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Mtl JP  18:06:38 GMT - 07/17/2020  
john 17:03

au contraire !



Mtl JP  17:06:48 GMT - 07/17/2020  
short while ago munchkin blew some bubbles about considering blanket forgiveness for smaller PPP loans


AT Trader john  17:03:34 GMT - 07/17/2020  
if they are still at lunch in Brussels now, they will be in no condition to work later??


AT Trader john  16:56:09 GMT - 07/17/2020  
EU negotiators are at lunch. Some sort of press conference is expected later. They meet again tomorrow.


Mtl JP  15:03:11 GMT - 07/17/2020  
the EU Commission leaders are now deep in a two-day meeting
with a goal of hacking out relief and rescue agreement:
-- some version approximating €500bn in grants, €250bn in loans - so that the EU
economy can continue marching on a solid rebound path (despite the ugly gift from china).

Expect post-meeting self-accolades about progress.

Can say similar enthusiastic words about US congressional yapping about
some 4th stimulous bill and final week of $600 unemployement "benefit" ?

=

EURO 1.1420
Technically the puppy is somewher beteen "niaaahh and bullish"
Sup around 1.14 / 1.1385/75
Res 1.1450. Above that 1.1495 (march high)
IF it were to pop N of the 1.1495 and hold ..
look for ~100pip rally


PAR 10:37:10 GMT - 07/17/2020  
Back to the DDR and Soviet Style central planning. Merkel has a nostalgia for communist systems. The older she gets the more communist she becomes.

Maybe it is better for Europe for Russia to join. Russia has experience in going from a central plan economy to a free market economy.

Europe is moving in the other direction, from a free-market economy to a central plan economy which will lead to a gigantic misallocation of capital into unproductive investments.


Mtl JP  10:13:33 GMT - 07/17/2020  
blast from not so distant past
"climate change chancellor":
-
“How Europe fares in this crisis compared to other regions of the world will determine both the future of European prosperity and Europe’s role in the world,” - acording to merkel

"The depth of the economic fallout calls on us to move quickly." "nobody makes it through this crisis alone. We are all vulnerable.

"We must not be naive: in many member states, opponents of Europe are just waiting to misuse the crisis for their ends,"

"We must show them all where the added value of cooperation in the EU lies, and we must show that a return to nationalism means not more, but less control,"

about the €750bn proposal to be distributed in grants and loans fly-trap candy: "It is very important that the worst affected regions can count on our solidarity, it is in our own interests to show that,"
- merkel

we are all vulnerable ... role in the world... control...

what , do you think , the brexit brits know ?


AT Trader john  09:44:29 GMT - 07/17/2020  
Re: EU Summit today and tomorrow. Now hearing a lot of talking heads chatter about "kicking the can down the road". Someone said that Merkel's "real" deadline is the end of summer.

Any insights here?


AT Trader john  09:03:18 GMT - 07/17/2020  
Friday: MIXED RISK
DJ: 26,585 -26
SP: 3,202.5 -4.5

2-yr 0.143% -0.4 bps
Spread 10s-2s +46.7 bps (+46.75 bps)
10-yr

US: 0.610% -0.2
UK: 0.153% +1.4
DE: -0.457% +1.4

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1408 (1.1399)
GBPUSD 1.2554 (1.2566)
EURGBP 0.9086 (0.9072)
USDJPY 107.13 (107.19)

This Week 1.1452-1.1301 (151 pips)
fri: 1.1410-1.1375 (35)
thu: 1.1443-1.1371 (72)
wed: 1.1452-1.1387 (65)
tue: 1.1410-1.1325 (85)
mon: 1.1375-1.1301 (74)

20-day avg: 1.1280
50-day avg: 1.1158
100-day avg: 1.1053
200-day avg: 1.1054

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points







AT Trader john  08:43:07 GMT - 07/17/2020  

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 17 July 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
AA 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan




Mtl JP  21:38:14 GMT - 07/16/2020  
US new Covid infections rate
as published and generally accepted by msm
-
rolling daily average for last 5 days: 55-60,000/day

I am starting to think we ll be , soon, again seeing gov't stomping on folks with confinement to house orders, w/ excemptions to "essential" ones


AT Trader john  20:10:28 GMT - 07/16/2020  
FWIW, the key 20-day moving average for EURUSD of 1.1280 is still comfortably out of range Late Thursday in NYC.


AT Trader john  20:06:44 GMT - 07/16/2020  
LATE Thursday: RISK-OFF
DJ: 26,735 -135
SP: 3,215.6 -11.0

2-yr 0.147% -0.8 bps
Spread 10s-2s +46.5 bps (+46.7 bps)
10-yr

US: 0.612% -1.8
UK: 0.140% +0.1
DE: -0.466% +0.5

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1379 (1.1399)
GBPUSD 1.2553 (1.2566)
EURGBP 0.9063 (0.9072)
USDJPY 107.36 (107.19)

This Week 1.1452-1.1301 (151 pips)
thu: 1.1443-1.1371 (72)
wed: 1.1452-1.1387 (65)
tue: 1.1410-1.1325 (85)
mon: 1.1375-1.1301 (74)
fri: 1.1325-1.1255 (70)

20-day avg: 1.1280
50-day avg: 1.1158
100-day avg: 1.1053
200-day avg: 1.1054

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points







AT Trader john  14:47:26 GMT - 07/16/2020  

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 17 July 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
AA 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan







Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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