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GVI Trader john  18:11:15 GMT - 01/04/2019  
Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1075 vs. 1083 (-8) prev.
Oil: 877 vs. 885 (-8) prev.
Canada: 76 vs. 70 (-6) prev.


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GVI Trading 16:09:51 GMT - 01/04/2019  
Dow rallies more than 650 points as Powell says the Fed will be patient with rate hikes... CNBC


GVI Trader john  16:00:55 GMT - 01/04/2019  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: `0.0 vs. -2.300 exp vs. -0.500 prev.
Distillates:+9.500 vs. +2.600 exp vs. 0.000 prev.
Gasoline: +6.900 vs. +2.300 exp vs. +3.000 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



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GVI Trader john  15:55:15 GMT - 01/04/2019  
10s 2.661%
DJ +577

conversation turning theoretical...


GVI 15:52:25 GMT - 01/04/2019  
Powell EARLIER

Fed Chair Powell: Welcomes wage data, it doesn't raise inflation concerns; Always prepared to shift policy and shift it significantly if necessary - panel discussion

- Fed ready to shift policy quickly and flexibly; ready to use all of our tools - If we need to make changes that could include the balance sheet, as well

- Markets are pricing in downside risks and are well ahead of the data

- Fed will take downside risks into account as we make policy going forward - Financial markets have been sending signals on concerns about downside risks such as policy uncertainty and trade risks - Reiterates there is no preset path for policy

- We'll be patient and watch to see how economy evolves

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trader john  15:37:40 GMT - 01/04/2019  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) -20 vs: -46 expected

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GVI Trader john  14:45:29 GMT - 01/04/2019  
U.S. Markit final Services PMI December 2018
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
54.4 vs. 53.4 exp. vs. 53.4 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release


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Livingston nh  13:44:44 GMT - 01/04/2019  
NFP Revisions were up - earnings UP - Unemployment rate quirked to the Upside on "new improved" Seasonal Adjustment stats


GVI Trader john  13:42:54 GMT - 01/04/2019  
Canada data mildly disappointing.


Mtl JP  13:42:39 GMT - 01/04/2019  
not look .. trade
yield s uP


GVI Trader john  13:41:32 GMT - 01/04/2019  
Very strong U.S. data on the face of the data, but I would like to look into the data a little deeper.


GVI Trader john  13:38:30 GMT - 01/04/2019  
Canada EMPLOYMENT December 2018



NEWS ALERT

Jobs: +9.3k vs. +5.5K exp. vs. +94.1K prev.
Full-Time -18.9K vs. n/a exp. vs. +89.9 exp
Rate: 5.60% vs. 5.60% exp. vs. 5.60% prev.



RELEASE: StatCan Monthly Employment Report





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GVI Trader john  13:35:03 GMT - 01/04/2019  
U.S. Employment December 2018







ALERT

NFP Jobs:
+312K vs. +183K exp. vs. +155K (r +176K) prev.
Rate: 3.90% vs. 3.70% exp. vs. 3.70% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary


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GVI Trader john  10:11:54 GMT - 01/04/2019  
Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) December 2018





ALERT
Headline
yy: +1.60% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. +1.9% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.



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GVI Trader john  09:38:29 GMT - 01/04/2019  
German November 2018 Jobless data in line. (lower is better). Unemployment rate steady.




GVI Trader john  09:32:16 GMT - 01/04/2019  
GB Services PMI December 2018




-- NEWS ALERT --

51.2 vs. 50.7 exp. vs. 50.4 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release



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HK [email protected]  09:28:15 GMT - 01/04/2019  
.
RRR cut= attempt boosting growth=Boosting AUD.


GVI 09:24:45 GMT - 01/04/2019  
CHINA CUTS RESERVES RATIO (RRR) BY 100 BPSeffective Jan 25th - Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trader john  09:02:56 GMT - 01/04/2019  
Final Service PMIs December 2018





ALERT

EZ- Final Service PMIs December 2018
51.2 vs. 51.4 exp. vs. 51.4 (flash)
Germany
51.8 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.5 (flash)

France
49.0 vs. 49.7 exp. vs. 49.7 (flash)

Italy
50.5 vs. 50.1 exp. vs. 50.3 (flash)



Markit PMI Press Release



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GVI Trader john  08:57:58 GMT - 01/04/2019  
German Unemployment December 2018




NEWS ALERT
Rate:5.00% vs. 5.00% exp. vs. 5.00% prev.
Change:-14K vs. -12K exp. vs. -16K (r ) prev.


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dc CB  17:13:34 GMT - 01/03/2019  
And the New Congress Opens for Bidnes.
First thing they do:
WYDEN RE-INTRODUCES BILL REQUIRING TRUMP TO RELEASE TAX RETURNS


Mtl JP  16:23:28 GMT - 01/03/2019  
As in any negotiation, he who opens mouth first: LOSES
jerome can NOT blink tomorrow else he LOSES

"a little bit of volatility, speaking in the abstract, doesn't probably leave mark on economy" - jerome just 2 weeks ago (ref link in my 20:08 GMT January 1, 2019)


NY JM  16:16:58 GMT - 01/03/2019  
Fed will pause. See of Powell gives a signal tomorrow.


NY JM  16:16:58 GMT - 01/03/2019  
Fed will pause. See if Powell gives a signal tomorrow.


Livingston nh  16:05:25 GMT - 01/03/2019  
The mistake would be to pause before yields go above CPI - the economy is still growing (Q4 ISM avg was 57, lowest of the year) -- we need to move out of the Money Swamp


london red  15:32:52 GMT - 01/03/2019  
whatever his thought process or how he got there it seems the trumpster is right, the fed has made a mistake! when will the first cut get priced in...


GVI Trader john  15:17:06 GMT - 01/03/2019  
Weak data. See blue line below. This should be noticed at the Fed.


GVI Trader john  15:02:17 GMT - 01/03/2019  
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI December 2018
U.S. Data Charts




News ALERT

54.1 vs. 57.5 exp. vs. 59.3 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


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GVI Trader john  15:02:16 GMT - 01/03/2019  
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI December 2018
U.S. Data Charts




News ALERT

54.1 vs. 57.5 exp. vs. 59.3 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


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GVI Trader john  13:31:33 GMT - 01/03/2019  
US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

231K vs. 220K exp vs. 216K (r. 221K ) prev.


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GVI Trader john  13:18:37 GMT - 01/03/2019  
U.S. ADP Private Employment December 2018
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT

+271k vs. +175K exp. vs. +179K (r +157k) prev.


RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®



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GVI 12:55:18 GMT - 01/03/2019  
Fed's Kaplan (dove, non-voter): Favors taking no action the first few quarters in 2019; personal forecasts for GDP have come down a bit - financial press

- Markets reacting to global growth decelerating; US unlikely to be immune to China growth slowdown

- Fed should be patient and take stock of recent developments
- Financial conditions have tightened

- What the Fed does in 2019 will be more significant than what it did in 2018- The question of a rate cut have not

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trader john  09:31:11 GMT - 01/03/2019  
Construction PMI December 2018




-- NEWS ALERT --

52.8 vs. 52.8 exp. vs. 53.4 prev.



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GVI Trader john  17:22:50 GMT - 01/02/2019  
Overnight Chinese PMIs went into the contraction and caused much worry earlier today.

The less reliable China NBS PMI missed . It is now the "50" boom or Bust line. The more reliable Caixin PMI also is in the contraction zone.

China NBS PMI Chart


Livingston nh  14:52:50 GMT - 01/02/2019  
PMI NOV 55.3?


GVI Trader john  14:45:16 GMT - 01/02/2019  
U.S. Markit final Mfg PMI December 2018





ALERT
53.8 vs. 53.9 exp. vs. 53.9 prev.


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GVI Trader john  14:30:28 GMT - 01/02/2019  
Canada Markit PMI December 2018





ALERT
Headline
53.6 vs. n/a exp. vs. 54.9 (r ) prev.



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Offer



GVI Trader john  09:40:20 GMT - 01/02/2019  
GB Manufacturing PMI December 2018
U.K. Charts







-- NEWS ALERT --

54.2 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 53.1 (r ) prev.





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GVI Trader john  09:01:00 GMT - 01/02/2019  

EZ Final Manufacturing PMIs December 2018





ALERT
EZ
mfg: 51.4 vs. 51.4 exp. vs. 51.4 flash
Germany
mfg: 51.5 vs. 51.5 exp. vs. 51.5 flash
France
mfg: 49.7 vs. 49.7 exp. vs. 49.7 flash

Italy 49.2 vs. n/a exp. vs. 49.6 flash



Markit PMI Press Release



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Mtl JP  16:23:55 GMT - 01/01/2019  
Finally ... maybe ... Xi's got it thru to his head:

China’s Xi issues a message for Trump: We’ve got to cooperate - cncbc, dec 31

All that is left now is demonstrable cooperation by Xi, over and above his "honey on the lips" platitudes.

The other thing to watch out for is IF President Trump is going to fall for Xi's b/s.


GVI 23:00:46 GMT - 12/29/2018  
(UK) Trade Secretary Fox says there is a 50/50 chance that the Brexit may be stopped if Parliament votes against the deal proposed by the govt - Sunday Times

**NOTE: the UK Parliament's "meaningful vote" on the Brexit deal proposal is expected in the week of Jan 14th. - Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trader john  19:48:46 GMT - 12/28/2018  
DJ +158
10s 2.74%


GVI Trader john  18:07:06 GMT - 12/28/2018  
Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1083 vs. 1080 (+3) prev.
Oil: 885 vs. 883 (+2) prev.
Canada: 70 vs. 131 (-61) prev.


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GVI Trader john  16:00:59 GMT - 12/28/2018  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -0.500 vs. -2.900 exp vs. -0.500 prev.
Distillates: 0.00 vs. -1.200 exp vs. -4.200 prev.
Gasoline: +3.000 vs. +0.300 exp vs. +1.800 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



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GVI Trader john  15:30:19 GMT - 12/28/2018  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) -48 vs: -52 expected

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GVI Trader john  15:01:39 GMT - 12/28/2018  
PHS miss


GVI Trader john  15:00:39 GMT - 12/28/2018  
U.S. Pending Homes Sales November, 2018



ALERT
-0.7% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. -2.60% (r ) prev.



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GVI Trader john  14:46:18 GMT - 12/28/2018  
Chicago PMI December 2018



NEWS ALERT
65.4 vs. 61.0 exp. vs. 66.4 prev.


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GVI Trader john  15:01:14 GMT - 12/27/2018  
U.S. Conference Board Survey December 2018




NEWS ALERT
128.1 vs. 133.7 exp. vs. 135.7 (r ) prev.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data



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GVI Trader john  13:31:09 GMT - 12/27/2018  
US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

216K vs. 220K exp vs. 214K (r. 217K) prev.


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Livingston nh  16:34:22 GMT - 12/26/2018  
the little guys got out and the market will go up w/o them -- maybe the vaunted hedge funds can make some money


haifa ac  16:31:16 GMT - 12/26/2018  
" Mutual fund outflows rose to $56B"

1. where do these 56 b go now?
2. what do they do if the market starts rallying--chase it back?
3. This outflow is from winning positions or losing ones?


GVI 16:24:41 GMT - 12/26/2018  
(US) Mutual fund outflows rose to $56B in week ended Dec 19th, biggest week of outflows since Oct 2008 - ICI - Source TradeTheNews.com


Mtl JP  15:42:31 GMT - 12/26/2018  
weak regional...
is a shocking understatement
-
in the meantime the Presidential scream to BTFD appears to be falling of deaf ears as stocks are basically just wallowing


GVI 15:23:20 GMT - 12/26/2018  
White House Econ Adviser Hassett: Fed Chair Powell's job is not in jeopardy; Powell is 100% safe - Fox Business interview

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trader john  15:02:37 GMT - 12/26/2018  
Another weak regional U.S. sentiment Survey.


GVI Trader john  14:59:39 GMT - 12/26/2018  
U.S. Richmond Fed Index December 2018




NEWS ALERT
-8 vs. +16 exp. vs. +14 prev.


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GVI Trader john  14:01:59 GMT - 12/26/2018  
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Case Shiller-20 October 2018
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
5.03% vs. 4.80% exp. vs. +5.20% prev.


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Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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