on tradition and reform:
-
It’s traders vs. investors — and investors like us are here to fight the bear, not flee - Jim Cramer
"Nothing but rum, sodomy and the lash." (on The Navy)
- First Lord of the Admirality Sir Winston Churchill
Israel MacroMicro 23:35:27 GMT - 05/25/2022
mtl jp
I hear that finally Walmart and target having pair of balls collection on sale, get one asap and you will stop behaving like a virgin in her first wedding night when in front of the trading platform.
Israel MacroMicro 23:30:19 GMT - 05/25/2022
curly zero hedge boy aka the drama queen keeps pn trusting to have inside him qualities that reality denies him since birth.....
in short, WFAK with a bottle of whiskey sums who is that poor curly drama queen zero hedge transgender
dc CB 21:24:47 GMT - 05/25/2022
Twitter Spikes After Musk Boosts Equity Component To $33.5 Billion, Terminates Margin Loan
Musk would provide an additional $6.25 billion in equity financing, which would effectively eliminate the need for a margin loan, thereby eliminating the risk that Musk could get a margin call on his loan if Tesla stock price dropped low enough, and eliminated the threat that his "enemies" could keep pressing TSLA stock sharply lower to unwind the Tesla deal.
Nvidia Plunges To One-Year Low After Slashing Q2 Outlook; Blames Russia, China
PAR 19:34:21 GMT - 05/25/2022
We told on Monday this would be a great week for US stock markets. The sky is the limit.
Mtl JP 18:16:04 GMT - 05/25/2022
it would appear pundits over-hyped the minutes
Mtl JP 17:39:25 GMT - 05/25/2022
1846
-
with Gold off some 25 bux its recent high
one could think it knows a thing or two about FED's minutes about rates
Mtl JP 16:59:59 GMT - 05/25/2022
NatGas 9.4x HoD
-
missed the pop. duh
Mtl JP 16:37:40 GMT - 05/25/2022
bostic says
- Important for Fed to be alert to market shifts that can alter economic outlook
- wants to move interest rates higher 'without recklessness'
Mtl JP 16:27:42 GMT - 05/25/2022
"risk" is acting like it believes powell atm
Mtl JP 15:39:04 GMT - 05/25/2022
Trading Like a Reverso verb conjugation ?
"I know people who had millions of dollars turn into $2,000. It was devastating.”
Couple things players r likely gaming:
yield and spread dynamic and
the FED commitment to rate hikes in face of slowing economy
judging from the DLRx chart odds of a massive dlr pop / rally look low
Israel MacroMicro 11:02:22 GMT - 05/25/2022
Gold Entry: Target: Stop:
$1890 a barrier on one side for now
point and question are: where is the place/price to buy and keep it when it will go through $1890... of course, if at all
good trades to the very few active people in this forum
where is 100% guaranteed right and when it goes plop he says it was 100% planned to make people to lose money... I mean that person moving from test to test in virtual money reality and screams "PROFIT"... hahaha lalala shashasha
dead serious, good trades to you all :)
Mtl JP 10:46:47 GMT - 05/25/2022
on deck
-
12:15 brainard yaks
14:00 FOMC Minutes
The FED gang is starting to get some nasty comments about its "inflation fight" with loud screams about raising rates while heading into slowing economy. (potential for recession)
Currently:
10-yr 2.751
Gold: 1855
Mtl JP 22:47:59 GMT - 05/24/2022
for the record and reference from the horse's mouth
"not in panic mode"
-
Lagarde Says ECB Won’t Be Rushed as Officials Act to Curb Prices
No need to panic with inflation ‘fueled by the supply side’
ECB president speaks in Bloomberg TV interview from Davos
“I don’t think that we’re in a situation of surging demand at the moment,” she told Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Television from the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on Tuesday. “It’s definitely an inflation that is fueled by the supply side of the economy. In that situation, we have to move in the right direction, obviously, but we don’t have to rush and we don’t have to panic.”
Guterres to Seton Hall graduates
my generation, and your parents generation have fallen short ... failed
"Don’t work for climate wreckers" (starts around the 19th minute)
who are the "wreckers" according to guterres ?
multinational companies and big financial institutions, biggest names in finance, hedge funds and private equity
Dennis Gartman is much too old to see the whole right... :)
long 11590 big huge time ... NQ NQ NQ
Mtl JP 14:35:55 GMT - 05/24/2022
overpaid and with too much time on their hands
or laying out new profit opps to exploit:
-
The Bank of England (Bank) has today published the results of the Climate Biennial Exploratory Scenario to explore the financial risks posed by climate change for the largest UK banks and insurers (participants).
theme
so suddenly, after friday crap-out and bit of a feeble pop yesty "risk" is pulling in its horns and tail now, "earnings" prospects putting fear of gawd into pricing
SnP testing 3900 level again as I type
Mtl JP 10:56:33 GMT - 05/24/2022
EPIC BET
the FED gang vs the Market
-
Capitulation isn’t coming in the form of price, it’s going to have to come from the Fed
I tell my grandchildren to buy stocks but they want only to buy Crypto currencies.
Mtl JP 10:41:24 GMT - 05/24/2022
trading strategies and trading tactics
(they are not the same thing)
-
How low can stocks go? This question has made investors nervous, as they fear one bottom after another.
The answer: Pick a number. Some analysts say brace for further drops, others expect a bounce.
more new profit opps on horizon
feel the earth .. move .. under your feet:
-
Russia should not be in any way “dependent on the supply of anything from the West to ensure the development of critical industries for the security, economy and social sphere of our motherland,” ... “Now that the West is in a dictatorial position, our economic ties with China will grow even faster,” Lavrov said
- srce: cnbc
The concluding paragraphs of the editorial are worth quoting in full:
In short, the Clinton campaign created the Trump-Alfa allegation, fed it to a credulous press that failed to confirm the allegations but ran with them anyway, then promoted the story as if it was legitimate news. The campaign also delivered the claims to the FBI, giving journalists another excuse to portray the accusations as serious and perhaps true.
Most of the press will ignore this news, but the Russia-Trump narrative that Mrs. Clinton sanctioned did enormous harm to the country. It disgraced the FBI, humiliated the press, and sent the country on a three-year investigation to nowhere. Vladimir Putin never came close to doing as much disinformation damage.
Mtl JP 12:51 GMT 05/23/2022 - My Profile
Is this a gap I missed ?
_________________________________________________
As noted the $540ish trigger on Elon's margin.
As noted Elon put a bullseye on his back when he decided to 'get political'.
Polyticks dangerous to your wealth and standing
Of recent note: Threatening the Virtue Signalling ESG multibillion market.
____________
HSBC has reportedly suspended a senior executive after he questioned the risk climate change plays on financial markets, arguing investors shouldn't worry about it, according to Financial Times.
Stuart Kirk, global head of responsible investing at HSBC Asset Management, told an audience last week in London at a Financial Times Moral Money conference, "there always some nut job telling me about the end of the world."
The title of Kirk's presentation — "Why investors need not worry about climate risk" — referred to climate crisis warnings as "unsubstantiated, shrill, partisan, self-serving, apocalyptic warnings are always wrong." He called out central bankers and the UN for exaggerating the financial risks of climate change.
"Who cares if Miami is six meters underwater in 100 years? Amsterdam has been six meters underwater for ages and that's a really nice place,"
blablabla
-
(Reuters) - The European Union will likely agree an embargo on Russian oil imports "within days", German Economy Minister Robert Habeck told broadcaster ZDF on Monday.
Jkt Abel 16:20:42 GMT - 05/23/2022
Told ya, this week gonna be bullish candle for stock indices. Rate hikes are completely priced in, nothing can push stocks down anymore. No more covid scare too. Worst is over, everything is good now.
Mtl JP 14:41:31 GMT - 05/23/2022
retail expert bullard says
-
Retailers who don’t understand that consumers are stretched thin are going to get “punched in the face,” said St Louis Fed president James Bullard. ("lose market share")
Mtl JP 14:31:46 GMT - 05/23/2022
abel yabadaba doo
Mtl JP 14:05:30 GMT - 05/23/2022
trading "confederate" is 10-yr around bobbing around 3%
Mtl JP 14:02:16 GMT - 05/23/2022
SnP
maybe try around 3900
jkt abel 13:49:30 GMT - 05/23/2022
go go stocks, rich gets richer, Fed is toothless tiger, can only hike till june, then pause and reverse again
jkt abel 13:42:42 GMT - 05/23/2022
read the cryptic messages, they meant to say: keep buying dips
Mtl JP 13:15:02 GMT - 05/23/2022
New Additional Profit Opps on the horizon
-
* In a blog post ahead of this week’s World Economic Forum, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the global economy faces its “biggest test since the Second World War.”
* In combining the Russia-Ukraine war, the Covid-19 pandemic and the spike in volatility in financial markets and persistent threat from climate change, the IMF said the world faces a “potential confluence of calamities.”
The Question
-
The question is, do the average investors who became day traders in recent years and chased the bubble in crypto, meme stocks and other inflated assets deserve our sympathy?
saved by the bell, next week will be bullish reversal to end the month...vicious bear market relief rally baby...
Mtl JP 00:01:42 GMT - 05/21/2022
I guess ... things are turpsy turdy IF wallstreet confuses itself
maybe some characters been 'sperimenting w/them hallucinogens
- Wall Street Is as Baffled by Stocks Now as It Has Ever Been
Gap in strategists’ highest and lowest S&P 500 targets is 37%
Big drop in staples, wild swings in risky tech fuel confusion
with all due respect to Wang and Popina: that is bullchit.
Market is always precisely correct.
dc CB 20:09:35 GMT - 05/20/2022
two hikes in and we are at a bear market, and QT hasn't even started.
"9 or 10 hikes more" pic.twitter.com/AY0ASDggqw
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) May 20, 2022
Jkt Abel 18:54:03 GMT - 05/20/2022
PPT in action
dc CB 18:45:08 GMT - 05/20/2022
Mtl JP 00:26 GMT 05/20/2022 - My Profile
Tesla $709 (post-split)
__________________________________________________
Analyst Adam Jonas said that "Tesla was due for a reset" and asked whether or not new investors/Tesla owners would "enter the arena" at $500.
so what was that stock price 'trigger' to Elon's holdings----That someone here said was 'far fetched' -------
Mtl JP 18:27:26 GMT - 05/20/2022
those who do not trade on margin
and therefor do not have to sell
Jkt Abel 18:09:56 GMT - 05/20/2022
But who is gonna hold long on weekend like this...
Jkt Abel 18:02:17 GMT - 05/20/2022
Looks like no more new low today for indices
Mtl JP 17:35:12 GMT - 05/20/2022
SnP500 3813.50
-
A close below 3,837.25 would mark a 20% pullback from the S&P 500’s Jan. 3 record finish, meeting the traditional definition of a bear market, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
The Qtn now will be between :
- how long (will it last)
- how will it climb out
Which one is more important?
Mtl JP 16:10:59 GMT - 05/20/2022
SnP 3840 testing S
Mtl JP 15:42:27 GMT - 05/20/2022
EURO 1.0555ish
-
puppy currently promising close N of previous week's close
that would lend the puppy a bit of a bull flavour
Mtl JP 14:35:56 GMT - 05/20/2022
NY JM 14:14 from 12:56 = 1:18hrs or 78 minutes
sounds like jobbing the 5 min bar tactic of the day
Mtl JP 14:29:35 GMT - 05/20/2022
DLRx 103. ..
looking like bear cub - cute n cudly
ps grown bears are omnivores meaning they also eat meat
-
on the other hand (to borrow a non-commitment bs line from economist dna) is the market pricing a bull run by the likes of euro, gbp or yen ?
lets see how much in a loss on the week usd closes. doom doom doom as I invite anyone to my
JP 17:42
NY JM 14:14:32 GMT - 05/20/2022
Wash off…
NY JM 12:56:53 GMT - 05/20/2022
Another wash on/wash off day.
HK Kevin 07:50:22 GMT - 05/20/2022
Not a surprise to me if US enters recession in early 2023
What would you say
IF i said :
-
Fed will not tighten as much as it is trying to scare the kids
2 more hikes and ... pause
Mtl JP 00:26:42 GMT - 05/20/2022
Tesla $709 (post-split)
-
"For they that sleep with dogs, shall rise with fleas."
political knives out now:
BlackRock’s iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (ticker MTUM) is facing its latest semi-annual rebalance, with the fund’s underlying index due to start the process next week.
Wells Fargo's Chris Harvey estimates that a whopping 75% of the smart-beta product’s holdings will be turned over in favor of sectors that gain from elevated inflation like value and energy, at the expense of technology names.
The U.S. Senate on May 19 voted to pass a $40 billion aid package to Ukraine, overruling the objections of a few scattered Republican voices who had opposed the bill.
Mtl JP 17:42:53 GMT - 05/19/2022
What would you say
IF i said :
-
Fed will not tighten as much as it is trying to scare the kids
2 more hikes and ... pause
tia
Mtl JP 17:06:58 GMT - 05/19/2022
EURO 1.0596
took a while for a few posi-pips to come towards 1.06
Mtl JP 16:56:49 GMT - 05/19/2022
jeff cox again, carrying water for the Fed gang
-
.."George said “we need higher interest rates” but she’s comfortable with the pace the Fed is moving at now and doesn’t see the need for bigger moves, such as a 75-basis-point increase that some have suggested.
“Moving deliberately, making sure we stay on course to get some of those rate increases into the economy and then watch how that’s unfolding is going to be really the focus of my attention,” she said. “I think we’re good at 50 basis points right now, and I’d have to see something very different to say we need to go further than that.” .../.
they do lead investors into confusion raised by traders in panic
Mtl JP 13:44:41 GMT - 05/19/2022
10-yr 2.80x %
-
the essplainer today
EURO 1.0556
BULLISH (mildly) as long as 1.0510 holds S
Israel MacroMicro 13:04:31 GMT - 05/19/2022
NQ @ 11800
my base approach from now towards the expiry of the current contract is that 11400 will not print.
let us see, I can be dead wrong :)
dc CB 12:35:42 GMT - 05/19/2022
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
2.6 v expected -14.9
Mtl JP 09:34:56 GMT - 05/19/2022
janet "go big" yellen "specialization" PhD expertise is generally acknowledged to be "labor" (or labor market) expert.
now, IF what wlmrt and & have been saying about margins is true, then employee overhead turfing (cub cuts) is next
Mtl JP 09:20:37 GMT - 05/19/2022
SnP 3861 LoD sofar
success
-
janet "go big" yellen, babbling in Bonn on wednesday
claimed to be deeply concerned about the unfolding crisis
Israel MacroMicro 08:54:24 GMT - 05/19/2022
ES/SPX for today:
3828/3833 seems to tough to get taken on first stab if seen.
Mtl JP 07:29:57 GMT - 05/19/2022
SnP 3890 ... only 30ish pts to D price line
D = do (not) cross line
Mtl JP 23:24:03 GMT - 05/18/2022
I do not know of a private enterprise that has better database on its profile clients than wlmrt and that knows how to juice 'em for profit.
now... in light of wlmrt' stock tank
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/18/what-walmart-target-home-depot-and-lowes-tell-us-about-the-economy.html
I suspect the depth of the tank (-20%) had to do more with momentum players (baby & bath water) than cold spreadsheet valuation calculation. wlmrt is a BoD and more if it goes off another 20% (or ...) tomorrow or by friday
ps / risk management is a personal responsibility
dc CB 20:54:20 GMT - 05/18/2022
leave you with this: How Many ETFs have WMT and as seen today TGT as their major holdings.
The how many other Funds MIRROR those ETFs.
'What's in Your Pension portfolio' (portfolios run by geniuses that get hired by city/state/unions, chasing that required magic 8% Yield)
JP, 3855 is the 20% bear line. they bounced off it once, twice makes a double b. if not a v quick fall to 36xx/37xx because when double b doesnt come off u normally get stroppy teenager reaction the other way. ie tantrums n $hit.
Mtl JP 18:41:18 GMT - 05/18/2022
SnP 3925
-
I guess some will think there are bargains around 3850
Mtl JP 17:57:44 GMT - 05/18/2022
SnP 3928 ...
screaming like that aussi tourist I met
deepaA mayte deeeeeepaAAH
Mtl JP 16:58:39 GMT - 05/18/2022
plenty of folks with opinions be it about ... ahhh well all sorts of things
I guess the good thing about that is that it speaks of variety rather than 99% voting communist monothinkers. I think Likaj under-estimates mankind's dog-eat-dog propensity
-
Opinion: If the Earth is truly approaching its finite limits (and it is), can humans learn to live within our means? By Michael Jacobs Xhulia Likaj
The answer is obvious: Developed economies need to stop growing and start contracting. But that need not be disastrous for their people.
Russia/Ukraine Grain Deal?? United Nations Makes an Attempt---to open Ukraine ports.
specs are selling---run up this week tooooo Yuge.
Mtl JP 15:26:44 GMT - 05/18/2022
odds are 3976 holds S
initially
Mtl JP 15:10:15 GMT - 05/18/2022
3976 both trgt and S
on my s/term radar
Mtl JP 15:08:35 GMT - 05/18/2022
3996 LoD sofar
poof! 4K
Mtl JP 15:04:12 GMT - 05/18/2022
SnP at 4002
just barely above 4,000
lets see the quality of 4K Support
Mtl JP 15:02:48 GMT - 05/18/2022
what is unhealthy, from a social point-of-view, are healthy consumer balance sheets: it makes folks picky about work(ing), it gives them free time and ability to riot in the streets about various social issues whereas IF they were in debt upto and beyond eyeballs worrying about losing roof and where next meal comes from they d be doing the murrikan thing instead (dubuya's three jobs)
Mtl JP 14:54:17 GMT - 05/18/2022
walmart and target management need some spanking (aka reduction in their compensation & improve their mental swiftness) which, maybe , will wake them up and do something to shore up the margins at their respective (non-charitable) companies and go after the wads of cash eyeballed by jerome in his yesty yak.
Mtl JP 14:44:46 GMT - 05/18/2022
watson to sherlock (observing headlines and scratching confusingly noggin and chin)
-
"The economy is strong. Consumer balance sheets are healthy. Businesses are healthy," Powell yesty
Americans are more stressed about money than ever, and it’s hurting our mental health
Target and Walmart are not alone in their earnings struggles as S&P 500 margins fall
Target shares sink 25% after company says high costs, inventory woes hit profits
yo sherlock ... how does that fit and work all together ?
Mtl JP 10:24:34 GMT - 05/18/2022
GBP 1.2423, eurgbp 0.8474
can't help loving the astutement of british rags
-
The revelation caused outrage last night because governor Andrew Bailey has warned he feels ‘helpless’ in the face of surging inflation and 'apocalyptic’ food price rises.
sherlock to watson
-
Stock Futures Trade Lower as Powell Says Fed Has 'Resolve' to Cool Inflation
U.S. stock futures slip a day after solid market bounce
GVI Forex08:23:33 GMT - 05/18/2022
A look at the day ahead in markets from Julien Ponthus.
One might think that with CNN's popular gauge of investor sentiment stuck on 'extreme fear', it would take some seriously good news to lift up markets these days.
soooo .... this is how jeff cox interprets what what he thinks (?) jerome would like players to "get". (I think ... that jerome is one tuff, determined pitbull/rottweiler mix fighting a labrapoodle called Inflation)
-
Namely:
*Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he will back interest rate increases until prices start falling back toward a healthy level.
* “If that involves moving past broadly understood levels of neutral we won’t hesitate to do that,” the central bank leader told the Wall Street Journal
red
leave the indexes and Vix to the Daily Racing Form traders.
The Trends----food, fuel, treasuries....go back to basic futures trading.
cheers
dc CB 21:24:48 GMT - 05/17/2022
re: Quinex CVX---- Biden admin announced it plans to allow Chevron to negotiate its oil license with Venezuela’s national producer
API
Crude -2.445mm (+1.553mm exp)
Cushing -3.071mm - biggest draw since Oct 2021
Gasoline -5.102mm - biggest draw since Oct 2021
Distillates +1.075mm
Large draws for Crude and Gasoline stocks.
June Crude---113xx
July Crude---110xx
london red 19:51:44 GMT - 05/17/2022
yup plenty of scardy cats to fry. dc, what do u see, 20 on the vix before back up, or just the low 20's?
dc CB 19:26:37 GMT - 05/17/2022
June trading in the 112 handle.
July trading in the 109 handle
dc CB 19:22:12 GMT - 05/17/2022
also Fri June WTI (CME crude) goes off the board---July trading
dc CB 19:19:21 GMT - 05/17/2022
this is OPEX week----tomow --- VIX futures Expiry
Fri --- the Yuge collection of Puts to be voided
london red 18:44:44 GMT - 05/17/2022
JP, euro had to do some catch up from last wk, now in line. from here anyones guess but since they chose not to run stocks down on powell, looks like they have some upside work to do
Caribbean! Rafe... 18:29:45 GMT - 05/17/2022
pray for him...
Mtl JP 18:18:14 GMT - 05/17/2022
that "before" probably has another 4 months to run
before everyone sees IF his "inflation" reduction fight is a winner or loser
and IF it will be a loser by about that 4th month hence...
watchout
GVI Forex18:17:03 GMT - 05/17/2022
Powrll signals broad support 50bps hikes at next 2 Fed meetings.
Mtl JP 18:15:17 GMT - 05/17/2022
powell says
- wants to see 'clear and convincing evidence' inflation is cooling before slowing down pace of rate hikes
- 50 basis point rate hikes in both June and July is a plan and not a done deal
Mtl JP 18:05:58 GMT - 05/17/2022
just watching price-action on "risk"
IF it tilts down
jerome will have made some "booo" comment about 75
Mtl JP 17:56:35 GMT - 05/17/2022
lots of headlines containing "freeze hiring" and "costs rising" today
Mtl JP 17:18:46 GMT - 05/17/2022
earlier today bullard offered that “Luck favors the prepared.” pithy-ity
-
lets see how prepared and how in favor with the gawds jerome is today
Mtl JP 15:52:03 GMT - 05/17/2022
mushroom farmers r-a coming:
-
powell at 2pm
just to make sure and for safety
he ll be followed by mester and later by evans just-in-case mop crew
Mtl JP 15:46:17 GMT - 05/17/2022
crypto
how does the bell toll for it ?
-
Regulators have the authority to act now to stop runs on risky stablecoins
Terra crash sharpens Washington’s attention on crypto regulations
- MarketWatch
Israel MacroMicro 15:03:56 GMT - 05/17/2022
the bonds, they are the leaders for now / imo
Mtl JP 14:20:15 GMT - 05/17/2022
red 11:15 usual perennial puzzle
who leads: bonds, stocks or FX
london red 11:15:02 GMT - 05/17/2022
euro now priced in a bit of stock rally. now up to 1.05xx where it spent the couple of prior weeks. so a natural selling level for some. but if stocks can add to gains then euro could still squeeze to 1.07xx
Mtl JP 10:51:19 GMT - 05/17/2022
10:28 -- jay wanna trade some italian paper ?
GVI Forex10:28:23 GMT - 05/17/2022
EURUSD spikes higher on this:
ECB's Knot says a 25bps hike is realistic; says a 50bps hike should be excluded if data in the next few months suggests that inflation is broadening and accumulating.
'
Source:
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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