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AT Trader john  14:00:35 GMT - 09/18/2020  
Leading Indicators August, 2020



NEWS ALERT
+1.20% vs. +1.30% exp. vs. +1.40% prev.




Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index September, 2020



NEWS ALERT
78.9 vs. 75.0 exp. vs. 74.1 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment




AT Trader john  12:32:06 GMT - 09/18/2020  
Retail Sales July 2020




NEWS ALERT
Retail Sales
Headline: +0.60% vs. 0.8% exp. vs. 23.7% (r prev.)
X-Autos: -0.40% vs. 0.5% exp. vs. 15.7% (r prev.)






Mtl JP  22:37:40 GMT - 09/17/2020  
WOW !! I am impressed:
Weekly Jobless Claims: 860,000 vs 825,000

under a million. a MILLION !
it appears trump and jerome are doing something right

=

As donkeyhole economist is fond of saying on the other hand:
(remember the promise: the meek shall inherit)
A majority of young adults in the U.S. live with their parents for the first time since the Great Depression
..."In July, 52% of young adults resided with one or both of their parents, up from 47% in February,

according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of monthly Census Bureau data.



AT Trader john  12:31:01 GMT - 09/17/2020  
Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

860,000 vs 825,000 expected vs. 884,000(r )



=========================




U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) August 2020



NEWS ALERT


Starts: 1.416 vs. 1.470 exp. vs. 1.500 (r ) prev.
Permits: 1.470 vs. 1.510 exp. vs. 1.500 (r) prev.

New Residential Construction



==================


U.S. Philly Fed Index September 2020



NEWS ALERT


15.0 vs. +15.0 exp. vs. +17.2 prev.





GVI Forex 11:08:22 GMT - 09/17/2020  
BOE discussion on negative rates has seen GBP fall.


AT Trader john  11:05:15 GMT - 09/17/2020  
No surprise from BOE.


AT Trader john  11:00:13 GMT - 09/17/2020  
September 17, 2020 Bank of England Policy Decision







-- NEWS ALERT --

Policy: Repo rate steady at 0.10%
Vote: 9-0
Bank of England





AT Trader john  09:01:42 GMT - 09/17/2020  
Eurozone final HICP (CPI) August 2020





ALERT
Headline
yy:-0.2% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.
CORE
yy: +0.4% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.





AT Trader john  18:26:35 GMT - 09/16/2020  
For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT


The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals.

The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. Economic activity and employment have picked up in recent months but remain well below their levels at the beginning of the year. Weaker demand and significantly lower oil prices are holding down consumer price inflation. Overall financial conditions have improved in recent months, in part reflecting policy measures to support the economy and the flow of credit to U.S. households and businesses.

The path of the economy will depend significantly on the course of the virus. The ongoing public health crisis will continue to weigh on economic activity, employment, and inflation in the near term, and poses considerable risks to the economic outlook over the medium term.

The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. With inflation running persistently below this longer-run goal, the Committee will aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2 percent for some time so that inflation averages 2 percent over time and longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored at 2 percent. The Committee expects to maintain an accommodative stance of monetary policy until these outcomes are achieved. The Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and expects it will be appropriate to maintain this target range until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with the Committee's assessments of maximum employment and inflation has risen to 2 percent and is on track to moderately exceed 2 percent for some time. In addition, over coming months the Federal Reserve will increase its holdings of Treasury securities and agency mortgage-backed securities at least at the current pace to sustain smooth market functioning and help foster accommodative financial conditions, thereby supporting the flow of credit to households and businesses.

In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.

Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; Richard H. Clarida; Patrick Harker; Loretta J. Mester; and Randal K. Quarles.

Voting against the action were Robert S. Kaplan, who expects that it will be appropriate to maintain the current target range until the Committee is confident that the economy has weathered recent events and is on track to achieve its maximum employment and price stability goals as articulated in its new policy strategy statement, but prefers that the Committee retain greater policy rate flexibility beyond that point; and Neel Kashkari, who prefers that the Committee to indicate that it expects to maintain the current target range until core inflation has reached 2 percent on a sustained basis.

Implementation Note issued September 16, 2020


Mtl JP  18:04:40 GMT - 09/16/2020  
pompous they are :

..."The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals." .../..


AT Trader john  18:03:48 GMT - 09/16/2020  
Fed very dovish as expected.


AT Trader john  18:01:35 GMT - 09/16/2020  
U.S. Fed Policy Decision September 16, 2020





NEWS ALERT
Fed Funds Target Range unchanged at 0.00% to 0.25%

RELEASE: Policy Statement




Mtl JP  15:17:03 GMT - 09/16/2020  
GBP 10 day 1.3019, 50day 1.3044


london red  14:40:59 GMT - 09/16/2020  
sterling higher after tories look to have come to a deal on the internal mkt bill. boris threaten to break the WA if necessary and this upset some MPs but now it looks like MPs will get a veto on this issue. while this is a step forward here, it doesnt alter the post brexit deal. in fact, boris was to only use the threat on renaging on the WA if the EU backtracked themselves, so in the event that the EU does this and Boris goes to the MPs, the MPs are likely to give the green light anyway. what the whole thing might do is slightly weaken Boris' position at the table with the EU, but armed with the backing of MPs its debatable.


AT Trader john  14:34:05 GMT - 09/16/2020  
US EIA Weekly Inventories






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -4.390 v +2.000 exp v +2.000 prev.
Distillates: 3.4610 v +400 exp v -1.700 prev.
Gasoline: -0.381v -0.600 exp v -3.000 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report





AT Trader john  14:00:20 GMT - 09/16/2020  
U.S. NAHB Index September 2020



NEWS ALERT

83.0 vs. 78.0 vs. 78.0 prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index




london red  12:44:32 GMT - 09/16/2020  
dont think its too bad when taken in context of end july cut off for free money. think a further slip for sept/oct would be more worrying


AT Trader john  12:35:25 GMT - 09/16/2020  
slight miss in US, data


AT Trader john  12:33:27 GMT - 09/16/2020  
U.S. Retail Sales August 2020



ALERT
Headline: +0.60%vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.20% (r) prev.
Core (x-a):+0.70% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.90%(r)prev.








AT Trader john  13:17:34 GMT - 09/15/2020  
IP misses


AT Trader john  13:17:01 GMT - 09/15/2020  
U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization July 2020

ALERT
Ind Production: +0.40% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +3.00% (r +3.50% ) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 71.4 vs. 71.6% exp. vs. 70.6% (r 71.1% ) prev.

RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization





AT Trader john  12:40:09 GMT - 09/15/2020  
Thanks u r correct My error


Belgrade Knez  12:37:29 GMT - 09/15/2020  
Import Prices May 2020
NEWS ALERT
+0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.
---------------------------------------------------
John,
I think you don't have correct no. for Import Prices .... data I have is +0.9% and not +0.5% as you stated



AT Trader john  12:34:38 GMT - 09/15/2020  
Import Prices May 2020



NEWS ALERT
+0.90% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.




AT Trader john  12:32:43 GMT - 09/15/2020  
EMPIRE PMI September



NEWS ALERT
+17.0 vs. +6.0 vs. +3.7







AT Trader john  09:10:18 GMT - 09/15/2020  
ZEW beats expectations.


AT Trader john  09:04:32 GMT - 09/15/2020  
German ZEW Survey September 2020



NEWS ALERT

Current Situation (Sentiment): 77.4 vs. +60.0 exp. vs. +71.5 prev.
Conditions: -66.2 vs. -70.3 vs. -81.3.









Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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