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Livingston nh  15:33:33 GMT - 11/10/2018  
Brexit -- "...during a two-hour meeting with the the EU’s deputy chief negotiator, Sabine Weyand, the member states’ representatives insisted they would not be steamrollered into accepting the agreement secured between the two negotiating teams.
They told the commission they would need around 72 hours to go through the text should there be an agreement in a sign of the growing nervousness over the prospect of giving away an all-UK customs union in the withdrawal agreement." Guardian

So May has a new development and you can sense both sides going into PANIC Mode - the UK domestic politics is still a shambles

haifa ac  06:58:41 GMT - 11/10/2018  
It is ALL TRUMP's fault!

dc CB  22:57:10 GMT - 11/09/2018  
the gods are angry .... and this is not a joke.
Prime RE in Los Angeles it burning

tweet CBS Los Angeles

GVI 21:51:07 GMT - 11/09/2018  
Reportedly UK and EU negotiators are working on a mechanism to review in July 2020 whether the backstop will need to be activated - Buzzfeed

- Source

GVI Trader john  18:04:05 GMT - 11/09/2018  
Baker Hughes Rig Count

Total: 1081 vs. 1067 (+14) prev.
Oil: 886 vs. 874 (+12) prev.
Canada: 196 vs. 198 (-2) prev.

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GVI 17:39:51 GMT - 11/09/2018  
Northern Ireland DUP Leader Foster: Cannot support the Brexit deal; this isn't about withdrawing support from the Tories

**NOTE: earlier: DUP Brexit Spokesman Wilson: Won't support current Brexit proposals; PM May is breaching her promises

- Source

GVI 16:43:16 GMT - 11/09/2018  
Government spokesperson: No plans for another Brexit Vote
-- wire service

GVI Forex 15:56:40 GMT - 11/09/2018  
GBPUSD slipped (and EURGBP firmed) after this came out

10:51 (UK) Junior Transport Min Jo Johnson resigns, says Brexit divorce deal will be 'terrible mistake' - press
- Believes what's being proposed on Brexit won't be anything like was promised two years ago
- Says UK on brink of biggest crisis since WWII

- Source

GVI Trader john  15:02:00 GMT - 11/09/2018  
data beats expectations, however weaker.

GVI Trader john  15:01:15 GMT - 11/09/2018  
Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index November, 2018

98.3 vs. 97.9 exp. vs. 98.6 prev

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment

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GVI Trader john  13:45:02 GMT - 11/09/2018  
10s 3.221%

GVI Trader john  13:39:23 GMT - 11/09/2018  
Hot number for PPI.

GVI Trader john  13:38:30 GMT - 11/09/2018  
U.S. PPI October 2018

Final Demand: +0.60% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% (r. ) prev.
Core: +0.50% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% (r. ) prev.

RELEASE: Producer Price Index

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london red  10:33:51 GMT - 11/09/2018  
eurgbp has been making lower lows each day into evening after an early minor rally which stayed below prev days high. key downside at 8696 and 8692. topside 8725 initially

GVI Trader john  09:53:14 GMT - 11/09/2018  
GBP stabilizes about unchanged after improving initially on the data. Focus now back on BREXIT amid concerns about the current May plan.

GVI Trader john  09:40:39 GMT - 11/09/2018  
nice call Red on fading any GBP weakness

GVI Trader john  09:39:34 GMT - 11/09/2018  
slew of UK data generally in line

GVI Trader john  09:38:51 GMT - 11/09/2018  
UK Output/trade October 2018


Industrial: 0.00% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. +0.20% (r) prev.
Manufacturing: +0.20% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. -0.20% prev (r -0.10%)
Visible Trade
Total: -9.7 vs. -11.4 exp. vs. -11.2 (r -11.7) prev

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GVI Trader john  09:36:01 GMT - 11/09/2018  
UK GDP-- 3Q18


Q/Q: +0.60% vs. +0.60 vs. +0.40% prev.
Y/Y: +1.50% vs. +1.50% vs. +1.20% Prev


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london red  07:32:19 GMT - 11/09/2018  
cable. 12975/80 12920. again mkt likely to buy those dips if seen today. uk data due london am may offer op.

london red  07:18:23 GMT - 11/09/2018  
eurgbp res by 8715/25/46. with may cabinet meet over wknd, mkt likely to fade rallies. but significant option related buying at 8696 (1.15 gbpeur)

Mtl JP  03:33:09 GMT - 11/09/2018  
re dc CB 20:35 In potentially groundbreaking news
and "Saudi Arabia ... .. ... its massive oil output" in particular
1) potential(ly) is one of the biggest burdens around. There is massive chasm between "potential" and realization.

2) news: one can bet that "news" is really no news at all and is probably many months old already if not not much more. To those that it really matters anyway.

3) "its massive output" - exactly what is meant by "output"; exactly how massive is it; what is the maximum output capacity (trying to find out without getting head chopped off); is it independently and un-encumbered-ly verifiable ?

Qtn.: are the saudi's benevolent ? what is in it for them to let this cat outta da bag now - it only an evaluation (haha) afterall; would they publish it IF it showed a dis-advantage to them ? would the "top government-funded think tank" dare conclude nega-effect ? love that "top" category, nothing less than top. Naturally.

Livingston nh  21:53:50 GMT - 11/08/2018  
jp - Hedging against profit?? - I am sure there are winners out there -- Thanksgiving for Bears, Christmas for Bulls may be true this year/// CAD @ 1.32 maybe, finally, soon?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler  20:55:58 GMT - 11/08/2018  
dc, just so you know. My post last night was not directed at you but rather to encourage more participation by our many who just view.

dc CB  20:35:41 GMT - 11/08/2018  
In potentially groundbreaking news - which failed to generate a market response as it hit at the same time as the FOMC statement - Saudi Arabia’s top government-funded think tank is said to be studying the possible effects on oil markets of a breakup of OPEC, a research effort which the WSJ called "remarkable" for a country that has dominated the oil cartel for nearly 60 years.

Saudi Arabia Is Evaluating A Break Up Of OPEC

Mtl JP  20:18:24 GMT - 11/08/2018  
nh here is a problem...
it is with aggregates:

Hedge funds are on pace for the worst annual year since Lehman Brothers went bankrupt

Mtl JP  20:00:49 GMT - 11/08/2018  
Canada govt... that would be either freeland or justin OR both

GVI Forex 19:48:17 GMT - 11/08/2018  
USDCAD firmer

14:47 (CA) Canada govt reportedly disagrees with some US changes to trade deal text - press

- Canadian sources believe some text the US is putting forward is not what Canada agreed to
- Doesn't feel issue would wreck new deal but shows tensions remain
- Source

Mtl JP  19:39:21 GMT - 11/08/2018  
to err is... ehm.. human
for a change Gartman is in the green so far today as stox r down some IF he syrvived the early surge uP (stop/loss)

Livingston nh  19:30:59 GMT - 11/08/2018  
The hair on fire folks who were all over the media suggesting the Fed would need to go slow because the STOX breached MAs and earnings were going to decline and etct etc - that turmoil

Mtl JP  19:25:06 GMT - 11/08/2018  
nh what turmoil ... IF u r not dealer 5O% margin ?

london red  19:17:40 GMT - 11/08/2018  
8698 is 1.15 gbpeur fwiw. no hourly close below thus far. mkt will continue to sell blips as believes deal soon, but plenty of option related trade holding up the pair at this level.

Livingston nh  19:11:05 GMT - 11/08/2018  
Not even a nod to the STOX "turmoil" -- so much for go slow

As part of watch "what they do not what they say" - the Money supply and the Balance sheet info on Thursdays tells a tale about the Fed actions

GVI Trader john  19:00:38 GMT - 11/08/2018  
U.S. Fed Policy Decision November 8, 2018

Fed Funds Target Ranage holds steady at 2.00% to 2.25%

RELEASE: Policy Statement

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PAR 15:44:20 GMT - 11/08/2018  
Don't think Draghi will give up so easily . ECB already preparing new stealth QE in the form of new LTROs for struggling European banks .
I. e. for almost all European banks .

Draghi is a kind of pyromaniac .

First he destroys the banks ( and European savers) with negative interest
rates and then he helps the banks with LTRO ' s .

After Draghi things can only get better .

london red  15:35:37 GMT - 11/08/2018  
facebook just filled gap

GVI Trader john  15:30:40 GMT - 11/08/2018  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts

(BCF) +65 vs: +57 expected

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GVI 15:25:06 GMT - 11/08/2018  
EURUSD ran through upside stops on this

ECB's Draghi: we are now at the point where we anticipate that we will end net asset purchases at the end of the year

- The financial stability environment in the euro area overall remains favourable, but it has become somewhat more challenging in recent months.

- While we are now at the point where we anticipate – subject to incoming data confirming our medium-term inflation outlook
– that we will end net asset purchases at the end of the year, significant monetary stimulus will still be needed to ensure the continued sustained convergence of inflation to levels that are below, but close to, 2% over the medium term
- The latest incoming information overall suggests that the broad-based expansion in the euro area, and in Ireland, is set to continue.

- Inflation to continue to converge towards goal - Significant monetary stimulus will still be needed

- Source

GVI Trader john  13:31:22 GMT - 11/08/2018  
US Weekly Jobless Claims


214K vs. 214K exp vs. 214K (r. +215K) prev.

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GVI 11:05:38 GMT - 11/08/2018  
GBPUSD slips on this

UK Foreign Minister Hunt: Brexit deal within the next 7 days would be pushing it - Source

dc CB  23:37:59 GMT - 11/07/2018  
WashPost cont:

In its ruling Wednesday, the three-judge panel declared the district unconstitutional and found that the state intended to lessen the influence of GOP voters by replacing them with Democrats in violation of the First Amendment right to political association.

“The massive and unnecessary reshuffling of the Sixth District, involving one-half of its population and dictated by party affiliation and voting history, had no other cause than the intended actions of the controlling Democratic officials to burden Republican voters by converting the District” into a Democratic one, Niemeyer wrote in his 59-page opinion.

The court ruling came a day after Democrat David Trone defeated Republican Amie Hoeber by a wide margin in that district, in what was considered the most competitive of Maryland’s House contests.
In a deposition in the case, former governor Martin O’Malley, a Democrat, was blunt about the partisan mapmaking he oversaw, saying Democratic leaders intentionally redrew the districts to try to give their party an advantage.
“Yesterday’s results confirm what we’ve been saying all along. The 6th District isn’t really competitive for Republicans,” said attorney Michael B. Kimberly, who represents the group of Maryland Republicans.

The ruling rejected the argument from the attorney general’s office that Democratic leaders intended only to make the 6th District more competitive.

“It is impossible to flip a seat to the Democrats without flipping it away from the Republicans,” Niemeyer wrote. “There can be no doubt that at every stage of the process, the State’s Democratic officials who put the 2011 redistricting plan in place specifically intended to flip control of the Sixth District from Republicans to Democrats and then acted on that intent.”

dc CB  23:32:58 GMT - 11/07/2018  
But that is not the Sessions Out effect. The Senate is still Repub...and it's that body that does the Confirmations of every thing Judicial.
At the core of the issue is the 6th District in Western Maryland, which was redrawn in 2011 to include parts of heavily Democratic Montgomery County. Democratic mapmakers moved hundreds of thousands of voters from Western Maryland out of the 6th District and added Democrats from Montgomery.

The lawsuit was brought by seven Republican voters who lived in the 6th District before the boundaries were reset.

Washington Post

Federal judges in gerrymandering case toss Maryland’s congressional voting map

dc CB  23:21:47 GMT - 11/07/2018  
dc CB 20:14 GMT November 7
network and cable NUZ ratings wer reported to be UP double digits.
Not sure how this will make U money, short of shortin' Corporate Media, which wud be a long slog.
BUT one of the Winners in this MidTerm Election cycle cud be the ALT MEDIA's ---- 60 Minutes Morley and Mike all rolled up in low budget Crusader.
Keep and eye on this guy. His Internet Only -hidden cam 60mins Style reporting helped knock some Big Playas OUT of the game last night.

Project Veritas- James O'Keefe

Non-Citizens Voting in Texas? "We got TONS of them" Says Election Official on Undercover Video

dc CB  22:03:58 GMT - 11/07/2018  
Mtl JP 20:50 GMT
LOL---- Tulips anyone?
yup--- a few good seeds, a small plot, water, sun, a bit of knowhow, and the average gardner can grow near a pound of bud. That's the jist of the Legal/Illegal game. Taxes and Money.
Why pay the StoreFront Legalized seller $300 or more ounce...which apparently what it sells for in "legalized states.

But that is not the Sessions Out effect. The Senate is still Repub...and it's that body that does the Confirmations of every thing Judicial. The House may be "lost"...but they have to RunAgain in 2years...Senate term is 6yrs, so that's thru the end of The Orange One's 2nd term. And he's been around the WashDC block a few times now and is not blindly looking to get someone...anyone...CONfirmed.

Mtl JP  20:50:11 GMT - 11/07/2018  
sessions effect :
I am close to VT so I get Burlington radio. I was wondering why I am hearing all these "we got everything to grow your own" ads.
that is until I saw the press release
green stocks, I note, are thru da ruff 2

dc CB  20:14:03 GMT - 11/07/2018  
network and cable NUZ ratings wer reported to be UP double digits.
Today's presser Launches---Season Three: The Apprentice - The White House, with more than a dab of WWF (world wrestling).
NUZ outlets know what sells --- 24/7/365 That's All Folks fothe next 2 years.

Tom: Powell front and center. can he hold a candle to Trumpmania?

GVI Trader john  20:01:32 GMT - 11/07/2018  
Reserve Bank of New Zealand


Rates held steady at 1.75%, as expected.

RELEASE: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

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dc CB  19:55:15 GMT - 11/07/2018  
Sessions...fwiw. The repubs Lose all the commitees that have been "investigating" WHOT HAPPENED during 2016, 2017, and still in 2018. But they have until Jan to do stuff. With the holidays fast approaching the ques is Will They.

GVI 19:47:59 GMT - 11/07/2018  

GVI 19:04:21 GMT - 11/07/2018  
House Min Leader Pelosi (D-CA): will strive for bipartisanship and seek common ground with the GOP

- Confirms has spoken with Pres Trump about infrastructure plan; Democrats want to create jobs with infrastructure; plan could address water systems, roads, high speed broadband, schools and housing
- Democrats want to lower prescription drug prices
- Trump administration should withdraw lawsuit against Obamacare as show of goodwill - Source

GVI 17:52:33 GMT - 11/07/2018  
DUP official Wilson: DUP *very* unhappy tonight at suggestion NI could be tied more closely to EU under backstop - press Tweet

'We don't regard it as palatable, it would be totally unacceptable and breach any promise that was made of not breaking up the UK. She knows the consequences.' - Source

GVI Forex 15:55:59 GMT - 11/07/2018  
Crude is sharply lower after inventory data and USDCAD is following (higher)

GVI Trader john  15:49:08 GMT - 11/07/2018  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: +5.600 vs. +2.100 exp vs. +3.200 prev.
Distillates: -3.500 vs. -2.800 exp vs. -4.100 prev.
Gasoline: +1.900 vs. -2.600 exp vs. -3.200 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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GVI Trader john  15:00:17 GMT - 11/07/2018  
Canada Ivey PMI (sa) October 2018

61.8 vs. 50.9 exp. vs. 50.4 prev.
RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report

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GVI 13:12:10 GMT - 11/07/2018  
Planned update of Brexit for EU envoys said to be moved from Wednesday to Friday as EU awaits British decisions that are currently on the table - financial press

- Brexit negotiators from both sides looking at linking extension of transition period with Ireland backstop to make the latter more palatable to Britain - Source

GVI 11:08:18 GMT - 11/07/2018  
Draghi said to have told Italy Fin Min Tria to maintain discipline beyond EU fiscal rules at the recent European Finance Ministers meeting - financial press - Italy's high debt and low growth required fiscal prudence - Source

GVI 19:15:40 GMT - 11/06/2018  
Senior ministers said to have agreed on aim to reach Brexit deal with EU by end of Nov - BBC - Source

GVI 18:22:36 GMT - 11/06/2018  
Brexiteer MP Rees-Mogg (Conservative Party): there is no extension of the customs union which we can accept - Source

Livingston nh  16:57:30 GMT - 11/06/2018  
The Irish tail waggin' the bulldog

GVI 15:21:49 GMT - 11/06/2018  
BBC's Kuenssberg: cabinet has agreed that it would be 'a horror' to miss Nov Brexit deal deadline; it's not impossible but deeply undesirable - "Some ministers did urge PM to be hardline on need for limit to backstop +ability for UK to get out of it on its own, but s no big confrontation - ministers were presented a paper that set out difference btw November deal or waiting til December - it was confiscated at the end" - Source

GVI 15:20:29 GMT - 11/06/2018  
EU Brexit Negotiator Barnier: Need an all weather backstop to avoid hard border; No Brexit deal without operational backstop - Reiterates If a deal is reached on the backstop and sees decisive progress, will recommend a summit - The Brexit clock is still ticking, its time for UK to make choices- EU can improve on the backstop but it has to be genuine - Source

GVI Trader john  15:02:14 GMT - 11/06/2018  
September 2018 JOLTS Survey


7.009 vs.7.100 exp vs. 7.136 mn (r 7.293 )prev.

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GVI 14:21:01 GMT - 11/06/2018  
Ireland PM Varadkar: we want an orderly Brexit and transition period; we need to be creative getting to a deal; a review clause may be to our advantage - Source

GVI Forex Jay Meisler  13:53:46 GMT - 11/06/2018  
News algos react to headlines like this, which saw EURUSD dip

08:51 (IT) EU's Dombrovskis: Reiterates European Commission is considering sanctions against Italy if their budget doesn't change

- Source

GVI 13:13:52 GMT - 11/06/2018  
UK PM May Spokesman: We are negotiating in national interest, need to be satisfied deal is best we can get for UK; Nothing is agreed until everything is agreed

- It is still the case that even once the withdrawal agreement is agreed, it is subject to agreement of satisfactory future relationship framework

- Source

GVI Trader john  11:56:04 GMT - 11/06/2018  
Report that UK Brexit minister "gave a positive signal" to reporters when he left a meeting a short while ago was behind the latest GBP spike higher. Grasping at straws?

GVI Forex 10:16:26 GMT - 11/06/2018  
GBP just hit by this in anither Brexit whipsaw headine

05:11 (IE) Northern Ireland DUP's Donaldson: Appears we are heading for a 'no-deal' Brexit

- Source

GVI Trader john  10:02:36 GMT - 11/06/2018  
Eurozone PPI October 2018

mm: +0.50% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.40%) prev.

TTN: Live News Special

GVI Trader john  09:03:57 GMT - 11/06/2018  
mixed revisions. On balance up slightly.

GVI Trader john  09:03:03 GMT - 11/06/2018  
Final Service PMIs October 2018


EZ- Final Service PMIs October 2018
53.7 vs. 53.5 exp. vs. 53.5 (flash)
54.7 vs. 53.6 exp. vs. 53.6 (flash)

55.3 vs. 55.6 exp. vs. 55.6 (flash)
Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Forex Jay Meisler  22:56:06 GMT - 11/05/2018  
GBPUSD spikes higher

17:37 (EU) EU reportedly to offer compromise on the Irish border - UK's Times

- Source

GVI 18:29:30 GMT - 11/05/2018  
Senior EU official: there will not be backstop breakthrough this week - Ireland press - Source

GVI 18:13:28 GMT - 11/05/2018  
In closed door meeting Euro Zone finance ministers reportedly urged Italy Fin Min Tria to change Italy's budget plan - press - Source

GVI 16:05:01 GMT - 11/05/2018  
PM May spokesperson: there are still outstanding and significant issues relating to Irish backstop, work is ongoing to resolve them

- Source

GVI Trader john  15:01:26 GMT - 11/05/2018  
U.S. ISM Services PMI October 2018
MORE: U.S. Data Charts

60.3 vs. 59.0 exp. vs. 61.6 prev.
Employment sub-component
59.7 vs. 62.4 prev.


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GVI Trader john  14:46:14 GMT - 11/05/2018  
U.S. Markit final Services PMI October 2018
U.S. Data Charts

54.8 vs. 54.7 exp. vs. 54.7 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI 13:12:11 GMT - 11/05/2018  
Bank of Canada (BOC) Gov Poloz: Policy rate will need to rise to neutral stance - comments from London - Source

Mtl JP  12:28:54 GMT - 11/05/2018  
Players let themselves be led as a bull by a ring in its nose:

NOT A DONE DEAL Brexit deal latest – Theresa May has ’50/50 chance of striking agreement’ as deal deadline approaches - on FPage of the

THE SUN !! .... reporting a 50/50 chance ... this is what passes for market moving news : 50 / 50 chance means they know big fat azoonga

Mtl JP  12:12:58 GMT - 11/05/2018  
The news is: no news.
IF u trade GBP u need to know WHY.

Dubai MA  12:10:23 GMT - 11/05/2018  
Is there any Brexit news? gbp down?????

GVI 10:53:19 GMT - 11/05/2018  
Ireland PM Varadkar: Ideally would achieve a Brexit agreement by end-2018; UK divisions have made it hard to get a deal - Expect UK to stand by agreement - Source

GVI Trader john  09:31:06 GMT - 11/05/2018  
GB Services PMI October 2018


52.2 vs. 53.3 exp. vs. 53.9 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trader john  13:22:38 GMT - 11/04/2018  
If accurate, it looks like the EU has blinked. If the markets believe this, its good news fur GBP on Monday. This could be major.

GVI 13:15:54 GMT - 11/04/2018  
Reportedly PM May has secured private concessions from Brussels that will keep the whole of Britain in a customs union, avoiding a hard border in Northern Ireland; also on track for a "future economic partnership" (FEP) agreement with EU - UK Sunday Times

- The agreement is expected to placate remainer Tories and win over some Labour Party MPs

- Appeasing the Eurosceptic side, May is also reportedly making progress toward securing a political deal on a “future economic partnership” (FEP) with the European Union that will allow Britain to keep open the prospect of a Canada-style a free trade deal agreement with Europe.

- Source

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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