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Varna Momchil  16:16:45 GMT - 10/17/2021  
You can`t trust on any word from China.


Varna Momchil  16:12:54 GMT - 10/17/2021  
Expect? This increase is already a fact.


Varna Momchil  16:12:06 GMT - 10/17/2021  
"inflation is part of an "economy in transition" and that the only way out is complete global vaccination."? Hell yeah... that`s a very useful explanation of the inflation.


Mtl JP  13:40:23 GMT - 10/17/2021  
some msm headlines on "inflation"
-
Treasury official claims inflation part of 'economy in transition,' only way out is 100% global vaccination

A top Treasury official this week claimed that the recent surge in inflation is part of an "economy in transition" and that the only way out is complete global vaccination.

Rising Rents Are Fueling Inflation, Posing Trouble for the Fed

Economic policymakers have said inflation will prove temporary, but rising rents may challenge that view and pressure Washington to react.
Uncomfortable inflation is here, and it's changing the economy

American families and businesses are changing their habits as they increasingly believe high prices are here to stay.
What Is 'Transitory' Inflation, and When Will Prices Come Down?

Inflation happens when the prices of goods and services increase over time. The Federal Reserve likes for inflation to average out to 2% over the longer run. In a perfect world, sometimes it'd be above 2%,
Transitory Inflation Argument Losing Steam

When the Consumer Price Index (CPI) began trending higher in earnest earlier this year, it was common for experts, market observers, and pundits to say that inflation would prove transitory. While high inflation won't be a permanent fixture,
The Federal Reserve Is Fighting the Wrong Inflation War


Mtl JP  13:30:36 GMT - 10/17/2021  
janet "go big" yellen
-
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen expects increased prices at grocery stores, restaurants and elsewhere to eventually ease up once supply chain issues are resolved.

"I believe it's transitory. But I don't mean to suggest that these pressures will disappear in the next month or two," Yellen told "CBS Evening News" anchor and managing editor Norah O'Donnell on Tuesday.

Treasury secretary expects rising prices to return to "normal levels" once pandemic recedes



Mtl JP  05:14:43 GMT - 10/16/2021  
The Truth
* PBoC: Evergrande’s Risk To Financial System Is Controllable
* China Properties Defaults On Notes Worth $226 Mln

or consequences


Mtl JP  23:40:18 GMT - 10/15/2021  
Not sure if this was posted already so at risk of repeat:

Bullard Sees Schrodinger's Inflation: "50% Probability It's Transitory, 50% It's Persistent" - zh

..."In yesterday's FOMC minutes, we found that Fed officials largely unanimously agreed they should start reducing emergency pandemic support for the economy in mid-November or mid-December amid increasing concern over inflation. Bullard, however, wants a more rapid pace that is completed by the end of the first quarter to give policy makers the flexibility to raise rates sooner if needed to keep inflation in check. Of course, what he wants, is irrelevant as he does not vote on monetary policy this year." ...

Regardless of bullard voting or not, I do not want to err on side of dismissing FED's Machiavellian kind of communication.
The FED gang knows. The IMF knows

-

Side Observation
- It was not long ago that China was being peddled as THE economic engine that would pull the world out of economic toilet, hallucinations extrapolated from China's role after the 2008 debacle.



dc CB  21:20:32 GMT - 10/15/2021  
the past haunts

Halloween



Mtl JP  14:13:21 GMT - 10/15/2021  
EURO 1.1592
-
ok puppy, lie down and keep calm - at least on the less than hrly bars
in the grander scheme of things things continue bear-ish.
I continue to favor trading the puppy from the short side; pops are selling opps for me


Mtl JP  13:47:42 GMT - 10/15/2021  
apparently "Barkin leaning toward starting taper in mid-November"


Mtl JP  09:44:22 GMT - 10/15/2021  
almost 20% of U.S. households, the pandemic wiped out their entire financial cushion, a poll released Tuesday bbrg
now biden has a plan
-
• The Biden administration on Friday unveiled a government-wide plan to address the systemic threat climate change poses to all sectors of the economy.

• The roadmap accounts for how climate change will impact the companies people are invested in and aims to protect the savings of American families with retirement plans.

• The roadmap also identifies how agencies can strengthen the resilience of infrastructure in response to worsening climate disasters.

Biden shows plan to address major financial risks posed by climate change - cnbc



Mtl JP  09:27:59 GMT - 10/15/2021  
* sit up and take notice
-
Crypto could cause 2008-level meltdown, Bank of England official warns
“When something in the financial system is growing very fast, and growing in largely unregulated space, financial stability authorities have to sit up and take notice,”

he said



Mtl JP  08:06:46 GMT - 10/15/2021  
censored = pri.k, aka pierce


Mtl JP  08:05:32 GMT - 10/15/2021  
‘censored This Bubble’: Morgan Stanley CEO Calls For Fed Rate Hikes
-"markets are ready for them" - James Gorman

Fed’s Harker: Soon Be Time Start Tapering Asset Purchases

Bitcoin ~59K+



Mtl JP  17:39:16 GMT - 10/14/2021  
--
"The Federal Reserve system remains focused on maintaining “flexible and adaptable” policy implementation, a New York Fed official said Thursday, without offering any fresh details about the central bank’s forthcoming plans to taper monthly bond purchases.

Officials are continuing to work on ways to improve the resiliency of the U.S. Treasury market, while also keeping their eye on technological innovations and the approaching end of LIBOR, or the London Interbank Offered Rate, said Lorie Logan, an executive vice president in the markets group of the New York Fed. " .../..

New York Fed official, giving no fresh taper-plan details, says central bank remains focused on `flexible and adaptable’ implementation of policy



Mtl JP  16:49:15 GMT - 10/14/2021  
EURO 1.1588-ish
-
Bear ish. Puppy's little meander N of 1.16 just a playful rebound from low 1.15teen.
Prefer selling.
Res 1.1650 give or take a few pips
S around 1.1575

Kind regards to christine - It Is Crucial Policy Support Is Not Withdrawn Prematurely - lagarde


Mtl JP  18:29:24 GMT - 10/13/2021  
on deck later this eve
-
brainard at 4:30; bowman at 8pm


dc CB  15:48:55 GMT - 10/13/2021  
30Y auction---little over an hour away


dc CB  15:30:28 GMT - 10/13/2021  
impressive

Kirk back on land



Mtl JP  15:17:42 GMT - 10/13/2021  
EURO 1.157i-sh
-
I am expecting 1.1575 / 1.16 to hold Res


NY JM  13:25:26 GMT - 10/13/2021  
FX is following US bond yields, which have slipped back to pre-CPI levels


Belgrade Knez  10:39:32 GMT - 10/13/2021  
Mtl JP 10:21 GMT October 13, 2021

now back up to 94.40 to form right shoulder.?


Mtl JP  10:21:03 GMT - 10/13/2021  
 
Do you need to be told how to play this ?

I did not think so *-*


Mtl JP  07:18:17 GMT - 10/13/2021  
opions
more opinions
sometimes some are better than others
-
Fed’s Bullard says bond purchases should be tapered quickly in case rate hikes are needed - Jeff Cox

Inflation gauge should be hot again in September and for the months ahead - Patti Domm


Mtl JP  06:55:08 GMT - 10/13/2021  
how is this headline for schlock journalism (Rich Miller and Jana Randow)
-
October 12, 2021 (Bloomberg) -- The International Monetary Fund warned of the risk of sudden and steep declines in global equity prices and home values as the Federal Reserve and other central banks withdraw the support they’ve provided during the pandemic.

Value: is that utility which something provides for which it was designed
Price: is that number of some moola at which title passes from one to another.

BUT at least the IMF seems to "get it"
“Downside risks to house prices appear to be significant. In a worst-case scenario, the house price decline over the next three years is estimated to be about 14% in advanced economies and 22% in emerging markets.”


Mtl JP  06:42:28 GMT - 10/13/2021  
Key is to correctly gage what is theme the market is pricing.

Is it a bet on
a) tapering OR
b) interest rates


Mtl JP  06:39:19 GMT - 10/13/2021  

Latest Inflation Reading Isn’t Likely to Turn Fed Off of Tapering Its Bond Buys - Pierre Briançon


Mtl JP  06:30:55 GMT - 10/13/2021  
EURO 1.155x
-
bbrg / Roubini Says Fed May ‘Wimp Out’ on Hikes Despite Inflation


london red  18:41:40 GMT - 10/12/2021  
tomorrow inflation is set to officially go from $hit to worse, so with good reason there is usd seeking

mkt
Mtl JP 17:48 GMT 10/12/2021
my 6th sense whispers that players still tilting to favor buying the usd


dc CB  18:13:50 GMT - 10/12/2021  
MarketWatch....yesterday's NUZ TODAY!!!!!!!!


Mtl JP  17:55:16 GMT - 10/12/2021  
rofl
-
High U.S. inflation to last awhile, Fed Bostic says, and it’s no longer ‘transitory’ - MarketWatch


dc CB  17:53:21 GMT - 10/12/2021  
heading to 95 on the DXY


Mtl JP  17:48:28 GMT - 10/12/2021  
my 6th sense whispers that players still tilting to favor buying the usd


Mtl JP  17:45:21 GMT - 10/12/2021  
EURO 1.1526
-
1.15 / 1.1495ish should hold S on first tag
(my opinion)


Mtl JP  10:54:52 GMT - 10/11/2021  
Dog Eat Dog
Chapter: when peasant meets political efforts to curb the debt-fueled excesses of conglomerates and defuse risks
-
“There’s no interest to bail him out”
How Evergrande's Rags-to-Riches Founder Is Trying to Save His Empire


hk ab  06:40:48 GMT - 10/11/2021  
maybe we are in a period of "deleveraging" the deleveraging capital mkt.






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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