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Mtl JP  12:18:21 GMT - 11/14/2020  
red 23:14 tks.
I am betting that -
- the run uP to 1.32 is as if a “relief rally”
- UK’s trade negotiations parameters remain (ie. no change)
- sunday’s nego deadline will blow past; maybe see an extention blabla
- I will "pay" IF an agreement is cooked, which is opposite of my expectation:

"Both sides doubted that a draft deal could now be reached in the coming days, as the EU had originally hoped." - bbc



Israel MacroMicro  11:21:25 GMT - 11/14/2020  
the power of chinese consumer

medical hedge



london red  23:14:47 GMT - 11/13/2020  
jp,
"Nigel Farage warned the departure of Vote Leave campaign veterans Mr Cummings and Mr Cain could result in the Government capitulating to EU demands and delivering a watered-down Brexit"


Mtl JP  21:52:18 GMT - 11/13/2020  
GBP - new HoD 1.31996
-
mofo's mission likely done


Mtl JP  21:25:04 GMT - 11/13/2020  
GBP 1.31966
-
HoD 1.31975 ... some mofo is trying to tag 1.32
not unexpected , maybe just a better level to short the puppy


dc CB  19:32:36 GMT - 11/13/2020  
JP 18:50

During an event at the National Press Club in Washington D.C., Biden campaign advisor Ron Klein, who also worked for Vice President Biden in the White House and led the response to the Ebola outbreak, explained how the Obama administration did "everything wrong" in response to the 2009 swine flu crisis.

"I wasn't involved directly in the H1N1 response but I lived through it as a White House staffer and what I would say about it is a bunch of really talented, really great people were working on it and we did every possible thing wrong. Sixty million Americans got H1N1 during that period of time. It is purely a fortuity that this isn’t one of the great mass casualty events in American history. It had nothing to do with us doing anything right. It was just luck.

Yeah, We Really Screwed Up Swine Flu and are Lucky More Americans Didn't Die



dc CB  19:21:39 GMT - 11/13/2020  
JP 17:27

Res ipsa loquitur – The thing itself speaks

The National Urging Plan: Biden Appears To Downgrade His Mask Pledge From A “Mandate” To An “Urging”

Jonathan Turley



Mtl JP  18:50:36 GMT - 11/13/2020  
the reason I mention "6+ week lockdown"
is because of the senile's "pick" for chief of staff:

What Joe Biden's choice for chief of staff says about his plans for the presidency - cnn

as Biden Names Ron Klain as White House Chief of Staff - NYT

except that ... with character like Klain's and record and philosophy on crime and punishment might be a good time to plan for 2nd passport and escape routes as

Radley Balko reminds



Mtl JP  17:27:01 GMT - 11/13/2020  
CB 17:13 odds are
-
they got to make sure the senile one does not escape the basement and end up in some park / street speakers corner without a teleprompter and start babbling something about nation-wide 6+ week lockdown


dc CB  17:22:10 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Remarkable Vaccine Results Leave a Lot of Questions Unanswered

It’s not clear how long protection lasts, or how soon large parts of the population can be immunized.

the Pfizer vaccine has a notable practical limitation: It must be kept frozen at an ultralow –94F until a few days before it is used. That requires special freezers or dry ice packs, complicating distribution. Moderna is thought to be just a few weeks behind Pfizer in the testing process. It’s working with the same messenger RNA technology, which uses the body to produce a key coronavirus protein, stimulating the immune system to make antibodies to fight the virus. Moderna says its vaccine can be kept in regular freezers; some other vaccines don’t need to be frozen at all.

BBG



haifa ac  17:20:08 GMT - 11/13/2020  
"500 people"
1. how many were on the Trump, Oboma, Clinton, Bush transition teams?
2. What is the chance that out of these 500--there will be 10 good men?! (Like the Marines)


Mtl JP  17:17:09 GMT - 11/13/2020  
 
GBP 1.3174-ish & Brexit
Sunday yak deadline, potential yak extention and odds of a deal
-
I am taking a short into and over the weekend in a bet that the current run uP is going to come off.
Puppy runs uP and over 1.32 = I am screwed.
Puppy runs sub 1.31 and odds are it go to see 1.30




dc CB  17:13:37 GMT - 11/13/2020  
there are over 500 people on the Biden-Harris Transition Team.

(fake news or Real NUZ) can any tell anymore????


Mtl JP  16:46:03 GMT - 11/13/2020  
DLRx 92.805 / 10-yr 0.898%

shockingly ...
-
The U.S. labor market improved at a shockingly rapid pace this year compared with the aftermath of the 2008-2009 financial crisis, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday.

Bullard said the economy doesn’t need another massive stimulus package and a more targeted approach would suffice.



Mtl JP  16:39:55 GMT - 11/13/2020  
11:24 Americans grow more anxious about coronavirus, survey shows, as Republican fret over Trump loss
11:24 Biden to talk more softly toward China, but keep Trump’s big tariff ‘stick’
11:13 Why COVID-19 lockdowns in Europe are set to get lighter — but last longer
- MarketWatch

This is good one:
"More than 1,000 soccer fans were allowed into Northern Ireland’s national stadium on Thursday night, but only once they had entered a COVID-19 “disinfecting pod.”

Watch: Soccer fans sprayed in COVID-19 ‘disinfecting pods’ before entering stadium



dc CB  16:22:09 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Boris Johnson intends to use Britain’s presidency of G7 in 2021 to implement Gates Foundation’s “global approach” to “health security”

UK PM Meets With Bill Gates To Discuss Implementing ‘Global’ Vaccine Program



Mtl JP  16:14:23 GMT - 11/13/2020  
GBP 1.31676
-
ya ya ya , real Brexit , fake Brexit ...
more bs from mushroom feeders:

Britain is unprepared for real Brexit: official reports

Major disruptions are expected at U.K. borders, even if a trade deal is signed with the European Union, according to the Bank of England

By Pierre Briançon



Mtl JP  16:09:26 GMT - 11/13/2020  
PAR with that kind of win, you could hire some to wash ur dishes
or better yet, just buy new, fresh dishes after each meal
good luck


PAR 14:42:47 GMT - 11/13/2020  
I bought a EuroMillions lottery ticket. Unbeatable risk-reward.

Small risk, potential € 61 million wins. No stop needed.


Worth doing, the potential of winning is very small, but the reward is very big.

And it's a kind of charity.


Mtl JP  14:30:38 GMT - 11/13/2020  
EUR/DLR (1.1816)
-
Now that puppy climbed from under 1.18, it is huff-n-puffing to make headway north (to say 1.19)
odds are it will frollick between 1.18 - 1.1850

should it punch thru 1.18 again it would probably be to try to bite 1.1750 (for fun)


Mtl JP  14:24:48 GMT - 11/13/2020  
but it rules
trade accordingly


PAR 14:22:32 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Modern monetary theory rules the world.

1. It is not modern.

2. It's not monetary.

3. It is not a theory, it's a scam.


Mtl JP  14:20:52 GMT - 11/13/2020  
EURUSD 1.1823
-
slight rise in a general dollar nega-mood


Mtl JP  14:17:22 GMT - 11/13/2020  
with DLRx at 92.805 it feels as if risk market has a slight optimism about outlook - despite (or maybe because of) the mushroom feeders' unified expression of "caution" yesterday.


Mtl JP  14:10:34 GMT - 11/13/2020  
10-yr 0.882%
5day high: 0.979%


Israel MacroMicro  12:31:11 GMT - 11/13/2020  
hehehe

I wonder what Xi bought Biden for singles day


Mtl JP  12:27:46 GMT - 11/13/2020  
For the record :
-
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
·
3h
China state-affiliated media
I support Chinese Foreign Ministry in congratulating Biden. I think this is Pompeo's fault. The attitude of the current US State Department toward China after the election is too bad. Chinese People hope to see Pompeo gone, no matter what trouble his successor brings to China.
-
“We respect the choice of the American people. We congratulate Mr. Biden and Ms. Harris. ... the result will be confirmed according to U.S. laws and procedures.” ”
- foreign ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin.

hmmm ... "Chinese People" // "American people"


Israel MacroMicro  12:24:20 GMT - 11/13/2020  
okay, we make a barter, you get contra indicator and I get you washing my dog's dishes!


Mtl JP  12:18:12 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Last Updated: 7:15 a.m. EST
0.882%

misery for the dollar

U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note



SYD JK  12:15:36 GMT - 11/13/2020  
AHMED. You are hired as a CONTRARIAN INDICATOR.


Mtl JP  12:14:43 GMT - 11/13/2020  
DLRx 92.88
-
bias is down for the dollar while under 93


SWK YME  12:03:04 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Or as an INDICATOR :)


AT Trader john  11:49:40 GMT - 11/13/2020  
you are hired!


Israel MacroMicro  11:47:44 GMT - 11/13/2020  
John, you can hire me as translator :)


Israel MacroMicro  11:46:16 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Key indicators. USDCAD is weak and the Aussie is strong. Adjust your view as key market indicators change.

this is the IMPLICATION


AT Trader john  11:42:01 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Sometimes they trade in tandem and sometimes they diverge. When they trade in tandem they strengthen RISK-On/Risk-Off signals. When they diverge, those signals are diminished.


SWK 11:38:57 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Hi Jon

What is the implication of that to the EUR?


haifa ac  11:29:04 GMT - 11/13/2020  
"The NAS is soft vs. the S&P."

What is the implication of this?!


AT Trader john  11:18:21 GMT - 11/13/2020  
EURGBP has flipped.


AT Trader john  10:29:04 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Initial impressions
Looks like the are orders to buy EURUSD and/or GBP again. Keep vigilant about whether they are sustained or when they are done. Ive seen a couple of RISK ON spikes in the S&P futures and NAS. They can be an early indicator if this order will be sustained or not. Fridays are always tricky. Often they can be one-way markets. Furthermore, this is Friday the thirteenth, which can be unlucky in my culture.

EURUSD is bid but EURGBP is not. GBPUSD is bid.

Key indicators. USDCAD is weak and the Aussie is strong. Adjust your view as key market indicators change.

The NAS is soft vs. the S&P.

U.S. PPI (usually unimportant) and the preliminary U of M survey are due.


Amazing Trader Reviews



AT Trader john  09:49:01 GMT - 11/13/2020  
Friday: MIXED RISK
DJ: 29,173 +176
SP: 3,557 +25
NQ: 11,806 +85

2-yr 0.177% 0.0 bp
Spread 10s-2s +71.6 bp (+71.6)
10-yr

US: 0.893% 0.0 bp
UK: 0.343% -0.7 bp
DE: -0.539% -0.5 bp

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1815 (1.1794)
GBPUSD 1.3158 (1.3150)
EURGBP 0.8980 (0.8969)
USDJPY 105.17 (105.25)

THIS Week 1.1921-1.1746 (175 pips)
fri: 1.1823-1.1799 (24)
thu: 1.1823-1.1759 (64)
wed: 1.1834-1.1746 (88)
tue: 1.1844-1.1780 (64)
mon: 1.1921-1.1796 (125)

20-d avg: 1.1781
50-day avg: 1.1769
100-day avg: 1.1710
200-day avg: 1.1360

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points







AT Trader john  09:34:44 GMT - 11/13/2020  

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 13 NOV 2020
A 13:30 US- PPI
AA 15:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 16 Jun 2020
A 12:30 US- Empire PMI
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- NAHB
Wed 17 Jun 2020
A 07:00 GB- CPI
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 CA- CPI
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude




AT Trader john  21:07:47 GMT - 11/12/2020  
LATE Thursday: MIXED RISK
DJ: 29,080 -318
SP: 3,537 -36
NQ: 11,710 -77

2-yr 0.177% -0.8 bp
Spread 10s-2s +71.6 bp (+76.1)
10-yr

US: 0.893% -9.6 bp
UK: 0.345% -0.5 bp
DE: -0.542% -0.8 bp

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1801 (1.1794)
GBPUSD 1.3111 (1.3150)
EURGBP 0.9000 (0.8969)
USDJPY 105.17 (105.25)

THIS Week 1.1921-1.1746 (175 pips)
thu: 1.1823-1.1759 (64)
wed: 1.1834-1.1746 (88)
tue: 1.1844-1.1780 (64)
mon: 1.1921-1.1796 (125)
fri: 1.1891-1.1796 (95)

20-d avg: 1.1781
50-day avg: 1.1769
100-day avg: 1.1710
200-day avg: 1.1360

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points







AT Trader john  17:04:58 GMT - 11/12/2020  

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 13 NOV 2020
A 13:30 US- PPI
AA 15:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 16 Jun 2020
A 12:30 US- Empire PMI
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- NAHB
Wed 17 Jun 2020
A 07:00 GB- CPI
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 CA- CPI
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude







Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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