GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale Fri 23 Nov 2018 AA JP- Holiday AA All Day Flash PMIs A 13:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 26 Nov 2018 AA 09:00 DE- IFO Climate Tue 27 Nov 2018 A 15:00 US- CB Cons Confidence Wed 28 Nov 2018 A 13:30 US- GDP A 15:00 US- New Homes Sales A 16:00 US- EIA Crude Thu 29 Nov 2018 A 09:00 DE- Employment A 13:30 US- PCE Deflator A 15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales A 19:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes Fri 30 Nov 2018 A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
holiday or not, wti smacked under 200 week now threatens 51.45 fib. any weakness under there and we get full retracenment to inverse shs neckline now around 47
GVI Trader john 10:47:02 GMT - 11/23/2018
Red- thanks I was just about to post that WTI continues to fall. Lots of oil in the system. Not sure if the Saudis continue to over-produce.
london red 10:50:27 GMT - 11/23/2018
saudis have no choice but to grin and bare it given assumed deal over khashoggi with trump...question of how far trump wants it before it eats too much into us production side. think 42-47 is where it needs to before it can base.
Mtl JP 11:09:57 GMT - 11/23/2018
john 10:47 I like to think it is the Russian. he said earlier he is NOT interested in coddling the s-arab about supplies
Mtl JP 11:21:57 GMT - 11/23/2018
U should hear the inefficient / un-savvy canadian oil producers AND politicians ranging from Alberta's premier Naughtley to canadian PM justin "pretty hair and sox" trudeau squeal and rage about what canadian crude is fetching, namely approx 40-50 bux under price of benchmark. (WCS getting between $10-15/bbl)
Smart and savvy (vertically integrated) producers are being made out to be villains in current market condition.
IF I think conspiratorially, I can appreciate the Russian rather enjoying watching the S/Arab getting less for his oil particularly as he is in need of cash to continue to buy Canadian and Murrikan toys of war and finance his socio-economic morphing ambitions.
GVI Trader john 11:26:07 GMT - 11/23/2018
Joe Lavorgna -- "Fed much too academic and too focused on the unemployment rate, but I feel Powell is starting to change".
My sentiments exactly.
GVI Trader john 11:55:37 GMT - 11/23/2018
GVI Trader john 13:13:41 GMT - 11/23/2018
another leg down. Bad for CAD
GVI Trader john 14:19:39 GMT - 11/23/2018
CO $ 51.32
GVI Trader john 15:47:53 GMT - 11/23/2018
Livingston nh 17:51:26 GMT - 11/23/2018
Light Volume Rally in SPX? tgt1 2655 / tgt2 2655
2/10 down spread ~22/23 - need a rally in 10 yr yield
The WORDS of Brexit should be flowing by the time NY opens Monday -- How much damage by today's close -
cable 1.27_ _??
Livingston nh 17:52:29 GMT - 11/23/2018
SPX tgt2 2670
london red 18:22:33 GMT - 11/23/2018
v bad price action on wti this last rally v quickly and firmly snuffed out...suggests elevator still stuck in dwn mode
Paris ib 19:13:02 GMT - 11/23/2018
Crack the 2600 level in the S and P and watch the fun and games begin. This year no Christmas rally.
Mtl JP 04:08:47 GMT - 11/24/2018
ib there are lots of types betting on a stocks heave
they been advertising their positioning for some time already
Livingston nh 16:06:36 GMT - 11/24/2018
Watch the rally start to get dissed - "No conviction" or "low volume rally", BULL TRAP -- look back just to the February sell-off, 7 to 8 weeks is about the norm // acrophobia in some sectors and loss of confidence (aka profit taking) BUT nothing has really changed yet - "experts" change the yak to fit the market, e.g., UP "climbing the wall of worry" so the wall is still there but the climbers are WHERE?
Oil price about the same as 12 mos ago -- ECB still a year away from a hike - whole new cast of characters coming on BOARD (brazil, germany, EU, mexico, etc.) -- USD and RATES RATES RATES
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Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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