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Caribbean! Rafe...  18:22:41 GMT - 11/24/2022  
Caribbean! Rafe... 18:10 GMT 11/24/2022 - My Profile

Views shared based upon my own Fundamentalist Observations...

Caribbean! Rafe...  18:10:44 GMT - 11/24/2022  
GVI 08:03 GMT 11/22/2022

Covid & Crypto are both positively correlated and both are bad for the world. I shared my humble opinion on that a few months back.

In what year was bitcoin created...?

PAR 15:48:25 GMT - 11/23/2022  
Before and during a US holiday US stock market almost always move higher.

S&P targeting 4300.

GVI Forex 06:47:05 GMT - 11/23/2022  
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Ankur Banerjee:

Investors are holding back on big bets as COVID curbs in China keep risk appetite in check, while the focus is shifting firmly to the Fed minutes due to be released later on Wednesday.

Morning Bid: On the fenceN

Mtl JP  22:56:32 GMT - 11/22/2022  
EURO 1.0303
just because puppy pulled back uP and a bit away from 1.0250 does not yet mean it is definitely on its way to 1.05

dc CB  18:31:08 GMT - 11/22/2022  
Gruesome 7Y Auction Sees Biggest Tail Since "That" Feb'21 Sale Which Nuked Bonds

After a subpar and tailing 2Y auction and a mediocre and tailing 5Y auction both of which took place on Monday in the holiday-shortened week, moments ago we got the week's final coupon issuance in the form of $35BN in 7Y paper. It was ugly. In fact, it was almost as ugly as that infamous Feb 2021 7Y auction which sparked a brief selling panic across the Treasury market.

Mtl JP  16:05:18 GMT - 11/22/2022  
just in case things were made clear already
more mushroom farmers on deck today
mester (yakking as I type)
georeg and bullard yak after 2pm

Mtl JP  11:51:24 GMT - 11/22/2022  
US 10-YR 3.791% -0.036
unreasonably low imo
market may see it differently

Mtl JP  09:45:25 GMT - 11/22/2022  
BUT beyond the headline

Mester said she’s on board with the reduced pace.

“We’re at a point where we’re going to enter a restrictive stance of policy. At that point, I think it makes sense that we can slow down a bit the ... pace of increases,” she said. “We’re still going to raise the funds rate, but we’re at a reasonable point now where we can be very deliberate in setting monetary policy.”

Mtl JP  09:39:52 GMT - 11/22/2022  
mushroom farmer mester:
wants more progress on inflation before ending interest rate hikes
according to Jeff Cox


Mtl JP  09:15:18 GMT - 11/22/2022  
SnP 3953

stocks looking at the FED pivot prospects
atm with trepidation

Mtl JP  08:51:31 GMT - 11/22/2022  
DLRx 107.43
breathless about FED and its "pivot"

GVI 08:03:25 GMT - 11/22/2022  
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Anshuman Daga:

A nationwide spike in COVID-19 cases in China is again the main talking point for weary global markets on Tuesday as Beijing shut parks and museums and more cities resumed mass testing.

Morning Bid: COVID blues

PAR 07:40:41 GMT - 11/22/2022  
Trading volumes in all markets subdued because of World Cup football.

dc CB  00:37:16 GMT - 11/22/2022  
US 2year auction today went off at 4.505%

Mtl JP  00:21:36 GMT - 11/22/2022  
looks like riksbank is going to sock it to its citizens
on thursday

Mtl JP  23:22:50 GMT - 11/21/2022  
DLRx 107.69
mushroom farmers
- trying to confuse mushrooms OR
-- are they confused themselves ?

Fed's Daly says 'premature' to rule out another 0.75% rate hike

Fed Can Downshift From 75 Basis-Point Rate Hikes, Mester Says

Bostic said Saturday he is ready to "move away" from three-quarter-point rate hikes at the Fed's December meeting

Brainard Says Rate-Rise Pace Can Slow Soon

Bullard said Thursday that the federal funds rate —now in a range of 3.75% to 4%—would probably have to rise much further to put a damper on inflation.

Mtl JP  22:46:59 GMT - 11/21/2022  
Russia Reiterates It Won’t Sell Oil to Nations That Cap Prices

(Bloomberg) -- Russia doesn’t plan to supply crude or oil products to nations that implement a price cap, according to Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak.

Mtl JP  22:43:54 GMT - 11/21/2022  
did biden buy some for his SPDR on the dip ?

dc CB  21:59:55 GMT - 11/21/2022  
Oil prices puked on WSJ rumors that OPEC+ was considering production hikes (which is just dumb) and sure enough they denied it soon enough and WTI prices rebounded dramatically into the green from a $75 handle all the way back up to an $80 handle... (ZH)

Worked in 1987, still works today----WSJ Rumors.

Bud Fox: Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel.
Wall Street (1987)

Manny I Pulation

Mtl JP  15:50:17 GMT - 11/21/2022  
GBP 1.1763 also = Pivot1 Sup

Mtl JP  15:47:37 GMT - 11/21/2022  
GBP S at 1.1795 under attack

Mtl JP  15:30:29 GMT - 11/21/2022  
GBP 1.18
better than politics
going nowhere everyone in pubs celebratin

England hammered Iran 6-2 on in an emphatic World Cup opener

Mtl JP  15:02:01 GMT - 11/21/2022  
today's conflux
DLRx 107.5x - i.e. N of 107 BUT
while some player are itching for "peak Fed”

EURO 1.0253 boowaaahhhh

puppy could not hold 1.0365 and even worse now for the bulls 1.03

Gooodbye ... nahnahnah goodbye 105 (for now at least)

GVI Forex 09:06:58 GMT - 11/21/2022  
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Anshuman Daga

Enthusiasm over recent moves by Chinese authorities to adjust the country's zero-COVID policy is giving way to renewed caution as COVID cases ticked up in Beijing, stoking a risk-off mood in stocks and currencies, while oil prices hit two-month lows.

MORNING BID-Bulls take cover

dc CB  23:43:15 GMT - 11/20/2022  
the FTX hacker has begun to liquidate those holdings creating significant downward pressure on Ethereum's price.

FTX----it continues Hacker Starts Dumping Massive Haul Of Ether Tokens

GVI 22:00:30 GMT - 11/20/2022  
(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever.

Reports of the dollar’s decline may have been greatly exaggerated, and if that turns out to be the case, it’s bad news for Asia.

Marketmind: Don't doubt the dollar

Mtl JP  14:06:56 GMT - 11/20/2022  
mm..iiiiii...awwww // grrrrr
* “The market is going to set the price so if you put sanctions on at higher prices, in a way you’re just making the situation worse, in my opinion,” Mnuchin told CNBC’s Hadley Gamble.

* G-7 nations are set to announce a fixed price cap on Russian oil that is exported through certain Western routes.

* Analysts say it will be vital for key buyers of Russian oil, India and China, to back the cap.

Jenni Reid just had to trump-tag mnuchin

(yellen's price cap on Russian oil supposed to start happening Dec. 5 and ...
nice to know that "U.S. Treasury Secretary: A Russian Oil Price Cap Will Benefit China And India)

Trump’s former Treasury secretary calls G-7 Russian oil price cap ‘the most ridiculous idea I’ve ever heard’

Mtl JP  12:04:26 GMT - 11/18/2022  
US 10-YR 3.805%, +0.032
'risk' up as well

one is wrong

Mtl JP  02:21:37 GMT - 11/18/2022  
Gold 1763
anyone ...
what is a $100+ pop up saying ? anyone ...

PAR 17:01:44 GMT - 11/17/2022  
VIX keeps dropping and put options will expire worthlessly.

Wall Street is the big winner. Follow them and enjoy.

dc CB  16:47:45 GMT - 11/17/2022  

They really want 1MM layoffs every month
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) November 17, 2022

Mtl JP  15:08:16 GMT - 11/17/2022  
DLRx 106.83
bullard said
(Reuters) Fed's Bullard: Even "dovish" policy assumptions require further rate increases
Even under a "generous" analysis of monetary policy the Federal Reserve needs to continue raising interest rates probably by at least another full percentage point, St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said

and some mushrooms chuckled

I think - at risk of potential ridule - that pops (rallies) in USD are Sell Opps

GVI Forex 09:51:55 GMT - 11/17/2022  
Hi t: Look at the 2-10 year US yield curve -63 bps)

GVI Forex 07:53:29 GMT - 11/17/2022  
SYDNEY (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole

Good is bad again - or vice versa - as markets worry upbeat U.S. retail sales will lead to higher interest rates for longer.

Marketmind: Good is bad? Depends on who or what you are

Mtl JP  15:22:34 GMT - 11/16/2022  
EURO 1.0385
technically puppy continues with a bullish overtone

1.0280 curr Sup

Mtl JP  14:41:23 GMT - 11/16/2022  
looking at atocks u d never know yields off

GVI Forex 14:27:36 GMT - 11/16/2022  
US yields off

Mtl JP  09:52:39 GMT - 11/16/2022  
fresh from optometrist
Running Even Hotter Through Next Year
Nov 15, 2022 (Bloomberg) -- Economists see US inflation running hotter through next year than they did a month ago and recession odds continue to mount against a backdrop of rising borrowing costs.

Mtl JP  09:08:41 GMT - 11/16/2022  
credit: the Covid-19 pandemic
World Population Hits 8 Billion, U.N. Says - wsj Nov. 15
The planet reached the milestone about a year later than expected because of the Covid-19 pandemic.

dc CB  17:48:40 GMT - 11/15/2022  
OrangeManBad making a YUGE Announcement this eve---9PM from the Winter Palace.

Mtl JP  16:52:21 GMT - 11/15/2022  
heating oil 2.5995

expensive to carry

Mtl JP  16:36:08 GMT - 11/15/2022  
NatGas 5.95
a naging GAP

Mtl JP  16:34:36 GMT - 11/15/2022  
ref CB 18:17 Nov11 Jan and Feb reports

dc CB  16:10:26 GMT - 11/15/2022  
Mtl JP 15:24 GMT

Not sure what you are trying to ask re- diesel???

Bullwhip Effect Comes to the Northeast Oil Complex

Mtl JP  15:24:50 GMT - 11/15/2022  
10 Yr 3.801% - 0.068
dc CB u still hold to the 900lb Gorilla theory and rocks in head about early next year diesel prices improving consumer experienece ?


Mtl JP  15:08:02 GMT - 11/15/2022  
"as we all know" according to lisa cook
(Reuters) - Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook on Tuesday said the U.S. central bank is focused on addressing inflation that is "much too high", and businesses and elected officials may be better able to address issues of disparity in the labor market.

"Monetary policy is, as we all know, a blunt instrument," Cook said at a Bank of Canada event on diversity, equity and inclusion in economics, finance and central banking. "The focus for the Federal Reserve is on addressing inflation, and we want a sustainable, strong labor market."

Mtl JP  14:51:46 GMT - 11/15/2022  
lest I forget no.2 mushroom farmer Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard who on Monday during an event hosted at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau mused that:
“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases, but I think what’s really important to emphasize, we’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”

this too made at least one mushroom chuckle

Mtl JP  14:45:32 GMT - 11/15/2022  
short while ago thus spoketh mushroom farmer harker
(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said he expects officials to slow the pace of their interest-rate increases as monetary policy approaches a sufficiently restrictive level.

“In the upcoming months, in light of the cumulative tightening we have achieved, I expect we will slow the pace of our rate hikes as we approach a sufficiently restrictive stance,” Harker said Tuesday in prepared remarks to the Global Interdependence Center in Philadelphia. Sometime next year, “I expect we will hold at a restrictive rate for a while to let monetary policy do its work.”

hahahaha laughed at least one mushroom

GVI Forex 12:52:06 GMT - 11/15/2022  
Look at EURGBP as a driver of EURUSD and GBPUSD

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP  11:41:10 GMT - 11/15/2022  
DLRx 105.95
players definetely not heeding neither yellen nor walker atm

be needing to see / read what FED yakkers mushroom formula contains this week

Mtl JP  07:26:10 GMT - 11/15/2022  
EURO 1.0380

TRYING to go N of 4x daily top

Mtl JP  15:39:31 GMT - 11/14/2022  
DLRx 106.83

looking at general DLR priceaction it would appear that players are not heeding Waller suggestion that they are “way out in front” of having priced the weaker CPI print

10-yr 3.89 ie only marginally up +0.06

Mtl JP  11:03:39 GMT - 11/14/2022  
Fed Official Warns Inflation Fight Has ‘Ways to Go’ - wsj Nov. 13
- Markets cheered a report of better inflation last week, but Fed governor Waller cautions against an overreaction

Mtl JP  10:45:17 GMT - 11/14/2022  
10 Year Treasury 3.884%; + 0.066

maybe what is lifting usdyen

Mtl JP  09:43:00 GMT - 11/14/2022  
GBP 1.1798
looks like GBP is now directionally free post-gap closing

dc CB  07:20:16 GMT - 11/14/2022  

one Smart Guy noted a week or so ago....when it breaks 13K, I'll be buying fistfulls....

GVI Forex 06:54:03 GMT - 11/14/2022  
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Anshuman Daga

Markets have got all excited after last week’s rip-roaring rally in global equities, a big tumble in U.S. Treasury yields and a bruising sell-off in the mighty dollar.

But don’t pop the champagne just yet.

MORNING BID-Don't get carried away

Mtl JP  04:44:17 GMT - 11/14/2022  
BTC $15,935.04
making double bottom
doom doom ... doom doom
eyballing the exit(s) ?

BTC on coindesk

dc CB  04:43:58 GMT - 11/14/2022  
OPEX week

dc CB  04:21:09 GMT - 11/14/2022  
Panic now or not

Sell Now or Be Broke!!!!!!

(Get BetCoin on the cheap)


Time is Running Out to Convert Nothing into Something

Mtl JP  04:07:24 GMT - 11/14/2022  
DLRx 106.60
starting out

dc CB  02:57:08 GMT - 11/14/2022  
Caribbean! Rafe... 19:22 GMT

Posted on November 13, 2022 by Conor Gallagher

By Conor Gallagher

For months the US has repeatedly tried to coerce India into cutting ties with Russia, thereby abandoning its national interests. New Delhi, however, continues to spurn American attempts to subject its economy to Washington’s dictates.

The latest fuss concerns the G7 price cap on Russian oil and EU and UK bans on shipping and related services for Russian crude. India continues to have no interest in joining the US-led initiative as it gets a steep discount on oil from Russia and wants to maintain the relationship with a long-time strategic partner. Indian Foreign Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar was just in Moscow on Nov. 8 to discuss continued sales of oil. From the South China Morning Post:

Wash Attempts to Bully India into Cutting Ties with Russia

Caribbean! Rafe...  19:22:27 GMT - 11/13/2022  
Oh! what a relief! At least Ms.Yellen agrees with me... lol

Same thing I've been saying all these years...

"It is the view that economics—properly analysed and applied—makes the world a better place."

The lady got so much experience and credibility that I feel she's probably better off as the next president... no offense to biden and trump and other future presidential candidates... But forget about Recession... Anyhows, about India buying russian oil, well that justifies my rate hike projections to stop @ 9.52% - 9.54%...

Mtl JP  18:48:05 GMT - 11/12/2022  
watching yellen
EXCLUSIVE India can buy as much Russian oil as it wants, outside price cap, Yellen says
The United States is happy for India to continue buying as much Russian oil as it wants, including at prices above a G7-imposed price cap mechanism, if it steers clear of Western insurance, finance and maritime services bound by the cap,

As Yellen seeks closer US-India economic ties, India dropped from currency monitoring list

"Yellen Calls for ‘Stabilizing’ U.S. Relations With China Ahead of G20
The Treasury secretary said in an interview that the United States was not trying to “paralyze China’s economy and stop its development.”

Yellen Unfamiliar With New China Economy Heads, Policy Direction
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said President Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power in China had brought uncertainty over the direction of economic policy in that country, making it important to re-open the lines of communication between Washington and Beijing

America’s treasury secretary is known for her meticulousness and “moral passion”

Yellen. By Jon Hilsenrath. Harper Business; 400 pages; $32.50 and £25

Empathy Economics. Owen Ullmann. PublicAffairs; 480 pages; $32 and £25

Two new biographies explore the rise and reign of Janet Yellen

Caribbean! Rafe...  18:11:48 GMT - 11/12/2022  
dc CB 18:17 GMT 11/11/2022

Besides if diesel looks so expensive then why not use coal?

or better yet...

Bamboo which was planted earlier on in the year.... should have sun dried by now.

Mtl JP  21:32:16 GMT - 11/11/2022  
DLRx 106.23
down 4.4% on the week
players are saying FED is done tightening
chart hints at potential bit more downside
probably too early to get excited about more huge dlr selloff

Mtl JP  19:37:24 GMT - 11/11/2022  
euro 1.0361
and other topics
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called October’s positive inflation report in the U.S. “a good reading,” but cautioned against relying too much on one data point.

Yellen departs India on Saturday to join President Joe Biden for the Group of 20 leaders summit in Bali, Indonesia. Biden is scheduled to meet with China’s President Xi Jinping while at the summit.

A Treasury official said Yellen will meet with Yi Gang, head of China’s central bank, to discuss the global macroeconomic outlook and other topics during the summit.

Yellen Says Don’t Read Too Much Into Cooling CPI Data

dc CB  18:17:46 GMT - 11/11/2022  
CPI----on the gound reality....wait for the Jan and Feb reports.

**"The 900lb Gorilla in the room this month is fuel oil, which is, as many people do not know, #2 diesel. It was up a stunning 19.8% on the month and stands at 68.5% up from last year this time. Anyone expecting the consumer experience to improve with that record has rocks in their head, never mind those who use it for heating that are about to get a visit from the proctologist this winter."**

gwe all.

dc CB  18:10:48 GMT - 11/11/2022  
Wild Week? Next week OpEX

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, the same increase as in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 7.7 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The index for shelter contributed over half of the monthly all items increase, with the indexes for gasoline and food also increasing.

***"If you were short into this there was no getting away from what went up your backside; a literal 100 handles went into the Spoos within seconds and I'm quite sure if you'd been short you would have been gapped over, so a stop would have gotten you exactly no protection."***
(The Market Ticker)

Supreme Court's Sotomayor Denies NYC Workers' Bid To Halt Vax Mandate
The appeal was from workers who were fired after the city refused their requests to be exempted on religious grounds.
Oil Trades Above $90 On China Reopening Optimism

Commodities Soar After China Eases Quarantine Rules
Bulls have been waiting for such a trigger ... these events may be enough to wash out all the bears and set up a strong and sustained rally."

Mtl JP  14:19:17 GMT - 11/11/2022  
EURO holding price
DLRx holding price
Risk turning down some
GBP turning down some

Mtl JP  14:11:27 GMT - 11/11/2022  
headlines about janet 'Will Not Be Indifferent' yellen
plans to meet Yi Gang on the sidelines
India indispensable partner to United States, says Janet Yellen

India and the U.S. are natural allies, Janet Yellen says

Yellen Takes Friendshoring Case to India in Push Against China

US' Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen meets India's Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman
-- She is in India ahead of US' approach to encourage the former to purchase Russian oil under a price that is determined by the US

In first trip to India, US Treasury chief Janet Yellen pitches for a global trade route away from China

Exclusive-U.S. Treasury's Yellen to meet with China central bank chief at G20 summit in Bali
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Reuters on Friday that she plans to meet with China's central bank governor Yi Gang on the sidelines of the G20 Summit in Bali

Mtl JP  13:36:27 GMT - 11/11/2022  
Squeals of delight and satisfying chuckles eminating from Eccles HQ
more moRE MORE !
"Crypto peaked a year ago — investors have lost more than $2 trillion since" - cnbc

Mtl JP  12:11:57 GMT - 11/11/2022  
DLRx 106.90
anti-dollar animal spirits currently in charge
puppy will need to pop back N of 107 , preferably N of 108.50
to revive usd bull cycle

hk ab  11:30:00 GMT - 11/11/2022  
XAG weak

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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