevation from lows - this happens late as people feel more confident about job availability - unemployment rate may rise (Yellen's JOLTS becomes more important)// the much touted out of the workforce folks may be drifting back in - a rise in the working population could boost unemployment
re: wages and inflation -- inflation is creeping in thru price hikes and a change in the nature of consumer spending (service as opposed to goods) -- BLS goes out of its way to stress the CPI is not a "cost of living" index - but it is cost of living that drives wages DEMAND // inflation comes in different flavors depending on the source
re: loans - life style maintenance vs investment -- lot of folks borrowing to get kids thru college (bad investment and bad life style maintenance) - even your mortgage albatross is a better deal
Mtl JP 17:48:47 GMT - 05/02/2019
THEORY
more folks working -> more demand for loans -> free market hike rates
also that "inflation" naggin' thinggie
more folks with jobs = more income = more demand for thinggies = higher prices (i.e "inflation")
JOB PRINT
200 - 250 - 275 ... more ??
at which level would wst crap its pants ?
Mtl JP 17:35:31 GMT - 05/02/2019
woo-hoo, just looked at tom's calendar
-
12:30 AA US Unemployment % 3.80% 3.80%
12:30 AA US Payrolls 181 196
Livingston nh ------ WHAT IF
the jobs come in hotter - much hotter - than the 181K ?
Will powells "stress/ing that he saw “no strong case” for expecting the FED's next move to be a rate cut. be seen in a different light ?
Should it ?
Mtl JP 17:14:34 GMT - 05/02/2019
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Steve Moore, a great pro-growth economist and a truly fine person, has decided to withdraw from the Fed process. - tweeted Pres Trump short while ago
--
next up: Judy Shelton ?
dc CB 00:13:01 GMT - 04/29/2019
PS
Time to put your eye on the US Ag futures MarkITs.
Recall that these are the markets that the COT was originally designed. Corn, Soybeans, SoyBean Oil, Live Cattle, Chicago Wheat, Kansas Wheat(hard Red Winter), Spring Wheat.
Contract Lows in many last week and planting has yet to get going.
dc CB 23:38:23 GMT - 04/28/2019
Easy when the "last mile" already cost less than other business must pay.
dc CB even a syphilitic, toothless, blind in one eye, hunchbacked and bowlegged whore will get business
IF the price is right (low) enough
dc CB 20:23:19 GMT - 04/28/2019
Mtl JP 17:25 GMT April 27, 2019
But the title of “greatest” can only be bestowed upon one name.
AMZN: "put them all Out Of Business" (Bezos Mantra)
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
In what is being called a "nightmare come true" for freight brokers and carriers, Amazon did what it traditionally does every time it enters a new market, and took its own digital freight brokerage platform live while undercutting prevailing market prices by 26% to 33% in the latest deflationary race to the pricing bottom in order to grab market share, according to FreightWaves.
Late last week, Morgan Stanley equities analyst Brian Nowak had predicted this was going to happen, stating: “We see AMZN’s 1-day Prime shipping raising consumer expectations and increasing the cost to compete in e-commerce. Over the long term, we also see this as a Trojan horse for Amazon to grow its next disruptive business… a third party logistics network.”
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It’s “MAGA,” for the markets.
Microsoft, Amazon, Google-parent Alphabet and Apple are soaring this year, making up a combined market value of nearly $4 trillion. That exceeds the combined value of half of the S&P 500 companies. - cnbc
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this did not take long:
JP 17:27 GMT April 22, 2019
Monday Trading Agenda: Reply
WAIVERS
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"The goal remains simply: To deprive the outlaw regime of the funds that it has used to destabilise the Middle East for decades and incentivise Iran to behave like a normal country," Pompeo said.
The b/s from Pompeous is cover for the Saudi need to see their crap selling for $80+. As is usual, it is the peasants that end up paying:
Lockheed Martin stock price target raised to $380 from $347 at Vertical Research - MarketWatch
winners and losers
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The S&P 500 Beat Its All-Time Closing High
- Barron's Online
S&P 500, Nasdaq test record territory; Dow nears all-time high on Coke, United Tech earnings
- MarketWatch
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump :
The Wall is being rapidly built! The Economy is GREAT! Our Country is Respected again!
“Harley Davidson has struggled with Tariffs with the EU, currently paying 31%. They’ve had to move production overseas to try and offset some of that Tariff that they’ve been hit with which will rise to 66% in June of 2021.” @MariaBartiromo So unfair to U.S. We will Reciprocate!
In the “old days” if you were President and you had a good economy, you were basically immune from criticism. Remember, “It’s the economy stupid.” Today I have, as President, perhaps the greatest economy in history...and to the Mainstream Media, it means NOTHING. But it will!
Mtl JP 16:37:12 GMT - 04/22/2019
winners and losers
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herman is a gold bug and hard money advocate
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
19m19 minutes ago
More
My friend Herman Cain, a truly wonderful man, has asked me not to nominate him for a seat on the Federal Reserve Board. I will respect his wishes. Herman is a great American who truly loves our Country!
too bad !
Andorra la Vella10:45:58 GMT - 04/21/2019
Wise words! I concur.
Livingston nh 00:40:15 GMT - 04/21/2019
The Way Back Machine reminds me that "we are running out of oil" - Peak Oil -- it also reminds me that the Glaciers were coming -- Y2K was the bane of the turn of the Century -- How many times did Bird Flu decimate the population (some folks who believe in Climate Change think vaccination is a PLOT)
If the Governments didn't fund the Silly Science espoused by the Chicken Little Institute of Dubious Science the Older Wiser and Better People would need to play elsewhere
I wonder if these Carney's ever read any science in their lives - the children have always run in the streets when the "Sky is Falling" but eventually grow out of it --- Adults should not adopt the ideas of children
Dillon AL 00:04:50 GMT - 04/21/2019
When I read below rubbish like
US$90 trillion
in global capital is being put to work that takes into account environmental, social and governance factors.
I then tune straight out and they lose my interest
1.
Global GDP is ONLY 88 trillion
2. What does social and governance factors actually mean
Mtl JP 19:39:10 GMT - 04/20/2019
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from two leading cretins leading the cretins pack:
‘Massive reallocation of capital’ needed to address climate change, warns Bank of England governor Mark Carney - APRIL 18, 2019
The Network for Greening the Financial System recommended that central banks and financial regulators take immediate steps to assess the broad risks to the financial sector from climate change.
POOL/Reuters
The global financial sector is going to have to engineer a “massive reallocation of capital” in order to meet the challenges of climate change, and industries and companies that fail to adjust will die, Bank of England Governor Mark Carney and François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor of the Bank of France, warn in an open letter.
The two central bankers released a report this week that called for greater government oversight over mounting climate-related risks that could threaten the stability of the financial system. The report was issued Wednesday by the Network for Greening the Financial System, a group of more than 30 central banks and financial regulators that includes the Bank of Canada, which endorsed the report on Thursday.
In the letter posted on the Bank of England and Bank of France websites, the two governors say the world is already experiencing “enormous human and financial costs” from climate change, and will be compelled to reduce greenhouse gas emissions dramatically in the coming three decades.
“This requires a massive reallocation of capital,” they wrote. “If some companies and industries fail to adjust to this new world, they will fail to exist.”
The Network for Greening the Financial System recommended that central banks and financial regulators take immediate steps to assess the broad risks to the financial sector from climate change, include the destruction of property from severe weather events and the impact on firms, their lenders and their investors from a transition to a lower-carbon economy.
The Bank of Canada announced last month that it joined the global network and will be undertaking research on the climate-related risks to the broader economy and the financial sector specifically. The Bank of Canada agrees with the recommendations in the network report, spokeswoman Louise Egan said Thursday. Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said recently the bank is most concerned about exposure of banks, insurance companies and other financial institutions "to assets that may be negatively impacted by climate change trends.”
The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) – which regulates banks and insurance companies – is anticipating a report from an international task force on climate-related financial disclosure and will work with the federal government to respond to its recommendations, spokeswoman Annik Faucher said. “Generally, as with all risks, OSFI expects financial institutions to review their climate risk exposures, and institutions can take steps in regard to climate change that are in line with their risk appetite and corporate culture,” Ms. Faucher said in an e-mail Thursday.
The warning from Mr. Carney and Mr. Villeroy de Galhau comes as Canadians face a pitched political battle between federal and provincial governments over climate change and the policies needed to meet the country’s commitment to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 30 per cent below 2005 levels by 2030.
Jason Kenney, Alberta’s premier-designate, plans to scrap that province’s carbon tax on consumers, ease the levy on large industrial emitters in the oil sands, and remove a cap on future oil sands emissions put in place by the former NDP government. In Ontario, Premier Doug Ford has launched a multimillion-dollar campaign, including radio ads and a court challenge, to oppose the federal carbon tax, and rolled back more ambitious emissions-reduction targets of the province’s former Liberal government.
Jackie Forrest, vice-president at ARC Energy Institute, said as much as US$90-trillion in global capital is being put to work that takes into account environmental, social and governance factors. “It’s becoming a very significant amount of capital that is investing with ESG principles in mind,” she said.
Ms. Forrest said those companies that have already cut emissions are likely to extend those efforts regardless of government policies. “I generally think that, because of investor pressure, you’re going to continue to see companies want to reduce their carbon footprint,” she said.
Travis Wood, analyst at National Bank Financial in Calgary, said the industry has made progress in reducing the energy required to pump oil sands crude, lowering per-barrel emissions and compliance costs tied to provincial climate policies set by the previous NDP government.
“The bigger risk is what it looks like on these issues externally,” he said. Large institutional investors face pressure to stress-test holdings for climate risks. Some have divested from oil indiscriminately. The industry could face further pressure should Alberta substantially weaken regulations. “I think it might be a step backwards,” he said.
winners and losers
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'Gold is the money of kings,
silver is the money of gentlemen,
barter is the money of peasants –
but debt is the money of slaves.'
Money & Wealth in the New Millennium:A Prophetic Guide to the New World Economic Order Paperback – Feb 28 2002, by Norm Franz
dc CB 18:58:27 GMT - 04/16/2019
“Steven Moore is in the process we support him,” Kudlow said. “We support Herman Cain. We will just let things play out in the vetting.”
(ZeroHedge opinion:)
Considering that Trump's sole motivation behind the appointment of the two candidates is to stack the Fed board with dovish puppets, we reiterate our proposal that Trump nominate Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez for the Fed board...
If Trump is smart he will nominate AOC for Fed chair
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 22, 2019
... a move which will achieve two goals: first, MMT will be tried - unsuccessfully - in the next 2-4 years, resulting in soaring asset prices, hyperinflation and the collapse of the reserve currency, and second and more important, lead to the eventual and long overdue end of the Federal Reserve, which will at that point become the laughing stock of central banks around the board. Considering that Trump's core campaign promise was to "clear out the DC Swamp", we believes that he should seriously consider our suggestion.
Winners and Losers
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‘Trump is a model for extravagant living and big spending. All these things are boosting of the stock market.’ - Yale professor and Nobel-winning economist Robert Shiller
Mtl JP 23:13:58 GMT - 04/15/2019
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after evans earlier yak comes
Fed's voter Rosengren at top of hour
with his "guidance" about
the economy and monetary policy
--
In the meantime here are arguing peasants
The comical pretentiousness by the collective of PhD cretins is reflected in Bloomberg's headline trumpeting
Global Finance Chiefs Prepared to ‘Act Promptly’ on Growth
winners and losers
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Communiqué of the Thirty-Ninth Meeting of the IMFC
Chaired by Mr. Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank
April 13, 2019
Global outlook and policy priorities
The global expansion continues, but at a slower pace than anticipated in October. Growth is projected to firm up in 2020, but
Then again, Bernanke and other central bankers claim that their low interest rate policies have preserved the world from an economic depression. What’s your conclusion when you look back on the last decade since the financial crisis?
Jim Grant:
I’m of the view that the world-wide suppression of interest rates over the past ten years has been not only inadvisable but, on moral grounds, something very near to a crime.
Good News for the Sport of Golf. Or rather for the Press that covers Golf and the seller of "golf stuff" going forward in 2019.
(add 0.001 to the GDP)
Tiger Woods won the Masters. Heeeeeeee's Baaaaaack.... on the Front Page.
Mtl JP 18:34:18 GMT - 04/14/2019
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post lael brainard and powell sorties last week here is President Trump with his view on the competence of the FED gang:
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
4h4 hours ago
If the Fed had done its job properly, which it has not, the Stock Market would have been up 5000 to 10,000 additional points, and GDP would have been well over 4% instead of 3%...with almost no inflation. Quantitative tightening was a killer, should have done the exact opposite!
-
yeah... shood-huff
Mtl JP 14:30:03 GMT - 04/13/2019
winners and losers
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sofar just a promise, one diplomat said:
EXCLUSIVE – EU threatens US with €19 billion of tariffs in response to Boeing subsidies
winners and losers
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Euro zone growth relies on global pull: ECB's Draghi
- Reuters and almost every other MSM parrot
dc CB 20:15:37 GMT - 04/12/2019
dc CB 20:49 GMT April 11, 2019
when Wikileaks "leaked" the Plan to Rule the World.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Mtl JP 17:29
do you want to be paid in "powells" or "trumps" ?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
ZeroHedge:
(email)... from 2008 when John Podesta served as co-chair of President-elect Barack Obama’s transition team. The email came from Michael Froman, a former Citibank executive, who single-handedly built the entire cabinet of what was supposed to be the "main street" President.
winners and losers
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why do I get the impression the FED gang is on self-preserving / asserting offensive -- against President Trump ?
Bloomberg:
Powell Said to Tell Democrats Fed Won't Bend to Outside Pressure
By Erik Wasson and Billy House
April 11, 2019, 12:30 PM EDT Updated on April 11, 2019, 9:41 PM EDT
Manning went on attempting a run for the Maryland Legislature. (a bridge too far) subsequently accused of breaking the terms of the Pardon. Off the scene for now.
dc CB 22:06:14 GMT - 04/11/2019
The move to censorship and....
Help Wanted ADs burst with jobs for "re-writers"
Google search: How did Wliiam Wallace Die.
+++He Was Hanged+++
Several pages later:
BraveHeart – The 10 historical inaccuracies you need to know before watching the movie
Error #10: Hanged, drawn and quartered
Wallace’s execution in the film, while not entirely inaccurate, is considerably tamed from what was actually done to him. Like many other famous traitors he was Hanged, Drawn and Quartered: a five stage punishment where a person was
Mtl JP 21:58:32 GMT - 04/11/2019
Think it is unreasonable to think WikiLeaks sits on even more moRE copious and more n moRE juicy stuff promising to turn it loose in light of "just" a "connection with a federal charge of conspiracy to commit computer intrusion for agreeing to break a password to a classified U.S. government computer" charge ?
dc CB 21:38:16 GMT - 04/11/2019
Yah, 2.3% is insignificant to my personnal enjoyment of life in general. As U well know, I am a 'made man'.
Neel Kashkari; The $700 Billion Bailout Czar - There is a new Czar in America''the man who will be running the $700 billion budget bailout/rescue program-- assistant secretary of the ...
dc CB 21:37:07 GMT - 04/11/2019
Yah, 2.3% is insignificant to my personnal enjoyment of life in general. As U well know, I am a 'made man'.
Neel Kashkari; The $700 Billion Bailout Czar - There is a new Czar in America''the man who will be running the $700 billion budget bailout/rescue program-- assistant secretary of the ...
Mtl JP 21:31:05 GMT - 04/11/2019
MSM headline:
Fed’s Kashkari says he could tolerate inflation above target for ‘several years’
how high an erosion of grand-mothers/fathers on fixed income purchasing power one might ask ...
when Wikileaks "leaked" the Plan to Rule the World, and Screwed It Up, it was inevitable. U can't wipeout the investments of 100s of Billions of pre-paid - "this stuff that will happen by order of the queen"
and not expect to be 'William Wallaced"
Sydney ACC 20:24:41 GMT - 04/11/2019
Funny I thought Julian Assange was an Australian citizen. Then you'd be mistaken if you thought that given their utter contempt for the matter. Its not, however, misleading as they didn't lift a finger for David Hicks another Australian who was a prisoner at Guantanamo Bay.
Seems like the Department for Foreign Affairs and Trade is only good for partying and having a good time
dc CB 20:05:56 GMT - 04/11/2019
"It will be really good to get him back on United States soil," says @Sen_JoeManchin on Julian Assange's arrest.
"He is our property and we can get the facts and the truth from him."
according to Bullard's
A Successful Normalization, With Challenges Ahead April 11 2019
...normalization ..."campaign has been largely successful..."
Mtl JP 15:09:20 GMT - 04/11/2019
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clarida earlier today:
..."in our most recent Summary of Economic Projections, the median participant on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) projected that in 2019, GDP growth of 2 percent will be the modal, or most likely, outcome; that core PCE inflation will rise to 2 percent; and that the unemployment rate will fall a bit further, to 3.7 percent, by the end of the year.
Is not good to know that "Fed lacks tools to address financial risks outside banking sector" ?
The best way to address vulnerabilities is not to use interest rates but to use “macroprudential policy,” Adrian said.
“But if you don’t have the macroprudential tools, then what do you do? Well, then it might become a monetary policy consideration at some point,” Adrian said.
I note that neither Brookings, nor ECB or the IMF (to name a few) include legislation of "price controls" as a macro-prudential tool.
Mtl JP 13:50:43 GMT - 04/11/2019
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looks like some IMF suit been reading, but is twisting, my 19:15 April 10, 2019 ... "patient" characterization should not be seen as limiting the Committee's options..." post about why the FED keeps possible rate hike alive, which the really high odds of s s s s... t a g f l a t i o n (economic activity going down the toilet and pricing going to the moon):
Why a senior IMF official fears the Fed may at some point need to hike rates even with low inflation
I don't know what tone Dimon would take, but I know how I would (re)act if I were in his position and had his level of experience and training. I would make every attempt to be polite and civil, with the internal (as in don't say a word) understanding that I'm dealing with an idiot (Waters) and a child (AOC).
Although Waters and AOC may provide ample amusement, the real discussion will probably take place with the rest of the committee. Those members (from both political parties) are neither idiots nor children, and have real questions that deserve real answers. Since Dimon has been around the longest (before the last round of bank scandals), he'll be on the hot seat for those real questions.
Mtl JP 01:55:44 GMT - 04/10/2019
lets pretend ...
asume u r j-dimon, preparing for Waters and AOC tomorrow:
what sort of tone will jd take vs waters, vs aoc ?
dc CB 00:45:46 GMT - 04/10/2019
Today.
Steve Mnuchin Erupts At Maxine Waters In Chaotic Hearing
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-04-09/watch-flustered-steve-mnuchin-erupts-maxine-waters-during-chaotic-hearing
++++++++++++++
Whot's really at stake or tied to the stake. The Borgia Pope burns Girolamo Savonarola. Up to U ti figure out in today's terms: Who is the Pope and Who is Svaonarola.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Barr Forms Team To Investigate FBI Malfeasance During 2016 Election
Oh Justin. Do as I say, not as we do. LOL
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Canada intends to change the law to make it harder for asylum seekers rejected by countries like the US to file refugee claims at the border.
The move comes as thousands of asylum seekers have crossed the border after their claims were rejected in the US.
Amendments were introduced on Monday evening in the Liberal government's 392-page omnibus budget bill.
An influx of asylum seekers crossing at the US-Canada border has become a hot button political issue.
16:24 would it not be good policy not to pack so many honchos in one place at same time ? like the rule that does not allow the whole board fly on same plane at same time ?
dc CB 16:34:13 GMT - 04/09/2019
Hearing entitled: Holding Megabanks Accountable: A Review of Global Systemically Important Banks 10 years after the Financial Crisis
Wednesday, April 10, 2019 9:00 AM in 2128 RHOB
Full Committee
For the first time since 2009, the CEOs of America's largest banks will gather in Washington to testify before the House Financial Services Committee, which in the new era of Democratic control has fallen under the sway of some of the chamber's most progressive, anti-business members - case in point: Chairwoman Maxine Waters, who hopes to make the excoriation of Wall Street fatcats a hallmark of her tenure.
To say that Wednesday's hearing is expected to be highly dramatic would be an understatement. As both moderate Democrats and Republicans have privately groused, a free-for-all with 60 lawmakers and seven executives isn't exactly an environment conducive to substantive policy discussions. And that's likely by design.
Why it's called mainly winners and loosers ? Something good and some bad news, eh ? I know many maybe against Trump here, but I personally think we should adjust ourself for any changes like it's happening in Forex world. You can gain from every situation. Just don't get down!
Mtl JP 21:26:33 GMT - 04/07/2019
APRIL 7, 2019
Italy to hike 2020 deficit goal to around 2.1 percent: source
Welcome To The Theater Of The Absurd: The Most Jawboned Market In History
$SPX rallying 23% off the December lows and coming within 1.2% of all time highs on Friday and the president of the United States calling for rate cuts and a recommencement of QE.
“The market is way up today, Larry. So today, you’re great. When the market goes down — he’s not so great. But it’s been mostly up, I have to say.” Kudlow replies, “I’m only as good as my last trade, sir.”
jp - these folks on both "sides" have neither a sense of history nor a sense of economic reality // this ignorance plays into the immigration/refugee bs and the trade "war" rhetoric
Ask the yo yo commentators about the 19th century railroad expansion
Mtl JP 18:16:14 GMT - 04/06/2019
winners and losers
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according to f.page NYT
Modern Monetary Theory Gets an Embrace on Wall Street
SnP had another uP day
BUT at +0.2% rather feeble
but up nevertheless and it waits for
the next greater fool(s)
Mtl JP 15:38:59 GMT - 04/03/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
SnP only 2% away from previous high
everyone is free to have an opinion about the red line:
will it hold, will it break N
but it is another thing to back it up with a bet
Mtl JP 10:54:54 GMT - 04/03/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Gap
just not for the 5min chart artist
Mtl JP 15:53:10 GMT - 03/30/2019
winners and losers (breaking news; patterns)
--------------------
Breaking News
Reuters was set up in 1851 by Paul Julius Reuter, a German-born immigrant. He opened an office in the City of London which transmitted stock market quotations between London and Paris via the new Calais-Dover cable. Two years earlier he had used pigeons to fly stock prices between Aachen and Brussels – The Guardian
The switch from pigeons to underwater cable reflected three elements :
Paul Julius' personality
speed of (r)evolutionary technological change
market's hunger for speed in order to be able to swiftly react to events
It remains an open question how the pigeons felt about being replaced. One thing that is sure is that market participants were delighted by the speedier news delivery so as to be able to rapidly react to events.
The real kicker in tech evolution came however with the advent of computer data centers. This is where trading has come in for a major change : most trades executed by computers. These trades are highly automated on extremely rapid and massive calculations.
The time it takes a human trader to read a headline, computer makes thousand + trades.
The Bottom Line
is that a human stands no chance competing in reacting to news.
Hence the advent of algo (rythmic) trading : smartly coded computerized trading running on peak-tech networked hardware designed for optimal crunching of big numbers inside time measured in millionths of a second, designed to act upon minute movements in prices, jumping on a fractional up or down price move looking for large returns in very short time.
Patterns
Other algos are tuned to trying to predict the next directional price movement in a currency pair from a detailed and in-depth understanding of the past – in other words by looking for patterns on which to attempt to make a low risk bet.
In either case what that means is that a modern player needs a combination of right algorithm, fast computing power and fast connection to identify and react to the different opportunities for which it is designed be it specific time(s) or specific pattern(s).
Next time,
maybe, I will discuss the differences between manual human vs algo-robotic trading and when, where and how one can find an opportunity to take advantage of the other and vice versa.
The FED appears not to be taking chances with players not only setting negative expectation roots but positioning for bad and worse yet.
Mtl JP 19:59:51 GMT - 03/25/2019
winners and losers
--------------------
a parade ... of FED yakkers this week
rosengren
harker
evans
daly
george
clarida
bowman
bullard
kaplan
quarles
Mtl JP 21:06:05 GMT - 03/24/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Over the week-end , Atlanta FED's Raphael "hopeful" Bostic (PhD Stanford U) issued the following threat in his "The Case for an Ample Reserves Monetary Policy Framework" yak :
see post for WmBanzai7's photoshopped take on the Iconic Nixon resignation departure: I will be back!!!!!
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
They will never give up the NUZzzzzz Cycle. It's all they got.
go to ZeroHedge for the full post.
___________________________________________________
Top-ranking Democrat, and House Judiciary Committee Chairman, Jerry Nadler did the rounds of Sunday's political shows this morning but it wasn't until he reached the safety of CNN that he decided to unleash his 'facts' in response to the narrative-crushing conclusions reached by special counsel Robert Mueller.
"We know there was collusion," Nadler insisted several times during an appearance on CNN's "State of the Union" while shrugging off Mueller's apparent facts - "Why there's been no indictments, we don't know."
Plums from MSM
-------------------
According to Barron's Vineer Bhansali:
The Dow Dropped Friday Because a Key German Index Missed Its Numbers
According to Barron's Alexandra Scaggs:
The Yield Curve Just Inverted. That’s Not as Scary as You Think.
Dillon AL 00:27:56 GMT - 03/23/2019
Recession is coming not if but when sometime next 18 months
GVI Forex23:41:53 GMT - 03/22/2019
The stock market had a rough day. The S&P 500 was down 1.9%, the Dow was down 1.8%, and the Nasdaq was down 2.5%. Everyone is talking about the inverted yield curve and the fact a 1-Month Treasury is yielding MORE than the 10-Year Treasury.... Stocktwits
Livingston nh 23:22:16 GMT - 03/22/2019
The essence of the report in 2 paragraphs:
WSJ
"More than two dozen of the people charged by Mueller are Russians, and because the United States does not have an extradition treaty with Russia, they are unlikely ever to see the inside of a U.S. courtroom.
None of the Americans charged by Mueller is accused of conspiring with Russia to interfere in the election — the central question of Mueller’s work. Instead, they pleaded guilty to various crimes including lying to the FBI."
In his own little Circle of Hell - J. Edgar says "well done" - The folks in Congress don't remember the FBI -- the Special Counsel Law is the US Star Chamber
dc CB 21:22:13 GMT - 03/22/2019
It really must contain Nothing, because the Mueller Report was just released. $100+++++Million...on a big fat nuttin.
Good timing on the "Release" tho.
Mtl JP 20:24:37 GMT - 03/22/2019
Winners and Losers
----------------------
MSM rolling out guns against market participants getting Recession fever:
below the gate, Campbell claims in part:
"I have been analyzing the yield curve for more than 30 years—my 1986 dissertation at the University of Chicago showed that an inverted yield curve, where short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, led to a recession within 12–18 months. Since then, what researchers call “out-of-sample evidence” has validated my model. Since the publication of my dissertation, the model is 4 out of 4. There have been no false signals to date. The joke that an indicator has forecast 11 of the last four recessions does not apply here.
Importantly, my model argues that a yield curve inversion must be realized for a full quarter—not merely a few days. So we are not quite there—but the trend suggests we will soon be there. ... .. ... Turning points are difficult to forecast often because we want to good economic times to continue. However, the evidence is becoming overwhelming. The inversion of the yield curve today is yet another reminder that nothing, not even impressive economic growth and 3.8% unemployment, lasts forever."
Mtl JP 20:15:09 GMT - 03/22/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Looks like Powell made a mistake when he boasted that he can not be fired because as he claimed "The law is clear that I have a four-year term, and I fully intend to serve it," - Mar 10, 2019
Maybe Powell can not be fired. Directly. But President Trump has means of making live miserable:
recall that Bayer(German) bought Monsanto(US) a while back, creating a PowerHouse company that not only produced chemicals but also Owned the patented genetically modified Seeds that functioned with those chemicals, increasing yields.
Bayer did not think that it would come back to bite them in their......
WSJ
Second phase of the trial will weigh Monsanto’s liability
winners and losers
-------------------- here is one GAP
I am not eager to bet on
altho theoretically it
should close at some point
--
some gaps can be nastily nasty
- like on this puppy
Mtl JP 18:54:03 GMT - 03/17/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Quiz Pre-Positioning for Profit 101
Whenever some respected economist or headline spewing journalist peddles that "There is fear that ..."
an immediate question to ask must be who will be the winners that the losers will support as for example:
winners and losers
--------------------
here is one GAP
I am not eager to bet on
altho theoretically it
should close at some point
Mtl JP 10:40:17 GMT - 03/15/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
From her last night's speech, BoCs deputy whining about "The global development that concerns me the most, though, is
Enter Stage Left. Branded by Oprah - Beto 2020 (both so famous last names are unnecessary).
Cover Story - Vanity Fair
Beto O’Rourke: “I’m Just Born to Do This”
Riding around with Beto O’Rourke as he comes to grips with a presidential run.
By Joe Hagan
Photography by Annie Leibovitz
March 13, 2019
winners and losers
---------------------
from cnbc on S&P report:
Global debt is up 50% over the past decade, but S&P still says next crisis won't be as bad
anything to not like in the report ?
In the context of powell & co's low rates posture seems like they are helping massive trade opportunities build up.
views appreciated
tia
dc CB 01:40:57 GMT - 03/11/2019
All with that "early season" Glow---a Carribean Tan. Required.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
But with authorities anxious to suppress any information that would contradict their economic narrative, we now wait to see whether Beijing will declare former Fed Chair and Brookings Institute economist Ben Bernanke (along with the study's authors) 'persona non grata'.
oh oh Muter, Mario won't let that nasty nasty Trump man mess up our plans...will he. oooooo oooo kissey face. Mario would never cut off our allowance. The Franco German...wot!, O, the German Franco Empire will rule the waves once more. Mario will keep the FreeMoney flowing.
_____________________________________________________
Submitted by Eric Peters, CIO of One River Asset Management
“Significant monetary policy stimulus will continue to be provided by forward guidance on the key ECB interest rates, reinforced by the re-investments of the sizable stock of acquired assets and the new series of TLTROs,” said Mario Draghi, tightening his neck brace and abruptly throwing Europe’s central bank into reverse.
Just 2 months after ending 4yrs of quantitative easing, Europe’s central bank flipped back into easing mode. With overnight interest rates still at -0.40% no one quite knows why the policies of the past didn’t work, or what will happen next. And everyone is wondering what exactly is wrong with Europe?
Dillon AL 21:17:52 GMT - 03/10/2019
Redheads are more sensitive to some kinds of pain and less sensitive to others.
Mtl JP 21:13:52 GMT - 03/10/2019
nh 20:11 it is probably good to remember that a steepening, steeper or steep curve is to banks benefit. just not flat.
Mtl JP 21:00:47 GMT - 03/10/2019
Sja 01:06 go there where there is charm
and feel free to chose your side and bet
Mtl JP 20:25:48 GMT - 03/10/2019
re JP 22:28
for the record DLRX at 97.295
Livingston nh 20:11:09 GMT - 03/10/2019
The Fed ALWAYS panics// there are already 3 Mandates but the THIRD is the red headed step child
Bali Sja 01:06:33 GMT - 03/10/2019
JP, thats one hell of heavy bet against the dollahhh in all fronts you mentioned. Maybe a tad too early this year IMO, but good luck, hope you are right
Mtl JP 22:28:37 GMT - 03/09/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Unlike Janet Yellen who thinks that Powell is "doing a great job" (as recently as feb 26th), it would appear that Mauldin is none to happy with Jerome ("a disaster") :
Because I agree with Mauldin that "In an ideal world, we wouldn’t have to read the Federal Reserve’s rabbit entrails to discern the economy. But Since the Fed exists in the real world, and its decisions matter, we have to pay attention.",
and that I see the FED as useful tool in the "gaming" game, I suggest that Powell's FED is a catalyst for new trade opportunities. Along with it will help create new winners and new losers.
My gaming goal is to be on the "winners" side.
IF players will start to perceive that Powell and gang will be easing some more (in words or in fact):
- banks should become winners
- usd (dlrx) should slide down (altho I see other reasons as well)
- lower dollar would mean oil thusly expressed will go uP
- ditto for Gold
Some players should also think (and bet) that stocks would go uP on more easy money.
TIA for suggestions of gaming opportunities of the FED's game of "guiding" the cost and availability of fiat money.
Mtl JP 21:56:42 GMT - 03/08/2019
a pic of how the markets handled todays NFP release:
Previous day close: DJIA : 25,473.23
S&P : 2,748.93
-
US 10-yr: 2.64%
------------------------
this is how the day ended:
25,450.24 -22.99
S&P 2,743.07 -5.86
-
US 10-yr 2.63% -1
Mtl JP 21:46:55 GMT - 03/08/2019
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Trump Today: President applauds wage growth and says he won’t sign China trade deal if it’s not ‘great’
- MarketWatch
Mtl JP 13:47:59 GMT - 03/08/2019
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
“This is as good a time as I can remember to be an American Worker. We have the strongest economy in the world.” Stuart Varney @foxandfriends So true!
Belgrade Knez 13:37:33 GMT - 03/08/2019
Mtl JP 13:34 GMT 03/08/2019
+20K vs +180K expt,d
as london red always say:
ahe is the one to be watch ....... and today is better than expected!
winners and losers
---------------------
Judge tosses out Stormy Daniels’ lawsuit to tear up the NDA
dc CB 06:02:22 GMT - 03/08/2019
Mtl JP 01:30 GMT March 8,
IF drama is your kick ...
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
And in the role of Obscura de Facto Explanationest: Mtl JP
so far U've done nothiing but try to confuse anyone here who has NO Clue of wut U R refering.
U have yet to give a clear 'splanation as to What/Why Trudeau is on the Hot Seat. Other than reverting to name changes and other UN-understandable gibberish
one could think chinese - asians dont like what they read about draghi s antics
Mtl JP 02:04:32 GMT - 03/08/2019
chine CSI 300 Index having an epileptic convulsion
down about 3% earlier , now bouncing up slightly
dc CB 01:31:13 GMT - 03/08/2019
5y Teas futures.
Sell 115 02
S/L 115 195
add as they rise from 115 02
Levels than CAN NOT BE WRONG
(that guy from where?
and the Impramature AmmaZZZZZZZZn Tr-------
Mtl JP 01:30:53 GMT - 03/08/2019
IF drama is your kick ...
Celina R. Caesar-Chavannes
mangina's potential new additional head-ache
-
the cute thing about shallow veneer slogan peddlers is when they surround themselves with folks of self-accomplishment, education, worldliness, independent moral fiber and grit who later get into situations where 'People experience things differently,' according to trudeau
hollywood drama writers would struggle to trump mangina's 'experience'
dc CB 00:12:06 GMT - 03/08/2019
for our World Traders.
that pix is Margret Trudeau(Justin's Mom) and Andy Warhol at Studio 54
Mtl JP 23:30:32 GMT - 03/07/2019
CB to make sure the "corruption" allegation (should) refer(s) to SNC-Lavalin, NOT mangina
dc CB 23:20:14 GMT - 03/07/2019
the Committteeeee has Determinded that---Our Man-on-the-ground, Missed it.
Therefore Banned fortwith from the designation of GVI PROS...
All Say U .....AYE ...the AYEs have it.
winners and losers
---------------------
canada's mangina PM earlier today:
“I believe that real leadership is about listening, learning and compassion” - justin trudeau
Mtl JP 22:03:16 GMT - 03/06/2019
winners and losers
--------------------
Fed votes not to impose capital buffer on banks
- MarketWatch
Mtl JP 22:03:16 GMT - 03/06/2019
winners and losers
--------------------
Fed votes not to impose capital buffer on banks
- MarketWatch
Mtl JP 21:18:23 GMT - 03/06/2019
more
winners and losers
---------------------
Fed says most banks will now be exempt from 'qualitative' part of stress tests
- MarketWatch
Mtl JP 21:11:53 GMT - 03/06/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Volcker 2.0 Said Likely to Be Reproposed by Regulators
Bloomberg·21 mins ago
Volcker 2.0 to Face Do-Over After Wall Street Complaints
Bloomberg·49 mins ago
all it means is delay n delay
Mtl JP 17:22:38 GMT - 03/06/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Sam Zell allowing
winners and losers
--------------------
me me me and ME !
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
15h15 hours ago
....and I did not increase their second traunch of Tariffs to 25% on March 1st. This is very important for our great farmers - and me!
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
15h15 hours ago
I have asked China to immediately remove all Tariffs on our agricultural products (including beef, pork, etc.) based on the fact that we are moving along nicely with Trade discussions....
-
hear Xi chuckle ?
Mtl JP 17:58:28 GMT - 03/01/2019
one m- of a gap
caveat: play at thy risk
Mtl JP 13:00:48 GMT - 03/01/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
when fully loaded with gift packages it is worth N of $85 million and
“is ready for operations, ready for combat and ready to win,” said Vice Adm. DeWolfe “Bullet” Miller III
LMTs stock at $309 is up from 258 YTDs low
Bubbles and chirps cnbc:
winners and losers
---------------------
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
Since my election as President the Dow Jones is up 43% and the NASDAQ Composite almost 50%. Great news for your 401(k)s as they continue to grow. We are bringing back America faster than anyone thought possible!
7:12 AM - 25 Feb 2019
-------------------------
That raises the Qtn of how many more pigeons are there left
in the greater fool theory, i.e. the assumption of being able to sell later to "a greater fool"
dc CB 23:37:17 GMT - 02/24/2019
zerohedge Retweeted
north hero fx
@northherofx
13m13 minutes ago
Timing by Trump delaying tariffs 15 minutes before futures open reminds me of all the times good news was pushed out on Sundays during 2008 crisis --
Mtl JP 23:17:00 GMT - 02/24/2019
(President) Trump delays increase in tariffs on China, citing progress in trade talks - wapo
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Planning new winners and losers,
here is planner and schemer Clarida alluding to “makeup” strategies as he described the communications review the central bank is undertaking:
JP
thanks for your concern :)))
I'm gonna hang on. It'll be back at 90, on my 90th birthday.
Mtl JP 17:36:40 GMT - 02/22/2019
DC in case you need consolation:
Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway loses more than $4 billion in a single day after Kraft Heinz revealed a string of disappointing news.
"They're still very, very good businesses," Buffett said as recently as May 2018 chirps CNBC
28% price dump ... maybe it s a BTFD
but at your risk naturally
dc CB 17:12:23 GMT - 02/22/2019
Ouch my IRA, my 401K.
"safe and stable, people gotta eat" Portfolio foundation stock.
PAR08:28:27 GMT - 02/22/2019
How to keep inflation low
Good morning from #Germany, where consumer basket for tracking inflation has been changed. The weight of housing costs rose to 32.5% from 31.7%. But that will dampen inflation as rent increases due to modernisation are not considered inflation b/c Stats Office uses hedonic method
Germany in better shape than its reputation, ING says after GDP data have been published. Growth components show an econ which is running on almost all cylinders. Private consumption +0.2% QoQ, govt consumption +1.6%, investments +0.9% & desp all trade war fears net exports flat.
Frankfurt06:20:10 GMT - 02/22/2019
Looks like another rally on oil is ahead. After significant downtrend during Q42018, resistance at $55 is currently tested. Does this news means that we are going to see oil again at $44?
Mtl JP 11:31:34 GMT - 02/20/2019
winners and losers
(in the making)
--------------------
some good news for change:
according to transunion canadian consumer credit debt (ie minus mortgage) is 30200K
Avg Credit Card balance per consumer: $4K
Mtl JP 20:03:03 GMT - 02/16/2019
more
winners and losers
first there were the 7 million murrikans who are 90 + days overdue on car payments
----------
now bloomberg celebrates a new milestone:
U.S. Student Debt in ‘Serious Delinquency’ Tops $166 Billion
uk cpi likely to be poor but they will buy dip given risk off hence 12886 shud be good entry for risk on long. stx likely to price in move thru 200dma's initially at least (whether close there is another matter) so euro and cable boosted frm this risk on environment
Mtl JP 07:10:13 GMT - 02/13/2019
WINNERS AND LOSERS
--------------------------
new profit opps in the making
experts said ...
... the fact that this particular type of loan is getting into arrears is economically alarming, experts said.
The substantial and growing number of distressed borrowers suggests that not all Americans have benefitted from the strong labor market and warrants continued monitoring and analysis of this sector.
https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2019/02/just-released-auto-loans-in-high-gear.html
WINNERS AND LOSERS
--------------------------
Another crisis is coming.
Who will strike first / be stricken and how to prepare?
Some Questions and Answers
Preamble: Lehman Brothers filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on September 15, 2008. DJIA dropped 4.5% that day.
–-
--
How to recognize a crisis
Conventional thinking and propaganda by establishments various experts (ministers - authorities - economists):
The crisis is known only when it hits. The crisis can not be predicted. If we could foresee it, I believe we would do our best to prevent it.
A crisis is more than just a normal cycle of the economy - a recession that is simply defined as the performance of the economy declines consecutively in two quarters. The crisis is a big problem, the order is collapsing as a house of cards - one problem infects the rest and as a rapid contagion spreads through the whole organism - the economy. It requires rapid intervention.
How long does it take.
• How long do the crisis last and how do we know the crisis is over?
Most crises in the advanced world are counted in units of years. In emerging economies it may be the decade - the decade lost.
A crisis ends when the economy collapses and the situation stabilizes. Theoretically, this is simply defined as the economy is growing two quarters in succession. But the crisis is often the father of a deep recession from which the economy can wobble for a long time, and then it can only grow poorly, as was the case with the latest global financial crisis. In this context, there is talk of so-called secular stagnation.
How to avoid it?
• How do crises come about and why they can be avoided, for example, by state economies being satisfied with "sustainable" stagnation and unwilling to show just steady growth?
A crisis is in some way a radical cleansing process, separating "weak from strong", something like evolution. It fully reveals what is wrong, and separates the grain from the chaff. The crisis is a crash of accumulated problems. The earlier the accumulated problems cause a crisis, the more bearable and less devastating the crisis.
However, the economy can not be "preserved", protecting it from change, so as the state of "sustainable" stagnation could come to a crisis.
The most vulnerable sector(s).
• Which sectors are the most vulnerable in a crisis?
Which sectors can - on the contrary - profit?
A crisis can be of several species. In today's world, the most vulnerable are finances that trigger financial crises. This is due to their size, which has grown paradoxically after the global financial crisis, and their connection to the economy mainly through loans or debts.
Commercial wars can trigger business crises and mineral crisis can occur in a situation where a rare and hardly substitutable mineral occurs.
Irrespective of the type of crisis, the sectors most heavily affected are the sectors heavily dependent on consumption. The so-called "early birds" are, for example, adventurous businesses and, in the case of production, transport services - namely truck transport.
The most vulnerable sector - luxury goes aside.
• We must not forget the automotive industry, which is the representative of the so-called "luxury goods" that people stop buying as soon as they experience the first signs of uncertainty and fear. Once people are afraid of the future, they will not buy a new car, jewelry, or a luxury holiday.
By contrast, fields that are more connected to the state and are handling state orders are more stable. But in the event of sudden cuts in purchases and orders by the state these sectors will not be spared either. In general, however, the recession will come later.
The crisis can also be a catastrophe of change, and "Revolution" can bring new opportunities for new or existing but flexible firms. Today we call this the start-ups sector.
How to handle a crisis as an employee.
• From an employee's point of view, how can one prepare self to best survive a crisis ?
Do not sleep on laurels. Watch what's happening in the world. Everyone should have some alternative solutions to what to do when the situation in the field becomes complicated and be ready for change and lifelong learning.
The employee, as well as the firm or the state, should create reserves, saving for worse times, always thinking of the back door and mitigating risks.
When the next crisis strikes.
• When is the next crisis more likely to happen and in what sector will it occur?
Allegedly crisis can not be predicted. It can be sened, be documented and disused and argued about partial problems such as, and still (even greater) government and household indebtedness, rising borrowing rates, cooling economies, lack of people in the labor market, enormous pressure on wage growth, trade wars, unpleasant fears of brexit, financial problems of emerging economies, China's rapid cooling
The above-mentioned factors are so-called known unknowns according to the English term "known unknowns". "Known unknowns" (for example, still high debt) are a well-known problem. If we do not address them, it is threatened, as happened in 2007-8, that one problem will break into other problems.
The crisis of poor mortgages will become a financial crisis (huge losses of banks from poor credit), a crisis of confidence (financial institutions have not trusted and stopped lending each other) and all this leads to a deep economic downturn. One problem, as a harmful and insidious bacillus spreads throughout the body - the economy - and the result is all that affects the recession.
When the next crisis strikes - the sequel.
• The problem of today's economy is in the interconnectedness of everything with everything. The global financial crisis has clearly shown how an overwhelming financial sector can strike a deep blow to the whole economy by shutting it off from sources - loans that hae turned into addition.
But the problem can come in the form of the so-called black swan entirely from another side ... then we have to deal with "unknown unknowns," with strangers unknown. They can not be predicted at all, nor can they be prepared for them.
Due to all the signals, fear is that the world economy is on the verge of a slowdown. If we are slowing down into recession, one can not guess yet. So far we know of partial problems that have potential and strength together with other unfavorable factors of recession.
Thus, the crisis can come from the financial sector again due to the amount of debt. However, the states themselves can well make a crisis, since they are the ones who have been the most indebted for the last decade and their debt is still growing. There may be a number of even partial state bankruptcies, particularly in emerging economies, which claim to be unable to pay the bond issue - and trigger the earthquake on the financial markets.
However, the crisis may also come from the real economy - innovation and the so-called Industry 4.0 can bring about changes, that some firms and then entire sectors and then whole economy "will not digest". Before emerging and establishing new businesses / sectors, the economy may experience a severe recession. An example may be the electrification of cars which, if overburdened and hurried by government intervention (regulation or too expensive price subsidies), can lead to the rapid disappearance of sectors such as parts suppliers to cars with internal combustion engines. Before creating new companies supplying electrical components, the entire eco-system of automotive suppliers may be considerably less sophisticated. And this is an example of a significant risk for countries where the automotive industry plays an important role
How to prepare for the crisis.
• How should people in general be prepared to cope with a crisis so as to best withstand it?
The golden rule is to have financial reserves and to think backwards, specifically to make a reserve in advance that is sufficient to cover family expenses for 4 to 5 months.
And it's important to realize that nothing lasts forever. Best not to be subject to the illusion that the current real estate price growth, historically highest employment, rapid wage growth, and so on are here for ever.
On the other hand, when it's not about life, it's about nothing. We have to learn to live with crises and take them as a natural part of being.
Luck favours those who are prepared.
Mtl JP 10:46:32 GMT - 02/09/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
BREXIT
.
Michel Barnier
Verified account
@MichelBarnier
21h21 hours ago
I am looking forward to meeting @SteveBarclay in Brussels on Mon evening. I will listen to how the UK sees the way through. The EU will not reopen the Withdrawal Agreement. But I will reaffirm our openness to rework the Political Declaration in full respect of #EUCO guidelines.
Mtl JP 09:59:48 GMT - 02/09/2019
winners and losers
---------------------
Of Strategy and Tactics
.
Exclusive: Russia's Sechin raises pressure on Putin to end OPEC deal
Armed forces leaders know that ‘if Maduro falls, they fall’.
Vladimir Padrino is Venezuela’s defense minister. Gerardo Rangel is a major general in the army. Nestor Reverol is a former National Guard commander who oversees the Interior and Justice Ministry.
They are also, according to the U.S. Treasury, drug runners and graft-schemers who operate within the criminal enterprise that is the Nicolas Maduro regime.
winners and losers
--------------------
a reminder about the difference between owning and having (in possession) and revalidating the old saw that says that he who HAS gold: rules.
i.e. having gold in a - some - bank deposit box in its basement runs the risk of being "carney-ied" IF the bank decides to shut the door to the safebox room.
Winners and Losers
----------------------
... experts and decision makers ....
The Global Risks Report 2019, published by the World Economic Forum and based on a survey or more than 1,000 experts and decision makers around the world, found climate change risks at their highest-ever level, accounting for more than half of the top 10 risks. Experts are increasingly concerned ... .. ... and Mindy Lubber, chief executive of the sustainability-oriented nonprofit Ceres, said the report’s findings on climate change are “more compelling, more concerning and more extreme” than in previous years.
now IF .... if you expect / think / hope that you will still be around by 2040 here is the kicker of mother for massive profit opportunities:
just a guess, but running away from Missy May's transparent Scam on the British voter PLUS Dragggggiiiiiiiii admitting the Zone is falling apart.
Mtl JP 18:43:46 GMT - 01/15/2019
CB 18:39 I was waiting for ester
and ... what is dlx doing ?
dc CB 18:39:36 GMT - 01/15/2019
The Mouth that Failed...what did she say??
Never mind.
According to JPMorgan, Kansas City Fed president Ester George is the Fed's most prominent (voting) hawk
*GEORGE: IT MIGHT BE GOOD TIME TO PAUSE FED RATE NORMALIZATION
dc CB 16:31:26 GMT - 01/15/2019
Earnings reporting started.
Big diff this round 4th Quart Earnings --- few companies IF ANY will annc Billions in Buy Backs. As tthat money was spent last Quarter---buying at the high.
dc CB 13:16:56 GMT - 01/15/2019
Jamie-I'm Smarter Than You-Dimon's bank --- not so smart after all.
ICYMI- but Earnings reporting started.
Please Excuse this is Non-Brexit:)
Launching an assualt on 108
Battle of the Yenny Penny
dc CB 01:48:40 GMT - 01/14/2019
do U mean of Taylor Telford mated with Telford Taylor(he's dead-Nuremberg), but she sure does know how to invert a fakename. I guess that's what the BezosPost "editors" found sooooo appealing about her "wit"
Mtl JP 01:09:39 GMT - 01/14/2019
CB what kind of off-spring will they make ?
dc CB 22:05:22 GMT - 01/13/2019
Reporter covering national and breaking news Education: Indiana University, BA in Journalism and Spanish
Taylor Telford is a reporter covering national and breaking news at The Washington Post, where she has worked since June 2018. Previously, Telford was a features intern with The Post.
She also worked in metro at the Tampa Bay Times and the Daily Hampshire Gazette.
..."In the United States, living paycheck to paycheck is disturbingly common, regardless of profession or location. A recent report from the Federal Reserve revealed how little cushion most Americans have in their budgets: Four in 10 adults (how 4/10 is "most" taylor does not explain) say they couldn’t produce $400 in an emergency without sliding into debt or selling something, according to the figures that surveyed households in 2017, a relatively prosperous year for the American economy." ...
jp- I am sticking w/ USD/CAD -- I don't think BOC hikes this time - most of the move away from 1.37 was based on oil's rebound and "EZ" Fed // If it can move back above 21dma I will add (1.5 x the bit I sold) -- my risk is a hike PLUS higher oil (bit I don't want to repeat AUD mistake)
Mtl JP 22:44:06 GMT - 01/05/2019
nh - now I have two pet peeves on the FF
(verbs in past tense and now "watch xyz" rather than "trade")
-
so now me curious, do u dare make a (rate/trade) call:
tia
jp - watch what they DO, not what they SAY -- markets can/will often misinterpret or selectively hear what they SAY - it is hard to misunderstand a new tax, rate hike, or declaration of war
dc CB 18:00:35 GMT - 01/05/2019
Pondering Powell.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The Fed deliberately created the "Everything Bubble" so that it could be deliberately imploded at the proper time - in other words, the crash we have been witnessing so far during the final quarter of 2018 and continuing into 2019 is a controlled demolition of the economy. Jerome Powell is not some "rebel" going against the easy money dictates of the Fed. Jerome Powell is playing the role that has been given to him. Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen's job was to inflate the bubble. Jerome Powell's job is to crash the bubble.
This process of controlled demolition needs a considerable distraction so that the central banks and the globalists ultimately avoid blame for the painful consequences of the event.
Enter Donald Trump and the false Trump vs. Globalist paradigm.
"The movement, which began as a protest against a fuel tax, evolved into a general movement against the Macron administration. France is notably the most taxed country in the world."
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
I wonder if the new crop of Democrat freshman Congresspeople calling for Moar Taxes, have a clue what's going on with the Gilets Jaunes (Yellow Vest) movement. Esp Alexandra Occaional-Cortex, who will call for a 70% Fed Tax rate on the 60 Minutes show tomorrow. LOL
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Because "could" is not "will"
week-end study
plan the trade + trade the plan
-
An interesting couple of observations in the piece that - to me - serve as reminder of the insidiousness of things "investing" and "financial"
"The spot energy index in the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) gained 25 percent between January and October. But with the books closed on 2018, the index ended the year down 21 percent. "
However a more impactful / instructional number is the difference between the Index's high and year's close: Oct 3rd 2018 505.55 (367.29 dec 24 low) and 374.33 dec 31 = -25.96%.
The other - again to me - noteworthy clip is ..."the strategy for oil and gas executives to appease investors is to focus on “quick cash, quarterly payouts and fast talk,” Sanzillo says. “Either way the stocks lack a long-term value rationale.”
which relates to my earlier screams on the forum that jerome FED's duty and mission is to take and keep away money from wrong hands.
Looking at jerome's Friday performance and market reaction evidence it would appear that, at least in round one, I was wrong about jerome as he blinked.
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
The only problem our economy has is the Fed. They don’t have a feel for the Market, they don’t understand necessary Trade Wars or Strong Dollars or even Democrat Shutdowns over Borders. The Fed is like a powerful golfer who can’t score because he has no touch - he can’t putt!
7:55 AM - 24 Dec 2018
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Mtl JP 21:50:26 GMT - 12/25/2018
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.... Asked about Monday’s stock market plunge and his attitude toward Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whom he appointed but has also blamed for the recent market woes, Trump said: “We’ll see” and that he lacked confidence in Powell.
The president has been enraged over the Fed’s decision to raise interest rates in light of the strong overall economy.
“They’re raising interest rates too fast, that’s my opinion. I shouldn’t have confidence. They’re raising rates too fast because they think the economy is so good. But I think they will get it pretty soon. I really do,” Trump said, a day after the Dow lost more than 650 points and fell 2.9 percent — the worst Christmas Eve performance ever.
“I mean, the fact is that the economy is doing so well that they raised interest rates and. President Obama had a very low-interest rate. We have a normalized interest rate, a normalized interest rate, it’s good for a lot of people. They have money in the bank, they get interest on their money,” he said. .../..
Post FED -- Italian 10 yr and US 10 yr both @2.77% yield AND the 30 yr is under 3% // tick tick tick
dc CB 21:40:46 GMT - 12/19/2018
interesting intv from Nov 3, on USA Watchdog: Chas Nenner a cycle guy. fwiw said he was buying Bonds the following week, as the cycle has turned. didn't know what wud cause it, but the Cycle has turned up for bonds.
So what happened, starting the week of Nov 12.
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Americans could pay $2.4 billion more on their credit-card debt after Fed rate hike - MarketWatch
Now think... not who is going to be paying BUT
WHO is going to be receiving the extra cash
Mtl JP 16:16:39 GMT - 12/09/2018
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market playing wisdom:
“The human mind feels most comfortable if there is a logic to what is going on in the world. This is also the case for investors in markets. We need a story, and markets get anxious if there are too many unquantifiable signals and no clear signs of a consistent narrative,”
- Torsten Slok, chief international economist at Deutsche Bank Securities,
red - might May and Carney welcome a drop in Pound to focus the Tory fence sitters on the last crash out
london red 13:54:38 GMT - 12/03/2018
big losses for cable on cards if moves under 12700/05. daily close below fatal technically.
Mtl JP 12:38:47 GMT - 12/03/2018
Winners and Losers
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Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
9h9 hours ago
China has agreed to reduce and remove tariffs on cars coming into China from the U.S. Currently the tariff is 40%.
Mtl JP 11:38:26 GMT - 12/03/2018
Canadian province Alberta's socio-communist premier Rachel Naughtley has decided to meddle in the alberta crude oil production mandating an 8.7% reduction starting in january (325,000bbls/day) for one year.
She thinks she will achieve a $4/bbl price hike.
Currently alberta's crap is fetching $16.93.
Bali Sja 04:26:43 GMT - 12/02/2018
There will be no tariffs in the end. Stox will rally. World leaders are puppets of asset holders all around the world. They are the rich-gets-richer protectors. What else can they play? Screw the low to mid income earners, the great slaves of all
Mtl JP 23:39:09 GMT - 12/01/2018
Co-operation is the best choice for China and the United States, Chinese President Xi Jinping told U.S. President Donald Trump during a Saturday dinner meeting in Argentina, state news agency Xinhua reported.
Then co-operate Xi. President Trump is an awfully patient type, listening to Xi spout the same thing over n over except co-operatively comply with Trump's list.
On the other hand, there could be some good trade opps IF Xi continues to insist on some "equality" fantasy.
Mtl JP 13:15:27 GMT - 12/01/2018
according to news peddlers
Trump, China's Xi poised for high-stakes summit over trade war - rtrs
...With the trade war weighing on the global economy, world financial markets are hanging on every development and will be watching closely to see if any compromise can be struck between Trump and Xi....
Maybe President Trump should plan on tariff-icating 550 billion worth of trade instead of the piddly
jp - tariffs are a tax so Treasury coffers fill -- the folks who ultimately pay those taxes are companies who pass at least some of the tax on to consumers // see if that gets picked up in the CPI
Mtl JP 12:54:40 GMT - 11/29/2018
looks like President Trump is pissing on chinese suits threats IF they are not treated as an "equal"
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
22 minutes ago
Billions of Dollars are pouring into the coffers of the U.S.A. because of the Tariffs being charged to China, and there is a long way to go. If companies don’t want to pay Tariffs, build in the U.S.A. Otherwise, lets just make our Country richer than ever before!
Mtl JP 11:53:16 GMT - 11/28/2018
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This is starting to look like a brat kid going to rebellious teen-ager to arogue adult neighberhood bully:
Exclusive: China envoy warns of dire consequences if U.S. hardliners hold sway - RTRS
..."China and the United States had a shared responsibility to cooperate in the interests of the global economy."...
PORT MORESBY (Reuters) - The United States will not back down from its trade dispute with China, and might even double its tariffs, unless Beijing bows to U.S. demands, Vice President Mike Pence said on Saturday.
As I noted earlier this week, what the Demos taking majority in the House means that they will shut it down. The WSJ notes as well.
""Arguably the most important power at stake in Tuesday’s election was Congressional oversight, and the most important change may be Adam Schiff at the House Intelligence Committee. The Democrat says his top priority is re-opening the Trump-Russia collusion probe, but more important may be his intention to stop investigating how the FBI and Justice Department abused their power in 2016""
also when will the other 3 FISAs --- the last of which was apparently signed by Rod Rosenstein --- in 2017 ---after Trump took office...that's the biggie...
When? the block on Trump's recent order was assumed to be Sessions. Methinks it's something he will keep in his pocket. But nonetheless - the gloves are off.
Watch some of the answers he gave to reporters yest on teh WH lawn as he headed off on his way to Paris. Clips on the net.
Mtl JP 18:15:59 GMT - 11/10/2018
What are the odds and timeline that the
FISA warrant that authorized the FBI to spy on the Trump campaign before the 2016 elections
gets DECLASSIFIED?
Mtl JP 12:22:43 GMT - 11/10/2018
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Republican majority in the US Senate = end of leftist Dem's impeachment fantasy
Mtl JP 11:50:14 GMT - 11/10/2018
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Let it be a LESSON :
Bank of England , personified by self avowed globalist Mark "rockstar of central banking" Carney, "...has refused to release the gold bars, worth about £420 million ..."
The Federal Reserve said it will start publishing a semiannual report on financial stability. The report, the first of which will come on Nov. 28, will include a summary of the central bank's framework for assessing the resilience of the U.S. financial system and a discussion of key indicators related to the main financial stability vulnerabilities: asset valuations, borrowing by businesses and households, leverage in the financial sector, and funding risks. The Fed said the report will complement the annual report of the Financial Stability Oversight Council. The Fed said the annual review of whether to activate the countercyclical capital buffer will be conducted in January.
euro. v lrg expiries today and tom by 115 with good res 11550/60 to reset shorts
london red 09:19:09 GMT - 11/07/2018
speaking of winners and losers, it looks like brexit talks have exhausted the thesaurus in terms of stating how well talks are progressing and after a good run to the downside, the eurgbp may now be exhausted by 8700 and may need to correct esp in absence of any news. it will still be a news driven cross but with any breakthru now unlikely for a few days, we could see some retracement to topside towards 8800
Mtl JP 08:52:17 GMT - 11/07/2018
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now that the fun party is over
onto another one:
Household Debt Continues to Climb in the Second Quarter of 2018
Livingston nh 17:29 GMT December 31, 2015
The US may find out that the "new" improved sanctions (soft power) play right into the hands of the oil nations - and the Climate Changers -- and the Fed -- nobody wants cheap oil anymore
Iran is still using a copy of the successful NK Playbook to diddle the US
The risk is that US sanctions on Russia and Iran may be ignored by most of its allies so enforcement becomes questionable - if that happens you can't put the toothpaste back in the tube // never ever confuse a suggestion with a law -- enforcement is the key -otherwise "so what who cares" is the response
VERY USD negative
Only Qtn now is how SWIFTly.
Mtl JP 16:31:30 GMT - 11/03/2018
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One could think the general could trade the FOREX market with his
strategies, tactics and poetic ideas.
The We Win They Lose Plan:
haha talking of the "professor", look what the cat dragged out:
‘Godfather’ of chart analysis says damage done to the stock market is ‘much, much worse’ than anyone is talking about
Published: Nov 1, 2018 2:22 p.m. ET
I learned my lesson in 1987 . A few day before the crash of 1987 ,Acampora turned extremely bullish on the US matkets.
Do your own homework and don't listen to oracles of Delphi
london red 18:28:04 GMT - 11/01/2018
ralph acampora dow 30000 back at the start of the millenium. but gents i do believe we finally have something to top that prediction
Mtl JP 18:25:38 GMT - 11/01/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------- ‘We believe the selloff is behind us,’ and the bull market ‘could last to 2035... That’s going to coincide with millennials peaking.’
for future reference his name is Tom Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors
(it takes balls, or maybe not seeing as he is not offering any guarantees outside of urgings)
8:20 p.m. Orson Welles interviewed the day after War of the Worlds broadcast
(in Today's interpretation===mind U Well's was 22yo nad had just managed to frighten the entire world===== "Have U not shame? U scared the pantaloons off GrandMa! How dare U be so CONvincing!...CENSOR TOO REAL CENSOR)
8:30 p.m. Dragnet
“The Big Mail” Program #153 (NBC, Original air date May 15, 1952) (Running time 26:42)
9 p.m. War of the Worlds
“The Mercury Theatre” (CBS, Original air date October 30, 1938) (Running time 59:34)
10 p.m. Interview with Orson Welles and HG Wells
(Radio KTSA San Antonio, Original air date October 28, 1940) (Running time 7:45)
BofA's CIO Michael Hartnett likes to remind his readers,
"markets stop panicking when central banks start panicking."
- from zh link
Livingston nh 23:35:48 GMT - 10/28/2018
AND Rates Rates Rates will determine the USD Vs. the world
Livingston nh 23:24:38 GMT - 10/28/2018
These Hair on Fire guys drive me crazy - market always gives you one last chance -- ignore the end look at the year before
May 2006 - January 2000 - October 1987 -- you need the event to confirm a recession -- it doesn't ALWAYS happen
Does the guy that has the MAGIC KEY tell anybody --NOOO!
What is their TIME Bubble on all these wonderful predictions and how long can you wait?
Powell is NOT an economist like Bernanke's Depression Theory nor is he Yellen's Phillips Curve Theory
Mtl JP 23:10:51 GMT - 10/28/2018
a) GVI Forex Blog 11:02 GMT October 11, 2018
Fed Should Take A Breather On Policy Tightening Before It's Too Late
b) (courtesy zh) Goldman: "The Fed Will Deliver Significantly More Hikes Than Are Priced In"
cb - the politicization of these tragedies is obnoxious beyond comment -- you remember the texas tower gunman - it wasn't condoned or explained by politics
THE OK City bombing was an attack on OUR government by a homegrown whacko - neither side took "credit or blame"
__
The Ireland issue scares the Brexit issues when it should be dealt w/ as an economic issue - the loony toons need to be dealt w/ thru elimination and it should be made clear
SPECIAL interests whether legal folks or religious folks need to be suppressed
Dillon AL 22:57:34 GMT - 10/28/2018
As Jeff Bezos had a reduction of 14 billion last week
so
The Chinese billionaires on the list of the 500 richest people on the planet have lost a combined $86 billion so far this year
nh
Two weeks until the election - a slaughter house because of religion
++++++++++++++++++++
I fear what that grim reality in the cuurent Game of Thrones will be.
Keep killing until the last HeadLine Sticks in the mind of the Voter in the Booth.
In the Accountant's book, enter in the column- deductions: 'culling the heard"(sic) --- no one cud say
Livingston nh 22:05:19 GMT - 10/28/2018
Two weeks until the election - a slaughter house because of religion - but this is nothing new - bombs in a church drive by, a bible thumper because the attendees were not the right color - kids in an elementary school -- BUT I'm not guilty because I'm crazy - not an islamic terrorist or an immigrant the perpetrators are HOME GROWN losers // HOMELAND SECURITY -- don't you feel safer
Move along there's no winners here
__________
As far as the STOX go - if you believe the financial myths you get what you deserve
dc CB 21:31:56 GMT - 10/28/2018
"Jeffie Boy" -- William Randolph Hearst
dc CB 21:29:13 GMT - 10/28/2018
Losers!!??
how many Billions did Jeffie Boy "lose" this week?
Means NOTHING...most Peoples in the world are Math challenged.
1bln = 5X lifetimes of daily million spending(correct me if U R knot Math Challenged)
“But I don’t want to go among mad people," Alice remarked.
"Oh, you can’t help that," said the Cat: "we’re all mad here. I’m mad. You’re mad."
"How do you know I’m mad?" said Alice.
"You must be," said the Cat, "or you wouldn’t have come here.”
― Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland
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Why, often times, it is a good idea to NOT read news:
Opinion: Don’t sell now — we’re not heading into a bear market for stocks
Published: Oct 26, 2018 8:45 a.m. ET
The economy is still strong, which could extend the bull market
11:01 A wild market ride
10:56 Here’s how stock market investors can emotionally handle today’s decline
10:55 The Wall Street analyst who called this stock-market rout sees another nasty drop for the S&P 500
10:53 Dow falls 400 points, S&P 500 edges toward correction territory
-- MarketWatch
Mtl JP 21:23:07 GMT - 10/20/2018
On Friday chinese "leaders" were out swinging against markets selling off.
Reports FT thusly on "soundbites from three China regulators" :
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The Future of Battery Production for Electric Vehicles
..."global capacity for battery cell production will exceed market demand by approximately 40% in 2021"...
Interesting article saying the Chinese will shoot themselves again in
the foot. The expected capacity for high power cells for the automotive industry will overshoot demand by 40% just as Elon just announced he bought the land to build his 3rd giga battery factory...
Odds are high that musk is trying to run a ponzi scheme on the Chinese to fund his desperately short of cash north American operations
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Over the med term, which do you think will trump as the directional driver for USD:
A) relative yield / interest rate
or
B) US structural deficits
AND ... in which direction ? TIA
Mtl JP 13:16:39 GMT - 10/13/2018
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The 2018 Bavarian state election will be held on 14 October 2018 to elect the 180 members of the 18th Landtag of Bavaria.
Mtl JP 12:43:57 GMT - 10/13/2018
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Goldman Sachs on
when it does not matter that insider trading is illegal
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president Trump said that:
- he expects to “top” the deal to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement by striking a deal with China or the European Union.
- they "are working on
--- China,
-----on Japan and on
------ [the] EU
Mtl JP 18:24:31 GMT - 10/02/2018
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uP $15.30 (1.3%) settled at $1,207/oz
Mtl JP 16:17:48 GMT - 10/01/2018
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I am posting this only as evidence that
a phenomenon that I have never seen been before
than an opening GAP can be closed by another GAP
Mtl JP 12:35:18 GMT - 10/01/2018
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11:00am NYT
President Trump is scheduled to spin USMCA
Mtl JP 09:56:25 GMT - 10/01/2018
Winners and Losers - wooo...hooo
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Should investors fear October, a historic ‘jinx month’ for stocks?
The average stock is overvalued somewhere between tremendously and enormously
Stock investors can no longer ignore the next bear market
Fasten your seat belt for stocks: October is almost here
- MarketWatch
for the record:
DJIA 26458.31
S&P 500 2,913.98
Mtl JP 06:36:00 GMT - 10/01/2018
Winners and Losers
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NAFTA is now called the USMCA.
“It's a good day for Canada,” according to Trudeau
Mtl JP 06:20:36 GMT - 10/01/2018
Gap & USDCAD 1,2818
channel support
plz mind your risk
dc CB 02:40:34 GMT - 10/01/2018
"We Have A Trilateral Deal": US, Canada Agree To Update Nafta Ahead Of Midnight Deadline
Jkt Abel 01:42:55 GMT - 10/01/2018
JP, you gonna long usdcad for closing the gap game?
Tin Foil Hats on???
Take a peak at the Supreme Court nomination, Kavanaugh v Sex Misconduct while in HS and a Freshman in college to guage how the Democrats are doing---making fools of themselves---However they are doubling/tripling down and All the MSM appears to be on their side. The DiViDe is widening and about to get real viscious...
with retail going All-In --- see last post. The conditions are ripe for Stage 3. With 5 weeks to go to get the "Blue Wave" to materialize.
Mtl JP 00:21:42 GMT - 10/01/2018
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..."California Gov. Jerry Brown signed on Sunday a landmark bill mandating that all publicly traded companies with headquarters in the state have at least one woman on their boards by the end of next year. By 2021, companies with at least five directors would need to have two or three female directors, depending on the size of the board, according to the new law. Those that don’t face financial penalties." ...
- wires
Mtl JP 00:00:38 GMT - 10/01/2018
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From the "told u so" file on GVI - partial post, relating to seasonality of stocks: Mtl JP 19:01 GMT September 13, 2018
------------------------
Wall street bonuses are usually paid on Sept 30th numbers as year end is set that way for investment houses vs regular companies that usually use year end or November 30th ( to be able to pay xmas bonuses). I would be VERY surprised if we don’t hit all New FRESH highs by then.
And then we have October the black sheep Month of the year where basically Stats rule the day as long as whisper numbers that only the mega rich and powerful are privy to ahead of the releases . .../..
gl
dc CB 22:34:56 GMT - 09/30/2018
even as strategists at big banks from Goldman, to Citi, to Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan have recommended fading the rally in American stocks while forecasting the second-weakest year-end period of the market's now-record long bull run. And, as we enter Q4, sellside analysts, traditionally cheerleaders for further market gains, look "timid", and according to the average year-end S&P 500 target of 2,956, they forecast just a 1.4% gain in the fourth quarter. That would be the worst close to a year since 2012. ZeroHedge
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Tesla:
Yesty close: 307.59
Quote: 260.50
Margin
- allows to buy more securities that one could with cash only.
- is the difference between the market value of a stock and the loan amount.
100 shares x $10 x 50% margin rate = $500 required cash in account to buy $1000 worth of shares.
Always, ALWAYS KNOW the amount by which a stock falling in price will wipe out your position so that will lose all your money, plus interest and commissions.
The BEAUTY of a margin account vs a cash account is that when things go south, they get ugly really fast. In fact so ugly as to lead to personal or corporate bankruptcy, possibly suicide.
Everything in your account - ALL you assets - as well as your personal guarantee, are held as assurance by the broker. You WILL repay the debt no matter what happens in the trading account itself.
IF the account blows up you are on the hook for the money immediately (usually within 3 days max).
No payment plan.
No terms.
If you don't pay the broker can haul you to court to get judgments to seize your other assets. You may have to borrow new money (ie go into debt) to pay off the broker's judgement.
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Tesla yesty close: $307.60
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Pre-Market Trading
$267.19 40.3313.11%
Puppy has good odds of seeing $242
Should be BoD to $200/180
due dilligence mandatory
Mtl JP 14:52:22 GMT - 09/27/2018
As an aside
that Mika piece's "intelligence" about women's trillion of student loans should also as a vetting question to anyone entertaining a serious personal relationship with a woman with an albatross around her neck.
Bottom Line
there are two kinds of women:
with student loan debt
without student loan debt
Mtl JP 14:52:11 GMT - 09/27/2018
As an aside
that Mika piece's "intelligence" about women's trillion of student loans should also as a vetting question to anyone entertaining a serious personal relationship with a woman with an albatross around her neck.
Bottom Line
there are two kinds of women:
with student loan debt
without student loan debt
Mtl JP 14:41:14 GMT - 09/27/2018
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so now apparently "women hold roughly $1 trillion worth of student loans"
as an employer, I would say it is good "intelligence" to know coz it offers tactical leverage
Winners and Losers
when social peace, financial security peddle defines albatross
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Flashback
..."Owning a home lies at the heart of the American dream. A home is a foundation for families and a source of stability for communities. It serves as the foundation of many Americans' financial security."...june 15 2002
dubya announced his "American Dream Downpayment Act" in 2003
You work three jobs? Uniquely American, isn't it? I mean, that is fantastic that you're doing that." W. Bush, to a divorced mother of three, Omaha, Nebraska, Feb. 4, 2005
FFRWD:
A decade after the housing crisis, foreclosures still haunt homeowners
Tomrow morning the Senate Judiciary Commtee will hold a performance of Arthur Miller's - The Crucible.
Begins at 9:30 AM.
Mtl JP 00:32:45 GMT - 09/27/2018
darmmn !
House overwhelmingly passes spending bill that will keep government open - wires
like this we wont find how un-necessary gov't is OR
how badly it would (not) be missed
Dillon AL 21:36:28 GMT - 09/26/2018
Why is it that adverts on my TV screen are not considered political interference. They certainly are trying to persuade a point of view and most importantly influence an outcome. ...???
Mtl JP 20:07:48 GMT - 09/26/2018
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a while ago:
China is actually placing propaganda ads in the Des Moines Register and other papers, made to look like news. That’s because we are beating them on Trade, opening markets, and the farmers will make a fortune when this is over! - President Trump
Volatility Winners and Losers
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VIX represents option traders’ expectations about the S&P 500’s SPX volatility over the next month:
Volatility Winners and Losers
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VIX represents option traders’ expectations about the S&P 500’s SPX volatility over the next month:
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EURO 1.1745
1.1750-1.1812-1.1750 = full circle now from this morning
On the chart one could say zero sum game
but unlikely in one's wallet
=
I am thinking 1.1720 is still at risk as is 1.1700
BUT also think 1.1720/00 is a support zone
that should hold , odds wise
Mtl JP 07:28:16 GMT - 09/22/2018
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From: President Trump
To: President Jinping
We’re going to go $200 billion at 25 percent on Chinese made goods. And we will come back with more if they retaliate. We have a lot more to come back with. We are cracking down on the unfair trade practices of China… We have rebuilt China. We have given them such wealth. And we are changing it. So we charged 25 percent on $50 billion worth of merchandise tariffs coming in. And then they said, 'We're going to do the same thing'. And I've said: 'That is okay. We have far more bullets'.” - Trump at a packed rally in Missouri for Republican Senate candidate Josh Hawley. Sept 21, 2018
source: most MSM
China Cancels Trade Talks With U.S. Amid Escalation in Tariff Threats - WSJ
China scotched trade talks with the U.S. that were planned for the coming days, according to people briefed on the matter, further dimming prospects for resolving a trade battle between the world’s two largest economies.
Mtl JP 10:54:36 GMT - 09/20/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
FWIW here is my take on Jay's Amazing Trader's epiphany:
(lest you think I get an endorsement fee: perish the thought)
A Brief Summary About Amazing Trader and
about trading opps (quotes pulled from Archive):
> AT not only gives you a strategy and patterns to trade but its trading lines give you levels to trade in all types of market conditions.
> AT always gives you a level and pattern to trade, no matter what the trend or market condition
> AT gives you trading opportunities all the time for all types of traders, whether a scalper, daytrader, swing trader or position trader. We even have a strategy for trading binary options.
> AT charts often presage market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment.
> Note how the news algos and CB speak are driving air pocket trading. This is where the Amazing Trader can be invaluable as it gives levels to trade against in what would otherwise seem like a black hole.
> the Amazing Trader is dynamic and gives you a clear picture of the structure of the market at any time.
> Take a look at the blue resistance line and how it checked the upside. It was drawn well in advance as a key level and is an example how Amazing Trader levels are amazing across all time frames.
> "The Amazing Trader if used correctly is one of the best tools one can use to trade. It truly gives you an idea of the different levels the market may hit in a bearish or bullish market when sometimes we have no clue. Most important it gives great entry and exit points."
The last point is , chronologically in the Archive, is one of the earlier ones Jay made.
I think, from my experience with AT, it is the best one.
USDCAD 1.2913
puppy continues sneaking down
likely to test 1.2886 previous low
200day at 1.2854 = support
Mtl JP 15:46:44 GMT - 09/19/2018
Abel 14:32 it is better to trade vs discuss
"theory meets the road"
Mtl JP 15:00:47 GMT - 09/19/2018
now protecting usdcad 1.2980 short
looking for ~100 pips, maybe bit more
Mtl JP 14:39:50 GMT - 09/19/2018
usdcad 1.2980
short here, sl 1.30+
Jkt Abel 14:32:28 GMT - 09/19/2018
Cheers JP, very ideal entry. We discussed about this 11650 being solid support
Mtl JP 14:16:00 GMT - 09/19/2018
EURDLR 1.1652
I am going long here
see chart why
Mtl JP 11:39:01 GMT - 09/19/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
FWIW here is my take on Jay's Amazing Trader's epiphany:
(lest you think I get an endorsement fee: perish the thought)
A Brief Summary About Amazing Trader and
about trading opps (quotes pulled from Archive):
> AT not only gives you a strategy and patterns to trade but its trading lines give you levels to trade in all types of market conditions.
> AT always gives you a level and pattern to trade, no matter what the trend or market condition
> AT gives you trading opportunities all the time for all types of traders, whether a scalper, daytrader, swing trader or position trader. We even have a strategy for trading binary options.
> AT charts often presage market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment.
> Note how the news algos and CB speak are driving air pocket trading. This is where the Amazing Trader can be invaluable as it gives levels to trade against in what would otherwise seem like a black hole.
> the Amazing Trader is dynamic and gives you a clear picture of the structure of the market at any time.
> Take a look at the blue resistance line and how it checked the upside. It was drawn well in advance as a key level and is an example how Amazing Trader levels are amazing across all time frames.
> "The Amazing Trader if used correctly is one of the best tools one can use to trade. It truly gives you an idea of the different levels the market may hit in a bearish or bullish market when sometimes we have no clue. Most important it gives great entry and exit points."
The last point is , chronologically in the Archive, is one of the earlier ones Jay made.
I think, from my experience with AT, it is the best one.
how-ever....
odds are the opposite that is going to happen that is that stock is going to sky rocket: probable stellar production numbersfor Q3.
You are NOT Allowed to talk to analysts in the month prior to releasing results.
Here we get some dumbo CNBC reporter to launch a non NEWS story for the shorts to cover a bad trade, so odds are that the stock will be higher than today just the day before the release of Q3 results on October 30th
curr: ~282 LoD 275.43
The issue is who will lead the $3bb round? That is the billion dollar question!
Mtl JP 15:56:58 GMT - 09/18/2018
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Tesla Faces U.S. Criminal Probe Over Musk Statements - BBRG
stock doing the right thing
Mtl JP 21:42:09 GMT - 09/17/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
nzd's jacinda's tongue (stupidly) wagging made some wealthier others less so. No recourse , of course.
Mtl JP 19:05:47 GMT - 09/14/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Oh oh..ooow... a peeping sound from the crypt
(could ≠will)
!
First effect; Feedback of a dilettante appointing himsel:............. ........................Turkey Wealth Fund Chairman............................
Mtl JP 09:38:34 GMT - 09/13/2018
Erdogan came out with some platitudes (and measures) earlier about some things that - according to him - must happen.
Currently market is saying hog-wash: you are ON brother.
Mtl JP 09:34:15 GMT - 09/13/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
This came out yesterday but it it still appears to be alive as it is not resolved rather it is simmering and bubbling and I suspect it is NOT as one-sided as wsj paints it : Xi is leary , once burnt twice shy so likely spitting on the sticks sh!tty end Trump is allegedly extending:
U.S. Proposing New Round of Trade Talks With China - wsj
BUT
Some Trump officials said they sense a new vulnerability—and possibly more flexibility—among Chinese officials
Mtl JP 20:00 GMT
Geithner never ran or managed anything. He was always just a very well paid Tool --- with a capital T --- and that rhymes with pool. For that matterr so was Bernanke, but at least he had a PhD and an Ivy League cap to hang on his hatrack.
Mtl JP 20:00:10 GMT - 09/12/2018
Think Dimon is better scheister than Geithner ?
the tot of Dimon as president is epic
dc CB 19:47:27 GMT - 09/12/2018
he's smarter than Trump because 10ys ago he got away with one of the biggest heists in history and is still standing "proud".
Meanwhile almost the entire Justice system is after Trumpster and anyone ever associated with him.
Mtl JP 19:41:15 GMT - 09/12/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Dimon says he could beat Trump in a presidential race because he’s ‘smarter than he is’
That makes for a 2nd bombasting windbag, first being that alleged $130K whore's lawyer spewing similar "could"
Mtl JP 17:42:53 GMT - 09/12/2018
a "deal in principle" is bullsh!t: it is NOT a deal, period.
as long as there are things left to negotiate , there is NO agreement.
all that "agreement in principle" is , is JUST an expression of intention.
Bottom Line
IF n when such a thing hits the wires, wait for the reaction to stop reacting and then fade it.
dc CB 17:33:14 GMT - 09/12/2018
MOST OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO IS FOR CANADA AND U.S. TO GET A DEAL IN PRINCIPLE ON NAFTA NEXT WEEK: RTRS
dc CB 17:31:51 GMT - 09/12/2018
2.957%, effectively no change in the yield since August 8. Today's 9 year 11 month reopening stopped through the When Issued by 0.5bps,
jp - my BET is the next "Financial crisis" originates in the Government not the banks -- the Fed is dishoarding and the national, state and local governments face serious problems when inflation gets traction
Mtl JP 17:25:25 GMT - 09/12/2018
Lets say that their "The so-called living wills that the largest banks have to submit every year would not work in a financial panic" is TRUE.
Should the "experts" NOT be sharing this "intelligence" ?
what IF merkel or vlad or xi or hassan or recep tayyip
ahh perish the thought, the "experts" HAD to have weighted what steak they hang in the display window... maybe it's fake plastic
I can not believe they could/would be THAT stupid, could they be ?
Mtl JP 17:17:22 GMT - 09/12/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Bank ‘living wills’ won’t save financial system from a panic, Bernanke and Geithner agree
"Fighting the next financial crisis is a ‘forever war,’ experts say"
Short while ago President Trump announced that another $267B of trade ready for tariffs that is on top of the earleir $200 billion announced earlier.
I start to wonder if he is ready to blockade china from selling to the US
Mtl JP 16:33:22 GMT - 09/07/2018
IF only... could it be so ??
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
I’m draining the Swamp, and the Swamp is trying to fight back. Don’t worry, we will win!
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Does the so-called “Senior Administration Official” really exist, or is it just the Failing New York Times with another phony source? If the GUTLESS anonymous person does indeed exist, the Times must, for National Security purposes, turn him/her over to government at once!
Don't worry... hmmm
I saw a betting pool somewhere on who the anonymous hero is
Dillon AL predicted we'll know by Monday
dc CB 03:04:56 GMT - 09/06/2018
where is your US Supreme Court Nominee???
Still in the Senate Hearing Room---since 9:30 this morning...it's now 11PM (ET)
Dillon AL 02:03:12 GMT - 09/06/2018
oh it would be The President's personal pleasure to enact that torture
Not a case of should but would
Mtl JP 01:37:10 GMT - 09/06/2018
AL 23:24 u really think that a coward to some hero to others hiding behind anonymity would need to be waterboarded to sing ?
Dillon AL 00:42:00 GMT - 09/06/2018
by next Monday we will know who the fool is
Livingston nh 00:25:44 GMT - 09/06/2018
The poor fool who wrote this OP-ED may not be covered by the First Amendment protection extended to the Press and its EMPLOYEES // a REPORTER can protect his source for a story but a "letters to the editor" author may not fall under the NYT shield
dc CB 00:01:26 GMT - 09/06/2018
Trump Orders NYTimes To Reveal Op-Ed Source For "National Security" Purposes
a matter of time before he is outed with a leak coming from inside The NY Times and then booted out by Trump but likely not before he is waterboarded into telling who are the rest of them....
Mtl JP 22:06:35 GMT - 09/05/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
New York Times is at it yet again, once more unashamedly claiming higher moral ground to justify another anonymously penned anti-presidential shill piece. What is impressive (to me) is the President's patience if not his relatively tame reaction to the NYT dog sinking its canines into the President's bacon trying to bring him down:
Opinion
I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration
I work for the president but like-minded colleagues and I have vowed to thwart parts of his agenda and his worst inclinations.
Winners and Losers
---------------------
In poke at President Trump
Amazon Orders 20,000 Mercedes-Benz Vans for New Delivery Service
Fleet operators will own the vehicles as part of a plan to have small businesses carry packages - Sept. 5, 2018 - wsj
Mtl JP 11:54:08 GMT - 09/05/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
hope
"Argentina's government (Economy Minister Nicolas Dujovne) said on Tuesday it hopes the International Monetary Fund will agree in the second half of September to a deal giving the country more financial support as it seeks to escape a deepening economic crisis.
Nicolas is about to taste the meaning of IMF's version of rapidly concluded "more financial support".
more moRE
Mtl JP 11:28:13 GMT - 09/05/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
nh re Contagion / I am not prepared to believe marko's last point:
JP Morgan's top quant warns next crisis to have flash crashes and social unrest not seen in 50 years
J.P. Morgan's top quant, Marko Kolanovic, predicts a "Great Liquidity Crisis" will hit financial markets, marked by flash crashes in stock prices and social unrest.
The trillion-dollar shift to passive investments, computerized trading strategies and electronic trading desks will exacerbate sudden, severe stock drops, Kolanovic said.
Central banks will be forced to make unprecedented moves, including direct purchases of equities, or there could even be negative income taxes.
dc CB 12:51 GMT September 4
Virtue Signaling, banking on the "Blue Wave" with your Company, has proven again -- It Loses Money.
_________________________________________________
Some small publishers have seen their income slashed over 50%.
“One of the Facebook policy changes that kind of went under the radar and it went into effect in February was the branded content policy. And it decreased my income from Facebook by 60 percent, overnight. No explanation.” said Holly Homer, a Texas entrepreneur who runs the Facebook pages for “Quirky Mama” and “Kids Activities.”
Last month, Facebook was once again in the news after a top executive allegedly told a group of digital publishers that Mark Zuckerberg "doesn't care" about news publishers, and is happy to let them die if they don't cooperate with the company.
"I’ll be holding your hands with your dying business like in a hospice," said Facebook global head of partnerships, Campbell Brown.
earlier 1.1550 short euro will now get stopped if it backs up to entry
Mtl JP 13:53:17 GMT - 09/04/2018
PAR ... a bit late (u missed 12:32)
sad
PAR13:49:04 GMT - 09/04/2018
Anticipation is building for Mercedes-Benz's (OTCPK:DDAIF) electric SUV, which is set to be unveiled tomorrow.
Models from BMW (OTCPK:BAMXF), Audi (OTCPK:AUDVF) and Porsche (OTCPK:POAHF) are also in the making.
"While Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) currently has a strong hold on the luxury electric market, I don't think this will be the case after the arrival of the German premium offerings," said Wajih Hossenally, an automotive analyst with IHS Markit. "Tesla has virtually zero competition - but this will change from 2019 onwards."
Mtl JP 13:17:33 GMT - 09/04/2018
SellGBPUSD Entry: approach to 1.29 Target: south Stop: slightly above 1.29
.
Mtl JP 13:12:12 GMT - 09/04/2018
SellEURUSD Entry: 1.1550 Target: 1.1520 maybe lower Stop: >1.16
Obviously not thrilled with the risk allocation
dc CB 12:51:05 GMT - 09/04/2018
Virtue Signaling, banking on the "Blue Wave" with your Company, has proven again -- It Loses Money.
Dow Component Nike (NKE)
what is wrong w/mixing missiles and oil ?
-
maybe the russian - in his own brand of humor - would celebrate john - “I have no illusions or worry about the long-term future of Russia. Russia is now a gas station masquerading as a country" - mccain and see things differently 3 yrs later.
The russian has known for a while now that the US is a crap paper factory.
lkwd jj 16:19:09 GMT - 08/31/2018
crude may rally .... missiles and oil not good combo.
Mtl JP 16:09:47 GMT - 08/31/2018
c mon bolton ... RESPOND !!
just in time for long week-end:
Sink the destroyers – they will not start a war: Bagdasarov calls for a powerful Russian response to a US strike on Syria
Russia must respond to US strikes against Syria by destroying not only missiles, but also the ships that launch them.
when IMF says it is confident about meddling in argentina
when President Trump lets it be percieved that he prefers nafta to go way of the dodo...
reasonable traders get skittish
Fukuoka joyya 15:49:21 GMT - 08/31/2018
usdtry possible next 10....
Mtl JP 15:44:30 GMT - 08/31/2018
usdtry approach to 6.7 violently repulsed
draw u r own view of that
Fukuoka joyya 15:42:40 GMT - 08/31/2018
collapse of aud nzd cad eur gbp?
Fukuoka joyya 15:27:48 GMT - 08/31/2018
maybe big move tonight 10/30% in jpy.....
Mtl JP 15:18:54 GMT - 08/31/2018
usd in demand
Mtl JP 15:07:31 GMT - 08/31/2018
time ripe to start ripping nuts off usdtry shorts
Mtl JP 14:54:19 GMT - 08/31/2018
some last minute hanki panki going on into london close
Mtl JP 14:04:30 GMT - 08/31/2018
ya ... political gamesmanship alright
trudeau pizzing away MY money on some merikan-owned pipeline so he can try to sell alberta's crap to china (rofl), his carbon tax scheme pizzing ME off as he's trying to tax me OUT of my boat while he flies his donkey around the world on MY dime in a 737... claiming that he will always protect canadian milk producers supply side (luckily for him I do not drink milk (just wine) because milk makes folks aggressive and ADD'red, so currently I am happy to report that his current popularity standing is approx even w/opposition.
Expect some funny stuff come out of justin/christia's donkey if n when Pres Trump starts to talk "fair" milk deal and auto tariffs.
Livingston nh 13:51:25 GMT - 08/31/2018
jp - IMO Canada likely to drag its feet as they understand President better than most -- this is political gamesmanship
Mtl JP 13:45:56 GMT - 08/31/2018
I think President Trump trumps anything coming out of "canadian officials" donkey:
“Canada’s going to make a deal at some point. It may be by Friday or it may be within a period of time, but ultimately they have no choice,” Trump said Thursday in an interview with Bloomberg News in Washington as bargainers struggled to resolve critical issues. “I think we’re close to a deal.”
-
DLRX still under 95
looking to go short USDCAD under 1.3050
preferably with help from euro back N of 1.1640/50
Mtl JP 13:40:07 GMT - 08/31/2018
nh there is a need for panic to "go contagious"
need to fill boat with gas (burns ~$600worth/day) for the long week-end !
Livingston nh 13:34:44 GMT - 08/31/2018
Erdogan looks at Argentina rate hike and feels vindicated as peso declines further so Turkish CB stays out of play -- Brazil intervenes at 4.20 and gets temporary reprieve
Bigger risk is India and Indonesia // Italy yield rises a bit as German yield drops again -- EU has a lot on its plate --Barnier unmasked as GBP held hostage to Ireland deal
aud nzd gbp eur more bearish than turk lira now...
Fukuoka joyya 11:16:56 GMT - 08/31/2018
just sold usdtry 6.57 seems turkey ok...
Mtl JP 11:03:11 GMT - 08/31/2018
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Good odds of market gaining in perception that turkey will default.
Maybe not today or next week. Or even in a month or two.
What matters as a trade-able is the growth in player perceptions.
Mtl JP 10:34:42 GMT - 08/31/2018
Trump Threatens to Pull U.S. Out of WTO If It Doesn’t ‘Shape Up’ - BBRG August 30, 2018
Mtl JP 23:19:42 GMT - 08/30/2018
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Federal court quashes Trans Mountain approval in setback for Trudeau
haha, allegedly a setback for the boy also known for his selfies, pretty sox and hair and.... spending OPM
and making Kinder Morgan executives and shareholders double over rofl
Trump cancels pay raises for civilian federal workers in 2019
Mtl JP 12:12:00 GMT - 08/30/2018
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
47m47 minutes ago
The news from the Financial Markets is even better than anticipated. For all of you that have made a fortune in the markets, or seen your 401k’s rise beyond your wildest expectations, more good news is coming!
-
hint hint ?
Mtl JP 22:11:19 GMT - 08/28/2018
Winners and Losers
they are always there and everywhere
-------------------------------------------
Why a trend divergence in the S&P 500 and the VIX may spell trouble for stocks
ok, sorry I was looking at the Treas page. I see what u r looking at now.
by the way, the NYFRD is actually pretty transparent - if U know where to look and finding out where to look is hard. IF we had a real Journalists working in the Financial Press --- they wud be doing the looking and reporting. But recall that post FOMC pressser when Pedro da Costa, then at the WSJ, asked Gammy Yellen the wrong question...he got shown the door ---
10-yr -> 2.882%
2--yr -> 2.669%
-------------------
0.213 which is uP from yesty's 0.18
which under 0.20 starts to tighten the donkeyhole in those to whom such matter matters
Mtl JP 20:09:31 GMT - 08/28/2018
as IF by coincidence San Fran FED came out w/ piece yesterday,
pizzing of jerome's August 24, 2018 Monetary Policy in a Changing Economy which used "risk" 21x in an attempt to deflect and minimize attention from "the yield curve"
The SanFran gang, comedians that they are are "on the other hand"-ists, make Yield Curve front n center. See link below.
August 27, 2018 - Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions
Pretend-Innocently starting out The ability of the Treasury yield curve to predict future recessions has recently received a great deal of public attention. they kick jerome right on the kneecap with their 2nd assertion that
nh
Bernake's Curse on the Fed was to set an Inflation Target -- Contex
==========================================
that was the Cohiba Smoke he blew up yr azimuth. the Mirrors: keep changing the way "inflation" is calculated so it never registers higher for more than a few months..
anecdote: I cut my finger and went to a chain drug store to buy some Neosporin ---- an OH SO common topical Over the Counter Med. been around for decades----costs near $8 for a 1oz tube. and don't get me started on the price of gauze pads.
Gouging my gouge...bleeding PAY UP or get infected.
Mtl JP 19:51:27 GMT - 08/28/2018
nh 19:37 ya don't think his jackson hole drivel was written, edited and approved by... da chairman himself ?
Livingston nh 19:50:20 GMT - 08/28/2018
Bernake's Curse on the Fed was to set an Inflation Target -- Context
dc CB 19:41:25 GMT - 08/28/2018
JP
"Gammy Yellen" was the perfect face the bank propagandists, to tell us that we must accept a 0.001% Rate on OUR savings "just a few months longer"
And a brilliant choice by the O, to follow the "bearded academic" , the Professor Most Learned --- holding the Princeton Chair: Dean of The Great Depression. These credentials allowed him(them) to experiment and thus get away with never before seen give-aways...all with the Ivy League stamp of knowledge
Livingston nh 19:37:10 GMT - 08/28/2018
He's a lawyer and if he was well trained the econ pointyheads are in trouble
Mtl JP 19:30:48 GMT - 08/28/2018
nh 19:15 one huge advantage jerome has over janet is that his body / face / tone of voice language is much much more deadpan evolved.
it is an essential propaganda (the formation of folks attitudes) tool to fool the plebs into desired behavior when all you have to peddle is credibility.
Livingston nh 19:15:44 GMT - 08/28/2018
Past few days listening to "Experts" about the yield curve effect and Fed folks - clueless, ignoring the negative real yield
How long will Powell bow to the economic unprovable ??
It is designed to destroy aircraft, cruise and ballistic missiles, and can also be used against ground installations. The S-400 can engage targets at a distance of 400 km and at an altitude of up to 30 km.
-
Maybe the S-400 commands respect but how the heck is one supposed to make pips off just gumflap ?
BuyGold Entry: Target: Stop:
just keep buying gold silver......
stox go down some time lots debt around the world.....
HK RF@ 12:13:33 GMT - 08/27/2018
!
Trump with classical bold capitalism will impoverish the whole world first.
And if removed from office and stox indeed will crash, the US will be added to the list:(
Mtl JP 12:09:26 GMT - 08/27/2018
Usd/TurkLira 6.2445
lira is down about 4.7% from earlier 5.9634-ish base
good sized move
odds are more good sized moves a-coming
and elsewhere too
brazil, s/africa, agrentina, italy...
kids... feel free to take positions
Dillon AL 05:23:36 GMT - 08/26/2018
re yeast causes dough to rise
he obviously hasn't cooked at 10000 feet and above
Mtl JP 23:17:20 GMT - 08/25/2018
Instead of recognizing cause and effect and giving credit
in wsj - a BIS "expert" Agustín Carstens expresses that Global Monetary-Policy Official Decries U.S. Trade Measures
actually the paper says "winner takes most/all" as a variation on the winner takes all. Lets face it podium means that 2nd place is not good enough and hence winner always takes all as demonstrated further into the paper because that is exactly what superstar firms do . AMZN AAPL MSFT GOOG and then the odd one out FB
Mtl JP 19:27:10 GMT - 08/25/2018
BoC's poloz on Winners and Losers
..."If growth were evenly spread, in the way yeast causes dough to rise, everyone would be a winner. But because it is like mushrooms, the associated disruption means that some will lose out while others win. In certain conditions, the winners can even become superstars; hence, the term “winner takes most,” ...
..."It is human nature to focus on the negative. In the process of creative destruction, destruction gets more headlines than creation does. This is because the threats to individuals are concrete and easily identifiable..."
In WSJ Rob Copeland tortures himself:
At Hedge Funds, Where Are the Women?
Women run only two of the top 50 funds; instead they cluster in positions away from the money
but to its credit BTC approximately steady around ~$6400
Mtl JP 17:51:49 GMT - 08/23/2018
so the supposedly understaffed and underfunded SEC had the skill and time to
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
(Release No. 34-83904; File No. SR-NYSEArca-2017-139)
August 22, 2018
Self-Regulatory Organizations; NYSE Arca, Inc.; Order Disapproving a Proposed Rule Change
to List and Trade the Shares of the ProShares Bitcoin ETF and the ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF
and so in the fight for fairness and justice not available from taxpayer funded "authority" one available tactic to the non-insiders is as public as possible and then more public dissemination into the court of populism
Why is Donald cavalier with the notion of his impeachment ?
Because knows all too well that impeachment is a political and not a criminal trial.
That is how clinton escaped and before nixon could get impeached resigned:
1) the House by majority needs to agree that an impeachable offense has occured.
2) then the senate must pass judgment by two thirds majority to remove a sitting pres
Mtl JP 14:56:04 GMT - 08/23/2018
It is the Discretionary Function Exception to the Federal Tort Claims Act (FTCA), 28 U.S.C. 2680(a) that says to the naive taxpayer to f-u.
Bottom Line
is that those who know how to bag (pay off) the so-called lawmakers have the upper hand.
Not a question of fairness / justice,
just power
Mtl JP 14:45:19 GMT - 08/23/2018
what is really really pathetic is that, referring to jurisprudence of folks suing the SEC over its incompetence and inaction around Madoff, is that "The court said the SEC’s actions and “regrettable inaction” were protected by a law that shields federal agencies from liability."
Bottom Line being:
so many bottom lines I don't know where to begin
Mtl JP 14:32:58 GMT - 08/23/2018
what a LOAD of krapp !
wonder who is behind this cop-out bbrg shill piece
Elon Musk and Tesla Might Not Have to Worry About the SEC
The hesitant, understaffed regulator may have a hard time applying its outdated rules to the founder’s tweets.
apparently too expensive for the 50% of chinese pop still living in stone age as Xi's measures to boost domestic demand not producing propagandized traction
and as folks around world becoming increasingly conscious of Xi's honey on lips poison in heart
PAR13:12:42 GMT - 08/23/2018
Huawei . Great phones at great prices .
Mtl JP 13:10:40 GMT - 08/23/2018
followup to JP 03:21 GMT August 22, 2018
so who u gonna blame punk, eh ?!
Doors Slam Shut for China Deals Around the World - bbrg
... angers Beijing.... haha, beijing = slysmile Xi
“If I ever got impeached, I think the market would crash. I think everybody would be very poor. Because without this thinking [points to head] you would see, you would see numbers that you wouldn’t believe in reverse.”
Note: odds of impeaching Trump are 0.0001%
In the meantime Trump is hogging headlines and dictates what the journos talk about.
Mtl JP 08:32:17 GMT - 08/23/2018
Winners vs Losers
-
Skipping over the manifest ignorance of the difference between "value" and "price" , a theme:
ON WHETHER HE HAS A TIME FRAME TO END TRADE DISPUTES WITH CHINA “No. No time frame. I’m like them, I have a long horizon.”
ON WHETHER HE WOULD CONSIDER LIFTING SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA “No. I haven’t thought about it. But no, I’m not considering it at all. No. I would consider it if they do something that would be good for us. But I wouldn’t consider it without that. In other words, I wouldn’t consider it, even for a moment, unless something was go — we have a lot of things in common. We have a lot of things we can do good for each other. You have Syria. You have Ukraine. You have many other things. I think they would like economic development. And that’s a big thing for them.”
with nothing worthwhile on data calendar
NY session likely to be victim to headlines, sharks and/or tweets
Mtl JP 12:45:49 GMT - 08/21/2018
EURO 1.1503
planning out my NY session trading am trying to figure where is likely be biggest mover and 2) which way
Bottom Line
euro in uP bias while above 1.1490/75
Mtl JP 11:42:52 GMT - 08/21/2018
Winners and Losers and paradigm shifts
feel the earth... move... under my feet....
Share of discount brokerages fell in premarket trade Tuesday, after a report that J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. JPM, -0.13% was taking aim with a plan to launch a new digital brokerage service that comes with free trades. TD Ameritrade Holding Corp.'s stock AMTD, -4.41% dropped 2.1% and Charles Schwab Corp. shares SCHW, +1.02% shed 3.2% ahead of the open, while shares of E*Trade Financial Corp. ETFC, -3.18% were indicated down over 3%. J.P. Morgan's stock gained 0.7% in the premarket.
Trumped Up Prophecies: How Kabbalah Wizards & Christian Zionists Are Trying to Build a Third Temple
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iUc9GefmjTY
reason behind turkish lira selling must watch video...
Fukuoka joyya 05:18:44 GMT - 08/18/2018
China bombers are training to strike US targets in the Pacific, Pentagon claims
dc CB 01:47:41 GMT - 08/18/2018
Mtl JP 15:07 GMT August 17, 2018
that GAP .... I ve been yapping about
one of the nicest I have ever played !
TSLA Dude --- U R crowing about UR win shorting TSLA What nerve.
LOL
Mtl JP 20:29:34 GMT - 07/16/2018
GV is foreX orientated
why should foreX players care if tesla or facebook or catterpillar or some other non-bank entity reports posi or nega earnings
tia 4 light
dc CB 20:13:40 GMT - 07/16/2018
it is earnings season...but then this is GV and noOneCares.
Kl Fs 00:50:56 GMT - 08/18/2018
Tide has turned for usd IMO. Sell usd from now on.
Mtl JP 21:07:26 GMT - 08/17/2018
Feel free to take a position:
"Turkey's incomplete policy response to the lira's depreciation is unlikely on its own to sustainably stabilise the currency and the economy," Fitch Ratings
and to load heavy or not is a personal decision
Mtl JP 19:53:32 GMT - 08/17/2018
Livingston nh jerome is scheduled to yak in jackson hole
8/24
10:00 a.m.
Speech - Chairman Jerome H. Powell
Monetary Policy in a Changing Economy
At the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Policy Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyo.
---------------------
Sofar he is on record being ambivalent what happens to the likes of turkey (EMs). I think regardless of his poetry, he is watching w/accute interest.
I suspect his 2nd point of focus has to be interest -- nterest as a FED tool to fight next econ downturn. It makes me rofl just thinking about it and how "they" / he is worried about having or not the ammunition for their (his) tool to "fight" (haha) the next econ downturn as night follows day.
They (he jerome) ONLY have/has not even 2% to play with atm in light of their / his benchmark interest in 1.75% to 2% range.
@realDonaldTrump I can not help thinking about “Banning Donald Trump From Twitter Is a Misguided Liberal Fantasy,” Twitter C.E.O. Jack Dorsey's possible change of mind.
Livingston nh 19:12:56 GMT - 08/17/2018
jp- CB types might worry that rates (weapon of choice) will be ineffective in the event of recession // disruptive is the uncoordinated retreat from the Money Swamp
Kl Fs 16:56:47 GMT - 08/17/2018
I was betting on short the puppy from 13150ish down to 12950, protected at BE now and taking some off for weekend. Hoping to see target early next week
Mtl JP 16:52:34 GMT - 08/17/2018
Fs 16:31 what exxatly is ur bet ?
Mtl JP 16:47:33 GMT - 08/17/2018
yes... a very very warm feeling indeed
-
Livingston nh earlier Jamie suggested "You better be prepared to deal with rates 5 percent or higher."
Can u please explain what is wrong with "possibly disruptive consequences in financial markets" -- what is the(ir) fear ?
Kl Fs 16:31:41 GMT - 08/17/2018
JP, puppy seems to be heading to 12940-50
Livingston nh 15:50:44 GMT - 08/17/2018
jp - well played gap
lkwd jj 15:16:11 GMT - 08/17/2018
like they say "trade 'em like you see 'em". nice one Jp.
Mtl JP 15:07:32 GMT - 08/17/2018
that GAP .... I ve been yapping about
one of the nicest I have ever played !
Mtl JP 09:24:11 GMT - 08/17/2018
in relation to the GAP - still has 35 bux in it - I mentioned few times
elon in NYT (where else) fluff piece:
... “I thought the worst of it was over — I thought it was,” he said. “The worst is over from a Tesla operational standpoint.” He continued: “But from a personal pain standpoint, the worst is yet to come.”...
... He blamed short-sellers — investors who bet that Tesla’s shares will lose value — for much of his stress. He said he was bracing for “at least a few months of extreme torture from the short-sellers, who are desperately pushing a narrative that will possibly result in Tesla’s destruction.” ...
For the HaHa File
-------------------
Citi fined over $10 million by SEC over controls, supervision
Published: Aug 16, 2018 10:50 a.m. ET
Citigroup C, +1.49% will pay $10.5 million to settle two lawsuits from the Securities and Exchange Commission, one stemming from $81 million of losses due to trader mismarking and unauthorized proprietary trading and another from $475 million of losses due to fraudulently-induced loans made by a Mexican subsidiary. ... blablabla ... Citi did not admit or deny either finding.
And so no-one loses hand or two (just their job) , citi pays a fine (or Permit to Fraudulate fee) and .... beat goes on.
dc CB one could think it should be supportive of short players/
that outfit needs more institutional players to start dumping their holdings. Preferably all at once (say in a panic stampede looking to beat one the other to the exit door)
If Tesla's PR department thought today's reported SEC subpoenas and 'formal' investigation transition by the regulator would be the worst of its problems, they got a very unpleasant surprise when Tesla whistleblower Martin Tripp started tweeting photos, internal emails, and Vehicle Identification Numbers of Model 3 VIN numbers that allegedly have damaged or punctured battery packs in them, and which he says are evidence of flawed manufacturing practices at Tesla's battery factory, and could put drivers' lives at risk.
One month ago, we reported that Martin Tripp - the former Tesla engineer who on June 20 was sued by Tesla for allegedly trying to "sabotage" the company - and who subsequently turned out to be a whistleblower who was fired in retaliation for his attempts to warn Tesla execs of severe quality control production problems, was alleging several egregious safety violations that, if true, would likely destroy what remains of Musk's tattered credibility, which the SEC is currently subpoenaing.
news said pastor had contacts with terriorist groups and they have strong evidence photos and emails of terriorist cars in airbase.....
Fukuoka joyya 15:50:50 GMT - 08/15/2018
it was expected i said that wont release pastor might take to inter pool with proof might be not good for trump...
any comment?
Dillon AL 15:45 GMT 08/15/2018
thanx mate....
Dillon AL 15:45:19 GMT - 08/15/2018
joyya there is too much cash on the sidelines for that to happen.
NB how Fidelity and others having been raising cash recently.
The fact that there is talk (Which I haven't heard but then what do I know) suggests that it wont come to pass. IE the expected does not happen and even if it did patience waiting for the turn and confirmation will be just as good as trying to anticipate something that may not come to pass.
reminder
The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
Mtl JP 15:44:54 GMT - 08/15/2018
as Wednesday 6pm dealine looms
and so Qatar has approx 6 hrs to try to save some of its money
many peoples saying big crash like 1929 in us markeet which never ex bfore so peoples leavin us.....
Fukuoka joyya 15:24:07 GMT - 08/15/2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DfCBdIjO4x4
The Resident: Time to get the hell out of the US
really?many peoples moving from us?
Dillon AL 15:18:29 GMT - 08/15/2018
jp look on the right side exhaustion gap following by measureing move gap
dc CB 15:08:48 GMT - 08/15/2018
SEC ramps up investigation into Tesla privatization plans; sends subpoenas to Tesla regarding privatization plans and Musk's statements involving "funding secured"--sources Subpoenas signal investigation has reached the "formal" stages -- sources more now @FoxBusiness
dc CB 15:05:03 GMT - 08/15/2018
Wimpy and QT were pretty spectacular this time out.
That GAP Ive been raving on and on about...
has less than 40 bux in it now
Mtl JP 12:54:55 GMT - 08/15/2018
That warm and fuzzy feeling of a loss by rationalizing that it “represents a very small part of our overall credit business.”
some principles like:
- redeployed billions of pounds of assets into riskier and more lucrative trading activities in a bid to boost returns and
- seeks to take on more risk to chase higher returns
A corporation issues five-year fixed-rate bonds. Its treasurer expects interest rates to decline for all maturities for at least the next year. She enters into a one-year agreement with a bank to receive quarterly fixed-rate payments and to make payments based on floating rates benchmarked on three-month Libor. This agreement is best described as a:
futures contract.
forward contract.
swap.
Mtl JP 21:22:25 GMT - 08/14/2018
One more:
Which of the following statements is least accurate regarding the factors that affect the interest rate risk characteristics of an option-free bond?
The lower the coupon rate, the greater the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
The higher the yield, the greater the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
The longer the bond's maturity, the greater the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
Mtl JP 21:17:59 GMT - 08/14/2018
HELP plz (w / exam Q)
As a monetary policy tool, quantitative easing (QE) will most likely help revive an ailing economy in which of the following environments?
Declining bank reserves and economic activity
Liquidity trap
Deflationary trap
Mtl JP 15:46:53 GMT - 08/11/2018
Winners and Losers
u must do your own diligence
UBS: These are the companies most at risk from President Trump's trade war
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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