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Caribbean! Rafe...  20:35:41 GMT - 08/17/2018  
markets have been running in equilibrium... this is not good for the world. Equilibrium predates sudden wars... uncertainty is what makes us our money nothing else... so trum being certain to cut the deficit with china is not a sabre rattling announcement, they are gonna sign documents to make that a reality...

Caribbean! Rafe...  20:31:12 GMT - 08/17/2018  
welfare of the people has to be discounted too...

Mtl JP  20:22:33 GMT - 08/17/2018  
u see , for u and me who trade FX and /or other instuments is not about what fundamentally should or not happen.

Out task is to make preferably posi-pips off how the market is or will react to reports about some low-level trade meeting that - allegedly - are preparatory steps towards a Xi and Trump november meeting as current market mood demostrated.

Seeing as who is giving orders Trump however and imo would be a fool to give audience to Xi in november.

Feel free to take a position.

Caribbean! Rafe...  20:13:12 GMT - 08/17/2018  
JP// Referring to me mate..

Mtl JP  20:08:28 GMT - 08/17/2018  
The only way possible .... only way for what: __ ?

GVI 20:08:15 GMT - 08/17/2018  
S&P cuts Turkey sovereign rating one notch to B+ from BB-; outlook stable

- Source

Caribbean! Rafe...  20:01:09 GMT - 08/17/2018  
The only way possible is to trade with south america and mexico, but then the spanish speaking countries in the western hemisphere are in problems, mexico has a massive drug problem and venezuela is faced with high inflation... it will take them about 10 years I feel before they will be ready to do decent business according to "the standard", brazil etc... well will they be able to supply US economic demands that may reduce china supplies?. Maybe just a little, however, I doubt... Maybe the real money folks are way ahead of the curve but that is to be seen what they do with their cash... besides that, I don't think the US government would be able to cope with assigning countless squadrons of people each allocated to ensuring exports from a specific country are up to their mark... that's a just polygamous deficit in the making, better to have a monagamous trade deficit and the chinese on top.

Mtl JP  19:28:16 GMT - 08/17/2018  
... nine-member delegation from Beijing, led by Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen, will hold meetings with U.S. officials led by the Treasury undersecretary, David Malpass, on Aug. 22 and Aug. 23. ....

who wants to be courts jester ?

Caribbean! Rafe...  19:19:35 GMT - 08/17/2018  
Sorry I meant to say, how are they gonna reduce trade levels with china whilst other countries close the supply gap with what they need to import. China is a great part of the world economy, and if china collapses then so will a major part of the world economy, anything that happens in this side of the world has repercussions on that side of the world too.

Caribbean! Rafe...  19:16:24 GMT - 08/17/2018  
I don't think slashing the deficit is possible and it's not worth it to change their relationship unless of course USA wants to go begging the whole world for financing an overburdened economy on the brink of another collapse, in other words big brother now has to face the big stick. The reason to say that is while the USA touted their relationship with china as their trading partner, the USA simply started depending too heavily on them and snubbed other smaller economies: The result was was economic stagnation for many countries that had good employment levels and income from exporting to the USA. Now how they gonna restart production without a world econmic collapse taking place.

Mtl JP  18:57:41 GMT - 08/17/2018  
there is only ONE thing that matters
and that is President Trump getting Xi to HEEL
( to heel. (transitive, idiomatic) To compel someone to obey; to force someone into a submissive condition.)

To heel means to "stop the theft of intellectual property and to stop the forced transfer of technology” and
to improve market access for US firms and slash a $375 billion trade deficit with China

Mtl JP  18:42:39 GMT - 08/17/2018  
what a KROK-O-SH!T about talks announced with China

nothing but a f-king joke
giving time to a very low level / grade delegation
see Mtl JP 21:17 GMT August 16

"with China" ... as IF some low level / grade puppets ... arrgghhh

GVI 18:29:25 GMT - 08/17/2018  
White House Chief Economist Hassett: we are very close to trade deal with Mexico - television interview

- Still a few sticking points in trade discussions with Mexico
- Says talks announced with China schedule for next week a 'positive sign'
- Looking forward to what SEC will find on company reporting study

- Source

GVI Trader john  17:04:29 GMT - 08/17/2018  

Baker Hughes Rig Count

Total: 1057 vs. 1057 (0) prev.
Oil: 869 vs. 869 (0) prev.

Canada: 212 vs. 209 (+3)

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  14:00:13 GMT - 08/17/2018  
Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index August, 2018

95.3 vs. 98.0 exp. vs. 97.9 prev

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  12:42:44 GMT - 08/17/2018  
Canada: CPI July 2018
Canada Charts


mm: +0.50% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
yy: 3.00% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. +2.50% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI 12:09:34 GMT - 08/17/2018  
Turkish Court said to again reject US Pastor Andrew Brunson appeal for release

- press - Source

GVI Trader john  09:01:15 GMT - 08/17/2018  
Eurozone final HICP (CPI) July 2018

yy: +2.10% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.
yy: +1.10% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.10% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP  20:49:40 GMT - 08/16/2018  
haha gag me

a dog wallowing in the ditch of fiscal puke of unbridled debt wants to dictate the protocol of dialogue ??!!


GVI 20:44:15 GMT - 08/16/2018  

Turkey Foreign Min Cavusoglu: we do not wish to have problems with the United States; our problems with US can be solved easily but not with the current approach

- Source

GVI Trader john  14:32:41 GMT - 08/16/2018  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts

(BCF) +33 vs: +30 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI 13:04:40 GMT - 08/16/2018  
Earlier: Pres Trump tweets comments on the economy and US dollar - Trump tweets: "Our Economy is doing better than ever. Money is pouring into our cherished DOLLAR like rarely before, companies earnings are higher than ever, inflation is low & business optimism is higher than it has ever been. For the first time in many decades, we are protecting our workers!"

- Source

GVI Forex 12:56:39 GMT - 08/16/2018  
Kudlow on TV saying a strong dollar is a sign of confidence.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler  12:49:43 GMT - 08/16/2018  
Dollar blips up on Trump USD comments

08:45 (US) Pres Trump tweets comments on the economy and US dollar - Trump tweets: "Our Economy is doing better than ever. Money is pouring into our cherished DOLLAR like rarely before, companies earnings are higher than ever, inflation is low & business optimism is higher than it has ever been. For the first time in many decades, we are protecting our workers!"

- Source

GVI Trader john  12:35:11 GMT - 08/16/2018  
U.S. Philly Fed Index August 2018


+11.9 vs. +22.0 exp. vs. +25.7 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) July 2018

Starts: 1.1700 vs. 1.272 exp. vs. 1.170 (r 1.158) prev.
Permits: 1.310 vs. 1.311 exp. vs. 1.270 (r )prev.

New Residential Construction

TTN: Live News Special Offer


US Weekly Jobless Claims


212K vs. 215K exp vs. 213K (r. ) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

UK JY  11:14:54 GMT - 08/16/2018  
Now we have to be on guard for any Brexit related news once talks restart.

UK JY  10:37:01 GMT - 08/16/2018  
Weak gbp best explained by concerns over Brexit as I believe that talks are supposed to restart today.

GVI Trader john  08:47:21 GMT - 08/16/2018  
UK strong retail sales data and market has reacted that way until a moment ago.

kl shawn  08:40:44 GMT - 08/16/2018  
careful, funny month...

jkt abel  08:39:52 GMT - 08/16/2018  
data is good, sterling should fly

jkt abel  08:36:31 GMT - 08/16/2018  
unles 12670 taken for intraday trade

jkt abel  08:35:53 GMT - 08/16/2018  
green light to buy sterling

GVI Trader john  08:34:23 GMT - 08/16/2018  
U.K. Retail Sales July 2018


mm: +0.70% v +0.20% exp. vs. -0.50% (r ) prev.
x-fuel & autos
mm: +0.90% v 0.00% exp. vs. -0.90% (r ) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI TRADER 01:40:21 GMT - 08/16/2018  
China commerce ministry says vice minister will travel to U.S. for trade negotiations in late August

GVI Forex Jay Meisler  15:25:24 GMT - 08/15/2018  
Another day another surprise news headline.

This is where the Amazing Trader is valuable as it always gives you levels you can use to trade.

Note AT resistance at 1.1344 vs. 1.1342 news spike high.

The Amazing Trader

GVI 15:18:14 GMT - 08/15/2018  
Qatar has pledged to invest $15B in Turkey economy - Turkish press

- Source

GVI Trader john  14:55:13 GMT - 08/15/2018  
10s 2.842%
DJ -322

GVI Trader john  14:30:53 GMT - 08/15/2018  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: +6.800 vs. -2.900 exp vs. -1.400 prev.
Distillates: +3.600 vs. +0.900 exp vs. +1.200 prev.
Gasoline: -0.700 vs. -0.800 exp vs. +2.900 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  14:01:32 GMT - 08/15/2018  
U.S. NAHB Index August 2018

67.0 vs. 67.0 exp. vs. 68.0 (r) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  13:17:05 GMT - 08/15/2018  
U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization July 2018

Ind Production: +0.10% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.60% (r +1.00%) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 78.1% vs. 78.3% exp. vs. 78.0% (r 78.1%) prev.

RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  12:39:45 GMT - 08/15/2018  
U.S. Retail Sales July 2018

Headline: +0.50% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.50% (r ) prev.
Core (x-a& g): +0.60% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% (r ) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


U.S. Productivity 1Q18

+0.60% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. 0.70% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


Empire PMI August, 2018

25.6 vs. 20.0 exp. vs. 22.6 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  08:31:38 GMT - 08/15/2018  
U.K. CPI July 2018
U.K. Charts


CPI m/m: 0.00% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. 0.00% prev.
CPI y/y: +2.50% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. +2.40% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john  20:44:57 GMT - 08/14/2018  
CO +3.7 mn
Dist +1.9 mn
Gasoline -1.6mn

GVI 18:30:09 GMT - 08/14/2018  
White House official: more economic pressure could be in store for Turkey if it does not release Pastor Brunson - press

- Source

Kl Fs  16:11:13 GMT - 08/14/2018  
Smart money loves dollar? LMAO
Trump does not want any much stronger dollar from here.

Mtl JP  15:58:09 GMT - 08/14/2018  
talking of rates ..
the benchmark is at 2.888% +0.012 atm

Mtl JP  15:55:23 GMT - 08/14/2018  
on the other hand,
smallest debt burden is bad news for those whose living standard depends on qty of interest received

so IF the debt pool shrinks, the other way to increase interest income is to charge higher rate

Mtl JP  15:49:53 GMT - 08/14/2018  
this should be "good news" (i.e room for more moRE)

The debt burden of U.S. households is the smallest it’s been in nearly 16 years.

Household debt — including mortgages, credit cards, auto loans, student loans and other credit — grew for the 16th consecutive quarter in the April-to-June period, rising by 0.6%, or $82 billion, to $13.29 trillion, the New York Fed reported Tuesday.

With personal disposable incomes at a $15.46 trillion annual rate in the quarter, the debt-to-income ratio dipped to 86%. That’s the lowest, by an admittedly small amount, since the fourth quarter of 2002. At the height of the credit bubble in 2008, debts topped at 116% of disposable income.

haifa ac  15:28:21 GMT - 08/14/2018  
"allmost whole world tired usd$ "

Dollar is in MULTI YEAR bull market (probably till 2021-2022) and will test the 120 level.
smart money LOVES the dollar.

Mtl JP  15:05:43 GMT - 08/14/2018  
allmost whole world tired
so who is not tired ?

Fukuoka joyya  15:00:02 GMT - 08/14/2018  
allmost whole world tired usd$ they want new system tired of capitalism....china already taken hong kong..right now not good relationship philpine korea japan india iran turkey europe all these powerful miltariesr under this admistration

Fukuoka joyya  14:27:24 GMT - 08/14/2018  
yes more presure on take turkey to saudi arabia china will also come u know china fully ready for war understand russia also want oil they can not live without oil... turkey also supplying gas to europe...if this happen big lost for usa...germany also wont leave....main issue is jeroselm maybe american embassy...

Kl Fs  14:07:23 GMT - 08/14/2018  
Merkel and co won't leave Turkey fighting alone. Turkey will be saved at whatever cost

Livingston nh  13:59:43 GMT - 08/14/2018  
joyaa - you keep referring to oil BUT Turkey's vulnerability is energy IMPORTS (now MORE expensive) -- friendless and credit dependent

Mtl JP  13:57:40 GMT - 08/14/2018  
coz wounded animal is 2x as ferocious and 2x as deadly as non-wounded

Fukuoka joyya  13:56:21 GMT - 08/14/2018  
do not forget trump and ordugan good friends.....
huge ecnomicly oil...

Livingston nh  13:54:50 GMT - 08/14/2018  
The Forces of Darkness are not leaving the City Gates -- How much do you think it cost to defend 7 ?? The reserve base is anemic and it is shrinking - inflation will take its toll

Turkey is a wounded animal with a blood trail -- why would traders leave this one alone?

NY JM  13:51:55 GMT - 08/14/2018  
The words safe and TRY are not in the same dictionary.

Kl Fs  13:47:03 GMT - 08/14/2018  
Unless 6.90 taken again today, it is safe to say top is in

Mtl JP  13:43:17 GMT - 08/14/2018  
h3ll no

Kl Fs  13:41:37 GMT - 08/14/2018  
JP, you go long lira big time?

Kl Fs  13:38:11 GMT - 08/14/2018  
That sounds quite confident. Crisis is truly over. If Turkey (Sunni) can make business with Iran (Shiite) then world is at peace.

Mtl JP  13:37:14 GMT - 08/14/2018  
sooo lets see that Lira
say to 5.25ish

GVI 13:29:59 GMT - 08/14/2018  
Turkey Fin Min: we have taken all necessary measures to relieve markets - Turkey stands behind its banks and private sector- Turkey will remain within free market rules; will continue taking measures on banks and companies- Framework agreement on loan restructurings has been signed

- Source

GVI Trader john  12:30:23 GMT - 08/14/2018  
U.S. Import Prices July 2018

0.0% vs. +0.10% exp. vs -0.40% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  09:14:10 GMT - 08/14/2018  
EZ Prelim 2Q 2018 GDP 2018


mo/mo 0.40% vs. 0.30% exp. vs. 0.30% prev.
yr/yr 2.50% vs. 2.40% exp. vs. 2.50% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Eurozone advance 2Q18 GDP y/y 2.50% yr/yr. Beats estimates.

Eurozone GDP Chart

GVI Trader john  09:03:17 GMT - 08/14/2018  
German ZEW Survey August 2018


Current Situation 72.6: vs. 71.1 exp. vs. 72.4 prev.
Expectations: -13.7 vs. -20.0 exp. vs. -24.7 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john  08:36:05 GMT - 08/14/2018  
U.K. Employment June/July 2018


Claimant Count (000): +6.2K vs. +2.30K exp. v. +7.8K (r 9.0K )prev.
ILO Rate: 4.00% vs. 4.20% exp. vs. 4.20% prev.
earnings: 2.40% vs. 2.50% exp. vs. 2.50% (r ) prev.
earnings x-bonus:2.70% vs. 2.70% exp. vs. 2.70% (r +2.80%) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP  16:23:17 GMT - 08/13/2018  
oh NO ! dear watson

Consumers turning more pessimistic about wages, stocks, home prices, taxes

A monthly survey conducted on consumer expectations showed a notable pessimistic trend in July.

The New York Fed’s survey of consumer expectations — based on a panel of 1,300 household heads across the United States — found declines in one-year expectations on earnings growth , household spending, stock prices and house prices.

Mtl JP  15:56:26 GMT - 08/13/2018  
uh uh ECB been reading my JP 15:20 so they send out a trumpet in a "what me worry?" type of cavalier shrug of shoulders

Odds are the truth is they staining their pants on the prospect of CONTAGION

GVI 15:48:45 GMT - 08/13/2018  
Bundesbank's Wuermeling: ECB hasn't seen a need for a meeting about Turkey bank risks; let's not overdramatize the risk of Euro Area infection - Urges Turkey to take bold action to stop its spiral

- Source

Livingston nh  12:36:46 GMT - 08/13/2018  
Freeing a hostage is not going to bring down the inflation rate, raise interest rates or move Erdogan back into the western orbit

HK RF@  12:29:38 GMT - 08/13/2018  
This was on Sunday.

Mtl JP  12:24:51 GMT - 08/13/2018  
according to cnn -
Erdogan said:

"They are going to make us slaves to the dollar. Foreign exchange, interests... so what? They (US) said, 'if you don't release the pastor by 6 p.m. on Wednesday we will start sanctions.'

GVI Trader john  12:13:36 GMT - 08/13/2018  
U.S. Embassy denies it released report about U.S. pastor release.

GVI 11:57:24 GMT - 08/13/2018  
Speculation that Turkey could release the US Pastor held under house arrest - twitter

- Source

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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