Away from Europe - the USD grinds higher against MXN and pops against BRL -- Mexico may be the Turkey solution for US (maybe cheaper than a WALL) and Brazil gets a new sheriff, bracketed by two basket cases (Venezuela and Argentina) so maybe some foreign intervention in 2019 to the north (refugees/migrants)
Aussie poised to break below the rising 21 dma (crossing the 55 ema) -- MACD rolling over -- Finally?? back below 72
GVI Trader john 19:01:21 GMT - 11/26/2018
Equities off their HOD.
EURUSD and GBPUSD both looking heavy. Often a clear trend does not emerge until Wednesday.
GVI Trader john 14:55:27 GMT - 11/26/2018
GVI Trader john 14:38:53 GMT - 11/26/2018
As expected Draghi cautious on EZ economy, but so far saying nothing really new.
We continue to monitor equities. We often see buying on the NY open. Key is whether it follows through. DJ last +270.
GVI Trader john 13:33:46 GMT - 11/26/2018
Risk-On early Monday in pre-Open NY trade. Should be EURUSD positive if risk-on trading persists.
ECB's Draghi speaks shortly. Very recently he has been cautious about the EZ economy...
GVI13:03:01 GMT - 11/26/2018
Praet: the ECB may provide clarity on their reinvestment policy in December https://reut.rs/2KBHCKY
1. Before December's update it may be too early for Draghi to expand his headwind concerns and EUR is riding the Italian budget "offer" -- but Winter is coming
2. With the Brexit Finish Line in sight GBP seems to have found its footing - if markets fear uncertainty the weekend seems to have brought a simple current choice for investors - "Commons YES or NO"
YES is "Same old Same old" but NO is expected -- the lack of volatility so far indicates that little concern is expressed for the TOTAL uncertainty following a NO -- at the end of a long race Deep Snow usually appears just before the Finish Line so its rarely an easy trip
3. Powell speaks and like his ECB counterpart he awaits December update -- see if he tries to rein in the "irrational exuberance" for a 2019 pause before it gets out of control - yields need to pop to support the STOX rally
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 26 Nov 2018 AA 09:00 DE- IFO Climate Tue 27 Nov 2018 A 15:00 US- CB Cons Confidence Wed 28 Nov 2018 A 13:30 US- GDP A 15:00 US- New Homes Sales A 16:00 US- EIA Crude Thu 29 Nov 2018 A 09:00 DE- Employment A 13:30 US- PCE Deflator A 15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales A 19:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes Fri 30 Nov 2018 A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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