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Livingston nh  23:18:09 GMT - 11/12/2018  
The dreaded inflation "expectations" are anecdotally based -not market based (contrary to what the Fed "observes") - I use PAPER based coffee containers (once the imprinted metal/plastic gets a paper cover the price rises) // the 10 yr at 5.5% in 2020 AD

dc CB  22:42:24 GMT - 11/12/2018  
CPI --- food

anecdote: sunday at the supermarket - every "fresh orange juice" company has changed the size of their containers for the what used to be 1/2 gal, recently 59oz and now 52oz... same price.
Significant in that these companies had to design the container to look exactly like the larger old one AND retool their package machines. all in all a big expense --- Rather than simply raising the actual price --- which might upset the shopper.

Gee just like the FED has done with the USD over the many years.

Livingston nh  22:30:04 GMT - 11/12/2018  
OH - one more thing - ignore all the silly Tax Cut effect of a drop in oil price - population makes decisions on longer term issues

Livingston nh  22:14:19 GMT - 11/12/2018  
Folks have talked about the Bear market in oil --not a Bear Market until a 56 handle -- if we get there the Fed might start to notice // otherwise buckle up -- Weds may have CPI core running above 3% (PCE is irrelevant to economy)

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