• Global growth crushed with weak rebound.
• Chinese recovery leading but to struggle and weaken medium term.
• Two coals getting belted
• Iron ore likely to slide lower on:
1. weak Chinese property pipeline;
2. big Chinese steel overhang;
3. post-monsoon supply ramp up;
4. longer term supply normalisation.
• Gold up but largely offset by base metals
• LNG crushed but direct offset in oil.
When we add education and tourism falls, the trade deficit will likely turn negative despite squashed consumer.
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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