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GVI Forex john  20:27:12 GMT - 05/28/2010  
GVI index of long futures positions (weekly change). Range 0 to 100. A reading of 50 means longs and shorts are equal.

Commitment of Traders Report...







USA ZEUS  18:16:48 GMT - 05/28/2010  
GVI Forex john 18:12 GMT May 28, 2010

I guess BRIS and I?


manila tom  18:16:34 GMT - 05/28/2010  
so euro is closing this week under 1.23...interesting for next week


USA King o' Yen  18:15:50 GMT - 05/28/2010  
:
:
:
:
V


GVI Forex Jay  18:13:12 GMT - 05/28/2010  
As just posted on GVI Forex:

GVI Forex Jay 18:11 GMT May 28, 2010
Headlines and Discussion: Reply
Fitch analyst who wrote the note said Spain will not be downgraded in the next year. I heard him say the same thing awhile ago on CNBC (as I posted on GVI Forex) when eur/usd was above 1.23 and there was no reaction. Maybe this time it reacts to old news, would be typical.

As posted earlier on GVI Forex:

GVI Forex Jay 17:20 GMT May 28, 2010
Headlines and Discussion: Reply
Fitch analyst says outlook is stable = do not see a further downgrade.


GVI Forex john  18:12:26 GMT - 05/28/2010  
Many blaming this swoon in EURUSD on Fitch news. I think simply it ran out of gas. After short covering has run its course, who is left to buy this pair?


GVI Forex john  18:06:13 GMT - 05/28/2010  

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GVI Forex john  16:00:11 GMT - 05/28/2010  

The Daily Forex View

EUR at Crossroads?

16:00 GMT- May 28  (global-view.com)  As expected, forex trading on Friday was relatively restrained heading into three-day weekends in the U.S. and U.K. A further constraint on trade was the price 

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GVI Forex john  14:50:05 GMT - 05/28/2010  

May 28 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Activity will be restrained by U.K. and U.S. holidays. Far East markets will see Japanese PMI and Industrial Output data. Australia will release Current Account data. In Europe, Eurozone money supply data are due. In North America, Canadian GDP and PPI data will be released.

 

 

 

SUNDAY

 

 

23:15

JA

Mfg PMI May

n/a

53.5

23:50

JA

Apr p Ind Out

2.50%

1.20%

 

 

MONDAY

 

 

0:00

UK

Holiday

n/a

n/a

0:00

US

Holiday

n/a

n/a

0:30

AU

1Q C/Act A$bn

n/a

-17.46

8:00

EZ

Apr Private Loans

n/a

-0.20%

8:00

EZ

Apr M3 3mo-avg

n/a

-0.10%

8:00

EZ

Apr M3 yy

-0.20%

-0.10%

9:00

EZ

May HICP (flash) yy

1.70%

1.50%

12:30

CA

GDP mm Mar

0.50%

0.30%

12:30

CA

PPI mm Apr

-0.10%

-0.04%

12:30

CA

PPI yy Apr

-1.30%

-1.30%

 



GVI Forex john  14:11:39 GMT - 05/28/2010  
Report Swiss Econ Min says SNB actively supporting EUR. Has taken book losses of CHF 5bn.


GVI Forex john  12:40:15 GMT - 05/28/2010  
 
Core PCE (preferred Fed inflation measure) subdued...


Mtl JP  12:12:06 GMT - 05/28/2010  
john the irony of "transfers ... from ... gov't" struck me:

..."WASHINGTON — The Senate on Thursday approved a nearly $60 billion measure to pay for continuing military operations in Afghanistan and Iraq as House Democrats struggled to round up votes for a major package of business tax breaks and safety-net programs for the long-term unemployed."... NYT Link
-
some will eat cake, some bullets


GVI Forex john  11:52:49 GMT - 05/28/2010  
Data @ 12:30 GMT

Personal Income

Personal income is defined as the income that is received by persons from participation in production, from both government and business transfer payments, and from government interest (which is treated like a transfer payment). It is calculated as the sum of wage and salary disbursements, other labor income, proprietors'' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, personal dividend income, personal interest income, and transfer payments to persons, less personal contributions for social insurance.

U.S. Core PCE price index
The Core PCE price index is defined as personal consumption expenditures (PCE) prices excluding food and energy.

IMPACT: Core PCE is said to be the preferred inflation measure of the Fed and therefore is a very significant release in that it can influence policy. It is thought the Fed targets core PCE loosely between 2.0% and 3.0%.



GVI Forex john  09:42:14 GMT - 05/28/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Consolidation

10:00 GMT- May 28  (global-view.com)  Odds are that forex trading today will be restrained heading into three-day weekends in the U.S. and U.K. A further constraint on trade could be the 

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GVI Forex john  19:06:57 GMT - 05/27/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Short-Covering Rally

20:00 GMT- May 27  (global-view.com)  Forex markets have reacted positively to gains in equities on Thursday. Some speculated that the EURUSD short- covering rally came a day earlier

MORE





Tokyo JT  16:41:09 GMT - 05/27/2010  
A day earlier...Than I expected.
They can't wait..
"SOUROU" in my language which means "premature 3jaculation"
Too many shorts I guess...


GVI Forex john  16:37:55 GMT - 05/27/2010  
Spanish unions starting to stir.


GVI Forex john  16:32:18 GMT - 05/27/2010  
I'm wondering out loud if this has been the position squaring ahead of the weekend originally scheduled for tomorrow?


GVI Forex john  16:07:53 GMT - 05/27/2010  
EURUSD catching up with stox today?


GVI Forex john  15:58:20 GMT - 05/27/2010  

May 27 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Far East markets will see a slew of the usual month-end Japanese data. In Europe, Swiss trade and KOF data are due. In North America, the U.S. will see Personal Income data, the Chicago PMI and the final May University of Michigan Sentiment index.

 

23:30

JA

Apr Hhld Spend yy

2.40%

4.40%

23:30

JA

Apr Unemploy

5.00%

5.00%

23:50

JA

Apr Retail Sales

3.70%

4.70%

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

6:15

CH

Apr Trade CHF bn

n/a

2.007

9:30

CH

May KOF Ind

2.03

1.99

12:30

CA

1Q Cur/Acct C$b

-7.5

-9.77

12:30

US

Core PCE mm Apr

n/a

0.10%

12:30

US

Apr Per Inc

0.50%

0.30%

13:55

US

May Chicago PMI

62.4

63.8

13:55

US

Mayf U Mich Sent

73.4

73.3





Chicago sc  14:07:56 GMT - 05/27/2010  

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.2275 Target: 1.2215 Stop:
Taking profits on my overnight sale at 1.2275. So much for my "long term" trade. All old orders out. Looking for a new attractive level to sell against.


GVI Forex john  12:58:49 GMT - 05/27/2010  
TTN Reporting LA Times says Gulf oil leak has been plugged..


USA ZEUS  12:48:18 GMT - 05/27/2010  
That should bode well for the EUR/USD rally!


GVI Forex john  12:47:44 GMT - 05/27/2010  
Disappointing data in our opinion... (460K Initial Claims)


Click on chart for seven-year history



GVI Forex john  11:32:23 GMT - 05/27/2010  
Data 12:30 GMT

Weekly jobless data
Disappointing 455K gain in initial Claims seen


Weekly jobless data are the most current read on employment and also the economy.

Initial Jobless claims can be very volatile so many also watch the 4-week moving average to get a better handle on trends.

Continuing claims are used by economists to predict the unemployment rate. These data are not as consistent as they once were as statutory benefit rules have been changing. Changes in the rules can affect the number of individuals eligible for claims.

Updated and revised charts to follow after the report.



Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
The total value of goods and services produced within the borders of a country, regardless of who owns the assets or the nationality of the labor used in producing that output. The growth of output is usually measured in real terms, meaning increases in output due to inflation have been removed.

Importance: One goal (often unstated) of central banks is sustained growth of the economy with full employment and stable prices. Real GDP is the most comprehensive measure of the performance of an economy. By monitoring trends in the overall growth rate as well as the unemployment rate and the rate of inflation, policy makers are able to assess whether the current stance of monetary policy is consistent with its policy goals.





Chicago sc  09:43:04 GMT - 05/27/2010  

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.2350 Target: 1.2050 Stop: 1.2450
Initial trade worked well. Old stop at 1.2350 on new position trade cancelled. New order to sell second leg there (1.2350). Stop 1.2450. New target on combined position. Back later.

GL + GT


GVI Forex john  09:26:52 GMT - 05/27/2010  

The Daily Forex View

China Denial Helps EUR

10:00 GMT- May 27  (global-view.com)  Forex markets have reacted positively in the EURUSD to a denial by China that it was reviewing its European sovereign debt 

MORE





Phoenix Sun  01:05:02 GMT - 05/27/2010  
Really nice call and explanation:

Chicago sc 22:11 GMT May 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support: Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.2165 Target: 1.2195 Stop: 1.2150

Finally figured this market out. All everyone is doing is looking for any kind of pretext (headline) to sell EURUSD. In between we rally. Im going to try the long side again. Quick scalp I hope.

Long term I remain very bearish. Looking for a level I can hold to sell against.



Chicago sc  23:08:32 GMT - 05/26/2010  
Zeus- Cheers

I have the losses to prove it! this whole market has been a set up.


USA ZEUS  22:46:02 GMT - 05/26/2010  
Chicago sc 22:11 GMT May 26, 2010

You just gave away all the secrets.

;-)

Cheers!


Chicago sc  22:21:17 GMT - 05/26/2010  

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.2275 Target: 1.2010 Stop: 1.2350
Long-Term trade as indicated below.


Chicago sc  22:11:23 GMT - 05/26/2010  

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.2165 Target: 1.2195 Stop: 1.2150
Finally figured this market out. All everyone is doing is looking for any kind of pretext (headline) to sell EURUSD. In between we rally. Im going to try the long side again. Quick scalp I hope.

Long term I remain very bearish. Looking for a level I can hold to sell against.


GVI Forex john  20:32:25 GMT - 05/26/2010  

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GVI Forex john  19:18:45 GMT - 05/26/2010  

The Daily Forex View

Bearish EUR Psychology

20:00 GMT- May 26  (global-view.com)  Wednesday has turned out to be an active day for forex trading in  the U.S. It had started out as a quiet session, but word of possibly more issues

MORE



GVI Forex john  15:24:17 GMT - 05/26/2010  
Question re HKD

Anyone know whats happening just dropped two big figures


any help??


nyc ws  15:22:31 GMT - 05/26/2010  
It is a flight from the euro day


GVI Forex john  15:12:08 GMT - 05/26/2010  
Interesting EURUSD falls, but 10-yr note holding steady at 3.24%, +7bps. Equities gaining as well so some of the very recent correlations seem to have broken down.


GVI Forex john  14:57:28 GMT - 05/26/2010  

May 26 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Far East markets will see Japanese trade data and the latest BOJ Minutes on Thursday. In Europe, no major data are due. In North America, the U.S. will see 1Q10 GDP, weekly jobless claims and natural gas inventories. A seven-yr note auction is awaited as well.

 

23:50

JA

Apr Trade JPYb

709.3

948.9

23:50

JA

BOJ Minutes

n/a

n/a

 

 

THURSDAY

 

 

12:30

US

1QrGDP pa

3.40%

3.20%

12:30

US

WK Cont Claims m

4.6

4.625

12:30

US

WK Initial Claims k

455

471

14:30

US

DOE Nat Gas bcf

105

76

17:00

US

TRY 7-yr

n/a

n/a



GVI Forex john  14:07:09 GMT - 05/26/2010  
 
New Home Sales +504K much stronger than expected


GVI Forex john  13:49:50 GMT - 05/26/2010  
Data @ 14:00 GMT

New Home Sales, Starts/Permits


New Home Sales record sales of U.S. newly constructed residences. The U.S. Census Bureau publishes New Home Sales statistics monthly...


Tartu kuues  12:35:08 GMT - 05/26/2010  
Ex-Trans -1%


GVI Forex john  12:32:39 GMT - 05/26/2010  
Durable Goods +2.9% big revisions to prior data.


GVI Forex john  12:18:23 GMT - 05/26/2010  
Data @ 12:30 GMT

Advance Durable Goods/Factory Orders


Durable good new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery. The advance report is an early estimate of durable goods orders. Two weeks later, more complete and revised data are available in the Factory Orders report. Department of Commerce; BEA.


GVI Forex john  11:21:43 GMT - 05/26/2010  

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Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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