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PAR 06:53:42 GMT - 05/25/2022  

Holger Zschaepitz
@Schuldensuehner
·
44m

#ECB balance Sheet has hit fresh ATH. Also fits well with the inflation topic being discussed here in Davos at #wef22.


PAR 06:29:45 GMT - 05/25/2022  
By being negligent about accelerating inflation trends, Lagarde herself is planting the seeds for the next European recession and social unrest.

Raising interest rates is not so complicated if you are an economist.


Mtl JP  15:09:34 GMT - 05/24/2022  
short while ago lagarde said "we are not in panic mode"


PAR 14:55:56 GMT - 05/24/2022  

What a cacophony at the ECB. It is becoming a Commedia Dell Arte.

(Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank should consider raising interest rates by half a percentage point if justified by the inflation outlook, Governing Council member Martins Kazaks said.


PAR 14:27:41 GMT - 05/24/2022  
Why is Christine Lagarde so slow to act. Is she too old for the job?
Is she as a lawyer always looking for more proof to convince a jury?

A central banker should preview and act before things get out of control.


PAR 14:01:03 GMT - 05/24/2022  
(Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank should consider kicking off its interest-rate hiking cycle with a half-point increase to convince people that it’s serious about fighting inflation, according to Governing Council member Robert Holzmann.

A step of 50 basis points would be “appropriate” in July, the Austrian governor said in an interview in Vienna on Tuesday, contrasting with ECB President Christine Lagarde’s more cautious approach in a blog post the previous day suggesting a quarter-point move.

“A bigger step at the start of our rate-hike cycle would make sense,” said Holzmann, one of the most hawkish members of the Governing Council. “It would keep people on their toes and signal to markets that we’ve understood the need to act. Everything else risks being seen as soft.”

The euro extended gains versus the dollar and short-end German bonds pared their advance after the publication of Holzmann’s comments. Traders held rate-hike bets steady, wagering on about 34 basis points of ECB tightening by July.

A half-point hike would echo the US Federal Reserve’s more aggressive approach adopted earlier this month, when it accelerated its tightening with a move of that size. More than 40 global counterparts have also used increases of at least that increment so far this year.


PAR 12:28:23 GMT - 05/24/2022  
“A 50 basis-point hike is not part of the consensus at this point, I am clear,” the governor said. “It will be a normalization of our monetary policy, it’s not a tightening” and “interest rate hikes will be gradual,” he said.

Holzmann subsequently spoke out in an interview on Tuesday in favor of starting out with a half-point move, saying that “everything else risks being seen as soft.” Klaas Knot of the Netherlands is the only other official so far to publicly air that possibility.

Under Lagarde’s calendar, the ECB will end bond purchases in June, and hike once in July and once in September, bringing its deposit rate from -0.5% up to zero. That timetable riled colleagues who want to keep open the option of acting faster, according to people familiar with the matter.

“When you’re out of negative, you can be at zero, you can be slightly above zero,” she said, refusing to be drawn on whether the central bank might consider a 50 basis-point move. “This is something we will determine on the basis of our projections, on the basis of our forward guidance.”


PAR 10:38:45 GMT - 05/24/2022  
Lagarde's bold predictions.

NO RECESSION PREDICTION = TRANSITORY INFLATION PREDICTION

Even Madame Soleil has a better track record than Madame Lagarde.


Mtl JP  09:38:06 GMT - 05/24/2022  
too much demand too little supply ?
ultimately prices sufficiently high are self-correcting

in the meantime ... it is an opportunity for gov't to offer price-inflationary compensation payment to peasants. win / win



PAR 09:23:03 GMT - 05/24/2022  
The price of French fries is expected to rise by more than 25% in the next couple of weeks.


PAR 08:49:50 GMT - 05/24/2022  
European rates will stay negative for the foreseeable future even if European inflation should continue to rise.

It has been decided by "The Queen of Frankfurt".


PAR 08:19:43 GMT - 05/24/2022  
Lagarde is not data-dependent.

A 0.50% rate hike is out of the question.

Lagarde made up her mind. Hike 0.25 in July, go on holiday and come back in September.


Mtl JP  07:54:06 GMT - 05/24/2022  
... Irks Some at ECB ... - rofl
-
it is not like the ECB is some sort of democratic institution
it may or not vote on major policy issues and nevermind that each member (19 of them) has one vote.

the "irked" ones
can avail themselves of "an on-site Medical Centre provides a full range of occupational health services, including vaccinations."


PAR 07:24:27 GMT - 05/24/2022  
Inflation is TRANSITORY.

No RECESSION

Lagarde and the ECB lost all credibility.

My 8-year grandson has better ideas about where the economy is heading to than Lane and Lagarde.


PAR 07:14:29 GMT - 05/24/2022  
Lagarde again plays solo slim and doesn't listen to the major shareholder of the ECB - GERMANY.


Lagarde’s Rate-Hike Plan Irks Some at ECB Who Want Faster Option
President wrote blog with timetable to exit subzero policy
Plan risks ruling out half-point move, some officials worry

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde’s prospective timetable for two quarter-point interest-rate hikes has irked colleagues who want to keep open the option of moving faster, according to people familiar with the matter.

WAR AT THE ECB






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