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GVI Forex  futures  20:27:22 GMT - 01/31/2010  
EURO FX positions from weekly Commitment of Traders Report...
		
EUR	        Longs	Shorts	Net
12/22/2009	40925	55252	-14327
12/29/2009	34132	67929	-33797
1/5/2010	37229	73017	-35788
1/12/2010	36186	54103	-17917
1/19/2010	34186	59468	-25282
1/26/2010	33106	72645	-39539


GVI Forex  Futures  20:54:51 GMT - 01/29/2010  
NEW YORK, Jan 29 (Reuters) - Currency speculators went long against the U.S. dollar in the latest week, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.

The value of the dollar's net long position was $3.11
billion in the week ending Jan. 26, reversing a net short
position of $3.12 billion the previous week, according to
Reuters calculations.

The last time speculators were long on the dollar was the
week ending January 5.

The Reuters calculation for the aggregate U.S. dollar
position is derived from the net positions of International
Monetary Market speculators in the yen, euro, British pound,
Swiss franc, Canadian and Australian dollars.



GVI Forex john  19:50:31 GMT - 01/29/2010  

The Daily Forex View

WEEKLY- Fundamentals Matter

21:00 GMT- Jan 29 (global-view.com)  Forex market have become incredibly complex for many traders not keeping abreast of the fundamentals. The fundamentals are not simply economic statistics. They also encompass capital flows, psychology and political factors. Economic trends tend to change very slowly so they really are more a background factor than something in the foreground. 

MORE...



GVI Forex john  17:18:35 GMT - 01/29/2010  
Jan 29 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Monday features manufacturing PMI data from most major economies in the U.S. and Europe. In North America, U.S., Personal Income data and construction data are due as well.

 

 

MONDAY

 

 

8:30

CH

Jan Mfg PMI

55.2

54.6

8:58

EZ

Jan MFG PMI

52

51.6

9:30

UK

Jan MFG PMI

54

54

13:30

US

Dec Per Inc

0.30%

0.40%

13:30

US

Dec Core PCE mm

0.10%

0.20%

15:00

US

Jan MFG PMI

56.5

54.9

15:00

US

Dec Construction

-0.20%

-0.60%

 

 

TUESDAY

 

 

3:30

AU

RBA RBA (3.75%)

+25bp

+25bp

10:00

EZ

Dec PPI mm

0.00%

0.10%

10:00

EZ

Dec PPI yy

-3.00%

-4.40%

15:00

US

Dec Pnd-Home

n/a

-16.00%

21:30

US

API Energy

n/a

n/a

 



GVI Forex john  14:35:31 GMT - 01/29/2010  
Data Call @ 14:55 GMT-

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment


The University of Michigan Survey is a consumer confidence index published (and revised) over each month. The index is normalized to 100 (December 1964). At least 500 telephone interviews are conducted each month. 50 core questions are asked.


GVI Forex john  14:31:29 GMT - 01/29/2010  
Data Call @ 14:45 GMT

Regional PMI - Empire State


Most major economies have purchasing managers indices (PMI) released monthly. They are compiled by various organizations. Some focus on the manufacturing sector while others measure the service sector. They are a very current measure of the economic health of the manufacturing or services sector. The PMI indies are usually based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment environment.

A PMI of greater than 50 represents expansion, compared to the previous month. A reading under 50 represents a contraction, while a reading at 50 indicates no change.

We find the PMI indices to be useful predictors of future economic activity.



GVI Forex john  13:53:02 GMT - 01/29/2010  
 
Advance GDP estimate +5.7% pa in 4Q09.


GVI Forex futures   13:12:46 GMT - 01/29/2010  
EURO FX futures open interest increased 2,684 contracts Thursday to 185,485. We assume that traders were adding to their shorts again. Notable this week has been the relatively small adds to positions given the decisiveness of the technical signals recently.

The Friday close sees the release of the weekly Commitment of Traders Report which lays out trader positions in detail as of the Tuesday close. We expect short interest by speculative traders to have increased. Focus is by how much.


GVI Forex john  12:57:33 GMT - 01/29/2010  
Data Call @ 13:30 GMT
Canada & U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)


The total value of goods and services produced within the borders of a country, regardless of who owns the assets or the nationality of the labor used in producing that output. The growth of output is usually measured in real terms, meaning increases in output due to inflation have been removed.

Importance: One goal (often unstated) of central banks is sustained growth of the economy with full employment and stable prices. Real GDP is the most comprehensive measure of the performance of an economy. By monitoring trends in the overall growth rate as well as the unemployment rate and the rate of inflation, policy makers are able to assess whether the current stance of monetary policy is consistent with its policy goals.



Canada Producer Price Index (PPI)

The PPI is a price index designed to measure the level of wholesale prices in a given economy. Its another input into the policy making decisions of central banks.



GVI Forex john  11:03:09 GMT - 01/29/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Cautious Pre-Weekend Trade

11:00 GMT- Jan 29 (global-view.com)  The focus heading into the weekend appears to be the Greek debt crisis. Pressure within the EU is on the Greek government to solve its own budget crisis, but there is no way that Eurozone will not bail it out in the end if absolutely required

MORE...



GVI Forex john  23:06:17 GMT - 01/28/2010  
Data Call
A slew of Japanese data are due starting in about 15 mins.
See Calendar for details...


GVI Forex  john  23:01:35 GMT - 01/28/2010  

Click for Complete Chart Points

1/28/2010

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

Res 3

1.4150

91.28

1.0629

1.6393

1.0805

Res 2

1.4101

90.92

1.0592

1.6335

1.0736

Res 1

1.4036

90.38

1.0553

1.6231

1.0696

P=(H+L+C)/3

1.3987

90.02

1.0516

1.6173

1.0627

Sup 1

1.3922

89.48

1.0477

1.6069

1.0587

Sup 2

1.3873

89.12

1.0440

1.6011

1.0518

Sup 3

1.3808

88.58

1.0401

1.5907

1.0478

 

EUR/GBP

EUR/JPY

EUR/CHF

AUD/USD

GBP/JPY

Res 3

0.8766

128.67

1.4779

0.9134

149.08

Res 2

0.8721

127.88

1.4761

0.9090

148.14

Res 1

0.8692

126.71

1.4727

0.9018

146.54

P=(H+L+C)/3

0.8647

125.92

1.4709

0.8974

145.60

Sup 1

0.8618

124.75

1.4675

0.8902

144.00

Sup 2

0.8573

123.96

1.4657

0.8858

143.06

Sup 3

0.8544

122.79

1.4623

0.8786

141.46

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



GVI Forex john  20:44:01 GMT - 01/28/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Strong Cross-Currents

21:00 GMT- Jan 28 (global-view.com)  Forex markets are currently subject to strong cross-currents. Greek fiscal problems and what they imply for other weak Eurozone economies have been a persistent weight on the EUR in recent sessions. A story appeared in Le Monde today

MORE...



GVI Forex john  16:03:20 GMT - 01/28/2010  
Jan 28 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Early Friday in the Far East will see the usual slew of Japanese data (see calendar). In Europe, EZ money supply and lending data, which are closely followed will be released. EZ flash HICP data are due as well. In North America, Canadian PPI and GDP are slated. In. the U.S., major highlights will be the 4Q09 GDP estimate, Chicago PMI and the University of Michigan Survey.

23:15

JA

Oct Mfg PMI

n/a

54.3

23:30

JA

Dec Hhld Spend yy

1.50%

2.20%

23:30

JA

Dec Core CPI yy

-1.30%

-1.70%

23:30

JA

Dec CPI yy

n/a

-1.90%

23:30

JA

Dec Unemploy

5.30%

5.20%

23:50

JA

Decp Ind Out

5.30%

2.20%

23:50

JA

BOJ Minutes

n/a

n/a

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

9:00

EZ

Dec Private Loans

-0.03%

-0.70%

9:00

EZ

Dec M3 3mo-avg

n/a

0.60%

9:00

EZ

Dec M3 yy

-0.50%

-0.20%

10:00

EZ

JanHICP (flash) yy

1.20%

0.90%

10:00

EZ

Dec Unemploy

10.10%

10.00%

10:30

CH

Jan KOF Ind

1.7

1.68

13:30

CA

Nov PPI mm

0.40%

1.00%

13:30

CA

Nov PPI yy

n/a

-2.80%

13:30

CA

Nov GDP mm

0.20%

0.20%

13:30

US

4Q10 GDP

4.50%

2.20%

14:45

US

Jan Chicago PMI

57.4

58.7

14:55

US

Janf U Mich Sent

73

72.8

 

 

MONDAY

 

 

8:30

CH

Jan Mfg PMI

n/a

54.6

8:58

EZ

Jan MFG PMI

52

51.6

13:30

US

Dec Per Inc

0.30%

0.40%

13:30

US

Dec Core PCE mm

0.10%

0.20%

15:00

US

Jan MFG PMI

56.5

55.9

15:00

US

Dec Construction

-0.20%

-0.60%

 



PAR 13:42:15 GMT - 01/28/2010  
Holisay season is over ?


GVI Forex john  13:39:23 GMT - 01/28/2010  
Improvement in weekly jobless bottoming out?


Click on chart for seven-year history



GVI Forex john  12:03:07 GMT - 01/28/2010  
Data Call @ 13:30 GMT-
Advance Durable Goods/Factory Orders


Durable good new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery. The advance report is an early estimate of durable goods orders. Two weeks later, more complete and revised data are available in the Factory Orders report. Department of Commerce; BEA.

The report provides information on the strength of demand, from both domestic and foreign sources, for U.S. manufactured durable goods.


Weekly jobless data

Weekly jobless data are the most current read on employment and also the economy.

Initial Jobless claims can be very volatile so many also watch the 4-week moving average to get a better handle on trends.

Continuing claims are used by economists to predict the unemployment rate. These data are not as consistent as they once were as statutory benefit rules have been changing. Changes in the rules can affect the number of individuals eligible for claims.

Updated and revised charts to follow after the report.




GVI Forex Futures  11:46:38 GMT - 01/28/2010  
Total Open Interest in the EURO FX futures increased by 2,821 contracts yesterday to 182,801. We know from the COT report that the markets are already heavily short EURUSD. It is interesting that on what was a decisively negative session for EURUSD yesterday that only a modest number of positions were added.

Its been our experience, maybe its a carry over from equity trading, that the futures market can be uncomfortable about taking short positions in currencies.


GVI Forex john  10:43:55 GMT - 01/28/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Risk Trade on -- Partially

11:00 GMT- Jan 28 (global-view.com) The markets are still trying to sift through the mixed agenda of President Obama. It seems now that they feel that good rhetoric is no longer enough. The Congress and administration already frittered away a year

MORE...



GVI Forex john  21:06:16 GMT - 01/27/2010  

The Daily Forex View

FOMC Gives USD a Boost

21:00 GMT- Jan 27 (global-view.com) President Obama's State of the Union address tonight is the major focus for the markets. Keep in mind that this is only a political speech that contains only a  wish list for future legislation...

MORE...



GVI Forex john  16:09:19 GMT - 01/27/2010  
Jan 27 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Early Thursday in the Far East will see the Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decision. No rate change is seen. Japanese retail sales data are important as well. In the U.S., major highlights will be Durable Goods and weekly jobless claims. Also, the afternoon will see a 7-yr note auction.

20:00

NZ

RBNZ 2.50%

unch

unch

23:50

JA

Nov Retail Sales

0.20%

-0.90%

 

 

THURSDAY

 

 

2:00

US

Obama

n/a

n/a

13:30

US

Dec Dur Goods

2.00%

0.20%

13:30

US

Wk Initial Claims k

450

480

13:30

US

WK Cont Claims mn

4600

4599

15:30

US

DOE Nat Gas bcf

-116

-245

18:00

US

TRY 7-yr

n/a

n/a

23:15

JA

Oct Mfg PMI

n/a

54.3

23:30

JA

Dec Hhld Spend yy

1.50%

2.20%

23:30

JA

Dec Core CPI yy

-1.30%

-1.70%

23:30

JA

Dec CPI yy

n/a

-1.90%

23:30

JA

Dec Unemploy

5.30%

5.20%

23:30

JA

Decp Ind Out

5.30%

2.20%

23:30

JA

BOJ Minutes

n/a

n/a

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

9:00

EZ

Dec Private Loans

-0.03%

-0.70%

9:00

EZ

Dec M3 3mo-avg

n/a

0.60%

9:00

EZ

Dec M3 yy

-0.50%

-0.20%

10:00

EZ

JanHICP (flash) yy

1.20%

0.90%

10:00

EZ

Dec Unemploy

10.10%

10.00%

10:30

CH

Jan KOF Ind

1.7

1.68

13:30

CA

Nov PPI mm

0.40%

1.00%

13:30

CA

Nov PPI yy

n/a

-2.80%

13:30

CA

Nov GDP mm

n/a

0.20%

13:30

US

4Q10 GDP

4.50%

2.20%

14:45

US

Jan Chicago PMI

57.4

58.7

14:55

US

Janf U Mich Sent

73

72.8

 



GVI Forex john  15:16:42 GMT - 01/27/2010  
 
Not a pretty picture...
New Homes Sales (red line), Starts and Permits


GVI Forex john  14:53:30 GMT - 01/27/2010  
Data Call @ 15:00 GMT
New Home Sales, Starts/Permits


New Home Sales record sales of U.S. newly constructed residences. The U.S. Census Bureau publishes New Home Sales statistics monthly.

New Homes Sales, Starts and Permits



HK REVDAX  13:24:45 GMT - 01/27/2010  
Futures 13:15 // My cycles suggest that Euro is recovering today into tomorrow (Feb 28) before topping out again.


GVI Forex Futures  13:15:53 GMT - 01/27/2010  
Total EURO FX futures open interest increased by 6488 contracts on Tuesday. We have to assume that traders added to their shorts based on the price action. Tuesday is always an important day as it is the basis for the Commitment of Traders report that comes out on Friday's close.

FWIW there are significant EUR USD shorts to be covered on a EURUSD rally. Perhaps someone could suggest to us where those stops WOULD be clustered. So far EURUSD still looking heavy.


GVI Forex john  13:06:48 GMT - 01/27/2010  
 
Earlier Australian quarterly CPI. Yr/Yr up.


GVI Forex john  11:54:01 GMT - 01/27/2010  
Data Call @ 12:00 GMT
Weekly Mortgage Statistics


Weekly Mortgage Statistics are released by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). Total mortgage applications are the headline figure. They are then broken down into (1) new mortgage applications and (2) refinance applications. Both items by themselves are more revealing than the total number. The latest 30-year mortgage interest rate is released as well.

IMPACT: These data provide an early read on the state of the housing market.



GVI Forex john  10:53:56 GMT - 01/27/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Active U.S. Calendar

11:00 GMT- Jan 27 (global-view.com) Once again Asian bourses have fallen, led by concerns about policy tightening in China. The Nikkei also fell on worry about reduced demand for exports from that region...

MORE...



GVI Forex john  22:19:15 GMT - 01/26/2010  
Later Data Call @ 00:30 GMT
Australia Quarterly Consumer Price Index


The CPI is an index designed to measure the change in price of a fixed market basket of goods and services. The market basket of goods and services is representative of the purchases of a typical consumer. Most countries have an alternate measure of inflation where they exclude volatile items, such as food and energy, to arrive at a measure of underlying inflation. Colloquially, this is usually referred to as “core” inflation. Core inflation can be a useful analytical tool.

Many Central banks explicitly target inflation levels. An acceleration or deceleration of inflation may signal that a change in monetary policy might be appropriate.



GVI Forex john  22:14:46 GMT - 01/26/2010  
Data Call @ 23:50 GMT
Japanese Trade


Broad Definition: Merchandise trade is trade in goods only, not services, and excludes capital transfers and foreign investments. Exports are total exports; they include both domestically-produced goods and re-exports, which constitute imports of goods which are warehoused here, then re-exported. Imports are general imports, which measure total arrivals of goods. The. Balance of trade is defined as total exports minus general imports.

IMPACT: Trade figures used to be viewed as the most important statistic for the forex market. It goes to proper valuation of the exchange rate, but can also reflect relative demand for goods. A trade deficit is a net deduction from GDP, while a surplus is an addition.


GVI Forex  john  21:20:46 GMT - 01/26/2010  
Pivot Points basis Tuesday ranges

Click for Complete Chart Points

1/26/2010

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

Res 3

1.4293

91.54

1.0616

1.6418

1.0835

Res 2

1.4236

91.05

1.0553

1.6343

1.0764

Res 1

1.4157

90.34

1.0505

1.6244

1.0690

P=(H+L+C)/3

1.4100

89.85

1.0442

1.6169

1.0619

Sup 1

1.4021

89.14

1.0394

1.6070

1.0545

Sup 2

1.3964

88.65

1.0331

1.5995

1.0474

Sup 3

1.3885

87.94

1.0283

1.5896

1.0400

 

EUR/GBP

EUR/JPY

EUR/CHF

AUD/USD

GBP/JPY

Res 3

0.8844

130.49

1.4784

0.9213

149.82

Res 2

0.8799

129.43

1.4763

0.9148

148.56

Res 1

0.8759

127.82

1.4744

0.9068

146.64

P=(H+L+C)/3

0.8714

126.76

1.4723

0.9003

145.38

Sup 1

0.8674

125.15

1.4704

0.8923

143.46

Sup 2

0.8629

124.09

1.4683

0.8858

142.20

Sup 3

0.8589

122.48

1.4664

0.8778

140.28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



GVI Forex john  20:06:42 GMT - 01/26/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Markets Reassess Risk Trades Daily

21:00 GMT- Jan 26 (global-view.com) The focus of activity early Tuesday was back on risk aversion trades. That means traders were unloading European currencies, commodities, commodity currencies, equities etc. On the other side they purchased carry trade financing currencies

MORE...



GVI Forex 18:07:54 GMT - 01/26/2010  
From GVI Forex:

GVI Forex john 18:02 GMT January 26, 2010
Headlines and Discussion: Reply
2-yr auction $44bln
rate 0.880%
bid/cvr 3.13
indir 41.3%


Mtl JP  18:06:39 GMT - 01/26/2010  
john earlier today CBO annonced that in 2010 US gov't will be in deficit by $1.3 trillion (trillion = one thousand billion, which intself is a thousand million). I expect that # does not include any roll-overs of debt coming due.

re "stumble could reverberate through the marketplace"
can u expand in some detail what types of investment play opportunities those revirberations could represent ?

tia!


GVI Forex john  17:13:57 GMT - 01/26/2010  
Data Call @ 18:00 GMT-

U.S. 2-yr NOTE AUCTION RESULT


Markets are highly sensitive to the results of periodic U.S. debt auctions. This is because of the sheer magnitude of the paper that is continuously being offered to the marketplace. Any stumble could reverberate through the marketplace.



GVI Forex john  16:42:22 GMT - 01/26/2010  
Jan 26 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Wednesday in the Far East will see Japanese trade data. Key Australian CPI data are due as well. In the U.S., major highlights are new Homes Sales and weekly energy data. The afternoon will see a 5-yr note auction and the latest Fed decision.

23:50

JA

Dec Trade JPYb

590

373.9

 

 

WEDNESDAY

 

 

0:30

AU

4Q CPI q/q

0.40%

1.00%

0:30

AU

4Q CPI y/y

2.00%

1.30%

12:00

US

WK Mtg Stats

n/a

n/a

15:00

US

Dec New Homes k

370

355

15:30

US

EIA Crude mn

1.7

-0.4

15:30

US

EIA Gasoline mn

1.4

-3.55

15:30

US

EIA Distillate mn

-1.4

3.9

15:30

US

EIA Cap Util

79.30%

78.40%

18:00

US

TRY 5-yr

n/a

n/a

19:15

US

Fed Rates

unch

unch

20:00

NZ

RBNZ 2.50%

unch

unch

23:50

JA

Nov Retail Sales

0.20%

-0.90%

 

 

THURSDAY

 

 

13:30

US

Dec Dur Goods

2.00%

0.20%

13:30

US

Wk Initial Claims k

450

480

13:30

US

WK Cont Claims mn

4600

4599

15:30

US

DOE Nat Gas bcf

-116

-245

18:00

US

TRY 7-yr

n/a

n/a

 



GVI Forex john  14:32:22 GMT - 01/26/2010  
Data Call @ 15:00 GMT

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey


Consumer Confidence Survey is a monthly report detailing consumer attitudes and buying intentions. The Index is calculated on the basis of a 5,000 household survey of consumer opinions on current conditions and future expectations of the economy.




GVI Forex john  13:23:32 GMT - 01/26/2010  
Data Call @ 14:00 GMT

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices


The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices measures the residential housing market. This index family consists of 20 regional indices and two composite indices as aggregates of the regions. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index is a broader composite of single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions and is calculated quarterly.

This is yet another measure of the housing industry in the U.S. It is watched because of its accuracy, but the data tend to be too old to impact the markets much.



GVI Forex Futures  13:12:10 GMT - 01/26/2010  
Total open interest in the EURO FX contract increased by a scant 100 contracts on Monday. This lack of interest was reflected in the intra-day trading range yesterday. Open Interest is still a healthy 173,493 contracts.

We were able to confirm via the weekly Commitment of Traders report on Friday that the market still holds significant EURO shorts (USD longs).


GVI Forex john  12:59:40 GMT - 01/26/2010  
 
Earlier U.K. GDP weaker than expected. Focus in on quarterly figures (red bars) which are showing steady improvement. Note also that the quarterly (3 months) figures are not annualized. The yr/yr figures cover 12 months...


GVI Forex john  12:54:05 GMT - 01/26/2010  
 
Earlier IFO Survey. Looking strong. Note slope of lines.


GVI Forex john  10:51:10 GMT - 01/26/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Risk Trade Off Today

11:00 GMT- Jan 26 (global-view.com) There have been mixed developments so far today in the financial markets. China persists in monetary tightening as fears about bubbles in the economy continue. A more direct solution might be to allow the CNY exchange rate to gain...

MORE...



GVI Forex john  20:46:58 GMT - 01/25/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Waiting for Developments Later this Week

21:00 GMT- Jan 25 (global-view.com) Markets definitely calmed down a lot from their worries from late last week. Both political parties appear to have realized that it would be a disaster for the markets and

MORE...



GVI Forex john  16:30:21 GMT - 01/25/2010  
Jan 25 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Tuesday in the Far East will see the latest Bank of Japan policy decision. In Europe, the German IFO survey outcome is awaited, along with EZ Current Account and U.K. GDP data. U.S. data are the Case Shiller index and the Conference Board Customer Confidence figure. Later a two year note auction is due. The API energy report is a good predictor of the EIA data on Wednesday.

 

 

TUESDAY

 

 

4:30

JA

BOJ Rates (0.10%)

n/a

n/a

9:00

DE

Jan IFO Climate

95.2

94.7

9:00

DE

Jan IFO Cond

91.7

90.5

9:00

DE

Jan IFO Expect

99

99.1

9:00

EZ

Nov Cur/Acct Eurb

-3.5

-4.6

9:00

EZ

Nov Inv Flows Eur

n/a

17.7b

9:30

UK

4Qp GDP qq

0.40%

n/a

9:30

UK

4Qp GDP yy

-3.00%

n/a

14:00

US

Nov Case-Shiller20

0.30%

0.40%

15:00

US

Jan CB Confidence

53.5

52.9

18:00

US

TRY 2-yr

n/a

n/a

21:30

US

API Energy

n/a

n/a

23:50

JA

Dec Trade JPYb

590

373.9

 

 

WEDNESDAY

 

 

0:30

AU

4Q CPI q/q

0.40%

1.00%

0:30

AU

4Q CPI y/y

2.00%

1.30%

12:00

US

WK Mtg Stats

n/a

n/a

15:00

US

Dec New Homes k

370

355

15:30

US

EIA Crude mn

n/a

-0.4

15:30

US

EIA Gasoline mn

n/a

-3.55

15:30

US

EIA Distillate mn

n/a

3.9

15:30

US

EIA Cap Util

n/a

78.40%

18:00

US

TRY 5-yr

n/a

n/a

19:15

US

Fed Rates

unch

unch

20:00

NZ

RBNZ 2.50%

unch

unch

23:50

JA

Nov Retail Sales

0.20%

-0.90%



GVI Forex john  15:19:31 GMT - 01/25/2010  
 
Housing number almost perfectly predicted by lagged pending homes sales. The fit is so close you can barely see (green) line.


GVI Forex  john  14:06:56 GMT - 01/25/2010  
If we are going to trade on stocks today...

 From twice daily:  Market Tracker

MOV AVG

NIKKEI

DAX

FTSE

S&P

DJIA

LAST

10513

5682

5324

1092

10173

20 DAY

10723

5938

5458

1131

10552

50 DAY

10256

5857

5362

1117

10472

100 DAY

10160

5755

5258

1092

10176

200 DAY

9949

5393

4862

1017

9458

 

Note: Due to database limitations, averages are approximate

 



GVI Forex john  13:17:41 GMT - 01/25/2010  
Data Call @ 15:00 GMT

Existing Homes Sales


The most closely followed housing statistic by the markets is Existing Homes sales compiled by the NAR (National Association of Realtors). Existing-Home Sales data come out On or about the 25th of each month. The report contains statistics on sales and prices of existing single-family homes for the nation and the four regions. These figures include condos and co-ops, in addition to single-family homes.

A chart of the data is posted following the data release.



GVI Forex futures  12:53:22 GMT - 01/25/2010  
Total open interest in the EURO FX futures gained 3,687 to
173,393 on Friday. Our best guess, based on the moving averages, was that the markets at the margin were adding to shorts, but not overwhelmingly so. As for the COT report released by the CFTC on Friday, traders remained as they have been for many weeks, overwhelmingly short the EURUSD.


GVI Forex john  11:11:26 GMT - 01/25/2010  

The Daily Forex View

The Dust Has Started to Settle

11:00 GMT- Jan 25 (global-view.com) Markets appear to have calmed down a lot from their worries from late last week. Despite a lot of empty political posturing, both political parties seem to have realized that it would be a disaster for the markets...

MORE...






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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Mon 27 May 2019
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AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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