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uk 17:39:05 GMT - 01/19/2022  
Glad it's behaving again

GVI Forex 15:46:02 GMT - 01/19/2022  
3:1 reached. Ask me for access details..

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex 15:17:05 GMT - 01/19/2022  
EURUSD is back into its old range (last 1.1347)

USD is a touch softer elsewhere but EURUSD struggling at 1.1350-54 (former AT support). AT beta (follows the logic of our high-low reversal strategy) is short at 1.1351, stop above HOD, 3;1 risk/reward.

Modest risk on but tentative as stocks giving back gains.

Quiet FF reflects the broader market.

Feel free to add your comments.

GVI Forex 13:40:29 GMT - 01/19/2022  
US housing data misses to upside

GVI Forex 11:05:22 GMT - 01/19/2022  
This is why we call AT amazing. See this post and the chart posted with it (low yesterday was 1.1314).

GVI Forex 18:08 GMT 01/18/2022 - My Profile
I call this an AT roadmap. See chart

Mtl JP  05:44:49 GMT - 01/19/2022  
DAX 15661
euro 1.1331
german sitting on S priceline
feel free to chose side

Mtl JP  05:40:54 GMT - 01/19/2022  
asia "risk" aping NY
US 10-yr 1.877% +0.009 vs 1.89% High
earlier trivia :
"Due to technical difficulties, today’s Treasury outright purchase operation - scheduled for 10:10 AM in the 4.5 to 7 year sector for up to $6.025 billion - is being rescheduled."

Mtl JP  19:07:51 GMT - 01/18/2022  
oh oh ... worry or new opps at the IMF ?
or a tip:
Financial Times
Poorest countries face $11bn surge in debt repayments
World Bank warns of risk of ‘disorderly defaults’ as pandemic-era relief scheme expires.

Mtl JP  18:20:30 GMT - 01/18/2022  
..."the bond market’s view that the Federal Reserve may deliver a greater-than-expected 50 basis point rate hike in March. ... .. Evidence of those more aggressive expectations could be seen in fed funds futures, which were pricing in a more-than-100% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike in March as of early Tuesday, strategists said. That implies some chance of a greater-than-expected 50-basis-point increase, they said — a size that the Fed last delivered in May 2000." .../.

Investors return from three-day break to a market bracing for more aggressive start to Federal Reserve’s rate-hike campaign reports Vivien Lou Chen

GVI Forex 18:08:34 GMT - 01/18/2022  
I call this an AT roadmap. See chart

The Amazing Trader

Amman wfakhoury  17:24:17 GMT - 01/18/2022  
Amman wfakhoury 13:25 GMT 01/18/2022
GVI Forex 13:18 GMT 01/18/2022 - My Profile
It took some work until 1.1384 was firmly broken so back into its old range while below it.
Ref my active signal ..11363 and others below it will be reached.

Amman wfakhoury  17:18:16 GMT - 01/18/2022  
GVI Forex 13:18 GMT 01/18/2022 - My Profile
It took some work until 1.1384 was firmly broken so back into its old range while below it.
all reached

lakewood jjlkwd  17:06:41 GMT - 01/18/2022  
3 month ranges have ramifications and breakouts have the upper hand until proven to be fake. todays action has yet to prove anything,only provide a lower risk entry to go with the break.

Mtl JP  16:56:05 GMT - 01/18/2022  
ahhh ... sympathy
BTC $41,742.49 -1.15%

Mtl JP  16:09:11 GMT - 01/18/2022  
GS $350-ish
BTFD; consider the gap
Goldman Sachs stock tumbling $30.51 toward a record price decline
- MarketWatch

Mtl JP  15:57:19 GMT - 01/18/2022  
"risk" down about -1.51%
bond vigilantes still rather tame

Israel MacroMicro  15:51:20 GMT - 01/18/2022  
1.1348 long for 15/20 pips is my trade now

Mtl JP  15:41:23 GMT - 01/18/2022  
Inflation - what it is; how it happens; who is behind it
warning: have Depends ready
'How'd You Get It So Wrong?': John Kennedy wants to know

tries to explain (.vid)

Lael Brainard, nominee to be Vice Chairman Designate on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

lakewood jjlkwd  15:38:56 GMT - 01/18/2022  
low/high for the week in euro is usually set on monday. this holiday shortened week (i)will go with tuesday . will see results end of week.
from technical point of view closing below the breakout level of 1.1385 would look bearish.

Israel MacroMicro  15:33:30 GMT - 01/18/2022  
1.1384 is the key level for short term from here, 1.1380/1.1410 houses now sellers for short term.

GVI Forex 15:04:43 GMT - 01/18/2022  
Next AT target EURUSD 1.1354 (watch 1.1350 as well)

Amman wfakhoury  13:25:03 GMT - 01/18/2022  
GVI Forex 13:18 GMT 01/18/2022 - My Profile
It took some work until 1.1384 was firmly broken so back into its old range while below it.
Ref my active signal ..11363 and others below it will be reached.

GVI Forex 13:18:05 GMT - 01/18/2022  
It took some work until 1.1384 was firmly broken so back into its old range while below it.

GVI Forex 11:12:56 GMT - 01/18/2022  
1.1385 exposed but held overnight test

GVI Forex 13:58 GMT 01/17/2022 - My Profile
1.1385 was last week’s AT breakout level so the key level on the downside that needs to hold to keep a bid .

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex 08:14:08 GMT - 01/18/2022  
Risk off

Us yields up, stocks down

dc CB  20:27:04 GMT - 01/17/2022  
OPEX week---again from the Greeks.
Submitted by SpotGamma, access to a full list of stocks with estimated impact is available at the end of this note**

125 Billion Reasons For A Volatility Spike After Friday's "Deep" Options Expiration

Israel MacroMicro  18:31:57 GMT - 01/17/2022  

Entry: Target: Stop:
the link is to PDF file published earlier today

JP on video reading it, gonna get billions of views on YouTube 😁

OXFAM inequality kills - full report

Mtl JP  07:40:45 GMT - 01/17/2022  
Interesting ...
Opinion By Lawrence Lewitinn
CoinDesk Insights
.."the cost of borrowing to buy crypto on leverage has fallen to the point where it’s slightly negative. That implies that demand for money to make leveraged bets has taken a hit." ...

The wind seems to be out of crypto’s sails for now.

Derivatives Data Shows Softening Crypto Enthusiasm

Israel MacroMicro  03:24:36 GMT - 01/17/2022  
Mtl JP 01:09 GMT January 17, 2022

now you really have realistic reasons for sleepless nights, they are really after you.

Mtl JP  01:09:09 GMT - 01/17/2022  
poof ! coronavirus
January 16, 2022 LONDON (AP) — Anti-poverty organization Oxfam called Monday for governments to impose a one-time 99% tax on the world's billionaires and use the money to fund expanded production of vaccines for the poor — part of an effort to combat global inequality widened by the coronavirus pandemic. .../

Israel MacroMicro  17:55:09 GMT - 01/16/2022  
good summary of the bigger picture within the ECB

Source: Financial Times

Mtl JP  16:59:58 GMT - 01/16/2022  
how's the market collective pricing odds of FED's hiking
FedWatch Tool
"Stay up-to-date with the latest probabilities of FOMC rate moves with the CME FedWatch Tool"

CME FedWatch Tool

macao win10  12:54:33 GMT - 01/16/2022  
Rising commodity price is beneficial to many parties. Oil price may shoot over $200 by 2024

Mtl JP  18:11:40 GMT - 01/15/2022  
lael according to jeanna smialek at NYT
"the central bank is focused on getting price gains back down"

- predicts that the Fed will engineer a soft economic landing.
Ms. Brainard, nominated to be the Federal Reserve’s vice chair, expects workers will come back as the economy chugs along, she told a Senate committee.

Mtl JP  17:58:22 GMT - 01/15/2022  
wisdom plum from stanley reed in NYT
Oil Producers Aren’t Keeping Up With Demand, Causing Prices to Stay High

OPEC Plus, the United States and others have been slow to ramp up output, lagging production goals. .../

Mtl JP  14:40:45 GMT - 01/14/2022  
duh 1.1338 s/be => 1.1438

Mtl JP  14:39:28 GMT - 01/14/2022  
EURO 1.1338
Res 1.1482 and 100-day
Sup 1.1450/35/00

PAR 12:52:09 GMT - 01/14/2022  
dc CB 17:42 GMT 01/13/2022

Hi dc. What is Lorie Logan thinking this morning?

PAR 09:42:19 GMT - 01/14/2022  
At € 10 EDF was a real value stock according to some French financial commentators. Yesterday I was looking at the shares. Luckily just looking.

13 seems to be my lucky number.

Mtl JP  09:29:12 GMT - 01/14/2022  
skid arrested
raises Q: what do they know ?

Mtl JP  09:19:45 GMT - 01/14/2022  
greed the beautiful. or not
Reuters January 12, 2022
Corporate bosses "pay lip service" to integrity standards - EY survey

LONDON (Reuters) - Corporate leaders are prepared to pay lip service to integrity standards, overlook internal vetting processes and rationalise unethical behaviour in a battle for survival as the COVID-19 pandemic enters its third year, a global EY report says.

In a warning to corporate legal and compliance departments, EY said 18% of board members told the survey they would mislead auditors or regulators to improve their pay or bonuses, up from 14% in a 2020 report.

In addition, 17% would ignore unethical behaviour by third parties and 15% would falsify financial records. .../

Mtl JP  09:03:49 GMT - 01/14/2022  
moving goal posts ; making gretta happi
Reuters January 13, 2022
No issue with EU airport slot rule, no sign of ghost flights, EU says

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Europe's use it or lose it airport slot rule has not created issues for airlines during the COVID-19 pandemic nor is there any evidence of carriers operating ghost flights because of the rule, a senior European Commission official said on Thursday.

"From our perspective, it is an unnecessary fuss. We actually have no evidence from any airline including Lufthansa on any amount of empty flights being operated," the official told reporters. .../

poof ! case closed. next

Mtl JP  08:52:48 GMT - 01/14/2022  
macron's polls up ?
as PAR likes to ask "who else" knows/knew:
Francois de Beaupuy
Fri., January 14, 2022, 3:35 a.m.

(Bloomberg) -- Electricite de France SA plunged by a record as much as 25% as the French government confirmed plans to force it to sell more power at a steep discount to protect households from surging wholesale electricity prices. .../

Mtl JP  08:43:10 GMT - 01/14/2022  
red 20:12 - variously credited to baron rothschild or sheldon adelson
“Buy when there is blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own.”

PAR 08:27:17 GMT - 01/14/2022  
Hey dc CB

Interesting article - THE WOMEN OF THE PPT.

Basically the PPT is running a 24/7 kind of financial NATO operation to prevent markets to become disorderly and to make sure the markets behave like the USA wants the markets to behave.

Logan: In terms of my day-to-day, I think my kids, who've had just a really unique and front row seat as we've been working remotely during the pandemic, describe it best. They say my day starts very early and is jam-packed with meetings. And I think that's pretty accurate. My day does begin early. Often starting on an international call before 7:00 AM, but some staff come in even earlier around 4:00 to begin monitoring overseas markets. And then we all come together each morning at 9:05 to discuss our operations and how we're interpreting markets.

lakewood jjlkwd  20:53:22 GMT - 01/13/2022  
nasdaq futures setting up for lowest close since oct 26...

dc CB  20:20:02 GMT - 01/13/2022  
Mtl JP 19:54

there are still some editorial cartoonists around.

guess who appointed her

dc CB  20:13:29 GMT - 01/13/2022  

Despite Modest Tail, 30Y Auction Is Solid With Strong Foreign Demand

Nomura Fears "Fatigued" Bond Bears Face Imminent Squeeze As The Fed Is "Generally Priced-In"

london red  20:12:18 GMT - 01/13/2022  
$hit about to get real folks. blood on streets tomorrow. esp for those on cathys ark.

dc CB  20:11:18 GMT - 01/13/2022  
ever wear an N95 mask for an extended period of time while working---like installing insulation or sanding drywall? Kinda limits the amt of air as well as particles. Just a great idea for kids to have to wear these masks in school all day. 'Gee little jonny/janey seems dull and listless these days since the N95 school mandate...Ya think he/she is getting enough Oxygen????? Ya think?.

Mtl JP  19:54:46 GMT - 01/13/2022  
3M Co. 180.95 +1.53 (+0.85%)
3M 'committed' to making N95 masks available for everyone
just as
Supreme Court Halts
- Biden's Vaccine Requirement for Businesses and
- blocks vaccine-or-test rule for businesses

Mtl JP  18:00:18 GMT - 01/13/2022  
using up my Depends stuff
12:39 Treasury yields hold steady after Brainard says combating inflation is Fed’s most important task for foreseeable future

12:37 Richmond Fed’s Barkin said interest-rate hikes to depend how quickly inflation slows
-- MarketWatch

the above a follow-up to hawk mester and semi-hawk bullard who both yesterday "guided" that it is likely that a tightening grab of inflation's balls in order to tame it is coming

dc CB  17:59:14 GMT - 01/13/2022  

Mtl JP  17:48:52 GMT - 01/13/2022  
verbs & past tense
CB 17:34 - arrrRRrrgh !!
duh ... I can't believe that that is your best

possibility for redemption:
13:00 gamma is peddling 22bn of 30Yr paper
how will it fair: __ __ __

dc CB  17:42:02 GMT - 01/13/2022  
Hey PAR ---meet Ms PPT

Lorie Logan on Monetary Policy Operations, the Fed’s New Standing Repo Facility, and the Future of the Fed’s Balance Sheet
A closer look at the plumbing and structure of U.S. monetary policy.

---Lorie Logan is an executive vice president in the Markets Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. In that role, she’s the manager of the System Open Market Account (SOMA), for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), and she is also the head of the market operations, monitoring, and analysis. Lorie joins Macro Musings to talk about the operations side of monetary policy and her work at the New York Fed.

the current 'Simon Potter"

dc CB  17:34:23 GMT - 01/13/2022  
The Dow finally joined Small Caps, S&P, and Nasdaq in the red as the European close appears to have triggered a mass-panic puke in all the US majors...

Looking for a catalyst - good luck ZH

Jkt Abel  17:29:24 GMT - 01/13/2022  
Need to stay above 1820 this month then all good for bullish year for gold

Jkt Abel  17:15:47 GMT - 01/13/2022  
Clearly buy gold dips above 1810-1812

Mtl JP  16:40:47 GMT - 01/13/2022  
grettAAaaaa-aargh !
Brainard says Fed won’t ban bank lending to oil and gas sector or gun manufacturers - MarketWatch

dc CB  16:21:37 GMT - 01/13/2022  
Mtl JP 08:18 GMT 01/13/2022 - My Profile
diaper change ?
A perfect storm in the Democratic Party is making a once-unfathomable scenario plausible

Better Diapers free for every American---that's the ticket.

The Masks for All Act, which has 15 co-sponsors in the Senate including Democratic Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Ed Markey of Massachusetts, would ensure that all individuals—from college students to medical professionals to the unhoused—would receive a free package of three N95 respirator masks.

Belgrade Knez  08:28:26 GMT - 01/13/2022  
Clinton vs Trump again!?

Mtl JP  08:18:34 GMT - 01/13/2022  
diaper change ?
A perfect storm in the Democratic Party is making a once-unfathomable scenario plausible: a political comeback for Hillary Clinton in 2024.

Several circumstances—President Biden’s low approval rating, doubts over his capacity to run for re-election at 82, Vice President Kamala Harris’s unpopularity, and the absence of another strong Democrat to lead the ticket in 2024—have created a leadership vacuum in the party, which Mrs. Clinton viably could fill.

Hillary Clinton’s 2024 Election Comeback - wsj

macao win10  00:25:45 GMT - 01/13/2022  
Illusion? Due to higher base in 2021

Mtl JP  22:55:42 GMT - 01/12/2022  
Gallup Survey JANUARY 12, 2022
A reduced majority of Americans give high marks to military leaders' ethics
Ethics of judges, clergy, grade-school teachers, TV reporters also at new lows
Nurses are top-rated profession for 20th straight year

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Gallup's annual rating of the honesty and ethics of various professions finds five of the 22 occupations rated this year at new lows in public esteem. While the majority of Americans continue to believe military officers have high ethics (61%), the score is down 10 percentage points since it was last measured, in 2017. TV reporters' ethics rating has fallen nine points to 14% over the same period, and judges' has declined five points to 38%.

While down several points since 2020, the perceived ethics of clergy (36%) and grade-school teachers (64%) are just a point or two below their previous all-time lows. .../..

Military Brass, Judges Among Professions at New Image Lows

Mtl JP  22:18:10 GMT - 01/12/2022  
for posterity
Starting in '22, we will see U.S. inflation go down, says IMF's Georgieva
srce: cnbc 1/12/2022

Mtl JP  22:13:15 GMT - 01/12/2022  
warning: reach for your Depends
Fed Governor Lael Brainard says inflation is too high - cnbc
Yla Mui reports on 'Closing Bell' that Fed Governor Lael Brainard says inflation is too high and that the priority is to protect gains and support a full recovery.

Mtl JP  21:15:03 GMT - 01/12/2022  
US stocks end slightly higher
time to handicap asia
Fed’s Beige book sees
- that economy grew at 'modest' pace in December
- ‘solid growth’ in prices charged to customers
- that labor shortages and wages added to cost pressures

Israel MacroMicro  20:21:23 GMT - 01/12/2022  
Mtl JP 17:08 GMT January 12, 2022

dc CB  17:42:17 GMT - 01/12/2022  
Image of the Day!

Wednesday: Overnight prices sold off 5¢ after the GFS trended 6-7 HDDs warmer by being not as cold Jan 19-23. However, prices spiked violently as the new overnight EC model trended 10 HDDs colder for Jan 19-26. As a result of the overnight GFS trending warmer and the EC colder, the EC is now notably colder than the GFS for Jan 20-26, while forecasting the coldest temperatures and strongest demand so far this winter season.
profit opportunities----long and short----whichever way the wind blows, in the coming few weeks.

winter wonderland ---conflicting predictions

Mtl JP  17:08:03 GMT - 01/12/2022  
DLRx 95
on t-line sup

Mtl JP  16:56:56 GMT - 01/12/2022  
still ahead
13:00 - kashkari econ outlook
14:00 - FED's beige book

Mtl JP  16:52:27 GMT - 01/12/2022  
Fed's Mester backs shrinking balance sheet 'as fast as we can' provided it doesn't cause market disruption - MarketWatch

GVI Forex 14:57:33 GMT - 01/12/2022  
Good calls on usd direction. CPI proved to be hot as expected but a non-event.

For those looking gif an explanation, read my blog article Why Markets Move or contact me for the video.

macao win10  04:59:15 GMT - 01/12/2022  
For the good sake of public health. Thumb up!

dc CB  00:40:18 GMT - 01/12/2022

dc CB  00:39:26 GMT - 01/12/2022  
Truth or Dare: O' Canada.--(but Canadians are such nice people)

Quebec Set to Impose Tax on Unvaccinated Residents

Nationally, Justin Trudeau's government has been able to impose some of the most restrictive vaccine requirements of any country in the world.

Though those national measures have been criticized for their draconian effects, a provincial Canadian government is set to go even further in its efforts to punish the unvaccinated.

Quebec Premier François Legault revealed that his province plans to impose a tax on its unvaccinated residents. Though the premier's office did not disclose the cost of the tax, it announced the initiative at a press conference scheduled to introduce Dr. Luc Boileau at the province's interim health director who will be tasked with imposing the financial penalty. This measure is the first to be implemented in Canada.

Mtl JP  23:54:16 GMT - 01/11/2022  
some opinions
Powell says economy can withstand Fed tightening, Omicron - Reuters

Jeffrey Gundlach Sees ‘Recessionary Pressure’ Building With Inflation - Bloomberg

RBC’s McKay Calls for ‘Rapid Action’ on Rates to Tame Inflation - Bloomberg

..."Markets are pricing in at least five Bank of Canada rate hikes this year, beginning as early as Jan. 26, when policy makers will unveil their first rate decision of 2022." ...

Israel MacroMicro  21:56:52 GMT - 01/11/2022  
Mtl JP 19:58 GMT January 11, 2022

last minute always losing EURO buyers are expected as loud buyers in high gear within 1.1430/80 cluster probably already this week.

Mtl JP  21:41:18 GMT - 01/11/2022  
about tom's CPI
... "Currently, the U.S. annual inflation rate hovers at 6.8%, measured by the Consumer Price Index. In a year from now, consumers predict it will be closer to 6%, according to the December New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations published Monday. .. . ..

What’s more, a fresh reading on CPI inflation is due on Wednesday. Few economists are on board with the Fed’s forecast that the rate of inflation will ease to 2.6% in 2022. Economists expect annual inflation to rise above 7%." ...

Will inflation continue at the same pace? Like economists, consumers are far more pessimistic than the Fed - By Elisabeth Buchwald

Mtl JP  20:08:25 GMT - 01/11/2022  
today again I have acknowledge FED gang's improved savvy in its communication tactics : keeping markets basically calm , no upsets

Mtl JP  19:58:26 GMT - 01/11/2022  
DLRx 95.60
maybe wed's CPI and th's PPI will elicit a move from market
out of its ranges

PAR 19:18:40 GMT - 01/11/2022  
Maybe, maybe one US rate hike this summer?

PAR 18:39:36 GMT - 01/11/2022  
US stock could hit record highs this week.

PAR 17:04:36 GMT - 01/11/2022  
Lack of competition seems to be killing the capitalistic economic system.

Too much consolidation leads to too much lobbying leads to higher prices.

PAR 16:47:09 GMT - 01/11/2022  
Another happy ending to a cold day in NY.

Israel MacroMicro  16:37:36 GMT - 01/11/2022  
everything is triple A great in lala land aka USA

GVI Forex 16:32:39 GMT - 01/11/2022  
Spin on Powell hearing is that he was not as hawkish as expected.

Just an excuse to explain market movements as there were no surprises as Fed path seems to be priced in

PAR 16:07:49 GMT - 01/11/2022  
Problem is that interest hikes make government borrowing more expensive and the USA needs to borrow gigantic amounts of money despite a booming economy.

Interest rates are too low and US taxes are too low compared to all the government spending preparing to go to war with China and Russia.

Israel MacroMicro  16:01:45 GMT - 01/11/2022  
"no hike in March rally" in the making

Israel MacroMicro  16:00:28 GMT - 01/11/2022  
JP (Jerome Powell) says clearly: I am clueless, we are clueless, but be assured that all will be fine.

Mtl JP  15:45:39 GMT - 01/11/2022  
euro 50day
veni, vidi ... holding sofar

Mtl JP  15:33:06 GMT - 01/11/2022  
EURO 1.1335-ish
50day still Res ahead of 50 and 86

Mtl JP  14:40:04 GMT - 01/11/2022  
"Goldman predicts the euro area will outgrow the U.S. economy over the next two years" - on cnbc

Mtl JP  13:30:26 GMT - 01/11/2022  
according to Jesse Pound & Vicky McKeever - CNBC
U.S. Treasury yields fell early on Tuesday, as investors waited to see if Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell would offer further details on policy in his Senate nomination hearing later in the morning.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note moved 2 basis points lower to 1.76% at 7:15 a.m. ET. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond fell by 3 basis points to 2.076%.

Treasury yields fall as investors await clues on Fed policy

Mtl JP  13:21:16 GMT - 01/11/2022  
heading into NY
US 2 Yr 0.923%
DLRx 95.89
risk: neutral

Israel MacroMicro  12:44:07 GMT - 01/11/2022  

Entry: Target: Stop:
2022 opened @ 1.1370

with all the rate hike mania as steroids for USD talk, now trading @ 1.1340


Mtl JP  06:19:04 GMT - 01/11/2022  
feel the earth ... move ... under my feet
A poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research finds that management of the coronavirus pandemic, once an issue that strongly favored President Joe Biden and his fellow Democrats, is beginning to recede in the minds of Americans.

Just 37% of Americans name the virus as one of their top five priorities for the government to work on in 2022, compared with 53% who said it was a leading priority at the same time a year ago. The economy outpaced the pandemic in the open-ended question, with 68% of respondents mentioning it in some way as a top 2022 concern. A similar percentage said the same last year, but mentions of inflation are much higher now: 14% this year, compared with less than 1% last year.

Inflation up, virus down as priorities in US: AP-NORC poll

Mtl JP  05:49:12 GMT - 01/11/2022  
according to the peddler of purity
"Frequently people let themselves be influenced by the ideology of the moment, often bolstered by baseless information or poorly documented facts,"

"It is appropriate that institutions such as the World Trade Organisation and the World Intellectual Property Organisation adapt their legal instruments lest monopolistic rules constitute further obstacles to production and to an organised and consistent access to healthcare on a global level,"

COVID-19 vaccination is a 'moral obligation', Pope Francis insists

Mtl JP  22:56:57 GMT - 01/10/2022  
have no fear, powell and brainard are and will be here
January 11, 2022

Nomination hearing
Chair Jerome H. Powell

Before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, Washington, D.C.

"Four years ago, when I sat before this Committee, few could have predicted the great challenges that would soon become ours to meet."

Mtl JP  22:45:39 GMT - 01/10/2022  
pledge ... not a promise nor oath
note: central bankers are typically and almost always reacting. Typically to un-intended (nobody saw it coming) consequences of their past doings (not to say meddlings)
Fed chairman testifies on Tuesday to Senate panel

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is set to tell Congress Tuesday that the U.S. central bank will take steps to make sure higher inflation seen over the past year will not be allowed to develop deep roots in the economy.

“We will use our tools to support the economy and a strong labor market and to prevent higher inflation from becoming entrenched,” Powell will say, according to a copy of his prepared remarks to the Senate Banking Committee released Monday. .../..

Powell pledges to prevent inflation from developing deep roots Jan. 10, 2022 at 5:14 p.m. By Greg Robb

dc CB  21:32:15 GMT - 01/10/2022  
Less than a week after the outgoing Fed vice-chair was publicly exposed for some suspicious trades surrounding the March 2020 market rout (and recovery), Richard Clarida has pulled the rip-cord on his golden parachute and left The Eccles Building.

The central bank announced on Monday that Clarida, whose four-year term was set to expire at the end of the month, would be departing his position on Friday.

Fed Vice Chair Clarida Abandons Ship Two Weeks Early

Mtl JP  19:52:16 GMT - 01/10/2022  
another headline pumping 4 or + raises
"Expect more than 4 rate increases in 2022, and a lot of market volatility, says JPMorgan’s Dimon: ‘If we’re lucky’ the Fed can engineer a “soft landing.”

so now , with the PhD'ed "experts" in charge, things hang on being lucky ?!

Why am I getting the feeling that the FED gang won't raise more than - maybe - 3x ?

PAR 18:22:21 GMT - 01/10/2022  
Nice day to do some share buybacks into the NY close. A happy end to a cold Monday.

Mtl JP  16:17:41 GMT - 01/10/2022  
"Almost every Federal Reserve meeting in 2022 could be potentially `at play’ for a potential rate hike, Deutsche Bank says"

"could be potentially"
what a f*kp of a non-burger

Mtl JP  15:10:47 GMT - 01/10/2022  
potential catalysts
10-yr N of 1.80: not yet
Fed tightening risk: not yet in an energetic pricing
Wed CPI data print (tks red): 7% + expectation has some potential to awaken players
Wed Beige Book: mild potential
powell and v/chair brainard later this week - probably mild

under current dynamics I am keep robot to BoD usd
side note // interesting pig: usdyen around 115

Mtl JP  14:45:10 GMT - 01/10/2022  
EURO 1.13/1.1290
Bias: not uP, not down (s/t)
Friday's climb above 50-day now nega-poofed
BUT neither is the puppy showing eagerness to run towards 1.11/1.10 yet
i.e still looking for a catalyst

Mtl JP  13:16:59 GMT - 01/10/2022  
permission granted
"Goldman predicts the Fed will hike rates four times this year, more than previously expected" - cnbc

Mtl JP  12:47:13 GMT - 01/10/2022  
heading into NY
DLRx 95.98
still wallowing inside range

Mtl JP  20:38:33 GMT - 01/07/2022  
DLRx 95.74
what could be called "somewhat softer"
raises the Qtn whether players are lowering march fed rate hiking expectations or just gaming for better price

tia for views

Mtl JP  20:21:03 GMT - 01/07/2022  
covid and children hospitalizations
because of covid or with covid
CDC's "increadibly hard working" dr walensky

replies (at and on 10:55 min) presser

Mtl JP  18:29:01 GMT - 01/07/2022  
EURO 1.1360
shorts squealing, almost deafening (ref "deliverance")
N of 50day ... odds r gunning for 1.1386


JP 19:39
almost everything I read about the puppy talks about trip to 1.11/1.10
wonder: why do most folks think that ?

Israel MacroMicro  16:42:00 GMT - 01/07/2022  
JP - MaMi your lucky ex-wife

POTUS Biden doing the yakking show now, the guy is literally saying: 'duck you Wallstreet"

Mtl JP  16:36:57 GMT - 01/07/2022  
MaMi 16:11 I don't trade to make some wife happi

Israel MacroMicro  16:15:42 GMT - 01/07/2022  
the little wider picture...

US Dollar Credit Supply: Lower corporate supply expected in 2022
We forecast lower supply in 2022. We expect corporate supply to amount to US$650bn this year, down from the US$720bn penciled in last year. Similarly, we expect Reverse Yankee supply to fall slightly this year. We forecast €55bn for 2022

Executive summary
Expect corporate supply at US$650bn in 2022, lower than the past couple years

Corporate supply totalled US$720bn in 2021, down of course on the substantial US$1.2tr in 2020, but still sizeable compared to previous years. December was a rather active month for primary markets, with supply pencilling in at US$45bn for the month. This is up considerably on the US$10bn-US$15bn norm for December.

We expect a drop in corporate supply in 2022. We are forecasting USD corporate supply to amount to just US$650bn. Similarly, we forecast US corporate supply (in $ and €) to be lower in 2022 at US$630bn, down from the US$685bn seen last year. The drop is based, similar to European issuance pressures, on the back of factors such as pandemic-related funding needs continuing to subside and high levels of cash on the balance sheet outweighing potential rises in capital expenditure or M&A related issuance.

Reverse Yankee supply totaled €59bn in 2021, down marginally from the €68bn supplied in 2020. This is also on the lower side of the average over the past number of years. We forecast a small drop again in Reverse Yankee supply in 2022, in line with expecting lower supply in general. Historically, Reverse Yankee supply generally accounts for 10% of US corporate supply, which should amount to US$63bn (€55bn). Furthermore, Reverse Yankee supply is on average 19% of Euro corporate supply, which we have forecasted at €290bn. Therefore, we forecast Reverse Yankee supply to hit €55bn in 2022.

Largest financial supply on record, totaling US$563bn in 2021

Last year saw the largest financial supply on record after amounting to a considerable US$563bn. This is up on last year’s record-breaking US$518bn. December penciled in a decent US$20bn in supply, down marginally from the US$28bn seen in 2020. Although this is still a sizeable amount, and above the US$5bn average of previous years.

Timothy Rahill
Credit Strategist

Israel MacroMicro  16:11:05 GMT - 01/07/2022  
beautiful JP

you and KNEZ seems to be true chess minded FX traders :)

Mtl JP  16:04:39 GMT - 01/07/2022  
eurdlr 1.1349
shorts and wedgies
go well together today

Mtl JP  15:42:21 GMT - 01/07/2022  
1.124x = typo; s/b 1.134x

Mtl JP  15:41:28 GMT - 01/07/2022  
eurdlr 1.124x
time to dump some as
risk and sl well defined

Israel MacroMicro  15:21:40 GMT - 01/07/2022  
nice call/trade JP !!!

Mtl JP  15:21:02 GMT - 01/07/2022  
EURDLR 1.1345
Bingo !

Israel MacroMicro  15:11:45 GMT - 01/07/2022  
Mtl JP 14:19 GMT January 7, 2022

WFAK class accuracy with professor level language

Mtl JP  14:30:47 GMT - 01/07/2022  
US 10-YR 1.746%, +0.013
and eurdlr 1.1325

looks like someone is being cantankerous

Israel MacroMicro  14:23:52 GMT - 01/07/2022  
stop above week's high and hold for few days fits to your weekly EUR/USD chart you so kindly shared.

look further (adjust parameters) at 1.1290, if seen.

personally, opened short @ 1.1322

a plan ?

Mtl JP  14:19:44 GMT - 01/07/2022  
EURO 1.1318
IF puppy breaks N of HoD
1.1345/50 come on attack radar

Mtl JP  14:16:10 GMT - 01/07/2022  
yields schmields
DLRx 96.10
still inside narrow range

at 10nyt non-voter daly yaks about monetary policy

Israel MacroMicro  14:11:32 GMT - 01/07/2022  
EUR/USD @ 1.1315

current weekly range 110 pips

normally, we would witness 135 pips range this week
if normally works this week, we have at least 25 pips to expend from here. so, pick your direction.

Mtl JP  19:39:38 GMT - 01/06/2022  
EURO 1.1299
six weeks now flopping inside a narrowing range
almost everything I read about the puppy talks about trip to 1.11/1.10
wonder: why do most folks think that ?

Mtl JP  16:38:08 GMT - 01/06/2022  
Daly s yakking
bullard yaks l8tr

PAR 10:20:35 GMT - 01/06/2022  
An ideal day for some share buybacks.

Although US 10-year rates at 1.75% start to reduce the actual value of US future earnings and make US bonds more attractive.

Israel  MacroMic4o  10:05:14 GMT - 01/06/2022  

Mtl JP  00:47:31 GMT - 01/06/2022  
caramba !
who is to say the pup is not going to 20K or lower still?
First Mover Asia: Bitcoin Falls Below $44K After Fed Minutes Release.

Mtl JP  23:31:06 GMT - 01/05/2022  
out of the gate nikkei gapping down

Mtl JP  22:08:50 GMT - 01/05/2022  
"babson break" -3% or +
DJIA -1.07%
NASDAQ 100 -3.12%
S&P 500 -1.94%

lets see how asia digests

Mtl JP  20:23:35 GMT - 01/05/2022  
DLRx 96.22
DX puppy still prancing around its month and half long 96 pricepoint
and although I am still biased uP, I am curbing my enthusiasm post-fomc mins now that the cat is out of the bag

Mtl JP  19:13:48 GMT - 01/05/2022  
EURO 1.1313
Sup 1.1270/80, 1.1250-ish below that 1.1220

Mtl JP  19:07:02 GMT - 01/05/2022  
fomc minutes
according to jeff cox

Federal Reserve releases minutes from its December meeting

Mtl JP  17:29:34 GMT - 01/05/2022  
gundlach opines
‘The Fed is going to reverse again,’ DoubleLine’s Gundlach says, ‘and this might be the last time’

"DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach: 'The yield curve is sending a bona fide recessionary signal’


Mtl JP  15:03:54 GMT - 01/05/2022  
interesting (?)
Draganfly Inc. (DPRO)
NasdaqCM - NasdaqCM Real Time Price. Currency in USD
1.6800-0.0600 (-3.45%)
As of 09:59AM EST. Market open
Draganfly Unveils Latest Vital Intelligence Smart Vital Kiosk During CES

the Kiosk can screen, with voluntary consent, temperature, blood pressure, heart rate, respiratory rate, and oxygen saturation (SpO2) in seconds. The system does not register any personal data of the individual being screened. ... and ... is able to screen, detect, assess, protect and provide continuous action against the potential threat of infectious diseases, including COVID-19.

Featuring a highly customizable camera configuration, the Kiosk can effectively meet the needs of specific events. Accessories such as QR and IR code readers can be incorporated to provide seamless integration with vaccine passports, security badges and other ticketing systems. ...

Mtl JP  14:29:47 GMT - 01/05/2022  
EURO 1.1335
Res: 1.1340, 50day 1.1364, 80

Belgrade Knez  14:22:16 GMT - 01/05/2022  
could this be scenario?

Mtl JP  14:08:39 GMT - 01/05/2022  
DLRx 95.97
USD/JPY 115.75
me looking for opportune time to long usd
and not just against yen

Mtl JP  13:39:46 GMT - 01/05/2022  
consensus of experts (typically PhD'd economists) had expected 410,000

Mtl JP  13:35:35 GMT - 01/05/2022  
Total U.S. Nonfarm Private Employment: 807,000

adpemploymentreport .pdf

GVI Forex 13:29:28 GMT - 01/05/2022  
Big miss to the upside for ADP jobs (stronger payrolls) but does not often correlate with Friday’s NFP release.

Mtl JP  13:27:08 GMT - 01/05/2022  
union break till
1900 GMT
Fed's Dec meeting minutes

Belgrade Knez  13:01:43 GMT - 01/05/2022  
eurusd spike was small as comments was for the next year and only possibility ...... so nothing important at the moment

Mtl JP  13:01:18 GMT - 01/05/2022  
eyes forward
Treasury Yield Curve Steepens on Bet Fed Sticks to Hawkish Path
Michael MacKenzie, January 5, 2022, 7:29 a.m

(Bloomberg) -- The bond market has wasted little time pushing Treasury yields sharply higher in the early days of 2022, underscoring concern that elevated inflation will spur more aggressive monetary-policy tightening from the Federal Reserve. ...

"experts" :
"the present low level of Treasury yields means “it doesn’t take much to push them higher.” - David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management Inc.

“Even if economic growth is slowed by the Omicron variant, the Fed’s concerns about inflation should be enough to keep tightening on track,” “Yield curves have already responded by steepening, and we expect that to continue.” - Deborah Cunningham, chief investment officer of global liquidity markets at Federated Hermes

“While the Fed’s hawkish pivot at its December meeting provides a fundamental reason for higher Treasury yields, we believe increased corporate supply and rate lock hedging amid limited liquidity is driving this early-year surge,” - Prashant Newnaha, an Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities

“You only reduce inflationary pressure by slowing aggregate demand and that requires higher long-term rates,” JPMorgan’s Kelly

"But we don't think inflation dynamics will support continued hiking. We suspect the biggest driver of asset markets will be when inflation and Covid fears begin to ebb." - Steve Englander, head of global G-10 FX research at Standard Chartered

Mtl JP  12:44:09 GMT - 01/05/2022  
puppy sat around 1.1315-20 for longest time
it popped to 1.1326
imo it shows how lightweight Kazāks (Governor, Latvijas Banka) is to players

GVI Forex 12:31:09 GMT - 01/05/2022  
Still a spike that ran stops above the HOD and shows you how thin liquidity is as a hawkish ECB is an outlier.

Mtl JP  12:27:47 GMT - 01/05/2022  
some spike ...
all of barely 10-12 pips

GVI Forex 12:22:12 GMT - 01/05/2022  
EURUSD spikes up on hawkish comments from ECB’s Kasaks

Mtl JP  08:19:57 GMT - 01/05/2022  
German Energy Giant Uniper Gets $11 Billion for Margin Calls

(Bloomberg) -- German energy giant Uniper SE was forced to borrow billions to pay down margin calls -- the collateral exchanges require to back up trades -- as European gas and electricity prices rallied.

...“Higher commodity prices lead to temporarily higher margining requirements,” Uniper said. “At the same time, higher commodity prices increase the value of Uniper’s underlying gas and power assets. Therefore, Uniper’s structural earnings prospects are not adversely impacted by higher prices.” .../.

Mtl JP  23:58:24 GMT - 01/04/2022  
upcoming tradeable calendar risk events :
Jan 5th
FOMC Meeting Minutes
Players would likely react to any waffling about the Fed sticking to 3 int rate hikes

Jan 7th
NFP (exp'd 379K vs 210K actual vs prev forcast of 546K)
Betting (usually thru eurdlr) will be about the size of the gap between expected and release numbers.

Mtl JP  15:27:03 GMT - 01/04/2022  
on deck in one hour
-- on economy

Israel MacroMicro  15:05:44 GMT - 01/04/2022  
Kalkilia definition of JP: HARTA

live with it / lol

Mtl JP  15:01:54 GMT - 01/04/2022  
cambridge definition "languish" :
to exist in an unpleasant or unwanted situation, often for a long time

deal with it

Israel MacroMicro  14:33:24 GMT - 01/04/2022  
point is WHEN my dear JP and of course at which order between them

levels all people can scream... :)

Mtl JP  14:23:55 GMT - 01/04/2022  
EURUSD 1.1285
puppy looks to languish some now
likely needs to break thru 70 to hunt low 1.12 and 1.1200
50dma = Res

Mtl JP  14:16:43 GMT - 01/04/2022  
jeff cox's whispers
-- The Federal Reserve in a little over two months is expected to enact its first rate increase in three years.

-- As officials prep for a return to more conventional monetary policy, Wall Street is watching closely.

-- The Fed is responding to inflation pressures that are running — by some measures — at the fastest rate in nearly 40 years.

"Current pricing in the fed funds futures market points to about a 60% likelihood of a hike in March, and a 61% probability that the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee will add two more by the end of 2022, according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool."

Markets and the economy brace as the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike could come in two months

Israel MacroMicro  14:16:11 GMT - 01/04/2022  
it is an easy bet to assume that PAR will be shown wrong soon regarding VIX longs never making money.

bit more patience and get into VIX longs as shared some time ago. I can see that true money maker in the making.

Mtl JP  14:09:38 GMT - 01/04/2022  
USDCAD 1.2727
odds r 4 chop-chop price dynamic


OPEC+ expected to stick to planned oil output hike as omicron Covid cases soar - CNBC

- OPEC and its non-OPEC allies, known collectively as OPEC+, were scheduled to hold a videoconference from 1 p.m. London time.

- OPEC+ has raised its output target each month since August by 400,00 barrels per day and the group is widely expected to stick to this policy for February.

- Energy analysts expect world oil markets to remain prone to geopolitics in 2022, with “saber-rattling” over the persistent Russia-Ukraine standoff and ongoing Iranian nuclear negotiations likely to be closely monitored by OPEC+

Mtl JP  04:25:38 GMT - 01/04/2022  
kids ... asia is flying
c if NY apes

Mtl JP  23:53:12 GMT - 01/03/2022  
ya .. I did not not see this rocket taking off
but I do see a GAP

Mtl JP  13:35:04 GMT - 01/03/2022  
Israel Has ‘Luxury’ of Waiting Before Hiking Rates: Decision Day
January 3, 2022, 12:00 AM EST

(Bloomberg) -- Robust economic growth and relatively low inflation will likely lead the Bank of Israel to hold borrowing costs on Monday and for months to come, opening up the prospect of a rates spread with the U.S. that could weaken the roaring shekel.

Analysts see Israel’s benchmark rate staying steady at 0.1% until late 2022 or early 2023, though inflation is heating up and the economy remains potentially threatened by the highly contagious omicron variant. All 11 economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect borrowing costs to hold on Monday. .../.

Mtl JP  12:38:06 GMT - 01/03/2022  
some potential betting trade opps this week
Brent $78.40
Jan 4th
OPEC Meeting
Betting $s is on what the cartel will do about supply in light of covid rampaging in economies around the world

Jan 5th
FOMC Meeting Minutes
Players would likely react to any waffling about the Fed sticking to 3 int rate hikes

Jan 7th
NFP (exp'd 379K vs 210K actual vs prev forcast of 546K)
Betting (usually thru eurdlr) will be about the size of the gap between expected and release numbers.

dc CB  20:17:37 GMT - 01/01/2022  
Every year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year is no exception. Poignant and delightfully acerbic when necessary, considering the troubling times. As with past years, he selected Peak Prosperity as the site where it is published in full. It is longer than our usual posts, but worth the time to read in full. This is Part 1.

David B. Collum
Betty R. Miller Professor of Chemistry and Chemical Biology – Cornell University

2021 pt 1

Mtl JP  14:00:20 GMT - 01/01/2022  
What prediction markets suggest will happen in 2022

according to

The Economist

Mtl JP  14:31:27 GMT - 12/31/2021  
A somewhat empirical look at The Magazine Cover Indicator

Curtesy Brent Donnelly

Mtl JP  04:43:57 GMT - 12/31/2021  
Exxon Reaps Windfall of Up to $1.9 Billion From Energy Rally
Joe Carroll, Thu., December 30, 2021

jkt abel  09:33:25 GMT - 12/30/2021  
gold still play 1786-88 up till 1818-20

hk ab  08:38:01 GMT - 12/30/2021  
KC, only comment on metals is XAG is more honest than XAU.

PAR 08:15:46 GMT - 12/30/2021  
Stock buybacks offsetting Covid problem.

Stock buybacks are a powerful tool, especially during the last hour of trading.

Manipulating closing prices was sanctioned in the past by the Nyse. Now it has become a trading strategy.

Bangkok KC  08:14:11 GMT - 12/30/2021  
ab// Any views on gold?

hk ab  05:29:50 GMT - 12/30/2021  
2 yrs has already gone wild, next 10.

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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