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GVI Trader john  20:40:24 GMT - 11/19/2018  
Just checking the odds on a 25 bp Fed rate on December 19. The have eared to 70%. I believe I have seen the odds on a hike at this meeting as high as 90% about a month ago. These odds are a useful measure of market sentiment and are something the FOMC watches. Declining odds on a Fed rate for a meeting just one month away is a weight on the USD.


GVI Trader john  19:02:08 GMT - 11/19/2018  
DJ -494
10-yr 3.059%


GVI Trader john  17:01:04 GMT - 11/19/2018  
DJ -401 or -1.51%
10s 3.070%
CO $56.55
NAS -181 or -2.52%


NY JM  15:46:16 GMT - 11/19/2018  
Normally risk off = higher USD on flight to safety


UK JY  15:35:14 GMT - 11/19/2018  
Risk off = weaker stocks = lower yields = weaker dollar


GVI Trader john  15:28:30 GMT - 11/19/2018  
10s 3.067%
DJ -238
CO 56.18
Risk-Off


Livingston nh  13:03:25 GMT - 11/19/2018  
Daily Dose of Brexit -- M. Barnier's gracious offer of an extension to 2022 is a sign that EU is concerned that UK will '"crash" - hoping that a longer transition will result in a change of heart // More TIME in any negotiation is usually futile when the Deal Breakers are so plain -- this offer is being considered as a positive by some in the UK and EU as a welcome ROAD BUILDING exercise as they desperately search for a CAN


GVI Trader john  12:20:35 GMT - 11/19/2018  
10s 3.085%
DJ -39
CO 56.64

Mild Risk -Off


GVI Trader john  10:45:16 GMT - 11/19/2018  

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GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1421
Pivot Point: 1.1327

Last Week: 1.1216-1.1420
Mon: 1.1394-1.1429

Fri: 1.1263-1.1420
Thu: 1.1271-1.1362
Wed: 1.1263-1.1347
Tue: 1.1216-1.1258


20-day avg: 1.1375
50-day avg: 1.1514
100-day avg: 1.1564
200-day avg: 1.1813

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 72% (74%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.087% -0.3bp
DE: 0.383% +1.7
GB: 1.407% -1.9
JP: 0.095% -1.1

DAX: -3
Implied Open
DJ: -8
SP: +0.7



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GVI Forex Blog  10:02:51 GMT - 11/19/2018  

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 19 Nov 2018
No Major Data
Tue 20 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 21 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 22 Nov 2018
AA US Holiday
Fri 23 Nov 2018
AA JP- Holiday
AA All Day Flash PMIs
A 13:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


Monday Trading Strategy 19 November 2018






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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