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Mtl JP  01:33:07 GMT - 01/11/2020  
dc CB 16:32/33 - so what ?
HOW do we make OR how do we protect from losing moolah ?
---------------------------------------------------------------------

Ok, so (I think) I get it: things are as they should be.

And right now - and as they have been for a while - markets are manipulated. I also think that I get that the Great Manipulator is the FED as it creates currency out of nihilo (exclusive statutory purview) and alloc-distributes it to its prefered corners in the market. We - the mushrooms/peasants - will have to wait 2 years (CB 22:06 Nov 14, 2019) to find out who its favorite children were graced with privileged risk-free profits.

Bottom Line
net current dynamic is that the mushrooms are happy , no euphoric, and in their happiness are enthusiastically obeying the FED's wish for "assets" moving higher in price. And schmeiß weg mit Value.

Manipulated corrupt markets make me nervous as mushroom next and around me also knows how fragile trust in price based on favoritism / corruption / privilege is when a sudden grip of questioning assets' Value possess the market.

I think I know HOW do we make but I am less confident about "how do we protect from losing moolah" surrounded as we are by ultra fast reacting unemotional algos and obediently genuflecting to the FED. peasants.

"Too Many Pigs, Not Enough Tits" - A.L.


dc CB  16:33:24 GMT - 01/10/2020  
link
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/pomo/operations


dc CB  16:32:31 GMT - 01/10/2020  
today's POMO - done
Primary Dealers sold back another 2.72bln chunk of that 1Y Bill that was issued on Jan 2, 2020.

Total accepted: $3.001
Total Submitted : $26.492


Mtl JP  16:23:36 GMT - 01/10/2020  
with 1.1117 euro sellers are poof!
- sherlock


Mtl JP  14:24:27 GMT - 01/10/2020  
with eurdlr 1.1086 LoD players now completely retracing original nega-dollar-reaction to NFP.

see if appetite for dlr continues to low eurdlr 1.10




HK Kevin  13:52:05 GMT - 01/10/2020  
Upside test and EUR 1.1120 GBP 1.3097 hold. Seem safe now
to buy USD


Mtl JP  13:48:23 GMT - 01/10/2020  
post-NFP what remains to be seen now is how far DLR's dip in direct correlation with the NFP dip persists or what else will - maybe - goose/boost it.

tia for calls


Mtl JP  13:34:11 GMT - 01/10/2020  
eurdlr went from 1.1092 to 1.1110 inside first minute
in reaction to an 18K negative miss


Mtl JP  13:30:50 GMT - 01/10/2020  
+145K


Mtl JP  13:19:35 GMT - 01/10/2020  
NFP
---
This release, like all other NFP releases, reflets measures of change in the number of people who held a job
in the previous month. Except in farming.

re "Direction is more significant than precise #"
trend - ie. direction - normally co-relates directly w/ the DLR
(if rising dlr rises)

But the magnitude of DLR's price reaction move has a statistical record relating to the size of the "miss" from the "expectation"

I am not chasing anything under 50K deviation from expectation, be it more or less.
because tactically speaking to trade the NFP release one also needs diabolically fast feed

 


AT Trader john  12:56:23 GMT - 01/10/2020  
EURUSD 20 day avg 1.1135. Above or below can be indicative of USD tone.


AT Trader john  12:47:32 GMT - 01/10/2020  
10s 1.858%+0.3bp
DJ +57
SP +9.2


AT Trader john  11:15:36 GMT - 01/10/2020  
Hearing newer (or just different?) consensus NFP forecast of +150K vs 164K. Direction is more significant than precise #. Unemployment seen at 3.60% or 3.50%.


AT Trader 11:03:49 GMT - 01/10/2020  
EARLY Friday
DJ: +69
SP: +9.0


2-yr 1.586% +0.1 bp
Spread 10s-2s +26.9 (+27.3 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.855% -1.8
UK: 0.812% -0.3
DE: -0.225% -0.4


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1092 (1.1107)
GBPUSD 1.3058 (1.3117)
EURGBP 0.8495 (0.8502)
USDJPY 109.62 (109.37)

This Week 1.1090-1.1206 (116) pips

fri: 1.1090-1.1111 (21)
thu: 1.1093-1.1121 (28)
wed: 1.1108-1.1168 (60)
tue: 1.1141-1.1198 (57)
mon: 1.1156-1.1206 (50)


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How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1135
50-day avg: 1.1090
100-day avg: 1.1063
200-day avg: 1.1139

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points







AT Trader john  10:47:13 GMT - 01/10/2020  

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 10 Jan 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment




dc CB  02:43:52 GMT - 01/10/2020  
Climaxing today with a 108 Point MAULING...that occured in the heaviest day of trading in the TWO Centuries of the New York Stock Exchange. Three Hundred Thirty Eight Million Shares.....want more

Marty Zweig says 'I was worried....but... didn't want to say FIRE in a crowded theater'

Broadcast Live Friday 8:30PM ET

Fri Oct 16, 1987



dc CB  23:03:56 GMT - 01/09/2020  

Sven Henrich

@NorthmanTrader

The Fed's BS dance:
1. Repo is just a temporary thingy for a couple of weeks.
2. Oops, let's raise it to $120B
3. Oops, let's do it through January
4. Oops, let's do it through April

Don't believe a word they say.
Don't believe me? Check their dot plots for the past 10 years.
469
9:49 AM - Jan 9, 2020

The lunatics are running the asylum and they pretend to be the sane ones.



Mtl JP  22:32:07 GMT - 01/09/2020  
"Ayes 330" / "Noes 231"
beaten out by massively more "meghexit" headlines
on my screen


AT Trader 22:00:09 GMT - 01/09/2020  
Late Thursday
DJ: +212
SP: +21.7


2-yr 1.583% 0.0 bp
Spread 10s-2s +27.3 (+28.4 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.856% -1.8
UK: 0.812% -1.2
DE: -0.225% -0.4


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1106 (1.1107)
GBPUSD 1.3064 (1.3117)
EURGBP 0.8501 (0.8502)
USDJPY 109.50 (109.37)

This Week 1.1093-1.1206 (113) pips

thu: 1.1093-1.1121 (28)
wed: 1.1108-1.1168 (60)
tue: 1.1141-1.1198 (57)
mon: 1.1156-1.1206 (50)
fri: 1.1125-1.1181 (56)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1135
50-day avg: 1.1090
100-day avg: 1.1063
200-day avg: 1.1139

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points







AT Trader john  18:27:12 GMT - 01/09/2020  

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 10 Jan 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment







Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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