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Mtl JP  14:53:38 GMT - 11/22/2023  
prescient : adjective
having or showing knowledge of events before they take place.
"a prescient warning"
-
maybe:
Hedge Fund Crowding Hits All-Time Highs As Everyone Buys The Same Handful Of Tech Stocks
Bottom line: everyone is now long the Magnificent 7. If this bubble bursts... watch out below. - zh's tyler

I like tyler's kind of thinking.


swiss frank  14:17:38 GMT - 11/22/2023  
I think from the 1.0930-1.0970 zone we'll see 1.0770 (at least), maybe 1.0650. Maybe.


Mtl JP  14:06:43 GMT - 11/22/2023  
EURO 1.0880
-
first buy level ?

60 below that and 40 after
IF seen


GVI Forex 13:39:36 GMT - 11/22/2023  
Lower weekly jobless claims ;309k vs 226 mk expected) - this is the NFP survey week


Mtl JP  12:12:08 GMT - 11/22/2023  
DLRx 103.54
player collective clubbed like a seal puppy
-
Mike Dolan - "If you were looking for a klaxon to mark the end of the interest rate cycle, a crushing of currency market volatility rings loudly."

Crushed FX volatility as dollar, finally, subsides



Mtl JP  03:10:38 GMT - 11/22/2023  
jeff cox opines:
"Federal Reserve officials at their most recent meeting expressed little appetite for cutting interest rates anytime soon, particularly as inflation remains well above their goal, according to minutes released Tuesday."

not anytime soon, ya hear pilgrim ?

DLRx 103.41 says "bite me"

Fed gave no indication of possible rate cuts at last meeting, minutes show



dc CB  19:07:34 GMT - 11/21/2023  
Food prices
Wheat - HRW (hard red winter). The stuff that makes bread).
The quotes you see --talked about on da NUZ, are most of the time are Chicago Wheat - SRW.

Check out the first 4mins of this --- daily ag report....

Wheat Prices Drop 56% from 2022 Peak



Mtl JP  19:04:31 GMT - 11/21/2023  
minutes

October 31-November 1, 2023



Mtl JP  18:16:21 GMT - 11/21/2023  
1.0908 yes yes yes ... keep going puppy
I want you sub 1.09


Mtl JP  17:47:51 GMT - 11/21/2023  
neither lagarde nor schnabel sending enthusiastic victory over inflation smoke signals, imo both are garded, prudent ...

next up:
14:00 - fomc minutes





Mtl JP  16:09:05 GMT - 11/21/2023  
rolling stones
geriatry in action :

Announce 2024 North American Tour Dates
sponsored by AARP

One canadian stop: Friday, July 5, 2024 BC Place Vancouver, BC



Mtl JP  15:34:52 GMT - 11/21/2023  
minutes oct 31-nov meeting
key word "careful"
-
“Inflation has given us a few head fakes. If it becomes appropriate to tighten policy further, we will not hesitate to do so,” “We will continue to move carefully, however, allowing us to address both the risk of being misled by a few good months of data, and the risk of overtightening.” - Powell at "Monetary Policy Challenges in a Global Economy,":

November 09, 2023 Opening Remarks Chair Jerome H. Powell



Mtl JP  15:21:19 GMT - 11/21/2023  
the curve
Last - 10:18 AM EST
-0.49

for example just on 6/6/2023: -.83

U.S. 2Yr/10Yr Spread



Mtl JP  14:34:06 GMT - 11/21/2023  
oi oi ... yakkers on deck
-
10:00 - US existing home sales
11:00 - lagarde
12:00 - schnabel
12:35 - centeno

14:00 - FOMC minutes (what would you like 'em to message?)


Mtl JP  14:30:50 GMT - 11/21/2023  
EURO 1.0955
-
puppy continues to butt up against 61.8 Fib
but not exactly convincingly in the grand scheme of "theme"s.

maybe the current game is about ez/us yield differentials of the moment reactions to sporadic yikyak od market mini-event

the big event for euro may be some distance in the form of Ez's PMI on thursday. r u kidding me ?!


Mtl JP  13:06:48 GMT - 11/21/2023  
good morning
-
DLRx wishi-washi with a down tilt
EURO 61.8 Fib held Res overnite
Yen , relatively speaking, is rampaging

current player conviction is that the FED gang's next move will be a cut
so it seems to be the energy vector vein amongst players

yield is mildly off, stocks look confused.

short trading week will likely not inspire massive allocation plays, if anything we ll see prudece and maybe a pop in the dlr but ... those should see selling interest in light of the main market sentiment

USDCAD 1.3721
- 08:30 CPI

I ll be looking to counter possible CAD dip IF seen
Currently 1.37 is mini-support
moves over 60 pips either way not likely but neither impossible.


Mtl JP  09:49:42 GMT - 11/21/2023  
et tu Sacrifice Ratio ?
-
The average American’s 401(k) balance plunged 4% in the latest fiscal quarter, attributed to an uptick in “hardship withdrawals” as consumers continued to get hammered by inflation, according to a new study.

blast from the past
"“You work three jobs? Uniquely American, isn't it? I mean, that is fantastic that you're doing that."

To a divorced mother of three, Omaha, Nebraska, Feb. 4, 2005”
― George W. Bush

401(k) balances shrank in latest quarter as more Americans took ‘hardship withdrawals’



Mtl JP  09:49:42 GMT - 11/21/2023  
et tu Sacrifice Ratio ?
-
The average American’s 401(k) balance plunged 4% in the latest fiscal quarter, attributed to an uptick in “hardship withdrawals” as consumers continued to get hammered by inflation, according to a new study.

blast from the past
"“You work three jobs? Uniquely American, isn't it? I mean, that is fantastic that you're doing that."

To a divorced mother of three, Omaha, Nebraska, Feb. 4, 2005”
― George W. Bush

401(k) balances shrank in latest quarter as more Americans took ‘hardship withdrawals’



Mtl JP  03:49:31 GMT - 11/21/2023  
tks for the social service
erica lamberg
-
Check fraud has more than doubled over the past three years

Paper check fraud is on the rise: What to know



Mtl JP  01:29:16 GMT - 11/21/2023  
EURO butting 61.8 Fib


Mtl JP  18:33:43 GMT - 11/20/2023  
the typo is just purfect !


GVI Forex 18:07:58 GMT - 11/20/2023  
Yields drop after 20 year suction — fx follows


Mtl JP  17:56:02 GMT - 11/20/2023  
Celebrating 81rst: joe the mummy. How ?
NBC - Biden to celebrate his 81st birthday pardoning Thanksgiving turkeys




Mtl JP  16:59:31 GMT - 11/20/2023  
USDCAD killing zones:
around 1.3750 on top (if u r short the cad itself)
around 1.3670 on down side - ask yourself about USD's downside potential


Mtl JP  16:48:11 GMT - 11/20/2023  
player and economist collective is breathlessly lapping at the idea of BoC flipping its tightening stance

are u short the CAD ?
could be riski ... but interesting LoL


dc CB  16:47:26 GMT - 11/20/2023  
Setting US up for the Big 'Unexpected ++ Who 'cuda Known'. (US in both meanings: US aka USA and US aka us The West)
------------------------------------------------------
The White House "Does Not Expect" Arab States to Weaponize Oil

The United States is confident that the Arab states will not use oil supply as a weapon as they have done in the past, White House energy security adviser Amos Hochstein told the Financial Times in an interview published this weekend.

“Oil has been weaponised from time-to-time since it became a traded commodity, so we’re always worried about that, working against that, but I think so far it hasn’t,” Hochstein told FT.

According to the Biden Administration’s top energy adviser, the U.S. and the global oil market are managing the double geopolitical jeopardy of the past year – the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas war – “fairly well.”
_____________________________________________________________
Recall .Energy Sec. Granholm laughs when asked what her plan is to boost US oil production

Nov 2021.
"That is hilarious. Would that I had the magic wand on this. As you know, of course, oil is a global market. It is controlled by a cartel. That cartel is called OPEC,"
Bloomberg TV
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0IharildvyM

Oil Price.com



Mtl JP  16:43:51 GMT - 11/20/2023  
JM ... look at the calendar ...
canada CPI on tuesday.
u seriously think CAD players worry about oil atm ?

ask your Q next time crude will be diving instead



NY JM  16:00:07 GMT - 11/20/2023  
Will CAD finally pay notice to firmer oil prices?


Mtl JP  15:22:50 GMT - 11/20/2023  
bit of hindsight
-
oil bit up "after three OPEC+ sources told Reuters that the producer group, comprising the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC) and allies including Russia, is set to consider whether to make additional supply cuts when it meets on Nov. 26" - rtrs


San Francisco Monedge  15:18:45 GMT - 11/20/2023  
Oil remains bid for now but we are paying attention to a bit of an undertow present. See 78.50 possible if it catches wind.






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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