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GVI 19:15:32 GMT - 08/26/2018  
Bank of Canada (BOC) Gov Poloz: gradual approach to monetary policy is appropriate amid the digital disruption - Jackson Hole speech -

- Source

GVI Trader john  08:00:58 GMT - 08/27/2018  
German IFO Survey July 2018


Climate: 103.8 vs. 101.6 exp. vs. 101.7 prev.
Current: 106.4 vs. 105.3 exp. vs. 105.3 prev.
Expectations: 101.2 vs. 98.5 exp. vs. 98.5 prev.

IFO Climate Survey

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GVI Trader john  08:10:14 GMT - 08/27/2018  
German IFO Survey beats

GVI 13:41:08 GMT - 08/27/2018  
Pres Trump tweets: "A big deal looking good with Mexico!"

- Source

GVI 13:43:14 GMT - 08/27/2018  
US and Mexico reportedly come to partial agreement on NAFTA trade deal; would leave some issues unresolved - Wash Post

- Source

GVI 20:22:35 GMT - 08/27/2018  
Mexico official: it's 'almost certain' there will be a NAFTA announcement today - press ** NOTE: Earlier: (MX) Mexican official “we’ve concluded” talks with the US; announcement will come today - CNBC

- Source

GVI 10:30:21 GMT - 08/28/2018  
BOE Gov Carney said to have been asked by govt to stay in position until 2020 (approx 1-year extension) - Financial press

- Source

GVI 10:55:47 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Govt spokesperson Swift: Working on October deadline for Brexit agreement - Source

Mtl JP  11:49:52 GMT - 08/28/2018  
not sure what the trade off this should be:
....results on “Trump News” are from National Left-Wing Media, very dangerous. Google & others are suppressing voices of Conservatives and hiding information and news that is good. They are controlling what we can & cannot see. This is a very serious situation-will be addressed! - Trump 2:34 AM - 28 Aug 2018

for now just fwiw

GVI Trader john  12:33:58 GMT - 08/28/2018  
U.S. (USD bn) Advance Goods Balance July 2018

-72.2 vs. -68.6 exp. vs. -67.9 prev.
U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

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GVI 12:37:19 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Germany considers offering Turkey a financial lifeline - press - concerns grow in Berlin that a full-blown economic crisis could destabilize the region- talks are at an early stage and may not result in any aid

- Source

GVI Trader john  13:00:19 GMT - 08/28/2018  
U.S. Case Shiller-20 June 2018
U.S. Data Charts

+6.30% vs. +6.40% exp. vs. +6.50% prev.

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Mtl JP  13:07:04 GMT - 08/28/2018  
uk's may out earlier squawking that she wants to see turkey's economy flourish...
rather than be concerned with hallucinations about some "full-blown economic crisis" fx types run better odds of making moo-la off a run on banks and/or currency

Mtl JP  13:47:49 GMT - 08/28/2018  
It is rather amuzing if not outright disturbing to read that
"Berlin fears a meltdown of the Turkish economy could spill over into Europe with dire consequences. ... ISTANBUL—The German government is considering providing "...

1) "Berlin", just like "German government" do not do anything in themselves. People with identifiable names can / may do some things.

2) ditto for "Turkey"

The reporting putzhood is almost as bad as when a piece claims "un-named sources". What is wrong with these folks that they shy from pinning names - do they not investigate and verify : why just half-baked story ?

GVI Trader john  14:00:09 GMT - 08/28/2018  
U.S. Richmond Fed Index August 2018

+24 vs. +18 exp. vs. +20 prev.

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BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Survey August 2018

133.4 vs. 126.5 exp. vs. 127.4(r ) prev.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data

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GVI Trader john  14:00:39 GMT - 08/28/2018  
U.S. data beats...

GVI 14:44:06 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Fed's Kashkari (non-voter, dove): Expansions do not last forever, Fed aims to extend it - US economy looks good, job market still strong

- Source

Mtl JP  15:23:58 GMT - 08/28/2018  
ieeha !!
Kudlow says White House ‘taking a look’ at regulating Google searches

Mtl JP  15:54:46 GMT - 08/28/2018  
about 5hrs late so beg your pardon
he says she says type, fwiw:

Carney's Future Back in Spotlight Amid No-Deal Brexit Talk - BBRG
By Lucy Meakin and Jess Shankleman
August 28, 2018, 6:23 AM EDT Updated on August 28, 2018, 9:30 AM EDT

BOE Governor is due to step down from role in June 2019
Treasury denies report that it’s asked Carney to extend term

PAR 15:56:15 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Guess Google is run by the KGB ?

PAR 15:58:45 GMT - 08/28/2018  
When I look for a book on Amazon I first always get an anti Trump sugge stion . LOL

GVI 19:14:48 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Reportedly Iran oil exports are falling faster than expected amid US pressure campaign - press

- Source

GVI 10:04:40 GMT - 08/29/2018  
Brexit Min Raab said to be complaining about the availability of EU's Barnier - financial press - EU negotiator allegedly keeps turning down requests to meet Brexit secretary due to diary constraints

- Source

GVI 11:17:59 GMT - 08/29/2018  
Iran Supreme leader Khamenei: Tehran should give up hope on Europe to save nuclear deal after the US withdrawal - Source

Mtl JP  12:16:15 GMT - 08/29/2018  
Richard Clarida, who stresses Fed independence, confirmed to be Powell’s No. 2

Richard Clarida told Senate Democrats that he would not be swayed by White House pressure.
Richard Clarida, an expert on monetary policy and long-time economics professor at Columbia University, was confirmed by the Senate Tuesday to be the Federal Reserve’s vice chairman.
The vote was 69 to 26.

GVI Trader john  12:31:43 GMT - 08/29/2018  
U.S. GDP 2Q18

+4.20% vs. +4.00% exp. vs. +4.10% prev.


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GVI Trader john  14:02:10 GMT - 08/29/2018  
U.S. Pending Homes Sales July, 2018

-0.70% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.90% (r +1.00%) prev.

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GVI 14:03:08 GMT - 08/29/2018  
Chief Brexit Negotiator Barnier: We're prepared to offer Britain a partnership unlike with any other country - We respect Britain's red lines 'scrupulously'; in return they must respect what we areSingle market means single market and it's not negotiable; there is no single market a la carte- The Norway model is available but it's part of our single market

- Source

Mtl JP  14:10:48 GMT - 08/29/2018  
euro 1.1694 player reaction to barnier's bs

GVI Trader john  14:31:24 GMT - 08/29/2018  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: -2.600 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -3.800 prev.
Distillates: -0.800 vs. +1.500 exp vs. +1.800 prev.
Gasoline: -1.600 vs. -0.500 exp vs. +1.200 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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GVI Forex 16:24:59 GMT - 08/29/2018  
Brexit whipsaw:

12:22(DE) Germany Foreign Ministry: there will be no special rules for a post-Brexit UK

- EU cohesion is a top priority; the EU will not diminish the single market

- Source

GVI 16:46:02 GMT - 08/29/2018  
Canada PM Trudeau: Canada needs to reach the 'right deal' on NAFTA; there is possibility of deal being reached by Friday- Newsprint ruling is good news for Canada - Canada will defend dairy supply management

- Source

GVI 16:52:10 GMT - 08/29/2018  
Germany Fin Min Scholz: No-deal Brexit is no solution because the economies are too linked - The EU must accelerate Euro Area reform efforts- Advocates for European defense mergers

- Source

GVI 19:02:52 GMT - 08/29/2018  
Pres Trump: optimistic that Canada will join the US-Mexico trade deal; Canada trade talks are going well - Believes talks are on track for Friday deadline; Canada wants to be part of trade accord

- Source

GVI Trader john  07:56:11 GMT - 08/30/2018  
German Unemployment August 2018

Rate: 5.20% vs. 5.20% exp. vs. 5.20% prev.
Change: -8 vs. -9K exp. vs. -6K (r ) prev.

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GVI Trader john  07:56:39 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Jobs data in line.

GVI 10:37:47 GMT - 08/30/2018  
EU said would agree with zero tariffs on industrial goods (including cars) if US agree - financial press - beyond what was agreed in July in the joint statement between European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and U.S. President Donald Trump

- Source

GVI Trader john  12:32:58 GMT - 08/30/2018  
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator August, 2018

Personal Income +0.30% vs. +0.40% exp v +0.40% prev.
Core PCE Defl +2.00% vs. +2.00% exp. vs. +1.90% prev.

RELEASE: Personal Income

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US Weekly Jobless Claims


213K vs. 215K exp vs. 210K (r. ) prev.

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GVI 13:58:53 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Atlanta Fed cuts Q3 GDP forecast to 4.1% from 4.6% prior - Source

GVI 13:58:53 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Atlanta Fed cuts Q3 GDP forecast to 4.1% from 4.6% prior - Source

Mtl JP  14:05:34 GMT - 08/30/2018  
almost 11% reduction
but.... does jerome care ?

GVI Trader john  14:30:29 GMT - 08/30/2018  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts

(BCF) +70 vs: +63 expected

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Fukuoka joyya  14:33:15 GMT - 08/30/2018  
whats going on in argentina and turkey?

usdars 40

Mtl JP  14:38:08 GMT - 08/30/2018  
did not argentine CB hike rate to 60% and not because its gdb is running searing hot ?

dc CB  14:59:41 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Argentina's 100Y bonds hit 70 cents on the dollar

Fukuoka joyya  15:16:28 GMT - 08/30/2018  
looks to aud nzd 10% down today.....

haifa ac  17:16:03 GMT - 08/30/2018  
so if interest rates in Argentina are now 60% (from 15% just yesterday)--is it a good investment?
60% is the highest rate in the world.

lkwd jj  17:23:30 GMT - 08/30/2018  
buy brooklyn bridge better, even with no tolls...

GVI 18:23:42 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Pres Trump reportedly supports implementing the proposed $200B in new China tariffs as soon as next week, though final decision is still pending - press - US could impose tariffs after end of the public comment period on Sept 6th- "Trump has told aides he wants to move ahead with a plan to impose tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imports as soon as the public-comment period concludes next week"

- Source

Mtl JP  18:30:46 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Is that fully thought thru ?
what IF tariffs on that additional 200 bio do not produce desired result - what then - naval blockade of made-in-china teddybears ?

lkwd jj  18:34:35 GMT - 08/30/2018  
soon theyll call him Tarriif man instead of Trumpet man !!!

GVI Trader john  09:01:28 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) August 2018

yy: +2.00% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.10% prev.

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GVI Forex 11:52:30 GMT - 08/31/2018  
USDCAD spikes higher

07:50(CA) Canada govt officials said to doubt having a NAFTA deal by today (Friday, Aug 31st)

- Source

Fukuoka joyya  11:58:56 GMT - 08/31/2018  
usdcad 1.45/1.5 seems good target....

GVI 12:29:57 GMT - 08/31/2018  
EU’s Barnier: Worked on the future relationship and have broad convergence on ambition of future ties - press conference with UK Brexit Min Raab in Brussels - Discussed the subject of security of citizens and guaranteed rights - Brexit must not lead to loss of intellectual rights - Need detailed backstop solution for Ireland; NO backstop then NO Brexit agreement

- Source

GVI Trader john  13:45:27 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Chicago PMI August 2018

63.6 vs. 63.0 exp. vs. 65.5 prev.

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GVI Trader john  14:00:48 GMT - 08/31/2018  
University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final August 2018

96.2 vs. 95.7 exp. vs. 95.3 preliminary

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment

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GVI Trader john  14:02:07 GMT - 08/31/2018  
UM revision beats.

GVI Trader john  17:02:51 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Baker Hughes Rig Count

Total: 1048 vs. 1044 (+4) prev.
Oil: 862 8vs. 860 (+2) prev.

Canada: 228 vs. 229 (-1)

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GVI 18:56:04 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Canadian Official: US/Canadian trade talks have concluded - press - Canadian Foreign Minister Freeland to hold news conference at 16:30EDT/20:30GMT

- Source

Livingston nh  18:57:38 GMT - 08/31/2018  
USD/CAD 1.3140

GVI Trader john  19:00:47 GMT - 08/31/2018  
No word on what, if anything, was decided in the talks. Something undoubtedly will leak before the 4:30 EDT presser with the Canadian Foreign Minister.

Mtl JP  19:02:15 GMT - 08/31/2018  
what about 1.3140:
long target or
wait to sell or ....

GVI Trader john  19:02:43 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Interesting its not a joint press conference as far as we know. Could that be a hint?

Livingston nh  19:10:35 GMT - 08/31/2018  
1.3140 is a target --adding here

dc CB  19:23:11 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Battle of the Billionaires:

Tweeter in Chief:
Donald J. Trump
Wow, I made OFF THE RECORD COMMENTS to Bloomberg concerning Canada, and this powerful understanding was BLATANTLY VIOLATED. Oh well, just more dishonest reporting. I am used to it. At least Canada knows where I stand!
2:37 PM - Aug 31, 2018

Trump Erupts At Bloomberg

GVI 19:24:33 GMT - 08/31/2018  

- Source

Livingston nh  19:29:26 GMT - 08/31/2018  
USELESS idiot news about Argentina - S&P may cut //pretty helpful after the last two weeks

dc CB  19:30:52 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Gaming to get "the last story out" on a Friday before a 3 day weekend for the US NUZ cycle-Weekend Talking Heads (bash Trump Fest) -----'cauz after The Last Word....nuttin' 'til Tueday....Clock runs thu to 11:45PM give or take

GVI 20:24:03 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Fitch revises Italy sovereign debt rating outlook to Negative from Stable; affirms BBB rating

- Source

Livingston nh  20:30:03 GMT - 08/31/2018  
This is the problem with debt in the EU -- Sovereign debt.?? --where is the benchmark rate?? IF ECB buys italian debt who cares

Mtl JP  21:22:37 GMT - 08/31/2018  
nh at least the italian would care
BUT it brings forth the reminder of ECB's need to mutualize the currency union. The crazy fakks - the princes - need absolutely and with increasing urgency access to every increasing amounts of money - in the billions and billions upon billions - which means only one thing: press, squeeze and juice the EU taxpayers.

Dillon AL  21:32:31 GMT - 08/31/2018  
and that jp will force the eastern bloc's hands led by Hungary followed by Poland and then reluctantly Czech. No amount of appeasement re appointments to leading EU institutions by nationals from those nations to try to induce the opposite reaction will work.
The die is cast and with Junker and Draghi going next year (and others) this will leave the mantle squarely upon Macron's shoulders to lead the charge and shape future policy however his comments in Denmark shows that he is as mad as the rest of the EU autocrats and thus is doomed before he even tries
The issue is was never IF but WHEN the union breaks up properly

I would remind Barnier another whose time is limited that The UK is the 2nd largest in Europe the 5th largest in the world...Screw Her Majesty and that places yet another nail in the coffin


Livingston nh  21:50:21 GMT - 08/31/2018  
al - agree but this the problem for the UK folks - play HARDBALL w/ the mopes and see how far they can stray from the political needs of Merkel, Macron et al

Dillon AL  22:45:18 GMT - 08/31/2018  
nh there is one simple fact Brussels has a budget deficit. They need our money. The issues about open borders is nonsense cc the map where it shows that in 2015 at the height of the crisis the issue was European in nature not UK
As to trade.... well with Trump mixing it up then in reality it favors The UK in terms of timing. The UK is in essence still the most powerful bloc in the world. Its called the Commonwealth.

Mtl JP  10:24:18 GMT - 09/01/2018  
I have rarely seen the german as stupid as recently blaming the "economy". What a crock of shameless bullsh!t: it is not the market that triggered the turk into crisis. It is politics. Nothing else.

Artificial low rates and crap paper (fiat) money is the root cause of growing debt and fake booms that when they come to a watershed moment for accounting that lead yet to renewed efforts by the overwhelming power of state to a new, even more inflated gigantic bubble, which will mercilessly again blow up. Only to blame the markets, never the politicians. Again.

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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