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AT Trader 12:35:49 GMT - 09/20/2019  
Retail Sales July 2019
Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Retail Sales
Headline: +0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs.0.00% (r -0.1% prev.)
X-Autos: -0.1 vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.90% (r prev.)






HK [email protected]  00:30:37 GMT - 09/20/2019  
.
An attack 180 degrees away from the right targets.

So markets will say: It sucks!!!


Mtl JP  23:42:24 GMT - 09/19/2019  
about an hour + old so...

Reuters / Saudi-Led coalition launches military operation north of Hodeidah in Yemen


Mtl JP  20:21:57 GMT - 09/19/2019  
oh... goodie good:

Mr Juncker said a no-deal Brexit would have "catastrophic consequences" and said he was doing "everything to get a deal".

And he said he did not have "an erotic relation" to the so-called backstop



Mtl JP  20:16:22 GMT - 09/19/2019  
haha Sky News
Jean-Claude Juncker: 'We can have a deal'

sure ... 'can have a deal' is still on the list of options BUT
'can have' is NOT 'We have' nor 'will have'iti

It is how folks fall victim to induced thinking and language semantics


dc CB  19:39:14 GMT - 09/19/2019  
[email protected]
28m28 minutes ago

N.Y. FED TO CONDUCT REPO OPERATIONS FOR FOURTH STRAIGHT DAY


Livingston nh  18:17:26 GMT - 09/19/2019  
An Aside - The Supreme Court in the UK is being invited into a terrible position // as an outsider I see the absence of the Monarch's position in the exercise of prorogation as a critical failure -- my understanding is this is a Royal perrogative

The Court never raised this issue -- does the Court have the authority to over rule the Monarch?


Livingston nh  17:59:50 GMT - 09/19/2019  
Cable at this level deserves an initial position (sell) -- well above 89EMA - BREXIT is nothing next to the long term political Prorogation ruling by Court (if you can't enforce don't take it)


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  17:37:59 GMT - 09/19/2019  
Juncker Brexit comments boost GBP although to me he spoke out of both sides of his mouth (reaction is what matters as it focuses on we can have a deal).


Boston RS  17:09:15 GMT - 09/19/2019  
Correction

Brexit news out? Donít type and drive


Boston RS  17:06:02 GMT - 09/19/2019  
Brexit need out????????


swiss frank  14:42:56 GMT - 09/19/2019  
John, sent. check you spam folder maybe. Haha....


Mtl JP  14:05:08 GMT - 09/19/2019  
He who knows, does not speak. He who speaks, does not know.
- Lao Tzu


HK [email protected]  13:46:32 GMT - 09/19/2019  
.
Smelling like some big names in W.S. are going turtle.

Probably got entangled in their derivatives trades. hehehe


HK [email protected]  13:42:34 GMT - 09/19/2019  
.
The simple message is get out of the system, run for your life, buy physical gold silver maybe platinum.


dc CB  13:39:48 GMT - 09/19/2019  
With the Fed's repo operation oversubscribed for the second day in a row, as $9BN in liquidity requests remained unfulfilled by the $75BN operation, it is perhaps not a surprise that as the funding shortage persists, today's effective fed funds rate printed at 2.25%, which while down from 2.30% yesterday, was for the second day in a row above the top end of the range, in this case by 25bps above the top of the Fed's new rate corridor of 1.75% - 2.00% (when accounting for yesterday's 25bps rate cut).

ZH


HK [email protected]  13:39:21 GMT - 09/19/2019  
.
This Repo seems to go on to the trillions of dollars, as sovereigns are likely included.

Seems all will get bankrupt simultaneously.



Provo John  13:38:55 GMT - 09/19/2019  
Frank, email me please.


GVI Forex 13:18:30 GMT - 09/19/2019  
Good summary by Tallinn and why GB{ has been supported.

Tallinn viies 20:38 GMT September 18, 2019
eurusd: Reply
eurgbp 200 day simple moving average at 0.8840. close below a sign?
I think market has understood finally that UK have 2 options left.
swallow the pride and leave with an areement what EU is offering (as EU has said from the beginning that UK can leave but new conditions for participating in common market should be worser than in EU. otherwise new countries want to leave and this could be an end of EU).
option nr 2 go the EU and ask extension.
no more options left.


swiss frank  13:18:05 GMT - 09/19/2019  
Sorry strike that last bit please. I was just told I could go to jail or fined or worse if I send it anywhere.....


swiss  frank   13:14:26 GMT - 09/19/2019  
I have another one that makes some sense but its kind of long and I'd need to send it by email somewhere.....


HK [email protected]  13:12:50 GMT - 09/19/2019  
.
swiss frank

Thanks!!!


swiss frank  13:11:18 GMT - 09/19/2019  
RF have a look at this

Panic In Interest Rates



Dubai MA  13:06:37 GMT - 09/19/2019  
Any news out on cable?


HK [email protected]  13:00:23 GMT - 09/19/2019  
.
Can anyone explain, what is the cause of the enormous cash shortage in the banking system.
It has been going already for few days.


dc CB  12:53:56 GMT - 09/19/2019  
put another way --- Almost $90BILLION in CASH needed to cover OVERNIGHT obligations went WITHOUT....."more please" didn't cut it.

LOOK Squirrel look


dc CB  12:42:53 GMT - 09/19/2019  
Repo: $83.875bln sought $75.000lbn (Max Limit)

Rate went off within the 'bounds' 1.90 - 1.80



AT Trader 12:32:40 GMT - 09/19/2019  

U.S. Philly Fed Index September 2019



NEWS ALERT

12.0 vs. +10.8 exp. vs. +16.8 prev.


++++++++++++++++++++++++


Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
208K vs: 210K expected vs. 204K (r 206K )



AT Trader 11:08:10 GMT - 09/19/2019  
No surprises from BOE.


AT Trader 11:01:25 GMT - 09/19/2019  
September 19, 2019 Bank of England Policy Decision







-- NEWS ALERT --

Policy: Repo rate steady at 0.75%
Vote: 9-0
Bank of England





AT Trader john  18:22:32 GMT - 09/18/2019  
September 18, 2019

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in July indicates that the labor market remains strong and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate. Job gains have been solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Although household spending has been rising at a strong pace, business fixed investment and exports have weakened. On a 12-month basis, overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy are running below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. In light of the implications of global developments for the economic outlook as well as muted inflation pressures, the Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to 1-3/4 to 2 percent. This action supports the Committee's view that sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective are the most likely outcomes, but uncertainties about this outlook remain. As the Committee contemplates the future path of the target range for the federal funds rate, it will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook and will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion, with a strong labor market and inflation near its symmetric 2 percent objective.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.

Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair, John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; Richard H. Clarida; Charles L. Evans; and Randal K. Quarles. Voting against the action were James Bullard, who preferred at this meeting to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to 1-1/2 to 1-3/4 percent; and Esther L. George and Eric S. Rosengren, who preferred to maintain the target range at 2 percent to 2-1/4 percent.

Implementation Note issued September 18, 2019


dc CB  18:20:44 GMT - 09/18/2019  
[email protected]
4m4 minutes ago

hang on... hang on... unnamed fabricated sources on hiatus from the NYT report that Kashkari would have voted for a 250bps rate cut if he was voting this year


AT Trader john  18:16:34 GMT - 09/18/2019  
10yr 1.761% vs 1.751% beforehand.


AT Trader john  18:11:48 GMT - 09/18/2019  
Looks to me like the market came into the Feed decision long EURUSD. No major surprises from the FOMC..


dc CB  18:10:17 GMT - 09/18/2019  
And scene:

ZH headline:
Very Divided FOMC Cuts Rates As Expected, Fails To Address Liquidity Crisis


AT Trader 18:08:00 GMT - 09/18/2019  
U.S. Fed Policy Decision September 18, 2019





NEWS ALERT
Fed Funds Target Range lowered by 25bp to 1.750% to 2.000%

RELEASE: Policy Statement




Livingston nh  16:20:55 GMT - 09/18/2019  
JP- poli forum


Mtl JP  16:00:43 GMT - 09/18/2019  
market still nervous about a response
from who nh ?


Livingston nh  15:17:45 GMT - 09/18/2019  
WTI back inside last week's range -- market still nervous about a response


AT Trader 14:37:16 GMT - 09/18/2019  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +12.4 vs. -2.600 exp vs. -4.800 prev.
Distillates: +0.430 vs. -2.900 exp vs. +2.700 prev.
Gasoline: +0.781 vs. -0.100 exp vs. -0.680 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report





AT Trader 12:57:59 GMT - 09/18/2019  
Canada: CPI August 2019 easier (y/y)than expected.



AT Trader 12:42:12 GMT - 09/18/2019  
U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) August 2019




NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.364 vs. 1.250 exp. vs. 1.191 (r 1.215) prev.
Permits: 1.419 vs. 1.320 exp. vs. 1.317 (r) prev.

New Residential Construction




AT Trader 12:36:23 GMT - 09/18/2019  
Canada: CPI August 2019
Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
mm: -0.10% vs. 10.10% exp. vs. +0.50%% prev.
yy: +1.80% vs. +2.00% exp. vs. +2.00% prev.





AT Trader 09:00:20 GMT - 09/18/2019  
Eurozone final HICP (CPI)
August 2019





ALERT
Headline
yy: 1.00% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.
CORE
yy: +0.90% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.





AT Trader 08:54:42 GMT - 09/18/2019  
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. CPI August 2018
U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

CPI m/m: +0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. 0.00% prev.
CPI y/y: 1.70% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.







AT Trader 14:01:44 GMT - 09/17/2019  
U.S. NAHB Index Septembeer 2019



NEWS ALERT
68 vs. 66.0 exp. vs. 66.0 ( 67 r) prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index





haifa ac  13:55:10 GMT - 09/17/2019  
SAUDI OIL OUTPUT TO RETURN TO NORMAL QUICKER THAN THOUGHT: RTRS


GVI Forex 13:54:37 GMT - 09/17/2019  
Saudis indicating that full production may be restored quicker than expected has seen oil sell-off and fx mixed.


AT Trader 13:42:34 GMT - 09/17/2019  
WTI selling off after Saudi sources say oil will be back on line in 2-3 weeks -- Ransquawk


AT Trader 13:20:17 GMT - 09/17/2019  
U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization July2019"45" height="25">

ALERT
Ind Production: +0.60% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -20.00% (r -0.10%) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 77.9% vs. 77.6% exp. vs. 77.5% (r ) prev.

RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization








Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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