Just checking the odds on a 25 bp Fed rate on December 19. The have eared to 70%. I believe I have seen the odds on a hike at this meeting as high as 90% about a month ago. These odds are a useful measure of market sentiment and are something the FOMC watches. Declining odds on a Fed rate for a meeting just one month away is a weight on the USD.
GVI Trader john 19:02:08 GMT - 11/19/2018
GVI Trader john 17:01:04 GMT - 11/19/2018
DJ -401 or -1.51%
NAS -181 or -2.52%
NY JM 15:46:16 GMT - 11/19/2018
Normally risk off = higher USD on flight to safety
UK JY 15:35:14 GMT - 11/19/2018
Risk off = weaker stocks = lower yields = weaker dollar
GVI Trader john 15:28:30 GMT - 11/19/2018
Livingston nh 13:03:25 GMT - 11/19/2018
Daily Dose of Brexit -- M. Barnier's gracious offer of an extension to 2022 is a sign that EU is concerned that UK will '"crash" - hoping that a longer transition will result in a change of heart // More TIME in any negotiation is usually futile when the Deal Breakers are so plain -- this offer is being considered as a positive by some in the UK and EU as a welcome ROAD BUILDING exercise as they desperately search for a CAN
Mon 19 Nov 2018
No Major Data Tue 20 Nov 2018 A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits Wed 21 Nov 2018 A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless A 13:30 US- Durable Goods A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan A 16:00 US- EIA Crude Thu 22 Nov 2018 AA US Holiday Fri 23 Nov 2018 AA JP- Holiday AA All Day Flash PMIs A 13:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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