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GVI Forex john  19:43:43 GMT - 01/22/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Weekend Edition-  Markets in Turmoil

21:00 GMT- Jan 22 (global-view.com) The financial markets were turned on their ears in the latest week by politics in the U.S. Of critical importance was the outcome of the Senatorial vote in Massachusetts for the seat opened by the death of Senator Ted Kennedy.

MORE...



GVI Forex john  15:57:32 GMT - 01/22/2010  
Jan 22 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Monday early sees Australian PPI data. In Europe, no major data are due. North America will se the release of U.S. existing homes sales. This is the most important of the various housing measures.

 

 

MONDAY

 

 

1:30

AU

4Q PPI qq

n/a

0.10%

1:30

AU

4Q PPI yy

n/a

0.20%

15:00

US

DecExist Homes mn

6.07

6.54

 

 

TUESDAY

 

 

4:30

JA

BOJ Rates (0.10%)

n/a

n/a

9:00

DE

Jan IFO Climate

95.2

94.7

9:00

DE

Jan IFO Cond

91.7

90.5

9:00

DE

Jan IFO Expect

99

99.1

9:00

EZ

Nov Cur/Acct Eur

n/a

-4.6b

9:00

EZ

Nov Inv Flows Eur

n/a

17.7b

9:30

UK

4Qp GDP qq

0.40%

n/a

9:30

UK

4Qp GDP yy

-3.00%

n/a

12:00

US

WK Mtg Stats

n/a

n/a

14:00

US

Nov Case-Shiller20

n/a

0.40%

15:00

US

Jan CB Confidence

n/a

52.9

18:00

US

TRY 2-yr

n/a

n/a

21:30

US

API Energy

n/a

n/a

23:50

JA

Dec Trade JPYb

590

373.9



GVI Forex john  13:34:35 GMT - 01/22/2010  
Data Call @ 14:00 GMT

Belgian Leading Indicators


Often a reliable predictor of the important monthly German IFO Survey. It is not always released before IFO each month.



GVI Forex john  13:14:53 GMT - 01/22/2010  
Data Call @13:30 GMT (Canada)

Retail Sales


Retail Sales are usually a broad measure of the retail sale of consumer durable and non-durables. It is used by analysts to gauge the strength of consumer consumption.

IMPACT: In most economies, the consumer sector is the largest sector of the economy. Central banks watch retail sales to measure the strength of the economy.



GVI Forex Technicals  11:58:22 GMT - 01/22/2010  
Depending on data calculation methodology, we are hearing 50-day S&P moving averages in S&P ranging from 1112 to 1116. So the 50-day moving average should be seen as more of a level than a precise price.

In any case, the 50- and 200-day moving averages are the most closely followed by equity traders, and many have been turning bearish on the market overall with the 50-day in play. The 200-avg (1015) is distant.


GVI Forex  Technicals  11:47:18 GMT - 01/22/2010  

 From twice daily:  Market Tracker

MOV AVG

NIKKEI

DAX

FTSE

S&P

DJIA

LAST

10591

5721

5324

1116

10390

20 DAY

10729

5955

5462

1133

10570

50 DAY

10240

5860

5363

1117

10477

100 DAY

10159

5753

5255

1092

10169

200 DAY

9940

5387

4855

1015

9447

Note: Due to database limitations, averages are approximate

 



GVI Forex john  10:43:03 GMT - 01/22/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Waiting for Dust to Settle

11:00 GMT- Jan 21 (global-view.com) The markets get a respite from U.S. data today with nothing major on the calendar. Earlier U.K. December retail sales data were weaker than expected. On the other hand, Eurozone new industrial orders were stronger than expected a very short while ago...

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GVI Forex john  23:20:17 GMT - 01/21/2010  
U.K. Data @ 09:30 GMT
Retail Sales


Retail Sales are usually a broad measure of the retail sale of consumer durable and non-durables. It is used by analysts to gauge the strength of consumer consumption.

IMPACT: In most economies, the consumer sector is the largest sector of the economy. Central banks watch retail sales to measure the strength of the economy.



GVI Forex  john  23:11:32 GMT - 01/21/2010  

Click for Complete Chart Points

 

1/21/2010

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.4098

90.36

1.0416

1.6208

1.0502

High

1.4143

91.87

1.0495

1.6311

1.0524

Low

1.4028

90.12

1.0405

1.6126

1.0440

Mov avgs

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

5 day

1.4253

90.85

1.0336

1.6290

1.0365

10 day

1.4369

91.24

1.0262

1.6236

1.0339

20 day

1.4367

91.78

1.0299

1.6134

1.0386

50 day

1.4602

90.11

1.0245

1.6303

1.0494

100 day

1.4675

90.38

1.0254

1.6306

1.0573

200 day

1.4301

93.05

1.0576

1.6174

1.0944

Pivots

1.4090

90.78

1.0439

1.6215

1.0489

 

GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

 



GVI Forex  john  21:42:38 GMT - 01/21/2010  

Click for Complete Chart Points

1/21/2010

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

Res 3

1.4266

93.20

1.0562

1.6489

1.0621

Res 2

1.4205

92.53

1.0529

1.6400

1.0573

Res 1

1.4151

91.45

1.0472

1.6304

1.0537

P=(H+L+C)/3

1.4090

90.78

1.0439

1.6215

1.0489

Sup 1

1.4036

89.70

1.0382

1.6119

1.0453

Sup 2

1.3975

89.03

1.0349

1.6030

1.0405

Sup 3

1.3921

87.95

1.0292

1.5934

1.0369

 

EUR/GBP

EUR/JPY

EUR/CHF

AUD/USD

GBP/JPY

Res 3

0.8797

131.37

1.4823

0.9244

151.28

Res 2

0.8761

130.44

1.4791

0.9195

150.18

Res 1

0.8728

128.92

1.4740

0.9115

148.31

P=(H+L+C)/3

0.8692

127.99

1.4708

0.9066

147.21

Sup 1

0.8659

126.47

1.4657

0.8986

145.34

Sup 2

0.8623

125.54

1.4625

0.8937

144.24

Sup 3

0.8590

124.02

1.4574

0.8857

142.37

 

 

 

 

 

 



GVI Forex john  20:08:35 GMT - 01/21/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Obama Stalls USD Run 

21:00 GMT- Jan 21 (global-view.com) The USD was in a positive frame of mind heading into trading in the U.S., but a populist gimmick by the administration to limit the business activities of large banks triggered a lot of uncertainty in the markets...

MORE...



GVI Forex john  16:36:37 GMT - 01/21/2010  
Jan 21 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: No major data are due from the Far East Friday. In Europe, U.K. Retail Sales and EZ Industrial orders are due. Belgian Leading indicators are a good predictor of Monday’s German IFO survey. Canadian retail sales are also important.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

9:30

UK

Dec Ret Sls mm

1.10%

-0.30%

9:30

UK

Dec Ret Sls yy

3.00%

3.10%

10:00

EZ

Nov New Ind Ord mm

0.50%

-2.20%

10:00

EZ

Nov New Ind Ord yy

-6.20%

-14.50%

13:30

CA

Nov Retail Sales

-0.20%

0.80%

13:30

CA

Nov RS x-auto

0.50%

0.20%

14:00

BE

Jan Lead Ind

n/a

-7.9

 

 

MONDAY

 

 

1:30

AU

4Q PPI qq

n/a

0.10%

1:30

AU

4Q PPI yy

n/a

0.20%

15:00

US

DecExist Homes M

6.07

6.54



GVI Forex john  15:54:04 GMT - 01/21/2010  
Data Call @ 16:00 GMT (delayed due to holiday)

EIA- The Department of Energy (DOE survey)

EIA Survey comes out Wednesday morning. The DOE survey is more closely watched and generally seen as more accurate than the API data on Tuesday.


GVI Forex john  14:59:38 GMT - 01/21/2010  
Calendar error.. Previous Philly Fed was 22.5


GVI Forex john  14:43:03 GMT - 01/21/2010  
Data Call @ 15:00 GMT

Purchasing Managers Index – Philly Fed Regional PMI


Most major economies have purchasing managers indices (PMI) released monthly. They are compiled by various organizations. Some focus on the manufacturing sector while others measure the service sector. They are a very current measure of the economic health of the manufacturing or services sector. The PMI indies are usually based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment environment.

A PMI of greater than 50 represents expansion, compared to the previous month. A reading under 50 represents a contraction, while a reading at 50 indicates no change.

We find the PMI indices to be useful predictors of future economic activity.


GVI Forex john  13:44:21 GMT - 01/21/2010  
Labor Department says increase in claims administrative not economic, whatever that means...


Click on chart for seven-year history



GVI Forex john  13:08:13 GMT - 01/21/2010  
 
CHART: earlier EZ flash service PMI


GVI Forex john  13:07:36 GMT - 01/21/2010  
 
CHART: earlier EZ flash mfg PMI


GVI Forex john  12:27:01 GMT - 01/21/2010  
Data Call @ 13:30 GMT
Weekly jobless data


Weekly jobless data are the most current read on employment and also the economy.

Initial Jobless claims can be very volatile so many also watch the 4-week moving average to get a better handle on trends.

Continuing claims are used by economists to predict the unemployment rate. These data are not as consistent as they once were as statutory benefit rules have been changing. Changes in the rules can affect the number of individuals eligible for claims.

Updated and revised charts to follow after the report.



GVI Forex john  10:39:08 GMT - 01/21/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Positive USD Momentum 

11:00 GMT- Jan 21 (global-view.com) The USD remains in a positive frame of mind heading into Thursday trading in the U.S. Positive momentum has been enhanced by expectations for a move to the center for U.S...

MORE...






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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