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GVI Trader john  17:09:18 GMT - 10/05/2018  
Baker Hughes Rig Count

Total: 1052 vs. 1054 (-2) prev.
Oil: 861 vs. 863 (-2) prev.
Canada: 182 vs. 178 (+3)

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GVI 15:28:29 GMT - 10/05/2018  
Atlanta Fed maintains Q3 GDP forecast at 4.1% - Source

GVI 15:21:10 GMT - 10/05/2018  
New York Fed Nowcast: cuts Q3 GDP forecast to 2.3% from 2.5% prior; cuts Q4 forecast to 2.8% from 2.9% prior - Source

Mtl JP  15:05:42 GMT - 10/05/2018  
whoever said FX is a friendly environment ?
"what does not maim or kill you disappoints me"

GVI Trader john  15:02:55 GMT - 10/05/2018  
Last minute volatility in Europe on EU item below.

Mtl JP  15:01:48 GMT - 10/05/2018  
14:57 - what crock of fertilizer from whatever "EU"
and what a JUBB !

Mtl JP  14:59:15 GMT - 10/05/2018  
short while ago williams proclaimed that he is blind to (price) inflation

GVI 14:57:46 GMT - 10/05/2018  
EU said to be preparing to offer UK supercharged free trade deal - press

- Source

GVI Trader john  12:43:57 GMT - 10/05/2018  
U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade August 2018

-53.2 vs. -51.0b exp. vs. -50.1b (r -50.1b) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
+0.58 vs. -0.50 exp. vs. -0.10 (r -0.20% )prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance

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GVI Trader john  12:40:00 GMT - 10/05/2018  
Canada EMPLOYMENT September 2018


Jobs: +63.3 vs. +27.5K exp. vs. -51.6K prev.
Full-Time -16.9K vs. n/a exp. vs. +40.4K prev.
Rate: 5.90% vs. 5.90% exp. vs. 6.00% prev.

RELEASE: StatCan Monthly Employment Report

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GVI Trader john  12:37:37 GMT - 10/05/2018  
Focus on the massive revision to August. Solid Jobs figures on balance

GVI Trader john  12:35:15 GMT - 10/05/2018  
=00.30%U.S. Employment September 2018


NFP Jobs:
+134K vs. +185K exp. vs. +201K (r +270K ) prev.
Rate: 3.70% vs. 3.80% exp. vs. 3.90% prev.

Avg earnings: vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary

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HK [email protected]  11:55:14 GMT - 10/05/2018  
All OECD countries are reporting this time to each, other not only Switzerland:)

Mtl JP  11:28:56 GMT - 10/05/2018  
Swiss numbered accounts now POOF
swizziland now sharing banking information
reports Reuters
(probably bit late anyways - professional tax cheats knew this well ahead)

Era of bank secrecy ends as Swiss start sharing account data

GVI 11:18:23 GMT - 10/05/2018  
German Gov't reportedly will lower its 2018 and 2019 GDP growth forecasts - press - To cuts its 2018 GDP growth forecast from 2.3% to 1.8% - To cut its 2019 GDP growth forecast to 2.0% - Source

GVI 17:10:48 GMT - 10/04/2018  
Janus Capital's Bill Gross: "10-year German Bunds are only 50bps higher than their absolute lows in June 2016. U.S. 10-year is 170 bps higher over same time period. Once ECB QE stops (soon), which one is overvalued? (Bunds!)" - Source

dc CB  15:25:47 GMT - 10/04/2018  
dancing on the grave

Mtl JP  14:59:18 GMT - 10/04/2018  
red 13:32 excellent entry nose

Mtl JP  14:53:22 GMT - 10/04/2018  
The unfortunate part about a hard brexit is that it will not cause the EU to dis-integrate. That puppy may get get its jaw dislocated or back broken, but it will continue to twist and crawl but die it will not.
Not next week not next year.

GVI 14:41:51 GMT - 10/04/2018  
Austria FM Loeger: talks seem to be on track for a hard Brexit; Irish govt is speaking of a 'seismic shock' from Brexit - Source

GVI Trader john  14:30:12 GMT - 10/04/2018  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts

(BCF) +98 vs: +87 expected

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GVI Trader john  14:22:07 GMT - 10/04/2018  
Canada Ivey PMI sharply weaker in September 2018. It is always hard to trust the Ivey PMI.

GVI Trader john  14:05:30 GMT - 10/04/2018  
Factory Orders September 2018

+2.30% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. -0.80% (r )prev. rev.

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Canada Ivey PMI (sa) September 2018

50.4 vs. 62.3 exp. vs. 61.9 prev.
RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report

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dc CB  14:01:13 GMT - 10/04/2018  
come on baby
let's do the twist
come on baby
the Bernanke twist
never get's old
just do as you're told
do the twist

a round and a round we go
who's sellin' it, buyin' it
nobody knows
worked for us bsck then
so we're doin' it again
The Bernanke Twist, do the twist,

Euro Jumps On Report ECB Considering "Twist-Like" Operation

GVI 13:52:16 GMT - 10/04/2018  
ECB's Nowotny (Austria): dangers linked to Brexit are underestimated; there's danger a hard Brexit is becoming more relevant - Source

GVI 13:52:16 GMT - 10/04/2018  
ECB's Nowotny (Austria): dangers linked to Brexit are underestimated; there's danger a hard Brexit is becoming more relevant - Source

london red  13:32:48 GMT - 10/04/2018  
euro fade 11534 stop 11596 tgt 11435. if seen of course as not there yet.

GVI 13:25:52 GMT - 10/04/2018  
Russia Energy Min Novak: Can't rule out oil reaching $100/bbl

- Source

Mtl JP  12:38:52 GMT - 10/04/2018  
as expected player reaction: nil
lets see if quarles can be juiced for few pips in little over half an hour at 9:15

GVI Trader john  12:30:48 GMT - 10/04/2018  
US Weekly Jobless Claims


207K vs. 215K exp vs. 214K (r. 215K ) prev.

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Mtl JP  11:21:42 GMT - 10/04/2018  
Jay 10:01 - euro 1.1596 ... on which platty OR
wishful thinking freudian slip ?

UK JY  10:25:06 GMT - 10/04/2018  
Thanks ACC. I just checked and the FT story was out hours ago. It is probably the reason the gbp turned bid.

Sydney ACC  10:13:52 GMT - 10/04/2018  
FT reports Irish government backs May's plan for a customs union raising hopes for of breakthrough in Brexit talks

GVI Forex Jay Meisler  10:01:54 GMT - 10/04/2018  
GBPUSD 1.2979
No news that we saw to account for the sudden GBPUSD spike but assume there might have been some Brexit related headline. Key AT res is at 1.3023 and 1.30 is the obvious bias setter.

EURUSD 1.1496
EURUSD followed with a lag as EURGBP slipped, held a test of 1.1505, yesterday's late breakdown level. 1.15 the obvious bias setter as well.

Key levels and trading patterns all shown on the Amazing Trader

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP  20:58:44 GMT - 10/03/2018  
USDCAD HoD 1,2882
200dma1.2863 (according to chartpoints)
I am using 1.2871

ps / gap still not closed

Mtl JP  20:51:03 GMT - 10/03/2018  
wow ... faster mover
than I can post

Mtl JP  20:50:06 GMT - 10/03/2018  
GBP 1.2946
last frontier to pierce is 1.2939 before 1.2895

Mtl JP  20:42:49 GMT - 10/03/2018  
10yr 3.183

Mtl JP  20:41:40 GMT - 10/03/2018  
here we go ...
busting some old lines of support

Mtl JP  20:25:49 GMT - 10/03/2018  
time for 10yr to 4% +, pronto
from current 3.164%

time soon to test powell and gang's "stand ready to act with authority"

thks brother jerome
for euro testing 1.15 and gbp 1.2960

GVI 20:15:04 GMT - 10/03/2018  
Fed Chair Powell: We're very happy with where the economy is; unemployment is lowest in 20 years; inflation is right at target level - We're working hard to sustain economic expansion; expansion can continue for quite some time - US economy is remarkably positive - Expansion can continue for quite some time - Phillips curve may be resting but it's not gone away; expect to see continued gradual growth in wages - Source

dc CB  15:36:31 GMT - 10/03/2018  
rather another opportunity to short. Trumpster, once this SCOTUS BS goes by the wayside, will no doubt open his mouth about High Oil/Gasoline prices.

dc CB  15:27:57 GMT - 10/03/2018  
another reason to vote Republican this Nov....LOL
another chit added to the side of Not Crashing the Markets to get a Blue Wave. :))))))))

Livingston nh  15:07:49 GMT - 10/03/2018  
If markets were truly efficient nobody would make money -- oil is the poster child for DUMB

Livingston nh  14:54:35 GMT - 10/03/2018  
cb -- DUMB is DUMB // they play in a small playground with groupthink

dc CB  14:51:27 GMT - 10/03/2018  
be that as it may Crude is NOT tumbling on the nuz.

Livingston nh  14:49:01 GMT - 10/03/2018  
jp - market error --idiot idea that oil supply will be hindered - just plain stupid // the idea of the market discount wisdom is wrong more than 50% of the time

Mtl JP  14:43:31 GMT - 10/03/2018  
what market error ?
price correction more than corrected

Livingston nh  14:37:28 GMT - 10/03/2018  
another market error -- supply exceeds demand // wtf get it right ever // DEMAND is not ridsing like OPEC said

GVI Trader john  14:32:19 GMT - 10/03/2018  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: +8.000 vs. +1.100 exp vs. +1.900 prev.
Distillates: -1.800 vs. -1.700 exp vs. -2.200 prev.
Gasoline: -0.500 vs. +1.200 exp vs. +1.500 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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Mtl JP  14:07:22 GMT - 10/03/2018  
post ISM 10yr 3.091
go puppy gogogogo

Mtl JP  14:07:21 GMT - 10/03/2018  
post ISM 10yr 3.091
go puppy gogogogo

GVI Trader john  14:01:40 GMT - 10/03/2018  
U.S. ISM Services PMI September 2018
MORE: U.S. Data Charts

61.6 vs. 58.0 exp. vs. 58.5 prev.
Employment sub-component
vs. prev.


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GVI Trader john  13:46:28 GMT - 10/03/2018  
U.S. Markit final Services PMI September 2018
U.S. Data Charts

53.5 vs. 52.9 exp. vs. 52.9 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trader john  12:26:57 GMT - 10/03/2018  
September 2018 ADP beats estimates. Previous data revised up a touch.

GVI Trader john  12:17:06 GMT - 10/03/2018  
ADP very strong, but you can't trust it...

GVI Trader john  12:16:26 GMT - 10/03/2018  
U.S. ADP Private Employment September 2018
U.S. Data Charts


+230K vs. +185K exp. vs. +163K (r ) prev.

RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®

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GVI 11:13:22 GMT - 10/03/2018  
PM May: Will honour result of Brexit referendum - annual Tory conf - will never accept deal that keeps us in EU in all but name or carves off Northern Ireland- a no deal Brexit would be a bad outcome for the UK and EU; it would be tough - a no deal Brexit would introduce tariffs and costly checks at the border - we need to be a party for the whole country - the only path to a better future is one that we walk down together

- Source

Livingston nh  09:21:20 GMT - 10/03/2018  
"Growth will allow to create less deficit" -- Hope is not a plan

Banks in Italy and Spain are a PROBLEM

GVI Forex 09:16:37 GMT - 10/03/2018  
05:06 (IT) Italy Deputy PM Di Maio: 2019 deficit at 2.4% confirmed; govt mulling cutting Debt/GDP ratio after 2019

- There is wrong perception of Italy's govt
- Growth will allow to create less deficit
- Affirms €10B is minimum amount for citizen income
- Flat tax for small entrepreneurs very important

- Source

GVI Trader john  08:30:33 GMT - 10/03/2018  
GB Services PMI September 2018


53.9 vs. 54.0 exp. vs. 54.3 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trader john  08:00:59 GMT - 10/03/2018  
Final Service PMIs September 2018


EZ- Final Service PMIs September 2018
54.7 vs. 54.7 exp. vs. 54.7 (flash)
55.9 vs. 56.5 exp. vs. 56.5 (flash)

54.8 vs. 54.3 exp. vs. 54.3 (flash)
Markit PMI Press Release

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london red  07:57:28 GMT - 10/03/2018  
ahead of the data, cable support by 12972/82 with the main channel now rising to 12949 today, again imp on close. be wary of more headlines from tory conf, may to speak just after noon.

Mtl JP  20:07:28 GMT - 10/02/2018  
someone should tell kaplan that "neutral" is now passee ... it was only useful because the FED gang needed to provide its estimate when it talked about interest rates as “accommodative”

Now that “accommodative” is POOF so is along with it yikyak about neutral in light of jerome's mad race to sharpen his tool as he continues to push for higher rates so that "rates near zero make it more difficult to utilize this tool" (ref GVI 17:16) becomes easier to utilize.

I "intuitively estimate" (to borrow from jerome) that jerome would love to see his current "difficult to utilize" tool at least at around 4% before SHTF

GVI 19:41:19 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Fed's Kaplan (dove, non-voter): comfortable with one more rate hike in Dec - Q&A - Sees two more rate hikes in 2019 as base case- Favors keeping options open when rates reach neutral level - Source

Caribbean! Rafe...  19:01:13 GMT - 10/02/2018  
JP// DLRX is a EXCELLENT short in 3-4 days if not before:


GVI Trader john  18:06:17 GMT - 10/02/2018  
DJ +162
10s 2.067%
Equities bid. Mfg stocks

Mtl JP  18:02:54 GMT - 10/02/2018  
pic of ytd DLRX to devine into yr-end
I went to a minerals show this past week-end
a pure 9" glass crystal ball was selling for $250.00
a marble 6" ball was selling for $699.00
The peddler could not foretell which of the two would be better at telling future currency rates. duh!

So I am still using a Pendulum to take or leave a trade, sometimes I resort to Naturopathic finger-muscle testing to access information from my energy field.

Mtl JP  17:52:18 GMT - 10/02/2018  
US 2.823%
Ger.: -0.5874%
can it get nastier ?

Mtl JP  17:45:03 GMT - 10/02/2018  
no have crystal ball that reaches out to x-mass :(
all I can say , like sherlock, is that euro is in a sideway choppidy chop

Jkt Abel  17:30:51 GMT - 10/02/2018  
JP, what is your take for euro by xmas?

GVI Trader john  17:29:51 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Powell had little or nothing new market-moving to say. No surprise.

Mtl JP  17:25:13 GMT - 10/02/2018  
with that powell lets it slip he believes in the 8-11yr Lynx-Snowshoe Hare Cycle as he is racing to sharpen his "rates near zero tool"

no stutter no sweat no fainting; he seems straight and pragmatic shooter who does not like to have to remember lies

GVI 17:16:26 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Fed Chair Powell: Fed rates will continue to be main tool for monetary policy; rates near zero make it more difficult to utilize this tool - Q&A - Fiscal policy is providing real support to demand and probably will for the next couple years; there is still room for US fiscal policy to support to demand, but at the top of the cycle is a good time to consider getting our fiscal house in order

- Source

Mtl JP  17:15:01 GMT - 10/02/2018  
abel spread plays against euro uP
with the italian screaming euro forever or some similar crap sticking to donkeyhair it is a wonder euro is not at 0.25 or lower

Jkt Abel  17:05:38 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Euro back below 11550, a sell?

Mtl JP  17:03:12 GMT - 10/02/2018  
powell appears to be a savvy wordsmith ...
burring in bullsh!t the most important thing that "Gradual rate rises are meant to balance risks" and making tightening look not only inoffensive but robin-hoodian and himself "jerome the good" to boot

GVI 16:46:46 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Fed Chair Powell: inflation and unemployment forecasts are not too good to be true - comments at National Association for Business Economics (NABE) - There's a remarkably positive outlook for employment and inflation- Gradual rate rises are meant to balance risks- Wage increase does not point to overheat in the labor market or inflation risk- Phillips curve is not dead nor is it showing an inflation surge

- Source

GVI 15:34:01 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Sen Cornyn (R-TX): Senate may lack the votes to approve USMCA

- Source

GVI 14:03:18 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Moody's places on review watch for downgrade; ratings cut may not be limited to one notch - Source

Caribbean! Rafe...  12:55:55 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Better for them to throw wooden chairs all over the place.

london red  11:21:45 GMT - 10/02/2018  
cable lower channel 12942/52. daily/weekly on close will likely be defended.

manila tom  10:34:19 GMT - 10/02/2018  
let's see whether he will say the same if euro keeps dropping to below parity, irreversible LMAO

PAR 10:24:41 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Conte trying verbal intervention on italian bond yields .

It is simple comme bonjour , if you are member of a club you have to adhere to the rules of the club .

GVI 10:16:01 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Italy PM Conte: Euro is our currency, irreversible - Italian Gov't respects EU institutions

- Source

GVI Trader john  09:00:49 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Eurozone PPI August 2018

mm: +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.40% (r +0.70%) prev.

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GVI Trader john  08:31:47 GMT - 10/02/2018  
UK Construction PMI misses.

GVI Trader john  08:30:35 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Construction PMI September 2018


52.1 vs. 52.8 exp. vs. 52.9 prev.

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GVI 15:22:31 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Brexit Min Raab: UK has indicated we would look at checks on regulatory side; goal remains for borderless Irish Sea - Irish backstop must have an end point; there shouldn't be a need for a backstop- EU's Barnier has started talking about technological solutions on Ireland; UK bringing up technology is powerful evidence base for the plans we've put forward

- Source

GVI Trader john  14:14:18 GMT - 10/01/2018  
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI September 2018
U.S. Data Charts


59.8 vs. 60.0 exp. vs. 61.3 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI

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hk win10  13:49:58 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Think UK is willing to make compromise to avoid the pound to fall to 1.1

GVI Trader john  13:46:42 GMT - 10/01/2018  
U.S. Markit final Mfg PMI September 2018

55.6 vs. 55.6 exp. vs. 55.6 prev.

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GVI Trader john  13:32:57 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Canada Final Markit PMI September 2018

54.8 vs. 56.8 exp. vs. 56.8 (r ) prev.

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GVI 13:26:57 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Fed's Bostic (dove, voter): job disruption is happening at a much faster pace

- Source

Mtl JP  12:59:24 GMT - 10/01/2018  
fwiw voting dove bostic yaks imminently

Mtl JP  12:52:40 GMT - 10/01/2018  
euro still sub 1.1630 w/ 1.1624 High
feeble digestion

GVI Trader john  12:46:57 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Market attempting to digest implications of Brexit headline just below. Is it real or not and what does it imply?

GVI 12:44:58 GMT - 10/01/2018  
UK said to plan compromise on Irish border; to accept some checks in Irish Sea to get Brexit deal - press - Source

GVI Trader john  09:36:36 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Japan Quarterly Tankan Survey 3Q18

Big Mfg +19 vs. +22 exp. vs. +21 prev.

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GVI Trader john  08:32:53 GMT - 10/01/2018  
GB MFG PMI stronger than expected.

GVI Trader john  08:31:15 GMT - 10/01/2018  
GB Manufacturing PMI September 2018
U.K. Charts


53.8 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.8 (r 53.0) prev.

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GVI Trader john  08:01:05 GMT - 10/01/2018  
EZ Final Manufacturing PMIs September 2018

mfg: 53.2 vs. 53.5 exp. vs. 53.5 flash
mfg: 53.7 vs. 53.7 exp. vs. 53.7 flash
mfg 52.5 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.5 flash

Markit PMI Press Release

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Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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