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AT Trader 15:10:33 GMT - 08/14/2019  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -2.800 vs. -2.800 exp vs. +2.400 prev.
Distillates: -1.538 vs. +1.000 exp vs. +1.500 prev.
Gasoline: -1.412 vs. +0.30 exp vs. +4.400 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report





AT Trader 08:34:43 GMT - 08/15/2019  
U.K. Retail Sales July 2019



-- NEWS ALERT --

x-fuel & autos
mm: +0.20% v -0.20% exp. vs. +0.9%% (r +0.80%) prev.
Headline
mm: +0.20% v -0.30% exp. vs. +1.00% (r +0.90%) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales




AT Trader john  08:43:01 GMT - 08/15/2019  
U.K. retail sales stronger than expected. Once again it appears the data were leaked.


AT Trader john  09:10:38 GMT - 08/15/2019  
HK cutting GDP forecasts and announcing a broad stimulus program. --wires


AT Trader john  09:12:33 GMT - 08/15/2019  
china threatens countermeasures to U.S. Tariffs on September if implemented. -wires


AT Trader john  10:06:46 GMT - 08/15/2019  
China fails to specify what "countermeasures" would be undertaken against the Trump tariffs.


GVI Forex 11:03:31 GMT - 08/15/2019  
GBPUSD backing off highs after

German Government sees a no deal Brexit on October 31, preparations for this are "largely completed" according to Handelsblatt citing a German Finance Ministry document... source Ransquawk


GVI Forex 11:33:28 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Equities soiked higher on a comment from China;s foreign ministry spokesman saying he hopes US can meet China halfway on trade issues.... source Ranbsquawk


dc CB  11:56:40 GMT - 08/15/2019  
OOOOOOOOCHINA Buy Algos Engaged.
turbo boost set to fire at 9:30 to reach high orbit for the day.


dc CB  11:58:40 GMT - 08/15/2019  
OPEX tom...gotta Zero Out all those PUTS that got swallowed yesterday. Wash Rinse Repeat


Dubai MA  12:08:55 GMT - 08/15/2019  
N ews on cable???


dc CB  12:19:16 GMT - 08/15/2019  
*XI, TRUMP IN TOUCH VIA MEETINGS, PHONES, LETTERS: CHINA MOFA

didn't they use this script on Tues morning?


AT Trader 12:40:53 GMT - 08/15/2019  
U.S. Philly Fed Index July 2019



NEWS ALERT
+16.8 vs. +10.1 exp. vs. +21.8 prev.






Empire PMI August, 2019



NEWS ALERT
4.8 vs. 1.2 exp. vs. +4.3 prev.







+++++++++





U.S. Retail Sales July 2019



ALERT
Headline: +0.70% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% (r +0.30%) prev.
Core (x-a) +1.0% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.40% (r 0.30%)prev.







AT Trader 12:45:16 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
220K vs: 212K expected vs. 209K (r 211K)



AT Trader 13:05:11 GMT - 08/15/2019  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims remain low.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Chart



AT Trader 13:20:49 GMT - 08/15/2019  
U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization July 2019 "45" height="25">

ALERT
Ind Production: -0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. 0.00% (r ) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 77.5% vs. 77.9% exp. vs. 77.9% (r 77.80% ) prev.

RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization





GVI Forex 13:25:20 GMT - 08/15/2019  
US president Trump says a US_China trade deal has to be a deal on US terms... source Ransquawk


Mtl JP  13:28:28 GMT - 08/15/2019  
As if ... Is there some other way ?


GVI Forex 13:50:37 GMT - 08/15/2019  
EURUSD dives on this

ECB's Rehn very dovish --- ECB needs a significant anbd impactful easing oackage in September (rate cuts and bond purchases)


AT Trader 14:01:06 GMT - 08/15/2019  
U.S. NAHB Index August 2019



NEWS ALERT
66.0 vs. 66.0 exp. vs. 65.0 (r) prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index




AT Trader 14:31:23 GMT - 08/15/2019  
EIA U.S. Natural Gas
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) +49 vs: +58 expected



AT Trader 18:12:51 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Report Powell bans staff from any public appearances, so as not to fuel battle between Trump and independent Fed according to "Spectator".




AT Trader 18:13:56 GMT - 08/15/2019  
I find this story hard to believe until I see some details


AT Trader 18:19:17 GMT - 08/15/2019  
"Jay Powell, the Federal Reserve Chairman, has banned any public appearances by any member of the Fed, Cockburn hears. Appearances at conference have been canceled, all scheduled interviews have been abandoned and any comments on or off the record are outlawed..."

Powell orders media blackout for Fed staff



Livingston nh  18:22:56 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Interesting - Jackson Hole is next week and the Agenda of Speakers, topics and times was not released


Livingston nh  18:25:52 GMT - 08/15/2019  
and nothing public by the Fed - News and Events


AT Trader john  18:31:51 GMT - 08/15/2019  
This is weird. Ive never been comfortable with the mixed policy messages from the Fed. i have felt they should take a party line for the sake of consistency, but this sends a strange message. I wonder if some members will resign?


Minneapolis DRS2  18:52:29 GMT - 08/15/2019  
The Fed brought this upon themselves. They are not independent (their policy would change in an instant if a new president came along), and it appears that they are not competent at what they are trying to do.

Are they corrupt as well? You be the judge.


dc CB  18:53:30 GMT - 08/15/2019  
 
plausable. Ya think --- what IF, one of these FED Mouths, during a public appearance, they get asked --"What About" DB?

Any answer cud be problematic, no answer dud be worse.


dc CB  19:19:37 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Livingston nh 18:22 GMT
Interesting - Jackson Hole is next week

Look back at the JHoles 2009 and later, and how Gentle Professor Ben Bernanke used JH to do a QE hint, annc, Twist.


Mtl JP  19:20:11 GMT - 08/15/2019  
boo-wa-hahaha
03:10 Fed's Bullard: There is a global slowdown and we will have to assess how it will affect U.S. MarketWatch


dc CB  19:23:49 GMT - 08/15/2019  
guess Bullard didn't get the memo

BULLARD: WE CAN GET THROUGH THIS IS WE PLAY OUR CARDS RIGHT

BULLARD: DESPITE A "BIG SELLOFF" MARKET IS UP THIS YEAR, AND A REPRICING MIGHT HAVE BEEN EXPECTED

BULLARD: FED DOESN'T NEED TO TAKE INTER-MEETING ACTION

BULLARD: SAYS WILL NOT PREDJUGE SEPTEMBER MEETING, BUT HAS EYE ON TIPS BREAKEVEN SHOWING LOW INFLATION EXPECTATIONS


Mtl JP  19:31:28 GMT - 08/15/2019  
unless there one nasty public slapping and beating of bullard to put him in his place and he repents to demonstrate who is the king...

maybe it is powell who has already resigned
and the prince is already prancing n dancing


dc CB  19:35:19 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Tyler Durden agrees with that.
Bullard: Mr. President, pick me for Fed chair and I can get you negative rates by 3pm this afternoon... with nail polish


Mtl JP  19:42:30 GMT - 08/15/2019  
who has resigned from the FED:

stanley fisher and janet y come to mind...
probably not a happy place if janet's resignation is any witness


Mtl JP  19:52:25 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Oh oh oooohhh ...
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
Biden doesn’t have a clue! I will solve the China problem!

does that not imply that Xi has no clue either ??


Livingston nh  19:53:24 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Whatever the source the OPEX dazed stox reacted to the bond mkt -- mission accomplished -- headline roulette

SO now the Fed has a new charge to deny - algos believe ANYTHING - "Artificial" intelligence indeed
_____
GE accuser may find he is in the DOCK


Mtl JP  19:53:56 GMT - 08/15/2019  
ieeha
30yr 1.966 % -0.061


Livingston nh  19:56:45 GMT - 08/15/2019  
JP - into the close the ONLY govvie above 2% is the 1 month bill


Mtl JP  19:58:35 GMT - 08/15/2019  
munchkin s da hero !
and laughing and laughing and laug...


Livingston nh  20:01:44 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Most of the governors of the Fed bail out early - resignation is not unusual as they go for the BUX


dc CB  20:10:41 GMT - 08/15/2019  
 
DB closed at $6.44- on the low.


dc CB  20:17:23 GMT - 08/15/2019  

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
3h3 hours ago

The Fake News Media is doing everything they can to crash the economy because they think that will be bad for me and my re-election. The problem they have is that the economy is way too strong and we will soon be winning big on Trade, and everyone knows that, including China!


Livingston nh  20:20:12 GMT - 08/15/2019  
Put the gin back on the bar, give me the phone, go to bed


Mtl JP  00:42:10 GMT - 08/16/2019  
Donald J. Trump
Verified account

@realDonaldTrump
4h4 hours ago
Walmart, a great indicator as to how the U.S. is doing, just released outstanding numbers. Our Country, unlike others, is doing great! Don’t let the Fake News convince you otherwise.

Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
4h4 hours ago
“If they don’t get this Trade Deal with the U.S. done, China could have it first recession (or worse!) in years. There’s disinvestment in China right now. Also, the Fed is too tight (I agree).” Steve Moore, Heritage Foundation

could...


AT Trader 12:34:54 GMT - 08/16/2019  
U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) July 2019




NEWS ALERT
Starts:1.191 vs. 1.257 exp. vs. 1.250 (r ) prev.
Permits: 1.336 vs. 1.270 exp. vs. 1.230 (r) prev.

New Residential Construction




AT Trader 14:14:44 GMT - 08/16/2019  
Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index August 2019



NEWS ALERT
92.1 vs. 97.4 exp. vs. 98.4 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment




AT Trader 14:15:04 GMT - 08/16/2019  
big miss.


GVI Forex 14:25:34 GMT - 08/16/2019  
EURUSD spikes on a report that the German giovernment is prepared for deficit spending in case of a recession.


AT Trader 14:26:51 GMT - 08/16/2019  
Report German government SAID to be prepared for deficit spending IN CASE of a recession -- Der Spiegel


dc CB  14:39:25 GMT - 08/16/2019  
 
DB this morning


Mtl JP  14:42:16 GMT - 08/16/2019  
Livingston nh Interesting - Jackson Hole is next week and the Agenda of Speakers, topics and times was not released

Market "hopinglings" - or your KIDZ - are speculating that the Fed has "more work to do" - ie cut - in Sep

The FED (and ECB and BoJ & Co) have one main goal in mind when they cut rates: coerce and induce peasants into spending their money. more moRE

Never mind that interest is supposed to reflect risk of not getting money back


Mtl JP  15:28:18 GMT - 08/16/2019  
eh-um... big miss.
means folks r waiting for more moRE FED inducement and coersion
jerome's donkey is bent over a barrel


Mtl JP  17:21:11 GMT - 08/16/2019  
Baker Hughes reports a rise in the U.S. oil-rig count for the first time in 7 weeks

the number of active U.S. rigs drilling for oil rose by 6 to 770 this week


AT Trader 17:32:40 GMT - 08/16/2019  
Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 935 vs. 934 (+1) prev.
Oil: 770 vs. 764 (+6) prev.


nw kw  20:48:18 GMT - 08/16/2019  
U.S. rigs drilling fence posts holes...


Mtl JP  12:30:51 GMT - 08/18/2019  
Livingston nh // Interesting - Jackson Hole is next week and the Agenda of Speakers, topics and times was not released //

Challenges for Monetary Policy

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City hosts dozens of central bankers, policymakers, academics and economists from around the world at its annual economic policy symposium, Aug. 22-24, 2019, in Jackson Hole, Wyo.

Agenda will be forthcoming.

My prediction of "Agenda":
jerome yaks at 10am on the faitfull day
the yak's agenda - oh how I love that term "agenda" - will be to throw reluctance and caution to the wind and get people and businesses to spend speND SPEND! their money.


--
In the meantime for some wanking relief googl "jackson hole symposium":

Here's what Powell could say at Jackson Hole to soothe the roller coaster markets - CNBC.com

Week ahead: Jackson Hole, Fed and ECB minutes, Italy - Financial Times

The World Is Waiting for Powell’s Signals: Global Economy Week - bbrg

Take Five: Fed in a hole - Reuters






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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