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dc CB  20:31:18 GMT - 06/30/2022  
and so ending the 1st Half.
Half-Time entertainment-----Pudge and the Wankers

looking at the scoreboard



Mtl JP  18:59:41 GMT - 06/30/2022  
DLRx 104.4x and 10yr 2.983
POOF ! 105
-
Players probably contra-pricing jerome's alleged tuff talk on inflation
odds are jerome's gang will have to go full point(s) to regain credibility and respect from players


PAR  14:20:58 GMT - 06/30/2022  
Margin calls and margin calls.


GVI 10:50:28 GMT - 06/30/2022  
Reminder, it is month/quarter-end. Typically usd buying is seen when stocks fall sharply during the month as fx hedges get adjusted to lower value of the portfolio. However, the quarter-end makes it more tricky but so far usd is in demand as risk-off dominates.

Key time of day for flows today is the 4 PM London fixing.


PAR 09:48:28 GMT - 06/30/2022  
Black Thursday in European stock markets as ECB seems only interested in buying Italian bonds.


GVI Forex 08:57:02 GMT - 06/30/2022  
A look at the day ahead in markets from Julien Ponthus.

Investors on recession watch learnt little they didn't already know from the world's top central bankers gathered at the European Central Bank's annual conference in Portugal.

Morning Bid: This is going to hurt



GVI 22:37:12 GMT - 06/29/2022  
EURCHF is acting as a good EUR sentiment indicator, currently below 1.00


dc CB  20:11:03 GMT - 06/29/2022  
make it a very long weekend for the US MarkIts.
end of month end of quarter end of half.

don't bother
cheers


dc CB  17:20:45 GMT - 06/29/2022  
Listen to the linked interview----start time noted.
At the end he sez that they are 'in trials' using the mRNA tech to finally develop a sucessfull HIV Vax.

He's be tilting at this windmill his entire career...he's going to stick around for the celebration.

The intv is kind of scary---esp when he get's 'political' about ***misinformation---aka Lies***


Mtl JP  17:14:46 GMT - 06/29/2022  
I do not know why he does not park himself on some nice beach, close to a fridge full of frosty livetions and sway to the sound of waves observing the passing scenery instead of gallivanting at some forum ... and write a book


dc CB  16:49:24 GMT - 06/29/2022  
Mtl JP 16:54 GMT 06/28
more moRE lockdowns and profit-trading opportunities:
WHO adviser says G7 leaders must prioritize COVID-19 or face economic harm, unrest
_____________________________________________

Fauci

"Much Worse" COVID Symptoms After 'Paxlovid Rebound'



dc CB  14:56:31 GMT - 06/29/2022  
Crude DOE reports finally.

DOE (net of the two weeks)
Crude -2.762mm
Cushing -782k
Gasoline +2.645mm
Distillates +2.559mm

Cushing inventories are getting very close to operational-low-limits again...
Cushing storage tanks require a minimum level of oil to maintain normal operations, which traders estimate at ~20M barrels.

US Crude Production rose to its highest since April 2020...

WTI



Mtl JP  14:43:15 GMT - 06/29/2022  
EURO 1.047x
puppy will need to bust south of 1.045ish for trip lower
else a pop uP is in the cards (1.05 - 1.06)


jkt abel  12:45:54 GMT - 06/29/2022  
Hk's c9s are buying gold again


Mtl JP  12:37:12 GMT - 06/29/2022  
Mohamed is just more charitable and polite
-
Mohamed A. El-Erian
@elerianm
Good morning.

On the risk of a flip-flopping Fed in the face on both high inflation and weakening economic growth.

https://www.ft.com/content/23c3a3a7-b2da-412c-8050-bdad986fde21


Mtl JP  11:52:00 GMT - 06/29/2022  
mester says
-
* The US Federal Reserve is “just at the beginning” of raising interest rates to control inflation ... and

* wants to see the benchmark lending rate "a little bit above 4% next year." - bbrg


Mtl JP  11:06:15 GMT - 06/29/2022  
Inflation & Fighters & Data & Guidance & Communication paroles
i.e. mushroom farming* feeding time
-
current various - ecb / fed - PhDs' chorus:
(I) "support rate hike" BUT only IF "data support it"

*mushroom farming: feed 'em chit and keep 'em in the dark

---------
inasmuch as policy makers appear to want market players to believe and focus on that interest is THE inflation-taming appropriate tool

Vincent Cignarella suggests that it is "The Fed’s balance sheet as a percentage of GDP is what is driving today’s inflation -- not the nominal Fed Funds rate." but so far his suggestion does not appear to have traction in the market as a theme. you judge:

via ZH / "Catastrophic Risk To Stocks And Bonds": Fed's Balance Sheet Caused Inflation, Not Low Rates



GVI Forex 07:31:40 GMT - 06/29/2022  
A look at the day ahead in markets from Julien Ponthus.

Much of the market rebound from the lows hit on June 17 was credited to data being arguably bad enough to encourage central banks to go easy on their aggressive policy tightening plans yet good enough to suggest a recession could be avoided.

MORNING BID-When bad data is just that



Mtl JP  01:25:37 GMT - 06/29/2022  
SnP 3820
FED gang Inflation fight Player sentiment
-
by quick non-scientific headlines count I am observing increased division amongst pundits about FED's staying power and commitment

SnP was circa 3925, -10% would bring it to somes' consensus bottom around 3500


Mtl JP  18:15:36 GMT - 06/28/2022  
taking on risk needs to be accompanied by appropriate+ level of potential reward. finance 101 and 102. not PhD


dc CB  17:50:30 GMT - 06/28/2022  
After one ugly 2Y auction and one catastrophic 5Y sale on Monday, today the week's truncated auction schedule saw the last coupon issuance for the week when the Treasury sold $40BN in 7Y paper. And while the auction was not as bad as the infamous Feb 21 "failed" 7Y auction but it sure was ugly.

That said, a few weeks of QT, a few more rate hikes and we won't be surprised if we have an actual failed belly-buster auction.

Tailing 7Y Auction, But It Could Have Been Worse



dc CB  17:22:34 GMT - 06/28/2022  
North Carolina’s largest hospital systems made billions of dollars in profits during the pandemic, while simultaneously taking $1.5 billion in taxpayer-funded COVID-19 relief funds, according to a report released Wednesday by the state treasurer’s office.

The Report



dc CB  17:17:35 GMT - 06/28/2022  
Remember at the beginning of this year when you could not turn on the TV or log on to the web without being bombarded by a non-stop wave of covid fear mongering?

Remember when you couldn't even ask questions about the validity of the claims made by Anthony Fauci, the CDC and others without getting booted from social media?

Where did all the hype go? It disappeared in a matter of weeks once the corporate media gave up on the narrative.

This abandonment of the precious covid program has been made evident in the latest G7 summit, which does not seem to have covid listed as a topic of discussion, and the pandemic has so far been completely overshadowed by other concerns. World leaders have clearly moved on and are not even wearing masks for show anymore (If the vaccines actually work, what do you need a mask for? If they don't work, then why take one?).

COVID Falls From G7 Agenda - Focus Now On Russia, Russia, Russia



Mtl JP  16:54:03 GMT - 06/28/2022  
didn't christia say it was OK to be mad ? mad in general and mad at her too ?
more moRE lockdowns and profit-trading opportunities:
-
Dr. Bruce Aylward said failing to keep COVID-19 at the top of the agenda risks further economic harm and unleashing more civil unrest.

"The first thing the G7 has to say is, 'We have an opportunity to beat this pandemic, we need to turn the burners on now,'" Aylward said.

That includes funding investments in vaccines and treatments for COVID-19 and, when the updated vaccines are released later this year .../..

WHO adviser says G7 leaders must prioritize COVID-19 or face economic harm, unrest



dc CB  16:17:27 GMT - 06/28/2022  
Mtl JP 14:01
EURO
_________________________
going the way of the Kuroda Yen???
ECB's Laguarde following the Japan Plan....'turning Japanese'
The Vapors-1980 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nGy9uomagO4)

(from the ECB's summer camp)
ECB President Christine Lagarde said that the central bank will activate one part of the bond-purchasing firepower it’s earmarked as "a first line of defense" against a possible debt-market crisis this coming Friday... which just "coincidentally" happens to be the day the ECB's QE ends!

“We have decided to apply this flexibility in reinvesting redemptions coming due in the PEPP portfolio as of 1 July,” Lagarde said Tuesday in a speech in Sintra, Portugal, where the ECB is holding its annual retreat.

ECB Launch "First Line" Of Bond Crash Defense On Friday, Same Day QE Ends



Mtl JP  14:01:15 GMT - 06/28/2022  
EURO 1.0532 (LoD 1.0525-ish)
-
puppy is uninspiring post lagarde's meek hawk talk
re and re-peddling qtr point hike in july


Mtl JP  13:49:32 GMT - 06/28/2022  
at top of the hour
-
conf board consumer confidence;
richmon fed manuf index (-5 expt'd)
lets see if manufacturing slowdown continues (dlr neg)

*****
12:30 nyt - daly yaks


Mtl JP  13:09:47 GMT - 06/28/2022  
sherlock: "‘I know, my dear Watson, that you share my love of all that is bizarre and outside the conventions and humdrum routine of everyday life.’"

so ... exactly ... what is "recession" ?
if only they could agree:
-
New York Fed President John Williams says a U.S. recession is not his base case - reports cnbc's Jeff Cox

ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood says the U.S. is already in a recession - reports cnbc's Yun Li


Mtl JP  12:45:59 GMT - 06/28/2022  
DLRx 104.05
"risk" - SnP, tech - not liking higher dlr


Mtl JP  11:35:53 GMT - 06/28/2022  
DLRx 103.72; Euro 1.0586; Gold 1823; Brent 113
challenges perspectives leading voices
-
Journalists will likely serve up yakkings - "perspectives" - on the “Challenges for monetary policy in a rapidly changing world” of "Leading voices in the world of central banking"

traders - on the other hand - will assess and evaluate - via price-action - the clowns' comedy

ECB Forum on Central Banking 2022 Programme



Mtl JP  11:02:52 GMT - 06/28/2022  
Sherlock : "You will not apply my precept. How often have I said to you that when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth?"
-
"The Fed’s balance sheet as a percentage of GDP is what is driving today’s inflation -- not the nominal Fed Funds rate. This will emerge as a major risk to stocks and bonds if not managed soon."

By Vincent Cignarella via ZH

"Catastrophic Risk To Stocks And Bonds": Fed's Balance Sheet Caused Inflation, Not Low Rates



dc CB  20:46:03 GMT - 06/27/2022  
BANK OF AMERICA PLANS TO BOOST QUARTERLY DIV TO $0.22/SHR (FROM $0.21/SHR)

*MORGAN STANLEY: 11% DIV RISE TO $0.775/SHR, AUTHORIZATION OF A $20B MULTI-YEAR BUYBACK

*TRUIST: PLANNED BOOST IN DIV TO 52CENTS FROM 48CENTS

*BNY MELLON PLANS TO INCREASE QUARTERLY DIVIDEND 9% TO 37C/SHARE


Mtl JP  18:21:42 GMT - 06/27/2022  
it is 2022
equifax breach type thinggie again ?

june 17th -- hardware failure -- transferring data -- on june 27th

who is in charge: name _ , qualifications _
affirmative action music teacher again - what was here name ...


dc CB  18:12:03 GMT - 06/27/2022  
We are still in the process of restoring our systems.

As a result, we will not publish new data today, June 27, 2022.

This delay includes the Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update. https://go.usa.gov/xJssu

Awe still broken



dc CB  17:59:49 GMT - 06/27/2022  
Today in Auction Land---2s and 5s.

Poor 2Y Auction Tails At Highest Yield Since 2007 As Foreign Buyers Flee
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/poor-2y-auction-tails-highest-yield-2007-foreign-buyers-flee

Terrible 5Y Auction Prices With Huge Tail As Foreign Demand Tumbles
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/welcome-qt-terrible-5y-auction-prices-huge-tail-foreign-demand-tumbles


Mtl JP  17:31:03 GMT - 06/27/2022  
who is tyler quoting ? "Growth scare" back on...
-
cnbc:
Wall Street layoffs likely ahead as two-year hiring boom turns to bust
think larry's prescription warms the cockles of his heart at the promising start to Sacrifice Ratio



dc CB  16:57:17 GMT - 06/27/2022  
The comments from survey respondents are perhaps most enlightening of the reality facing many businesses in America: foreign dependence, cost inflation, over-regulation, and Biden energy policies...

Everything we buy and sell comes and goes by truck, if we can get a truck at any price. Inflation will continue until the country is self-sufficient in oil and gas. The current political policy may not change until 2024. Therefore, inflation will be our consistent companion for a while, then stagflation!

We see the environment for the oil industry becoming even worse than the previous months. Biden is promoting a very caustic attitude toward the oil industry, which doesn’t help the country in any way.

"We’ll all be lucky to have a job with two more years of this disaster."

"You can’t ignore the economic fundamentals leading to a likely recession, and the administration [in Washington] is either stubborn or as paralyzed as a deer in headlights"

Respondents Unleash Unprecedented Slamdown Of "Disastrous" Biden Administration



Mtl JP  15:37:53 GMT - 06/27/2022  
for the record
-
Dallas Fed Manuf -17.7 vs -3.1 expct'd

some call it meganegasurprise, others a disaster
larry probably has cheshire cat grin


Mtl JP  14:33:42 GMT - 06/27/2022  
lagarde gives pre-dinner yak in 3hrs


Mtl JP  14:12:48 GMT - 06/27/2022  
for the record:
-
pending home sales: uP 0.7% vs -3.7% expt'd


Mtl JP  13:56:03 GMT - 06/27/2022  
at top of hour
-
us pending home sales. expectation is for -3.8%

pending meaning number of folks that are trying to get bank mortgage loan approval before making an offer


Mtl JP  13:47:14 GMT - 06/27/2022  
party time !
schemers, deceivers and other seedy characters (includes journalists)
-
The ECB Forum on Central Banking is an annual event organised by the European Central Bank and is held in Sintra, Portugal.

It brings together central bank governors, academics, financial market representatives, journalists and others to exchange views on current policy issues and discuss the Forum’s key topic from a longer-term perspective.

ECB Forum on Central Banking - 2022 The 2022 ECB Forum on Central Banking “Challenges for monetary policy in a rapidly changing world” will take place from 27 to 29 June 2022.



Mtl JP  13:35:43 GMT - 06/27/2022  
DLRx 103.75
-
puppy slinking South, ever so gently, quietly
with 10-yr under 3.5% (curr 3.202) dlr rally seems limited unless it pays more interest which, in itself, appears to have low market enthusiasm pricing odds atm


Mtl JP  08:24:03 GMT - 06/27/2022  
Au 1835
clown trying to humour .. who exactly: why would vladimir sell Gold rather than dollar - a us govt treasury's promissory note ?
-
(WaPo) Biden: G-7 to ban Russian gold imports to pressure Putin on Ukraine

sofar it is only a plan. just like banning crude and natgas


GVI Forex 07:23:17 GMT - 06/27/2022  
A look at the day ahead in markets from Saikat Chatterjee.

Take it easy. That seems to be the message from global markets to policymakers at the start of a busy week.

MORNING BID-Take it easy



dc CB  02:18:43 GMT - 06/27/2022  
So this week as it ends....REBALANCING

so If BOTH Bonds and STOCKS are Down----how do Funds Rebalance?

Buy Both or some more of this and less of that....dosen't seem to be a case of Sell X and Buy Y.....shud be an odd too and fro week.

But for sure Sell Comod---as they were the big winners in the last quarter/half.

Let's see....you on the other side---going into the July 4 Hollyday weekend.

Chill


dc CB  02:11:45 GMT - 06/27/2022  
the rally last week was discussed the week before---by the Greek followers on Zero Hedge.
----post OPEX expiry Rally---

but then 'I don't Read ZH...they're all wackos'

meanwhile other reasons mid to late week come to the fore on CNBC/MarketWatch....etc.

have another martini.


Mtl JP  01:13:21 GMT - 06/27/2022  
what is preferable: drunk or insane ?
I'd Rather Have A Bottle In Front Of Me (Than A Frontal Labotomy)
-
June 26, 2022 / Recession may not be here yet — but stagflation is: El-Erian


dc CB  00:51:44 GMT - 06/27/2022  
this week in food
Thurs 6/30----planted acerage.

Tonite corn, soy opened down

weather--- Heat PLUS Rain = growth
(click on left sidebar for 8-14)

6-10



dc CB  23:26:48 GMT - 06/26/2022  
 
chasing chickens without heads.

the Chaser or the Chicken???

the Market Ear



dc CB  23:03:38 GMT - 06/26/2022  
any limit to how mad chrystia ?

in case you didn't pay attention.
Get too mad and WE (Justin-Time and me) will attach your bank account.


Mtl JP  22:49:06 GMT - 06/26/2022  
USDCAD 1.2893
any limit to how mad chrystia ?
-
Asked about the general unease many Canadians feel about the economy, Freeland (can finmin) struck a similar tone.

"I say it's OK to be mad," she said. "It's OK to be mad at me. I really understand that this is an incredibly challenging economic time. It's really, really hard for a lot of people."


dc CB  21:55:31 GMT - 06/26/2022  
soo with the G7 annc'ng---forever Ukrainnning --- and Checks saying---yeh we Potlached all that Old Stuff from the 2000s

Buy the BIG Armament StoX.

The G7 Potlach.

What is a Potlatch?
Pacific Northwest Coastal Native Americans
in Olden Times for Kids----Somebody got the Note Card!!!!!

Big Event Potlatches
Dignity Potlatches

Vengeance Potlatches: There were even vengeance potlatches. If you wanted to knock a clan down a step or two, you might try to trick them into giving a potlatch to use up some of their wealth. People tried very hard not to lose their temper and be tricked into giving a costly potlatch to save face. So, if a clan had more wealth than yours, you tried to ignore their insults. Understanding and using the potlatch system for your own clans' advancement took great skill.

The competition to show how wealthy you were, no matter how untrue, nearly destroyed these early people.


Mtl JP  21:20:08 GMT - 06/26/2022  
20/20 hindsight
-
Shares of Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. rallied again Friday, as better-than-expected earnings and a dividend hike followed a decision by the Supreme Court of the United States to strike down a New York gun-control provision.

The gun maker’s stock SWBI, +14.48% soared 14.5% to , after running up 9.6% on Thursday. The two-day climb of 25.5% came after the stock closed at a two-year low on Wednesday

Meanwhile, shares of fellow firearms company Sturm, Ruger & Co. Inc. RGR, +2.72% have bounced 71% in two days, after closing Wednesday at an 18-month low.


Mtl JP  21:00:31 GMT - 06/26/2022  
CB 19:04 larry can vindictively "I told you so" bloviate coz his may 4th and 24th WaPo opinions ("predictions") came to.

currently larry prescribes:

- "there needs to be a lasting period of higher unemployment to contain inflation — a one-year spike to 10%, two years of 7.5% unemployment or five years of 6% unemployment."
- for the unemployed rolls to swell to roughly 16 million from just under 6 million in May

and so now the political hacks and policy-advising economic PhDs are amusing selves duking it over the Sacrifice Ratio.

translating to plebian: to bring down prices lower demand by increasing peasant un-employment (pain).


PAR  19:58:22 GMT - 06/26/2022  
ECB raising interest rates to ZERO is a tax cut and a stimulative fiscal policy.

ECB should never ever have gone negative on interest rates.


dc CB  19:04:40 GMT - 06/26/2022  
when Summers appears on all these shows is he ever introduced as one of people responsible for eliminating the rule that kept 'bankers' from gambling with their Depositors money. Eliminating the rule that was put in place after the Great Depression in the 1930s.

Or while at Harvard running the Harvard Endowment he pissed away a few billion with his bad investment decisions and almost broke the Harvard Endowment Fund.

Not ever.


Mtl JP  18:51:38 GMT - 06/26/2022  
"inevitable"
bargains and new profit opportunities r looming
cash. will be king again.
-
"I think a recession is almost inevitable, probably a 75%, 80% chance within the next two years, and there's certainly a real risk that it will come sooner," Summers said Sunday on Bloomberg's "Wall Street Week", contradicting Biden


Mtl JP  15:19:14 GMT - 06/26/2022  
DLRx 103.88; SnP 3913
-
first there was kristalina starting the chorus
now aping
(Bloomberg) Stagflation Threat Needs Central Bank Action, BIS Warns
“The risk of stagflation looms over the global economy as the threat of a new inflation era coincides with a weaker outlook for growth and elevated financial vulnerabilities,” - BIS

“Our fear is that while the ECB cannot tame inflation with higher interest rates, you could trigger a recession,” - squealed in delight about christine's abilities Ernest Urtasun, a European Parliament lawmaker from Spain

Weanwhile all the "fight inflation else" remedy screaming from the PhDed "experts" is making peasant thankful :
"Inflation is eating into people’s confidence about their savings.

More than half (58%) of Americans reported they feel “very uncomfortable” or “somewhat uncomfortable” with the amount of emergency savings they have, according to a Bankrate survey released Thursday and conducted in early June, up 10 percentage points from last year." - MarketWatch


Mtl JP  19:11:51 GMT - 06/25/2022  
USDCAD 1.2890
-
peasants crying:
Nearly half (46 per cent) of those surveyed by the Angus Reid Institute said they trust the central bank will adequately fulfil its mandate to ensure price stability, but a similar number (41 per cent) disagreed.

now peasants are laughing:
“Inflation is too high; it’s hurting Canadians,” Carolyn Rogers, the Bank of Canada’s senior deputy governor, said at an event in Toronto on June 22 . “It’s keeping us up at night and we will not rest easy until we get it back down to target … That’s why we’re raising interest rates and, as we say, we’re raising them quite aggressively.”

but they don't really know why, just that it is an uneasy laughter.



Mtl JP  18:30:39 GMT - 06/25/2022  
PAR 13:21 BIDEN - If he cares about women and abortion ...

powell and gang did not see. yellen did not see. biden's "advisors" did not see. do you see a common theme ? keep on dreaming. see CB 18:02 for what "they" tell biden how and what to care about.

courtesy New York Times:
-
June 25, 2022 WASHINGTON — When President Biden met his Western allies in Europe three months ago, the world was rallying behind Ukraine, and NATO suddenly had a new sense of purpose — its old purpose, containing Russia. There was talk of “crippling sanctions.” President Vladimir V. Putin was in retreat, and talk of victory was in the air.

Mr. Biden returns to Europe on Saturday night at a moment when everything about the war is harder.

A New Task for Biden: Readying Allies for a Long Conflict in Ukraine
In March, talk of victory was in the air. Now, maintaining unity against President Vladimir V. Putin is looking harder, with President Biden heading to Germany and Spain to rally Europe.



Mtl JP  14:28:53 GMT - 06/25/2022  
the (un?)bearable pressure on the independent FED

kristalina approves and applauds
US recession 'necessary price' to defeat inflation

"Of course, the responsibility to restore low and stable inflation rests with the Federal Reserve."

kristalina (and her gang) are counting on you jerome:
"we are confident the Fed will be effective in bringing inflation down, will remain data dependent and, as conditions change, will telegraph clearly where policy is likely to go. This is important not just for the U.S. but also for the global economy." - ya hear jerome, are you paying attention ?!

Managing Director's Opening Remarks at the United States 2022 Article IV Press Conference - June 24, 2022



Mtl JP  12:00:30 GMT - 06/25/2022  
"You never let a serious crisis go to waste. And what I mean by that it's an opportunity to do things you think you could not do before." - Rahm Emanuel, Democrats’ mentality
-
the world's most prosperous democratic nations
Japan, Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, the European Union and Germany

World leaders are facing crises on all fronts. Putin will be watching if they fail
Analysis by Nic Robertson, CNN International Diplomatic Editor



Mtl JP  20:45:02 GMT - 06/24/2022  
uh uh ... just refreshed my marketwatch feed :
-
04:26 Fed’s Bullard says rapid rise in interest rates now is the best way to avoid recession later

04:19 Fed’s Daly sees another big hike in interest rates in the fight against inflation

avagoodone one-n-all

dc CB 17:42 - think the (mostly) females will sober up and heed biden's suggestion OR "the beating will continue until morale improves" ?


Mtl JP  20:20:55 GMT - 06/24/2022  
 
this looks very very bad on the "unconditional" inflation fighting FED
-
04:08 Main stock-market indexes book first winning week in June
04:07 Dow books a weekly gain of 5.4%; S&P 500 logs a weekly advance of 6.5%; Nasdaq Composite notches 7.5% return for the week
04:06 S&P 500 closes up 3.1% on Friday; Dow ends up 2.7%; Nasdaq Composite finishes 3.3% higher
04:06 U.S. stocks finish higher, snapping three weeks of losses
04:04 Dow ends session more than 800 points higher Friday as stock indexes snap weekly streak of losses
-- srce: MarketWatch



Mtl JP  18:50:19 GMT - 06/24/2022  
 
SnP 3895.50
Bingo !

Gap now POOF !


dc CB  17:57:56 GMT - 06/24/2022  
US Auctions 2s,5s,7s next week.


dc CB  17:33:08 GMT - 06/24/2022  
Earlier today we laid out two traders views, one bull and one bear, both of which agreed that the next leg in stocks will be higher, and laid out their reasons. Now a third potential catalyst for a major month-end rally has emerged: according to Goldman trading desk estimates, there is a net $30 billion of US equities to buy from US pensions given the moves in equities and bonds over the month and quarter.

Month-End Pension Buying



Mtl JP  16:57:18 GMT - 06/24/2022  
SnP 3,886.15
-
puppy not showing vigor atm
at 3895.50 the gap would be POOF!


Mtl JP  14:16:56 GMT - 06/24/2022  
 
"risk" players currently slaying the FED mushroom farmers and ...
are cashing in

I am guessing players are pricing that FED gang's blabbing is going to tilt the economy into recession which in turn will force the gang to give up its "unconditional" fight


Mtl JP  14:09:00 GMT - 06/24/2022  
the FED gang has a definite credibility issue with players

official “unconditional” and what-ever it takes blather not showing traction sofar


Mtl JP  14:04:51 GMT - 06/24/2022  
 
DLRx 103.8x
-
challenging yesty's range at the lower end

typically, but not always, a good leading indicator for trading euro or "risk"


Mtl JP  10:00:20 GMT - 06/24/2022  
 
post-jerome's heroic but self-charitable admission that he's misjudged inflation BUT that NOW he IS the man to combat it ...

"risk" is uP


Mtl JP  07:54:35 GMT - 06/24/2022  
"experts" are suggesting
-
El-Erian: 'Uncomfortably possible' the Fed will 'push us into recession'
-- The Federal Reserve’s ability to achieve a “soft landing” in its fight against inflation is looking increasingly less likely, a growing number of economists are suggesting.


Mtl JP  18:10:50 GMT - 06/23/2022  
 
first: some real-estate peddling agents POOF!
-
Netflix lays off 300 more employees as revenue growth slows

***
higher interest + high thinggie prices + bit of overhead tossing will, in time, tame the high rate of job offers going begging


PAR  17:47:45 GMT - 06/23/2022  
It was Biden's choice to appoint Powell.

He had plenty of options.


Mtl JP  16:49:42 GMT - 06/23/2022  
red 13:51 - "guidance" from powell:
-
"The main thing is we can't fail on this. We really have to get inflation down to 2%," Powell told lawmakers. "We're going to want to see evidence that it really is coming down before we declare any kind of victory." .../

https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/23/economy/fed-jerome-powell-house-testimony/index.html


Mtl JP  16:24:57 GMT - 06/23/2022  
cnbc 2022 - 06 - 23 // Germany is moving to the so-called "alert level" of its emergency gas plan, as reduced Russian flows exacerbate fears of a winter supply shortage.

"This relates to the biggest risk scenario for the #growth outlook ... not just for #Germany, but also for #Europe as a whole."

el eleriann



dc CB  16:18:00 GMT - 06/23/2022  
about food
Recession plus rain in July

US Grains



GVI Forex 15:17:07 GMT - 06/23/2022  
US yields continue to slide


london red  13:51:43 GMT - 06/23/2022  
us pmis

services rate of input price inflation was the softest for five months and eased notably from may. the rise in manufacturing input prices was the slowest since april 2021.
peak inflation?


Mtl JP  13:33:01 GMT - 06/23/2022  
DLRx 104.14
-
powell yaks at top of hour. odds are he ll repeat what he said yesty:
- the the surprise is inflation's fault and not his and the 2500+ salary(wo)men inability to see it coming . hence , as he is likely to repeat "they" are in fix-it rather than pre-empt "inflation" and that peasants should have confidence both the FED gangs ability to understand and in the quality of the tool(s) they use in their combat on behalf of peasants.

EURO 1.0523
I am in wait n see mode
probably needs to go N of stay N of 1.06 or puppy
runs risk of heaving .
I am not bothering with S and Rs atm,
maybe play the opportunistic scalp inside the current range


Mtl JP  10:57:09 GMT - 06/23/2022  
blablabla
-
“I think that the most recent inflation indicators, various kinds, suggest to us that we need to accelerate the pace at which we can get up to a level that is neutral,” - powell yesty

10-yr 3.117 (down some)
"risk" 3792.50 (uP some) - but testing prev high


jkt abel  09:34:44 GMT - 06/23/2022  
yeah you are right ab, no SL posts now, just like wfakhoury...
to each his own, just sending signals as they appear


hk ab  09:23:16 GMT - 06/23/2022  
Don't post SL.....

They just chased it.

Maybe you put it a range.






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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