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PAR 14:24:55 GMT - 09/11/2019  
Why doesn't he fire Jerome Powell.

Trump = paroles, paroles, paroles


dc CB  14:05:44 GMT - 09/11/2019  
pretty much to the point, from the guy who's made billions on borrowed money.

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump

The Federal Reserve should get our interest rates down to ZERO, or less, and we should then start to refinance our debt. INTEREST COST COULD BE BROUGHT WAY DOWN, while at the same time substantially lengthening the term. We have the great currency, power, and balance sheet.....
3:42 AM - 11 Sep 2019

....The USA should always be paying the the lowest rate. No Inflation! It is only the naïveté of Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve that doesn’t allow us to do what other countries are already doing. A once in a lifetime opportunity that we are missing because of “Boneheads.”
3:42 AM - 11 Sep 2019



Livingston nh  11:59:46 GMT - 09/11/2019  
The o/n yield recovery has reversed // re: stox - y/y comparisons are favorable for the next few months even if market stands still BUT the New hi new Lo wkly indicator should be watched for narrowing at New MKT price records

There are too many inherent financial and economic contradictions in Fed policy


Mtl JP  11:39:37 GMT - 09/11/2019  
winners and losers
dreams and nightmares
--------------------------
a ~5 standard deviation

a ~5 standard deviation



Mtl JP  11:35:46 GMT - 09/11/2019  
hmm audious / wishful? thinking
their career longevity has direct correlation to Group Think


Livingston nh  11:26:17 GMT - 09/11/2019  
jp - yes but only in the provinces (e.g., Boston, KC and Cleveland) -- some of the serfs in the regulated industry and even some rebel econ wizards in various Ivory Towers might rise to break the influence of Group Think


Mtl JP  11:15:44 GMT - 09/11/2019  
there are potential rebels at the Fed ??


Livingston nh  11:04:22 GMT - 09/11/2019  
cb - there was a period back in the Dark Ages before QE enlightenment when mortgages and their hybrid offspring led to big moves in Treasurys despite the Fed

An ECB that abandons Draghi would be a good first step and, perhaps, bolster the resolve of potential rebels at the Fed



UK JU  08:22:27 GMT - 09/11/2019  
Market is finally waking up to the ECB meeting tomorrow.


PAR 06:24:41 GMT - 09/11/2019  
German parliament considering vote forbidding ECB to apply negative interest on German bank deposits and to fordid German banks to apply negative interest rates on customer deposits.

The logic is that negative rates are not monetary policy but fiscal policy and that the ECB is not authorized to tax German companies and citizens.

NIRP did not create inflation, did destroy the European banking sector, did not help the economy and hurt savers and pensioners.

The only institution benefitting from the NIRP was the ECB itself and its gigantic bureaucracy in its mega-expensive Frankfurt tower.


dc CB  00:51:27 GMT - 09/11/2019  
This divergence, as Kolanovic describes it, "has only occurred on two days in history" and most recently was recorded on one day in February 1999 during the tech bubble.

So what happens next? Or as Kolanovic notes, "many clients are asking how long this rotation can last." Indeed, if duration and low vol are now effectively one and the same trade, there is a long ways to go, with a non-trivial chance that we end up with the biggest VaR shock in history if the 30Y has yet to catch down to the momo bloodbath.
+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_

zerohedge
‏ @zerohedge
8m8 minutes ago
A $150 Billion Global Corporate Bond Binge Smashed Records https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-06/a-150-billion-global-corporate-bond-binge-is-smashing-records …

How do you hedge rate risk on a corporate bond: you short the Treasury.

The refi wave is ending, and the buying of TSY will resume


GVI Forex 22:29:33 GMT - 09/10/2019  

The highlight of the week will be Thursday’s ECB meeting where a stimulus package is widely anticipated. The question is whether the ECB will meet, surpass or fall short of market expectations? Logic says given markets have been trading on an easing of policy since the last ECB meeting, a disappointment would likely see the bigger reaction.

Forex View: Will the ECB Disappoint?



nw kw  16:23:36 GMT - 09/10/2019  
bund fell bigtime, cfd.


Livingston nh  15:43:18 GMT - 09/10/2019  
Dull markets replace Tweets w/ rumors (BoJ, ECB)

See if Powell gets a turn // Smoke in the Treasury market?


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  15:20:30 GMT - 09/10/2019  
EURUSD 1,1050

All we have heard was vague talk of a hawkish ECB report. We have not heard any details (if any) but EURUSD has moved higher.


GVI Forex Blog  14:03:50 GMT - 09/10/2019  

The highlight of the week will be Thursday’s ECB meeting where a stimulus package is widely anticipated. The question is whether the ECB will meet, surpass or fall short of market expectations? Logic says given markets have been trading on an easing of policy since the last ECB meeting, a disappointment would likely see the bigger reaction.

Forex View: Will the ECB Disappoint?






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